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Indiana Hoosiers v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Indiana Hoosiers win
98.3%
Draw
0.0%
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles win
1.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 85.54–63.27 85-63 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to score 100+ 7.7% 8.8% 3.4% 2.56× 11.37
Indiana Hoosiers to score 110+ 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.22
Indiana Hoosiers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.35
Indiana Hoosiers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.35
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win H1 87.7% 88.7% 57.9% 1.53× 1.13
Indiana Hoosiers to win H1 87.7% 88.7% 57.9% 1.53× 1.13
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win H1 10.1% 10.7% 38.2% 0.28× 9.32
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win H1 10.1% 10.7% 38.2% 0.28× 9.32
H1 tied 2.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 tied 2.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 58.5 87.2% 87.7% 83.3% 1.05× 1.14
H1 under 82.5 87.2% 87.7% 88.9% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 62.5 78.2% 77.4% 72.0% 1.08× 1.29
H1 under 78.5 78.3% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
H1 over 62.5 77.4% 77.4% 72.0% 1.08× 1.29
H1 under 78.5 77.6% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
H1 over 65.5 68.6% 67.4% 61.9% 1.09× 1.48
H1 under 75.5 68.8% 67.4% 72.8% 0.93× 1.48
H1 over 65.5 68.0% 67.4% 61.9% 1.09× 1.48
H1 under 75.5 68.3% 67.4% 72.8% 0.93× 1.48
H1 over 67.5 61.4% 62.7% 54.4% 1.15× 1.59
H1 under 73.5 61.7% 62.7% 66.6% 0.94× 1.59
H1 over 67.5 61.0% 62.7% 54.4% 1.15× 1.59
H1 under 73.5 61.3% 62.7% 66.6% 0.94× 1.59
H1 over 69.5 53.7% 52.6% 46.9% 1.12× 1.90
H1 under 71.5 54.1% 52.6% 60.0% 0.88× 1.90
H1 under 71.5 53.9% 52.6% 60.0% 0.88× 1.90
H1 over 69.5 53.6% 52.6% 46.9% 1.12× 1.90
H1 under 70.5 50.2% 52.6% 56.5% 0.93× 1.90
H1 under 70.5 50.2% 52.6% 56.5% 0.93× 1.90
H1 over 70.5 49.8% 47.4% 43.5% 1.09× 2.11
H1 over 70.5 49.8% 47.4% 43.5% 1.09× 2.11
H1 under 69.5 46.4% 47.4% 53.1% 0.89× 2.11
H1 under 69.5 46.3% 47.4% 53.1% 0.89× 2.11
H1 over 71.5 45.9% 47.4% 40.0% 1.19× 2.11
H1 over 71.5 46.1% 47.4% 40.0% 1.19× 2.11
H1 under 67.5 38.6% 37.3% 45.6% 0.82× 2.68
H1 over 73.5 38.3% 37.3% 33.4% 1.12× 2.68
H1 under 67.5 39.0% 37.3% 45.6% 0.82× 2.68
H1 over 73.5 38.7% 37.3% 33.4% 1.12× 2.68
H1 under 65.5 31.4% 32.6% 38.1% 0.86× 3.07
H1 over 75.5 31.2% 32.6% 27.2% 1.20× 3.07
H1 under 65.5 32.0% 32.6% 38.1% 0.86× 3.07
H1 over 75.5 31.7% 32.6% 27.2% 1.20× 3.07
H1 under 62.5 22.6% 22.6% 28.0% 0.80× 4.43
H1 over 78.5 22.4% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.43
H1 under 62.5 21.8% 22.6% 28.0% 0.80× 4.43
H1 over 78.5 21.7% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.43
H1 under 58.5 12.8% 12.3% 16.7% 0.74× 8.14
H1 over 82.5 12.8% 12.3% 11.1% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win H2 89.5% 84.2% 56.9% 1.48× 1.19
Indiana Hoosiers to win H2 89.4% 84.2% 57.5% 1.47× 1.19
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win H2 8.7% 11.3% 38.5% 0.29× 8.83
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win H2 8.6% 11.3% 38.9% 0.29× 8.83
H2 tied 1.9% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.37
H2 tied 1.9% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.37
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 66.5 85.9% 85.2% 82.3% 1.03× 1.17
H2 under 90.5 85.7% 85.2% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
H2 over 70.5 77.0% 75.8% 69.8% 1.09× 1.32
H2 under 86.5 76.7% 75.8% 79.3% 0.96× 1.32
H2 over 70.5 76.4% 75.8% 71.9% 1.05× 1.32
H2 under 86.5 76.1% 75.8% 75.7% 1.00× 1.32
H2 over 73.5 67.8% 66.4% 60.4% 1.10× 1.51
H2 under 83.5 67.6% 66.4% 71.6% 0.93× 1.51
H2 over 73.5 67.3% 66.4% 63.1% 1.05× 1.51
H2 under 83.5 67.1% 66.4% 68.0% 0.98× 1.51
H2 over 75.5 61.0% 61.6% 53.4% 1.15× 1.62
H2 under 81.5 60.7% 61.6% 65.8% 0.94× 1.62
H2 over 75.5 60.7% 61.6% 56.4% 1.09× 1.62
H2 under 81.5 60.4% 61.6% 62.2% 0.99× 1.62
H2 over 77.5 53.8% 52.4% 47.0% 1.12× 1.91
H2 under 79.5 53.6% 52.4% 59.8% 0.88× 1.91
H2 over 77.5 53.7% 52.4% 50.2% 1.04× 1.91
H2 under 79.5 53.4% 52.4% 56.2% 0.93× 1.91
H2 over 78.5 50.1% 52.4% 43.6% 1.20× 1.91
H2 over 78.5 50.1% 52.4% 47.0% 1.11× 1.91
H2 under 78.5 49.9% 47.6% 56.4% 0.84× 2.10
H2 under 78.5 49.9% 47.6% 53.0% 0.90× 2.10
H2 under 77.5 46.2% 47.6% 53.0% 0.90× 2.10
H2 over 79.5 46.4% 47.6% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
H2 under 77.5 46.3% 47.6% 49.8% 0.96× 2.10
H2 over 79.5 46.6% 47.6% 43.8% 1.09× 2.10
H2 under 75.5 39.1% 38.4% 46.6% 0.82× 2.61
H2 over 81.5 39.3% 38.4% 34.2% 1.12× 2.61
H2 under 75.5 39.3% 38.4% 43.6% 0.88× 2.61
H2 over 81.5 39.6% 38.4% 37.8% 1.02× 2.61
H2 under 73.5 32.2% 33.6% 39.6% 0.85× 2.97
H2 over 83.5 32.4% 33.6% 28.4% 1.18× 2.97
H2 under 73.5 32.7% 33.6% 36.9% 0.91× 2.97
H2 over 83.5 32.9% 33.6% 32.0% 1.05× 2.97
H2 under 70.5 23.6% 24.2% 28.1% 0.86× 4.13
H2 over 86.5 23.9% 24.2% 24.3% 1.00× 4.13
H2 under 70.5 23.0% 24.2% 30.2% 0.80× 4.13
H2 over 86.5 23.3% 24.2% 20.7% 1.17× 4.13
H2 under 66.5 14.1% 14.8% 17.7% 0.84× 6.76
H2 over 90.5 14.3% 14.8% 16.4% 0.90× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers leading at half time 87.7% 89.4% 57.9% 1.54× 1.12
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles leading at half time 10.1% 10.2% 38.2% 0.27× 9.79
Level at half time 2.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.43
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers +8.5 99.8% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +9.5 99.8% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +10.5 99.9% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +12.5 99.9% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +4.5 99.4% 97.4% 73.7% 1.32× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +5.5 99.5% 97.4% 76.4% 1.28× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +6.5 99.6% 97.4% 78.8% 1.24× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +7.5 99.7% 97.4% 81.0% 1.20× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers −1.5 97.8% 97.4% 60.8% 1.60× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +1.5 98.6% 97.4% 65.4% 1.49× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers −2.5 97.1% 97.4% 57.7% 1.69× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +2.5 98.9% 97.4% 68.0% 1.43× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers −3.5 96.4% 97.4% 54.1% 1.80× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +3.5 99.2% 97.4% 70.8% 1.38× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers −4.5 95.5% 97.4% 50.7% 1.92× 1.03
Indiana Hoosiers −5.5 94.5% 91.1% 47.0% 1.94× 1.10
Indiana Hoosiers −6.5 93.3% 91.1% 44.3% 2.06× 1.10
Indiana Hoosiers −8.5 90.4% 91.1% 38.5% 2.37× 1.10
Indiana Hoosiers −7.5 91.9% 91.1% 41.3% 2.20× 1.10
Indiana Hoosiers −9.5 88.6% 85.9% 35.5% 2.42× 1.16
Indiana Hoosiers −10.5 86.7% 85.9% 32.6% 2.63× 1.16
Indiana Hoosiers −12.5 82.1% 81.1% 27.6% 2.94× 1.23
Indiana Hoosiers −14.5 76.7% 76.5% 22.8% 3.35× 1.31
Indiana Hoosiers −16.5 70.6% 71.6% 19.3% 3.71× 1.40
Indiana Hoosiers −18.5 63.8% 61.9% 16.1% 3.83× 1.62
Indiana Hoosiers −20.5 56.5% 57.1% 13.5% 4.24× 1.75
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +20.5 43.5% 42.9% 86.5% 0.50× 2.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +18.5 36.2% 38.1% 83.9% 0.45× 2.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +16.5 29.4% 28.4% 80.7% 0.35× 3.53
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +14.5 23.3% 23.5% 77.2% 0.30× 4.25
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +12.5 17.9% 18.9% 72.4% 0.26× 5.29
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +10.5 13.3% 14.1% 67.4% 0.21× 7.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +9.5 11.4% 14.1% 64.5% 0.22× 7.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +8.5 9.6% 8.9% 61.5% 0.14× 11.25
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +7.5 8.1% 8.9% 58.7% 0.15× 11.25
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +6.5 6.7% 8.9% 55.7% 0.16× 11.25
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +5.5 5.5% 8.9% 53.0% 0.17× 11.25
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +1.5 2.2% 2.6% 39.2% 0.07× 38.73
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −1.5 1.4% 2.6% 34.6% 0.07× 38.73
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +2.5 2.9% 2.6% 42.3% 0.06× 38.73
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −2.5 1.1% 2.6% 32.0% 0.08× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +3.5 3.6% 2.6% 45.9% 0.06× 38.73
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −3.5 0.8% 2.6% 29.3% 0.09× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +4.5 4.5% 2.6% 49.3% 0.05× 38.72
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −8.5 0.2% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −9.5 0.2% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −10.5 0.1% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −12.5 0.1% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −4.5 0.6% 2.6% 26.3% 0.10× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −5.5 0.5% 2.6% 23.6% 0.11× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −6.5 0.4% 2.6% 21.2% 0.12× 38.74
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −7.5 0.3% 2.6% 19.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 79.5% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 77.9% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 22.1% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 20.5% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT 87.0% 89.1% 48.6% 1.83× 1.12
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT 9.1% 8.3% 12.4% 0.67× 12.08
Level at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.76
Indiana Hoosiers at HT / Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at FT 0.6% 2.1% 9.3% 0.22× 47.78
Level at HT / Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at FT 0.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.79
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at HT / Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at FT 1.0% 2.1% 25.8% 0.08× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win 98.3% 97.5% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win 1.7% 2.5% 36.8% 0.07× 39.49
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.2% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Indiana Hoosiers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.8% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.7% 97.0% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.3% 3.0% 5.8% 0.52× 33.51
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers over 75.5 85.3% 83.9% 51.0% 1.65× 1.19
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 53.5 85.2% 83.9% 93.9% 0.89× 1.19
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 73.5 85.9% 83.9% 58.3% 1.44× 1.19
Indiana Hoosiers under 95.5 84.5% 80.7% 94.0% 0.86× 1.24
Indiana Hoosiers over 78.5 77.0% 75.1% 41.6% 1.81× 1.33
Indiana Hoosiers under 92.5 76.0% 75.1% 90.8% 0.83× 1.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 56.5 76.5% 75.1% 89.8% 0.84× 1.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 70.5 77.6% 75.1% 48.7% 1.54× 1.33
Indiana Hoosiers over 80.5 70.3% 70.7% 35.1% 2.01× 1.41
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 68.5 70.8% 70.7% 41.6% 1.70× 1.41
Indiana Hoosiers under 90.5 69.2% 66.4% 88.1% 0.75× 1.51
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 58.5 69.5% 66.4% 86.2% 0.77× 1.51
Indiana Hoosiers over 82.5 62.7% 61.2% 29.2% 2.09× 1.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 66.5 63.2% 61.2% 35.3% 1.74× 1.63
Indiana Hoosiers under 88.5 61.6% 61.2% 84.8% 0.72× 1.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 60.5 61.7% 61.2% 82.0% 0.75× 1.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 64.5 55.0% 57.1% 29.3% 1.95× 1.75
Indiana Hoosiers over 84.5 54.7% 52.3% 23.9% 2.19× 1.91
Indiana Hoosiers under 86.5 53.5% 52.3% 80.8% 0.65× 1.91
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 62.5 53.4% 52.3% 76.6% 0.68× 1.91
Indiana Hoosiers over 85.5 50.6% 52.3% 21.4% 2.44× 1.91
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 63.5 50.8% 52.3% 26.1% 2.00× 1.91
Indiana Hoosiers under 85.5 49.4% 47.7% 78.6% 0.61× 2.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 63.5 49.2% 47.7% 73.9% 0.65× 2.09
Indiana Hoosiers over 86.5 46.5% 47.7% 19.2% 2.49× 2.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 62.5 46.6% 47.7% 23.4% 2.04× 2.09
Indiana Hoosiers under 84.5 45.3% 47.7% 76.1% 0.63× 2.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 64.5 45.0% 42.9% 70.7% 0.61× 2.33
Indiana Hoosiers over 88.5 38.4% 38.8% 15.2% 2.55× 2.58
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 60.5 38.3% 38.8% 18.0% 2.15× 2.58
Indiana Hoosiers under 82.5 37.3% 38.8% 70.8% 0.55× 2.58
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 66.5 36.8% 38.8% 64.7% 0.60× 2.58
Indiana Hoosiers over 90.5 30.8% 33.6% 11.9% 2.83× 2.98
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 58.5 30.5% 33.6% 13.8% 2.44× 2.98
Indiana Hoosiers under 80.5 29.7% 29.3% 64.9% 0.45× 3.42
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 68.5 29.2% 29.3% 58.4% 0.50× 3.42
Indiana Hoosiers under 78.5 23.0% 24.9% 58.4% 0.43× 4.02
Indiana Hoosiers over 92.5 24.0% 24.9% 9.2% 2.71× 4.02
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 56.5 23.5% 24.9% 10.2% 2.45× 4.02
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 70.5 22.4% 24.9% 51.4% 0.48× 4.02
Indiana Hoosiers over 95.5 15.5% 19.3% 6.0% 3.23× 5.18
Indiana Hoosiers under 75.5 14.7% 16.1% 49.0% 0.33× 6.21
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 53.5 14.8% 16.1% 6.1% 2.62× 6.21
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 73.5 14.1% 16.1% 41.7% 0.39× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 169.5 points 90.1% 88.8% 87.7% 1.01× 1.13
Over 129.5 points 89.2% 85.0% 83.3% 1.02× 1.18
Under 164.5 points 83.5% 80.6% 82.3% 0.98× 1.24
Over 134.5 points 81.9% 80.6% 74.7% 1.08× 1.24
Under 159.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 75.0% 0.94× 1.41
Over 139.5 points 72.4% 70.8% 64.6% 1.10× 1.41
Under 156.5 points 68.2% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Over 142.5 points 65.8% 65.9% 58.3% 1.13× 1.52
Under 154.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 66.4% 0.93× 1.63
Over 144.5 points 61.0% 61.5% 54.1% 1.14× 1.63
Under 152.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 62.7% 0.90× 1.77
Over 146.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 49.8% 1.13× 1.77
Under 150.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 58.4% 0.90× 1.91
Over 148.5 points 51.1% 52.3% 45.7% 1.14× 1.91
Under 149.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 56.3% 0.93× 1.91
Under 148.5 points 48.9% 47.7% 54.3% 0.88× 2.10
Over 149.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 43.7% 1.09× 2.10
Over 150.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.10
Under 146.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 50.2% 0.87× 2.30
Over 152.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 37.4% 1.16× 2.30
Under 144.5 points 39.0% 38.5% 45.9% 0.84× 2.60
Over 154.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 33.6% 1.15× 2.60
Under 142.5 points 34.2% 34.1% 41.7% 0.82× 2.93
Over 156.5 points 31.8% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Under 139.5 points 27.6% 29.2% 35.4% 0.82× 3.43
Over 159.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 25.0% 1.17× 3.43
Under 134.5 points 18.1% 19.4% 25.3% 0.77× 5.15
Over 164.5 points 16.5% 19.4% 17.7% 1.10× 5.15
Under 129.5 points 10.9% 15.0% 16.7% 0.89× 6.69
Over 169.5 points 9.9% 11.2% 12.3% 0.91× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win both halves 77.6% 77.1% 33.2% 2.32× 1.30
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win both halves 0.3% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.83
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Indiana Hoosiers by 26+ 38.0% 39.9% 7.9% 5.05× 2.50
Indiana Hoosiers by 21-25 18.5% 16.8% 5.6% 3.01× 5.97
Indiana Hoosiers by 16-20 17.2% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Indiana Hoosiers by 11-15 12.9% 12.3% 11.6% 1.07× 8.11
Indiana Hoosiers by 6-10 7.8% 7.5% 14.4% 0.52× 13.40
Indiana Hoosiers by 1-5 3.8% 2.0% 16.2% 0.13× 49.29
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 1-5 1.2% 2.0% 13.2% 0.15× 49.32
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 6-10 0.4% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.32
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 11-15 0.1% 2.0% 6.1% 0.33× 49.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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