Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Portland Trail Blazers

22:00

Memphis Grizzlies

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Portland Trail Blazers win

74.8%

Draw

0.0%

Memphis Grizzlies win

25.2%

75025

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	75025	121.68–112.25	122-112 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to score 100+	97.0%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Memphis Grizzlies to score 100+	86.1%	85.0%	85.9%	0.99×	1.18
Portland Trail Blazers to score 110+	85.1%	85.0%	67.0%	1.27×	1.18
Both sides to score 100+	83.9%	79.3%	77.5%	1.02×	1.26
Memphis Grizzlies to score 110+	58.9%	56.4%	60.9%	0.93×	1.77
Portland Trail Blazers to score 120+	57.8%	56.4%	36.5%	1.54×	1.77
Memphis Grizzlies to score 120+	26.4%	27.5%	29.7%	0.93×	3.64
Portland Trail Blazers to score 130+	25.7%	27.5%	12.8%	2.14×	3.64
Memphis Grizzlies to score 130+	6.9%	8.8%	10.0%	0.88×	11.38

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win H1	65.1%	68.2%	52.8%	1.29×	1.47
Memphis Grizzlies to win H1	31.7%	33.1%	44.1%	0.75×	3.02
H1 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.87

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 129.5	82.6%	83.2%	88.1%	0.94×	1.20
H1 over 105.5	81.3%	83.2%	75.8%	1.10×	1.20
H1 under 130.5	83.1%	82.5%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
H1 over 106.5	81.3%	82.5%	73.3%	1.13×	1.21
H1 under 125.5	73.7%	74.0%	80.7%	0.92×	1.35
H1 over 109.5	72.0%	74.0%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
H1 under 126.5	74.2%	73.5%	82.8%	0.89×	1.36
H1 over 110.5	72.0%	73.5%	61.9%	1.19×	1.36
H1 under 122.5	65.8%	68.1%	74.0%	0.92×	1.47
H1 under 123.5	66.2%	67.4%	76.0%	0.89×	1.48
H1 over 112.5	63.9%	63.3%	55.8%	1.13×	1.58
H1 under 120.5	60.0%	63.3%	68.4%	0.92×	1.58
H1 over 113.5	63.7%	62.7%	52.4%	1.20×	1.59
H1 under 121.5	60.4%	62.7%	71.2%	0.88×	1.59
H1 over 115.5	57.8%	58.2%	46.4%	1.26×	1.72
H1 over 114.5	58.0%	58.1%	49.6%	1.17×	1.72
H1 under 119.5	54.4%	52.6%	65.9%	0.80×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	51.7%	52.6%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 under 118.5	51.3%	52.6%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 116.5	52.0%	52.5%	43.4%	1.21×	1.90
H1 under 116.5	48.0%	47.5%	56.6%	0.84×	2.11
H1 over 118.5	48.7%	47.4%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	48.3%	47.4%	59.6%	0.79×	2.11
H1 over 119.5	45.6%	47.4%	34.1%	1.39×	2.11
H1 under 114.5	42.0%	41.9%	50.4%	0.83×	2.39
H1 under 115.5	42.2%	41.8%	53.6%	0.78×	2.39
H1 over 121.5	39.6%	37.3%	28.8%	1.29×	2.68
H1 under 113.5	36.3%	37.3%	47.6%	0.78×	2.68
H1 over 120.5	40.0%	36.7%	31.6%	1.16×	2.72
H1 under 112.5	36.1%	36.7%	44.2%	0.83×	2.72
H1 over 123.5	33.8%	32.6%	24.0%	1.36×	3.07
H1 over 122.5	34.2%	31.9%	26.0%	1.23×	3.13
H1 under 110.5	28.0%	26.5%	38.1%	0.70×	3.77
H1 over 126.5	25.8%	26.5%	17.2%	1.54×	3.77
H1 under 109.5	28.0%	26.1%	35.0%	0.74×	3.84
H1 over 125.5	26.3%	26.0%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
H1 under 106.5	18.7%	17.5%	26.7%	0.65×	5.72
H1 over 130.5	16.9%	17.5%	10.4%	1.68×	5.73
H1 under 105.5	18.7%	16.8%	24.2%	0.69×	5.96
H1 over 129.5	17.4%	16.8%	11.9%	1.41×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win H2	64.9%	58.9%	51.6%	1.14×	1.70
Memphis Grizzlies to win H2	31.9%	36.3%	44.7%	0.81×	2.76
H2 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 128.5	83.7%	81.8%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
H2 over 104.5	81.1%	81.8%	73.9%	1.11×	1.22
H2 under 127.5	83.2%	81.5%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
H2 over 103.5	81.1%	81.5%	76.2%	1.07×	1.23
H2 under 123.5	74.4%	72.5%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
H2 over 107.5	71.7%	72.5%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
H2 under 124.5	74.9%	72.2%	79.1%	0.91×	1.39
H2 over 108.5	71.6%	72.2%	63.8%	1.13×	1.39
H2 under 121.5	66.9%	66.4%	72.0%	0.92×	1.51
H2 under 120.5	66.4%	64.4%	69.3%	0.93×	1.55
H2 over 110.5	63.5%	62.6%	58.1%	1.08×	1.60
H2 under 118.5	60.7%	62.6%	63.6%	0.98×	1.60
H2 over 111.5	63.3%	61.6%	55.3%	1.11×	1.62
H2 under 119.5	61.1%	61.6%	66.4%	0.93×	1.62
H2 over 112.5	57.6%	58.0%	52.6%	1.10×	1.72
H2 over 113.5	57.3%	57.3%	49.9%	1.15×	1.74
H2 under 117.5	55.0%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
H2 under 116.5	52.0%	52.4%	58.1%	0.90×	1.91
H2 over 115.5	51.1%	52.4%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
H2 over 114.5	51.5%	52.0%	47.5%	1.10×	1.92
H2 under 114.5	48.5%	48.0%	52.5%	0.91×	2.09
H2 under 115.5	48.9%	47.6%	55.4%	0.86×	2.10
H2 over 116.5	48.0%	47.6%	41.9%	1.14×	2.10
H2 over 117.5	45.0%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.34
H2 under 113.5	42.7%	42.7%	50.1%	0.85×	2.34
H2 under 112.5	42.4%	42.0%	47.4%	0.89×	2.38
H2 over 119.5	38.9%	38.4%	33.6%	1.14×	2.61
H2 under 111.5	36.7%	38.4%	44.7%	0.86×	2.61
H2 over 118.5	39.3%	37.4%	36.4%	1.03×	2.67
H2 under 110.5	36.5%	37.4%	41.9%	0.89×	2.67
H2 over 120.5	33.6%	35.6%	30.7%	1.16×	2.81
H2 over 121.5	33.1%	33.6%	28.0%	1.20×	2.97
H2 under 108.5	28.4%	27.8%	36.2%	0.77×	3.59
H2 over 124.5	25.1%	27.8%	20.9%	1.33×	3.59
H2 under 107.5	28.3%	27.5%	33.8%	0.82×	3.63
H2 over 123.5	25.6%	27.5%	23.1%	1.19×	3.64
H2 under 103.5	18.9%	18.5%	23.8%	0.78×	5.41
H2 over 127.5	16.8%	18.5%	15.1%	1.22×	5.41
H2 under 104.5	18.9%	18.2%	26.1%	0.70×	5.50
H2 over 128.5	16.3%	18.2%	13.7%	1.32×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers leading at half time	65.1%	68.4%	52.8%	1.30×	1.46
Memphis Grizzlies leading at half time	31.7%	32.7%	44.1%	0.74×	3.06
Level at half time	3.2%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers +16.5	96.2%	97.4%	89.7%	1.09×	1.03
Portland Trail Blazers +18.5	97.2%	97.4%	91.5%	1.06×	1.03
Portland Trail Blazers +20.5	98.0%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Portland Trail Blazers +14.5	94.9%	91.1%	87.0%	1.05×	1.10
Portland Trail Blazers +12.5	93.3%	91.1%	83.9%	1.09×	1.10
Portland Trail Blazers +9.5	90.2%	91.1%	78.1%	1.17×	1.10
Portland Trail Blazers +10.5	91.3%	91.1%	80.3%	1.14×	1.10
Portland Trail Blazers +8.5	88.9%	85.9%	75.7%	1.13×	1.16
Portland Trail Blazers +7.5	87.6%	85.9%	73.0%	1.18×	1.16
Portland Trail Blazers +6.5	86.1%	85.9%	70.6%	1.22×	1.16
Portland Trail Blazers +5.5	84.5%	81.1%	68.0%	1.19×	1.23
Portland Trail Blazers +4.5	82.8%	81.1%	65.7%	1.23×	1.23
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5	80.9%	81.1%	63.1%	1.29×	1.23
Portland Trail Blazers +2.5	79.0%	76.5%	60.5%	1.26×	1.31
Memphis Grizzlies +20.5	77.2%	76.5%	89.1%	0.86×	1.31
Portland Trail Blazers +1.5	76.9%	76.5%	57.9%	1.32×	1.31
Portland Trail Blazers −1.5	72.4%	71.6%	53.7%	1.33×	1.40
Memphis Grizzlies +18.5	72.8%	71.6%	86.4%	0.83×	1.40
Portland Trail Blazers −2.5	69.9%	66.7%	50.9%	1.31×	1.50
Memphis Grizzlies +16.5	68.0%	66.7%	83.5%	0.80×	1.50
Portland Trail Blazers −3.5	67.4%	66.7%	48.4%	1.38×	1.50
Portland Trail Blazers −4.5	64.7%	61.9%	46.0%	1.35×	1.62
Memphis Grizzlies +14.5	62.9%	61.9%	80.1%	0.77×	1.62
Portland Trail Blazers −5.5	62.1%	61.9%	42.9%	1.44×	1.62
Portland Trail Blazers −6.5	59.3%	57.1%	40.0%	1.43×	1.75
Portland Trail Blazers −7.5	56.5%	57.1%	37.0%	1.54×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies +12.5	57.5%	57.1%	76.0%	0.75×	1.75
Portland Trail Blazers −8.5	53.7%	52.4%	34.1%	1.54×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies +10.5	51.9%	52.4%	71.0%	0.74×	1.91
Portland Trail Blazers −9.5	50.9%	52.4%	31.3%	1.68×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies +9.5	49.1%	47.6%	68.7%	0.69×	2.10
Portland Trail Blazers −10.5	48.1%	47.6%	29.0%	1.64×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies +8.5	46.3%	47.6%	65.9%	0.72×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies +7.5	43.5%	42.9%	63.0%	0.68×	2.33
Portland Trail Blazers −12.5	42.6%	42.9%	24.0%	1.79×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies +6.5	40.7%	42.9%	60.0%	0.72×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5	37.9%	38.1%	57.1%	0.67×	2.63
Portland Trail Blazers −14.5	37.1%	38.1%	19.9%	1.92×	2.63
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5	35.3%	38.1%	54.1%	0.70×	2.63
Memphis Grizzlies +3.5	32.6%	33.3%	51.6%	0.64×	3.01
Portland Trail Blazers −16.5	32.0%	33.3%	16.5%	2.02×	3.01
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5	30.1%	33.3%	49.1%	0.68×	3.01
Memphis Grizzlies +1.5	27.6%	28.4%	46.3%	0.61×	3.53
Portland Trail Blazers −18.5	27.2%	28.4%	13.6%	2.08×	3.53
Memphis Grizzlies −1.5	23.1%	23.5%	42.1%	0.56×	4.25
Portland Trail Blazers −20.5	22.8%	23.5%	10.9%	2.16×	4.25
Memphis Grizzlies −2.5	21.0%	23.5%	39.5%	0.60×	4.25
Memphis Grizzlies −3.5	19.1%	18.9%	36.9%	0.51×	5.29
Memphis Grizzlies −4.5	17.2%	18.9%	34.3%	0.55×	5.29
Memphis Grizzlies −5.5	15.5%	18.9%	32.0%	0.59×	5.30
Memphis Grizzlies −6.5	13.9%	14.1%	29.4%	0.48×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −7.5	12.4%	14.1%	27.0%	0.52×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −8.5	11.1%	14.1%	24.3%	0.58×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −9.5	9.8%	8.9%	21.9%	0.41×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −10.5	8.7%	8.9%	19.7%	0.45×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −12.5	6.7%	8.9%	16.1%	0.55×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −14.5	5.1%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −16.5	3.8%	2.6%	10.3%	0.25×	38.73
Memphis Grizzlies −18.5	2.8%	2.6%	8.5%	0.30×	38.73
Memphis Grizzlies −20.5	2.0%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.8%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.2%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.0%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.1%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT	57.6%	56.8%	40.8%	1.39×	1.76
Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	16.8%	15.5%	30.9%	0.50×	6.47
Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT	14.9%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Portland Trail Blazers at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	7.4%	8.3%	12.0%	0.69×	12.09
Level at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT	2.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.75
Level at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	1.0%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win	74.8%	68.8%	55.7%	1.23×	1.45
Memphis Grizzlies to win	25.2%	31.2%	44.3%	0.71×	3.20

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Memphis Grizzlies even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.1%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Portland Trail Blazers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Memphis Grizzlies odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.9%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.3%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.7%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q1	59.2%	57.3%	51.3%	1.12×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q1	36.2%	38.2%	44.1%	0.87×	2.62
Q1 tied	4.6%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.95

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 50.5	83.2%	83.2%	79.4%	1.05×	1.20
Q1 under 66.5	81.8%	83.2%	86.1%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 under 67.5	83.6%	82.8%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Q1 over 51.5	81.7%	82.8%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Q1 over 53.5	73.0%	73.1%	68.2%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 under 63.5	71.1%	73.1%	76.8%	0.95×	1.37
Q1 under 64.5	73.4%	72.7%	80.1%	0.91×	1.38
Q1 over 54.5	70.9%	72.7%	63.3%	1.15×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	65.2%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 over 55.5	64.7%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
Q1 under 61.5	62.7%	62.3%	68.5%	0.91×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	62.4%	61.7%	54.6%	1.13×	1.62
Q1 over 57.5	55.7%	59.2%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
Q1 under 60.5	56.2%	58.6%	64.5%	0.91×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	53.2%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 59.5	51.5%	52.7%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
Q1 over 59.5	48.5%	47.3%	40.0%	1.18×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	46.8%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	43.8%	41.4%	35.5%	1.17×	2.42
Q1 under 57.5	44.3%	40.8%	50.4%	0.81×	2.45
Q1 under 56.5	37.6%	38.3%	45.4%	0.84×	2.61
Q1 over 61.5	37.3%	37.7%	31.5%	1.20×	2.65
Q1 under 55.5	35.3%	37.7%	40.8%	0.92×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	34.8%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 under 54.5	29.1%	27.3%	36.7%	0.74×	3.66
Q1 over 64.5	26.6%	27.3%	19.9%	1.37×	3.66
Q1 over 63.5	28.9%	26.9%	23.2%	1.16×	3.72
Q1 under 53.5	27.0%	26.9%	31.8%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 under 51.5	18.3%	17.2%	24.0%	0.71×	5.83
Q1 over 67.5	16.4%	17.2%	11.2%	1.53×	5.83
Q1 over 66.5	18.2%	16.8%	13.9%	1.21×	5.95
Q1 under 50.5	16.8%	16.8%	20.6%	0.82×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q2	59.1%	59.4%	49.3%	1.20×	1.68
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q2	36.3%	35.7%	46.2%	0.77×	2.80
Q2 tied	4.6%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.89

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 66.5	82.6%	83.1%	86.5%	0.96×	1.20
Q2 over 50.5	82.2%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Q2 under 67.5	84.3%	83.0%	88.7%	0.94×	1.21
Q2 over 51.5	80.6%	83.0%	74.2%	1.12×	1.21
Q2 under 63.5	72.2%	73.0%	77.5%	0.94×	1.37
Q2 over 53.5	71.7%	73.0%	65.8%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 64.5	74.5%	72.0%	80.9%	0.89×	1.39
Q2 over 54.5	69.6%	67.4%	61.1%	1.10×	1.48
Q2 under 62.5	66.4%	67.4%	74.4%	0.91×	1.49
Q2 under 61.5	63.9%	62.0%	70.4%	0.88×	1.61
Q2 over 55.5	63.3%	62.0%	56.3%	1.10×	1.61
Q2 over 56.5	61.0%	60.7%	51.7%	1.17×	1.65
Q2 under 60.5	57.5%	58.2%	65.7%	0.88×	1.72
Q2 under 59.5	52.9%	52.7%	61.9%	0.85×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	51.8%	52.7%	42.7%	1.23×	1.90
Q2 over 57.5	54.3%	52.2%	47.3%	1.10×	1.92
Q2 under 57.5	45.7%	47.8%	52.7%	0.91×	2.09
Q2 under 58.5	48.2%	47.3%	57.3%	0.83×	2.11
Q2 over 59.5	47.1%	47.3%	38.1%	1.24×	2.11
Q2 over 60.5	42.5%	41.8%	34.3%	1.22×	2.39
Q2 under 56.5	39.0%	39.3%	48.3%	0.81×	2.55
Q2 under 55.5	36.7%	38.0%	43.7%	0.87×	2.63
Q2 over 61.5	36.1%	38.0%	29.6%	1.28×	2.63
Q2 over 62.5	33.6%	32.6%	25.6%	1.27×	3.06
Q2 under 54.5	30.4%	32.6%	38.9%	0.84×	3.06
Q2 over 64.5	25.5%	28.0%	19.1%	1.46×	3.57
Q2 under 53.5	28.3%	27.0%	34.2%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 over 63.5	27.8%	27.0%	22.5%	1.20×	3.71
Q2 under 51.5	19.4%	17.0%	25.8%	0.66×	5.88
Q2 over 67.5	15.7%	17.0%	11.3%	1.50×	5.89
Q2 under 50.5	17.8%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.93
Q2 over 66.5	17.4%	16.9%	13.5%	1.25×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q3	59.1%	56.8%	50.9%	1.12×	1.76
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q3	36.3%	38.8%	44.3%	0.87×	2.58
Q3 tied	4.5%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 67.5	83.4%	82.3%	87.0%	0.95×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	82.5%	82.3%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	73.0%	71.8%	79.2%	0.91×	1.39
Q3 over 54.5	71.8%	71.8%	63.9%	1.12×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	64.6%	62.0%	71.9%	0.86×	1.61
Q3 over 56.5	63.3%	62.0%	55.0%	1.13×	1.61
Q3 under 60.5	55.4%	58.4%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Q3 over 58.5	54.0%	52.3%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
Q3 under 59.5	50.7%	52.3%	59.0%	0.89×	1.91
Q3 over 59.5	49.3%	47.7%	41.0%	1.16×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	46.0%	47.7%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 60.5	44.6%	41.6%	36.5%	1.14×	2.40
Q3 under 56.5	36.7%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.63
Q3 over 62.5	35.4%	38.0%	28.1%	1.35×	2.63
Q3 under 54.5	28.2%	28.2%	36.1%	0.78×	3.55
Q3 over 64.5	27.0%	28.2%	20.8%	1.35×	3.55
Q3 under 51.5	17.5%	17.7%	23.9%	0.74×	5.66
Q3 over 67.5	16.6%	17.7%	13.0%	1.36×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q4	58.9%	52.1%	48.3%	1.08×	1.92
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q4	36.4%	42.4%	46.4%	0.91×	2.36
Q4 tied	4.7%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 48.5	82.2%	82.0%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 64.5	82.1%	82.0%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 51.5	71.8%	71.5%	64.7%	1.11×	1.40
Q4 under 61.5	71.7%	71.5%	77.5%	0.92×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	63.6%	61.4%	55.7%	1.10×	1.63
Q4 under 59.5	63.4%	61.4%	70.2%	0.87×	1.63
Q4 over 55.5	54.7%	52.5%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 57.5	54.5%	52.5%	61.9%	0.85×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	50.1%	52.5%	42.8%	1.23×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	49.9%	47.5%	57.2%	0.83×	2.11
Q4 under 55.5	45.3%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Q4 over 57.5	45.5%	47.5%	38.1%	1.25×	2.11
Q4 under 53.5	36.4%	38.6%	44.3%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	36.6%	38.6%	29.8%	1.30×	2.59
Q4 under 51.5	28.2%	28.5%	35.3%	0.81×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	28.3%	28.5%	22.5%	1.27×	3.51
Q4 over 64.5	17.9%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56
Q4 under 48.5	17.8%	18.0%	24.5%	0.73×	5.56

Team total 76

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers under 132.5	81.8%	80.7%	91.2%	0.89×	1.24
Memphis Grizzlies under 122.5	81.2%	80.7%	77.4%	1.04×	1.24
Memphis Grizzlies under 123.5	80.9%	80.3%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Portland Trail Blazers over 109.5	78.8%	78.3%	67.0%	1.17×	1.28
Memphis Grizzlies over 103.5	78.4%	78.3%	77.5%	1.01×	1.28
Memphis Grizzlies over 102.5	79.5%	75.1%	79.7%	0.94×	1.33
Portland Trail Blazers over 112.5	78.5%	75.1%	57.7%	1.30×	1.33
Memphis Grizzlies under 120.5	73.4%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Portland Trail Blazers under 126.5	72.7%	71.9%	81.5%	0.88×	1.39
Memphis Grizzlies over 106.5	70.4%	71.8%	68.9%	1.04×	1.39
Memphis Grizzlies under 119.5	73.6%	70.7%	70.3%	1.01×	1.41
Portland Trail Blazers under 129.5	74.3%	70.7%	87.2%	0.81×	1.41
Portland Trail Blazers over 115.5	70.3%	70.7%	48.4%	1.46×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies over 105.5	71.5%	70.7%	71.9%	0.98×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies under 118.5	67.7%	66.6%	67.4%	0.99×	1.50
Portland Trail Blazers under 124.5	67.0%	66.6%	76.8%	0.87×	1.50
Portland Trail Blazers over 114.5	65.1%	66.6%	51.4%	1.30×	1.50
Portland Trail Blazers under 127.5	68.5%	66.4%	83.5%	0.80×	1.51
Memphis Grizzlies under 117.5	67.7%	66.4%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Memphis Grizzlies over 107.5	65.4%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Portland Trail Blazers over 117.5	64.2%	61.2%	42.2%	1.45×	1.63
Portland Trail Blazers under 125.5	62.3%	61.2%	79.1%	0.77×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies under 115.5	61.4%	61.2%	58.6%	1.05×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies over 108.5	64.4%	61.2%	64.0%	0.96×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies under 116.5	61.6%	61.2%	61.5%	0.99×	1.64
Portland Trail Blazers over 116.5	58.8%	57.9%	45.3%	1.28×	1.73
Memphis Grizzlies over 110.5	58.0%	57.9%	57.9%	1.00×	1.73
Memphis Grizzlies under 114.5	55.1%	57.9%	55.5%	1.04×	1.73
Memphis Grizzlies over 109.5	58.9%	57.1%	60.9%	0.94×	1.75
Portland Trail Blazers over 119.5	57.8%	57.1%	36.5%	1.56×	1.75
Portland Trail Blazers under 123.5	55.7%	57.1%	74.4%	0.77×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies under 113.5	54.7%	52.3%	52.0%	1.00×	1.91
Portland Trail Blazers over 121.5	51.1%	52.3%	30.4%	1.72×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies over 111.5	52.1%	52.3%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Portland Trail Blazers under 122.5	52.3%	52.3%	71.8%	0.73×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies under 112.5	51.3%	52.3%	48.5%	1.08×	1.91
Portland Trail Blazers under 120.5	54.3%	52.2%	66.3%	0.79×	1.91
Portland Trail Blazers over 118.5	52.3%	52.2%	39.7%	1.32×	1.91
Portland Trail Blazers under 118.5	47.7%	47.8%	60.3%	0.79×	2.09
Portland Trail Blazers over 120.5	45.7%	47.8%	33.7%	1.42×	2.09
Portland Trail Blazers under 121.5	49.0%	47.7%	69.6%	0.69×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies under 111.5	47.9%	47.7%	45.4%	1.05×	2.09
Portland Trail Blazers over 122.5	47.7%	47.7%	28.2%	1.69×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 112.5	48.7%	47.7%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 113.5	45.3%	47.7%	48.0%	1.00×	2.09
Portland Trail Blazers over 123.5	44.3%	42.9%	25.6%	1.68×	2.33
Portland Trail Blazers under 119.5	42.2%	42.9%	63.5%	0.68×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies under 109.5	41.1%	42.9%	39.1%	1.10×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies over 114.5	44.9%	42.1%	44.5%	0.95×	2.38
Memphis Grizzlies under 110.5	42.0%	42.1%	42.1%	1.00×	2.38
Portland Trail Blazers under 116.5	41.2%	42.1%	54.7%	0.77×	2.38
Memphis Grizzlies over 116.5	38.4%	38.8%	38.5%	1.01×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies under 108.5	35.6%	38.8%	36.0%	1.08×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies over 115.5	38.6%	38.8%	41.4%	0.94×	2.58
Portland Trail Blazers over 125.5	37.7%	38.8%	20.9%	1.85×	2.58
Portland Trail Blazers under 117.5	35.8%	38.8%	57.8%	0.67×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies under 107.5	34.6%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.98
Memphis Grizzlies over 117.5	32.3%	33.6%	35.6%	0.94×	2.98
Portland Trail Blazers over 127.5	31.5%	33.6%	16.5%	2.04×	2.98
Portland Trail Blazers under 114.5	34.9%	33.4%	48.6%	0.69×	2.99
Portland Trail Blazers over 124.5	33.0%	33.4%	23.2%	1.44×	3.00
Memphis Grizzlies over 118.5	32.3%	33.4%	32.6%	1.02×	3.00
Portland Trail Blazers under 115.5	29.7%	29.3%	51.6%	0.57×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies under 105.5	28.5%	29.3%	28.1%	1.04×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies over 119.5	26.4%	29.3%	29.7%	0.99×	3.42
Portland Trail Blazers over 129.5	25.7%	29.3%	12.8%	2.28×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies under 106.5	29.6%	28.2%	31.1%	0.91×	3.55
Portland Trail Blazers over 126.5	27.3%	28.2%	18.5%	1.53×	3.55
Memphis Grizzlies over 120.5	26.6%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.55
Portland Trail Blazers under 112.5	21.5%	24.9%	42.3%	0.59×	4.02
Memphis Grizzlies under 102.5	20.5%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Memphis Grizzlies under 103.5	21.6%	21.7%	22.5%	0.97×	4.60
Portland Trail Blazers under 109.5	21.2%	21.7%	33.0%	0.66×	4.60
Memphis Grizzlies over 123.5	19.1%	19.7%	20.5%	0.96×	5.07
Portland Trail Blazers over 132.5	18.2%	19.3%	8.8%	2.19×	5.18
Memphis Grizzlies over 122.5	18.8%	19.3%	22.6%	0.85×	5.18

Total points 46

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 252.5 points	86.1%	85.5%	88.1%	0.97×	1.17
Over 212.5 points	85.2%	85.5%	77.8%	1.10×	1.17
Under 254.5 points	86.8%	85.0%	89.9%	0.95×	1.18
Over 214.5 points	85.5%	85.0%	75.1%	1.13×	1.18
Under 249.5 points	80.1%	80.6%	85.3%	0.94×	1.24
Under 247.5 points	79.3%	78.1%	83.3%	0.94×	1.28
Over 217.5 points	78.2%	78.1%	69.6%	1.12×	1.28
Over 219.5 points	78.3%	75.6%	66.1%	1.14×	1.32
Under 242.5 points	70.9%	71.0%	76.8%	0.92×	1.41
Under 244.5 points	71.7%	70.8%	79.5%	0.89×	1.41
Over 222.5 points	69.6%	66.6%	60.4%	1.10×	1.50
Over 224.5 points	69.6%	65.9%	56.5%	1.17×	1.52
Under 241.5 points	66.0%	65.9%	75.5%	0.87×	1.52
Over 225.5 points	63.8%	61.8%	54.7%	1.13×	1.62
Over 227.5 points	63.6%	61.5%	50.6%	1.21×	1.63
Under 239.5 points	61.9%	61.5%	72.5%	0.85×	1.63
Over 229.5 points	59.5%	56.5%	46.7%	1.21×	1.77
Under 237.5 points	57.7%	56.5%	69.3%	0.82×	1.77
Over 231.5 points	55.2%	56.5%	42.6%	1.33×	1.77
Under 235.5 points	53.4%	52.3%	65.3%	0.80×	1.91
Under 234.5 points	51.2%	52.3%	63.3%	0.83×	1.91
Over 233.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	38.6%	1.35×	1.91
Under 232.5 points	50.7%	52.2%	59.4%	0.88×	1.92
Over 232.5 points	49.3%	47.8%	40.6%	1.18×	2.09
Over 234.5 points	48.8%	47.7%	36.7%	1.30×	2.10
Under 233.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	61.4%	0.78×	2.10
Over 235.5 points	46.6%	47.7%	34.7%	1.37×	2.10
Under 231.5 points	44.8%	43.5%	57.4%	0.76×	2.30
Over 237.5 points	42.3%	43.5%	30.7%	1.41×	2.30
Under 229.5 points	40.5%	43.5%	53.3%	0.82×	2.30
Over 239.5 points	38.1%	38.5%	27.5%	1.40×	2.60
Under 227.5 points	36.4%	38.5%	49.4%	0.78×	2.60
Under 225.5 points	36.2%	38.2%	45.3%	0.84×	2.61
Over 241.5 points	34.0%	34.1%	24.5%	1.39×	2.93
Under 224.5 points	30.4%	34.1%	43.5%	0.79×	2.93
Under 222.5 points	30.4%	33.4%	39.6%	0.84×	3.00
Over 244.5 points	28.3%	29.2%	20.5%	1.42×	3.43
Over 242.5 points	29.1%	29.0%	23.2%	1.25×	3.45
Under 219.5 points	21.7%	24.4%	33.9%	0.72×	4.10
Under 217.5 points	21.8%	21.9%	30.4%	0.72×	4.57
Over 247.5 points	20.7%	21.9%	16.7%	1.31×	4.57
Over 249.5 points	19.9%	19.4%	14.7%	1.33×	5.15
Under 214.5 points	14.5%	15.0%	24.9%	0.60×	6.68
Over 254.5 points	13.2%	15.0%	10.1%	1.49×	6.69
Under 212.5 points	14.8%	14.5%	22.2%	0.66×	6.88
Over 252.5 points	13.9%	14.5%	11.9%	1.22×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers to win both halves	40.3%	40.6%	25.2%	1.61×	2.46
Memphis Grizzlies to win both halves	8.4%	8.8%	17.8%	0.50×	11.31

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Trail Blazers by 6-10	13.9%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 11-15	13.6%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 26+	13.7%	12.3%	6.2%	1.99×	8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 1-5	12.7%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 16-20	11.8%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.11
Memphis Grizzlies by 1-5	9.7%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Portland Trail Blazers by 21-25	9.1%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 6-10	6.8%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 11-15	4.3%	2.0%	8.0%	0.25×	49.29
Memphis Grizzlies by 16-20	2.4%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.31
Memphis Grizzlies by 21-25	1.2%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.32
Memphis Grizzlies by 26+	0.8%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.32

Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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