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NJIT Highlanders v Monmouth Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
NJIT Highlanders win
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Monmouth Hawks win
37.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 66.08–62.58 66-63 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Monmouth Hawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Monmouth Hawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Monmouth Hawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Monmouth Hawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
NJIT Highlanders to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
NJIT Highlanders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
NJIT Highlanders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
NJIT Highlanders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win H1 55.5% 57.3% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Monmouth Hawks to win H1 40.1% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 49.5 88.4% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
H1 under 73.5 88.1% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
H1 over 53.5 78.7% 77.4% 76.8% 1.01× 1.29
H1 under 69.5 78.4% 77.4% 76.2% 1.02× 1.29
H1 over 56.5 69.0% 67.4% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 68.8% 67.4% 67.1% 1.00× 1.48
H1 over 58.5 61.7% 62.7% 61.4% 1.02× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 61.5% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 54.0% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 53.8% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 50.1% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 49.9% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 46.0% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 46.2% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 38.3% 37.3% 38.6% 0.97× 2.68
H1 over 64.5 38.5% 37.3% 39.3% 0.95× 2.68
H1 under 56.5 31.0% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
H1 over 66.5 31.2% 32.6% 32.9% 0.99× 3.07
H1 under 53.5 21.3% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 21.6% 22.6% 23.8% 0.95× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 11.9% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.14
H1 under 49.5 11.6% 12.3% 13.3% 0.93× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win H2 56.0% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Monmouth Hawks to win H2 39.8% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 55.5 87.0% 85.2% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
H2 under 79.5 87.3% 85.2% 82.0% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 77.7% 75.8% 73.0% 1.04× 1.32
H2 over 59.5 77.2% 75.8% 77.0% 0.98× 1.32
H2 under 72.5 68.5% 66.4% 64.1% 1.04× 1.51
H2 over 62.5 67.7% 66.4% 68.3% 0.97× 1.51
H2 under 70.5 61.6% 61.6% 57.8% 1.07× 1.62
H2 over 64.5 60.7% 61.6% 62.1% 0.99× 1.62
H2 under 68.5 54.2% 52.4% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
H2 over 66.5 53.3% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 50.5% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 over 67.5 49.5% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 66.5 46.7% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 over 68.5 45.8% 47.6% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
H2 under 64.5 39.3% 38.4% 37.9% 1.01× 2.61
H2 over 70.5 38.4% 38.4% 42.2% 0.91× 2.61
H2 under 62.5 32.3% 33.6% 31.7% 1.06× 2.97
H2 over 72.5 31.5% 33.6% 36.0% 0.94× 2.97
H2 under 59.5 22.8% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.13
H2 over 75.5 22.3% 24.2% 27.0% 0.90× 4.13
H2 under 55.5 13.0% 14.8% 13.9% 1.06× 6.76
H2 over 79.5 12.7% 14.8% 18.0% 0.82× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders leading at half time 55.5% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Monmouth Hawks leading at half time 40.1% 42.8% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders +16.5 96.2% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +18.5 97.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +20.5 98.4% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +14.5 94.4% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Monmouth Hawks +20.5 93.6% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
NJIT Highlanders +12.5 92.1% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Monmouth Hawks +18.5 90.9% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
NJIT Highlanders +10.5 89.1% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
NJIT Highlanders +9.5 87.3% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Monmouth Hawks +16.5 87.5% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
NJIT Highlanders +8.5 85.3% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Monmouth Hawks +14.5 83.4% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
NJIT Highlanders +7.5 83.1% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
NJIT Highlanders +6.5 80.7% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
NJIT Highlanders +5.5 78.1% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Monmouth Hawks +12.5 78.4% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
NJIT Highlanders +4.5 75.3% 76.5% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
NJIT Highlanders +3.5 72.4% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
Monmouth Hawks +10.5 72.7% 71.6% 63.2% 1.13× 1.40
NJIT Highlanders +2.5 69.2% 66.7% 63.3% 1.05× 1.50
Monmouth Hawks +9.5 69.6% 66.7% 60.7% 1.10× 1.50
Monmouth Hawks +8.5 66.3% 66.7% 58.0% 1.15× 1.50
NJIT Highlanders +1.5 66.0% 66.7% 61.2% 1.09× 1.50
Monmouth Hawks +7.5 62.9% 61.9% 55.2% 1.12× 1.62
NJIT Highlanders −1.5 58.9% 57.1% 58.7% 0.97× 1.75
Monmouth Hawks +6.5 59.4% 57.1% 52.4% 1.09× 1.75
NJIT Highlanders −2.5 55.3% 57.1% 56.7% 1.01× 1.75
Monmouth Hawks +5.5 55.8% 57.1% 50.3% 1.13× 1.75
Monmouth Hawks +4.5 52.1% 52.4% 47.8% 1.10× 1.91
NJIT Highlanders −3.5 51.6% 52.4% 54.2% 0.97× 1.91
Monmouth Hawks +3.5 48.4% 47.6% 45.8% 1.04× 2.10
NJIT Highlanders −4.5 47.9% 47.6% 52.2% 0.91× 2.10
Monmouth Hawks +2.5 44.7% 42.9% 43.3% 0.99× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders −5.5 44.2% 42.9% 49.7% 0.86× 2.33
Monmouth Hawks +1.5 41.1% 42.9% 41.3% 1.04× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders −6.5 40.6% 42.9% 47.6% 0.90× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders −7.5 37.1% 38.1% 44.8% 0.85× 2.63
Monmouth Hawks −1.5 34.0% 33.3% 38.8% 0.86× 3.01
NJIT Highlanders −8.5 33.7% 33.3% 42.0% 0.79× 3.01
Monmouth Hawks −2.5 30.8% 33.3% 36.7% 0.91× 3.01
NJIT Highlanders −9.5 30.4% 33.3% 39.3% 0.85× 3.01
Monmouth Hawks −3.5 27.6% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
NJIT Highlanders −10.5 27.3% 28.4% 36.8% 0.77× 3.53
Monmouth Hawks −4.5 24.7% 23.5% 32.2% 0.73× 4.25
Monmouth Hawks −5.5 21.9% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
NJIT Highlanders −12.5 21.6% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Monmouth Hawks −6.5 19.3% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
Monmouth Hawks −7.5 16.9% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.29
NJIT Highlanders −14.5 16.6% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.30
Monmouth Hawks −8.5 14.7% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Monmouth Hawks −9.5 12.7% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
NJIT Highlanders −16.5 12.5% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Monmouth Hawks −10.5 10.9% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Monmouth Hawks −12.5 7.9% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
NJIT Highlanders −18.5 9.1% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
NJIT Highlanders −20.5 6.5% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Monmouth Hawks −14.5 5.6% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Monmouth Hawks −16.5 3.8% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Monmouth Hawks −18.5 2.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Monmouth Hawks −20.5 1.6% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.9% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.1% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.4% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.3% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.8% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders at HT / NJIT Highlanders at FT 44.8% 41.0% 48.3% 0.85× 2.44
Monmouth Hawks at HT / Monmouth Hawks at FT 25.1% 29.5% 30.1% 0.98× 3.39
Monmouth Hawks at HT / NJIT Highlanders at FT 15.0% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
NJIT Highlanders at HT / Monmouth Hawks at FT 10.6% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / NJIT Highlanders at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Monmouth Hawks at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win 62.5% 60.7% 59.9% 1.01× 1.65
Monmouth Hawks to win 37.5% 39.3% 40.1% 0.98× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Monmouth Hawks even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
NJIT Highlanders even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Monmouth Hawks odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
NJIT Highlanders odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.1% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.9% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q1 52.2% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Monmouth Hawks to win Q1 41.8% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 89.7% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 86.5% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 79.5% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 74.4% 72.7% 72.9% 1.00× 1.38
Q1 under 34.5 70.1% 72.7% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
Q1 over 28.5 64.1% 61.7% 62.7% 0.99× 1.62
Q1 under 32.5 59.2% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 53.3% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 52.5% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 47.5% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 46.7% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 40.8% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 35.9% 38.3% 37.3% 1.02× 2.61
Q1 over 34.5 29.9% 27.3% 31.5% 0.87× 3.66
Q1 under 26.5 25.6% 27.3% 27.1% 1.01× 3.66
Q1 over 36.5 20.5% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 13.5% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 10.3% 12.6% 12.5% 1.00× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q2 52.1% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Monmouth Hawks to win Q2 42.0% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 22.5 88.5% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 87.8% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 25.5 77.5% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 35.5 76.5% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 67.7% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 33.5 66.5% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 29.5 56.5% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 55.2% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 50.6% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 49.4% 47.3% 50.1% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 44.8% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 43.5% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
Q2 over 33.5 33.5% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 32.3% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 35.5 23.5% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 25.5 22.5% 23.2% 23.8% 0.97× 4.31
Q2 over 38.5 12.2% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.89
Q2 under 22.5 11.5% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q3 52.6% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Monmouth Hawks to win Q3 41.5% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 25.5 88.1% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 87.0% 87.2% 85.1% 1.02× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 77.2% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 75.7% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 67.6% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 65.8% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 56.7% 58.4% 56.1% 1.04× 1.71
Q3 under 34.5 54.8% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 50.9% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 49.1% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 45.2% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 43.3% 41.6% 43.9% 0.95× 2.40
Q3 over 36.5 34.2% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.10
Q3 under 30.5 32.4% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 24.3% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 28.5 22.8% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 41.5 13.0% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q3 under 25.5 11.9% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q4 52.5% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.95
Monmouth Hawks to win Q4 41.7% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 25.5 86.9% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 85.4% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 76.2% 76.9% 75.1% 1.02× 1.30
Q4 under 38.5 74.1% 71.5% 73.1% 0.98× 1.40
Q4 over 30.5 67.0% 67.4% 66.3% 1.02× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 64.7% 61.4% 64.3% 0.96× 1.63
Q4 over 32.5 56.6% 58.4% 55.4% 1.05× 1.71
Q4 under 34.5 54.2% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 51.2% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 48.8% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 45.8% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 43.4% 41.6% 44.6% 0.93× 2.40
Q4 over 36.5 35.3% 38.6% 35.7% 1.08× 2.59
Q4 under 30.5 33.0% 32.6% 33.7% 0.97× 3.07
Q4 over 38.5 25.9% 28.5% 26.9% 1.06× 3.51
Q4 under 28.5 23.8% 23.1% 24.9% 0.93× 4.33
Q4 over 41.5 14.6% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Q4 under 25.5 13.1% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Monmouth Hawks over 52.5 86.5% 83.9% 78.5% 1.07× 1.19
Monmouth Hawks under 72.5 85.6% 83.9% 78.2% 1.07× 1.19
NJIT Highlanders under 76.5 85.9% 83.9% 75.4% 1.11× 1.19
NJIT Highlanders over 56.5 84.6% 80.7% 79.5% 1.01× 1.24
Monmouth Hawks over 55.5 78.0% 75.1% 70.8% 1.06× 1.33
Monmouth Hawks under 69.5 77.0% 75.1% 71.2% 1.05× 1.33
NJIT Highlanders under 73.5 77.6% 75.1% 68.5% 1.10× 1.33
NJIT Highlanders over 59.5 75.9% 75.1% 72.2% 1.04× 1.33
Monmouth Hawks under 67.5 70.0% 70.7% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
NJIT Highlanders under 71.5 70.9% 70.7% 63.0% 1.12× 1.41
Monmouth Hawks over 57.5 71.0% 70.7% 65.1% 1.09× 1.41
NJIT Highlanders over 61.5 69.0% 66.4% 66.9% 0.99× 1.51
Monmouth Hawks under 65.5 62.2% 61.2% 59.8% 1.02× 1.63
NJIT Highlanders under 69.5 63.3% 61.2% 57.4% 1.07× 1.63
Monmouth Hawks over 59.5 63.1% 61.2% 58.8% 1.04× 1.63
NJIT Highlanders over 63.5 61.3% 61.2% 61.5% 1.00× 1.63
NJIT Highlanders under 67.5 55.2% 57.1% 51.3% 1.11× 1.75
Monmouth Hawks under 63.5 53.8% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Monmouth Hawks over 61.5 54.7% 52.3% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
NJIT Highlanders over 65.5 53.1% 52.3% 55.3% 0.95× 1.91
NJIT Highlanders under 66.5 51.1% 52.3% 48.2% 1.09× 1.91
Monmouth Hawks over 62.5 50.5% 52.3% 49.0% 1.07× 1.91
Monmouth Hawks under 62.5 49.5% 47.7% 51.0% 0.94× 2.09
NJIT Highlanders under 65.5 46.9% 47.7% 44.7% 1.07× 2.09
NJIT Highlanders over 66.5 48.9% 47.7% 51.8% 0.92× 2.09
Monmouth Hawks over 63.5 46.2% 47.7% 46.1% 1.04× 2.09
Monmouth Hawks under 61.5 45.3% 47.7% 47.9% 1.00× 2.09
NJIT Highlanders over 67.5 44.8% 42.9% 48.7% 0.88× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders under 63.5 38.7% 38.8% 38.5% 1.01× 2.58
Monmouth Hawks over 65.5 37.8% 38.8% 40.2% 0.96× 2.58
NJIT Highlanders over 69.5 36.7% 38.8% 42.6% 0.91× 2.58
Monmouth Hawks under 59.5 36.9% 38.8% 41.2% 0.94× 2.58
NJIT Highlanders under 61.5 31.0% 33.6% 33.1% 1.02× 2.98
Monmouth Hawks over 67.5 30.0% 29.3% 34.4% 0.85× 3.42
NJIT Highlanders over 71.5 29.1% 29.3% 37.0% 0.79× 3.42
Monmouth Hawks under 57.5 29.0% 29.3% 34.9% 0.84× 3.42
NJIT Highlanders under 59.5 24.1% 24.9% 27.8% 0.89× 4.02
Monmouth Hawks over 69.5 23.0% 24.9% 28.8% 0.86× 4.02
NJIT Highlanders over 73.5 22.4% 24.9% 31.5% 0.79× 4.02
Monmouth Hawks under 55.5 22.0% 24.9% 29.2% 0.85× 4.02
NJIT Highlanders under 56.5 15.4% 19.3% 20.5% 0.94× 5.18
Monmouth Hawks over 72.5 14.4% 16.1% 21.8% 0.74× 6.21
NJIT Highlanders over 76.5 14.1% 16.1% 24.6% 0.66× 6.21
Monmouth Hawks under 52.5 13.5% 16.1% 21.5% 0.75× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 149.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 84.9% 1.05× 1.13
Over 109.5 points 90.5% 88.8% 87.6% 1.01× 1.13
Under 144.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 78.1% 1.09× 1.18
Over 114.5 points 83.4% 80.6% 80.4% 1.00× 1.24
Under 139.5 points 76.2% 75.6% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
Over 119.5 points 73.4% 70.8% 71.6% 0.99× 1.41
Under 136.5 points 69.5% 65.9% 64.2% 1.03× 1.52
Over 122.5 points 66.5% 65.9% 65.6% 1.00× 1.52
Under 134.5 points 64.7% 61.5% 60.2% 1.02× 1.63
Over 124.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 61.5% 1.00× 1.63
Under 132.5 points 59.6% 56.5% 56.0% 1.01× 1.77
Over 126.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 57.4% 0.99× 1.77
Under 130.5 points 54.4% 52.3% 51.7% 1.01× 1.91
Under 129.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 49.5% 1.06× 1.91
Over 128.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 52.8% 0.99× 1.91
Under 128.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 47.2% 1.01× 2.10
Over 129.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 50.5% 0.94× 2.10
Over 130.5 points 45.6% 47.7% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Under 126.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 42.6% 1.02× 2.30
Over 132.5 points 40.4% 43.5% 44.0% 0.99× 2.30
Under 124.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 38.5% 1.00× 2.60
Over 134.5 points 35.3% 38.5% 39.8% 0.97× 2.60
Under 122.5 points 33.5% 34.1% 34.4% 0.99× 2.93
Over 136.5 points 30.5% 34.1% 35.8% 0.95× 2.93
Under 119.5 points 26.6% 29.2% 28.4% 1.03× 3.43
Over 139.5 points 23.8% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.10
Under 114.5 points 16.6% 19.4% 19.6% 0.99× 5.15
Over 144.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 21.9% 0.68× 6.68
Under 109.5 points 9.5% 11.2% 12.4% 0.90× 8.96
Over 149.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 15.1% 0.74× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win both halves 28.2% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Monmouth Hawks to win both halves 13.3% 14.1% 20.4% 0.69× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders by 1-5 18.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
NJIT Highlanders by 6-10 16.9% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Monmouth Hawks by 1-5 15.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
NJIT Highlanders by 11-15 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Monmouth Hawks by 6-10 11.0% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
NJIT Highlanders by 16-20 8.0% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Monmouth Hawks by 11-15 6.3% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
NJIT Highlanders by 21-25 4.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.29
Monmouth Hawks by 16-20 3.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.30
Monmouth Hawks by 21-25 1.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
NJIT Highlanders by 26+ 2.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Monmouth Hawks by 26+ 0.5% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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