Ohio State Buckeyes v UConn Huskies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Ohio State Buckeyes

00:00

UConn Huskies

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Ohio State Buckeyes win

7.4%

Draw

0.0%

UConn Huskies win

92.6%

7093

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	7093	65.35–81.22	65-81 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to score 100+	2.5%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	282.87
Ohio State Buckeyes to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.35
Ohio State Buckeyes to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Ohio State Buckeyes to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Ohio State Buckeyes to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
UConn Huskies to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.33
UConn Huskies to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
UConn Huskies to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win H1	79.3%	79.2%	39.9%	1.99×	1.26
Ohio State Buckeyes to win H1	17.6%	16.9%	56.4%	0.30×	5.92
H1 tied	3.1%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.87

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 82.5	89.0%	87.7%	96.2%	0.91×	1.14
H1 over 58.5	87.1%	87.7%	61.4%	1.43×	1.14
H1 under 78.5	79.8%	77.4%	92.8%	0.83×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	77.0%	77.4%	46.3%	1.67×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	70.6%	73.5%	88.8%	0.83×	1.36
H1 over 65.5	67.1%	67.4%	36.1%	1.87×	1.48
H1 under 73.5	63.5%	62.7%	85.6%	0.73×	1.59
H1 over 67.5	59.7%	58.2%	29.6%	1.97×	1.72
H1 under 71.5	55.9%	58.2%	81.4%	0.71×	1.72
H1 over 69.5	51.9%	52.6%	23.8%	2.21×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	52.0%	52.6%	78.9%	0.67×	1.90
H1 under 69.5	48.1%	47.4%	76.2%	0.62×	2.11
H1 over 70.5	48.0%	47.4%	21.1%	2.25×	2.11
H1 over 71.5	44.1%	41.8%	18.6%	2.25×	2.39
H1 under 67.5	40.3%	41.8%	70.4%	0.59×	2.39
H1 over 73.5	36.5%	37.3%	14.4%	2.59×	2.68
H1 under 65.5	32.9%	32.6%	63.9%	0.51×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	29.4%	26.5%	11.2%	2.37×	3.77
H1 under 62.5	23.0%	22.6%	53.7%	0.42×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	20.2%	22.6%	7.2%	3.12×	4.43
H1 under 58.5	12.9%	12.3%	38.6%	0.32×	8.14
H1 over 82.5	11.0%	12.3%	3.8%	3.26×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win H2	80.7%	79.5%	40.6%	1.96×	1.26
Ohio State Buckeyes to win H2	16.4%	20.4%	56.0%	0.36×	4.90
H2 tied	2.9%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 64.5	87.3%	85.2%	62.1%	1.37×	1.17
H2 under 88.5	86.6%	85.2%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
H2 over 68.5	77.8%	75.8%	48.7%	1.56×	1.32
H2 under 84.5	76.9%	75.8%	90.3%	0.84×	1.32
H2 over 71.5	68.6%	66.4%	38.9%	1.71×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	67.5%	66.4%	85.8%	0.77×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	61.6%	61.6%	32.9%	1.87×	1.62
H2 under 79.5	60.5%	61.6%	82.0%	0.75×	1.62
H2 over 75.5	54.3%	52.4%	27.0%	1.94×	1.91
H2 under 77.5	53.2%	52.4%	77.9%	0.67×	1.91
H2 over 76.5	50.6%	52.4%	24.4%	2.15×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	49.4%	47.6%	75.6%	0.63×	2.10
H2 over 77.5	46.8%	47.6%	22.1%	2.16×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	45.7%	47.6%	73.0%	0.65×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	39.5%	38.4%	18.0%	2.13×	2.61
H2 under 73.5	38.4%	38.4%	67.1%	0.57×	2.61
H2 over 81.5	32.5%	33.6%	14.2%	2.37×	2.97
H2 under 71.5	31.4%	33.6%	61.1%	0.55×	2.97
H2 over 84.5	23.1%	24.2%	9.7%	2.49×	4.13
H2 under 68.5	22.2%	24.2%	51.3%	0.47×	4.13
H2 over 88.5	13.4%	14.8%	5.9%	2.51×	6.76
H2 under 64.5	12.7%	14.8%	37.9%	0.39×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies leading at half time	79.3%	79.7%	39.9%	2.00×	1.25
Ohio State Buckeyes leading at half time	17.6%	17.0%	56.4%	0.30×	5.87
Level at half time	3.1%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies +18.5	99.9%	97.4%	79.3%	1.23×	1.03
UConn Huskies +20.5	99.9%	97.4%	82.0%	1.19×	1.03
UConn Huskies +12.5	99.4%	97.4%	67.9%	1.44×	1.03
UConn Huskies +14.5	99.6%	97.4%	72.1%	1.35×	1.03
UConn Huskies +16.5	99.8%	97.4%	75.7%	1.29×	1.03
UConn Huskies +3.5	95.7%	97.4%	45.8%	2.13×	1.03
UConn Huskies +4.5	96.4%	97.4%	47.8%	2.04×	1.03
UConn Huskies +5.5	97.1%	97.4%	50.3%	1.94×	1.03
UConn Huskies +6.5	97.6%	97.4%	52.4%	1.86×	1.03
UConn Huskies +7.5	98.1%	97.4%	55.2%	1.76×	1.03
UConn Huskies +8.5	98.5%	97.4%	58.0%	1.68×	1.03
UConn Huskies +9.5	98.8%	97.4%	60.7%	1.61×	1.03
UConn Huskies +10.5	99.0%	97.4%	63.2%	1.54×	1.03
UConn Huskies +2.5	94.8%	91.1%	43.3%	2.11×	1.10
UConn Huskies +1.5	93.8%	91.1%	41.3%	2.21×	1.10
UConn Huskies −1.5	91.1%	91.1%	38.8%	2.35×	1.10
UConn Huskies −2.5	89.4%	85.9%	36.7%	2.34×	1.16
UConn Huskies −3.5	87.5%	85.9%	34.3%	2.50×	1.16
UConn Huskies −4.5	85.5%	85.9%	32.2%	2.67×	1.16
UConn Huskies −5.5	83.2%	81.1%	29.9%	2.71×	1.23
UConn Huskies −6.5	80.8%	81.1%	27.7%	2.93×	1.23
UConn Huskies −7.5	78.1%	76.5%	25.5%	3.00×	1.31
UConn Huskies −8.5	75.3%	76.5%	23.5%	3.25×	1.31
UConn Huskies −9.5	72.3%	71.6%	21.3%	3.36×	1.40
UConn Huskies −10.5	69.2%	66.7%	19.6%	3.40×	1.50
Ohio State Buckeyes +20.5	65.7%	66.7%	92.7%	0.72×	1.50
UConn Huskies −12.5	62.5%	61.9%	16.2%	3.81×	1.62
Ohio State Buckeyes +18.5	58.9%	57.1%	91.1%	0.63×	1.75
UConn Huskies −14.5	55.4%	57.1%	13.3%	4.30×	1.75
Ohio State Buckeyes +16.5	51.8%	52.4%	89.1%	0.59×	1.91
UConn Huskies −16.5	48.2%	47.6%	10.9%	4.38×	2.10
Ohio State Buckeyes +14.5	44.6%	42.9%	86.7%	0.50×	2.33
UConn Huskies −18.5	41.1%	42.9%	8.9%	4.81×	2.33
Ohio State Buckeyes +12.5	37.5%	38.1%	83.8%	0.45×	2.63
UConn Huskies −20.5	34.3%	33.3%	7.3%	4.57×	3.01
Ohio State Buckeyes +10.5	30.8%	33.3%	80.4%	0.41×	3.01
Ohio State Buckeyes +9.5	27.7%	28.4%	78.7%	0.36×	3.53
Ohio State Buckeyes +8.5	24.7%	23.5%	76.5%	0.31×	4.25
Ohio State Buckeyes +7.5	21.9%	23.5%	74.5%	0.32×	4.25
Ohio State Buckeyes +6.5	19.2%	18.9%	72.3%	0.26×	5.29
Ohio State Buckeyes +5.5	16.8%	18.9%	70.1%	0.27×	5.29
Ohio State Buckeyes +4.5	14.5%	14.1%	67.8%	0.21×	7.09
Ohio State Buckeyes +3.5	12.5%	14.1%	65.7%	0.21×	7.09
Ohio State Buckeyes +2.5	10.6%	14.1%	63.3%	0.22×	7.09
Ohio State Buckeyes +1.5	8.9%	8.9%	61.2%	0.15×	11.25
Ohio State Buckeyes −1.5	6.2%	8.9%	58.7%	0.15×	11.25
Ohio State Buckeyes −2.5	5.2%	8.9%	56.7%	0.16×	11.25
Ohio State Buckeyes −3.5	4.3%	2.6%	54.2%	0.05×	38.72
Ohio State Buckeyes −4.5	3.6%	2.6%	52.2%	0.05×	38.73
Ohio State Buckeyes −5.5	2.9%	2.6%	49.7%	0.05×	38.73
Ohio State Buckeyes −6.5	2.4%	2.6%	47.6%	0.05×	38.73
Ohio State Buckeyes −7.5	1.9%	2.6%	44.8%	0.06×	38.73
Ohio State Buckeyes −8.5	1.5%	2.6%	42.0%	0.06×	38.73
Ohio State Buckeyes −9.5	1.2%	2.6%	39.3%	0.07×	38.74
Ohio State Buckeyes −10.5	1.0%	2.6%	36.8%	0.07×	38.74
Ohio State Buckeyes −18.5	0.1%	2.6%	20.7%	0.12×	38.74
Ohio State Buckeyes −20.5	0.1%	2.6%	18.0%	0.14×	38.74
Ohio State Buckeyes −12.5	0.6%	2.6%	32.1%	0.08×	38.74
Ohio State Buckeyes −14.5	0.4%	2.6%	27.9%	0.09×	38.74
Ohio State Buckeyes −16.5	0.2%	2.6%	24.3%	0.11×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	74.4%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 highest scoring	33.6%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q4 highest scoring	35.3%	28.6%	31.2%	0.92×	3.50
Q2 highest scoring	14.8%	18.3%	17.9%	1.03×	5.45
Q1 highest scoring	16.4%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	76.8%	78.0%	30.1%	2.59×	1.28
Ohio State Buckeyes at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	13.1%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.17
Ohio State Buckeyes at HT / Ohio State Buckeyes at FT	4.5%	2.1%	48.3%	0.04×	47.71
Level at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	2.7%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.75
UConn Huskies at HT / Ohio State Buckeyes at FT	2.5%	2.1%	9.8%	0.21×	47.75
Level at HT / Ohio State Buckeyes at FT	0.4%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win	92.6%	90.6%	40.1%	2.26×	1.10
Ohio State Buckeyes to win	7.4%	9.4%	59.9%	0.16×	10.65

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio State Buckeyes even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
UConn Huskies even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.7%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Ohio State Buckeyes odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
UConn Huskies odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.3%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.8%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.2%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.44

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q1	69.7%	72.3%	40.4%	1.79×	1.38
Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q1	25.2%	22.4%	54.7%	0.41×	4.47
Q1 tied	5.2%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 43.5	89.0%	87.4%	95.0%	0.92×	1.14
Q1 over 27.5	87.2%	87.4%	67.7%	1.29×	1.14
Q1 under 40.5	78.3%	76.9%	89.9%	0.86×	1.30
Q1 over 30.5	75.5%	76.9%	51.2%	1.50×	1.30
Q1 under 38.5	68.7%	67.6%	84.8%	0.80×	1.48
Q1 over 32.5	65.4%	67.6%	40.9%	1.65×	1.48
Q1 under 36.5	57.7%	58.6%	77.4%	0.76×	1.71
Q1 over 34.5	54.0%	52.7%	31.5%	1.67×	1.90
Q1 under 35.5	51.9%	52.7%	73.2%	0.72×	1.90
Q1 over 35.5	48.1%	47.3%	26.8%	1.76×	2.11
Q1 under 34.5	46.0%	47.3%	68.5%	0.69×	2.11
Q1 over 36.5	42.3%	41.4%	22.6%	1.83×	2.42
Q1 under 32.5	34.6%	32.4%	59.1%	0.55×	3.08
Q1 over 38.5	31.3%	32.4%	15.2%	2.13×	3.08
Q1 under 30.5	24.5%	23.1%	48.8%	0.47×	4.33
Q1 over 40.5	21.7%	23.1%	10.1%	2.28×	4.33
Q1 under 27.5	12.8%	12.6%	32.3%	0.39×	7.95
Q1 over 43.5	11.0%	12.6%	5.0%	2.52×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q2	69.1%	68.4%	41.5%	1.65×	1.46
Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q2	25.8%	27.7%	52.9%	0.52×	3.61
Q2 tied	5.1%	6.1%	5.7%	1.06×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 43.5	90.0%	87.3%	95.7%	0.91×	1.15
Q2 over 27.5	86.0%	87.3%	66.7%	1.31×	1.15
Q2 under 40.5	79.9%	76.8%	90.8%	0.85×	1.30
Q2 over 30.5	73.8%	72.0%	49.9%	1.44×	1.39
Q2 under 38.5	70.6%	72.0%	85.6%	0.84×	1.39
Q2 over 32.5	63.4%	60.7%	39.2%	1.55×	1.65
Q2 under 36.5	59.8%	58.2%	78.7%	0.74×	1.72
Q2 under 35.5	54.0%	52.7%	74.6%	0.71×	1.90
Q2 over 34.5	51.9%	52.7%	29.9%	1.76×	1.90
Q2 under 34.5	48.1%	47.3%	70.1%	0.68×	2.11
Q2 over 35.5	46.0%	47.3%	25.4%	1.86×	2.11
Q2 over 36.5	40.2%	41.8%	21.3%	1.97×	2.39
Q2 under 32.5	36.6%	39.3%	60.8%	0.65×	2.55
Q2 over 38.5	29.4%	28.0%	14.4%	1.94×	3.57
Q2 under 30.5	26.2%	28.0%	50.1%	0.56×	3.57
Q2 over 40.5	20.1%	23.2%	9.2%	2.53×	4.31
Q2 under 27.5	14.0%	12.7%	33.3%	0.38×	7.89
Q2 over 43.5	10.0%	12.7%	4.3%	2.94×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q3	71.0%	73.0%	41.8%	1.75×	1.37
Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q3	24.1%	22.5%	53.3%	0.42×	4.45
Q3 tied	4.9%	4.3%	4.9%	0.87×	23.42

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 46.5	88.0%	87.2%	95.3%	0.92×	1.15
Q3 over 30.5	86.8%	87.2%	66.8%	1.31×	1.15
Q3 under 43.5	77.2%	77.3%	90.2%	0.86×	1.29
Q3 over 33.5	75.4%	77.3%	50.9%	1.52×	1.29
Q3 under 41.5	67.7%	67.8%	85.1%	0.80×	1.48
Q3 over 35.5	65.6%	67.8%	40.3%	1.68×	1.48
Q3 under 39.5	56.9%	58.4%	77.9%	0.75×	1.71
Q3 over 37.5	54.5%	52.3%	30.3%	1.73×	1.91
Q3 under 38.5	51.2%	52.3%	73.9%	0.71×	1.91
Q3 over 38.5	48.8%	47.7%	26.1%	1.83×	2.10
Q3 under 37.5	45.5%	47.7%	69.7%	0.68×	2.10
Q3 over 39.5	43.1%	41.6%	22.1%	1.88×	2.40
Q3 under 35.5	34.4%	32.2%	59.7%	0.54×	3.10
Q3 over 41.5	32.3%	32.2%	14.9%	2.16×	3.10
Q3 under 33.5	24.6%	22.7%	49.1%	0.46×	4.40
Q3 over 43.5	22.8%	22.7%	9.8%	2.31×	4.40
Q3 under 30.5	13.2%	12.8%	33.2%	0.39×	7.83
Q3 over 46.5	12.0%	12.8%	4.7%	2.73×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q4	70.6%	66.2%	41.5%	1.59×	1.51
Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q4	24.6%	29.1%	52.8%	0.55×	3.44
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 46.5	86.5%	85.6%	93.9%	0.91×	1.17
Q4 over 30.5	85.7%	85.6%	66.3%	1.29×	1.17
Q4 under 43.5	75.7%	76.9%	88.6%	0.87×	1.30
Q4 over 33.5	74.5%	71.5%	50.4%	1.42×	1.40
Q4 under 41.5	66.4%	67.4%	83.6%	0.81×	1.48
Q4 over 35.5	65.1%	67.4%	40.6%	1.66×	1.48
Q4 under 39.5	56.1%	58.4%	77.0%	0.76×	1.71
Q4 over 37.5	54.7%	52.5%	31.2%	1.68×	1.91
Q4 under 38.5	50.7%	52.5%	73.1%	0.72×	1.91
Q4 over 38.5	49.3%	47.5%	26.9%	1.77×	2.11
Q4 under 37.5	45.3%	47.5%	68.8%	0.69×	2.11
Q4 over 39.5	43.9%	41.6%	23.0%	1.81×	2.40
Q4 under 35.5	34.9%	32.6%	59.4%	0.55×	3.07
Q4 over 41.5	33.6%	32.6%	16.4%	1.99×	3.07
Q4 under 33.5	25.5%	28.5%	49.6%	0.57×	3.51
Q4 over 43.5	24.3%	23.1%	11.4%	2.03×	4.33
Q4 under 30.5	14.3%	14.4%	33.7%	0.43×	6.95
Q4 over 46.5	13.5%	14.4%	6.1%	2.37×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies under 91.5	86.4%	83.9%	98.2%	0.85×	1.19
Ohio State Buckeyes over 55.5	85.0%	83.9%	81.6%	1.03×	1.19
Ohio State Buckeyes under 75.5	85.9%	83.9%	73.2%	1.15×	1.19
UConn Huskies over 71.5	85.7%	83.9%	23.9%	3.50×	1.19
Ohio State Buckeyes under 72.5	77.7%	75.1%	65.7%	1.14×	1.33
UConn Huskies under 88.5	78.0%	75.1%	97.1%	0.77×	1.33
Ohio State Buckeyes over 58.5	76.3%	75.1%	74.7%	1.01×	1.33
UConn Huskies over 74.5	77.1%	75.1%	17.7%	4.24×	1.33
Ohio State Buckeyes under 70.5	70.9%	70.7%	60.3%	1.17×	1.41
UConn Huskies over 76.5	70.0%	70.7%	14.2%	4.98×	1.41
UConn Huskies under 86.5	71.1%	70.7%	96.1%	0.74×	1.41
Ohio State Buckeyes over 60.5	69.3%	66.4%	69.5%	0.96×	1.51
Ohio State Buckeyes under 68.5	63.3%	61.2%	54.4%	1.12×	1.63
UConn Huskies over 78.5	62.1%	61.2%	11.7%	5.24×	1.63
UConn Huskies under 84.5	63.3%	61.2%	94.7%	0.65×	1.63
Ohio State Buckeyes over 62.5	61.5%	61.2%	64.3%	0.95×	1.63
Ohio State Buckeyes under 66.5	55.2%	57.1%	48.2%	1.19×	1.75
UConn Huskies over 80.5	53.7%	52.3%	9.0%	5.80×	1.91
UConn Huskies under 82.5	54.9%	52.3%	93.0%	0.56×	1.91
Ohio State Buckeyes over 64.5	53.3%	52.3%	58.4%	0.89×	1.91
Ohio State Buckeyes under 65.5	51.0%	52.3%	44.7%	1.17×	1.91
UConn Huskies under 81.5	50.6%	52.3%	92.0%	0.57×	1.91
UConn Huskies over 81.5	49.4%	47.7%	8.0%	5.95×	2.09
Ohio State Buckeyes under 64.5	46.7%	47.7%	41.6%	1.15×	2.09
Ohio State Buckeyes over 65.5	49.0%	47.7%	55.3%	0.86×	2.09
UConn Huskies under 80.5	46.3%	47.7%	91.0%	0.52×	2.09
UConn Huskies over 82.5	45.1%	47.7%	7.0%	6.85×	2.09
Ohio State Buckeyes over 66.5	44.9%	42.9%	51.8%	0.83×	2.33
Ohio State Buckeyes under 62.5	38.5%	38.8%	35.7%	1.09×	2.58
Ohio State Buckeyes over 68.5	36.7%	38.8%	45.6%	0.85×	2.58
UConn Huskies under 78.5	37.9%	38.8%	88.3%	0.44×	2.58
UConn Huskies over 84.5	36.7%	38.8%	5.3%	7.28×	2.58
Ohio State Buckeyes under 60.5	30.7%	33.6%	30.5%	1.10×	2.98
Ohio State Buckeyes over 70.5	29.1%	29.3%	39.7%	0.74×	3.42
UConn Huskies under 76.5	30.0%	29.3%	85.8%	0.34×	3.42
UConn Huskies over 86.5	28.9%	29.3%	3.9%	7.47×	3.42
Ohio State Buckeyes under 58.5	23.7%	24.9%	25.3%	0.98×	4.02
UConn Huskies under 74.5	22.9%	24.9%	82.3%	0.30×	4.02
Ohio State Buckeyes over 72.5	22.3%	24.9%	34.3%	0.72×	4.02
UConn Huskies over 88.5	22.0%	24.9%	2.9%	8.62×	4.02
Ohio State Buckeyes under 55.5	15.0%	16.1%	18.5%	0.87×	6.21
Ohio State Buckeyes over 75.5	14.1%	16.1%	26.8%	0.60×	6.21
UConn Huskies under 71.5	14.3%	16.1%	76.1%	0.21×	6.21
UConn Huskies over 91.5	13.6%	16.1%	1.8%	8.73×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 126.5 points	91.1%	88.8%	57.4%	1.55×	1.13
Under 166.5 points	90.6%	88.8%	96.6%	0.92×	1.13
Over 131.5 points	84.3%	80.6%	46.1%	1.75×	1.24
Under 161.5 points	83.8%	80.6%	94.4%	0.85×	1.24
Over 136.5 points	75.0%	75.6%	35.8%	2.11×	1.32
Under 156.5 points	74.4%	70.8%	91.3%	0.78×	1.41
Over 139.5 points	68.2%	65.9%	30.1%	2.19×	1.52
Under 153.5 points	67.6%	65.9%	89.0%	0.74×	1.52
Over 141.5 points	63.3%	61.5%	26.6%	2.31×	1.63
Under 151.5 points	62.7%	61.5%	87.3%	0.70×	1.63
Over 143.5 points	58.2%	56.5%	23.3%	2.42×	1.77
Under 149.5 points	57.6%	56.5%	84.9%	0.67×	1.77
Over 145.5 points	53.0%	52.3%	20.5%	2.56×	1.91
Under 147.5 points	52.3%	52.3%	82.3%	0.64×	1.91
Over 146.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	19.1%	2.74×	1.91
Under 146.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	80.9%	0.59×	2.10
Under 145.5 points	47.0%	47.7%	79.5%	0.60×	2.10
Over 147.5 points	47.7%	47.7%	17.7%	2.69×	2.10
Over 149.5 points	42.4%	43.5%	15.1%	2.89×	2.30
Under 143.5 points	41.8%	43.5%	76.7%	0.57×	2.30
Over 151.5 points	37.3%	38.5%	12.8%	3.02×	2.60
Under 141.5 points	36.7%	38.5%	73.4%	0.52×	2.60
Under 139.5 points	31.8%	34.1%	69.9%	0.49×	2.93
Over 153.5 points	32.4%	34.1%	11.0%	3.11×	2.93
Over 156.5 points	25.6%	29.2%	8.7%	3.36×	3.43
Under 136.5 points	25.0%	24.4%	64.2%	0.38×	4.10
Over 161.5 points	16.2%	19.4%	5.6%	3.48×	5.15
Under 131.5 points	15.7%	19.4%	53.9%	0.36×	5.15
Under 126.5 points	8.9%	11.2%	42.6%	0.26×	8.96
Over 166.5 points	9.4%	11.2%	3.4%	3.28×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win both halves	62.5%	60.7%	20.4%	2.98×	1.65
Ohio State Buckeyes to win both halves	1.8%	3.0%	36.0%	0.08×	33.74

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies by 26+	19.6%	16.8%	4.6%	3.63×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 16-20	17.6%	16.8%	4.8%	3.53×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 11-15	17.3%	16.8%	7.6%	2.20×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 21-25	14.7%	12.3%	2.7%	4.62×	8.11
UConn Huskies by 6-10	14.1%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
UConn Huskies by 1-5	9.4%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
Ohio State Buckeyes by 1-5	4.5%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.29
Ohio State Buckeyes by 6-10	2.0%	2.0%	12.9%	0.16×	49.31
Ohio State Buckeyes by 11-15	0.7%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.32
Ohio State Buckeyes by 16-20	0.2%	2.0%	8.0%	0.25×	49.33
Ohio State Buckeyes by 21-25	0.1%	2.0%	5.4%	0.38×	49.33
Ohio State Buckeyes by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	12.6%	0.16×	49.33

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