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Nevada Wolf Pack v Pacific Tigers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Nevada Wolf Pack win
76.5%
Draw
0.0%
Pacific Tigers win
23.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 72.86–65.34 73-65 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack to score 100+ 0.3% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.29
Nevada Wolf Pack to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.35
Nevada Wolf Pack to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Nevada Wolf Pack to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Pacific Tigers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.35
Pacific Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Pacific Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Pacific Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack to win H1 64.2% 62.3% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
Nevada Wolf Pack to win H1 64.1% 62.3% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
Pacific Tigers to win H1 31.6% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
Pacific Tigers to win H1 31.7% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 53.5 87.0% 87.7% 92.6% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 77.5 87.3% 87.7% 78.3% 1.12× 1.14
H1 under 73.5 78.4% 77.4% 66.6% 1.16× 1.29
H1 over 57.5 78.0% 77.4% 85.5% 0.91× 1.29
H1 over 57.5 77.2% 77.4% 85.5% 0.91× 1.29
H1 under 73.5 77.7% 77.4% 66.6% 1.16× 1.29
H1 over 60.5 68.4% 67.4% 77.9% 0.86× 1.48
H1 under 70.5 69.0% 67.4% 56.5% 1.19× 1.48
H1 under 70.5 68.4% 67.4% 56.5% 1.19× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 67.8% 67.4% 77.9% 0.86× 1.48
H1 over 62.5 61.1% 62.7% 72.0% 0.87× 1.59
H1 under 68.5 61.8% 62.7% 49.3% 1.27× 1.59
H1 under 68.5 61.5% 62.7% 49.3% 1.27× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 60.8% 62.7% 72.0% 0.87× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 54.2% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 54.1% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 53.5% 52.6% 65.3% 0.81× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 53.4% 52.6% 65.3% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 50.4% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 50.4% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 49.6% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 49.6% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 64.5 46.5% 47.4% 34.8% 1.36× 2.11
H1 under 64.5 46.6% 47.4% 34.8% 1.36× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 45.8% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 45.9% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 39.2% 37.3% 28.0% 1.33× 2.68
H1 under 62.5 38.9% 37.3% 28.0% 1.33× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 38.2% 37.3% 50.7% 0.74× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 38.5% 37.3% 50.7% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 60.5 32.2% 32.6% 22.1% 1.48× 3.07
H1 under 60.5 31.6% 32.6% 22.1% 1.48× 3.07
H1 over 70.5 31.0% 32.6% 43.5% 0.75× 3.07
H1 over 70.5 31.6% 32.6% 43.5% 0.75× 3.07
H1 under 57.5 22.0% 22.6% 14.5% 1.56× 4.43
H1 under 57.5 22.8% 22.6% 14.5% 1.56× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 22.3% 22.6% 33.4% 0.68× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 21.6% 22.6% 33.4% 0.68× 4.43
H1 under 53.5 13.0% 12.3% 7.4% 1.66× 8.14
H1 over 77.5 12.7% 12.3% 21.7% 0.57× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack to win H2 65.4% 62.7% 56.9% 1.10× 1.59
Nevada Wolf Pack to win H2 65.3% 62.7% 57.5% 1.09× 1.59
Pacific Tigers to win H2 30.6% 36.3% 38.9% 0.93× 2.76
Pacific Tigers to win H2 30.7% 36.3% 38.5% 0.94× 2.76
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 85.5 86.9% 85.2% 73.3% 1.16× 1.17
H2 over 61.5 84.5% 81.8% 91.4% 0.90× 1.22
H2 under 81.5 78.4% 75.8% 65.8% 1.15× 1.32
H2 under 81.5 77.8% 75.8% 62.2% 1.22× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 75.1% 75.8% 83.1% 0.91× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 74.5% 72.2% 84.5% 0.85× 1.39
H2 under 78.5 69.6% 66.4% 56.4% 1.18× 1.51
H2 under 78.5 69.1% 66.4% 53.0% 1.25× 1.51
H2 over 68.5 65.7% 66.4% 75.7% 0.88× 1.51
H2 over 68.5 65.2% 66.4% 77.5% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 76.5 62.9% 61.6% 49.7% 1.24× 1.62
H2 under 76.5 62.6% 61.6% 46.6% 1.32× 1.62
H2 over 70.5 58.7% 57.3% 69.8% 0.82× 1.74
H2 over 70.5 58.5% 57.3% 71.9% 0.80× 1.74
H2 under 74.5 55.8% 57.3% 43.0% 1.33× 1.74
H2 under 74.5 55.7% 57.3% 40.0% 1.43× 1.74
H2 over 72.5 51.5% 52.4% 63.4% 0.83× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 52.2% 52.4% 39.6% 1.32× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 51.4% 52.4% 65.9% 0.79× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 52.1% 52.4% 36.9% 1.42× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 48.5% 47.6% 36.6% 1.30× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 47.8% 47.6% 60.4% 0.79× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 48.6% 47.6% 34.1% 1.40× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 47.9% 47.6% 63.1% 0.76× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 44.2% 42.7% 57.0% 0.75× 2.34
H2 over 74.5 44.3% 42.7% 60.0% 0.71× 2.34
H2 under 70.5 41.5% 42.7% 28.1% 1.52× 2.34
H2 under 70.5 41.3% 42.7% 30.2% 1.41× 2.34
H2 over 76.5 37.1% 38.4% 50.3% 0.76× 2.61
H2 over 76.5 37.4% 38.4% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
H2 under 68.5 34.4% 33.6% 24.3% 1.38× 2.97
H2 under 68.5 34.8% 33.6% 22.5% 1.50× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 30.4% 33.6% 43.6% 0.77× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 30.9% 33.6% 47.0% 0.71× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 25.5% 27.8% 15.5% 1.79× 3.59
H2 under 65.5 24.9% 24.2% 16.9% 1.44× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 21.6% 24.2% 34.2% 0.71× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 22.2% 24.2% 37.8% 0.64× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 15.5% 18.2% 8.6% 2.10× 5.50
H2 over 85.5 13.1% 14.8% 26.7% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack leading at half time 64.1% 62.5% 57.9% 1.08× 1.60
Pacific Tigers leading at half time 31.7% 32.7% 38.2% 0.86× 3.06
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack +20.5 99.5% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Nevada Wolf Pack +12.5 96.8% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Nevada Wolf Pack +14.5 97.9% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Nevada Wolf Pack +16.5 98.7% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Nevada Wolf Pack +18.5 99.2% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Nevada Wolf Pack +10.5 95.2% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Nevada Wolf Pack +9.5 94.2% 91.1% 85.3% 1.07× 1.10
Nevada Wolf Pack +8.5 93.0% 91.1% 83.3% 1.09× 1.10
Nevada Wolf Pack +6.5 90.1% 91.1% 78.8% 1.16× 1.10
Nevada Wolf Pack +7.5 91.7% 91.1% 81.0% 1.13× 1.10
Pacific Tigers +20.5 88.5% 85.9% 86.5% 0.99× 1.16
Nevada Wolf Pack +5.5 88.4% 85.9% 76.4% 1.12× 1.16
Nevada Wolf Pack +4.5 86.4% 85.9% 73.7% 1.17× 1.16
Nevada Wolf Pack +3.5 84.3% 81.1% 70.8% 1.15× 1.23
Pacific Tigers +18.5 84.4% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
Nevada Wolf Pack +2.5 81.9% 81.1% 68.0% 1.19× 1.23
Nevada Wolf Pack +1.5 79.3% 76.5% 65.4% 1.17× 1.31
Pacific Tigers +16.5 79.5% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
Pacific Tigers +14.5 73.7% 71.6% 77.2% 0.93× 1.40
Nevada Wolf Pack −1.5 73.3% 71.6% 60.8% 1.18× 1.40
Nevada Wolf Pack −2.5 70.0% 66.7% 57.7% 1.16× 1.50
Nevada Wolf Pack −3.5 66.4% 66.7% 54.1% 1.23× 1.50
Pacific Tigers +12.5 67.1% 66.7% 72.4% 0.92× 1.50
Nevada Wolf Pack −4.5 62.8% 61.9% 50.7% 1.22× 1.62
Nevada Wolf Pack −5.5 59.1% 57.1% 47.0% 1.21× 1.75
Pacific Tigers +10.5 60.0% 57.1% 67.4% 0.85× 1.75
Nevada Wolf Pack −6.5 55.3% 57.1% 44.3% 1.29× 1.75
Pacific Tigers +9.5 56.2% 57.1% 64.5% 0.88× 1.75
Pacific Tigers +8.5 52.4% 52.4% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
Nevada Wolf Pack −7.5 51.4% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
Pacific Tigers +7.5 48.6% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Nevada Wolf Pack −8.5 47.6% 47.6% 38.5% 1.24× 2.10
Pacific Tigers +6.5 44.7% 42.9% 55.7% 0.77× 2.33
Nevada Wolf Pack −9.5 43.8% 42.9% 35.5% 1.21× 2.33
Pacific Tigers +5.5 40.9% 42.9% 53.0% 0.81× 2.33
Nevada Wolf Pack −10.5 40.0% 42.9% 32.6% 1.32× 2.33
Pacific Tigers +4.5 37.2% 38.1% 49.3% 0.77× 2.63
Pacific Tigers +3.5 33.6% 33.3% 45.9% 0.73× 3.01
Nevada Wolf Pack −12.5 32.9% 33.3% 27.6% 1.20× 3.01
Pacific Tigers +2.5 30.1% 33.3% 42.3% 0.79× 3.01
Pacific Tigers +1.5 26.7% 28.4% 39.2% 0.72× 3.53
Nevada Wolf Pack −14.5 26.3% 28.4% 22.8% 1.24× 3.53
Pacific Tigers −1.5 20.7% 23.5% 34.6% 0.68× 4.25
Nevada Wolf Pack −16.5 20.5% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.25
Pacific Tigers −2.5 18.1% 18.9% 32.0% 0.59× 5.29
Pacific Tigers −3.5 15.7% 18.9% 29.3% 0.65× 5.30
Nevada Wolf Pack −18.5 15.6% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.30
Pacific Tigers −4.5 13.6% 14.1% 26.3% 0.54× 7.09
Pacific Tigers −5.5 11.6% 14.1% 23.6% 0.60× 7.09
Nevada Wolf Pack −20.5 11.5% 14.1% 13.5% 1.05× 7.09
Pacific Tigers −6.5 9.9% 8.9% 21.2% 0.42× 11.25
Pacific Tigers −7.5 8.3% 8.9% 19.0% 0.47× 11.25
Pacific Tigers −8.5 7.0% 8.9% 16.7% 0.53× 11.25
Pacific Tigers −9.5 5.8% 8.9% 14.7% 0.61× 11.25
Pacific Tigers −10.5 4.8% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.72
Pacific Tigers −12.5 3.2% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.73
Pacific Tigers −14.5 2.1% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.73
Pacific Tigers −16.5 1.3% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Pacific Tigers −18.5 0.8% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Pacific Tigers −20.5 0.5% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 77.6% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 76.1% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 23.9% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 22.4% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack at HT / Nevada Wolf Pack at FT 56.8% 56.8% 48.6% 1.17× 1.76
Pacific Tigers at HT / Nevada Wolf Pack at FT 16.7% 15.5% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
Pacific Tigers at HT / Pacific Tigers at FT 15.0% 12.2% 25.8% 0.47× 8.17
Nevada Wolf Pack at HT / Pacific Tigers at FT 7.4% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.09
Level at HT / Nevada Wolf Pack at FT 3.0% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Pacific Tigers at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack to win 76.5% 75.1% 63.2% 1.19× 1.33
Pacific Tigers to win 23.5% 24.9% 36.8% 0.68× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Nevada Wolf Pack even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Pacific Tigers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Nevada Wolf Pack odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Pacific Tigers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.1% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.9% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.65
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack under 83.5 85.9% 83.9% 73.5% 1.14× 1.19
Pacific Tigers under 75.5 85.8% 83.9% 64.7% 1.30× 1.19
Pacific Tigers over 55.5 84.9% 80.7% 91.3% 0.88× 1.24
Nevada Wolf Pack over 63.5 83.6% 80.7% 85.4% 0.95× 1.24
Nevada Wolf Pack under 80.5 77.9% 75.1% 64.9% 1.16× 1.33
Pacific Tigers over 58.5 76.2% 75.1% 86.2% 0.87× 1.33
Pacific Tigers under 72.5 77.6% 75.1% 55.3% 1.36× 1.33
Nevada Wolf Pack over 66.5 74.8% 70.7% 78.7% 0.90× 1.41
Nevada Wolf Pack under 78.5 71.3% 70.7% 58.4% 1.21× 1.41
Pacific Tigers under 70.5 70.9% 70.7% 48.7% 1.45× 1.41
Pacific Tigers over 60.5 69.2% 66.4% 82.0% 0.81× 1.51
Nevada Wolf Pack over 68.5 67.9% 66.4% 72.7% 0.91× 1.51
Nevada Wolf Pack under 76.5 63.9% 61.2% 52.3% 1.17× 1.63
Pacific Tigers under 68.5 63.3% 61.2% 41.6% 1.47× 1.63
Pacific Tigers over 62.5 61.4% 61.2% 76.6% 0.80× 1.63
Nevada Wolf Pack over 70.5 60.2% 61.2% 66.7% 0.92× 1.63
Nevada Wolf Pack under 74.5 56.0% 57.1% 45.9% 1.24× 1.75
Pacific Tigers under 66.5 55.2% 57.1% 35.3% 1.62× 1.75
Nevada Wolf Pack over 72.5 52.2% 52.3% 60.8% 0.86× 1.91
Nevada Wolf Pack under 73.5 51.9% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Pacific Tigers over 64.5 53.2% 52.3% 70.7% 0.74× 1.91
Pacific Tigers under 65.5 51.0% 52.3% 32.2% 1.62× 1.91
Nevada Wolf Pack under 72.5 47.8% 47.7% 39.2% 1.22× 2.09
Nevada Wolf Pack over 73.5 48.1% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.09
Pacific Tigers under 64.5 46.8% 47.7% 29.3% 1.63× 2.09
Pacific Tigers over 65.5 49.0% 47.7% 67.8% 0.70× 2.09
Pacific Tigers over 66.5 44.8% 42.9% 64.7% 0.66× 2.33
Nevada Wolf Pack over 74.5 44.0% 42.9% 54.1% 0.79× 2.33
Nevada Wolf Pack under 70.5 39.8% 38.8% 33.3% 1.16× 2.58
Pacific Tigers under 62.5 38.6% 38.8% 23.4% 1.66× 2.58
Pacific Tigers over 68.5 36.7% 38.8% 58.4% 0.66× 2.58
Nevada Wolf Pack over 76.5 36.1% 38.8% 47.7% 0.81× 2.58
Nevada Wolf Pack under 68.5 32.1% 33.6% 27.3% 1.23× 2.98
Pacific Tigers under 60.5 30.8% 33.6% 18.0% 1.86× 2.98
Nevada Wolf Pack over 78.5 28.7% 29.3% 41.6% 0.70× 3.42
Pacific Tigers over 70.5 29.1% 29.3% 51.4% 0.57× 3.42
Nevada Wolf Pack under 66.5 25.2% 29.3% 21.3% 1.37× 3.42
Pacific Tigers under 58.5 23.8% 24.9% 13.8% 1.81× 4.02
Pacific Tigers over 72.5 22.4% 24.9% 44.7% 0.56× 4.02
Nevada Wolf Pack over 80.5 22.1% 24.9% 35.1% 0.71× 4.02
Nevada Wolf Pack under 63.5 16.4% 19.3% 14.6% 1.32× 5.18
Pacific Tigers under 55.5 15.1% 19.3% 8.7% 2.22× 5.18
Nevada Wolf Pack over 83.5 14.1% 16.1% 26.5% 0.61× 6.21
Pacific Tigers over 75.5 14.2% 16.1% 35.3% 0.46× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 158.5 points 89.7% 85.0% 73.3% 1.16× 1.18
Over 118.5 points 89.4% 85.0% 94.7% 0.90× 1.18
Under 153.5 points 83.0% 80.6% 64.6% 1.25× 1.24
Over 123.5 points 82.3% 80.6% 90.5% 0.89× 1.24
Under 148.5 points 73.8% 70.8% 54.3% 1.31× 1.41
Over 128.5 points 73.1% 70.8% 84.5% 0.84× 1.41
Under 145.5 points 67.5% 65.9% 48.2% 1.37× 1.52
Over 131.5 points 66.4% 65.9% 79.9% 0.82× 1.52
Under 143.5 points 62.8% 61.5% 43.7% 1.41× 1.63
Over 133.5 points 61.7% 61.5% 76.4% 0.80× 1.63
Under 141.5 points 58.0% 56.5% 39.6% 1.43× 1.77
Over 135.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 72.9% 0.78× 1.77
Under 139.5 points 53.1% 52.3% 35.4% 1.48× 1.91
Over 137.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 69.0% 0.76× 1.91
Under 138.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 33.0% 1.59× 1.91
Over 138.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 67.0% 0.71× 2.10
Over 139.5 points 46.9% 47.7% 64.6% 0.74× 2.10
Under 137.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 31.0% 1.54× 2.10
Under 135.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 27.1% 1.60× 2.30
Over 141.5 points 42.0% 43.5% 60.4% 0.72× 2.30
Under 133.5 points 38.3% 38.5% 23.6% 1.63× 2.60
Over 143.5 points 37.2% 38.5% 56.3% 0.68× 2.60
Under 131.5 points 33.6% 34.1% 20.1% 1.70× 2.93
Over 145.5 points 32.5% 34.1% 51.8% 0.66× 2.93
Under 128.5 points 26.9% 29.2% 15.5% 1.89× 3.43
Over 148.5 points 26.2% 29.2% 45.7% 0.64× 3.43
Under 123.5 points 17.7% 19.4% 9.5% 2.05× 5.15
Over 153.5 points 17.0% 19.4% 35.4% 0.55× 5.15
Over 158.5 points 10.3% 15.0% 26.7% 0.56× 6.69
Under 118.5 points 10.6% 15.0% 5.3% 2.80× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack to win both halves 38.6% 36.3% 33.2% 1.09× 2.75
Pacific Tigers to win both halves 6.8% 8.8% 14.5% 0.61× 11.32
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nevada Wolf Pack by 6-10 19.0% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Nevada Wolf Pack by 1-5 17.5% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Nevada Wolf Pack by 11-15 16.7% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Pacific Tigers by 1-5 11.9% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.11
Nevada Wolf Pack by 16-20 11.9% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Pacific Tigers by 6-10 6.8% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Nevada Wolf Pack by 21-25 6.8% 7.5% 5.6% 1.34× 13.40
Nevada Wolf Pack by 26+ 4.7% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.29
Pacific Tigers by 11-15 3.2% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.30
Pacific Tigers by 16-20 1.2% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
Pacific Tigers by 21-25 0.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.32
Pacific Tigers by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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