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Niagara Purple Eagles v Le Moyne Dolphins — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Niagara Purple Eagles win
36.2%
Draw
0.0%
Le Moyne Dolphins win
63.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 60.70–64.63 61-65 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Niagara Purple Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Niagara Purple Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Niagara Purple Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Niagara Purple Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win H1 56.2% 57.3% 39.9% 1.44× 1.75
Niagara Purple Eagles to win H1 39.4% 37.8% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 72.5 89.1% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 48.5 87.6% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 68.5 79.9% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 77.3% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 70.6% 73.5% 63.9% 1.15× 1.36
H1 over 55.5 67.4% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 63.5 63.5% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 57.5 59.9% 58.2% 64.8% 0.90× 1.72
H1 under 61.5 55.8% 58.2% 49.8% 1.17× 1.72
H1 over 59.5 52.0% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 51.9% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 48.0% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 48.1% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 44.2% 41.8% 50.2% 0.83× 2.39
H1 under 57.5 40.1% 41.8% 35.2% 1.19× 2.39
H1 over 63.5 36.5% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 55.5 32.7% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 29.4% 26.5% 36.1% 0.73× 3.77
H1 under 52.5 22.7% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 68.5 20.1% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 under 48.5 12.4% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 over 72.5 10.9% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win H2 56.8% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
Niagara Purple Eagles to win H2 39.0% 41.2% 56.0% 0.74× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 78.5 88.6% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 85.8% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 79.6% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 58.5 75.4% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 70.7% 72.2% 61.1% 1.18× 1.39
H2 over 61.5 65.6% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 64.0% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 58.3% 57.3% 65.3% 0.88× 1.74
H2 under 67.5 56.7% 57.3% 47.9% 1.20× 1.74
H2 under 66.5 52.9% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 50.8% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 49.2% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 47.1% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 43.3% 42.7% 52.1% 0.82× 2.34
H2 under 63.5 41.7% 42.7% 34.7% 1.23× 2.34
H2 over 69.5 36.0% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 34.4% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 29.3% 27.8% 38.9% 0.72× 3.59
H2 under 58.5 24.6% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 20.4% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 14.2% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 11.4% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins leading at half time 56.2% 56.9% 39.9% 1.43× 1.76
Niagara Purple Eagles leading at half time 39.4% 37.9% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins +16.5 96.5% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Le Moyne Dolphins +18.5 97.7% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Le Moyne Dolphins +20.5 98.5% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Le Moyne Dolphins +14.5 94.9% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Le Moyne Dolphins +12.5 92.6% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Niagara Purple Eagles +20.5 93.4% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Niagara Purple Eagles +18.5 90.6% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Le Moyne Dolphins +10.5 89.7% 85.9% 63.2% 1.36× 1.16
Le Moyne Dolphins +9.5 88.0% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
Niagara Purple Eagles +16.5 87.1% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Le Moyne Dolphins +8.5 86.1% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
Le Moyne Dolphins +7.5 84.0% 81.1% 55.2% 1.47× 1.23
Niagara Purple Eagles +14.5 82.8% 81.1% 86.7% 0.94× 1.23
Le Moyne Dolphins +6.5 81.7% 81.1% 52.4% 1.55× 1.23
Le Moyne Dolphins +5.5 79.1% 76.5% 50.3% 1.52× 1.31
Niagara Purple Eagles +12.5 77.7% 76.5% 83.8% 0.91× 1.31
Le Moyne Dolphins +4.5 76.4% 76.5% 47.8% 1.60× 1.31
Le Moyne Dolphins +3.5 73.5% 71.6% 45.8% 1.56× 1.40
Niagara Purple Eagles +10.5 71.8% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
Le Moyne Dolphins +2.5 70.4% 71.6% 43.3% 1.66× 1.40
Niagara Purple Eagles +9.5 68.6% 66.7% 78.7% 0.85× 1.50
Le Moyne Dolphins +1.5 67.2% 66.7% 41.3% 1.62× 1.50
Niagara Purple Eagles +8.5 65.3% 66.7% 76.5% 0.87× 1.50
Niagara Purple Eagles +7.5 61.8% 61.9% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
Le Moyne Dolphins −1.5 60.2% 61.9% 38.8% 1.60× 1.62
Niagara Purple Eagles +6.5 58.2% 57.1% 72.3% 0.79× 1.75
Le Moyne Dolphins −2.5 56.5% 57.1% 36.7% 1.56× 1.75
Niagara Purple Eagles +5.5 54.6% 52.4% 70.1% 0.75× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins −3.5 52.8% 52.4% 34.3% 1.53× 1.91
Niagara Purple Eagles +4.5 50.9% 52.4% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins −4.5 49.1% 47.6% 32.2% 1.48× 2.10
Niagara Purple Eagles +3.5 47.2% 47.6% 65.7% 0.72× 2.10
Le Moyne Dolphins −5.5 45.4% 47.6% 29.9% 1.59× 2.10
Niagara Purple Eagles +2.5 43.5% 42.9% 63.3% 0.68× 2.33
Le Moyne Dolphins −6.5 41.8% 42.9% 27.7% 1.55× 2.33
Niagara Purple Eagles +1.5 39.8% 38.1% 61.2% 0.62× 2.63
Le Moyne Dolphins −7.5 38.2% 38.1% 25.5% 1.50× 2.63
Le Moyne Dolphins −8.5 34.7% 33.3% 23.5% 1.41× 3.01
Niagara Purple Eagles −1.5 32.8% 33.3% 58.7% 0.57× 3.01
Le Moyne Dolphins −9.5 31.4% 33.3% 21.3% 1.56× 3.01
Niagara Purple Eagles −2.5 29.6% 28.4% 56.7% 0.50× 3.53
Le Moyne Dolphins −10.5 28.2% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Niagara Purple Eagles −3.5 26.5% 28.4% 54.2% 0.52× 3.53
Niagara Purple Eagles −4.5 23.6% 23.5% 52.2% 0.45× 4.25
Le Moyne Dolphins −12.5 22.3% 23.5% 16.2% 1.45× 4.25
Niagara Purple Eagles −5.5 20.9% 23.5% 49.7% 0.47× 4.25
Niagara Purple Eagles −6.5 18.3% 18.9% 47.6% 0.40× 5.29
Le Moyne Dolphins −14.5 17.2% 18.9% 13.3% 1.42× 5.29
Niagara Purple Eagles −7.5 16.0% 18.9% 44.8% 0.42× 5.30
Niagara Purple Eagles −8.5 13.9% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
Niagara Purple Eagles −9.5 12.0% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
Le Moyne Dolphins −16.5 12.9% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Niagara Purple Eagles −10.5 10.3% 14.1% 36.8% 0.38× 7.09
Le Moyne Dolphins −18.5 9.4% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Niagara Purple Eagles −12.5 7.4% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins −20.5 6.6% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Niagara Purple Eagles −14.5 5.1% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Niagara Purple Eagles −16.5 3.5% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Niagara Purple Eagles −18.5 2.3% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Niagara Purple Eagles −20.5 1.5% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.3% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.1% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.3% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.0% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 45.9% 46.6% 30.1% 1.55× 2.15
Niagara Purple Eagles at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT 24.1% 24.4% 48.3% 0.51× 4.09
Niagara Purple Eagles at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 15.2% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
Le Moyne Dolphins at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT 10.3% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Level at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win 63.8% 60.7% 40.1% 1.51× 1.65
Niagara Purple Eagles to win 36.2% 39.3% 59.9% 0.66× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Niagara Purple Eagles even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Le Moyne Dolphins even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Niagara Purple Eagles odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Le Moyne Dolphins odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.1% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.9% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q1 52.7% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q1 41.3% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 89.1% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 22.5 87.4% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 78.5% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 75.7% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 68.9% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 65.5% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 57.8% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 54.0% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 51.9% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 48.1% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 46.0% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 42.2% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 34.5% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 31.1% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 24.3% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 21.5% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 12.6% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 10.9% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q2 52.6% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q2 41.5% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.9% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 86.3% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 79.8% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 74.2% 72.0% 76.2% 0.94× 1.39
Q2 under 33.5 70.5% 72.0% 65.6% 1.10× 1.39
Q2 over 27.5 63.7% 60.7% 66.7% 0.91× 1.65
Q2 under 31.5 59.6% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 53.8% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 52.2% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 47.8% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 46.2% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 40.4% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 36.3% 39.3% 33.3% 1.18× 2.55
Q2 over 33.5 29.5% 28.0% 34.4% 0.81× 3.57
Q2 under 25.5 25.8% 28.0% 23.8% 1.18× 3.57
Q2 over 35.5 20.2% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 13.7% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.1% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q3 53.1% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q3 41.0% 42.2% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 89.4% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 85.7% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 79.3% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 73.5% 71.8% 76.4% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 36.5 70.1% 71.8% 64.6% 1.11× 1.39
Q3 over 30.5 63.3% 62.0% 66.8% 0.93× 1.61
Q3 under 34.5 59.4% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 53.8% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 52.0% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 48.0% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 46.2% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 40.6% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 36.7% 38.1% 33.2% 1.15× 2.63
Q3 over 36.5 29.9% 28.2% 35.4% 0.80× 3.55
Q3 under 28.5 26.5% 28.2% 23.6% 1.19× 3.55
Q3 over 38.5 20.7% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 14.4% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 10.6% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q4 53.0% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Niagara Purple Eagles to win Q4 41.2% 43.1% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 87.9% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 84.5% 82.0% 86.1% 0.95× 1.22
Q4 under 38.5 77.7% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 72.7% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 68.8% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 62.9% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 58.6% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 53.2% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 52.2% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 47.8% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 46.8% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 41.4% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 37.1% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 31.2% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 27.3% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 22.3% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 15.5% 18.0% 13.9% 1.30× 5.56
Q4 over 41.5 12.1% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins under 75.5 87.5% 83.9% 84.1% 1.00× 1.19
Niagara Purple Eagles under 71.5 86.9% 83.9% 63.0% 1.33× 1.19
Le Moyne Dolphins over 55.5 84.3% 80.7% 70.8% 1.14× 1.24
Niagara Purple Eagles over 51.5 84.1% 80.7% 89.3% 0.90× 1.24
Le Moyne Dolphins under 72.5 79.5% 75.1% 78.2% 0.96× 1.33
Niagara Purple Eagles under 68.5 79.0% 75.1% 54.4% 1.38× 1.33
Le Moyne Dolphins over 58.5 75.3% 75.1% 62.1% 1.21× 1.33
Niagara Purple Eagles over 54.5 74.9% 70.7% 83.8% 0.84× 1.41
Le Moyne Dolphins under 70.5 72.9% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Niagara Purple Eagles under 66.5 72.5% 70.7% 48.2% 1.47× 1.41
Le Moyne Dolphins over 60.5 68.0% 66.4% 55.6% 1.19× 1.51
Niagara Purple Eagles over 56.5 67.6% 66.4% 79.5% 0.83× 1.51
Le Moyne Dolphins under 68.5 65.3% 66.4% 68.6% 0.97× 1.51
Niagara Purple Eagles under 64.5 65.1% 66.4% 41.6% 1.60× 1.51
Le Moyne Dolphins over 62.5 59.9% 57.1% 49.0% 1.16× 1.75
Niagara Purple Eagles over 58.5 59.6% 57.1% 74.7% 0.76× 1.75
Le Moyne Dolphins under 66.5 57.1% 57.1% 62.7% 0.91× 1.75
Niagara Purple Eagles under 62.5 57.1% 57.1% 35.7% 1.60× 1.75
Le Moyne Dolphins over 64.5 51.4% 52.3% 43.2% 1.21× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins under 65.5 52.9% 52.3% 59.8% 0.87× 1.91
Niagara Purple Eagles over 60.5 51.3% 52.3% 69.5% 0.75× 1.91
Niagara Purple Eagles under 61.5 52.9% 52.3% 33.1% 1.58× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins under 64.5 48.6% 47.7% 56.9% 0.84× 2.09
Le Moyne Dolphins over 65.5 47.1% 47.7% 40.2% 1.19× 2.09
Niagara Purple Eagles under 60.5 48.7% 47.7% 30.5% 1.56× 2.09
Niagara Purple Eagles over 61.5 47.1% 47.7% 66.9% 0.71× 2.09
Le Moyne Dolphins over 66.5 42.9% 42.9% 37.3% 1.15× 2.33
Niagara Purple Eagles over 62.5 42.9% 42.9% 64.3% 0.67× 2.33
Niagara Purple Eagles under 58.5 40.4% 42.9% 25.3% 1.70× 2.33
Le Moyne Dolphins under 62.5 40.1% 42.9% 51.0% 0.84× 2.33
Le Moyne Dolphins over 68.5 34.7% 33.6% 31.4% 1.07× 2.98
Niagara Purple Eagles over 64.5 34.9% 33.6% 58.4% 0.58× 2.98
Le Moyne Dolphins under 60.5 32.0% 33.6% 44.4% 0.76× 2.98
Niagara Purple Eagles under 56.5 32.4% 33.6% 20.5% 1.64× 2.98
Le Moyne Dolphins over 70.5 27.1% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
Niagara Purple Eagles over 66.5 27.5% 29.3% 51.8% 0.56× 3.42
Niagara Purple Eagles under 54.5 25.1% 29.3% 16.2% 1.81× 3.42
Le Moyne Dolphins under 58.5 24.7% 24.9% 37.9% 0.66× 4.02
Niagara Purple Eagles over 68.5 21.0% 24.9% 45.6% 0.55× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins over 72.5 20.5% 24.9% 21.8% 1.14× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins under 55.5 15.7% 19.3% 29.2% 0.66× 5.18
Niagara Purple Eagles under 51.5 15.9% 19.3% 10.7% 1.80× 5.18
Niagara Purple Eagles over 71.5 13.1% 16.1% 37.0% 0.44× 6.21
Le Moyne Dolphins over 75.5 12.5% 16.1% 15.9% 1.01× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 146.5 points 91.8% 88.8% 80.9% 1.10× 1.13
Over 106.5 points 90.8% 88.8% 91.0% 0.98× 1.13
Under 141.5 points 85.6% 85.0% 73.4% 1.16× 1.18
Over 111.5 points 83.3% 80.6% 85.1% 0.95× 1.24
Under 136.5 points 76.6% 75.6% 64.2% 1.18× 1.32
Over 116.5 points 73.3% 70.8% 77.2% 0.92× 1.41
Under 133.5 points 70.1% 70.8% 58.0% 1.22× 1.41
Over 119.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 71.6% 0.92× 1.52
Under 131.5 points 65.3% 65.9% 53.9% 1.22× 1.52
Over 121.5 points 61.0% 61.5% 67.7% 0.91× 1.63
Under 129.5 points 60.3% 61.5% 49.5% 1.24× 1.63
Over 123.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 63.3% 0.89× 1.77
Under 127.5 points 55.0% 56.5% 44.9% 1.26× 1.77
Under 126.5 points 52.3% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Over 125.5 points 50.3% 52.3% 59.5% 0.88× 1.91
Under 125.5 points 49.7% 47.7% 40.5% 1.18× 2.10
Over 126.5 points 47.7% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.10
Under 123.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 36.7% 1.18× 2.30
Over 127.5 points 45.0% 43.5% 55.1% 0.79× 2.30
Over 129.5 points 39.7% 38.5% 50.5% 0.76× 2.60
Under 121.5 points 39.0% 38.5% 32.3% 1.19× 2.60
Over 131.5 points 34.7% 34.1% 46.1% 0.74× 2.93
Under 119.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 28.4% 1.20× 2.93
Over 133.5 points 29.9% 29.2% 42.0% 0.69× 3.43
Under 116.5 points 26.7% 29.2% 22.8% 1.28× 3.43
Over 136.5 points 23.4% 24.4% 35.8% 0.68× 4.10
Under 111.5 points 16.7% 19.4% 14.9% 1.30× 5.15
Over 141.5 points 14.4% 15.0% 26.6% 0.56× 6.68
Under 106.5 points 9.2% 11.2% 9.0% 1.24× 8.96
Over 146.5 points 8.2% 11.2% 19.1% 0.58× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins to win both halves 29.0% 27.2% 20.4% 1.34× 3.68
Niagara Purple Eagles to win both halves 12.6% 14.0% 36.0% 0.39× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins by 1-5 18.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Le Moyne Dolphins by 6-10 17.2% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Niagara Purple Eagles by 1-5 15.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Le Moyne Dolphins by 11-15 13.2% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Niagara Purple Eagles by 6-10 10.6% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Le Moyne Dolphins by 16-20 8.3% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Niagara Purple Eagles by 11-15 6.0% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Le Moyne Dolphins by 21-25 4.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.29
Niagara Purple Eagles by 16-20 2.8% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.30
Niagara Purple Eagles by 21-25 1.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Le Moyne Dolphins by 26+ 2.4% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.31
Niagara Purple Eagles by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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