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Queens University Royals v Charleston Cougars — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Queens University Royals win
4.0%
Draw
0.0%
Charleston Cougars win
96.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 55.39–74.92 55-75 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens University Royals to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Charleston Cougars to score 100+ 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.27
Charleston Cougars to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.35
Charleston Cougars to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Charleston Cougars to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win H1 83.8% 83.6% 39.9% 2.10× 1.20
Queens University Royals to win H1 13.5% 10.8% 56.4% 0.19× 9.24
H1 tied 2.7% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 89.9% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 87.4% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 81.0% 82.5% 81.4% 1.01× 1.21
H1 over 55.5 76.8% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 71.9% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 66.5% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 64.8% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 58.9% 58.2% 53.9% 1.08× 1.72
H1 under 64.5 57.1% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 under 63.5 53.1% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 50.9% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 49.1% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 46.9% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 42.9% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 41.1% 41.8% 46.1% 0.91× 2.39
H1 over 66.5 35.2% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 33.5% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 28.1% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 23.2% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 19.0% 17.5% 18.6% 0.94× 5.72
H1 under 51.5 12.6% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 10.1% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win H2 85.3% 84.1% 40.6% 2.07× 1.19
Queens University Royals to win H2 12.3% 14.8% 56.0% 0.26× 6.78
H2 tied 2.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 88.9% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 57.5 86.2% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 80.1% 81.8% 77.9% 1.05× 1.22
H2 over 61.5 75.7% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 71.2% 72.2% 69.9% 1.03× 1.39
H2 over 64.5 65.7% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 64.3% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 58.3% 57.3% 55.4% 1.04× 1.74
H2 under 70.5 56.9% 57.3% 57.8% 0.99× 1.74
H2 under 69.5 53.1% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 50.7% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 49.3% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 46.9% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 43.1% 42.7% 42.2% 1.01× 2.34
H2 under 66.5 41.7% 42.7% 44.6% 0.96× 2.34
H2 over 72.5 35.7% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 34.3% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 28.8% 27.8% 30.1% 0.93× 3.59
H2 under 61.5 24.3% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 19.9% 18.2% 22.1% 0.82× 5.50
H2 under 57.5 13.8% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 11.1% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars leading at half time 83.8% 83.4% 39.9% 2.09× 1.20
Queens University Royals leading at half time 13.5% 10.3% 56.4% 0.18× 9.67
Level at half time 2.7% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars +9.5 99.5% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +10.5 99.6% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +12.5 99.8% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +1.5 96.7% 97.4% 41.3% 2.36× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +2.5 97.3% 97.4% 43.3% 2.25× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +3.5 97.9% 97.4% 45.8% 2.13× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +4.5 98.3% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +5.5 98.6% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +6.5 98.9% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +7.5 99.1% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
Charleston Cougars +8.5 99.3% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
Charleston Cougars −1.5 95.1% 97.4% 38.8% 2.51× 1.03
Charleston Cougars −2.5 93.9% 91.1% 36.7% 2.49× 1.10
Charleston Cougars −3.5 92.7% 91.1% 34.3% 2.66× 1.10
Charleston Cougars −4.5 91.2% 91.1% 32.2% 2.83× 1.10
Charleston Cougars −5.5 89.6% 85.9% 29.9% 2.87× 1.16
Charleston Cougars −6.5 87.8% 85.9% 27.7% 3.10× 1.16
Charleston Cougars −7.5 85.8% 85.9% 25.5% 3.37× 1.16
Charleston Cougars −8.5 83.5% 81.1% 23.5% 3.45× 1.23
Charleston Cougars −9.5 81.1% 81.1% 21.3% 3.80× 1.23
Charleston Cougars −10.5 78.5% 76.5% 19.6% 3.90× 1.31
Charleston Cougars −12.5 72.7% 71.6% 16.2% 4.41× 1.40
Charleston Cougars −14.5 66.2% 66.7% 13.3% 5.03× 1.50
Charleston Cougars −16.5 59.3% 57.1% 10.9% 5.25× 1.75
Queens University Royals +20.5 55.4% 57.1% 92.7% 0.62× 1.75
Charleston Cougars −18.5 52.0% 52.4% 8.9% 5.87× 1.91
Queens University Royals +18.5 48.0% 47.6% 91.1% 0.52× 2.10
Charleston Cougars −20.5 44.6% 42.9% 7.3% 5.90× 2.33
Queens University Royals +16.5 40.7% 42.9% 89.1% 0.48× 2.33
Queens University Royals +14.5 33.8% 33.3% 86.7% 0.38× 3.01
Queens University Royals +12.5 27.3% 28.4% 83.8% 0.34× 3.53
Queens University Royals +10.5 21.5% 23.5% 80.4% 0.29× 4.25
Queens University Royals +9.5 18.9% 18.9% 78.7% 0.24× 5.29
Queens University Royals +8.5 16.5% 18.9% 76.5% 0.25× 5.30
Queens University Royals +7.5 14.2% 14.1% 74.5% 0.19× 7.09
Queens University Royals +6.5 12.2% 14.1% 72.3% 0.20× 7.09
Queens University Royals +5.5 10.4% 14.1% 70.1% 0.20× 7.09
Queens University Royals +4.5 8.8% 8.9% 67.8% 0.13× 11.25
Queens University Royals +2.5 6.1% 8.9% 63.3% 0.14× 11.25
Queens University Royals +3.5 7.3% 8.9% 65.7% 0.14× 11.25
Queens University Royals +1.5 4.9% 2.6% 61.2% 0.04× 38.72
Queens University Royals −1.5 3.3% 2.6% 58.7% 0.04× 38.73
Queens University Royals −2.5 2.7% 2.6% 56.7% 0.05× 38.73
Queens University Royals −3.5 2.2% 2.6% 54.2% 0.05× 38.73
Queens University Royals −4.5 1.7% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.73
Queens University Royals −5.5 1.4% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.73
Queens University Royals −6.5 1.1% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.74
Queens University Royals −7.5 0.9% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.74
Queens University Royals −8.5 0.7% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.74
Queens University Royals −9.5 0.5% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.74
Queens University Royals −10.5 0.4% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Queens University Royals −12.5 0.2% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Queens University Royals −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Queens University Royals −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Queens University Royals −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Queens University Royals −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.2% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars at HT / Charleston Cougars at FT 82.5% 84.5% 30.1% 2.80× 1.18
Queens University Royals at HT / Charleston Cougars at FT 11.1% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Queens University Royals at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 2.4% 2.1% 48.3% 0.04× 47.75
Level at HT / Charleston Cougars at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Level at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 0.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.79
Charleston Cougars at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 1.4% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win 96.0% 97.4% 40.1% 2.43× 1.03
Queens University Royals to win 4.0% 2.6% 59.9% 0.04× 38.85
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens University Royals even 50.3% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Charleston Cougars even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Queens University Royals odd 49.7% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Charleston Cougars odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.49
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win Q1 73.5% 73.8% 40.4% 1.83× 1.35
Queens University Royals to win Q1 21.7% 22.0% 54.7% 0.40× 4.54
Q1 tied 4.8% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 88.7% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 88.2% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 77.6% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 77.0% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 67.6% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 67.1% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 56.2% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 55.7% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 50.3% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 49.7% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 44.3% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 43.8% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 32.9% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 32.4% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 23.0% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 26.5 22.4% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 39.5 11.8% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q1 under 23.5 11.3% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win Q2 72.9% 75.2% 41.5% 1.81× 1.33
Queens University Royals to win Q2 22.4% 20.0% 52.9% 0.38× 5.00
Q2 tied 4.8% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.1% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 87.7% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 78.5% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 76.0% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 68.8% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 65.8% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 57.6% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 54.3% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 51.7% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 48.3% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 45.7% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 42.4% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 34.2% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 31.2% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 24.0% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 21.5% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 12.3% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 10.9% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win Q3 74.9% 73.2% 41.8% 1.75× 1.37
Queens University Royals to win Q3 20.6% 22.4% 53.3% 0.42× 4.47
Q3 tied 4.5% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 42.5 88.2% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 87.4% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 77.4% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 76.0% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 67.8% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 66.0% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 56.8% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 54.8% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 51.0% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 49.0% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 45.2% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 43.2% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 34.0% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 32.2% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 24.0% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 22.6% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 12.6% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 11.8% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win Q4 74.5% 66.4% 41.5% 1.60× 1.51
Queens University Royals to win Q4 21.0% 28.9% 52.8% 0.55× 3.46
Q4 tied 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 86.7% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 86.2% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 75.8% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 75.0% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 37.5 66.5% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 65.5% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 35.5 56.0% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 54.9% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 50.6% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 49.4% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 45.1% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 44.0% 41.6% 40.6% 1.03× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 34.5% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 37.5 33.5% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 25.0% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 24.2% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 13.8% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 13.3% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens University Royals under 66.5 87.4% 83.9% 48.2% 1.74× 1.19
Queens University Royals over 46.5 86.5% 83.9% 95.2% 0.88× 1.19
Charleston Cougars under 85.5 86.7% 83.9% 95.5% 0.88× 1.19
Charleston Cougars over 65.5 85.7% 83.9% 40.2% 2.09× 1.19
Queens University Royals under 63.5 79.6% 75.1% 38.5% 1.95× 1.33
Charleston Cougars under 82.5 78.4% 75.1% 93.0% 0.81× 1.33
Queens University Royals over 49.5 76.7% 75.1% 92.1% 0.82× 1.33
Charleston Cougars over 68.5 77.0% 75.1% 31.4% 2.39× 1.33
Queens University Royals under 61.5 73.0% 70.7% 33.1% 2.14× 1.41
Charleston Cougars under 80.5 71.6% 70.7% 91.0% 0.78× 1.41
Charleston Cougars over 70.5 69.8% 66.4% 26.3% 2.52× 1.51
Queens University Royals over 51.5 68.9% 66.4% 89.3% 0.74× 1.51
Queens University Royals under 59.5 65.4% 66.4% 27.8% 2.38× 1.51
Charleston Cougars under 78.5 63.8% 61.2% 88.3% 0.69× 1.63
Queens University Royals over 53.5 60.5% 61.2% 85.8% 0.71× 1.63
Charleston Cougars over 72.5 61.8% 61.2% 21.8% 2.81× 1.63
Queens University Royals under 57.5 57.0% 57.1% 22.8% 2.50× 1.75
Charleston Cougars under 76.5 55.4% 57.1% 85.8% 0.67× 1.75
Queens University Royals over 55.5 51.7% 52.3% 81.6% 0.64× 1.91
Queens University Royals under 56.5 52.7% 52.3% 20.5% 2.55× 1.91
Charleston Cougars over 74.5 53.3% 52.3% 17.7% 2.95× 1.91
Charleston Cougars under 75.5 51.0% 52.3% 84.1% 0.62× 1.91
Queens University Royals under 55.5 48.3% 47.7% 18.5% 2.59× 2.09
Queens University Royals over 56.5 47.3% 47.7% 79.5% 0.60× 2.09
Charleston Cougars under 74.5 46.7% 47.7% 82.3% 0.58× 2.09
Charleston Cougars over 75.5 49.0% 47.7% 15.9% 3.01× 2.09
Charleston Cougars over 76.5 44.7% 42.9% 14.2% 3.02× 2.33
Queens University Royals over 57.5 43.0% 42.9% 77.2% 0.56× 2.33
Queens University Royals under 53.5 39.5% 38.8% 14.2% 2.73× 2.58
Charleston Cougars under 72.5 38.2% 38.8% 78.2% 0.50× 2.58
Charleston Cougars over 78.5 36.2% 38.8% 11.7% 3.33× 2.58
Queens University Royals over 59.5 34.6% 33.6% 72.2% 0.47× 2.98
Queens University Royals under 51.5 31.1% 33.6% 10.7% 3.13× 2.98
Charleston Cougars under 70.5 30.2% 33.6% 73.7% 0.46× 2.98
Queens University Royals over 61.5 27.0% 29.3% 66.9% 0.44× 3.42
Charleston Cougars over 80.5 28.4% 29.3% 9.0% 3.25× 3.42
Queens University Royals under 49.5 23.3% 24.9% 7.9% 3.15× 4.02
Charleston Cougars under 68.5 23.0% 24.9% 68.6% 0.36× 4.02
Charleston Cougars over 82.5 21.6% 24.9% 7.0% 3.57× 4.02
Queens University Royals over 63.5 20.4% 24.9% 61.5% 0.40× 4.02
Charleston Cougars under 65.5 14.3% 16.1% 59.8% 0.27× 6.21
Queens University Royals under 46.5 13.5% 16.1% 4.8% 3.36× 6.21
Charleston Cougars over 85.5 13.3% 16.1% 4.5% 3.56× 6.21
Queens University Royals over 66.5 12.6% 16.1% 51.8% 0.31× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 111.5 points 92.6% 88.8% 85.1% 1.04× 1.13
Under 151.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 87.3% 1.02× 1.13
Over 116.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 77.2% 1.10× 1.18
Under 146.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 80.9% 1.05× 1.18
Under 141.5 points 75.9% 75.6% 73.4% 1.03× 1.32
Over 121.5 points 75.4% 75.6% 67.7% 1.12× 1.32
Under 138.5 points 69.1% 65.9% 67.9% 0.97× 1.52
Over 124.5 points 68.2% 65.9% 61.5% 1.07× 1.52
Under 136.5 points 64.2% 61.5% 64.2% 0.96× 1.63
Over 126.5 points 62.9% 61.5% 57.4% 1.07× 1.63
Under 134.5 points 59.0% 56.5% 60.2% 0.94× 1.77
Over 128.5 points 57.5% 56.5% 52.8% 1.07× 1.77
Under 132.5 points 53.5% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 130.5 points 52.0% 52.3% 48.3% 1.08× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 46.1% 1.03× 2.10
Under 130.5 points 48.0% 47.7% 51.7% 0.92× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 46.5% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 128.5 points 42.5% 43.5% 47.2% 0.92× 2.30
Over 134.5 points 41.0% 43.5% 39.8% 1.09× 2.30
Under 126.5 points 37.1% 38.5% 42.6% 0.90× 2.60
Over 136.5 points 35.8% 38.5% 35.8% 1.08× 2.60
Under 124.5 points 31.8% 34.1% 38.5% 0.89× 2.93
Over 138.5 points 30.9% 34.1% 32.1% 1.06× 2.93
Under 121.5 points 24.6% 24.4% 32.3% 0.75× 4.10
Over 141.5 points 24.1% 24.4% 26.6% 0.92× 4.10
Over 146.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 19.1% 0.78× 6.68
Under 116.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 22.8% 0.66× 6.68
Over 151.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 12.8% 0.88× 8.96
Under 111.5 points 7.4% 11.2% 14.9% 0.75× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars to win both halves 70.4% 71.8% 20.4% 3.53× 1.39
Queens University Royals to win both halves 0.8% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.80
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charleston Cougars by 26+ 27.4% 30.7% 4.6% 6.66× 3.26
Charleston Cougars by 16-20 18.2% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
Charleston Cougars by 21-25 17.2% 16.8% 2.7% 6.27× 5.97
Charleston Cougars by 11-15 15.7% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Charleston Cougars by 6-10 11.1% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Charleston Cougars by 1-5 6.4% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Queens University Royals by 1-5 2.6% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.31
Queens University Royals by 6-10 1.0% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.32
Queens University Royals by 11-15 0.3% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.33
Queens University Royals by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Queens University Royals by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Queens University Royals by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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