Milwaukee Bucks v Cleveland Cavaliers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 1 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Milwaukee Bucks win
27.4%
Draw
0.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers win
72.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 110.23–118.74 | 110-119 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to score 100+ | 95.1% | 94.8% | 85.9% | 1.10× | 1.05 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to score 100+ | 81.6% | 79.2% | 89.3% | 0.89× | 1.26 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers to score 110+ | 78.8% | 77.0% | 60.9% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 78.2% | 77.0% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to score 110+ | 52.0% | 52.3% | 67.0% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers to score 120+ | 47.8% | 47.0% | 29.7% | 1.58× | 2.13 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to score 120+ | 21.3% | 22.0% | 36.5% | 0.60× | 4.55 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers to score 130+ | 18.1% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 1.76× | 5.69 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to score 130+ | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 0.68× | 11.40 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win H1 | 63.5% | 62.2% | 44.1% | 1.41× | 1.61 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win H1 | 33.2% | 33.1% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 103.5 | 82.3% | 82.5% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 127.5 | 82.1% | 82.5% | 84.8% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 73.2% | 73.5% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 123.5 | 72.9% | 73.5% | 76.0% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 65.1% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 64.8% | 62.7% | 68.4% | 0.92× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 59.3% | 58.2% | 55.8% | 1.04× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 59.0% | 58.2% | 62.9% | 0.93× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 53.2% | 52.6% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 56.6% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 50.2% | 52.6% | 46.4% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 49.8% | 47.4% | 53.6% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 46.8% | 47.4% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 43.4% | 1.09× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 44.2% | 0.95× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 41.1% | 41.8% | 37.1% | 1.13× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 35.2% | 37.3% | 31.6% | 1.18× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 34.9% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 123.5 | 27.1% | 26.5% | 24.0% | 1.10× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 0.90× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 103.5 | 17.7% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
| H1 over 127.5 | 17.9% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 1.15× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win H2 | 63.3% | 58.8% | 44.7% | 1.32× | 1.70 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win H2 | 33.4% | 36.3% | 51.6% | 0.70× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 125.5 | 82.6% | 81.8% | 81.3% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 101.5 | 82.2% | 81.8% | 80.3% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 121.5 | 73.5% | 72.2% | 72.0% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 73.0% | 72.2% | 71.3% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 63.6% | 1.04× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 64.8% | 61.6% | 63.8% | 0.97× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 59.5% | 57.3% | 58.1% | 0.99× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 58.9% | 57.3% | 58.1% | 0.99× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 52.6% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 53.4% | 52.4% | 52.5% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 50.3% | 52.4% | 50.1% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 49.7% | 47.6% | 49.9% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 47.4% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 46.6% | 47.6% | 47.5% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 41.1% | 42.7% | 41.9% | 1.02× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 40.5% | 42.7% | 41.9% | 1.02× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 35.2% | 38.4% | 36.2% | 1.06× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 36.4% | 0.92× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 27.0% | 27.8% | 28.7% | 0.97× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 121.5 | 26.5% | 27.8% | 28.0% | 0.99× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 101.5 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 0.92× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 125.5 | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 0.97× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers leading at half time | 63.5% | 62.5% | 44.1% | 1.42× | 1.60 |
| Milwaukee Bucks leading at half time | 33.2% | 32.7% | 52.8% | 0.62× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers +16.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 83.5% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +18.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +20.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +14.5 | 94.2% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 76.0% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 71.0% | 1.28× | 1.10 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 68.7% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 65.9% | 1.30× | 1.16 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 | 86.2% | 85.9% | 63.0% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 | 84.6% | 81.1% | 60.0% | 1.35× | 1.23 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5 | 82.9% | 81.1% | 57.1% | 1.42× | 1.23 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 | 81.1% | 81.1% | 54.1% | 1.50× | 1.23 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +20.5 | 79.1% | 76.5% | 93.1% | 0.82× | 1.31 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 | 79.1% | 76.5% | 51.6% | 1.48× | 1.31 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 | 77.1% | 76.5% | 49.1% | 1.56× | 1.31 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +18.5 | 74.9% | 71.6% | 91.5% | 0.78× | 1.40 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 | 74.9% | 71.6% | 46.3% | 1.55× | 1.40 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +16.5 | 70.2% | 71.6% | 89.7% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −1.5 | 70.2% | 71.6% | 42.1% | 1.70× | 1.40 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −2.5 | 67.6% | 66.7% | 39.5% | 1.69× | 1.50 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +14.5 | 65.2% | 66.7% | 87.0% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −3.5 | 65.0% | 66.7% | 36.9% | 1.81× | 1.50 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −4.5 | 62.3% | 61.9% | 34.3% | 1.81× | 1.62 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +12.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 83.9% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −5.5 | 59.6% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.78× | 1.75 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −6.5 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 29.4% | 1.94× | 1.75 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +10.5 | 54.4% | 52.4% | 80.3% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −7.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 27.0% | 1.94× | 1.91 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +9.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 78.1% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −8.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 24.3% | 2.15× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −9.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 21.9% | 2.18× | 2.10 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 75.7% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 73.0% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −10.5 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 19.7% | 2.41× | 2.10 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 | 43.2% | 42.9% | 70.6% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −12.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 16.1% | 2.66× | 2.33 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 | 40.4% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 | 37.7% | 38.1% | 65.7% | 0.58× | 2.63 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −14.5 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 13.0% | 2.56× | 3.01 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 | 35.0% | 33.3% | 63.1% | 0.53× | 3.01 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +2.5 | 32.4% | 33.3% | 60.5% | 0.55× | 3.01 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −16.5 | 29.8% | 28.4% | 10.3% | 2.74× | 3.53 |
| Milwaukee Bucks +1.5 | 29.8% | 28.4% | 57.9% | 0.49× | 3.53 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −18.5 | 25.1% | 28.4% | 8.5% | 3.33× | 3.53 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −1.5 | 25.1% | 28.4% | 53.7% | 0.53× | 3.53 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −2.5 | 22.9% | 23.5% | 50.9% | 0.46× | 4.25 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers −20.5 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 6.9% | 3.42× | 4.25 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −3.5 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 48.4% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −4.5 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 46.0% | 0.41× | 5.29 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −5.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% | 42.9% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −6.5 | 15.4% | 18.9% | 40.0% | 0.47× | 5.30 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −7.5 | 13.8% | 14.1% | 37.0% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −8.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 34.1% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −9.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 31.3% | 0.45× | 7.09 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −10.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 29.0% | 0.31× | 11.25 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −12.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −14.5 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −16.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 16.5% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −18.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Milwaukee Bucks −20.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.7% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.3% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.9% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT | 55.6% | 56.8% | 30.9% | 1.84× | 1.76 |
| Milwaukee Bucks at HT / Milwaukee Bucks at FT | 18.4% | 15.5% | 40.8% | 0.38× | 6.47 |
| Milwaukee Bucks at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers at HT / Milwaukee Bucks at FT | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Milwaukee Bucks at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win | 72.6% | 68.7% | 44.3% | 1.55× | 1.46 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win | 27.4% | 31.3% | 55.7% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Milwaukee Bucks odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.1% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q1 | 58.1% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win Q1 | 37.2% | 38.2% | 51.3% | 0.74× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 66.5 | 84.4% | 82.8% | 86.1% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 50.5 | 80.9% | 82.8% | 79.4% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 74.4% | 72.7% | 76.8% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 69.9% | 67.6% | 68.2% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 66.3% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 61.2% | 61.7% | 59.2% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 57.3% | 58.6% | 60.0% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 42.7% | 41.4% | 40.0% | 1.03× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 38.8% | 38.3% | 40.8% | 0.94× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 33.7% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 30.1% | 32.4% | 31.8% | 1.02× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 25.6% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 1.17× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 50.5 | 19.1% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 0.84× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 66.5 | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 1.23× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q2 | 58.0% | 59.4% | 46.2% | 1.28× | 1.68 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win Q2 | 37.4% | 35.8% | 49.3% | 0.73× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 49.5 | 82.9% | 83.0% | 81.8% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 65.5 | 82.1% | 83.0% | 83.6% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 72.6% | 72.0% | 70.3% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 71.6% | 72.0% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 64.3% | 60.7% | 61.1% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 63.1% | 60.7% | 65.7% | 0.92× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 51.7% | 1.12× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 54.1% | 52.7% | 57.3% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 47.3% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 52.7% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 42.7% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 48.3% | 0.87× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 36.9% | 39.3% | 34.3% | 1.15× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 35.7% | 39.3% | 38.9% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 28.4% | 28.0% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 29.7% | 0.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 65.5 | 17.9% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 1.04× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 49.5 | 17.1% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.93× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q3 | 58.1% | 56.8% | 44.3% | 1.28× | 1.76 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win Q3 | 37.4% | 38.8% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 66.5 | 84.1% | 82.3% | 84.7% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 50.5 | 81.7% | 82.3% | 79.7% | 1.03× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 74.0% | 71.8% | 75.9% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 70.7% | 71.8% | 68.3% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 65.8% | 67.8% | 67.7% | 1.00× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 62.1% | 61.9% | 59.9% | 1.03× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 56.7% | 58.4% | 59.0% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 50.2% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 54.8% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 45.2% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 49.8% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 41.0% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 37.9% | 38.1% | 40.1% | 0.95× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 34.2% | 32.2% | 32.3% | 1.00× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 29.3% | 28.2% | 31.7% | 0.89× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 24.1% | 1.17× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 50.5 | 18.3% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 0.87× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 15.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 1.16× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q4 | 57.8% | 52.1% | 46.4% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win Q4 | 37.4% | 42.4% | 48.3% | 0.88× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 63.5 | 82.7% | 82.0% | 83.7% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 47.5 | 81.6% | 82.0% | 79.0% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 72.5% | 71.5% | 74.2% | 0.96× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 71.1% | 71.5% | 68.5% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 64.3% | 61.4% | 66.2% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 62.7% | 61.4% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 55.4% | 58.4% | 57.2% | 1.02× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 53.8% | 52.5% | 51.4% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 50.8% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 49.2% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 46.2% | 47.5% | 48.6% | 0.98× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 44.6% | 41.6% | 42.8% | 0.97× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 37.3% | 38.6% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 35.7% | 38.6% | 33.8% | 1.14× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 28.9% | 28.5% | 31.5% | 0.91× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 27.5% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 1.11× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 47.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 0.86× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 17.3% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 1.11× | 5.56 |
Team total 66
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 129.5 | 81.9% | 80.7% | 90.0% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 120.5 | 81.0% | 80.7% | 66.3% | 1.22× | 1.24 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 102.5 | 79.7% | 78.3% | 84.2% | 0.93× | 1.28 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 106.5 | 79.7% | 78.3% | 68.9% | 1.14× | 1.28 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 122.5 | 79.4% | 78.3% | 71.8% | 1.09× | 1.28 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 100.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 87.7% | 0.86× | 1.33 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 109.5 | 78.8% | 75.1% | 60.9% | 1.23× | 1.33 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 119.5 | 71.7% | 71.8% | 63.5% | 1.13× | 1.39 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 123.5 | 71.8% | 71.8% | 79.5% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 117.5 | 73.4% | 70.7% | 57.8% | 1.22× | 1.41 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 126.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 85.3% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 103.5 | 71.2% | 70.7% | 82.1% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 112.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 51.5% | 1.37× | 1.41 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 111.5 | 66.1% | 66.6% | 54.6% | 1.22× | 1.50 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 121.5 | 66.0% | 66.6% | 74.7% | 0.89× | 1.50 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 124.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 81.4% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 115.5 | 67.6% | 66.4% | 51.6% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 105.5 | 65.2% | 66.4% | 77.4% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 114.5 | 64.5% | 61.2% | 44.5% | 1.38× | 1.63 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 122.5 | 62.2% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 113.5 | 61.3% | 61.2% | 45.7% | 1.34× | 1.63 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 113.5 | 59.9% | 57.9% | 48.0% | 1.21× | 1.73 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 107.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 72.7% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 116.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 38.5% | 1.48× | 1.75 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 120.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 72.7% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 111.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 38.9% | 1.34× | 1.91 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 110.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 35.9% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 118.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 32.6% | 1.60× | 1.91 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 109.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 67.0% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 119.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 70.3% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 115.5 | 53.4% | 52.2% | 41.4% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 117.5 | 53.2% | 52.2% | 64.4% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 112.5 | 50.2% | 52.2% | 57.7% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 112.5 | 49.8% | 47.8% | 42.3% | 1.13× | 2.09 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 115.5 | 46.6% | 47.8% | 58.6% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 117.5 | 46.8% | 47.8% | 35.6% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 110.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 64.1% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 118.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 67.4% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 109.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 33.0% | 1.45× | 2.09 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 119.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 29.7% | 1.61× | 2.09 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 111.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 61.1% | 0.78× | 2.09 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 120.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 27.3% | 1.57× | 2.33 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 116.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 61.5% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 107.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 27.3% | 1.57× | 2.33 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 113.5 | 40.1% | 42.1% | 52.0% | 0.81× | 2.38 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 113.5 | 38.7% | 38.8% | 54.3% | 0.72× | 2.58 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 122.5 | 37.8% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.71× | 2.58 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 114.5 | 35.5% | 38.8% | 55.5% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 105.5 | 34.8% | 33.6% | 22.6% | 1.49× | 2.98 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 115.5 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 48.4% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 124.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 18.6% | 1.81× | 2.98 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 121.5 | 34.0% | 33.4% | 25.3% | 1.32× | 2.99 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 111.5 | 33.9% | 33.4% | 45.4% | 0.74× | 2.99 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 103.5 | 28.8% | 29.3% | 17.9% | 1.64× | 3.42 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 112.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 48.5% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 117.5 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 42.2% | 0.69× | 3.42 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 126.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 14.7% | 1.99× | 3.42 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 119.5 | 28.3% | 28.2% | 36.5% | 0.77× | 3.55 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 123.5 | 28.2% | 28.2% | 20.5% | 1.37× | 3.55 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 100.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 12.3% | 2.02× | 4.02 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 109.5 | 21.2% | 24.9% | 39.1% | 0.64× | 4.02 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 122.5 | 20.6% | 21.7% | 28.2% | 0.77× | 4.60 |
| Milwaukee Bucks under 102.5 | 20.3% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 1.37× | 4.61 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers under 106.5 | 20.3% | 21.7% | 31.1% | 0.70× | 4.60 |
| Milwaukee Bucks over 120.5 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 33.7% | 0.57× | 5.18 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers over 129.5 | 18.1% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 1.94× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 249.5 points | 86.8% | 85.0% | 85.3% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Over 209.5 points | 85.5% | 85.0% | 82.9% | 1.03× | 1.18 |
| Under 244.5 points | 80.1% | 80.6% | 79.5% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| Over 214.5 points | 78.4% | 75.6% | 75.1% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Under 239.5 points | 71.7% | 70.8% | 72.5% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Over 219.5 points | 69.6% | 65.9% | 66.1% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Under 236.5 points | 65.9% | 65.9% | 67.3% | 0.98× | 1.52 |
| Over 222.5 points | 63.8% | 61.5% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Under 234.5 points | 61.8% | 61.5% | 63.3% | 0.97× | 1.63 |
| Over 224.5 points | 59.6% | 56.5% | 56.5% | 1.00× | 1.77 |
| Under 232.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 59.4% | 0.95× | 1.77 |
| Over 226.5 points | 55.4% | 56.5% | 52.7% | 1.07× | 1.77 |
| Under 230.5 points | 53.3% | 52.3% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Over 228.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Under 229.5 points | 51.2% | 52.3% | 53.3% | 0.98× | 1.91 |
| Under 228.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Over 229.5 points | 48.8% | 47.7% | 46.7% | 1.02× | 2.10 |
| Over 230.5 points | 46.7% | 47.7% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Under 226.5 points | 44.6% | 43.5% | 47.3% | 0.92× | 2.30 |
| Over 232.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 40.6% | 1.07× | 2.30 |
| Under 224.5 points | 40.4% | 43.5% | 43.5% | 1.00× | 2.30 |
| Over 234.5 points | 38.2% | 38.5% | 36.7% | 1.05× | 2.60 |
| Under 222.5 points | 36.2% | 38.5% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.60 |
| Over 236.5 points | 34.1% | 34.1% | 32.7% | 1.04× | 2.93 |
| Under 219.5 points | 30.4% | 34.1% | 33.9% | 1.01× | 2.93 |
| Over 239.5 points | 28.3% | 29.2% | 27.5% | 1.06× | 3.43 |
| Under 214.5 points | 21.6% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 0.98× | 4.10 |
| Over 244.5 points | 19.9% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 0.95× | 5.15 |
| Under 209.5 points | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 0.87× | 6.68 |
| Over 249.5 points | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 1.02× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers to win both halves | 38.2% | 36.3% | 17.8% | 2.03× | 2.75 |
| Milwaukee Bucks to win both halves | 9.3% | 8.8% | 25.2% | 0.35× | 11.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers by 1-5 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers by 11-15 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers by 26+ | 12.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.19× | 8.11 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers by 16-20 | 11.3% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| Milwaukee Bucks by 1-5 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers by 21-25 | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Milwaukee Bucks by 6-10 | 7.4% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| Milwaukee Bucks by 11-15 | 4.7% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.29 |
| Milwaukee Bucks by 16-20 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.30 |
| Milwaukee Bucks by 21-25 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Milwaukee Bucks by 26+ | 1.0% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.32 |