Indiana Hoosiers v Arkansas Razorbacks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Indiana Hoosiers

00:00

Arkansas Razorbacks

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Indiana Hoosiers win

39.5%

Draw

0.0%

Arkansas Razorbacks win

60.5%

39061

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	39061	82.57–85.32	82-85 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 100+	7.0%	8.8%	1.1%	8.15×	11.38
Indiana Hoosiers to score 100+	4.2%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	282.54
Indiana Hoosiers to score 110+	0.3%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.30
Indiana Hoosiers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.35
Indiana Hoosiers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 110+	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.24
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.35
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.9%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.18

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win H1	53.9%	51.9%	38.2%	1.36×	1.93
Arkansas Razorbacks to win H1	53.9%	51.9%	38.2%	1.36×	1.93
Indiana Hoosiers to win H1	41.6%	42.7%	57.9%	0.74×	2.34
Indiana Hoosiers to win H1	41.6%	42.7%	57.9%	0.74×	2.34
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.85

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 67.5	86.8%	87.7%	54.4%	1.61×	1.14
H1 under 91.5	87.2%	87.7%	97.6%	0.90×	1.14
H1 under 87.5	78.4%	77.4%	95.0%	0.82×	1.29
H1 over 71.5	77.1%	77.4%	40.0%	1.94×	1.29
H1 under 87.5	77.7%	77.4%	95.0%	0.82×	1.29
H1 over 71.5	77.8%	77.4%	40.0%	1.94×	1.29
H1 under 84.5	69.0%	67.4%	91.7%	0.74×	1.48
H1 under 84.5	68.4%	67.4%	91.7%	0.74×	1.48
H1 over 74.5	68.2%	67.4%	30.4%	2.22×	1.48
H1 over 74.5	67.7%	67.4%	30.4%	2.22×	1.48
H1 under 82.5	61.8%	62.7%	88.9%	0.71×	1.59
H1 under 82.5	61.5%	62.7%	88.9%	0.71×	1.59
H1 over 76.5	61.0%	62.7%	24.5%	2.56×	1.59
H1 over 76.5	60.7%	62.7%	24.5%	2.56×	1.59
H1 under 80.5	54.3%	52.6%	85.2%	0.62×	1.90
H1 under 80.5	54.1%	52.6%	85.2%	0.62×	1.90
H1 over 78.5	53.4%	52.6%	19.3%	2.73×	1.90
H1 over 78.5	53.3%	52.6%	19.3%	2.73×	1.90
H1 under 79.5	50.4%	52.6%	83.1%	0.63×	1.90
H1 under 79.5	50.4%	52.6%	83.1%	0.63×	1.90
H1 over 79.5	49.6%	47.4%	16.9%	2.80×	2.11
H1 over 79.5	49.6%	47.4%	16.9%	2.80×	2.11
H1 under 78.5	46.6%	47.4%	80.7%	0.59×	2.11
H1 under 78.5	46.7%	47.4%	80.7%	0.59×	2.11
H1 over 80.5	45.7%	47.4%	14.8%	3.20×	2.11
H1 over 80.5	45.9%	47.4%	14.8%	3.20×	2.11
H1 under 76.5	39.3%	37.3%	75.5%	0.49×	2.68
H1 over 82.5	38.2%	37.3%	11.1%	3.35×	2.68
H1 over 82.5	38.5%	37.3%	11.1%	3.35×	2.68
H1 under 76.5	39.0%	37.3%	75.5%	0.49×	2.68
H1 under 74.5	32.3%	32.6%	69.6%	0.47×	3.07
H1 over 84.5	31.0%	32.6%	8.3%	3.93×	3.07
H1 over 84.5	31.6%	32.6%	8.3%	3.93×	3.07
H1 under 74.5	31.8%	32.6%	69.6%	0.47×	3.07
H1 under 71.5	22.9%	22.6%	60.0%	0.38×	4.43
H1 over 87.5	22.3%	22.6%	5.0%	4.47×	4.43
H1 under 71.5	22.2%	22.6%	60.0%	0.38×	4.43
H1 over 87.5	21.6%	22.6%	5.0%	4.47×	4.43
H1 under 67.5	13.2%	12.3%	45.6%	0.27×	8.14
H1 over 91.5	12.8%	12.3%	2.4%	5.18×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win H2	54.5%	51.2%	38.9%	1.32×	1.95
Arkansas Razorbacks to win H2	54.5%	51.2%	38.5%	1.33×	1.95
Indiana Hoosiers to win H2	41.2%	43.5%	56.9%	0.76×	2.30
Indiana Hoosiers to win H2	41.2%	43.5%	57.5%	0.76×	2.30
H2 tied	4.3%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.35
H2 tied	4.3%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.35

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 100.5	85.6%	85.2%	94.8%	0.90×	1.17
H2 over 76.5	85.6%	85.2%	53.4%	1.60×	1.17
H2 over 80.5	76.7%	75.8%	37.1%	2.04×	1.32
H2 under 96.5	76.9%	75.8%	94.1%	0.81×	1.32
H2 over 80.5	76.1%	75.8%	40.8%	1.86×	1.32
H2 under 96.5	76.1%	75.8%	91.4%	0.83×	1.32
H2 over 83.5	67.5%	66.4%	28.4%	2.34×	1.51
H2 under 93.5	67.7%	66.4%	91.2%	0.73×	1.51
H2 over 83.5	67.1%	66.4%	32.0%	2.07×	1.51
H2 under 93.5	67.1%	66.4%	88.2%	0.75×	1.51
H2 over 85.5	60.7%	61.6%	23.2%	2.66×	1.62
H2 under 91.5	60.9%	61.6%	88.7%	0.69×	1.62
H2 over 85.5	60.5%	61.6%	26.7%	2.31×	1.62
H2 under 91.5	60.5%	61.6%	85.5%	0.72×	1.62
H2 over 87.5	53.5%	52.4%	18.8%	2.79×	1.91
H2 under 89.5	53.8%	52.4%	85.1%	0.62×	1.91
H2 over 87.5	53.5%	52.4%	22.3%	2.35×	1.91
H2 under 89.5	53.6%	52.4%	81.8%	0.64×	1.91
H2 under 88.5	50.1%	52.4%	83.3%	0.63×	1.91
H2 under 88.5	50.0%	52.4%	79.8%	0.66×	1.91
H2 over 88.5	49.9%	47.6%	16.7%	2.85×	2.10
H2 over 88.5	50.0%	47.6%	20.2%	2.36×	2.10
H2 under 87.5	46.5%	47.6%	81.2%	0.59×	2.10
H2 over 89.5	46.2%	47.6%	14.9%	3.20×	2.10
H2 under 87.5	46.5%	47.6%	77.7%	0.61×	2.10
H2 over 89.5	46.4%	47.6%	18.2%	2.61×	2.10
H2 under 85.5	39.3%	38.4%	76.8%	0.50×	2.61
H2 over 91.5	39.1%	38.4%	11.3%	3.40×	2.61
H2 under 85.5	39.5%	38.4%	73.3%	0.52×	2.61
H2 over 91.5	39.5%	38.4%	14.5%	2.66×	2.61
H2 under 83.5	32.5%	33.6%	71.6%	0.47×	2.97
H2 over 93.5	32.3%	33.6%	8.8%	3.84×	2.97
H2 under 83.5	32.9%	33.6%	68.0%	0.49×	2.97
H2 over 93.5	32.9%	33.6%	11.8%	2.84×	2.97
H2 under 80.5	23.9%	24.2%	59.2%	0.41×	4.13
H2 over 96.5	23.9%	24.2%	8.6%	2.82×	4.13
H2 under 80.5	23.3%	24.2%	62.9%	0.39×	4.13
H2 over 96.5	23.1%	24.2%	5.9%	4.13×	4.13
H2 under 76.5	14.4%	14.8%	46.6%	0.32×	6.76
H2 over 100.5	14.4%	14.8%	5.2%	2.85×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks leading at half time	53.9%	51.9%	38.2%	1.36×	1.93
Indiana Hoosiers leading at half time	41.6%	42.8%	57.9%	0.74×	2.34
Level at half time	4.5%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks +16.5	96.2%	97.4%	80.7%	1.21×	1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +18.5	97.5%	97.4%	83.9%	1.16×	1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +20.5	98.4%	97.4%	86.5%	1.13×	1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +14.5	94.4%	91.1%	77.2%	1.18×	1.10
Indiana Hoosiers +20.5	94.9%	91.1%	96.5%	0.94×	1.10
Indiana Hoosiers +18.5	92.6%	91.1%	95.4%	0.95×	1.10
Arkansas Razorbacks +12.5	92.0%	91.1%	72.4%	1.26×	1.10
Arkansas Razorbacks +10.5	88.8%	85.9%	67.4%	1.28×	1.16
Indiana Hoosiers +16.5	89.6%	85.9%	94.0%	0.91×	1.16
Arkansas Razorbacks +9.5	86.9%	85.9%	64.5%	1.33×	1.16
Indiana Hoosiers +14.5	85.8%	85.9%	92.2%	0.93×	1.16
Arkansas Razorbacks +8.5	84.7%	81.1%	61.5%	1.32×	1.23
Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5	82.4%	81.1%	58.7%	1.38×	1.23
Indiana Hoosiers +12.5	81.1%	81.1%	89.9%	0.90×	1.23
Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5	79.9%	76.5%	55.7%	1.37×	1.31
Arkansas Razorbacks +5.5	77.1%	76.5%	53.0%	1.44×	1.31
Indiana Hoosiers +10.5	75.6%	76.5%	87.2%	0.88×	1.31
Arkansas Razorbacks +4.5	74.1%	71.6%	49.3%	1.45×	1.40
Indiana Hoosiers +9.5	72.5%	71.6%	85.3%	0.84×	1.40
Arkansas Razorbacks +3.5	71.0%	71.6%	45.9%	1.56×	1.40
Indiana Hoosiers +8.5	69.3%	66.7%	83.3%	0.80×	1.50
Arkansas Razorbacks +2.5	67.6%	66.7%	42.3%	1.58×	1.50
Indiana Hoosiers +7.5	65.8%	66.7%	81.0%	0.82×	1.50
Arkansas Razorbacks +1.5	64.1%	61.9%	39.2%	1.58×	1.62
Indiana Hoosiers +6.5	62.3%	61.9%	78.8%	0.79×	1.62
Indiana Hoosiers +5.5	58.6%	57.1%	76.4%	0.75×	1.75
Arkansas Razorbacks −1.5	56.7%	57.1%	34.6%	1.65×	1.75
Indiana Hoosiers +4.5	54.8%	52.4%	73.7%	0.71×	1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks −2.5	52.9%	52.4%	32.0%	1.64×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers +3.5	51.0%	52.4%	70.8%	0.74×	1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks −3.5	49.0%	47.6%	29.3%	1.63×	2.10
Indiana Hoosiers +2.5	47.1%	47.6%	68.0%	0.70×	2.10
Arkansas Razorbacks −4.5	45.2%	47.6%	26.3%	1.81×	2.10
Indiana Hoosiers +1.5	43.3%	42.9%	65.4%	0.66×	2.33
Arkansas Razorbacks −5.5	41.4%	42.9%	23.6%	1.82×	2.33
Arkansas Razorbacks −6.5	37.7%	38.1%	21.2%	1.79×	2.63
Indiana Hoosiers −1.5	35.9%	38.1%	60.8%	0.63×	2.63
Arkansas Razorbacks −7.5	34.2%	33.3%	19.0%	1.75×	3.01
Indiana Hoosiers −2.5	32.4%	33.3%	57.7%	0.58×	3.01
Arkansas Razorbacks −8.5	30.7%	33.3%	16.7%	2.00×	3.01
Indiana Hoosiers −3.5	29.0%	28.4%	54.1%	0.52×	3.53
Arkansas Razorbacks −9.5	27.5%	28.4%	14.7%	1.94×	3.53
Indiana Hoosiers −4.5	25.9%	28.4%	50.7%	0.56×	3.53
Arkansas Razorbacks −10.5	24.4%	23.5%	12.8%	1.84×	4.25
Indiana Hoosiers −5.5	22.9%	23.5%	47.0%	0.50×	4.25
Indiana Hoosiers −6.5	20.1%	23.5%	44.3%	0.53×	4.25
Arkansas Razorbacks −12.5	18.9%	18.9%	10.1%	1.87×	5.29
Indiana Hoosiers −7.5	17.6%	18.9%	41.3%	0.46×	5.29
Indiana Hoosiers −8.5	15.3%	18.9%	38.5%	0.49×	5.30
Arkansas Razorbacks −14.5	14.2%	14.1%	7.8%	1.80×	7.09
Indiana Hoosiers −9.5	13.1%	14.1%	35.5%	0.40×	7.09
Indiana Hoosiers −10.5	11.2%	14.1%	32.6%	0.43×	7.09
Arkansas Razorbacks −16.5	10.4%	14.1%	6.0%	2.37×	7.09
Indiana Hoosiers −12.5	8.0%	8.9%	27.6%	0.32×	11.25
Arkansas Razorbacks −18.5	7.4%	8.9%	4.6%	1.95×	11.25
Indiana Hoosiers −14.5	5.6%	8.9%	22.8%	0.39×	11.25
Arkansas Razorbacks −20.5	5.1%	8.9%	3.5%	2.57×	11.25
Indiana Hoosiers −16.5	3.8%	2.6%	19.3%	0.13×	38.73
Indiana Hoosiers −18.5	2.5%	2.6%	16.1%	0.16×	38.73
Indiana Hoosiers −20.5	1.6%	2.6%	13.5%	0.19×	38.73

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	82.3%	71.5%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	80.7%	71.5%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	19.3%	28.5%	27.5%	1.04×	3.51
H1 highest scoring	17.7%	28.5%	29.6%	0.96×	3.51

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks at HT / Arkansas Razorbacks at FT	42.5%	41.0%	25.8%	1.59×	2.44
Indiana Hoosiers at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT	26.2%	29.6%	48.6%	0.61×	3.38
Indiana Hoosiers at HT / Arkansas Razorbacks at FT	15.3%	15.4%	9.3%	1.66×	6.47
Arkansas Razorbacks at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT	11.4%	12.2%	12.4%	0.99×	8.18
Level at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT	1.9%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.76
Level at HT / Arkansas Razorbacks at FT	2.6%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.75

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win	60.5%	60.6%	36.8%	1.65×	1.65
Indiana Hoosiers to win	39.5%	39.4%	63.2%	0.62×	2.54

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.9%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Indiana Hoosiers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Arkansas Razorbacks even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Indiana Hoosiers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Arkansas Razorbacks odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.1%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.2%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.8%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.64

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks under 95.5	85.4%	83.9%	97.7%	0.86×	1.19
Arkansas Razorbacks over 75.5	84.8%	80.7%	35.3%	2.29×	1.24
Indiana Hoosiers over 72.5	84.6%	80.7%	60.8%	1.33×	1.24
Indiana Hoosiers under 92.5	84.6%	80.7%	90.8%	0.89×	1.24
Indiana Hoosiers over 75.5	76.3%	75.1%	51.0%	1.47×	1.33
Indiana Hoosiers under 89.5	76.2%	75.1%	86.5%	0.87×	1.33
Arkansas Razorbacks over 78.5	76.3%	75.1%	26.3%	2.86×	1.33
Arkansas Razorbacks under 92.5	77.1%	75.1%	96.0%	0.78×	1.33
Arkansas Razorbacks under 90.5	70.3%	70.7%	94.5%	0.75×	1.41
Indiana Hoosiers over 77.5	69.5%	66.4%	44.6%	1.49×	1.51
Indiana Hoosiers under 87.5	69.5%	66.4%	82.8%	0.80×	1.51
Arkansas Razorbacks over 80.5	69.4%	66.4%	21.2%	3.13×	1.51
Arkansas Razorbacks under 88.5	62.7%	61.2%	92.6%	0.66×	1.63
Indiana Hoosiers over 79.5	62.0%	61.2%	38.4%	1.59×	1.63
Indiana Hoosiers under 85.5	62.0%	61.2%	78.6%	0.78×	1.63
Arkansas Razorbacks over 82.5	61.8%	61.2%	16.7%	3.66×	1.63
Indiana Hoosiers over 81.5	54.1%	52.3%	32.1%	1.63×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers under 83.5	54.1%	52.3%	73.5%	0.71×	1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks over 84.5	53.7%	52.3%	12.8%	4.08×	1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks under 86.5	54.6%	52.3%	90.2%	0.58×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers over 82.5	50.0%	52.3%	29.2%	1.79×	1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks under 85.5	50.5%	52.3%	88.8%	0.59×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers under 82.5	50.0%	47.7%	70.8%	0.67×	2.09
Arkansas Razorbacks over 85.5	49.5%	47.7%	11.2%	4.28×	2.09
Indiana Hoosiers under 81.5	45.9%	47.7%	67.9%	0.70×	2.09
Indiana Hoosiers over 83.5	45.9%	47.7%	26.5%	1.80×	2.09
Arkansas Razorbacks under 84.5	46.3%	47.7%	87.2%	0.55×	2.09
Arkansas Razorbacks over 86.5	45.4%	47.7%	9.8%	4.87×	2.09
Indiana Hoosiers under 79.5	38.0%	38.8%	61.6%	0.63×	2.58
Indiana Hoosiers over 85.5	38.0%	38.8%	21.4%	1.81×	2.58
Arkansas Razorbacks under 82.5	38.2%	38.8%	83.3%	0.47×	2.58
Arkansas Razorbacks over 88.5	37.3%	38.8%	7.4%	5.21×	2.58
Indiana Hoosiers under 77.5	30.5%	33.6%	55.4%	0.61×	2.98
Indiana Hoosiers over 87.5	30.5%	33.6%	17.2%	1.96×	2.98
Arkansas Razorbacks under 80.5	30.6%	33.6%	78.8%	0.43×	2.98
Arkansas Razorbacks over 90.5	29.7%	29.3%	5.5%	5.34×	3.42
Indiana Hoosiers under 75.5	23.7%	24.9%	49.0%	0.51×	4.02
Indiana Hoosiers over 89.5	23.8%	24.9%	13.5%	1.84×	4.02
Arkansas Razorbacks under 78.5	23.7%	24.9%	73.7%	0.34×	4.02
Arkansas Razorbacks over 92.5	22.9%	24.9%	4.0%	6.21×	4.02
Indiana Hoosiers under 72.5	15.4%	19.3%	39.2%	0.49×	5.18
Indiana Hoosiers over 92.5	15.4%	19.3%	9.2%	2.10×	5.18
Arkansas Razorbacks under 75.5	15.2%	19.3%	64.7%	0.30×	5.18
Arkansas Razorbacks over 95.5	14.6%	16.1%	2.3%	7.13×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 188.5 points	90.1%	88.8%	97.9%	0.91×	1.13
Over 148.5 points	88.7%	85.0%	45.7%	1.86×	1.18
Under 183.5 points	83.5%	80.6%	96.5%	0.83×	1.24
Over 153.5 points	81.5%	80.6%	35.4%	2.28×	1.24
Under 178.5 points	74.6%	70.8%	94.2%	0.75×	1.41
Over 158.5 points	72.1%	70.8%	26.7%	2.65×	1.41
Under 175.5 points	68.3%	65.9%	92.5%	0.71×	1.52
Over 161.5 points	65.4%	65.9%	22.1%	2.99×	1.52
Under 173.5 points	63.7%	61.5%	91.2%	0.67×	1.63
Over 163.5 points	60.7%	61.5%	19.1%	3.22×	1.63
Under 171.5 points	59.0%	56.5%	89.7%	0.63×	1.77
Over 165.5 points	55.9%	56.5%	16.6%	3.40×	1.77
Under 169.5 points	54.1%	52.3%	87.7%	0.60×	1.91
Over 167.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	14.4%	3.64×	1.91
Under 168.5 points	51.5%	52.3%	86.7%	0.60×	1.91
Under 167.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	85.6%	0.56×	2.10
Over 168.5 points	48.5%	47.7%	13.3%	3.58×	2.10
Over 169.5 points	45.9%	47.7%	12.3%	3.89×	2.10
Under 165.5 points	44.1%	43.5%	83.4%	0.52×	2.30
Over 171.5 points	41.0%	43.5%	10.3%	4.21×	2.30
Under 163.5 points	39.3%	38.5%	80.9%	0.48×	2.60
Over 173.5 points	36.3%	38.5%	8.8%	4.37×	2.60
Under 161.5 points	34.6%	34.1%	77.9%	0.44×	2.93
Over 175.5 points	31.7%	34.1%	7.5%	4.55×	2.93
Under 158.5 points	27.9%	29.2%	73.3%	0.40×	3.43
Over 178.5 points	25.4%	29.2%	5.8%	5.01×	3.43
Under 153.5 points	18.5%	19.4%	64.6%	0.30×	5.15
Over 183.5 points	16.5%	19.4%	3.5%	5.63×	5.15
Under 148.5 points	11.3%	15.0%	54.3%	0.28×	6.69
Over 188.5 points	9.9%	11.2%	2.1%	5.24×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win both halves	25.7%	27.2%	14.5%	1.87×	3.68
Indiana Hoosiers to win both halves	13.7%	14.1%	33.2%	0.42×	7.12

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks by 1-5	19.1%	16.8%	13.2%	1.27×	5.97
Indiana Hoosiers by 1-5	16.6%	16.8%	16.2%	1.03×	5.97
Arkansas Razorbacks by 6-10	17.0%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Arkansas Razorbacks by 11-15	12.2%	12.3%	6.1%	2.04×	8.11
Indiana Hoosiers by 6-10	11.7%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.11
Arkansas Razorbacks by 16-20	7.1%	7.5%	3.3%	2.24×	13.40
Indiana Hoosiers by 11-15	6.6%	7.5%	11.6%	0.64×	13.40
Indiana Hoosiers by 16-20	3.0%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.30
Indiana Hoosiers by 21-25	1.1%	2.0%	5.6%	0.36×	49.32
Arkansas Razorbacks by 21-25	3.3%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.30
Arkansas Razorbacks by 26+	1.8%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.31
Indiana Hoosiers by 26+	0.4%	2.0%	7.9%	0.26×	49.32

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