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Miami (OH) RedHawks v Central Michigan Chippewas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Miami (OH) RedHawks win
91.5%
Draw
0.0%
Central Michigan Chippewas win
8.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 87.23–72.92 87-73 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks to score 100+ 10.5% 13.8% 3.4% 4.01× 7.25
Miami (OH) RedHawks to score 110+ 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.13
Miami (OH) RedHawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.35
Miami (OH) RedHawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 100+ 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.31
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.35
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.33
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win H1 76.9% 79.2% 57.9% 1.37× 1.26
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win H1 76.9% 79.2% 57.9% 1.37× 1.26
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H1 19.8% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.90
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H1 19.7% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.90
H1 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 63.5 87.5% 87.7% 69.0% 1.27× 1.14
H1 under 87.5 86.5% 87.7% 95.0% 0.92× 1.14
H1 over 67.5 78.1% 77.4% 54.4% 1.42× 1.29
H1 over 67.5 78.8% 77.4% 54.4% 1.42× 1.29
H1 under 83.5 77.4% 77.4% 90.3% 0.86× 1.29
H1 under 83.5 76.7% 77.4% 90.3% 0.86× 1.29
H1 over 70.5 69.4% 67.4% 43.5% 1.55× 1.48
H1 over 70.5 68.9% 67.4% 43.5% 1.55× 1.48
H1 under 80.5 67.3% 67.4% 85.2% 0.79× 1.48
H1 under 80.5 67.8% 67.4% 85.2% 0.79× 1.48
H1 over 72.5 62.3% 62.7% 36.7% 1.71× 1.59
H1 over 72.5 62.0% 62.7% 36.7% 1.71× 1.59
H1 under 78.5 60.2% 62.7% 80.7% 0.78× 1.59
H1 under 78.5 60.6% 62.7% 80.7% 0.78× 1.59
H1 over 74.5 54.6% 52.6% 30.4% 1.73× 1.90
H1 over 74.5 54.8% 52.6% 30.4% 1.73× 1.90
H1 under 76.5 52.8% 52.6% 75.5% 0.70× 1.90
H1 under 76.5 52.9% 52.6% 75.5% 0.70× 1.90
H1 over 75.5 50.9% 52.6% 27.2% 1.93× 1.90
H1 over 75.5 50.9% 52.6% 27.2% 1.93× 1.90
H1 under 75.5 49.1% 47.4% 72.8% 0.65× 2.11
H1 under 75.5 49.1% 47.4% 72.8% 0.65× 2.11
H1 over 76.5 47.2% 47.4% 24.5% 1.94× 2.11
H1 over 76.5 47.1% 47.4% 24.5% 1.94× 2.11
H1 under 74.5 45.4% 47.4% 69.6% 0.68× 2.11
H1 under 74.5 45.2% 47.4% 69.6% 0.68× 2.11
H1 over 78.5 39.8% 37.3% 19.3% 1.93× 2.68
H1 over 78.5 39.4% 37.3% 19.3% 1.93× 2.68
H1 under 72.5 38.0% 37.3% 63.3% 0.59× 2.68
H1 under 72.5 37.7% 37.3% 63.3% 0.59× 2.68
H1 over 80.5 32.7% 32.6% 14.8% 2.20× 3.07
H1 over 80.5 32.2% 32.6% 14.8% 2.20× 3.07
H1 under 70.5 31.1% 32.6% 56.5% 0.58× 3.07
H1 under 70.5 30.6% 32.6% 56.5% 0.58× 3.07
H1 over 83.5 23.3% 22.6% 9.7% 2.32× 4.43
H1 over 83.5 22.6% 22.6% 9.7% 2.32× 4.43
H1 under 67.5 21.9% 22.6% 45.6% 0.49× 4.43
H1 under 67.5 21.2% 22.6% 45.6% 0.49× 4.43
H1 over 87.5 13.5% 12.3% 5.0% 2.44× 8.13
H1 under 63.5 12.5% 12.3% 31.0% 0.40× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win H2 78.7% 73.9% 56.9% 1.30× 1.35
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win H2 78.7% 73.9% 57.5% 1.29× 1.35
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H2 18.3% 20.4% 38.5% 0.53× 4.89
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H2 18.2% 20.4% 38.9% 0.53× 4.89
H2 tied 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 tied 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 96.5 85.8% 85.2% 91.4% 0.93× 1.17
H2 over 72.5 85.5% 85.2% 65.9% 1.29× 1.17
H2 over 76.5 76.5% 75.8% 50.3% 1.51× 1.32
H2 under 92.5 77.0% 75.8% 90.1% 0.84× 1.32
H2 over 76.5 75.9% 75.8% 53.4% 1.42× 1.32
H2 under 92.5 76.3% 75.8% 86.9% 0.87× 1.32
H2 under 89.5 67.4% 66.4% 81.8% 0.81× 1.51
H2 over 79.5 67.3% 66.4% 40.3% 1.65× 1.51
H2 under 89.5 67.9% 66.4% 85.1% 0.78× 1.51
H2 over 79.5 66.9% 66.4% 43.8% 1.51× 1.51
H2 under 87.5 61.1% 61.6% 81.2% 0.76× 1.62
H2 over 81.5 60.2% 61.6% 37.8% 1.63× 1.62
H2 under 87.5 60.8% 61.6% 77.7% 0.79× 1.62
H2 over 81.5 60.5% 61.6% 34.2% 1.80× 1.62
H2 under 85.5 53.8% 52.4% 73.3% 0.71× 1.91
H2 under 85.5 54.0% 52.4% 76.8% 0.68× 1.91
H2 over 83.5 53.3% 52.4% 32.0% 1.64× 1.91
H2 over 83.5 53.3% 52.4% 28.4% 1.84× 1.91
H2 under 84.5 50.3% 52.4% 70.5% 0.74× 1.91
H2 under 84.5 50.3% 52.4% 74.1% 0.71× 1.91
H2 over 84.5 49.7% 47.6% 29.5% 1.62× 2.10
H2 over 84.5 49.7% 47.6% 25.9% 1.84× 2.10
H2 under 83.5 46.7% 47.6% 68.0% 0.70× 2.10
H2 under 83.5 46.7% 47.6% 71.6% 0.67× 2.10
H2 over 85.5 46.2% 47.6% 26.7% 1.78× 2.10
H2 over 85.5 46.0% 47.6% 23.2% 2.06× 2.10
H2 under 81.5 39.8% 38.4% 62.2% 0.62× 2.61
H2 over 87.5 39.2% 38.4% 22.3% 1.72× 2.61
H2 under 81.5 39.5% 38.4% 65.8% 0.58× 2.61
H2 over 87.5 38.9% 38.4% 18.8% 2.04× 2.61
H2 under 79.5 33.1% 33.6% 56.2% 0.60× 2.97
H2 over 89.5 32.6% 33.6% 18.2% 1.84× 2.97
H2 under 79.5 32.7% 33.6% 59.8% 0.56× 2.97
H2 over 89.5 32.1% 33.6% 14.9% 2.26× 2.97
H2 under 76.5 24.1% 24.2% 46.6% 0.52× 4.13
H2 over 92.5 23.7% 24.2% 13.1% 1.85× 4.13
H2 under 76.5 23.5% 24.2% 49.7% 0.49× 4.13
H2 over 92.5 23.0% 24.2% 9.9% 2.44× 4.13
H2 under 72.5 14.5% 14.8% 34.1% 0.43× 6.76
H2 over 96.5 14.2% 14.8% 8.6% 1.72× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks leading at half time 76.9% 79.7% 57.9% 1.38× 1.26
Central Michigan Chippewas leading at half time 19.8% 17.1% 38.2% 0.45× 5.86
Level at half time 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks +12.5 99.4% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +14.5 99.6% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +4.5 96.0% 97.4% 73.7% 1.32× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +5.5 96.7% 97.4% 76.4% 1.28× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +6.5 97.3% 97.4% 78.8% 1.24× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +7.5 97.9% 97.4% 81.0% 1.20× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +8.5 98.3% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +9.5 98.7% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +10.5 98.9% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +3.5 95.1% 97.4% 70.8% 1.38× 1.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks +1.5 92.9% 91.1% 65.4% 1.39× 1.10
Miami (OH) RedHawks +2.5 94.0% 91.1% 68.0% 1.34× 1.10
Miami (OH) RedHawks −1.5 89.7% 85.9% 60.8% 1.41× 1.16
Miami (OH) RedHawks −2.5 87.8% 85.9% 57.7% 1.49× 1.16
Miami (OH) RedHawks −3.5 85.6% 85.9% 54.1% 1.59× 1.16
Miami (OH) RedHawks −4.5 83.2% 81.1% 50.7% 1.60× 1.23
Miami (OH) RedHawks −5.5 80.6% 81.1% 47.0% 1.72× 1.23
Miami (OH) RedHawks −6.5 77.9% 76.5% 44.3% 1.73× 1.31
Miami (OH) RedHawks −7.5 74.9% 71.6% 41.3% 1.73× 1.40
Miami (OH) RedHawks −8.5 71.7% 71.6% 38.5% 1.86× 1.40
Central Michigan Chippewas +20.5 71.4% 71.6% 86.5% 0.83× 1.40
Miami (OH) RedHawks −9.5 68.3% 66.7% 35.5% 1.88× 1.50
Miami (OH) RedHawks −10.5 64.9% 61.9% 32.6% 1.90× 1.62
Central Michigan Chippewas +18.5 64.7% 61.9% 83.9% 0.74× 1.62
Miami (OH) RedHawks −12.5 57.6% 57.1% 27.6% 2.07× 1.75
Central Michigan Chippewas +16.5 57.4% 57.1% 80.7% 0.71× 1.75
Miami (OH) RedHawks −14.5 50.0% 52.4% 22.8% 2.30× 1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas +14.5 50.0% 47.6% 77.2% 0.62× 2.10
Central Michigan Chippewas +12.5 42.4% 42.9% 72.4% 0.59× 2.33
Miami (OH) RedHawks −16.5 42.6% 42.9% 19.3% 2.23× 2.33
Central Michigan Chippewas +10.5 35.1% 38.1% 67.4% 0.57× 2.63
Miami (OH) RedHawks −18.5 35.3% 38.1% 16.1% 2.36× 2.63
Central Michigan Chippewas +9.5 31.7% 33.3% 64.5% 0.52× 3.01
Central Michigan Chippewas +8.5 28.3% 28.4% 61.5% 0.46× 3.53
Miami (OH) RedHawks −20.5 28.6% 28.4% 13.5% 2.11× 3.53
Central Michigan Chippewas +7.5 25.1% 28.4% 58.7% 0.48× 3.53
Central Michigan Chippewas +6.5 22.2% 23.5% 55.7% 0.42× 4.25
Central Michigan Chippewas +5.5 19.4% 18.9% 53.0% 0.36× 5.29
Central Michigan Chippewas +4.5 16.8% 18.9% 49.3% 0.38× 5.29
Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5 14.4% 14.1% 45.9% 0.31× 7.09
Central Michigan Chippewas +2.5 12.2% 14.1% 42.3% 0.33× 7.09
Central Michigan Chippewas +1.5 10.3% 14.1% 39.2% 0.36× 7.09
Central Michigan Chippewas −1.5 7.1% 8.9% 34.6% 0.26× 11.25
Central Michigan Chippewas −2.5 6.0% 8.9% 32.0% 0.28× 11.25
Central Michigan Chippewas −3.5 4.9% 2.6% 29.3% 0.09× 38.72
Central Michigan Chippewas −4.5 4.0% 2.6% 26.3% 0.10× 38.72
Central Michigan Chippewas −5.5 3.3% 2.6% 23.6% 0.11× 38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −6.5 2.7% 2.6% 21.2% 0.12× 38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −7.5 2.1% 2.6% 19.0% 0.14× 38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −8.5 1.7% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −9.5 1.3% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −10.5 1.1% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −12.5 0.6% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −14.5 0.4% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 79.5% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
H2 highest scoring 81.1% 71.5% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
H1 highest scoring 18.9% 28.5% 29.6% 0.96× 3.51
1st half highest scoring 20.5% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks at HT / Miami (OH) RedHawks at FT 74.0% 73.2% 48.6% 1.51× 1.37
Central Michigan Chippewas at HT / Miami (OH) RedHawks at FT 14.6% 12.2% 12.4% 0.99× 8.17
Central Michigan Chippewas at HT / Central Michigan Chippewas at FT 5.2% 8.3% 25.8% 0.32× 12.10
Miami (OH) RedHawks at HT / Central Michigan Chippewas at FT 2.9% 2.1% 9.3% 0.22× 47.74
Level at HT / Miami (OH) RedHawks at FT 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Central Michigan Chippewas at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win 91.5% 90.6% 63.2% 1.43× 1.10
Central Michigan Chippewas to win 8.5% 9.4% 36.8% 0.26× 10.63
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Central Michigan Chippewas even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.8% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Miami (OH) RedHawks odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Central Michigan Chippewas odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.2% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.3% 97.0% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.7% 3.0% 5.8% 0.52× 33.34
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Michigan Chippewas under 83.5 86.9% 83.9% 85.3% 0.98× 1.19
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 97.5 85.2% 83.9% 95.4% 0.88× 1.19
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 77.5 84.5% 80.7% 44.6% 1.81× 1.24
Central Michigan Chippewas over 63.5 83.6% 80.7% 73.9% 1.09× 1.24
Central Michigan Chippewas under 80.5 79.1% 75.1% 78.8% 0.95× 1.33
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 80.5 76.0% 75.1% 35.1% 2.14× 1.33
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 94.5 76.9% 75.1% 93.1% 0.81× 1.33
Central Michigan Chippewas over 66.5 74.7% 70.7% 64.7% 1.09× 1.41
Central Michigan Chippewas under 78.5 72.5% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 92.5 70.2% 70.7% 90.8% 0.78× 1.41
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 82.5 69.1% 66.4% 29.2% 2.27× 1.51
Central Michigan Chippewas over 68.5 67.5% 66.4% 58.4% 1.14× 1.51
Central Michigan Chippewas under 76.5 65.1% 66.4% 67.9% 0.98× 1.51
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 90.5 62.7% 61.2% 88.1% 0.69× 1.63
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 84.5 61.6% 61.2% 23.9% 2.56× 1.63
Central Michigan Chippewas over 70.5 59.6% 57.1% 51.4% 1.11× 1.75
Central Michigan Chippewas under 74.5 57.1% 57.1% 61.7% 0.93× 1.75
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 88.5 54.7% 52.3% 84.8% 0.62× 1.91
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 86.5 53.5% 52.3% 19.2% 2.72× 1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas over 72.5 51.3% 52.3% 44.7% 1.17× 1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas under 73.5 52.9% 52.3% 58.3% 0.90× 1.91
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 87.5 50.6% 52.3% 82.8% 0.63× 1.91
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 87.5 49.4% 47.7% 17.2% 2.78× 2.09
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 86.5 46.5% 47.7% 80.8% 0.59× 2.09
Central Michigan Chippewas under 72.5 48.7% 47.7% 55.3% 0.86× 2.09
Central Michigan Chippewas over 73.5 47.1% 47.7% 41.7% 1.15× 2.09
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 88.5 45.3% 47.7% 15.2% 3.14× 2.09
Central Michigan Chippewas over 74.5 42.9% 42.9% 38.3% 1.12× 2.33
Central Michigan Chippewas under 70.5 40.4% 42.9% 48.7% 0.88× 2.33
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 84.5 38.4% 38.8% 76.1% 0.51× 2.58
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 90.5 37.3% 38.8% 11.9% 3.26× 2.58
Central Michigan Chippewas over 76.5 34.9% 33.6% 32.1% 1.05× 2.98
Central Michigan Chippewas under 68.5 32.5% 33.6% 41.6% 0.81× 2.98
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 82.5 30.9% 33.6% 70.8% 0.47× 2.98
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 92.5 29.8% 29.3% 9.2% 3.19× 3.42
Central Michigan Chippewas over 78.5 27.5% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
Central Michigan Chippewas under 66.5 25.3% 29.3% 35.3% 0.83× 3.42
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 80.5 24.0% 24.9% 64.9% 0.38× 4.02
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 94.5 23.1% 24.9% 6.9% 3.62× 4.02
Central Michigan Chippewas over 80.5 20.9% 24.9% 21.2% 1.17× 4.02
Central Michigan Chippewas under 63.5 16.4% 19.3% 26.1% 0.74× 5.18
Miami (OH) RedHawks under 77.5 15.5% 19.3% 55.4% 0.35× 5.18
Miami (OH) RedHawks over 97.5 14.8% 16.1% 4.6% 3.52× 6.21
Central Michigan Chippewas over 83.5 13.1% 16.1% 14.7% 1.10× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 180.5 points 89.8% 85.0% 95.4% 0.89× 1.18
Over 140.5 points 89.0% 85.0% 62.8% 1.35× 1.18
Under 175.5 points 83.1% 80.6% 92.5% 0.87× 1.24
Over 145.5 points 82.0% 80.6% 51.8% 1.55× 1.24
Under 170.5 points 74.1% 70.8% 88.6% 0.80× 1.41
Over 150.5 points 72.7% 70.8% 41.6% 1.70× 1.41
Under 167.5 points 67.7% 65.9% 85.6% 0.77× 1.52
Over 153.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 35.4% 1.86× 1.52
Under 165.5 points 63.1% 61.5% 83.4% 0.74× 1.63
Over 155.5 points 61.4% 61.5% 31.9% 1.92× 1.63
Under 163.5 points 58.3% 56.5% 80.9% 0.70× 1.77
Over 157.5 points 56.6% 56.5% 28.4% 1.99× 1.77
Under 161.5 points 53.4% 52.3% 77.9% 0.67× 1.91
Over 159.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 25.0% 2.09× 1.91
Under 160.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 76.4% 0.69× 1.91
Over 160.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 23.6% 2.02× 2.10
Under 159.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 75.0% 0.64× 2.10
Over 161.5 points 46.6% 47.7% 22.1% 2.16× 2.10
Under 157.5 points 43.4% 43.5% 71.6% 0.61× 2.30
Over 163.5 points 41.7% 43.5% 19.1% 2.28× 2.30
Under 155.5 points 38.6% 38.5% 68.1% 0.57× 2.60
Over 165.5 points 36.9% 38.5% 16.6% 2.32× 2.60
Under 153.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 64.6% 0.53× 2.93
Over 167.5 points 32.3% 34.1% 14.4% 2.37× 2.93
Under 150.5 points 27.3% 29.2% 58.4% 0.50× 3.43
Over 170.5 points 25.9% 29.2% 11.4% 2.57× 3.43
Under 145.5 points 18.0% 19.4% 48.2% 0.40× 5.15
Over 175.5 points 16.9% 19.4% 7.5% 2.59× 5.15
Under 140.5 points 11.0% 15.0% 37.2% 0.40× 6.69
Over 180.5 points 10.2% 15.0% 4.6% 3.26× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win both halves 58.4% 57.8% 33.2% 1.74× 1.73
Central Michigan Chippewas to win both halves 2.0% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.72
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami (OH) RedHawks by 11-15 18.6% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Miami (OH) RedHawks by 16-20 17.7% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Miami (OH) RedHawks by 6-10 15.8% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Miami (OH) RedHawks by 26+ 15.1% 16.8% 7.9% 2.12× 5.97
Miami (OH) RedHawks by 21-25 13.6% 12.3% 5.6% 2.22× 8.11
Miami (OH) RedHawks by 1-5 10.8% 12.3% 16.2% 0.76× 8.11
Central Michigan Chippewas by 1-5 5.2% 7.5% 13.2% 0.57× 13.41
Central Michigan Chippewas by 6-10 2.2% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.31
Central Michigan Chippewas by 11-15 0.8% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.32
Central Michigan Chippewas by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.33
Central Michigan Chippewas by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Central Michigan Chippewas by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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