Indiana Pacers v Milwaukee Bucks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 16 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Indiana Pacers

19:00

Milwaukee Bucks

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Indiana Pacers win

57.4%

Draw

0.0%

Milwaukee Bucks win

42.6%

57043

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	57043	117.52–114.89	118-115 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to score 100+	93.6%	90.3%	89.3%	1.01×	1.11
Milwaukee Bucks to score 100+	90.5%	90.3%	85.9%	1.05×	1.11
Both sides to score 100+	85.3%	85.0%	77.5%	1.10×	1.18
Indiana Pacers to score 110+	75.2%	76.9%	67.0%	1.15×	1.30
Milwaukee Bucks to score 110+	67.6%	63.8%	60.9%	1.05×	1.57
Indiana Pacers to score 120+	43.5%	41.9%	36.5%	1.15×	2.39
Milwaukee Bucks to score 120+	34.6%	31.4%	29.7%	1.06×	3.18
Indiana Pacers to score 130+	15.6%	17.5%	12.8%	1.37×	5.71
Milwaukee Bucks to score 130+	10.6%	13.8%	10.0%	1.38×	7.25

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win H1	53.0%	51.9%	52.8%	0.98×	1.93
Milwaukee Bucks to win H1	43.5%	42.7%	44.1%	0.97×	2.34
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 104.5	82.2%	83.2%	78.3%	1.06×	1.20
H1 under 128.5	81.7%	83.2%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
H1 under 129.5	82.6%	82.5%	88.1%	0.94×	1.21
H1 over 105.5	81.8%	82.5%	75.8%	1.09×	1.21
H1 over 108.5	73.2%	74.0%	67.7%	1.09×	1.35
H1 under 124.5	72.6%	74.0%	78.4%	0.94×	1.35
H1 under 125.5	73.6%	73.5%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
H1 over 109.5	72.6%	73.5%	65.0%	1.13×	1.36
H1 over 111.5	65.2%	68.0%	59.0%	1.15×	1.47
H1 under 122.5	65.5%	67.4%	74.0%	0.91×	1.48
H1 under 121.5	64.5%	63.3%	71.2%	0.89×	1.58
H1 over 112.5	64.4%	62.7%	55.8%	1.12×	1.59
H1 under 120.5	59.7%	58.2%	68.4%	0.85×	1.72
H1 over 114.5	58.5%	58.2%	49.6%	1.17×	1.72
H1 over 113.5	59.4%	58.2%	52.4%	1.11×	1.72
H1 under 119.5	58.7%	58.2%	65.9%	0.88×	1.72
H1 under 118.5	53.7%	52.6%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 116.5	52.4%	52.6%	43.4%	1.21×	1.90
H1 under 117.5	50.6%	52.6%	59.6%	0.88×	1.90
H1 over 115.5	53.4%	52.5%	46.4%	1.13×	1.90
H1 under 115.5	46.6%	47.5%	53.6%	0.89×	2.11
H1 over 117.5	49.4%	47.4%	40.4%	1.17×	2.11
H1 under 116.5	47.6%	47.4%	56.6%	0.84×	2.11
H1 over 118.5	46.3%	47.4%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 over 119.5	41.3%	41.8%	34.1%	1.23×	2.39
H1 under 113.5	40.6%	41.8%	47.6%	0.88×	2.39
H1 under 114.5	41.5%	41.8%	50.4%	0.83×	2.39
H1 over 120.5	40.3%	41.8%	31.6%	1.32×	2.39
H1 under 112.5	35.6%	37.3%	44.2%	0.84×	2.68
H1 over 121.5	35.5%	36.7%	28.8%	1.27×	2.72
H1 over 122.5	34.5%	32.6%	26.0%	1.25×	3.07
H1 under 111.5	34.8%	32.0%	41.0%	0.78×	3.13
H1 under 109.5	27.4%	26.5%	35.0%	0.76×	3.77
H1 over 125.5	26.4%	26.5%	19.3%	1.37×	3.77
H1 over 124.5	27.4%	26.0%	21.7%	1.20×	3.84
H1 under 108.5	26.8%	26.0%	32.3%	0.81×	3.84
H1 under 105.5	18.2%	17.5%	24.2%	0.72×	5.72
H1 over 129.5	17.4%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
H1 over 128.5	18.3%	16.8%	13.3%	1.26×	5.96
H1 under 104.5	17.8%	16.8%	21.7%	0.77×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win H2	53.0%	51.2%	51.6%	0.99×	1.95
Milwaukee Bucks to win H2	43.5%	43.6%	44.7%	0.97×	2.30
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 127.5	83.2%	81.8%	84.9%	0.96×	1.22
H2 over 103.5	81.6%	81.8%	76.2%	1.07×	1.22
H2 under 126.5	82.3%	81.5%	83.2%	0.98×	1.23
H2 over 102.5	82.1%	81.5%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
H2 under 122.5	73.2%	72.5%	74.4%	0.97×	1.38
H2 over 106.5	72.9%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
H2 under 123.5	74.3%	72.2%	76.9%	0.94×	1.39
H2 over 107.5	72.3%	72.2%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
H2 under 120.5	66.2%	66.4%	69.3%	0.96×	1.51
H2 under 119.5	65.1%	64.4%	66.4%	0.97×	1.55
H2 over 109.5	64.8%	62.6%	60.9%	1.03×	1.60
H2 over 110.5	64.0%	61.6%	58.1%	1.06×	1.62
H2 under 118.5	60.4%	61.6%	63.6%	0.97×	1.62
H2 under 117.5	59.3%	58.0%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
H2 over 111.5	59.0%	58.0%	55.3%	1.05×	1.72
H2 over 112.5	58.0%	57.3%	52.6%	1.09×	1.74
H2 under 116.5	54.3%	52.4%	58.1%	0.90×	1.91
H2 over 114.5	51.9%	52.4%	47.5%	1.10×	1.91
H2 under 115.5	51.2%	52.4%	55.4%	0.95×	1.91
H2 over 113.5	52.9%	52.0%	49.9%	1.04×	1.92
H2 under 113.5	47.1%	48.0%	50.1%	0.96×	2.09
H2 over 115.5	48.8%	47.6%	44.6%	1.07×	2.10
H2 under 114.5	48.1%	47.6%	52.5%	0.91×	2.10
H2 over 116.5	45.7%	47.6%	41.9%	1.14×	2.10
H2 under 112.5	42.0%	42.7%	47.4%	0.90×	2.34
H2 under 111.5	41.0%	42.0%	44.7%	0.94×	2.38
H2 over 117.5	40.7%	42.0%	38.9%	1.08×	2.38
H2 over 118.5	39.6%	38.4%	36.4%	1.05×	2.61
H2 under 110.5	36.0%	38.4%	41.9%	0.92×	2.61
H2 under 109.5	35.2%	37.4%	39.1%	0.96×	2.67
H2 over 119.5	34.9%	35.6%	33.6%	1.06×	2.81
H2 over 120.5	33.8%	33.6%	30.7%	1.10×	2.97
H2 under 107.5	27.7%	27.8%	33.8%	0.82×	3.59
H2 over 123.5	25.7%	27.8%	23.1%	1.20×	3.59
H2 under 106.5	27.1%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.63
H2 over 122.5	26.8%	27.5%	25.6%	1.08×	3.63
H2 under 102.5	17.9%	18.5%	21.5%	0.86×	5.41
H2 over 126.5	17.7%	18.5%	16.8%	1.10×	5.41
H2 under 103.5	18.4%	18.2%	23.8%	0.76×	5.50
H2 over 127.5	16.8%	18.2%	15.1%	1.20×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers leading at half time	53.0%	51.9%	52.8%	0.98×	1.93
Milwaukee Bucks leading at half time	43.5%	42.9%	44.1%	0.97×	2.33
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers +20.5	94.3%	91.1%	93.1%	0.98×	1.10
Indiana Pacers +18.5	92.5%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Indiana Pacers +16.5	90.4%	91.1%	89.7%	1.02×	1.10
Milwaukee Bucks +20.5	88.8%	85.9%	89.1%	0.96×	1.16
Indiana Pacers +14.5	87.8%	85.9%	87.0%	0.99×	1.16
Milwaukee Bucks +18.5	85.9%	85.9%	86.4%	0.99×	1.16
Indiana Pacers +12.5	84.7%	81.1%	83.9%	0.97×	1.23
Milwaukee Bucks +16.5	82.6%	81.1%	83.5%	0.97×	1.23
Indiana Pacers +10.5	81.2%	81.1%	80.3%	1.01×	1.23
Milwaukee Bucks +14.5	78.8%	76.5%	80.1%	0.95×	1.31
Indiana Pacers +9.5	79.3%	76.5%	78.1%	0.98×	1.31
Indiana Pacers +8.5	77.2%	76.5%	75.7%	1.01×	1.31
Indiana Pacers +7.5	75.1%	76.5%	73.0%	1.05×	1.31
Milwaukee Bucks +12.5	74.5%	71.6%	76.0%	0.94×	1.40
Indiana Pacers +6.5	72.8%	71.6%	70.6%	1.01×	1.40
Indiana Pacers +5.5	70.4%	71.6%	68.0%	1.05×	1.40
Milwaukee Bucks +10.5	69.8%	66.7%	71.0%	0.94×	1.50
Indiana Pacers +4.5	68.0%	66.7%	65.7%	1.02×	1.50
Milwaukee Bucks +9.5	67.4%	66.7%	68.7%	0.97×	1.50
Indiana Pacers +3.5	65.4%	66.7%	63.1%	1.06×	1.50
Milwaukee Bucks +8.5	64.8%	61.9%	65.9%	0.94×	1.62
Indiana Pacers +2.5	62.8%	61.9%	60.5%	1.02×	1.62
Milwaukee Bucks +7.5	62.1%	61.9%	63.0%	0.98×	1.62
Indiana Pacers +1.5	60.1%	61.9%	57.9%	1.07×	1.62
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5	59.4%	57.1%	60.0%	0.95×	1.75
Milwaukee Bucks +5.5	56.7%	57.1%	57.1%	1.00×	1.75
Indiana Pacers −1.5	54.6%	52.4%	53.7%	0.98×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks +4.5	53.9%	52.4%	54.1%	0.97×	1.91
Indiana Pacers −2.5	51.7%	52.4%	50.9%	1.03×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks +3.5	51.1%	52.4%	51.6%	1.02×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks +2.5	48.3%	47.6%	49.1%	0.97×	2.10
Indiana Pacers −3.5	48.9%	47.6%	48.4%	0.98×	2.10
Indiana Pacers −4.5	46.1%	47.6%	46.0%	1.04×	2.10
Milwaukee Bucks +1.5	45.4%	47.6%	46.3%	1.03×	2.10
Indiana Pacers −5.5	43.3%	42.9%	42.9%	1.00×	2.33
Indiana Pacers −6.5	40.6%	42.9%	40.0%	1.07×	2.33
Milwaukee Bucks −1.5	39.9%	38.1%	42.1%	0.90×	2.63
Indiana Pacers −7.5	37.9%	38.1%	37.0%	1.03×	2.63
Milwaukee Bucks −2.5	37.2%	38.1%	39.5%	0.96×	2.63
Indiana Pacers −8.5	35.2%	38.1%	34.1%	1.12×	2.63
Milwaukee Bucks −3.5	34.6%	33.3%	36.9%	0.90×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −9.5	32.6%	33.3%	31.3%	1.06×	3.01
Milwaukee Bucks −4.5	32.0%	33.3%	34.3%	0.97×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −10.5	30.2%	33.3%	29.0%	1.15×	3.01
Milwaukee Bucks −5.5	29.6%	28.4%	32.0%	0.89×	3.53
Milwaukee Bucks −6.5	27.2%	28.4%	29.4%	0.96×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −12.5	25.5%	28.4%	24.0%	1.18×	3.53
Milwaukee Bucks −7.5	24.9%	23.5%	27.0%	0.87×	4.25
Milwaukee Bucks −8.5	22.8%	23.5%	24.3%	0.97×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −14.5	21.2%	23.5%	19.9%	1.19×	4.25
Milwaukee Bucks −9.5	20.7%	23.5%	21.9%	1.08×	4.25
Milwaukee Bucks −10.5	18.8%	18.9%	19.7%	0.96×	5.29
Indiana Pacers −16.5	17.4%	18.9%	16.5%	1.15×	5.29
Milwaukee Bucks −12.5	15.3%	18.9%	16.1%	1.17×	5.30
Indiana Pacers −18.5	14.1%	14.1%	13.6%	1.04×	7.09
Milwaukee Bucks −14.5	12.2%	14.1%	13.0%	1.09×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −20.5	11.2%	14.1%	10.9%	1.30×	7.09
Milwaukee Bucks −16.5	9.6%	8.9%	10.3%	0.86×	11.25
Milwaukee Bucks −18.5	7.5%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Milwaukee Bucks −20.5	5.7%	8.9%	6.9%	1.29×	11.25

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.8%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.2%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.0%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.1%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	41.7%	41.0%	40.8%	1.01×	2.44
Milwaukee Bucks at HT / Milwaukee Bucks at FT	29.8%	29.6%	30.9%	0.96×	3.38
Milwaukee Bucks at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	13.7%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Indiana Pacers at HT / Milwaukee Bucks at FT	11.3%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	1.9%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Milwaukee Bucks at FT	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win	57.4%	55.2%	55.7%	0.99×	1.81
Milwaukee Bucks to win	42.6%	44.8%	44.3%	1.01×	2.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Indiana Pacers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Milwaukee Bucks even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Indiana Pacers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Milwaukee Bucks odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.9%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.1%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win Q1	50.9%	52.6%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Milwaukee Bucks to win Q1	44.4%	43.0%	44.1%	0.97×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 66.5	82.6%	83.2%	86.1%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 over 50.5	82.4%	83.2%	79.4%	1.05×	1.20
Q1 under 67.5	84.7%	82.8%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Q1 over 51.5	80.5%	82.8%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Q1 under 63.5	72.2%	73.1%	76.8%	0.95×	1.37
Q1 over 53.5	71.9%	73.1%	68.2%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 under 64.5	74.9%	72.7%	80.1%	0.91×	1.38
Q1 over 54.5	69.4%	67.6%	63.3%	1.07×	1.48
Q1 under 62.5	66.8%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 under 61.5	63.9%	62.3%	68.5%	0.91×	1.61
Q1 over 55.5	63.5%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	60.7%	61.7%	54.6%	1.13×	1.62
Q1 under 60.5	57.9%	58.6%	64.5%	0.91×	1.71
Q1 over 57.5	54.5%	52.7%	49.6%	1.06×	1.90
Q1 under 59.5	53.3%	52.7%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
Q1 over 58.5	51.4%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 58.5	48.6%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 59.5	46.7%	47.3%	40.0%	1.18×	2.11
Q1 under 57.5	45.5%	47.3%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	42.1%	41.4%	35.5%	1.17×	2.42
Q1 under 56.5	39.3%	38.3%	45.4%	0.84×	2.61
Q1 under 55.5	36.5%	37.7%	40.8%	0.92×	2.65
Q1 over 61.5	36.1%	37.7%	31.5%	1.20×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	33.2%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 under 54.5	30.6%	32.4%	36.7%	0.88×	3.08
Q1 over 64.5	25.1%	27.3%	19.9%	1.37×	3.67
Q1 under 53.5	28.1%	26.9%	31.8%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 over 63.5	27.8%	26.9%	23.2%	1.16×	3.72
Q1 under 51.5	19.5%	17.2%	24.0%	0.71×	5.83
Q1 over 67.5	15.3%	17.2%	11.2%	1.53×	5.83
Q1 under 50.5	17.6%	16.8%	20.6%	0.82×	5.95
Q1 over 66.5	17.4%	16.8%	13.9%	1.21×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win Q2	50.9%	51.4%	49.3%	1.04×	1.95
Milwaukee Bucks to win Q2	44.4%	43.9%	46.2%	0.95×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 50.5	82.5%	83.0%	78.1%	1.06×	1.21
Q2 under 66.5	82.5%	83.0%	86.5%	0.96×	1.21
Q2 over 53.5	72.1%	72.0%	65.8%	1.09×	1.39
Q2 under 63.5	72.1%	72.0%	77.5%	0.93×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	63.7%	60.7%	56.3%	1.08×	1.65
Q2 under 61.5	63.7%	60.7%	70.4%	0.86×	1.65
Q2 over 57.5	54.6%	52.7%	47.3%	1.11×	1.90
Q2 under 59.5	54.7%	52.7%	61.9%	0.85×	1.90
Q2 under 58.5	50.0%	52.7%	57.3%	0.92×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	50.0%	47.3%	42.7%	1.11×	2.11
Q2 under 57.5	45.4%	47.3%	52.7%	0.90×	2.11
Q2 over 59.5	45.3%	47.3%	38.1%	1.24×	2.11
Q2 under 55.5	36.3%	39.3%	43.7%	0.90×	2.55
Q2 over 61.5	36.3%	39.3%	29.6%	1.33×	2.55
Q2 under 53.5	27.9%	28.0%	34.2%	0.82×	3.57
Q2 over 63.5	27.9%	28.0%	22.5%	1.25×	3.57
Q2 under 50.5	17.5%	17.0%	21.9%	0.78×	5.88
Q2 over 66.5	17.5%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.88

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win Q3	50.9%	52.7%	50.9%	1.04×	1.90
Milwaukee Bucks to win Q3	44.4%	42.3%	44.3%	0.95×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 67.5	84.5%	82.3%	87.0%	0.95×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	81.3%	82.3%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 over 50.5	83.1%	82.2%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Q3 under 66.5	82.4%	82.2%	84.7%	0.97×	1.22
Q3 over 53.5	72.7%	72.5%	68.3%	1.06×	1.38
Q3 under 63.5	71.8%	72.5%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
Q3 under 64.5	74.5%	71.8%	79.2%	0.91×	1.39
Q3 over 54.5	70.2%	71.8%	63.9%	1.12×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	66.3%	67.8%	71.9%	0.94×	1.48
Q3 over 55.5	64.4%	62.6%	59.9%	1.05×	1.60
Q3 under 61.5	63.3%	62.6%	67.7%	0.92×	1.60
Q3 over 56.5	61.5%	61.9%	55.0%	1.13×	1.61
Q3 under 60.5	57.3%	58.4%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Q3 over 57.5	55.3%	57.8%	50.2%	1.15×	1.73
Q3 over 58.5	52.2%	52.3%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
Q3 under 59.5	52.6%	52.3%	59.0%	0.89×	1.91
Q3 under 58.5	47.8%	47.7%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 59.5	47.5%	47.7%	41.0%	1.16×	2.10
Q3 under 57.5	44.7%	42.2%	49.8%	0.85×	2.37
Q3 over 60.5	42.7%	41.6%	36.5%	1.14×	2.40
Q3 under 56.5	38.5%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.63
Q3 over 61.5	36.7%	37.4%	32.3%	1.16×	2.67
Q3 under 55.5	35.6%	37.4%	40.1%	0.93×	2.67
Q3 over 62.5	33.7%	32.2%	28.1%	1.15×	3.10
Q3 under 54.5	29.8%	28.2%	36.1%	0.78×	3.55
Q3 over 64.5	25.5%	28.2%	20.8%	1.35×	3.55
Q3 over 63.5	28.2%	27.5%	24.1%	1.14×	3.64
Q3 under 53.5	27.3%	27.5%	31.7%	0.87×	3.64
Q3 over 66.5	17.6%	17.8%	15.3%	1.16×	5.62
Q3 under 50.5	16.9%	17.8%	20.3%	0.88×	5.63
Q3 under 51.5	18.7%	17.7%	23.9%	0.74×	5.66
Q3 over 67.5	15.5%	17.7%	13.0%	1.36×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win Q4	50.7%	51.4%	48.3%	1.06×	1.95
Milwaukee Bucks to win Q4	44.4%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 64.5	83.2%	82.0%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	81.1%	82.0%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	73.1%	71.5%	77.5%	0.92×	1.40
Q4 over 51.5	70.4%	71.5%	64.7%	1.11×	1.40
Q4 under 59.5	65.0%	67.4%	70.2%	0.96×	1.48
Q4 over 53.5	62.0%	61.4%	55.7%	1.10×	1.63
Q4 under 57.5	56.2%	58.4%	61.9%	0.94×	1.71
Q4 over 55.5	53.0%	52.5%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	51.6%	52.5%	57.2%	0.92×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	48.4%	47.5%	42.8%	1.11×	2.11
Q4 under 55.5	47.0%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Q4 over 57.5	43.8%	41.6%	38.1%	1.09×	2.40
Q4 under 53.5	38.0%	38.6%	44.3%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	35.0%	32.6%	29.8%	1.09×	3.07
Q4 under 51.5	29.6%	28.5%	35.3%	0.81×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	26.9%	28.5%	22.5%	1.27×	3.51
Q4 under 48.5	18.9%	18.0%	24.5%	0.73×	5.56
Q4 over 64.5	16.8%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56

Team total 80

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milwaukee Bucks under 125.5	81.8%	80.7%	83.4%	0.97×	1.24
Indiana Pacers over 107.5	80.2%	80.7%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
Indiana Pacers over 106.5	79.9%	78.3%	75.1%	1.04×	1.28
Milwaukee Bucks under 124.5	79.8%	78.3%	81.4%	0.96×	1.28
Milwaukee Bucks over 104.5	79.4%	78.3%	75.0%	1.04×	1.28
Indiana Pacers under 126.5	79.2%	78.3%	81.5%	0.96×	1.28
Indiana Pacers under 127.5	80.0%	75.1%	83.5%	0.90×	1.33
Milwaukee Bucks over 105.5	78.7%	75.1%	71.9%	1.05×	1.33
Indiana Pacers over 109.5	72.3%	71.8%	67.0%	1.07×	1.39
Milwaukee Bucks under 121.5	72.1%	71.8%	74.7%	0.96×	1.39
Indiana Pacers under 123.5	71.4%	71.8%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
Milwaukee Bucks over 107.5	71.6%	71.8%	66.6%	1.08×	1.39
Milwaukee Bucks under 122.5	74.3%	70.7%	77.4%	0.91×	1.41
Indiana Pacers over 110.5	72.4%	70.7%	64.1%	1.10×	1.41
Indiana Pacers under 124.5	72.1%	70.7%	76.8%	0.92×	1.41
Milwaukee Bucks over 108.5	70.6%	70.7%	64.0%	1.11×	1.41
Indiana Pacers over 111.5	66.5%	66.6%	61.1%	1.09×	1.50
Milwaukee Bucks under 119.5	66.3%	66.6%	70.3%	0.95×	1.50
Milwaukee Bucks over 109.5	65.8%	66.6%	60.9%	1.09×	1.50
Indiana Pacers under 121.5	65.5%	66.6%	69.6%	0.96×	1.50
Milwaukee Bucks under 120.5	68.5%	66.4%	72.7%	0.91×	1.51
Indiana Pacers over 112.5	66.5%	66.4%	57.7%	1.15×	1.51
Indiana Pacers under 122.5	66.2%	66.4%	71.8%	0.92×	1.51
Milwaukee Bucks over 110.5	64.5%	61.2%	57.9%	1.06×	1.63
Milwaukee Bucks under 118.5	62.2%	61.2%	67.4%	0.91×	1.63
Indiana Pacers over 114.5	60.2%	61.2%	51.4%	1.19×	1.63
Indiana Pacers over 113.5	60.3%	61.2%	54.3%	1.13×	1.64
Milwaukee Bucks under 117.5	60.1%	61.2%	64.4%	0.95×	1.64
Milwaukee Bucks over 111.5	59.5%	57.9%	54.6%	1.06×	1.73
Indiana Pacers under 119.5	59.3%	57.9%	63.5%	0.91×	1.73
Indiana Pacers under 120.5	59.8%	57.1%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75
Milwaukee Bucks over 112.5	57.9%	57.1%	51.5%	1.11×	1.75
Milwaukee Bucks under 116.5	55.6%	57.1%	61.5%	0.93×	1.75
Indiana Pacers over 116.5	53.6%	52.3%	45.3%	1.15×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks over 114.5	51.2%	52.3%	44.5%	1.18×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks under 115.5	52.2%	52.3%	58.6%	0.89×	1.91
Indiana Pacers under 118.5	53.2%	52.3%	60.3%	0.87×	1.91
Indiana Pacers over 117.5	50.2%	52.3%	42.2%	1.24×	1.91
Indiana Pacers over 115.5	53.8%	52.2%	48.4%	1.08×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks over 113.5	53.0%	52.2%	48.0%	1.09×	1.91
Milwaukee Bucks under 113.5	47.0%	47.8%	52.0%	0.92×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 115.5	46.2%	47.8%	51.6%	0.93×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 117.5	49.8%	47.7%	57.8%	0.83×	2.09
Milwaukee Bucks under 114.5	48.8%	47.7%	55.5%	0.86×	2.09
Milwaukee Bucks over 115.5	47.8%	47.7%	41.4%	1.15×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 118.5	46.8%	47.7%	39.7%	1.20×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 116.5	46.4%	47.7%	54.7%	0.87×	2.09
Milwaukee Bucks over 116.5	44.4%	42.9%	38.5%	1.11×	2.33
Milwaukee Bucks under 112.5	42.1%	42.9%	48.5%	0.88×	2.33
Indiana Pacers over 120.5	40.2%	42.9%	33.7%	1.27×	2.33
Indiana Pacers over 119.5	40.7%	42.1%	36.5%	1.15×	2.38
Milwaukee Bucks under 111.5	40.5%	42.1%	45.4%	0.93×	2.38
Milwaukee Bucks over 117.5	39.9%	38.8%	35.6%	1.09×	2.58
Indiana Pacers under 113.5	39.7%	38.8%	45.7%	0.85×	2.58
Indiana Pacers under 114.5	39.8%	38.8%	48.6%	0.80×	2.58
Milwaukee Bucks over 118.5	37.8%	38.8%	32.6%	1.19×	2.58
Milwaukee Bucks under 110.5	35.5%	38.8%	42.1%	0.92×	2.58
Indiana Pacers under 112.5	33.5%	33.6%	42.3%	0.79×	2.98
Indiana Pacers over 122.5	33.8%	33.6%	28.2%	1.19×	2.98
Milwaukee Bucks over 120.5	31.5%	33.6%	27.3%	1.23×	2.98
Indiana Pacers over 121.5	34.5%	33.4%	30.4%	1.10×	2.99
Milwaukee Bucks under 109.5	34.2%	33.4%	39.1%	0.86×	2.99
Milwaukee Bucks over 119.5	33.7%	33.4%	29.7%	1.13×	2.99
Indiana Pacers under 111.5	33.5%	33.4%	38.9%	0.86×	2.99
Milwaukee Bucks under 108.5	29.4%	29.3%	36.0%	0.81×	3.42
Indiana Pacers under 110.5	27.6%	29.3%	35.9%	0.82×	3.42
Indiana Pacers over 124.5	27.9%	29.3%	23.2%	1.26×	3.42
Milwaukee Bucks over 122.5	25.7%	29.3%	22.6%	1.29×	3.42
Indiana Pacers over 123.5	28.6%	28.2%	25.6%	1.10×	3.55
Milwaukee Bucks under 107.5	28.4%	28.2%	33.4%	0.84×	3.55
Indiana Pacers under 109.5	27.7%	28.2%	33.0%	0.85×	3.55
Milwaukee Bucks over 121.5	27.9%	28.2%	25.3%	1.11×	3.55
Milwaukee Bucks under 105.5	21.3%	24.9%	28.1%	0.88×	4.02
Indiana Pacers over 127.5	20.0%	24.9%	16.5%	1.51×	4.02
Indiana Pacers over 126.5	20.8%	21.7%	18.5%	1.18×	4.60
Milwaukee Bucks under 104.5	20.6%	21.7%	25.0%	0.87×	4.60
Milwaukee Bucks over 124.5	20.2%	21.7%	18.6%	1.17×	4.61
Indiana Pacers under 106.5	20.1%	21.7%	24.9%	0.87×	4.61
Indiana Pacers under 107.5	19.8%	19.3%	27.3%	0.71×	5.18
Milwaukee Bucks over 125.5	18.2%	19.3%	16.6%	1.16×	5.18

Total points 56

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 251.5 points	86.2%	85.5%	87.2%	0.98×	1.17
Over 211.5 points	85.1%	85.5%	79.7%	1.07×	1.17
Under 252.5 points	86.2%	85.0%	88.1%	0.97×	1.18
Over 212.5 points	86.1%	85.0%	77.8%	1.09×	1.18
Under 246.5 points	79.4%	78.1%	82.0%	0.95×	1.28
Over 216.5 points	78.1%	78.1%	71.6%	1.09×	1.28
Under 247.5 points	79.4%	75.6%	83.3%	0.91×	1.32
Over 217.5 points	79.1%	75.6%	69.6%	1.09×	1.32
Under 241.5 points	71.1%	71.0%	75.5%	0.94×	1.41
Over 222.5 points	70.5%	70.8%	60.4%	1.17×	1.41
Under 242.5 points	70.8%	70.8%	76.8%	0.92×	1.41
Over 221.5 points	69.5%	66.6%	62.2%	1.07×	1.50
Under 238.5 points	65.4%	66.6%	70.9%	0.94×	1.50
Under 239.5 points	65.0%	65.9%	72.5%	0.91×	1.52
Over 224.5 points	63.7%	61.8%	56.5%	1.09×	1.62
Under 236.5 points	61.3%	61.7%	67.3%	0.92×	1.62
Over 225.5 points	64.6%	61.5%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Under 237.5 points	60.9%	61.5%	69.3%	0.89×	1.63
Over 227.5 points	60.5%	61.5%	50.6%	1.21×	1.63
Over 229.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	46.7%	1.21×	1.77
Under 235.5 points	56.7%	56.5%	65.3%	0.87×	1.77
Over 226.5 points	59.6%	56.0%	52.7%	1.06×	1.79
Under 234.5 points	57.2%	56.0%	63.3%	0.88×	1.79
Over 228.5 points	55.5%	56.0%	48.7%	1.15×	1.79
Over 231.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	42.6%	1.23×	1.91
Under 233.5 points	52.4%	52.3%	61.4%	0.85×	1.91
Under 232.5 points	50.2%	52.3%	59.4%	0.88×	1.91
Over 230.5 points	51.2%	52.2%	44.6%	1.17×	1.92
Under 230.5 points	48.8%	47.8%	55.4%	0.86×	2.09
Over 232.5 points	49.8%	47.7%	40.6%	1.17×	2.10
Under 231.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	57.4%	0.83×	2.10
Over 233.5 points	47.6%	47.7%	38.6%	1.23×	2.10
Under 228.5 points	44.5%	44.0%	51.3%	0.86×	2.27
Over 234.5 points	42.8%	44.0%	36.7%	1.20×	2.27
Under 226.5 points	40.4%	44.0%	47.3%	0.93×	2.27
Under 229.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	53.3%	0.82×	2.30
Over 235.5 points	43.3%	43.5%	34.7%	1.25×	2.30
Under 227.5 points	39.5%	38.5%	49.4%	0.78×	2.60
Over 237.5 points	39.1%	38.5%	30.7%	1.25×	2.60
Under 225.5 points	35.4%	38.5%	45.3%	0.85×	2.60
Over 236.5 points	38.7%	38.3%	32.7%	1.17×	2.61
Under 224.5 points	36.3%	38.2%	43.5%	0.88×	2.61
Over 239.5 points	35.0%	34.1%	27.5%	1.24×	2.93
Over 238.5 points	34.6%	33.4%	29.1%	1.15×	2.99
Under 221.5 points	30.5%	33.4%	37.8%	0.88×	3.00
Under 222.5 points	29.5%	29.2%	39.6%	0.74×	3.43
Over 242.5 points	29.2%	29.2%	23.2%	1.26×	3.43
Over 241.5 points	28.9%	29.0%	24.5%	1.18×	3.45
Under 217.5 points	20.9%	24.4%	30.4%	0.80×	4.10
Over 247.5 points	20.6%	24.4%	16.7%	1.46×	4.10
Under 216.5 points	21.9%	21.9%	28.4%	0.77×	4.57
Over 246.5 points	20.6%	21.9%	18.0%	1.22×	4.57
Under 212.5 points	13.9%	15.0%	22.2%	0.67×	6.68
Over 252.5 points	13.8%	15.0%	11.9%	1.26×	6.68
Under 211.5 points	14.9%	14.5%	20.3%	0.71×	6.88
Over 251.5 points	13.8%	14.5%	12.8%	1.13×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers to win both halves	25.9%	27.2%	25.2%	1.08×	3.68
Milwaukee Bucks to win both halves	16.8%	18.9%	17.8%	1.06×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers by 1-5	14.1%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Milwaukee Bucks by 1-5	13.1%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 6-10	13.1%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Milwaukee Bucks by 6-10	10.8%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 11-15	10.9%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Milwaukee Bucks by 11-15	7.9%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 16-20	8.1%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 26+	5.9%	7.5%	6.2%	1.21×	13.40
Milwaukee Bucks by 16-20	5.2%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.41
Indiana Pacers by 21-25	5.3%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.40
Milwaukee Bucks by 21-25	3.0%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.30
Milwaukee Bucks by 26+	2.7%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.30

Indiana Pacers v Milwaukee Bucks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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