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LA Clippers v Sacramento Kings — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 22 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
LA Clippers win
80.8%
Draw
0.0%
Sacramento Kings win
19.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 120.70–108.37 121-108 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to score 100+ 96.5% 94.9% 89.3% 1.06× 1.05
LA Clippers to score 110+ 83.2% 79.3% 67.0% 1.18× 1.26
Sacramento Kings to score 100+ 77.3% 76.9% 85.9% 0.90× 1.30
Both sides to score 100+ 75.2% 76.9% 77.5% 0.99× 1.30
LA Clippers to score 120+ 54.6% 52.4% 36.5% 1.43× 1.91
Sacramento Kings to score 110+ 45.7% 46.9% 60.9% 0.77× 2.13
LA Clippers to score 130+ 23.1% 22.0% 12.8% 1.72× 4.54
Sacramento Kings to score 120+ 16.7% 17.5% 29.7% 0.59× 5.70
Sacramento Kings to score 130+ 3.5% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.68
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win H1 69.8% 68.3% 52.8% 1.29× 1.46
Sacramento Kings to win H1 27.2% 26.5% 44.1% 0.60× 3.77
H1 tied 3.0% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.87
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 128.5 83.3% 83.2% 86.7% 0.96× 1.20
H1 over 104.5 80.5% 83.2% 78.3% 1.06× 1.20
H1 over 103.5 82.4% 82.5% 80.7% 1.02× 1.21
H1 under 127.5 82.0% 82.5% 84.8% 0.97× 1.21
H1 under 124.5 74.7% 74.0% 78.4% 0.94× 1.35
H1 over 108.5 71.0% 73.9% 67.7% 1.09× 1.35
H1 over 107.5 73.4% 73.5% 70.4% 1.04× 1.36
H1 under 123.5 72.8% 73.5% 76.0% 0.97× 1.36
H1 under 121.5 66.8% 68.1% 71.2% 0.96× 1.47
H1 over 110.5 65.3% 67.4% 61.9% 1.09× 1.48
H1 over 111.5 62.8% 63.3% 59.0% 1.07× 1.58
H1 under 119.5 61.1% 63.3% 65.9% 0.96× 1.58
H1 under 120.5 64.6% 62.7% 68.4% 0.92× 1.59
H1 over 112.5 59.5% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
H1 under 118.5 58.8% 58.2% 62.9% 0.93× 1.72
H1 over 113.5 56.9% 58.1% 52.4% 1.11× 1.72
H1 under 117.5 55.2% 58.1% 59.6% 0.97× 1.72
H1 under 116.5 52.7% 52.6% 56.6% 0.93× 1.90
H1 over 114.5 53.4% 52.6% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 115.5 50.4% 52.6% 46.4% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 115.5 49.6% 47.4% 53.6% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 116.5 47.3% 47.4% 43.4% 1.09× 2.11
H1 under 114.5 46.6% 47.4% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
H1 over 117.5 44.8% 41.9% 40.4% 1.04× 2.39
H1 under 113.5 43.1% 41.9% 47.6% 0.88× 2.39
H1 over 118.5 41.2% 41.8% 37.1% 1.13× 2.39
H1 under 112.5 40.5% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
H1 over 120.5 35.4% 37.3% 31.6% 1.18× 2.68
H1 over 119.5 38.9% 36.7% 34.1% 1.08× 2.72
H1 under 111.5 37.2% 36.7% 41.0% 0.89× 2.72
H1 under 110.5 34.7% 32.6% 38.1% 0.86× 3.07
H1 over 121.5 33.2% 31.9% 28.8% 1.11× 3.13
H1 over 123.5 27.2% 26.5% 24.0% 1.10× 3.77
H1 under 107.5 26.6% 26.5% 29.6% 0.90× 3.77
H1 under 108.5 29.0% 26.1% 32.3% 0.81× 3.84
H1 over 124.5 25.3% 26.0% 21.7% 1.20× 3.84
H1 over 127.5 18.0% 17.5% 15.2% 1.15× 5.73
H1 under 103.5 17.6% 17.5% 19.3% 0.90× 5.73
H1 under 104.5 19.5% 16.8% 21.7% 0.77× 5.96
H1 over 128.5 16.7% 16.8% 13.3% 1.26× 5.96
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win H2 69.6% 62.8% 51.6% 1.22× 1.59
Sacramento Kings to win H2 27.4% 31.3% 44.7% 0.70× 3.20
H2 tied 3.0% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 101.5 82.3% 81.8% 80.3% 1.02× 1.22
H2 under 125.5 82.5% 81.8% 81.3% 1.01× 1.22
H2 over 105.5 73.2% 72.2% 71.3% 1.01× 1.39
H2 under 121.5 73.4% 72.2% 72.0% 1.00× 1.39
H2 under 118.5 65.2% 66.4% 63.6% 1.04× 1.51
H2 over 108.5 65.0% 61.6% 63.8% 0.97× 1.62
H2 over 110.5 59.1% 57.3% 58.1% 0.99× 1.74
H2 under 116.5 59.3% 57.3% 58.1% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 112.5 53.0% 52.4% 52.6% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 114.5 53.2% 52.4% 52.5% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 113.5 50.1% 52.4% 50.1% 1.05× 1.91
H2 over 113.5 49.9% 47.6% 49.9% 0.95× 2.10
H2 under 112.5 47.0% 47.6% 47.4% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 114.5 46.8% 47.6% 47.5% 1.00× 2.10
H2 under 110.5 40.9% 42.7% 41.9% 1.02× 2.35
H2 over 116.5 40.7% 42.7% 41.9% 1.02× 2.35
H2 under 108.5 35.0% 38.4% 36.2% 1.06× 2.61
H2 over 118.5 34.8% 33.6% 36.4% 0.92× 2.97
H2 under 105.5 26.8% 27.8% 28.7% 0.97× 3.59
H2 over 121.5 26.6% 27.8% 28.0% 0.99× 3.59
H2 under 101.5 17.7% 18.2% 19.7% 0.92× 5.50
H2 over 125.5 17.5% 18.2% 18.7% 0.97× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers leading at half time 69.8% 68.5% 52.8% 1.30× 1.46
Sacramento Kings leading at half time 27.2% 26.5% 44.1% 0.60× 3.78
Level at half time 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers +12.5 95.6% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
LA Clippers +14.5 96.7% 97.4% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
LA Clippers +16.5 97.6% 97.4% 89.7% 1.09× 1.03
LA Clippers +18.5 98.3% 97.4% 91.5% 1.06× 1.03
LA Clippers +20.5 98.8% 97.4% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
LA Clippers +8.5 92.3% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
LA Clippers +9.5 93.3% 91.1% 78.1% 1.17× 1.10
LA Clippers +10.5 94.1% 91.1% 80.3% 1.14× 1.10
LA Clippers +6.5 90.1% 91.1% 70.6% 1.29× 1.10
LA Clippers +7.5 91.3% 91.1% 73.0% 1.25× 1.10
LA Clippers +5.5 88.8% 85.9% 68.0% 1.26× 1.16
LA Clippers +4.5 87.5% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
LA Clippers +3.5 86.0% 85.9% 63.1% 1.36× 1.16
LA Clippers +2.5 84.4% 81.1% 60.5% 1.34× 1.23
LA Clippers +1.5 82.7% 81.1% 57.9% 1.40× 1.23
LA Clippers −1.5 78.8% 76.5% 53.7% 1.42× 1.31
LA Clippers −2.5 76.6% 76.5% 50.9% 1.50× 1.31
LA Clippers −3.5 74.3% 71.6% 48.4% 1.48× 1.40
LA Clippers −4.5 71.9% 71.6% 46.0% 1.56× 1.40
Sacramento Kings +20.5 70.8% 71.6% 89.1% 0.80× 1.40
LA Clippers −5.5 69.5% 66.7% 42.9% 1.56× 1.50
LA Clippers −6.5 66.9% 66.7% 40.0% 1.67× 1.50
Sacramento Kings +18.5 65.8% 66.7% 86.4% 0.77× 1.50
LA Clippers −7.5 64.3% 61.9% 37.0% 1.67× 1.62
LA Clippers −8.5 61.6% 61.9% 34.1% 1.82× 1.62
Sacramento Kings +16.5 60.6% 61.9% 83.5% 0.74× 1.62
LA Clippers −9.5 58.9% 57.1% 31.3% 1.83× 1.75
LA Clippers −10.5 56.1% 57.1% 29.0% 1.97× 1.75
Sacramento Kings +14.5 55.1% 57.1% 80.1% 0.71× 1.75
LA Clippers −12.5 50.5% 52.4% 24.0% 2.18× 1.91
Sacramento Kings +12.5 49.5% 47.6% 76.0% 0.63× 2.10
LA Clippers −14.5 44.9% 42.9% 19.9% 2.16× 2.33
Sacramento Kings +10.5 43.9% 42.9% 71.0% 0.60× 2.33
Sacramento Kings +9.5 41.1% 42.9% 68.7% 0.62× 2.33
LA Clippers −16.5 39.4% 38.1% 16.5% 2.31× 2.63
Sacramento Kings +8.5 38.4% 38.1% 65.9% 0.58× 2.63
Sacramento Kings +7.5 35.7% 38.1% 63.0% 0.60× 2.63
LA Clippers −18.5 34.2% 33.3% 13.6% 2.44× 3.01
Sacramento Kings +6.5 33.1% 33.3% 60.0% 0.55× 3.01
Sacramento Kings +5.5 30.5% 33.3% 57.1% 0.58× 3.01
LA Clippers −20.5 29.2% 28.4% 10.9% 2.61× 3.53
Sacramento Kings +4.5 28.1% 28.4% 54.1% 0.52× 3.53
Sacramento Kings +3.5 25.7% 28.4% 51.6% 0.55× 3.53
Sacramento Kings +2.5 23.4% 23.5% 49.1% 0.48× 4.25
Sacramento Kings +1.5 21.2% 23.5% 46.3% 0.51× 4.25
Sacramento Kings −1.5 17.3% 18.9% 42.1% 0.45× 5.29
Sacramento Kings −2.5 15.6% 18.9% 39.5% 0.48× 5.30
Sacramento Kings −3.5 14.0% 14.1% 36.9% 0.38× 7.09
Sacramento Kings −4.5 12.5% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Sacramento Kings −5.5 11.2% 14.1% 32.0% 0.44× 7.09
Sacramento Kings −6.5 9.9% 8.9% 29.4% 0.30× 11.25
Sacramento Kings −7.5 8.7% 8.9% 27.0% 0.33× 11.25
Sacramento Kings −8.5 7.7% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Sacramento Kings −9.5 6.7% 8.9% 21.9% 0.41× 11.25
Sacramento Kings −10.5 5.9% 8.9% 19.7% 0.45× 11.25
Sacramento Kings −12.5 4.4% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.72
Sacramento Kings −14.5 3.3% 2.6% 13.0% 0.20× 38.73
Sacramento Kings −16.5 2.4% 2.6% 10.3% 0.25× 38.73
Sacramento Kings −18.5 1.7% 2.6% 8.5% 0.30× 38.73
Sacramento Kings −20.5 1.2% 2.6% 6.9% 0.37× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.7% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.3% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.3% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 27.9% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.6% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers at HT / LA Clippers at FT 63.9% 62.3% 40.8% 1.53× 1.60
Sacramento Kings at HT / LA Clippers at FT 14.6% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Sacramento Kings at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT 12.6% 12.2% 30.9% 0.40× 8.17
LA Clippers at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT 5.9% 8.3% 12.0% 0.69× 12.10
Level at HT / LA Clippers at FT 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.75
Level at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT 0.8% 2.1% 1.4% 1.49× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win 80.8% 80.9% 55.7% 1.45× 1.24
Sacramento Kings to win 19.2% 19.1% 44.3% 0.43× 5.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers even 50.0% 50.5% 49.7% 1.02× 1.98
Sacramento Kings even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 51.0% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
LA Clippers odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.3% 0.98× 2.02
Sacramento Kings odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.0% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.2% 97.0% 94.8% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.8% 3.0% 5.2% 0.58× 33.33
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win Q1 62.7% 64.9% 51.3% 1.26× 1.54
Sacramento Kings to win Q1 32.9% 30.4% 44.1% 0.69× 3.29
Q1 tied 4.5% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.95
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 66.5 84.3% 82.8% 86.1% 0.96× 1.21
Q1 over 50.5 81.0% 82.8% 79.4% 1.04× 1.21
Q1 under 63.5 74.3% 72.7% 76.8% 0.95× 1.38
Q1 over 53.5 70.0% 72.7% 68.2% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 61.5 66.2% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 55.5 61.4% 61.7% 59.2% 1.04× 1.62
Q1 under 59.5 57.2% 58.6% 60.0% 0.98× 1.71
Q1 under 58.5 52.5% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q1 over 57.5 52.1% 52.7% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
Q1 under 57.5 47.9% 47.3% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q1 over 58.5 47.5% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q1 over 59.5 42.8% 41.4% 40.0% 1.03× 2.42
Q1 under 55.5 38.6% 38.3% 40.8% 0.94× 2.61
Q1 over 61.5 33.8% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 53.5 30.0% 27.3% 31.8% 0.86× 3.66
Q1 over 63.5 25.7% 27.3% 23.2% 1.17× 3.66
Q1 under 50.5 19.0% 17.2% 20.6% 0.84× 5.83
Q1 over 66.5 15.7% 17.2% 13.9% 1.23× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win Q2 62.5% 61.9% 49.3% 1.26× 1.62
Sacramento Kings to win Q2 33.1% 31.8% 46.2% 0.69× 3.14
Q2 tied 4.4% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.89
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 49.5 83.0% 83.0% 81.8% 1.02× 1.21
Q2 under 65.5 82.1% 83.0% 83.6% 0.99× 1.21
Q2 over 52.5 72.7% 72.0% 70.3% 1.02× 1.39
Q2 under 62.5 71.4% 72.0% 74.4% 0.97× 1.39
Q2 over 54.5 64.4% 60.7% 61.1% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 60.5 63.0% 60.7% 65.7% 0.92× 1.65
Q2 over 56.5 55.4% 58.2% 51.7% 1.12× 1.72
Q2 under 58.5 53.9% 52.7% 57.3% 0.92× 1.90
Q2 over 57.5 50.7% 52.7% 47.3% 1.11× 1.90
Q2 under 57.5 49.3% 47.3% 52.7% 0.90× 2.11
Q2 over 58.5 46.1% 47.3% 42.7% 1.11× 2.11
Q2 under 56.5 44.6% 41.8% 48.3% 0.87× 2.39
Q2 over 60.5 37.0% 39.3% 34.3% 1.15× 2.55
Q2 under 54.5 35.6% 39.3% 38.9% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 over 62.5 28.6% 28.0% 25.6% 1.09× 3.57
Q2 under 52.5 27.3% 28.0% 29.7% 0.94× 3.57
Q2 over 65.5 17.9% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.88
Q2 under 49.5 17.0% 17.0% 18.2% 0.93× 5.88
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win Q3 62.5% 60.9% 50.9% 1.20× 1.64
Sacramento Kings to win Q3 33.1% 33.8% 44.3% 0.76× 2.96
Q3 tied 4.4% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.44
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 66.5 84.1% 82.3% 84.7% 0.97× 1.22
Q3 over 50.5 81.7% 82.3% 79.7% 1.03× 1.22
Q3 under 63.5 73.9% 71.8% 75.9% 0.95× 1.39
Q3 over 53.5 70.9% 71.8% 68.3% 1.05× 1.39
Q3 under 61.5 65.6% 67.8% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q3 over 55.5 62.2% 61.9% 59.9% 1.03× 1.61
Q3 under 59.5 56.5% 58.4% 59.0% 0.99× 1.71
Q3 over 57.5 52.9% 52.3% 50.2% 1.04× 1.91
Q3 under 58.5 51.8% 52.3% 54.8% 0.95× 1.91
Q3 over 58.5 48.2% 47.7% 45.2% 1.06× 2.10
Q3 under 57.5 47.1% 47.7% 49.8% 0.96× 2.10
Q3 over 59.5 43.5% 41.6% 41.0% 1.02× 2.40
Q3 under 55.5 37.8% 38.1% 40.1% 0.95× 2.63
Q3 over 61.5 34.4% 32.2% 32.3% 1.00× 3.10
Q3 under 53.5 29.2% 28.2% 31.7% 0.89× 3.55
Q3 over 63.5 26.1% 28.2% 24.1% 1.17× 3.55
Q3 under 50.5 18.3% 17.7% 20.3% 0.87× 5.66
Q3 over 66.5 15.9% 17.7% 15.3% 1.16× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win Q4 62.3% 57.8% 48.3% 1.20× 1.73
Sacramento Kings to win Q4 33.2% 37.4% 46.4% 0.81× 2.68
Q4 tied 4.6% 5.2% 5.3% 0.98× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 63.5 82.6% 82.0% 83.7% 0.98× 1.22
Q4 over 47.5 81.7% 82.0% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 60.5 72.4% 71.5% 74.2% 0.96× 1.40
Q4 over 50.5 71.2% 71.5% 68.5% 1.04× 1.40
Q4 under 58.5 64.2% 61.4% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 over 52.5 62.9% 61.4% 60.4% 1.02× 1.63
Q4 under 56.5 55.3% 58.4% 57.2% 1.02× 1.71
Q4 over 54.5 53.9% 52.5% 51.4% 1.02× 1.91
Q4 under 55.5 50.7% 52.5% 52.9% 0.99× 1.91
Q4 over 55.5 49.3% 47.5% 47.1% 1.01× 2.11
Q4 under 54.5 46.1% 47.5% 48.6% 0.98× 2.11
Q4 over 56.5 44.7% 41.6% 42.8% 0.97× 2.40
Q4 under 52.5 37.1% 38.6% 39.6% 0.97× 2.59
Q4 over 58.5 35.8% 38.6% 33.8% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 under 50.5 28.8% 28.5% 31.5% 0.91× 3.51
Q4 over 60.5 27.6% 28.5% 25.8% 1.11× 3.51
Q4 under 47.5 18.3% 18.0% 21.0% 0.86× 5.56
Q4 over 63.5 17.4% 18.0% 16.3% 1.11× 5.56
Team total 66
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers under 131.5 81.8% 80.7% 89.8% 0.90× 1.24
Sacramento Kings under 118.5 81.0% 80.7% 67.4% 1.20× 1.24
Sacramento Kings over 100.5 80.2% 80.3% 84.1% 0.95× 1.25
LA Clippers over 108.5 80.0% 80.3% 69.9% 1.15× 1.25
Sacramento Kings under 120.5 79.2% 78.3% 72.7% 1.08× 1.28
Sacramento Kings over 98.5 79.8% 75.1% 87.6% 0.86× 1.33
LA Clippers over 111.5 78.6% 75.1% 61.1% 1.23× 1.33
LA Clippers under 125.5 71.3% 71.8% 79.1% 0.91× 1.39
Sacramento Kings under 117.5 71.4% 71.8% 64.4% 1.12× 1.39
LA Clippers under 128.5 74.3% 70.7% 85.5% 0.83× 1.41
Sacramento Kings under 115.5 73.3% 70.7% 58.6% 1.21× 1.41
Sacramento Kings over 101.5 71.8% 70.7% 82.0% 0.86× 1.41
LA Clippers over 114.5 70.5% 70.7% 51.4% 1.38× 1.41
LA Clippers over 113.5 66.7% 66.6% 54.3% 1.23× 1.50
LA Clippers under 123.5 65.4% 66.6% 74.4% 0.90× 1.50
LA Clippers under 126.5 68.5% 66.4% 81.5% 0.81× 1.51
Sacramento Kings under 113.5 67.4% 66.4% 52.0% 1.28× 1.51
Sacramento Kings over 103.5 65.8% 66.4% 77.5% 0.86× 1.51
LA Clippers over 116.5 64.4% 61.2% 45.3% 1.35× 1.63
LA Clippers under 124.5 62.2% 61.2% 76.8% 0.80× 1.63
Sacramento Kings under 111.5 61.0% 61.2% 45.4% 1.35× 1.63
LA Clippers over 115.5 60.5% 61.2% 48.4% 1.26× 1.64
Sacramento Kings over 105.5 59.3% 57.1% 71.9% 0.79× 1.75
LA Clippers over 118.5 57.9% 57.1% 39.7% 1.44× 1.75
LA Clippers under 122.5 55.6% 57.1% 71.8% 0.80× 1.75
Sacramento Kings under 109.5 54.3% 52.3% 39.1% 1.34× 1.91
LA Clippers over 120.5 51.2% 52.3% 33.7% 1.55× 1.91
LA Clippers under 121.5 52.2% 52.3% 69.6% 0.75× 1.91
Sacramento Kings over 107.5 52.5% 52.3% 66.6% 0.78× 1.91
Sacramento Kings under 108.5 50.9% 52.3% 36.0% 1.45× 1.91
LA Clippers over 117.5 54.0% 52.2% 42.2% 1.24× 1.91
LA Clippers under 119.5 52.6% 52.2% 63.5% 0.82× 1.91
Sacramento Kings over 110.5 50.6% 52.2% 57.9% 0.90× 1.91
Sacramento Kings under 110.5 49.4% 47.8% 42.1% 1.13× 2.09
LA Clippers over 119.5 47.4% 47.8% 36.5% 1.31× 2.09
LA Clippers under 117.5 46.0% 47.8% 57.8% 0.83× 2.09
Sacramento Kings over 108.5 49.1% 47.7% 64.0% 0.75× 2.09
LA Clippers under 120.5 48.8% 47.7% 66.3% 0.72× 2.09
LA Clippers over 121.5 47.8% 47.7% 30.4% 1.57× 2.09
Sacramento Kings under 107.5 47.5% 47.7% 33.4% 1.43× 2.09
Sacramento Kings over 109.5 45.7% 47.7% 60.9% 0.78× 2.09
LA Clippers over 122.5 44.4% 42.9% 28.2% 1.52× 2.33
LA Clippers under 118.5 42.1% 42.9% 60.3% 0.71× 2.33
Sacramento Kings under 105.5 40.7% 42.9% 28.1% 1.53× 2.33
LA Clippers under 115.5 39.5% 38.8% 51.6% 0.75× 2.58
Sacramento Kings over 111.5 39.0% 38.8% 54.6% 0.71× 2.58
LA Clippers over 124.5 37.8% 38.8% 23.2% 1.67× 2.58
LA Clippers under 116.5 35.6% 38.8% 54.7% 0.71× 2.58
Sacramento Kings under 103.5 34.2% 33.6% 22.5% 1.49× 2.98
Sacramento Kings over 113.5 32.6% 33.6% 48.0% 0.70× 2.98
LA Clippers over 126.5 31.5% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
LA Clippers over 123.5 34.6% 33.4% 25.6% 1.31× 2.99
LA Clippers under 113.5 33.3% 33.4% 45.7% 0.73× 2.99
LA Clippers under 114.5 29.5% 29.3% 48.6% 0.60× 3.42
Sacramento Kings under 101.5 28.2% 29.3% 18.0% 1.62× 3.42
LA Clippers over 128.5 25.7% 29.3% 14.5% 2.02× 3.42
Sacramento Kings over 115.5 26.7% 29.3% 41.4% 0.71× 3.42
LA Clippers over 125.5 28.7% 28.2% 20.9% 1.35× 3.55
Sacramento Kings over 117.5 28.6% 28.2% 35.6% 0.79× 3.55
LA Clippers under 111.5 21.4% 24.9% 38.9% 0.64× 4.02
Sacramento Kings under 98.5 20.2% 24.9% 12.4% 2.01× 4.02
Sacramento Kings over 120.5 20.8% 21.7% 27.3% 0.79× 4.60
LA Clippers under 108.5 20.0% 19.7% 30.1% 0.65× 5.07
Sacramento Kings under 100.5 19.8% 19.7% 15.9% 1.24× 5.07
Sacramento Kings over 118.5 19.0% 19.3% 32.6% 0.59× 5.18
LA Clippers over 131.5 18.2% 19.3% 10.2% 1.89× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 249.5 points 86.7% 85.0% 85.3% 1.00× 1.18
Over 209.5 points 85.6% 85.0% 82.9% 1.03× 1.18
Under 244.5 points 79.9% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 214.5 points 78.6% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Under 239.5 points 71.5% 70.8% 72.5% 0.98× 1.41
Over 219.5 points 69.9% 65.9% 66.1% 1.00× 1.52
Under 236.5 points 65.6% 65.9% 67.3% 0.98× 1.52
Over 222.5 points 64.0% 61.5% 60.4% 1.02× 1.63
Under 234.5 points 61.6% 61.5% 63.3% 0.97× 1.63
Over 224.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 56.5% 1.00× 1.77
Under 232.5 points 57.4% 56.5% 59.4% 0.95× 1.77
Over 226.5 points 55.6% 56.5% 52.7% 1.07× 1.77
Under 230.5 points 53.1% 52.3% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Over 228.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Under 229.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 53.3% 0.98× 1.91
Under 228.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
Over 229.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 46.7% 1.02× 2.10
Over 230.5 points 46.9% 47.7% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
Under 226.5 points 44.4% 43.5% 47.3% 0.92× 2.30
Over 232.5 points 42.6% 43.5% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
Under 224.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 43.5% 1.00× 2.30
Over 234.5 points 38.4% 38.5% 36.7% 1.05× 2.60
Under 222.5 points 36.0% 38.5% 39.6% 0.97× 2.60
Over 236.5 points 34.4% 34.1% 32.7% 1.04× 2.93
Under 219.5 points 30.1% 34.1% 33.9% 1.01× 2.93
Over 239.5 points 28.5% 29.2% 27.5% 1.06× 3.43
Under 214.5 points 21.4% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Over 244.5 points 20.1% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Under 209.5 points 14.4% 15.0% 17.1% 0.87× 6.68
Over 249.5 points 13.3% 15.0% 14.7% 1.02× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers to win both halves 46.8% 45.8% 25.2% 1.82× 2.18
Sacramento Kings to win both halves 5.9% 8.8% 17.8% 0.49× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LA Clippers by 26+ 18.5% 16.8% 6.2% 2.71× 5.97
LA Clippers by 6-10 13.4% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
LA Clippers by 11-15 13.9% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
LA Clippers by 16-20 12.9% 12.3% 7.3% 1.68× 8.11
LA Clippers by 1-5 11.4% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.11
LA Clippers by 21-25 10.7% 12.3% 4.7% 2.62× 8.11
Sacramento Kings by 1-5 8.0% 7.5% 12.3% 0.61× 13.40
Sacramento Kings by 6-10 5.3% 7.5% 12.3% 0.61× 13.40
Sacramento Kings by 11-15 3.1% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.30
Sacramento Kings by 16-20 1.6% 2.0% 4.9% 0.42× 49.31
Sacramento Kings by 21-25 0.7% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.32
Sacramento Kings by 26+ 0.5% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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