Phoenix Suns v Utah Jazz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Phoenix Suns

22:00

Utah Jazz

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Phoenix Suns win

78.6%

Draw

0.0%

Utah Jazz win

21.4%

79021

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	79021	123.83–112.61	124-113 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to score 100+	98.1%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Phoenix Suns to score 110+	89.0%	85.0%	67.0%	1.27×	1.18
Utah Jazz to score 100+	86.7%	85.0%	85.9%	0.99×	1.18
Both sides to score 100+	85.3%	85.0%	77.5%	1.10×	1.18
Phoenix Suns to score 120+	64.8%	61.9%	36.5%	1.69×	1.62
Utah Jazz to score 110+	60.1%	61.8%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Phoenix Suns to score 130+	31.9%	31.3%	12.8%	2.44×	3.19
Utah Jazz to score 120+	27.4%	27.5%	29.7%	0.93×	3.63
Utah Jazz to score 130+	7.3%	8.8%	10.0%	0.88×	11.37

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H1	68.0%	68.3%	52.8%	1.29×	1.47
Utah Jazz to win H1	28.9%	26.6%	44.1%	0.60×	3.77
H1 tied	3.1%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.87

H1 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 105.5	82.4%	83.2%	75.8%	1.10×	1.20
H1 under 129.5	81.5%	83.2%	88.1%	0.94×	1.20
H1 under 131.5	82.5%	82.5%	91.0%	0.91×	1.21
H1 over 107.5	81.9%	82.5%	70.4%	1.17×	1.21
H1 over 109.5	73.4%	74.0%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
H1 under 125.5	72.3%	74.0%	80.7%	0.92×	1.35
H1 under 127.5	73.5%	73.5%	84.8%	0.87×	1.36
H1 over 111.5	72.7%	73.5%	59.0%	1.25×	1.36
H1 over 112.5	65.5%	68.0%	55.8%	1.22×	1.47
H1 under 124.5	65.4%	67.4%	78.4%	0.86×	1.48
H1 over 114.5	64.5%	62.7%	49.6%	1.26×	1.59
H1 under 122.5	59.6%	58.2%	74.0%	0.79×	1.72
H1 over 116.5	58.6%	58.2%	43.4%	1.34×	1.72
H1 over 118.5	52.6%	52.6%	37.1%	1.42×	1.90
H1 under 120.5	53.6%	52.6%	68.4%	0.77×	1.90
H1 under 119.5	50.5%	52.6%	65.9%	0.80×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	50.7%	52.5%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 under 117.5	49.3%	47.5%	59.6%	0.80×	2.11
H1 over 119.5	49.5%	47.4%	34.1%	1.39×	2.11
H1 under 118.5	47.4%	47.4%	62.9%	0.75×	2.11
H1 over 120.5	46.4%	47.4%	31.6%	1.50×	2.11
H1 under 116.5	41.4%	41.8%	56.6%	0.74×	2.39
H1 over 122.5	40.4%	41.8%	26.0%	1.60×	2.39
H1 under 114.5	35.5%	37.3%	50.4%	0.74×	2.68
H1 over 124.5	34.6%	32.6%	21.7%	1.51×	3.07
H1 under 112.5	34.5%	32.0%	44.2%	0.72×	3.13
H1 under 111.5	27.3%	26.5%	41.0%	0.65×	3.77
H1 over 127.5	26.5%	26.5%	15.2%	1.75×	3.77
H1 over 125.5	27.7%	26.0%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
H1 under 109.5	26.6%	26.0%	35.0%	0.74×	3.84
H1 under 107.5	18.1%	17.5%	29.6%	0.59×	5.73
H1 over 131.5	17.5%	17.5%	9.0%	1.93×	5.73
H1 over 129.5	18.5%	16.8%	11.9%	1.41×	5.96
H1 under 105.5	17.6%	16.8%	24.2%	0.69×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H2	67.8%	62.8%	51.6%	1.22×	1.59
Utah Jazz to win H2	29.1%	31.3%	44.7%	0.70×	3.20
H2 tied	3.1%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 129.5	83.2%	81.8%	87.6%	0.93×	1.22
H2 over 105.5	81.6%	81.8%	71.3%	1.15×	1.22
H2 over 103.5	82.2%	81.5%	76.2%	1.07×	1.23
H2 under 127.5	82.1%	81.5%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
H2 over 107.5	73.2%	72.5%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
H2 under 123.5	73.0%	72.5%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
H2 under 125.5	74.3%	72.2%	81.3%	0.89×	1.39
H2 over 109.5	72.3%	72.2%	60.9%	1.19×	1.39
H2 under 122.5	66.2%	66.4%	74.4%	0.89×	1.51
H2 over 110.5	65.1%	64.4%	58.1%	1.11×	1.55
H2 over 112.5	64.0%	61.6%	52.6%	1.17×	1.62
H2 under 120.5	60.4%	61.6%	69.3%	0.89×	1.62
H2 over 114.5	58.0%	57.3%	47.5%	1.21×	1.74
H2 under 118.5	54.3%	52.4%	63.6%	0.82×	1.91
H2 over 116.5	51.9%	52.4%	41.9%	1.25×	1.91
H2 under 117.5	51.2%	52.4%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
H2 over 115.5	50.1%	52.0%	44.6%	1.17×	1.92
H2 under 115.5	49.9%	48.0%	55.4%	0.87×	2.09
H2 over 117.5	48.8%	47.6%	38.9%	1.22×	2.10
H2 under 116.5	48.1%	47.6%	58.1%	0.82×	2.10
H2 over 118.5	45.7%	47.6%	36.4%	1.31×	2.10
H2 under 114.5	42.0%	42.7%	52.5%	0.81×	2.34
H2 over 120.5	39.6%	38.4%	30.7%	1.25×	2.61
H2 under 112.5	36.0%	38.4%	47.4%	0.81×	2.61
H2 under 110.5	34.9%	35.6%	41.9%	0.85×	2.81
H2 over 122.5	33.8%	33.6%	25.6%	1.31×	2.97
H2 under 109.5	27.7%	27.8%	39.1%	0.71×	3.59
H2 over 125.5	25.7%	27.8%	18.7%	1.49×	3.59
H2 over 123.5	27.0%	27.5%	23.1%	1.19×	3.63
H2 under 107.5	26.8%	27.5%	33.8%	0.82×	3.63
H2 over 127.5	17.9%	18.5%	15.1%	1.22×	5.41
H2 under 103.5	17.8%	18.5%	23.8%	0.78×	5.41
H2 under 105.5	18.4%	18.2%	28.7%	0.63×	5.50
H2 over 129.5	16.8%	18.2%	12.4%	1.46×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns leading at half time	68.0%	68.4%	52.8%	1.30×	1.46
Utah Jazz leading at half time	28.9%	26.5%	44.1%	0.60×	3.77
Level at half time	3.1%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns +14.5	96.1%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Phoenix Suns +16.5	97.1%	97.4%	89.7%	1.09×	1.03
Phoenix Suns +18.5	97.9%	97.4%	91.5%	1.06×	1.03
Phoenix Suns +20.5	98.5%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Phoenix Suns +12.5	94.8%	91.1%	83.9%	1.09×	1.10
Phoenix Suns +9.5	92.2%	91.1%	78.1%	1.17×	1.10
Phoenix Suns +10.5	93.2%	91.1%	80.3%	1.14×	1.10
Phoenix Suns +8.5	91.1%	91.1%	75.7%	1.20×	1.10
Phoenix Suns +6.5	88.7%	85.9%	70.6%	1.22×	1.16
Phoenix Suns +7.5	90.0%	85.9%	73.0%	1.18×	1.16
Phoenix Suns +5.5	87.3%	85.9%	68.0%	1.26×	1.16
Phoenix Suns +4.5	85.8%	85.9%	65.7%	1.31×	1.16
Phoenix Suns +3.5	84.2%	81.1%	63.1%	1.29×	1.23
Phoenix Suns +2.5	82.4%	81.1%	60.5%	1.34×	1.23
Phoenix Suns +1.5	80.6%	81.1%	57.9%	1.40×	1.23
Phoenix Suns −1.5	76.4%	76.5%	53.7%	1.42×	1.31
Phoenix Suns −2.5	74.1%	71.6%	50.9%	1.41×	1.40
Utah Jazz +20.5	73.3%	71.6%	89.1%	0.80×	1.40
Phoenix Suns −3.5	71.7%	71.6%	48.4%	1.48×	1.40
Phoenix Suns −4.5	69.3%	66.7%	46.0%	1.45×	1.50
Utah Jazz +18.5	68.6%	66.7%	86.4%	0.77×	1.50
Phoenix Suns −5.5	66.7%	66.7%	42.9%	1.56×	1.50
Phoenix Suns −6.5	64.1%	61.9%	40.0%	1.55×	1.62
Utah Jazz +16.5	63.5%	61.9%	83.5%	0.74×	1.62
Phoenix Suns −7.5	61.4%	61.9%	37.0%	1.67×	1.62
Phoenix Suns −8.5	58.6%	57.1%	34.1%	1.67×	1.75
Utah Jazz +14.5	58.1%	57.1%	80.1%	0.71×	1.75
Phoenix Suns −9.5	55.9%	57.1%	31.3%	1.83×	1.75
Phoenix Suns −10.5	53.1%	52.4%	29.0%	1.81×	1.91
Utah Jazz +12.5	52.5%	52.4%	76.0%	0.69×	1.91
Phoenix Suns −12.5	47.5%	47.6%	24.0%	1.98×	2.10
Utah Jazz +10.5	46.9%	47.6%	71.0%	0.67×	2.10
Utah Jazz +9.5	44.1%	42.9%	68.7%	0.62×	2.33
Utah Jazz +8.5	41.4%	42.9%	65.9%	0.65×	2.33
Phoenix Suns −14.5	41.9%	42.9%	19.9%	2.16×	2.33
Utah Jazz +7.5	38.6%	38.1%	63.0%	0.60×	2.63
Phoenix Suns −16.5	36.5%	38.1%	16.5%	2.31×	2.63
Utah Jazz +6.5	35.9%	38.1%	60.0%	0.63×	2.63
Utah Jazz +5.5	33.3%	33.3%	57.1%	0.58×	3.01
Phoenix Suns −18.5	31.4%	33.3%	13.6%	2.44×	3.01
Utah Jazz +4.5	30.7%	33.3%	54.1%	0.62×	3.01
Utah Jazz +3.5	28.3%	28.4%	51.6%	0.55×	3.53
Phoenix Suns −20.5	26.7%	28.4%	10.9%	2.61×	3.53
Utah Jazz +2.5	25.9%	28.4%	49.1%	0.58×	3.53
Utah Jazz +1.5	23.6%	23.5%	46.3%	0.51×	4.25
Utah Jazz −1.5	19.4%	18.9%	42.1%	0.45×	5.29
Utah Jazz −2.5	17.6%	18.9%	39.5%	0.48×	5.29
Utah Jazz −3.5	15.8%	18.9%	36.9%	0.51×	5.30
Utah Jazz −4.5	14.2%	14.1%	34.3%	0.41×	7.09
Utah Jazz −5.5	12.7%	14.1%	32.0%	0.44×	7.09
Utah Jazz −6.5	11.3%	14.1%	29.4%	0.48×	7.09
Utah Jazz −7.5	10.0%	14.1%	27.0%	0.52×	7.09
Utah Jazz −8.5	8.9%	8.9%	24.3%	0.37×	11.25
Utah Jazz −9.5	7.8%	8.9%	21.9%	0.41×	11.25
Utah Jazz −10.5	6.8%	8.9%	19.7%	0.45×	11.25
Utah Jazz −12.5	5.2%	8.9%	16.1%	0.55×	11.25
Utah Jazz −14.5	3.9%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.73
Utah Jazz −16.5	2.9%	2.6%	10.3%	0.25×	38.73
Utah Jazz −18.5	2.1%	2.6%	8.5%	0.30×	38.73
Utah Jazz −20.5	1.5%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.9%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.1%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.0%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT	61.6%	62.3%	40.8%	1.53×	1.61
Utah Jazz at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT	14.8%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	14.1%	12.2%	30.9%	0.40×	8.17
Phoenix Suns at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	6.4%	8.3%	12.0%	0.69×	12.09
Level at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT	2.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.75
Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	0.8%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win	78.6%	75.1%	55.7%	1.35×	1.33
Utah Jazz to win	21.4%	24.9%	44.3%	0.56×	4.02

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.0%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Phoenix Suns odd	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Utah Jazz odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	49.0%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02
Phoenix Suns even	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.9%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.1%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q1	61.4%	64.9%	51.3%	1.26×	1.54
Utah Jazz to win Q1	34.1%	30.4%	44.1%	0.69×	3.29
Q1 tied	4.5%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.95

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 67.5	84.0%	83.2%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
Q1 over 51.5	81.0%	83.2%	76.0%	1.09×	1.20
Q1 under 68.5	84.7%	82.8%	90.7%	0.91×	1.21
Q1 over 52.5	80.6%	82.8%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Q1 under 64.5	73.9%	73.1%	80.1%	0.91×	1.37
Q1 over 54.5	70.1%	73.1%	63.3%	1.15×	1.37
Q1 under 65.5	74.8%	72.7%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	65.8%	69.2%	72.9%	0.95×	1.45
Q1 over 55.5	69.4%	67.6%	59.2%	1.14×	1.48
Q1 under 63.5	66.8%	67.6%	76.8%	0.88×	1.48
Q1 over 56.5	61.6%	62.3%	54.6%	1.14×	1.61
Q1 over 57.5	60.8%	61.7%	49.6%	1.25×	1.62
Q1 under 61.5	57.8%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	52.4%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 60.5	53.2%	52.7%	64.5%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 59.5	51.5%	52.7%	40.0%	1.32×	1.90
Q1 under 59.5	48.5%	47.3%	60.0%	0.79×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	46.8%	47.3%	35.5%	1.33×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	47.6%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	42.2%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 57.5	39.2%	38.3%	50.4%	0.76×	2.61
Q1 under 56.5	38.4%	37.7%	45.4%	0.83×	2.65
Q1 over 63.5	33.3%	32.4%	23.2%	1.40×	3.08
Q1 under 55.5	30.6%	32.4%	40.8%	0.79×	3.08
Q1 over 62.5	34.2%	30.8%	27.1%	1.14×	3.25
Q1 over 65.5	25.2%	27.3%	16.8%	1.62×	3.67
Q1 under 54.5	29.9%	26.9%	36.7%	0.73×	3.72
Q1 over 64.5	26.1%	26.9%	19.9%	1.35×	3.72
Q1 under 52.5	19.4%	17.2%	27.6%	0.62×	5.83
Q1 over 68.5	15.3%	17.2%	9.3%	1.83×	5.83
Q1 under 51.5	19.0%	16.8%	24.0%	0.70×	5.95
Q1 over 67.5	16.1%	16.8%	11.2%	1.49×	5.96

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q2	61.2%	61.9%	49.3%	1.25×	1.62
Utah Jazz to win Q2	34.3%	31.8%	46.2%	0.69×	3.14
Q2 tied	4.5%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.89

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 50.5	83.0%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Q2 under 66.5	81.7%	83.1%	86.5%	0.96×	1.20
Q2 over 51.5	82.6%	83.0%	74.2%	1.12×	1.21
Q2 under 67.5	82.5%	83.0%	88.7%	0.94×	1.21
Q2 over 53.5	72.8%	73.0%	65.8%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 63.5	71.1%	73.0%	77.5%	0.94×	1.37
Q2 over 54.5	72.1%	72.0%	61.1%	1.18×	1.39
Q2 under 64.5	72.0%	72.0%	80.9%	0.89×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	64.6%	62.0%	56.3%	1.10×	1.61
Q2 under 61.5	62.7%	62.0%	70.4%	0.88×	1.61
Q2 over 56.5	63.8%	60.7%	51.7%	1.17×	1.65
Q2 under 62.5	63.7%	60.7%	74.4%	0.82×	1.65
Q2 over 57.5	55.6%	57.8%	47.3%	1.22×	1.73
Q2 over 58.5	54.7%	52.7%	42.7%	1.23×	1.90
Q2 under 60.5	54.6%	52.7%	65.7%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 59.5	50.1%	52.7%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
Q2 under 59.5	49.9%	47.3%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
Q2 under 58.5	45.3%	47.3%	57.3%	0.83×	2.11
Q2 over 60.5	45.4%	47.3%	34.3%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 57.5	44.4%	42.2%	52.7%	0.80×	2.37
Q2 under 56.5	36.2%	39.3%	48.3%	0.81×	2.55
Q2 over 62.5	36.3%	39.3%	25.6%	1.53×	2.55
Q2 over 61.5	37.3%	38.0%	29.6%	1.28×	2.63
Q2 under 55.5	35.4%	38.0%	43.7%	0.87×	2.63
Q2 under 54.5	27.9%	28.0%	38.9%	0.72×	3.57
Q2 over 64.5	28.0%	28.0%	19.1%	1.46×	3.57
Q2 over 63.5	28.9%	27.0%	22.5%	1.20×	3.71
Q2 under 53.5	27.2%	27.0%	34.2%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 under 51.5	17.4%	17.0%	25.8%	0.66×	5.88
Q2 over 67.5	17.5%	17.0%	11.3%	1.50×	5.88
Q2 over 66.5	18.3%	16.9%	13.5%	1.25×	5.93
Q2 under 50.5	17.0%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q3	61.3%	60.8%	50.9%	1.20×	1.64
Utah Jazz to win Q3	34.3%	33.8%	44.3%	0.76×	2.96
Q3 tied	4.5%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 68.5	84.4%	82.3%	89.3%	0.92×	1.22
Q3 over 52.5	81.3%	82.3%	72.2%	1.14×	1.22
Q3 under 67.5	83.7%	82.2%	87.0%	0.94×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	81.8%	82.2%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	73.5%	72.5%	79.2%	0.92×	1.38
Q3 over 54.5	71.0%	72.5%	63.9%	1.14×	1.38
Q3 under 65.5	74.4%	71.8%	82.2%	0.87×	1.39
Q3 over 55.5	70.3%	71.8%	59.9%	1.20×	1.39
Q3 under 63.5	66.2%	67.8%	75.9%	0.89×	1.48
Q3 under 62.5	65.3%	66.8%	71.9%	0.93×	1.50
Q3 over 56.5	62.4%	62.6%	55.0%	1.14×	1.60
Q3 over 57.5	61.6%	61.9%	50.2%	1.23×	1.61
Q3 under 61.5	57.1%	58.4%	67.7%	0.86×	1.71
Q3 over 58.5	53.2%	52.6%	45.2%	1.16×	1.90
Q3 over 59.5	52.3%	52.3%	41.0%	1.28×	1.91
Q3 under 60.5	52.4%	52.3%	63.5%	0.82×	1.91
Q3 under 59.5	47.7%	47.7%	59.0%	0.81×	2.10
Q3 over 60.5	47.6%	47.7%	36.5%	1.31×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	46.8%	47.4%	54.8%	0.86×	2.11
Q3 over 61.5	42.9%	41.6%	32.3%	1.29×	2.40
Q3 under 57.5	38.4%	38.1%	49.8%	0.76×	2.63
Q3 under 56.5	37.6%	37.4%	45.0%	0.83×	2.67
Q3 over 62.5	34.7%	33.2%	28.1%	1.18×	3.01
Q3 over 63.5	33.8%	32.2%	24.1%	1.34×	3.10
Q3 under 55.5	29.7%	28.2%	40.1%	0.70×	3.55
Q3 over 65.5	25.6%	28.2%	17.8%	1.58×	3.55
Q3 under 54.5	29.0%	27.5%	36.1%	0.76×	3.63
Q3 over 64.5	26.5%	27.5%	20.8%	1.32×	3.64
Q3 under 51.5	18.2%	17.8%	23.9%	0.74×	5.62
Q3 over 67.5	16.3%	17.8%	13.0%	1.37×	5.63
Q3 under 52.5	18.7%	17.7%	27.8%	0.64×	5.66
Q3 over 68.5	15.6%	17.7%	10.7%	1.65×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q4	61.0%	57.8%	48.3%	1.20×	1.73
Utah Jazz to win Q4	34.4%	37.4%	46.4%	0.81×	2.67
Q4 tied	4.6%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.29

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 65.5	83.3%	82.0%	88.4%	0.93×	1.22
Q4 over 49.5	81.0%	82.0%	72.3%	1.13×	1.22
Q4 under 64.5	82.5%	81.9%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	81.6%	81.9%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	72.2%	72.3%	77.5%	0.93×	1.38
Q4 over 51.5	71.1%	72.3%	64.7%	1.12×	1.38
Q4 under 62.5	73.2%	71.5%	80.4%	0.89×	1.40
Q4 over 52.5	70.3%	71.5%	60.4%	1.18×	1.40
Q4 under 60.5	65.1%	67.4%	74.2%	0.91×	1.48
Q4 under 59.5	64.1%	61.7%	70.2%	0.88×	1.62
Q4 over 53.5	62.8%	61.6%	55.7%	1.11×	1.62
Q4 over 54.5	61.9%	61.4%	51.4%	1.20×	1.63
Q4 under 58.5	56.3%	58.4%	66.2%	0.88×	1.71
Q4 over 56.5	52.9%	52.5%	42.8%	1.23×	1.91
Q4 under 57.5	51.7%	52.5%	61.9%	0.85×	1.91
Q4 over 55.5	53.9%	52.4%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 55.5	46.1%	47.6%	52.9%	0.90×	2.10
Q4 over 57.5	48.3%	47.5%	38.1%	1.25×	2.11
Q4 under 56.5	47.1%	47.5%	57.2%	0.83×	2.11
Q4 over 58.5	43.7%	41.6%	33.8%	1.23×	2.40
Q4 under 54.5	38.1%	38.6%	48.6%	0.79×	2.59
Q4 under 53.5	37.2%	38.4%	44.3%	0.87×	2.61
Q4 over 59.5	35.9%	38.3%	29.8%	1.29×	2.61
Q4 over 60.5	34.9%	32.6%	25.8%	1.26×	3.07
Q4 under 52.5	29.7%	28.5%	39.6%	0.72×	3.51
Q4 over 62.5	26.8%	28.5%	19.6%	1.45×	3.51
Q4 under 51.5	28.9%	27.7%	35.3%	0.78×	3.61
Q4 over 61.5	27.8%	27.7%	22.5%	1.23×	3.61
Q4 under 48.5	18.4%	18.1%	24.5%	0.74×	5.53
Q4 over 64.5	17.5%	18.1%	13.7%	1.32×	5.53
Q4 under 49.5	19.0%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.56
Q4 over 65.5	16.7%	18.0%	11.6%	1.55×	5.56

Team total 72

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns under 134.5	81.5%	80.7%	93.4%	0.86×	1.24
Utah Jazz over 102.5	80.4%	80.7%	79.7%	1.01×	1.24
Utah Jazz under 122.5	80.4%	80.7%	77.4%	1.04×	1.24
Utah Jazz under 123.5	80.6%	80.3%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Phoenix Suns under 130.5	80.4%	80.3%	88.6%	0.91×	1.25
Phoenix Suns over 110.5	78.8%	78.3%	64.1%	1.22×	1.28
Utah Jazz over 103.5	78.8%	78.3%	77.5%	1.01×	1.28
Phoenix Suns over 114.5	78.9%	75.1%	51.4%	1.46×	1.33
Utah Jazz under 120.5	73.0%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Phoenix Suns over 113.5	70.9%	71.8%	54.3%	1.32×	1.39
Utah Jazz over 106.5	70.8%	71.8%	68.9%	1.04×	1.39
Phoenix Suns under 131.5	73.9%	70.7%	89.8%	0.79×	1.41
Utah Jazz over 105.5	72.5%	70.7%	71.9%	0.98×	1.41
Utah Jazz under 119.5	72.6%	70.7%	70.3%	1.01×	1.41
Phoenix Suns over 117.5	70.8%	70.7%	42.2%	1.68×	1.41
Utah Jazz under 118.5	67.3%	66.6%	67.4%	0.99×	1.50
Phoenix Suns over 115.5	65.0%	66.6%	48.4%	1.38×	1.50
Phoenix Suns under 129.5	68.1%	66.4%	87.2%	0.76×	1.51
Utah Jazz over 107.5	66.5%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Utah Jazz under 117.5	66.7%	66.4%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Phoenix Suns over 119.5	64.8%	61.2%	36.5%	1.67×	1.63
Phoenix Suns under 127.5	61.8%	61.2%	83.5%	0.73×	1.63
Utah Jazz over 109.5	60.1%	61.2%	60.9%	1.00×	1.63
Utah Jazz under 115.5	60.2%	61.2%	58.6%	1.05×	1.63
Utah Jazz over 108.5	64.9%	61.2%	64.0%	0.96×	1.63
Utah Jazz under 116.5	61.1%	61.2%	61.5%	0.99×	1.64
Utah Jazz over 110.5	58.5%	57.9%	57.9%	1.00×	1.73
Phoenix Suns over 121.5	58.3%	57.1%	30.4%	1.88×	1.75
Phoenix Suns under 125.5	55.2%	57.1%	79.1%	0.72×	1.75
Phoenix Suns under 124.5	51.8%	52.3%	76.8%	0.68×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 111.5	53.3%	52.3%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Phoenix Suns over 123.5	51.6%	52.3%	25.6%	2.04×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 113.5	53.5%	52.3%	52.0%	1.00×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 112.5	50.1%	52.3%	48.5%	1.08×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 114.5	54.6%	52.2%	55.5%	0.94×	1.91
Phoenix Suns under 120.5	51.1%	52.2%	66.3%	0.79×	1.91
Phoenix Suns over 120.5	48.9%	47.8%	33.7%	1.42×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 114.5	45.4%	47.8%	44.5%	1.07×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 112.5	49.9%	47.7%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Phoenix Suns over 124.5	48.2%	47.7%	23.2%	2.06×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 111.5	46.7%	47.7%	45.4%	1.05×	2.09
Phoenix Suns under 123.5	48.4%	47.7%	74.4%	0.64×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 113.5	46.5%	47.7%	48.0%	1.00×	2.09
Phoenix Suns over 125.5	44.8%	42.9%	20.9%	2.05×	2.33
Phoenix Suns under 121.5	41.7%	42.9%	69.6%	0.62×	2.33
Utah Jazz under 110.5	41.5%	42.1%	42.1%	1.00×	2.38
Utah Jazz over 116.5	38.9%	38.8%	38.5%	1.01×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 108.5	35.1%	38.8%	36.0%	1.08×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 109.5	39.9%	38.8%	39.1%	0.99×	2.58
Utah Jazz over 115.5	39.8%	38.8%	41.4%	0.94×	2.58
Phoenix Suns over 127.5	38.2%	38.8%	16.5%	2.35×	2.58
Phoenix Suns under 119.5	35.2%	38.8%	63.5%	0.61×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 107.5	33.5%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.98
Utah Jazz over 117.5	33.3%	33.6%	35.6%	0.94×	2.98
Phoenix Suns over 129.5	31.9%	33.6%	12.8%	2.62×	2.98
Phoenix Suns under 115.5	35.0%	33.4%	51.6%	0.65×	2.99
Utah Jazz over 118.5	32.7%	33.4%	32.6%	1.02×	3.00
Phoenix Suns under 117.5	29.2%	29.3%	57.8%	0.51×	3.42
Utah Jazz under 105.5	27.5%	29.3%	28.1%	1.04×	3.42
Utah Jazz over 119.5	27.4%	29.3%	29.7%	0.99×	3.42
Phoenix Suns over 131.5	26.1%	29.3%	10.2%	2.87×	3.42
Utah Jazz under 106.5	29.2%	28.2%	31.1%	0.91×	3.55
Phoenix Suns under 113.5	29.1%	28.2%	45.7%	0.62×	3.55
Utah Jazz over 120.5	27.0%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.55
Phoenix Suns under 114.5	21.1%	24.9%	48.6%	0.51×	4.02
Utah Jazz under 103.5	21.2%	21.7%	22.5%	0.97×	4.60
Phoenix Suns under 110.5	21.2%	21.7%	35.9%	0.61×	4.60
Utah Jazz over 123.5	19.4%	19.7%	20.5%	0.96×	5.07
Phoenix Suns over 130.5	19.6%	19.7%	11.4%	1.73×	5.07
Utah Jazz under 102.5	19.6%	19.3%	20.3%	0.95×	5.18
Utah Jazz over 122.5	19.6%	19.3%	22.6%	0.85×	5.18
Phoenix Suns over 134.5	18.5%	19.3%	6.6%	2.94×	5.18

Total points 52

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 253.5 points	86.0%	85.5%	89.1%	0.96×	1.17
Over 213.5 points	85.4%	85.5%	76.4%	1.12×	1.17
Under 256.5 points	86.2%	85.0%	91.6%	0.93×	1.18
Over 216.5 points	86.1%	85.0%	71.6%	1.19×	1.18
Under 248.5 points	79.1%	78.1%	84.4%	0.93×	1.28
Over 218.5 points	78.4%	78.1%	67.8%	1.15×	1.28
Under 251.5 points	79.4%	75.6%	87.2%	0.87×	1.32
Over 221.5 points	79.2%	75.6%	62.2%	1.22×	1.32
Under 246.5 points	70.7%	70.8%	82.0%	0.86×	1.41
Over 226.5 points	70.6%	70.8%	52.7%	1.34×	1.41
Over 223.5 points	69.8%	66.6%	58.3%	1.14×	1.50
Under 240.5 points	65.0%	61.8%	74.0%	0.83×	1.62
Under 238.5 points	61.0%	61.7%	70.9%	0.87×	1.62
Over 228.5 points	60.0%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 229.5 points	64.7%	61.5%	46.7%	1.32×	1.63
Under 243.5 points	65.0%	61.5%	78.2%	0.79×	1.63
Over 231.5 points	60.6%	61.5%	42.6%	1.44×	1.63
Under 241.5 points	60.8%	61.5%	75.5%	0.81×	1.63
Under 239.5 points	56.6%	56.5%	72.5%	0.78×	1.77
Over 233.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	38.6%	1.46×	1.77
Over 230.5 points	55.9%	56.0%	44.6%	1.26×	1.79
Over 235.5 points	52.0%	52.3%	34.7%	1.51×	1.91
Under 237.5 points	52.3%	52.3%	69.3%	0.76×	1.91
Under 236.5 points	50.1%	52.3%	67.3%	0.78×	1.91
Under 234.5 points	52.6%	52.2%	63.3%	0.82×	1.92
Over 232.5 points	51.6%	52.2%	40.6%	1.29×	1.92
Under 232.5 points	48.4%	47.8%	59.4%	0.80×	2.09
Over 234.5 points	47.4%	47.8%	36.7%	1.30×	2.09
Over 236.5 points	49.9%	47.7%	32.7%	1.46×	2.10
Under 235.5 points	48.0%	47.7%	65.3%	0.73×	2.10
Over 237.5 points	47.7%	47.7%	30.7%	1.55×	2.10
Under 230.5 points	44.1%	44.0%	55.4%	0.79×	2.27
Over 239.5 points	43.4%	43.5%	27.5%	1.58×	2.30
Under 233.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	61.4%	0.71×	2.30
Under 231.5 points	39.4%	38.5%	57.4%	0.67×	2.60
Over 241.5 points	39.2%	38.5%	24.5%	1.57×	2.60
Under 229.5 points	35.3%	38.5%	53.3%	0.72×	2.60
Over 243.5 points	35.1%	38.5%	21.8%	1.77×	2.60
Under 228.5 points	40.0%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Over 238.5 points	39.0%	38.3%	29.1%	1.31×	2.61
Over 240.5 points	35.0%	38.2%	26.0%	1.47×	2.62
Under 223.5 points	30.2%	33.4%	41.7%	0.80×	3.00
Over 246.5 points	29.3%	29.2%	18.0%	1.62×	3.43
Under 226.5 points	29.4%	29.2%	47.3%	0.62×	3.43
Under 221.5 points	20.8%	24.4%	37.8%	0.64×	4.10
Over 251.5 points	20.6%	24.4%	12.8%	1.90×	4.10
Under 218.5 points	21.6%	21.9%	32.2%	0.68×	4.57
Over 248.5 points	20.9%	21.9%	15.6%	1.41×	4.57
Under 216.5 points	13.9%	15.0%	28.4%	0.53×	6.68
Over 256.5 points	13.8%	15.0%	8.4%	1.77×	6.68
Under 213.5 points	14.6%	14.5%	23.6%	0.62×	6.88
Over 253.5 points	14.0%	14.5%	10.9%	1.34×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns to win both halves	44.3%	40.7%	25.2%	1.61×	2.46
Utah Jazz to win both halves	6.8%	8.8%	17.8%	0.49×	11.32

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Phoenix Suns by 26+	16.6%	16.8%	6.2%	2.71×	5.97
Phoenix Suns by 6-10	13.6%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Phoenix Suns by 11-15	13.9%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Phoenix Suns by 1-5	11.9%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Phoenix Suns by 16-20	12.5%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.11
Phoenix Suns by 21-25	10.1%	12.3%	4.7%	2.62×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 1-5	8.7%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 6-10	5.9%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 11-15	3.5%	2.0%	8.0%	0.25×	49.30
Utah Jazz by 16-20	1.9%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.31
Utah Jazz by 21-25	0.9%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.32
Utah Jazz by 26+	0.6%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.32

Phoenix Suns v Utah Jazz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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