Louisville Cardinals v Texas Longhorns — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 1 December 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Louisville Cardinals

00:00

Texas Longhorns

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Louisville Cardinals win

74.9%

Draw

0.0%

Texas Longhorns win

25.1%

75025

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	75025	83.17–76.20	83-76 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals to score 100+	4.8%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	282.41
Louisville Cardinals to score 110+	0.4%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.29
Louisville Cardinals to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.35
Louisville Cardinals to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Texas Longhorns to score 100+	0.7%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.21
Texas Longhorns to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.35
Texas Longhorns to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Texas Longhorns to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.32

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals to win H1	63.1%	62.2%	57.9%	1.07×	1.61
Louisville Cardinals to win H1	63.1%	62.2%	57.9%	1.07×	1.61
Texas Longhorns to win H1	32.7%	33.1%	38.2%	0.87×	3.02
Texas Longhorns to win H1	32.6%	33.1%	38.2%	0.87×	3.02
H1 tied	4.2%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	4.2%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 87.5	87.3%	87.7%	95.0%	0.92×	1.14
H1 over 63.5	86.8%	87.7%	69.0%	1.27×	1.14
H1 under 83.5	78.5%	77.4%	90.3%	0.86×	1.29
H1 over 67.5	77.0%	77.4%	54.4%	1.42×	1.29
H1 under 83.5	77.8%	77.4%	90.3%	0.86×	1.29
H1 over 67.5	77.7%	77.4%	54.4%	1.42×	1.29
H1 under 80.5	68.5%	67.4%	85.2%	0.79×	1.48
H1 over 70.5	68.2%	67.4%	43.5%	1.55×	1.48
H1 under 80.5	69.1%	67.4%	85.2%	0.79×	1.48
H1 over 70.5	67.6%	67.4%	43.5%	1.55×	1.48
H1 under 78.5	61.6%	62.7%	80.7%	0.78×	1.59
H1 over 72.5	61.0%	62.7%	36.7%	1.71×	1.59
H1 under 78.5	61.9%	62.7%	80.7%	0.78×	1.59
H1 over 72.5	60.6%	62.7%	36.7%	1.71×	1.59
H1 under 76.5	54.2%	52.6%	75.5%	0.70×	1.90
H1 under 76.5	54.4%	52.6%	75.5%	0.70×	1.90
H1 over 74.5	53.3%	52.6%	30.4%	1.73×	1.90
H1 over 74.5	53.4%	52.6%	30.4%	1.73×	1.90
H1 under 75.5	50.5%	52.6%	72.8%	0.72×	1.90
H1 under 75.5	50.5%	52.6%	72.8%	0.72×	1.90
H1 over 75.5	49.5%	47.4%	27.2%	1.74×	2.11
H1 over 75.5	49.5%	47.4%	27.2%	1.74×	2.11
H1 under 74.5	46.7%	47.4%	69.6%	0.68×	2.11
H1 under 74.5	46.6%	47.4%	69.6%	0.68×	2.11
H1 over 76.5	45.8%	47.4%	24.5%	1.94×	2.11
H1 over 76.5	45.6%	47.4%	24.5%	1.94×	2.11
H1 under 72.5	39.4%	37.3%	63.3%	0.59×	2.68
H1 over 78.5	38.4%	37.3%	19.3%	1.93×	2.68
H1 under 72.5	39.0%	37.3%	63.3%	0.59×	2.68
H1 over 78.5	38.1%	37.3%	19.3%	1.93×	2.68
H1 under 70.5	32.4%	32.6%	56.5%	0.58×	3.07
H1 over 80.5	31.5%	32.6%	14.8%	2.20×	3.07
H1 under 70.5	31.8%	32.6%	56.5%	0.58×	3.07
H1 over 80.5	30.9%	32.6%	14.8%	2.20×	3.07
H1 under 67.5	23.0%	22.6%	45.6%	0.49×	4.43
H1 over 83.5	22.2%	22.6%	9.7%	2.32×	4.43
H1 under 67.5	22.3%	22.6%	45.6%	0.49×	4.43
H1 over 83.5	21.5%	22.6%	9.7%	2.32×	4.43
H1 under 63.5	13.2%	12.3%	31.0%	0.40×	8.14
H1 over 87.5	12.7%	12.3%	5.0%	2.44×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals to win H2	64.2%	58.8%	57.5%	1.02×	1.70
Louisville Cardinals to win H2	64.3%	58.8%	56.9%	1.03×	1.70
Texas Longhorns to win H2	31.8%	36.3%	38.5%	0.94×	2.76
Texas Longhorns to win H2	31.7%	36.3%	38.9%	0.93×	2.76
H2 tied	4.0%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.35
H2 tied	4.0%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.35

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 96.5	86.6%	85.2%	91.4%	0.93×	1.17
H2 over 72.5	84.6%	81.8%	65.9%	1.24×	1.22
H2 under 92.5	78.1%	75.8%	90.1%	0.84×	1.32
H2 under 92.5	77.4%	75.8%	86.9%	0.87×	1.32
H2 over 76.5	75.3%	75.8%	50.3%	1.51×	1.32
H2 over 76.5	74.7%	72.2%	53.4%	1.35×	1.39
H2 under 89.5	68.7%	66.4%	81.8%	0.81×	1.51
H2 under 89.5	69.2%	66.4%	85.1%	0.78×	1.51
H2 over 79.5	65.9%	66.4%	40.3%	1.65×	1.51
H2 over 79.5	65.5%	66.4%	43.8%	1.51×	1.51
H2 under 87.5	62.5%	61.6%	81.2%	0.76×	1.62
H2 under 87.5	62.2%	61.6%	77.7%	0.79×	1.62
H2 over 81.5	58.8%	57.3%	37.8%	1.52×	1.74
H2 over 81.5	59.0%	57.3%	34.2%	1.68×	1.74
H2 under 85.5	55.4%	57.3%	76.8%	0.75×	1.74
H2 under 85.5	55.3%	57.3%	73.3%	0.78×	1.74
H2 over 83.5	51.8%	52.4%	32.0%	1.64×	1.91
H2 under 84.5	51.7%	52.4%	70.5%	0.74×	1.91
H2 over 83.5	51.8%	52.4%	28.4%	1.84×	1.91
H2 under 84.5	51.8%	52.4%	74.1%	0.71×	1.91
H2 under 83.5	48.2%	47.6%	68.0%	0.70×	2.10
H2 over 84.5	48.3%	47.6%	29.5%	1.62×	2.10
H2 under 83.5	48.2%	47.6%	71.6%	0.67×	2.10
H2 over 84.5	48.2%	47.6%	25.9%	1.84×	2.10
H2 over 85.5	44.7%	42.7%	26.7%	1.60×	2.34
H2 over 85.5	44.6%	42.7%	23.2%	1.84×	2.34
H2 under 81.5	41.2%	42.7%	62.2%	0.69×	2.34
H2 under 81.5	41.0%	42.7%	65.8%	0.65×	2.35
H2 over 87.5	37.8%	38.4%	22.3%	1.72×	2.61
H2 over 87.5	37.5%	38.4%	18.8%	2.04×	2.61
H2 under 79.5	34.5%	33.6%	56.2%	0.60×	2.97
H2 under 79.5	34.1%	33.6%	59.8%	0.56×	2.97
H2 over 89.5	31.3%	33.6%	18.2%	1.84×	2.97
H2 over 89.5	30.8%	33.6%	14.9%	2.26×	2.97
H2 under 76.5	25.3%	27.8%	46.6%	0.60×	3.59
H2 under 76.5	24.7%	24.2%	49.7%	0.49×	4.13
H2 over 92.5	22.6%	24.2%	13.1%	1.85×	4.13
H2 over 92.5	21.9%	24.2%	9.9%	2.44×	4.13
H2 under 72.5	15.4%	18.2%	34.1%	0.53×	5.50
H2 over 96.5	13.4%	14.8%	8.6%	1.72×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals leading at half time	63.1%	62.5%	57.9%	1.08×	1.60
Texas Longhorns leading at half time	32.7%	32.7%	38.2%	0.86×	3.05
Level at half time	4.2%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals +20.5	99.5%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Louisville Cardinals +12.5	96.4%	97.4%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
Louisville Cardinals +14.5	97.7%	97.4%	92.2%	1.06×	1.03
Louisville Cardinals +16.5	98.5%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Louisville Cardinals +18.5	99.1%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Louisville Cardinals +10.5	94.7%	91.1%	87.2%	1.05×	1.10
Louisville Cardinals +8.5	92.3%	91.1%	83.3%	1.09×	1.10
Louisville Cardinals +9.5	93.6%	91.1%	85.3%	1.07×	1.10
Louisville Cardinals +7.5	90.9%	91.1%	81.0%	1.13×	1.10
Louisville Cardinals +6.5	89.2%	85.9%	78.8%	1.09×	1.16
Texas Longhorns +20.5	89.3%	85.9%	86.5%	0.99×	1.16
Louisville Cardinals +5.5	87.4%	85.9%	76.4%	1.12×	1.16
Louisville Cardinals +4.5	85.3%	85.9%	73.7%	1.17×	1.16
Texas Longhorns +18.5	85.4%	85.9%	83.9%	1.02×	1.16
Louisville Cardinals +3.5	83.0%	81.1%	70.8%	1.15×	1.23
Louisville Cardinals +2.5	80.6%	81.1%	68.0%	1.19×	1.23
Texas Longhorns +16.5	80.7%	81.1%	80.7%	1.01×	1.23
Louisville Cardinals +1.5	77.8%	76.5%	65.4%	1.17×	1.31
Texas Longhorns +14.5	75.1%	76.5%	77.2%	0.99×	1.31
Louisville Cardinals −1.5	71.7%	71.6%	60.8%	1.18×	1.40
Texas Longhorns +12.5	68.7%	66.7%	72.4%	0.92×	1.50
Louisville Cardinals −2.5	68.2%	66.7%	57.7%	1.16×	1.50
Louisville Cardinals −3.5	64.6%	61.9%	54.1%	1.14×	1.62
Texas Longhorns +10.5	61.7%	61.9%	67.4%	0.92×	1.62
Louisville Cardinals −4.5	61.0%	61.9%	50.7%	1.22×	1.62
Texas Longhorns +9.5	58.0%	57.1%	64.5%	0.88×	1.75
Louisville Cardinals −5.5	57.2%	57.1%	47.0%	1.21×	1.75
Texas Longhorns +8.5	54.3%	52.4%	61.5%	0.85×	1.91
Louisville Cardinals −6.5	53.4%	52.4%	44.3%	1.18×	1.91
Texas Longhorns +7.5	50.5%	52.4%	58.7%	0.89×	1.91
Louisville Cardinals −7.5	49.5%	47.6%	41.3%	1.15×	2.10
Texas Longhorns +6.5	46.6%	47.6%	55.7%	0.86×	2.10
Louisville Cardinals −8.5	45.7%	47.6%	38.5%	1.24×	2.10
Texas Longhorns +5.5	42.8%	42.9%	53.0%	0.81×	2.33
Louisville Cardinals −9.5	42.0%	42.9%	35.5%	1.21×	2.33
Texas Longhorns +4.5	39.1%	38.1%	49.3%	0.77×	2.63
Louisville Cardinals −10.5	38.3%	38.1%	32.6%	1.17×	2.63
Texas Longhorns +3.5	35.4%	38.1%	45.9%	0.83×	2.63
Texas Longhorns +2.5	31.8%	33.3%	42.3%	0.79×	3.01
Louisville Cardinals −12.5	31.3%	33.3%	27.6%	1.20×	3.01
Texas Longhorns +1.5	28.3%	28.4%	39.2%	0.72×	3.53
Louisville Cardinals −14.5	24.9%	23.5%	22.8%	1.03×	4.25
Texas Longhorns −1.5	22.2%	23.5%	34.6%	0.68×	4.25
Texas Longhorns −2.5	19.5%	18.9%	32.0%	0.59×	5.29
Louisville Cardinals −16.5	19.3%	18.9%	19.3%	0.98×	5.29
Texas Longhorns −3.5	17.0%	18.9%	29.3%	0.65×	5.29
Texas Longhorns −4.5	14.7%	14.1%	26.3%	0.54×	7.09
Louisville Cardinals −18.5	14.6%	14.1%	16.1%	0.87×	7.09
Texas Longhorns −5.5	12.6%	14.1%	23.6%	0.60×	7.09
Texas Longhorns −6.5	10.8%	14.1%	21.2%	0.66×	7.09
Louisville Cardinals −20.5	10.7%	14.1%	13.5%	1.05×	7.09
Texas Longhorns −7.5	9.1%	8.9%	19.0%	0.47×	11.25
Texas Longhorns −8.5	7.7%	8.9%	16.7%	0.53×	11.25
Texas Longhorns −9.5	6.4%	8.9%	14.7%	0.61×	11.25
Texas Longhorns −10.5	5.3%	8.9%	12.8%	0.69×	11.25
Texas Longhorns −12.5	3.6%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.73
Texas Longhorns −14.5	2.3%	2.6%	7.8%	0.33×	38.73
Texas Longhorns −16.5	1.5%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.73
Texas Longhorns −18.5	0.9%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.74
Texas Longhorns −20.5	0.5%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	79.4%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
H2 highest scoring	81.0%	71.5%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
H1 highest scoring	19.0%	28.5%	29.6%	0.96×	3.51
1st half highest scoring	20.6%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT	55.3%	56.8%	48.6%	1.17×	1.76
Texas Longhorns at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT	16.6%	15.5%	12.4%	1.25×	6.47
Texas Longhorns at HT / Texas Longhorns at FT	16.1%	15.5%	25.8%	0.60×	6.47
Louisville Cardinals at HT / Texas Longhorns at FT	7.8%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.09
Level at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT	3.0%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.74
Level at HT / Texas Longhorns at FT	1.2%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals to win	74.9%	68.8%	63.2%	1.09×	1.45
Texas Longhorns to win	25.1%	31.2%	36.8%	0.85×	3.20

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.6%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Louisville Cardinals even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Texas Longhorns even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Louisville Cardinals odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Texas Longhorns odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.4%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.0%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.0%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.65

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Texas Longhorns under 86.5	86.2%	83.9%	90.2%	0.93×	1.19
Louisville Cardinals under 93.5	85.2%	83.9%	92.1%	0.91×	1.19
Louisville Cardinals over 73.5	84.2%	80.7%	57.4%	1.41×	1.24
Texas Longhorns over 66.5	84.2%	80.7%	64.7%	1.25×	1.24
Texas Longhorns under 83.5	78.1%	75.1%	85.3%	0.88×	1.33
Louisville Cardinals under 90.5	77.0%	75.1%	88.1%	0.85×	1.33
Louisville Cardinals over 76.5	75.7%	75.1%	47.7%	1.57×	1.33
Texas Longhorns over 69.5	75.4%	75.1%	54.8%	1.37×	1.33
Louisville Cardinals under 88.5	70.3%	70.7%	84.8%	0.83×	1.41
Texas Longhorns under 81.5	71.4%	70.7%	81.2%	0.87×	1.41
Louisville Cardinals over 78.5	68.8%	66.4%	41.6%	1.60×	1.51
Texas Longhorns over 71.5	68.4%	66.4%	48.2%	1.38×	1.51
Texas Longhorns under 79.5	64.0%	61.2%	76.3%	0.80×	1.63
Louisville Cardinals under 86.5	62.8%	61.2%	80.8%	0.76×	1.63
Louisville Cardinals over 80.5	61.3%	61.2%	35.1%	1.74×	1.63
Texas Longhorns over 73.5	60.6%	61.2%	41.7%	1.47×	1.63
Texas Longhorns under 77.5	55.9%	57.1%	70.9%	0.81×	1.75
Louisville Cardinals under 84.5	54.9%	52.3%	76.1%	0.69×	1.91
Louisville Cardinals over 82.5	53.3%	52.3%	29.2%	1.79×	1.91
Texas Longhorns over 75.5	52.4%	52.3%	35.3%	1.48×	1.91
Texas Longhorns under 76.5	51.8%	52.3%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
Louisville Cardinals under 83.5	50.8%	52.3%	73.5%	0.71×	1.91
Louisville Cardinals over 83.5	49.2%	47.7%	26.5%	1.80×	2.09
Louisville Cardinals under 82.5	46.7%	47.7%	70.8%	0.67×	2.09
Texas Longhorns under 75.5	47.6%	47.7%	64.7%	0.74×	2.09
Texas Longhorns over 76.5	48.2%	47.7%	32.1%	1.49×	2.09
Louisville Cardinals over 84.5	45.1%	47.7%	23.9%	2.00×	2.09
Texas Longhorns over 77.5	44.1%	42.9%	29.1%	1.47×	2.33
Louisville Cardinals under 80.5	38.7%	38.8%	64.9%	0.60×	2.58
Texas Longhorns under 73.5	39.4%	38.8%	58.3%	0.67×	2.58
Louisville Cardinals over 86.5	37.2%	38.8%	19.2%	2.02×	2.58
Texas Longhorns over 79.5	36.0%	38.8%	23.7%	1.63×	2.58
Louisville Cardinals under 78.5	31.2%	33.6%	58.4%	0.58×	2.98
Texas Longhorns under 71.5	31.6%	33.6%	51.8%	0.65×	2.98
Louisville Cardinals over 88.5	29.7%	29.3%	15.2%	1.93×	3.42
Texas Longhorns over 81.5	28.6%	29.3%	18.8%	1.56×	3.42
Louisville Cardinals under 76.5	24.3%	24.9%	52.3%	0.48×	4.02
Texas Longhorns under 69.5	24.6%	24.9%	45.2%	0.55×	4.02
Louisville Cardinals over 90.5	23.0%	24.9%	11.9%	2.09×	4.02
Texas Longhorns over 83.5	21.9%	24.9%	14.7%	1.70×	4.02
Louisville Cardinals under 73.5	15.8%	19.3%	42.6%	0.45×	5.18
Texas Longhorns under 66.5	15.8%	19.3%	35.3%	0.55×	5.18
Louisville Cardinals over 93.5	14.8%	16.1%	7.9%	2.03×	6.21
Texas Longhorns over 86.5	13.8%	16.1%	9.8%	1.64×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 139.5 points	89.2%	85.0%	64.6%	1.32×	1.18
Under 179.5 points	89.6%	85.0%	94.9%	0.90×	1.18
Over 144.5 points	82.4%	80.6%	54.1%	1.49×	1.24
Under 174.5 points	82.7%	80.6%	91.9%	0.88×	1.24
Under 169.5 points	73.7%	70.8%	87.7%	0.81×	1.41
Over 149.5 points	73.1%	70.8%	43.7%	1.62×	1.41
Over 152.5 points	66.6%	65.9%	37.4%	1.76×	1.52
Under 166.5 points	67.1%	65.9%	84.3%	0.78×	1.52
Under 164.5 points	62.5%	61.5%	82.3%	0.75×	1.63
Over 154.5 points	62.0%	61.5%	33.6%	1.83×	1.63
Over 156.5 points	57.2%	56.5%	30.2%	1.87×	1.77
Under 162.5 points	57.7%	56.5%	79.4%	0.71×	1.77
Over 158.5 points	52.2%	52.3%	26.7%	1.96×	1.91
Under 160.5 points	52.8%	52.3%	76.4%	0.69×	1.91
Under 159.5 points	50.3%	52.3%	75.0%	0.70×	1.91
Over 159.5 points	49.7%	47.7%	25.0%	1.91×	2.10
Under 158.5 points	47.8%	47.7%	73.3%	0.65×	2.10
Over 160.5 points	47.2%	47.7%	23.6%	2.02×	2.10
Under 156.5 points	42.8%	43.5%	69.8%	0.62×	2.30
Over 162.5 points	42.3%	43.5%	20.6%	2.11×	2.30
Under 154.5 points	38.0%	38.5%	66.4%	0.58×	2.60
Over 164.5 points	37.5%	38.5%	17.7%	2.17×	2.60
Under 152.5 points	33.4%	34.1%	62.7%	0.54×	2.93
Over 166.5 points	32.9%	34.1%	15.7%	2.17×	2.93
Under 149.5 points	26.9%	29.2%	56.3%	0.52×	3.43
Over 169.5 points	26.3%	29.2%	12.3%	2.38×	3.43
Under 144.5 points	17.6%	19.4%	45.9%	0.42×	5.15
Over 174.5 points	17.3%	19.4%	8.1%	2.39×	5.15
Under 139.5 points	10.8%	15.0%	35.4%	0.42×	6.69
Over 179.5 points	10.4%	15.0%	5.1%	2.91×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals to win both halves	37.2%	36.3%	33.2%	1.09×	2.76
Texas Longhorns to win both halves	7.5%	8.8%	14.5%	0.61×	11.32

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Louisville Cardinals by 6-10	18.9%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.97
Louisville Cardinals by 1-5	17.8%	16.8%	16.2%	1.03×	5.97
Louisville Cardinals by 11-15	16.3%	16.8%	11.6%	1.45×	5.97
Texas Longhorns by 1-5	12.4%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.11
Louisville Cardinals by 16-20	11.3%	12.3%	7.6%	1.62×	8.11
Texas Longhorns by 6-10	7.3%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Louisville Cardinals by 21-25	6.4%	7.5%	5.6%	1.34×	13.40
Texas Longhorns by 11-15	3.5%	2.0%	6.1%	0.34×	49.30
Louisville Cardinals by 26+	4.3%	2.0%	7.9%	0.26×	49.29
Texas Longhorns by 16-20	1.3%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.32
Texas Longhorns by 21-25	0.4%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.32
Texas Longhorns by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.33

Louisville Cardinals v Texas Longhorns — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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