Harvard Crimson v Michigan State Spartans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Harvard Crimson

00:00

Michigan State Spartans

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Harvard Crimson win

26.6%

Draw

0.0%

Michigan State Spartans win

73.4%

27073

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	27073	63.59–70.43	64-71 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Harvard Crimson to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.35
Harvard Crimson to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Harvard Crimson to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Harvard Crimson to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Michigan State Spartans to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.34
Michigan State Spartans to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Michigan State Spartans to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Michigan State Spartans to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win H1	62.6%	62.2%	39.9%	1.56×	1.61
Harvard Crimson to win H1	33.2%	33.1%	56.4%	0.59×	3.02
H1 tied	4.2%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 76.5	89.0%	87.7%	90.2%	0.97×	1.14
H1 over 52.5	87.3%	87.7%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
H1 under 72.5	79.7%	77.4%	83.6%	0.93×	1.29
H1 over 56.5	77.2%	77.4%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
H1 under 69.5	70.4%	73.5%	76.2%	0.96×	1.36
H1 over 59.5	67.3%	67.4%	57.8%	1.17×	1.48
H1 under 67.5	63.3%	62.7%	70.4%	0.89×	1.59
H1 over 61.5	59.9%	58.2%	50.2%	1.16×	1.72
H1 under 65.5	55.7%	58.2%	63.9%	0.91×	1.72
H1 over 63.5	52.1%	52.6%	42.9%	1.23×	1.90
H1 under 64.5	51.8%	52.6%	60.7%	0.87×	1.90
H1 under 63.5	47.9%	47.4%	57.1%	0.83×	2.11
H1 over 64.5	48.2%	47.4%	39.3%	1.21×	2.11
H1 over 65.5	44.3%	41.8%	36.1%	1.16×	2.39
H1 under 61.5	40.1%	41.8%	49.8%	0.84×	2.39
H1 over 67.5	36.7%	37.3%	29.6%	1.26×	2.68
H1 under 59.5	32.7%	32.6%	42.2%	0.77×	3.07
H1 over 69.5	29.6%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.77
H1 under 56.5	22.8%	22.6%	31.8%	0.71×	4.43
H1 over 72.5	20.3%	22.6%	16.4%	1.38×	4.43
H1 under 52.5	12.7%	12.3%	20.4%	0.60×	8.14
H1 over 76.5	11.0%	12.3%	9.8%	1.26×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win H2	63.5%	58.8%	40.6%	1.45×	1.70
Harvard Crimson to win H2	32.5%	36.3%	56.0%	0.65×	2.76
H2 tied	4.0%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.35

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 82.5	87.7%	85.2%	87.4%	0.97×	1.17
H2 over 58.5	86.4%	85.2%	79.6%	1.07×	1.17
H2 under 78.5	78.4%	75.8%	80.1%	0.95×	1.32
H2 over 62.5	76.4%	75.8%	68.3%	1.11×	1.32
H2 under 75.5	69.3%	66.4%	73.0%	0.91×	1.51
H2 over 65.5	66.9%	66.4%	58.8%	1.13×	1.51
H2 under 73.5	62.4%	61.6%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
H2 over 67.5	59.8%	57.3%	52.1%	1.10×	1.74
H2 under 71.5	55.1%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
H2 over 69.5	52.4%	52.4%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
H2 under 70.5	51.4%	52.4%	57.8%	0.91×	1.91
H2 under 69.5	47.6%	47.6%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
H2 over 70.5	48.6%	47.6%	42.2%	1.13×	2.10
H2 over 71.5	44.9%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.34
H2 under 67.5	40.2%	42.7%	47.9%	0.89×	2.35
H2 over 73.5	37.6%	38.4%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
H2 under 65.5	33.1%	33.6%	41.2%	0.82×	2.97
H2 over 75.5	30.7%	33.6%	27.0%	1.25×	2.97
H2 under 62.5	23.6%	24.2%	31.7%	0.76×	4.13
H2 over 78.5	21.6%	24.2%	19.9%	1.22×	4.13
H2 under 58.5	13.6%	14.8%	20.4%	0.73×	6.76
H2 over 82.5	12.3%	14.8%	12.6%	1.17×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans leading at half time	62.6%	62.5%	39.9%	1.57×	1.60
Harvard Crimson leading at half time	33.2%	32.7%	56.4%	0.58×	3.05
Level at half time	4.2%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans +12.5	95.6%	97.4%	67.9%	1.44×	1.03
Michigan State Spartans +14.5	97.0%	97.4%	72.1%	1.35×	1.03
Michigan State Spartans +16.5	98.1%	97.4%	75.7%	1.29×	1.03
Michigan State Spartans +18.5	98.8%	97.4%	79.3%	1.23×	1.03
Michigan State Spartans +20.5	99.2%	97.4%	82.0%	1.19×	1.03
Michigan State Spartans +9.5	92.4%	91.1%	60.7%	1.50×	1.10
Michigan State Spartans +10.5	93.6%	91.1%	63.2%	1.44×	1.10
Michigan State Spartans +8.5	91.1%	91.1%	58.0%	1.57×	1.10
Michigan State Spartans +7.5	89.5%	85.9%	55.2%	1.55×	1.16
Harvard Crimson +20.5	88.8%	85.9%	92.7%	0.93×	1.16
Michigan State Spartans +6.5	87.8%	85.9%	52.4%	1.64×	1.16
Michigan State Spartans +5.5	85.9%	85.9%	50.3%	1.71×	1.16
Harvard Crimson +18.5	84.9%	81.1%	91.1%	0.89×	1.23
Michigan State Spartans +4.5	83.8%	81.1%	47.8%	1.70×	1.23
Michigan State Spartans +3.5	81.5%	81.1%	45.8%	1.77×	1.23
Harvard Crimson +16.5	80.3%	81.1%	89.1%	0.91×	1.23
Michigan State Spartans +2.5	79.0%	76.5%	43.3%	1.77×	1.31
Michigan State Spartans +1.5	76.3%	76.5%	41.3%	1.85×	1.31
Harvard Crimson +14.5	74.8%	71.6%	86.7%	0.83×	1.40
Michigan State Spartans −1.5	70.2%	71.6%	38.8%	1.85×	1.40
Harvard Crimson +12.5	68.7%	66.7%	83.8%	0.80×	1.50
Michigan State Spartans −2.5	66.8%	66.7%	36.7%	1.82×	1.50
Michigan State Spartans −3.5	63.4%	61.9%	34.3%	1.80×	1.62
Harvard Crimson +10.5	61.9%	61.9%	80.4%	0.77×	1.62
Michigan State Spartans −4.5	59.8%	57.1%	32.2%	1.77×	1.75
Harvard Crimson +9.5	58.4%	57.1%	78.7%	0.73×	1.75
Michigan State Spartans −5.5	56.2%	57.1%	29.9%	1.91×	1.75
Harvard Crimson +8.5	54.8%	52.4%	76.5%	0.69×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans −6.5	52.5%	52.4%	27.7%	1.89×	1.91
Harvard Crimson +7.5	51.2%	52.4%	74.5%	0.70×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans −7.5	48.8%	47.6%	25.5%	1.87×	2.10
Harvard Crimson +6.5	47.5%	47.6%	72.3%	0.66×	2.10
Michigan State Spartans −8.5	45.2%	47.6%	23.5%	2.02×	2.10
Harvard Crimson +5.5	43.8%	42.9%	70.1%	0.61×	2.33
Michigan State Spartans −9.5	41.6%	42.9%	21.3%	2.01×	2.33
Harvard Crimson +4.5	40.2%	42.9%	67.8%	0.63×	2.33
Michigan State Spartans −10.5	38.1%	38.1%	19.6%	1.94×	2.63
Harvard Crimson +3.5	36.6%	38.1%	65.7%	0.58×	2.63
Harvard Crimson +2.5	33.2%	33.3%	63.3%	0.53×	3.01
Michigan State Spartans −12.5	31.3%	33.3%	16.2%	2.05×	3.01
Harvard Crimson +1.5	29.8%	28.4%	61.2%	0.46×	3.53
Michigan State Spartans −14.5	25.2%	28.4%	13.3%	2.14×	3.53
Harvard Crimson −1.5	23.7%	23.5%	58.7%	0.40×	4.25
Harvard Crimson −2.5	21.0%	23.5%	56.7%	0.41×	4.25
Michigan State Spartans −16.5	19.7%	18.9%	10.9%	1.74×	5.29
Harvard Crimson −3.5	18.5%	18.9%	54.2%	0.35×	5.29
Harvard Crimson −4.5	16.2%	18.9%	52.2%	0.36×	5.30
Michigan State Spartans −18.5	15.1%	18.9%	8.9%	2.12×	5.30
Harvard Crimson −5.5	14.1%	14.1%	49.7%	0.28×	7.09
Harvard Crimson −6.5	12.2%	14.1%	47.6%	0.30×	7.09
Harvard Crimson −7.5	10.5%	14.1%	44.8%	0.32×	7.09
Michigan State Spartans −20.5	11.2%	14.1%	7.3%	1.94×	7.09
Harvard Crimson −8.5	8.9%	8.9%	42.0%	0.21×	11.25
Harvard Crimson −9.5	7.6%	8.9%	39.3%	0.23×	11.25
Harvard Crimson −10.5	6.4%	8.9%	36.8%	0.24×	11.25
Harvard Crimson −12.5	4.4%	2.6%	32.1%	0.08×	38.72
Harvard Crimson −14.5	3.0%	2.6%	27.9%	0.09×	38.73
Harvard Crimson −16.5	1.9%	2.6%	24.3%	0.11×	38.73
Harvard Crimson −18.5	1.2%	2.6%	20.7%	0.12×	38.74
Harvard Crimson −20.5	0.8%	2.6%	18.0%	0.14×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	72.6%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.6%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.0%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.5%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans at HT / Michigan State Spartans at FT	54.7%	51.1%	30.1%	1.70×	1.96
Harvard Crimson at HT / Harvard Crimson at FT	17.4%	15.5%	48.3%	0.32×	6.47
Harvard Crimson at HT / Michigan State Spartans at FT	15.8%	15.4%	8.2%	1.88×	6.47
Michigan State Spartans at HT / Harvard Crimson at FT	8.0%	8.3%	9.8%	0.85×	12.09
Level at HT / Michigan State Spartans at FT	2.9%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.74
Level at HT / Harvard Crimson at FT	1.3%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win	73.4%	68.7%	40.1%	1.72×	1.46
Harvard Crimson to win	26.6%	31.3%	59.9%	0.52×	3.20

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.5%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Harvard Crimson even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Michigan State Spartans even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Harvard Crimson odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Michigan State Spartans odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.5%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.6%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.4%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win Q1	57.1%	57.3%	40.4%	1.42×	1.75
Harvard Crimson to win Q1	36.9%	38.2%	54.7%	0.70×	2.62
Q1 tied	5.9%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 40.5	89.0%	87.4%	89.9%	0.97×	1.14
Q1 over 24.5	87.3%	87.4%	81.8%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 under 37.5	78.3%	76.9%	81.6%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 over 27.5	75.6%	76.9%	67.7%	1.14×	1.30
Q1 under 35.5	68.7%	67.6%	73.2%	0.92×	1.48
Q1 over 29.5	65.5%	67.6%	56.9%	1.19×	1.48
Q1 under 33.5	57.6%	58.6%	64.0%	0.92×	1.71
Q1 over 31.5	54.1%	52.7%	46.0%	1.14×	1.90
Q1 under 32.5	51.8%	52.7%	59.1%	0.89×	1.90
Q1 over 32.5	48.2%	47.3%	40.9%	1.16×	2.11
Q1 under 31.5	45.9%	47.3%	54.0%	0.88×	2.11
Q1 over 33.5	42.4%	41.4%	36.0%	1.15×	2.42
Q1 under 29.5	34.5%	32.4%	43.1%	0.75×	3.08
Q1 over 35.5	31.3%	32.4%	26.8%	1.21×	3.08
Q1 under 27.5	24.4%	23.1%	32.3%	0.72×	4.33
Q1 over 37.5	21.7%	23.1%	18.4%	1.26×	4.33
Q1 under 24.5	12.7%	12.6%	18.2%	0.69×	7.95
Q1 over 40.5	11.0%	12.6%	10.1%	1.24×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win Q2	56.9%	59.4%	41.5%	1.43×	1.68
Harvard Crimson to win Q2	37.3%	35.8%	52.9%	0.68×	2.80
Q2 tied	5.8%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.49

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 40.5	89.9%	87.3%	90.8%	0.96×	1.15
Q2 over 24.5	86.2%	87.3%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Q2 under 37.5	79.7%	76.8%	82.3%	0.93×	1.30
Q2 over 27.5	74.0%	72.0%	66.7%	1.08×	1.39
Q2 under 35.5	70.4%	72.0%	74.6%	0.96×	1.39
Q2 over 29.5	63.6%	60.7%	55.8%	1.09×	1.65
Q2 under 33.5	59.6%	58.2%	65.6%	0.89×	1.72
Q2 under 32.5	53.8%	52.7%	60.8%	0.87×	1.90
Q2 over 31.5	52.1%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 under 31.5	47.9%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 over 32.5	46.2%	47.3%	39.2%	1.21×	2.11
Q2 over 33.5	40.4%	41.8%	34.4%	1.22×	2.39
Q2 under 29.5	36.4%	39.3%	44.2%	0.89×	2.55
Q2 over 35.5	29.6%	28.0%	25.4%	1.10×	3.57
Q2 under 27.5	26.0%	28.0%	33.3%	0.84×	3.57
Q2 over 37.5	20.3%	23.2%	17.7%	1.31×	4.31
Q2 under 24.5	13.8%	12.7%	19.3%	0.66×	7.89
Q2 over 40.5	10.1%	12.7%	9.2%	1.38×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win Q3	57.8%	56.8%	41.8%	1.36×	1.76
Harvard Crimson to win Q3	36.4%	38.8%	53.3%	0.73×	2.58
Q3 tied	5.7%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 43.5	88.8%	87.2%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 over 27.5	86.1%	87.2%	80.0%	1.09×	1.15
Q3 under 40.5	78.3%	77.3%	81.9%	0.94×	1.29
Q3 over 30.5	74.3%	71.8%	66.8%	1.07×	1.39
Q3 under 38.5	69.0%	67.8%	73.9%	0.92×	1.48
Q3 over 32.5	64.2%	62.0%	56.1%	1.10×	1.61
Q3 under 36.5	58.3%	58.4%	64.6%	0.90×	1.71
Q3 over 34.5	53.1%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Q3 under 35.5	52.6%	52.3%	59.7%	0.88×	1.91
Q3 under 34.5	46.9%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 35.5	47.4%	47.7%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
Q3 over 36.5	41.7%	41.6%	35.4%	1.17×	2.40
Q3 under 32.5	35.8%	38.0%	43.9%	0.87×	2.63
Q3 over 38.5	31.0%	32.2%	26.1%	1.23×	3.11
Q3 under 30.5	25.7%	28.2%	33.2%	0.85×	3.55
Q3 over 40.5	21.7%	22.7%	18.1%	1.25×	4.40
Q3 under 27.5	13.9%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.83
Q3 over 43.5	11.2%	12.8%	9.8%	1.30×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win Q4	57.7%	52.1%	41.5%	1.25×	1.92
Harvard Crimson to win Q4	36.7%	42.4%	52.8%	0.80×	2.36
Q4 tied	5.6%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.25

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 43.5	87.2%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Q4 over 27.5	85.0%	82.0%	78.9%	1.04×	1.22
Q4 under 40.5	76.8%	76.9%	80.6%	0.95×	1.30
Q4 over 30.5	73.4%	71.5%	66.3%	1.08×	1.40
Q4 under 38.5	67.7%	67.4%	73.1%	0.92×	1.48
Q4 over 32.5	63.8%	61.4%	55.4%	1.11×	1.63
Q4 under 36.5	57.5%	58.4%	64.3%	0.91×	1.71
Q4 over 34.5	53.3%	52.5%	45.6%	1.15×	1.91
Q4 under 35.5	52.1%	52.5%	59.4%	0.88×	1.91
Q4 over 35.5	47.9%	47.5%	40.6%	1.17×	2.11
Q4 under 34.5	46.7%	47.5%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
Q4 over 36.5	42.5%	41.6%	35.7%	1.17×	2.40
Q4 under 32.5	36.2%	38.6%	44.6%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 38.5	32.3%	32.6%	26.9%	1.21×	3.07
Q4 under 30.5	26.6%	28.5%	33.7%	0.84×	3.51
Q4 over 40.5	23.2%	23.1%	19.4%	1.19×	4.33
Q4 under 27.5	15.1%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.56
Q4 over 43.5	12.8%	14.4%	11.4%	1.26×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans over 60.5	86.1%	83.9%	55.6%	1.51×	1.19
Harvard Crimson over 53.5	85.7%	83.9%	85.8%	0.98×	1.19
Harvard Crimson under 73.5	85.1%	83.9%	68.5%	1.23×	1.19
Michigan State Spartans under 80.5	85.7%	83.9%	91.0%	0.92×	1.19
Michigan State Spartans over 63.5	77.7%	75.1%	46.1%	1.63×	1.33
Harvard Crimson over 56.5	77.2%	75.1%	79.5%	0.94×	1.33
Harvard Crimson under 70.5	76.7%	75.1%	60.3%	1.25×	1.33
Michigan State Spartans under 77.5	77.1%	75.1%	87.2%	0.86×	1.33
Harvard Crimson over 58.5	70.2%	70.7%	74.7%	0.95×	1.41
Michigan State Spartans over 65.5	70.8%	70.7%	40.2%	1.76×	1.41
Michigan State Spartans under 75.5	70.1%	70.7%	84.1%	0.84×	1.41
Harvard Crimson under 68.5	69.9%	66.4%	54.4%	1.22×	1.51
Harvard Crimson over 60.5	62.5%	61.2%	69.5%	0.88×	1.63
Harvard Crimson under 66.5	62.2%	61.2%	48.2%	1.27×	1.63
Michigan State Spartans over 67.5	63.0%	61.2%	34.4%	1.78×	1.63
Michigan State Spartans under 73.5	62.2%	61.2%	80.2%	0.76×	1.63
Harvard Crimson over 62.5	54.3%	52.3%	64.3%	0.81×	1.91
Harvard Crimson under 64.5	54.0%	52.3%	41.6%	1.26×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans over 69.5	54.7%	52.3%	28.8%	1.82×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans under 71.5	53.9%	52.3%	76.1%	0.69×	1.91
Harvard Crimson over 63.5	50.1%	52.3%	61.5%	0.85×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans over 70.5	50.4%	52.3%	26.3%	1.99×	1.91
Harvard Crimson under 63.5	49.9%	47.7%	38.5%	1.24×	2.09
Michigan State Spartans under 70.5	49.6%	47.7%	73.7%	0.65×	2.09
Harvard Crimson under 62.5	45.7%	47.7%	35.7%	1.34×	2.09
Harvard Crimson over 64.5	46.0%	47.7%	58.4%	0.82×	2.09
Michigan State Spartans under 69.5	45.3%	47.7%	71.2%	0.67×	2.09
Michigan State Spartans over 71.5	46.1%	47.7%	23.9%	1.99×	2.09
Harvard Crimson under 60.5	37.5%	38.8%	30.5%	1.27×	2.58
Harvard Crimson over 66.5	37.8%	38.8%	51.8%	0.75×	2.58
Michigan State Spartans under 67.5	37.0%	38.8%	65.6%	0.59×	2.58
Michigan State Spartans over 73.5	37.8%	38.8%	19.8%	1.96×	2.58
Harvard Crimson over 68.5	30.2%	33.6%	45.6%	0.74×	2.98
Harvard Crimson under 58.5	29.8%	29.3%	25.3%	1.16×	3.42
Michigan State Spartans under 65.5	29.2%	29.3%	59.8%	0.49×	3.42
Michigan State Spartans over 75.5	29.9%	29.3%	15.9%	1.84×	3.42
Harvard Crimson under 56.5	22.8%	24.9%	20.5%	1.22×	4.02
Harvard Crimson over 70.5	23.3%	24.9%	39.7%	0.63×	4.02
Michigan State Spartans over 77.5	22.9%	24.9%	12.8%	1.94×	4.02
Michigan State Spartans under 63.5	22.3%	24.9%	53.9%	0.46×	4.02
Harvard Crimson under 53.5	14.3%	16.1%	14.2%	1.13×	6.21
Harvard Crimson over 73.5	14.9%	16.1%	31.5%	0.51×	6.21
Michigan State Spartans over 80.5	14.3%	16.1%	9.0%	1.79×	6.21
Michigan State Spartans under 60.5	13.9%	16.1%	44.4%	0.36×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 114.5 points	90.8%	88.8%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Under 154.5 points	91.2%	88.8%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Under 149.5 points	84.7%	80.6%	84.9%	0.95×	1.24
Over 119.5 points	83.7%	80.6%	71.6%	1.12×	1.24
Under 144.5 points	75.4%	75.6%	78.1%	0.97×	1.32
Over 124.5 points	74.1%	70.8%	61.5%	1.15×	1.41
Under 141.5 points	68.8%	65.9%	73.4%	0.90×	1.52
Over 127.5 points	67.1%	65.9%	55.1%	1.20×	1.52
Under 139.5 points	64.0%	61.5%	69.9%	0.88×	1.63
Over 129.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	50.5%	1.22×	1.63
Under 137.5 points	58.9%	56.5%	66.2%	0.85×	1.77
Over 131.5 points	56.9%	56.5%	46.1%	1.23×	1.77
Under 135.5 points	53.7%	52.3%	62.4%	0.84×	1.91
Over 133.5 points	51.7%	52.3%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Under 134.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	60.2%	0.87×	1.91
Over 134.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	39.8%	1.20×	2.10
Under 133.5 points	48.3%	47.7%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Over 135.5 points	46.3%	47.7%	37.6%	1.27×	2.10
Under 131.5 points	43.1%	43.5%	53.9%	0.81×	2.30
Over 137.5 points	41.1%	43.5%	33.8%	1.29×	2.30
Under 129.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	49.5%	0.78×	2.60
Over 139.5 points	36.0%	38.5%	30.1%	1.28×	2.60
Under 127.5 points	32.9%	34.1%	44.9%	0.76×	2.93
Over 141.5 points	31.2%	34.1%	26.6%	1.28×	2.93
Under 124.5 points	25.9%	29.2%	38.5%	0.76×	3.43
Over 144.5 points	24.6%	24.4%	21.9%	1.11×	4.10
Under 119.5 points	16.3%	19.4%	28.4%	0.68×	5.15
Over 149.5 points	15.3%	19.4%	15.1%	1.29×	5.15
Under 114.5 points	9.3%	11.2%	19.6%	0.57×	8.96
Over 154.5 points	8.8%	11.2%	10.2%	1.10×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans to win both halves	37.2%	36.3%	20.4%	1.78×	2.76
Harvard Crimson to win both halves	8.5%	8.8%	36.0%	0.25×	11.31

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans by 6-10	18.1%	16.8%	10.3%	1.63×	5.97
Michigan State Spartans by 1-5	17.2%	16.8%	10.2%	1.65×	5.97
Michigan State Spartans by 11-15	15.7%	16.8%	7.6%	2.20×	5.97
Harvard Crimson by 1-5	12.5%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Michigan State Spartans by 16-20	11.2%	12.3%	4.8%	2.60×	8.11
Harvard Crimson by 6-10	7.7%	7.5%	12.9%	0.58×	13.40
Michigan State Spartans by 21-25	6.5%	7.5%	2.7%	2.79×	13.40
Harvard Crimson by 11-15	3.9%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.29
Michigan State Spartans by 26+	4.7%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.29
Harvard Crimson by 16-20	1.6%	2.0%	8.0%	0.25×	49.31
Harvard Crimson by 21-25	0.6%	2.0%	5.4%	0.38×	49.32
Harvard Crimson by 26+	0.2%	2.0%	12.6%	0.16×	49.33

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