Michigan Wolverines v Niagara Purple Eagles — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Michigan Wolverines win
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Niagara Purple Eagles win
0.0%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 97.66–39.12 | 98-40 0% | 78% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to score 100+ | 51.7% | 52.3% | 1.8% | 29.10× | 1.91 |
| Michigan Wolverines to score 110+ | 15.1% | 17.5% | 0.6% | 31.85× | 5.71 |
| Michigan Wolverines to score 120+ | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.92× | 283.01 |
| Michigan Wolverines to score 130+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.34 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win H1 | 99.8% | 99.0% | 56.4% | 1.75× | 1.01 |
| H1 tied | 0.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.89 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win H1 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 39.9% | 0.10× | 25.89 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 82.5 | 91.4% | 90.8% | 96.2% | 0.94× | 1.10 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 89.8% | 87.7% | 61.4% | 1.43× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 82.5% | 82.5% | 92.8% | 0.89× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 79.5% | 77.4% | 46.3% | 1.67× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 72.9% | 73.5% | 88.8% | 0.83× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 36.1% | 1.87× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 65.2% | 67.4% | 85.6% | 0.79× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 60.6% | 62.7% | 29.6% | 2.12× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 56.8% | 58.2% | 81.4% | 0.71× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 51.9% | 52.6% | 23.8% | 2.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 52.5% | 52.6% | 78.9% | 0.67× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 48.1% | 47.4% | 76.2% | 0.62× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 47.5% | 47.4% | 21.1% | 2.25× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 43.2% | 41.8% | 18.6% | 2.25× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 39.4% | 37.3% | 70.4% | 0.53× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 34.8% | 32.6% | 14.4% | 2.26× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 63.9% | 0.51× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 27.1% | 26.5% | 11.2% | 2.37× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 20.5% | 22.6% | 53.7% | 0.42× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 17.5% | 17.5% | 7.2% | 2.42× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 10.2% | 12.3% | 38.6% | 0.32× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 82.5 | 8.6% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 2.43× | 10.90 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win H2 | 99.9% | 95.8% | 56.0% | 1.71× | 1.04 |
| H2 tied | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.39 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win H2 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 40.6% | 0.10× | 25.39 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 64.5 | 90.3% | 88.1% | 62.1% | 1.42× | 1.14 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 89.4% | 85.2% | 94.1% | 0.91× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 80.7% | 81.8% | 48.7% | 1.68× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 79.8% | 75.8% | 90.3% | 0.84× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 70.6% | 72.2% | 38.9% | 1.86× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 69.9% | 66.4% | 85.8% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 62.8% | 61.6% | 32.9% | 1.87× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 62.2% | 61.6% | 82.0% | 0.75× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 54.5% | 52.4% | 27.0% | 1.94× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 77.9% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 50.3% | 52.4% | 24.4% | 2.15× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 49.7% | 47.6% | 75.6% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 45.5% | 47.6% | 73.0% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 22.1% | 2.16× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 37.8% | 38.4% | 18.0% | 2.13× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 37.2% | 38.4% | 67.1% | 0.57× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 14.2% | 2.37× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 29.4% | 27.8% | 61.1% | 0.46× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 20.2% | 24.2% | 9.7% | 2.49× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 19.3% | 18.2% | 51.3% | 0.35× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 10.6% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 2.51× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 9.7% | 11.9% | 37.9% | 0.31× | 8.42 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines leading at half time | 99.8% | 98.9% | 56.4% | 1.75× | 1.01 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles leading at half time | 0.1% | 3.8% | 39.9% | 0.09× | 26.45 |
| Level at half time | 0.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.45 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines −1.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +1.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −2.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +2.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −3.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +3.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −4.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +4.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −5.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +5.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −6.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 47.6% | 2.05× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +6.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −7.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 44.8% | 2.18× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +7.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −8.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 42.0% | 2.32× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +8.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −9.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 39.3% | 2.48× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +9.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 36.8% | 2.65× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 32.1% | 3.03× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 27.9% | 3.49× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 24.3% | 4.02× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 20.7% | 4.70× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines −20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 18.0% | 5.41× | 1.03 |
| Michigan Wolverines +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +1.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −1.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +2.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −2.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +3.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −3.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +4.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −4.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +5.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −5.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +6.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 52.4% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −6.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +7.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 55.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −7.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +8.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 58.0% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −8.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +9.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 60.7% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −9.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 63.2% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 67.9% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 72.1% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 75.7% | 0.03× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 79.3% | 0.03× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 82.0% | 0.03× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 74.4% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.6% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.3% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 14.8% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.03× | 5.45 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines at HT / Michigan Wolverines at FT | 99.8% | 98.8% | 48.3% | 2.05× | 1.01 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles at HT / Michigan Wolverines at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.79 |
| Michigan Wolverines at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.79 |
| Level at HT / Michigan Wolverines at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| Level at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win | 100.0% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win | 0.0% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.99 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles even | 52.2% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Michigan Wolverines even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Michigan Wolverines odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles odd | 47.8% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 99.5% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 0.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.63 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win Q1 | 97.2% | 98.1% | 54.7% | 1.79× | 1.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q1 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 40.4% | 0.10× | 24.06 |
| Q1 tied | 0.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.84× | 24.10 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 43.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 95.0% | 0.96× | 1.10 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 88.6% | 87.4% | 67.7% | 1.29× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 79.7% | 76.9% | 89.9% | 0.86× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 76.8% | 76.9% | 51.2% | 1.50× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 69.9% | 67.6% | 84.8% | 0.80× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 66.2% | 67.6% | 40.9% | 1.65× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 58.2% | 58.6% | 77.4% | 0.76× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 31.5% | 1.67× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 52.1% | 52.7% | 73.2% | 0.72× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 47.9% | 47.3% | 26.8% | 1.76× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 68.5% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 41.8% | 41.4% | 22.6% | 1.83× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 33.8% | 32.4% | 59.1% | 0.55× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 30.1% | 32.4% | 15.2% | 2.13× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 23.2% | 23.1% | 48.8% | 0.47× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 20.3% | 23.1% | 10.1% | 2.28× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 11.4% | 12.6% | 32.3% | 0.39× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 43.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.79× | 11.20 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win Q2 | 96.9% | 97.7% | 52.9% | 1.85× | 1.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q2 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 41.5% | 0.11× | 22.97 |
| Q2 tied | 0.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 0.76× | 23.02 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 43.5 | 91.2% | 90.8% | 95.7% | 0.95× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 87.4% | 87.3% | 66.7% | 1.31× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 40.5 | 81.3% | 83.0% | 90.8% | 0.91× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 75.0% | 72.0% | 49.9% | 1.44× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 71.8% | 72.0% | 85.6% | 0.84× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 64.1% | 60.7% | 39.2% | 1.55× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 60.5% | 60.7% | 78.7% | 0.77× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 54.3% | 52.7% | 74.6% | 0.71× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 29.9% | 1.76× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 70.1% | 0.68× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 25.4% | 1.86× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 39.5% | 39.3% | 21.3% | 1.85× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 35.9% | 39.3% | 60.8% | 0.65× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 28.2% | 28.0% | 14.4% | 1.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 25.0% | 28.0% | 50.1% | 0.56× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 18.7% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 1.85× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 12.6% | 12.7% | 33.3% | 0.38× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 43.5 | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.14× | 10.85 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win Q3 | 97.9% | 98.9% | 53.3% | 1.85× | 1.01 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q3 | 1.4% | 4.2% | 41.8% | 0.10× | 23.54 |
| Q3 tied | 0.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.57 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 46.5 | 89.6% | 87.2% | 95.3% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 88.5% | 87.2% | 66.8% | 1.31× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 78.8% | 77.3% | 90.2% | 0.86× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 76.9% | 77.3% | 50.9% | 1.52× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 68.9% | 67.8% | 85.1% | 0.80× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 66.5% | 67.8% | 40.3% | 1.68× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 57.5% | 58.4% | 77.9% | 0.75× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 30.3% | 1.73× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 73.9% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 26.1% | 1.83× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 69.7% | 0.68× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 42.5% | 41.6% | 22.1% | 1.88× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 33.5% | 32.2% | 59.7% | 0.54× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 31.1% | 32.2% | 14.9% | 2.16× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 23.1% | 22.7% | 49.1% | 0.46× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 21.2% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 2.31× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 11.5% | 12.8% | 33.2% | 0.39× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 46.5 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 2.73× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win Q4 | 97.7% | 95.7% | 52.8% | 1.81× | 1.05 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q4 | 1.6% | 5.2% | 41.5% | 0.12× | 19.36 |
| Q4 tied | 0.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.38 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 46.5 | 87.9% | 85.6% | 93.9% | 0.91× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 87.2% | 85.6% | 66.3% | 1.29× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 77.0% | 76.9% | 88.6% | 0.87× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 75.8% | 76.9% | 50.4% | 1.53× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 67.5% | 67.4% | 83.6% | 0.81× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 65.9% | 67.4% | 40.6% | 1.66× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 77.0% | 0.76× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 54.9% | 52.5% | 31.2% | 1.68× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 50.9% | 52.5% | 73.1% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 49.1% | 47.5% | 26.9% | 1.77× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 45.1% | 47.5% | 68.8% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 23.0% | 1.81× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 34.1% | 32.6% | 59.4% | 0.55× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 32.5% | 32.6% | 16.4% | 1.99× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 24.2% | 23.1% | 49.6% | 0.47× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 23.0% | 23.1% | 11.4% | 2.02× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 12.8% | 14.4% | 33.7% | 0.43× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 46.5 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 2.36× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 40.5 | 91.2% | 86.4% | 96.4% | 0.90× | 1.16 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 54.5 | 89.9% | 83.9% | 26.5% | 3.17× | 1.19 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 110.5 | 87.3% | 83.9% | 99.5% | 0.84× | 1.19 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 52.5 | 84.5% | 80.7% | 21.5% | 3.75× | 1.24 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 90.5 | 84.5% | 80.7% | 5.5% | 14.74× | 1.24 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 37.5 | 100.0% | 75.6% | 98.1% | 0.77× | 1.32 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 107.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 99.3% | 0.76× | 1.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 50.5 | 77.2% | 75.1% | 16.9% | 4.45× | 1.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 93.5 | 75.5% | 75.1% | 3.9% | 19.44× | 1.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 57.5 | 95.1% | 75.0% | 34.9% | 2.15× | 1.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 42.5 | 74.0% | 70.7% | 94.8% | 0.75× | 1.41 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 105.5 | 72.7% | 70.7% | 99.2% | 0.71× | 1.41 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 48.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 13.3% | 5.00× | 1.51 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 95.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 2.9% | 22.78× | 1.51 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 103.5 | 65.1% | 66.4% | 99.0% | 0.67× | 1.51 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 47.5 | 62.1% | 61.2% | 11.6% | 5.27× | 1.63 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 97.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 2.3% | 27.04× | 1.63 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 44.5 | 58.1% | 57.1% | 92.5% | 0.62× | 1.75 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 101.5 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 98.7% | 0.58× | 1.75 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 46.5 | 55.9% | 57.1% | 10.3% | 5.54× | 1.75 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 99.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 1.8% | 29.07× | 1.91 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 100.5 | 52.6% | 52.3% | 98.4% | 0.53× | 1.91 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 99.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 98.2% | 0.49× | 2.09 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 100.5 | 47.4% | 47.7% | 1.6% | 30.70× | 2.09 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 46.5 | 44.1% | 42.9% | 89.7% | 0.48× | 2.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 101.5 | 43.2% | 42.9% | 1.3% | 33.13× | 2.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 44.5 | 41.9% | 42.9% | 7.5% | 5.74× | 2.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 97.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 97.7% | 0.40× | 2.58 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 47.5 | 37.9% | 38.8% | 88.4% | 0.44× | 2.58 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 103.5 | 34.9% | 33.6% | 1.0% | 33.73× | 2.98 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 48.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 86.7% | 0.39× | 2.98 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 95.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 97.1% | 0.35× | 2.98 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 105.5 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 0.8% | 35.32× | 3.42 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 42.5 | 26.0% | 29.3% | 5.2% | 5.65× | 3.42 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 57.5 | 4.9% | 25.0% | 65.1% | 0.38× | 4.00 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 93.5 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 96.1% | 0.26× | 4.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 50.5 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 83.1% | 0.30× | 4.02 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 107.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 0.7% | 36.59× | 4.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 37.5 | 0.0% | 24.4% | 1.9% | 12.73× | 4.09 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 52.5 | 15.5% | 19.3% | 78.5% | 0.25× | 5.18 |
| Michigan Wolverines under 90.5 | 15.5% | 19.3% | 94.5% | 0.20× | 5.18 |
| Michigan Wolverines over 110.5 | 12.7% | 16.1% | 0.5% | 33.88× | 6.21 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 54.5 | 10.1% | 16.1% | 73.5% | 0.22× | 6.21 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 40.5 | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 3.75× | 7.37 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 126.5 points | 96.7% | 92.2% | 57.4% | 1.61× | 1.08 |
| Under 166.5 points | 94.9% | 88.8% | 96.6% | 0.92× | 1.13 |
| Over 131.5 points | 91.2% | 88.8% | 46.1% | 1.93× | 1.13 |
| Under 161.5 points | 89.6% | 85.0% | 94.4% | 0.90× | 1.18 |
| Over 136.5 points | 81.0% | 80.6% | 35.8% | 2.25× | 1.24 |
| Under 156.5 points | 80.6% | 80.6% | 91.3% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Under 153.5 points | 73.2% | 70.8% | 89.0% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Over 139.5 points | 72.6% | 70.8% | 30.1% | 2.35× | 1.41 |
| Under 151.5 points | 67.4% | 65.9% | 87.3% | 0.76× | 1.52 |
| Over 141.5 points | 66.2% | 65.9% | 26.6% | 2.48× | 1.52 |
| Under 149.5 points | 61.2% | 61.5% | 84.9% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| Over 143.5 points | 59.4% | 56.5% | 23.3% | 2.42× | 1.77 |
| Under 147.5 points | 54.5% | 52.3% | 82.3% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Over 145.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 20.5% | 2.56× | 1.91 |
| Under 146.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 80.9% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Over 146.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 19.1% | 2.50× | 2.10 |
| Under 145.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 79.5% | 0.60× | 2.10 |
| Over 147.5 points | 45.5% | 47.7% | 17.7% | 2.69× | 2.10 |
| Under 143.5 points | 40.6% | 43.5% | 76.7% | 0.57× | 2.30 |
| Over 149.5 points | 38.8% | 38.5% | 15.1% | 2.56× | 2.60 |
| Under 141.5 points | 33.8% | 34.1% | 73.4% | 0.46× | 2.93 |
| Over 151.5 points | 32.6% | 34.1% | 12.8% | 2.68× | 2.93 |
| Under 139.5 points | 27.4% | 29.2% | 69.9% | 0.42× | 3.43 |
| Over 153.5 points | 26.8% | 29.2% | 11.0% | 2.66× | 3.43 |
| Over 156.5 points | 19.4% | 19.4% | 8.7% | 2.24× | 5.15 |
| Under 136.5 points | 19.0% | 19.4% | 64.2% | 0.30× | 5.15 |
| Over 161.5 points | 10.4% | 15.0% | 5.6% | 2.68× | 6.69 |
| Under 131.5 points | 8.9% | 11.2% | 53.9% | 0.21× | 8.96 |
| Over 166.5 points | 5.1% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 3.28× | 8.97 |
| Under 126.5 points | 3.3% | 7.8% | 42.6% | 0.18× | 12.84 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines to win both halves | 99.7% | 97.3% | 36.0% | 2.70× | 1.03 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win both halves | 0.0% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.85 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines by 26+ | 99.7% | 98.5% | 12.6% | 7.80× | 1.02 |
| Michigan Wolverines by 1-5 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 1-5 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines by 6-10 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 6-10 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines by 16-20 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Michigan Wolverines by 21-25 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |