New Orleans Pelicans v Sacramento Kings — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

New Orleans Pelicans

20:00

Sacramento Kings

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

New Orleans Pelicans win

68.9%

Draw

0.0%

Sacramento Kings win

31.1%

69031

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	69031	122.40–115.44	122-115 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to score 100+	97.4%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Sacramento Kings to score 100+	91.3%	90.3%	85.9%	1.05×	1.11
Both sides to score 100+	89.1%	85.0%	77.5%	1.10×	1.18
New Orleans Pelicans to score 110+	86.4%	85.0%	67.0%	1.27×	1.18
Sacramento Kings to score 110+	69.1%	63.9%	60.9%	1.05×	1.57
New Orleans Pelicans to score 120+	60.0%	61.8%	36.5%	1.69×	1.62
Sacramento Kings to score 120+	36.1%	35.9%	29.7%	1.21×	2.78
New Orleans Pelicans to score 130+	27.7%	27.5%	12.8%	2.15×	3.63
Sacramento Kings to score 130+	11.4%	13.8%	10.0%	1.38×	7.24

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win H1	60.8%	62.2%	52.8%	1.18×	1.61
Sacramento Kings to win H1	35.8%	37.8%	44.1%	0.86×	2.64
H1 tied	3.3%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 130.5	82.6%	83.2%	89.6%	0.93×	1.20
H1 over 106.5	81.2%	83.2%	73.3%	1.14×	1.20
H1 under 132.5	83.1%	82.5%	92.0%	0.90×	1.21
H1 over 108.5	81.2%	82.5%	67.7%	1.22×	1.21
H1 under 126.5	73.7%	74.0%	82.8%	0.89×	1.35
H1 over 110.5	72.0%	74.0%	61.9%	1.19×	1.35
H1 under 128.5	74.2%	73.5%	86.7%	0.85×	1.36
H1 over 112.5	71.9%	73.5%	55.8%	1.32×	1.36
H1 under 125.5	66.3%	67.4%	80.7%	0.84×	1.48
H1 over 113.5	63.8%	63.3%	52.4%	1.21×	1.58
H1 over 115.5	63.6%	62.7%	46.4%	1.35×	1.59
H1 under 123.5	60.5%	62.7%	76.0%	0.83×	1.59
H1 over 117.5	57.7%	58.2%	40.4%	1.44×	1.72
H1 under 121.5	54.5%	52.6%	71.2%	0.74×	1.90
H1 over 119.5	51.6%	52.6%	34.1%	1.55×	1.90
H1 under 120.5	51.4%	52.6%	68.4%	0.77×	1.90
H1 under 118.5	51.1%	52.5%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 118.5	48.9%	47.5%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 under 119.5	48.4%	47.4%	65.9%	0.72×	2.11
H1 over 120.5	48.6%	47.4%	31.6%	1.50×	2.11
H1 over 121.5	45.5%	47.4%	28.8%	1.64×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	42.3%	41.8%	59.6%	0.70×	2.39
H1 over 123.5	39.5%	37.3%	24.0%	1.55×	2.68
H1 under 115.5	36.4%	37.3%	53.6%	0.70×	2.68
H1 under 113.5	36.2%	36.7%	47.6%	0.77×	2.72
H1 over 125.5	33.7%	32.6%	19.3%	1.69×	3.07
H1 under 112.5	28.1%	26.5%	44.2%	0.60×	3.77
H1 over 128.5	25.8%	26.5%	13.3%	1.99×	3.77
H1 under 110.5	28.0%	26.1%	38.1%	0.68×	3.84
H1 over 126.5	26.3%	26.0%	17.2%	1.51×	3.84
H1 under 108.5	18.8%	17.5%	32.3%	0.54×	5.72
H1 over 132.5	16.9%	17.5%	8.0%	2.18×	5.73
H1 under 106.5	18.8%	16.8%	26.7%	0.63×	5.96
H1 over 130.5	17.4%	16.8%	10.4%	1.62×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win H2	60.7%	58.8%	51.6%	1.14×	1.70
Sacramento Kings to win H2	36.0%	41.2%	44.7%	0.92×	2.43
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 130.5	83.8%	81.8%	88.9%	0.92×	1.22
H2 over 106.5	81.0%	81.8%	68.8%	1.19×	1.22
H2 under 128.5	83.3%	81.5%	86.3%	0.95×	1.23
H2 over 104.5	81.1%	81.5%	73.9%	1.10×	1.23
H2 under 126.5	75.0%	75.8%	83.2%	0.91×	1.32
H2 under 124.5	74.4%	72.5%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
H2 over 108.5	71.7%	72.5%	63.8%	1.14×	1.38
H2 over 110.5	71.5%	72.2%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
H2 under 123.5	67.1%	66.4%	76.9%	0.86×	1.51
H2 over 111.5	63.4%	62.6%	55.3%	1.13×	1.60
H2 over 113.5	63.1%	61.6%	49.9%	1.23×	1.62
H2 under 121.5	61.3%	61.6%	72.0%	0.86×	1.62
H2 over 115.5	57.1%	57.3%	44.6%	1.29×	1.74
H2 under 119.5	55.3%	57.3%	66.4%	0.86×	1.74
H2 under 118.5	52.2%	52.4%	63.6%	0.82×	1.91
H2 over 117.5	50.9%	52.4%	38.9%	1.34×	1.91
H2 under 116.5	51.7%	52.0%	58.1%	0.90×	1.92
H2 over 116.5	48.3%	48.0%	41.9%	1.14×	2.09
H2 under 117.5	49.1%	47.6%	61.1%	0.78×	2.10
H2 over 118.5	47.8%	47.6%	36.4%	1.31×	2.10
H2 over 119.5	44.7%	42.7%	33.6%	1.27×	2.34
H2 under 115.5	42.9%	42.7%	55.4%	0.77×	2.34
H2 over 121.5	38.7%	38.4%	28.0%	1.37×	2.61
H2 under 113.5	36.9%	38.4%	50.1%	0.77×	2.61
H2 under 111.5	36.6%	37.4%	44.7%	0.84×	2.67
H2 over 123.5	32.9%	33.6%	23.1%	1.45×	2.97
H2 under 110.5	28.5%	27.8%	41.9%	0.66×	3.59
H2 under 108.5	28.3%	27.5%	36.2%	0.76×	3.63
H2 over 124.5	25.6%	27.5%	20.9%	1.32×	3.64
H2 over 126.5	25.0%	24.2%	16.8%	1.44×	4.13
H2 under 104.5	18.9%	18.5%	26.1%	0.71×	5.41
H2 over 128.5	16.8%	18.5%	13.7%	1.34×	5.41
H2 under 106.5	19.0%	18.2%	31.2%	0.58×	5.50
H2 over 130.5	16.2%	18.2%	11.1%	1.64×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans leading at half time	60.8%	62.5%	52.8%	1.18×	1.60
Sacramento Kings leading at half time	35.8%	37.8%	44.1%	0.86×	2.64
Level at half time	3.3%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans +18.5	95.9%	97.4%	91.5%	1.06×	1.03
New Orleans Pelicans +20.5	97.0%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
New Orleans Pelicans +16.5	94.6%	91.1%	89.7%	1.02×	1.10
New Orleans Pelicans +14.5	92.9%	91.1%	87.0%	1.05×	1.10
New Orleans Pelicans +12.5	90.8%	91.1%	83.9%	1.09×	1.10
New Orleans Pelicans +9.5	86.9%	85.9%	78.1%	1.10×	1.16
New Orleans Pelicans +10.5	88.3%	85.9%	80.3%	1.07×	1.16
New Orleans Pelicans +8.5	85.3%	85.9%	75.7%	1.13×	1.16
New Orleans Pelicans +7.5	83.7%	81.1%	73.0%	1.11×	1.23
New Orleans Pelicans +6.5	81.9%	81.1%	70.6%	1.15×	1.23
Sacramento Kings +20.5	82.0%	81.1%	89.1%	0.91×	1.23
New Orleans Pelicans +5.5	80.0%	81.1%	68.0%	1.19×	1.23
New Orleans Pelicans +4.5	78.0%	76.5%	65.7%	1.16×	1.31
Sacramento Kings +18.5	78.2%	76.5%	86.4%	0.89×	1.31
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5	75.9%	76.5%	63.1%	1.21×	1.31
New Orleans Pelicans +2.5	73.7%	71.6%	60.5%	1.18×	1.40
Sacramento Kings +16.5	73.8%	71.6%	83.5%	0.86×	1.40
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5	71.3%	71.6%	57.9%	1.24×	1.40
Sacramento Kings +14.5	69.1%	66.7%	80.1%	0.83×	1.50
New Orleans Pelicans −1.5	66.3%	66.7%	53.7%	1.24×	1.50
Sacramento Kings +12.5	64.0%	61.9%	76.0%	0.82×	1.62
New Orleans Pelicans −2.5	63.6%	61.9%	50.9%	1.22×	1.62
New Orleans Pelicans −3.5	60.9%	61.9%	48.4%	1.28×	1.62
New Orleans Pelicans −4.5	58.2%	57.1%	46.0%	1.24×	1.75
Sacramento Kings +10.5	58.6%	57.1%	71.0%	0.80×	1.75
New Orleans Pelicans −5.5	55.4%	57.1%	42.9%	1.33×	1.75
Sacramento Kings +9.5	55.9%	57.1%	68.7%	0.83×	1.75
Sacramento Kings +8.5	53.1%	52.4%	65.9%	0.80×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans −6.5	52.6%	52.4%	40.0%	1.31×	1.91
Sacramento Kings +7.5	50.3%	52.4%	63.0%	0.83×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans −7.5	49.7%	47.6%	37.0%	1.29×	2.10
Sacramento Kings +6.5	47.4%	47.6%	60.0%	0.79×	2.10
New Orleans Pelicans −8.5	46.9%	47.6%	34.1%	1.40×	2.10
Sacramento Kings +5.5	44.6%	42.9%	57.1%	0.75×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans −9.5	44.1%	42.9%	31.3%	1.37×	2.33
Sacramento Kings +4.5	41.8%	42.9%	54.1%	0.79×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans −10.5	41.4%	42.9%	29.0%	1.48×	2.33
Sacramento Kings +3.5	39.1%	38.1%	51.6%	0.74×	2.63
Sacramento Kings +2.5	36.4%	38.1%	49.1%	0.78×	2.63
New Orleans Pelicans −12.5	36.0%	38.1%	24.0%	1.58×	2.63
Sacramento Kings +1.5	33.7%	33.3%	46.3%	0.72×	3.01
New Orleans Pelicans −14.5	30.9%	33.3%	19.9%	1.68×	3.01
Sacramento Kings −1.5	28.7%	28.4%	42.1%	0.67×	3.53
Sacramento Kings −2.5	26.3%	28.4%	39.5%	0.72×	3.53
New Orleans Pelicans −16.5	26.2%	28.4%	16.5%	1.72×	3.53
Sacramento Kings −3.5	24.1%	23.5%	36.9%	0.64×	4.25
Sacramento Kings −4.5	22.0%	23.5%	34.3%	0.69×	4.25
New Orleans Pelicans −18.5	21.8%	23.5%	13.6%	1.73×	4.25
Sacramento Kings −5.5	20.0%	18.9%	32.0%	0.59×	5.29
Sacramento Kings −6.5	18.1%	18.9%	29.4%	0.64×	5.29
New Orleans Pelicans −20.5	18.0%	18.9%	10.9%	1.74×	5.29
Sacramento Kings −7.5	16.3%	18.9%	27.0%	0.70×	5.30
Sacramento Kings −8.5	14.7%	14.1%	24.3%	0.58×	7.09
Sacramento Kings −9.5	13.1%	14.1%	21.9%	0.65×	7.09
Sacramento Kings −10.5	11.7%	14.1%	19.7%	0.71×	7.09
Sacramento Kings −12.5	9.2%	8.9%	16.1%	0.55×	11.25
Sacramento Kings −14.5	7.1%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
Sacramento Kings −16.5	5.4%	8.9%	10.3%	0.86×	11.25
Sacramento Kings −18.5	4.1%	2.6%	8.5%	0.30×	38.72
Sacramento Kings −20.5	3.0%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.9%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.1%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.9%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT	52.0%	51.1%	40.8%	1.25×	1.96
Sacramento Kings at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT	21.1%	24.4%	30.9%	0.79×	4.10
Sacramento Kings at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT	14.8%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
New Orleans Pelicans at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT	8.8%	8.3%	12.0%	0.69×	12.08
Level at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT	2.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.75
Level at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT	1.2%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win	68.9%	64.5%	55.7%	1.16×	1.55
Sacramento Kings to win	31.1%	35.5%	44.3%	0.80×	2.82

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Sacramento Kings even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
New Orleans Pelicans odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Sacramento Kings odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.7%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.3%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q1	56.3%	57.3%	51.3%	1.12×	1.75
Sacramento Kings to win Q1	39.1%	38.3%	44.1%	0.87×	2.61
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 67.5	83.3%	83.2%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
Q1 over 51.5	81.7%	83.2%	76.0%	1.09×	1.20
Q1 under 68.5	83.7%	82.8%	90.7%	0.91×	1.21
Q1 over 52.5	81.7%	82.8%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Q1 under 64.5	73.1%	73.1%	80.1%	0.91×	1.37
Q1 over 54.5	71.0%	73.1%	63.3%	1.15×	1.37
Q1 under 65.5	73.5%	72.7%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
Q1 over 55.5	70.9%	72.7%	59.2%	1.23×	1.38
Q1 under 63.5	65.2%	67.6%	76.8%	0.88×	1.48
Q1 under 62.5	64.9%	62.3%	72.9%	0.85×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	62.5%	62.3%	54.6%	1.14×	1.61
Q1 over 57.5	62.3%	61.7%	49.6%	1.25×	1.62
Q1 under 61.5	56.2%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	53.4%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 over 59.5	53.2%	52.7%	40.0%	1.32×	1.90
Q1 under 60.5	51.5%	52.7%	64.5%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 60.5	48.5%	47.3%	35.5%	1.33×	2.11
Q1 under 59.5	46.8%	47.3%	60.0%	0.79×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	46.6%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	43.8%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 57.5	37.7%	38.3%	50.4%	0.76×	2.61
Q1 under 56.5	37.5%	37.7%	45.4%	0.83×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	35.1%	37.7%	27.1%	1.39×	2.65
Q1 over 63.5	34.8%	32.4%	23.2%	1.40×	3.08
Q1 under 55.5	29.1%	27.3%	40.8%	0.67×	3.66
Q1 over 65.5	26.5%	27.3%	16.8%	1.62×	3.66
Q1 under 54.5	29.0%	26.9%	36.7%	0.73×	3.72
Q1 over 64.5	26.9%	26.9%	19.9%	1.35×	3.72
Q1 under 52.5	18.3%	17.2%	27.6%	0.62×	5.83
Q1 over 68.5	16.3%	17.2%	9.3%	1.84×	5.83
Q1 under 51.5	18.3%	16.8%	24.0%	0.70×	5.95
Q1 over 67.5	16.7%	16.8%	11.2%	1.49×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q2	56.2%	59.4%	49.3%	1.20×	1.69
Sacramento Kings to win Q2	39.2%	35.8%	46.2%	0.77×	2.79
Q2 tied	4.6%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 67.5	84.1%	83.1%	88.7%	0.94×	1.20
Q2 over 51.5	80.6%	83.1%	74.2%	1.12×	1.20
Q2 under 68.5	84.4%	83.0%	90.6%	0.92×	1.21
Q2 over 52.5	80.6%	83.0%	70.3%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 under 64.5	74.2%	73.0%	80.9%	0.90×	1.37
Q2 under 65.5	74.5%	72.0%	83.6%	0.86×	1.39
Q2 over 54.5	69.7%	67.7%	61.1%	1.11×	1.48
Q2 under 62.5	66.1%	67.6%	74.4%	0.91×	1.48
Q2 over 55.5	69.5%	67.4%	56.3%	1.20×	1.48
Q2 under 63.5	66.5%	67.4%	77.5%	0.87×	1.49
Q2 over 56.5	61.1%	62.0%	51.7%	1.20×	1.61
Q2 over 57.5	60.9%	60.7%	47.3%	1.28×	1.65
Q2 under 61.5	57.6%	58.2%	70.4%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 under 60.5	53.0%	52.7%	65.7%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 59.5	51.7%	52.7%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	52.0%	52.2%	42.7%	1.22×	1.92
Q2 under 58.5	48.0%	47.8%	57.3%	0.83×	2.09
Q2 under 59.5	48.3%	47.3%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
Q2 over 60.5	47.0%	47.3%	34.3%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 over 61.5	42.4%	41.8%	29.6%	1.41×	2.39
Q2 under 57.5	39.1%	39.3%	52.7%	0.75×	2.55
Q2 under 56.5	38.9%	38.0%	48.3%	0.79×	2.63
Q2 over 63.5	33.5%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.06
Q2 under 55.5	30.5%	32.6%	43.7%	0.75×	3.06
Q2 over 62.5	33.9%	32.4%	25.6%	1.26×	3.09
Q2 under 54.5	30.3%	32.3%	38.9%	0.83×	3.10
Q2 over 65.5	25.5%	28.0%	16.4%	1.71×	3.57
Q2 over 64.5	25.8%	27.0%	19.1%	1.41×	3.71
Q2 under 52.5	19.5%	17.0%	29.7%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 over 68.5	15.6%	17.0%	9.4%	1.80×	5.89
Q2 under 51.5	19.4%	16.9%	25.8%	0.66×	5.93
Q2 over 67.5	15.9%	16.9%	11.3%	1.49×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q3	56.2%	56.8%	50.9%	1.12×	1.76
Sacramento Kings to win Q3	39.2%	38.8%	44.3%	0.88×	2.58
Q3 tied	4.6%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 68.5	83.4%	82.3%	89.3%	0.92×	1.22
Q3 over 52.5	82.4%	82.3%	72.2%	1.14×	1.22
Q3 under 67.5	83.1%	82.2%	87.0%	0.94×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	82.4%	82.2%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	72.7%	72.5%	79.2%	0.92×	1.38
Q3 over 54.5	71.8%	72.5%	63.9%	1.14×	1.38
Q3 under 65.5	73.0%	71.8%	82.2%	0.87×	1.39
Q3 over 55.5	71.7%	71.8%	59.9%	1.20×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	64.3%	62.6%	71.9%	0.87×	1.60
Q3 over 56.5	63.4%	62.6%	55.0%	1.14×	1.60
Q3 under 63.5	64.7%	62.0%	75.9%	0.82×	1.61
Q3 over 57.5	63.2%	62.0%	50.2%	1.23×	1.61
Q3 under 61.5	55.5%	58.4%	67.7%	0.86×	1.71
Q3 over 58.5	54.2%	52.6%	45.2%	1.16×	1.90
Q3 over 59.5	54.0%	52.3%	41.0%	1.28×	1.91
Q3 under 60.5	50.8%	52.3%	63.5%	0.82×	1.91
Q3 over 60.5	49.2%	47.7%	36.5%	1.31×	2.10
Q3 under 59.5	46.0%	47.7%	59.0%	0.81×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	45.8%	47.4%	54.8%	0.86×	2.11
Q3 over 61.5	44.5%	41.6%	32.3%	1.29×	2.40
Q3 under 57.5	36.8%	38.1%	49.8%	0.76×	2.63
Q3 over 63.5	35.3%	38.0%	24.1%	1.58×	2.63
Q3 under 56.5	36.6%	37.4%	45.0%	0.83×	2.67
Q3 over 62.5	35.7%	37.4%	28.1%	1.33×	2.67
Q3 under 55.5	28.3%	28.2%	40.1%	0.70×	3.55
Q3 over 65.5	27.0%	28.2%	17.8%	1.58×	3.55
Q3 under 54.5	28.2%	27.5%	36.1%	0.76×	3.64
Q3 over 64.5	27.3%	27.5%	20.8%	1.32×	3.64
Q3 under 51.5	17.6%	17.8%	23.9%	0.74×	5.62
Q3 over 67.5	16.9%	17.8%	13.0%	1.37×	5.63
Q3 under 52.5	17.6%	17.7%	27.8%	0.64×	5.66
Q3 over 68.5	16.6%	17.7%	10.7%	1.65×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q4	56.0%	52.0%	48.3%	1.08×	1.92
Sacramento Kings to win Q4	39.2%	42.4%	46.4%	0.91×	2.36
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 65.5	82.3%	82.0%	88.4%	0.93×	1.22
Q4 over 49.5	82.1%	82.0%	72.3%	1.13×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	82.2%	81.9%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 64.5	81.9%	81.9%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 51.5	71.9%	72.3%	64.7%	1.12×	1.38
Q4 under 61.5	71.4%	72.3%	77.5%	0.93×	1.38
Q4 under 62.5	71.9%	71.5%	80.4%	0.89×	1.40
Q4 over 52.5	71.6%	71.5%	60.4%	1.18×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	63.7%	61.7%	55.7%	1.11×	1.62
Q4 under 59.5	63.2%	61.6%	70.2%	0.88×	1.62
Q4 under 60.5	63.7%	61.4%	74.2%	0.83×	1.63
Q4 over 54.5	63.4%	61.4%	51.4%	1.20×	1.63
Q4 under 58.5	54.8%	52.5%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	54.4%	52.5%	42.8%	1.23×	1.91
Q4 under 57.5	50.2%	52.5%	61.9%	0.85×	1.91
Q4 over 55.5	54.8%	52.4%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 55.5	45.2%	47.6%	52.9%	0.90×	2.10
Q4 over 57.5	49.8%	47.5%	38.1%	1.25×	2.11
Q4 under 56.5	45.6%	47.5%	57.2%	0.83×	2.11
Q4 over 58.5	45.2%	47.5%	33.8%	1.41×	2.11
Q4 under 54.5	36.6%	38.6%	48.6%	0.79×	2.59
Q4 over 60.5	36.3%	38.6%	25.8%	1.50×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	36.8%	38.4%	29.8%	1.29×	2.61
Q4 under 53.5	36.3%	38.3%	44.3%	0.86×	2.61
Q4 under 52.5	28.4%	28.5%	39.6%	0.72×	3.51
Q4 over 62.5	28.1%	28.5%	19.6%	1.45×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	28.6%	27.7%	22.5%	1.23×	3.61
Q4 under 51.5	28.1%	27.7%	35.3%	0.78×	3.61
Q4 over 64.5	18.1%	18.1%	13.7%	1.32×	5.53
Q4 under 48.5	17.8%	18.1%	24.5%	0.74×	5.53
Q4 under 49.5	17.9%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.56
Q4 over 65.5	17.7%	18.0%	11.6%	1.55×	5.56

Team total 76

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sacramento Kings under 125.5	80.7%	80.7%	83.4%	0.97×	1.24
New Orleans Pelicans under 132.5	80.2%	80.7%	91.2%	0.89×	1.24
New Orleans Pelicans over 112.5	80.1%	80.7%	57.7%	1.40×	1.24
Sacramento Kings over 104.5	79.9%	78.3%	75.0%	1.04×	1.28
New Orleans Pelicans over 109.5	79.5%	78.3%	67.0%	1.17×	1.28
Sacramento Kings under 124.5	79.3%	78.3%	81.4%	0.96×	1.28
Sacramento Kings over 105.5	80.0%	75.1%	71.9%	1.05×	1.33
Sacramento Kings over 107.5	72.3%	71.8%	66.6%	1.08×	1.39
New Orleans Pelicans under 126.5	71.9%	71.8%	81.5%	0.88×	1.39
Sacramento Kings under 121.5	71.6%	71.8%	74.7%	0.96×	1.39
New Orleans Pelicans over 115.5	72.3%	70.7%	48.4%	1.46×	1.41
Sacramento Kings over 108.5	72.0%	70.7%	64.0%	1.11×	1.41
Sacramento Kings under 122.5	73.0%	70.7%	77.4%	0.91×	1.41
New Orleans Pelicans under 129.5	72.3%	70.7%	87.2%	0.81×	1.41
Sacramento Kings over 109.5	66.4%	66.6%	60.9%	1.09×	1.50
New Orleans Pelicans under 124.5	66.1%	66.6%	76.8%	0.87×	1.50
New Orleans Pelicans over 114.5	66.0%	66.6%	51.4%	1.30×	1.50
Sacramento Kings under 119.5	65.7%	66.6%	70.3%	0.95×	1.50
Sacramento Kings under 120.5	67.1%	66.4%	72.7%	0.91×	1.51
New Orleans Pelicans over 117.5	66.4%	66.4%	42.2%	1.57×	1.51
New Orleans Pelicans under 127.5	66.4%	66.4%	83.5%	0.80×	1.51
Sacramento Kings over 110.5	66.0%	66.4%	57.9%	1.15×	1.51
Sacramento Kings under 118.5	60.7%	61.2%	67.4%	0.91×	1.63
New Orleans Pelicans over 119.5	60.0%	61.2%	36.5%	1.67×	1.63
Sacramento Kings over 111.5	60.2%	61.2%	54.6%	1.12×	1.64
New Orleans Pelicans over 116.5	59.7%	57.9%	45.3%	1.28×	1.73
Sacramento Kings under 117.5	59.4%	57.9%	64.4%	0.90×	1.73
New Orleans Pelicans under 125.5	60.0%	57.1%	79.1%	0.72×	1.75
Sacramento Kings over 112.5	59.5%	57.1%	51.5%	1.11×	1.75
Sacramento Kings under 116.5	54.0%	52.3%	61.5%	0.85×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans over 121.5	53.4%	52.3%	30.4%	1.72×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans under 123.5	53.3%	52.3%	74.4%	0.70×	1.91
Sacramento Kings over 114.5	52.8%	52.3%	44.5%	1.18×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans over 122.5	50.0%	52.3%	28.2%	1.85×	1.91
Sacramento Kings under 115.5	50.6%	52.3%	58.6%	0.89×	1.91
Sacramento Kings over 113.5	53.7%	52.2%	48.0%	1.09×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans over 118.5	53.3%	52.2%	39.7%	1.32×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans under 120.5	53.3%	52.2%	66.3%	0.79×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans under 118.5	46.7%	47.8%	60.3%	0.79×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans over 120.5	46.7%	47.8%	33.7%	1.42×	2.09
Sacramento Kings under 113.5	46.3%	47.8%	52.0%	0.92×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans under 122.5	50.0%	47.7%	71.8%	0.66×	2.09
Sacramento Kings over 115.5	49.4%	47.7%	41.4%	1.15×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans under 121.5	46.6%	47.7%	69.6%	0.69×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans over 123.5	46.7%	47.7%	25.6%	1.87×	2.09
Sacramento Kings under 114.5	47.2%	47.7%	55.5%	0.86×	2.09
Sacramento Kings over 116.5	46.0%	47.7%	38.5%	1.24×	2.09
Sacramento Kings under 112.5	40.5%	42.9%	48.5%	0.88×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans over 125.5	40.0%	42.9%	20.9%	2.05×	2.33
Sacramento Kings over 117.5	40.6%	42.1%	35.6%	1.18×	2.38
New Orleans Pelicans under 116.5	40.3%	42.1%	54.7%	0.77×	2.38
Sacramento Kings under 111.5	39.8%	38.8%	45.4%	0.85×	2.58
New Orleans Pelicans under 119.5	40.0%	38.8%	63.5%	0.61×	2.58
Sacramento Kings over 118.5	39.3%	38.8%	32.6%	1.19×	2.58
New Orleans Pelicans under 117.5	33.6%	33.6%	57.8%	0.58×	2.98
New Orleans Pelicans over 127.5	33.6%	33.6%	16.5%	2.04×	2.98
Sacramento Kings under 110.5	34.0%	33.6%	42.1%	0.80×	2.98
Sacramento Kings over 120.5	32.9%	33.6%	27.3%	1.23×	2.98
New Orleans Pelicans under 114.5	34.0%	33.4%	48.6%	0.69×	2.99
Sacramento Kings over 119.5	34.3%	33.4%	29.7%	1.13×	2.99
New Orleans Pelicans over 124.5	33.9%	33.4%	23.2%	1.44×	2.99
Sacramento Kings under 109.5	33.6%	33.4%	39.1%	0.86×	2.99
New Orleans Pelicans under 115.5	27.7%	29.3%	51.6%	0.57×	3.42
Sacramento Kings under 108.5	28.0%	29.3%	36.0%	0.81×	3.42
Sacramento Kings over 122.5	27.0%	29.3%	22.6%	1.29×	3.42
New Orleans Pelicans over 129.5	27.7%	29.3%	12.8%	2.28×	3.42
Sacramento Kings over 121.5	28.4%	28.2%	25.3%	1.11×	3.55
New Orleans Pelicans over 126.5	28.1%	28.2%	18.5%	1.53×	3.55
Sacramento Kings under 107.5	27.7%	28.2%	33.4%	0.84×	3.55
Sacramento Kings under 105.5	20.0%	24.9%	28.1%	0.88×	4.02
Sacramento Kings over 124.5	20.7%	21.7%	18.6%	1.17×	4.60
New Orleans Pelicans under 109.5	20.5%	21.7%	33.0%	0.66×	4.60
Sacramento Kings under 104.5	20.1%	21.7%	25.0%	0.87×	4.61
New Orleans Pelicans over 132.5	19.8%	19.3%	8.8%	2.19×	5.18
New Orleans Pelicans under 112.5	19.9%	19.3%	42.3%	0.46×	5.18
Sacramento Kings over 125.5	19.3%	19.3%	16.6%	1.16×	5.18

Total points 48

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 254.5 points	86.1%	85.5%	89.9%	0.95×	1.17
Over 214.5 points	85.2%	85.5%	75.1%	1.14×	1.17
Under 258.5 points	86.9%	85.0%	93.0%	0.91×	1.18
Over 218.5 points	85.4%	85.0%	67.8%	1.25×	1.18
Under 253.5 points	80.3%	80.6%	89.1%	0.90×	1.24
Under 249.5 points	79.4%	78.1%	85.3%	0.92×	1.28
Over 219.5 points	78.1%	78.1%	66.1%	1.18×	1.28
Over 223.5 points	78.2%	75.6%	58.3%	1.30×	1.32
Under 244.5 points	71.0%	71.0%	79.5%	0.89×	1.41
Under 248.5 points	71.9%	70.8%	84.4%	0.84×	1.41
Over 224.5 points	69.6%	66.6%	56.5%	1.18×	1.50
Over 228.5 points	69.4%	65.9%	48.7%	1.35×	1.52
Under 245.5 points	66.2%	65.9%	80.9%	0.81×	1.52
Over 227.5 points	63.7%	61.8%	50.6%	1.22×	1.62
Over 231.5 points	63.4%	61.5%	42.6%	1.44×	1.63
Under 243.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	78.2%	0.79×	1.63
Over 233.5 points	59.3%	56.5%	38.6%	1.46×	1.77
Under 241.5 points	57.9%	56.5%	75.5%	0.75×	1.77
Over 235.5 points	55.0%	56.5%	34.7%	1.63×	1.77
Over 229.5 points	59.7%	56.0%	46.7%	1.20×	1.79
Under 239.5 points	53.6%	52.3%	72.5%	0.72×	1.91
Under 238.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	70.9%	0.74×	1.91
Over 237.5 points	50.7%	52.3%	30.7%	1.70×	1.91
Under 234.5 points	50.8%	52.2%	63.3%	0.82×	1.92
Over 234.5 points	49.2%	47.8%	36.7%	1.30×	2.09
Over 238.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	29.1%	1.64×	2.10
Under 237.5 points	49.3%	47.7%	69.3%	0.69×	2.10
Over 239.5 points	46.4%	47.7%	27.5%	1.73×	2.10
Under 229.5 points	40.3%	44.0%	53.3%	0.82×	2.27
Under 235.5 points	45.0%	43.5%	65.3%	0.67×	2.30
Over 241.5 points	42.1%	43.5%	24.5%	1.78×	2.30
Under 233.5 points	40.7%	43.5%	61.4%	0.71×	2.30
Over 243.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	21.8%	1.77×	2.60
Under 231.5 points	36.6%	38.5%	57.4%	0.67×	2.60
Under 227.5 points	36.3%	38.2%	49.4%	0.77×	2.61
Over 245.5 points	33.8%	34.1%	19.1%	1.78×	2.93
Under 228.5 points	30.6%	34.1%	51.3%	0.67×	2.93
Under 224.5 points	30.4%	33.4%	43.5%	0.77×	3.00
Over 248.5 points	28.1%	29.2%	15.6%	1.87×	3.43
Over 244.5 points	29.0%	29.0%	20.5%	1.41×	3.45
Under 223.5 points	21.8%	24.4%	41.7%	0.58×	4.10
Under 219.5 points	21.9%	21.9%	33.9%	0.65×	4.57
Over 249.5 points	20.6%	21.9%	14.7%	1.49×	4.57
Over 253.5 points	19.7%	19.4%	10.9%	1.79×	5.15
Under 218.5 points	14.6%	15.0%	32.2%	0.46×	6.68
Over 258.5 points	13.1%	15.0%	7.0%	2.14×	6.69
Under 214.5 points	14.8%	14.5%	24.9%	0.58×	6.88
Over 254.5 points	13.9%	14.5%	10.1%	1.44×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win both halves	34.8%	31.3%	25.2%	1.24×	3.20
Sacramento Kings to win both halves	11.0%	14.0%	17.8%	0.79×	7.13

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans by 1-5	13.5%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 6-10	14.0%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 11-15	12.9%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Sacramento Kings by 1-5	11.1%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 16-20	10.5%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 26+	10.3%	12.3%	6.2%	1.99×	8.11
Sacramento Kings by 6-10	8.3%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
New Orleans Pelicans by 21-25	7.7%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.40
Sacramento Kings by 11-15	5.5%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Sacramento Kings by 16-20	3.2%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.30
Sacramento Kings by 21-25	1.7%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.31
Sacramento Kings by 26+	1.3%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.32

New Orleans Pelicans v Sacramento Kings — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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