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Rhode Island Rams v Brown Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 1 December 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Rhode Island Rams win
83.7%
Draw
0.0%
Brown Bears win
16.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 72.00–61.76 72-62 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.31
Rhode Island Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.35
Rhode Island Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win H1 69.5% 68.3% 57.9% 1.18× 1.46
Rhode Island Rams to win H1 69.5% 68.3% 57.9% 1.18× 1.46
Brown Bears to win H1 26.6% 26.5% 38.2% 0.69× 3.77
Brown Bears to win H1 26.6% 26.5% 38.2% 0.69× 3.77
H1 tied 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 87.4% 87.7% 72.8% 1.21× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 87.2% 87.7% 94.9% 0.92× 1.14
H1 over 55.5 78.1% 77.4% 89.4% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 78.6% 77.4% 60.0% 1.29× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 77.3% 77.4% 89.4% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 77.8% 77.4% 60.0% 1.29× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 68.4% 67.4% 83.3% 0.81× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 69.1% 67.4% 49.3% 1.37× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 68.6% 67.4% 49.3% 1.37× 1.48
H1 over 58.5 67.9% 67.4% 83.3% 0.81× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 61.1% 62.7% 77.9% 0.80× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 62.0% 62.7% 41.8% 1.50× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 61.6% 62.7% 41.8% 1.50× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 60.8% 62.7% 77.9% 0.80× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 54.3% 52.6% 34.8% 1.52× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 54.2% 52.6% 34.8% 1.52× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 53.5% 52.6% 72.0% 0.73× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 53.4% 52.6% 72.0% 0.73× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 50.4% 52.6% 31.0% 1.70× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 50.4% 52.6% 31.0% 1.70× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 49.6% 47.4% 69.0% 0.69× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 49.6% 47.4% 69.0% 0.69× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 46.5% 47.4% 28.0% 1.69× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 46.6% 47.4% 28.0% 1.69× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 45.7% 47.4% 65.3% 0.73× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 45.8% 47.4% 65.3% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 39.2% 37.3% 22.1% 1.69× 2.68
H1 under 60.5 38.9% 37.3% 22.1% 1.69× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 38.0% 37.3% 58.2% 0.64× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 38.4% 37.3% 58.2% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 32.1% 32.6% 16.7% 1.95× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 31.6% 32.6% 16.7% 1.95× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 30.9% 32.6% 50.7% 0.64× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 31.4% 32.6% 50.7% 0.64× 3.07
H1 under 55.5 22.7% 22.6% 10.6% 2.13× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 22.2% 22.6% 40.0% 0.56× 4.43
H1 under 55.5 21.9% 22.6% 10.6% 2.13× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 21.4% 22.6% 40.0% 0.56× 4.43
H1 under 51.5 12.8% 12.3% 5.1% 2.41× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 12.6% 12.3% 27.2% 0.45× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win H2 71.0% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Rhode Island Rams to win H2 70.9% 67.6% 57.5% 1.18× 1.48
Brown Bears to win H2 25.4% 31.3% 38.5% 0.81× 3.20
Brown Bears to win H2 25.3% 31.3% 38.9% 0.80× 3.20
H2 tied 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 58.5 86.3% 85.2% 95.1% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 82.5 85.5% 85.2% 65.3% 1.30× 1.17
H2 over 62.5 77.4% 75.8% 88.8% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 76.5% 75.8% 56.4% 1.34× 1.32
H2 over 62.5 76.8% 75.8% 89.8% 0.84× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 75.8% 75.8% 53.0% 1.43× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 68.3% 66.4% 83.1% 0.80× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 67.2% 66.4% 46.6% 1.42× 1.51
H2 over 65.5 67.8% 66.4% 84.5% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 66.8% 66.4% 43.6% 1.52× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 61.4% 61.6% 78.2% 0.79× 1.62
H2 over 67.5 61.1% 61.6% 80.0% 0.77× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 60.3% 61.6% 39.6% 1.55× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 60.1% 61.6% 36.9% 1.67× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 54.2% 52.4% 72.8% 0.72× 1.91
H2 over 69.5 54.1% 52.4% 74.8% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 53.1% 52.4% 33.6% 1.56× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 53.0% 52.4% 31.2% 1.68× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 50.5% 52.4% 69.8% 0.75× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 50.5% 52.4% 71.9% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 49.5% 47.6% 30.2% 1.58× 2.10
H2 under 70.5 49.5% 47.6% 28.1% 1.70× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 46.9% 47.6% 66.4% 0.72× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 47.0% 47.6% 68.8% 0.69× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 45.8% 47.6% 27.2% 1.75× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 45.9% 47.6% 25.2% 1.89× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 39.7% 38.4% 60.4% 0.64× 2.61
H2 over 73.5 39.9% 38.4% 63.1% 0.61× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 38.6% 38.4% 21.8% 1.76× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 38.9% 38.4% 20.0% 1.92× 2.61
H2 over 75.5 33.2% 33.6% 56.4% 0.60× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 31.7% 33.6% 16.9% 1.99× 2.97
H2 over 75.5 32.8% 33.6% 53.4% 0.63× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 32.2% 33.6% 15.5% 2.16× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 24.2% 24.2% 47.0% 0.51× 4.13
H2 under 62.5 22.6% 24.2% 11.2% 2.15× 4.13
H2 over 78.5 23.5% 24.2% 43.6% 0.56× 4.13
H2 under 62.5 23.2% 24.2% 10.2% 2.36× 4.13
H2 over 82.5 14.5% 14.8% 34.7% 0.43× 6.76
H2 under 58.5 13.7% 14.8% 4.9% 3.01× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams leading at half time 69.5% 68.5% 57.9% 1.18× 1.46
Brown Bears leading at half time 26.6% 26.5% 38.2% 0.69× 3.78
Level at half time 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams +16.5 99.4% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +18.5 99.6% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +20.5 99.8% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +8.5 95.9% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +9.5 96.6% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +10.5 97.3% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +12.5 98.3% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +14.5 98.9% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +7.5 95.0% 91.1% 81.0% 1.13× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +5.5 92.7% 91.1% 76.4% 1.19× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +6.5 93.9% 91.1% 78.8% 1.16× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +4.5 91.3% 91.1% 73.7% 1.24× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +3.5 89.7% 85.9% 70.8% 1.21× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams +2.5 87.9% 85.9% 68.0% 1.26× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams +1.5 85.9% 85.9% 65.4% 1.31× 1.16
Brown Bears +20.5 83.2% 81.1% 86.5% 0.94× 1.23
Rhode Island Rams −1.5 81.0% 81.1% 60.8% 1.33× 1.23
Rhode Island Rams −2.5 78.1% 76.5% 57.7% 1.33× 1.31
Brown Bears +18.5 77.9% 76.5% 83.9% 0.91× 1.31
Rhode Island Rams −3.5 75.1% 76.5% 54.1% 1.41× 1.31
Rhode Island Rams −4.5 71.8% 71.6% 50.7% 1.41× 1.40
Brown Bears +16.5 71.9% 71.6% 80.7% 0.89× 1.40
Rhode Island Rams −5.5 68.4% 66.7% 47.0% 1.42× 1.50
Brown Bears +14.5 65.1% 66.7% 77.2% 0.86× 1.50
Rhode Island Rams −6.5 64.9% 61.9% 44.3% 1.40× 1.62
Rhode Island Rams −7.5 61.2% 61.9% 41.3% 1.50× 1.62
Brown Bears +12.5 57.8% 57.1% 72.4% 0.79× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams −8.5 57.5% 57.1% 38.5% 1.48× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams −9.5 53.6% 52.4% 35.5% 1.48× 1.91
Brown Bears +10.5 50.2% 52.4% 67.4% 0.78× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams −10.5 49.8% 47.6% 32.6% 1.46× 2.10
Brown Bears +9.5 46.4% 47.6% 64.5% 0.74× 2.10
Brown Bears +8.5 42.5% 42.9% 61.5% 0.70× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams −12.5 42.2% 42.9% 27.6% 1.56× 2.33
Brown Bears +7.5 38.8% 38.1% 58.7% 0.65× 2.63
Brown Bears +6.5 35.1% 38.1% 55.7% 0.68× 2.63
Rhode Island Rams −14.5 34.9% 33.3% 22.8% 1.46× 3.01
Brown Bears +5.5 31.6% 33.3% 53.0% 0.63× 3.01
Brown Bears +4.5 28.2% 28.4% 49.3% 0.57× 3.53
Rhode Island Rams −16.5 28.1% 28.4% 19.3% 1.47× 3.53
Brown Bears +3.5 24.9% 23.5% 45.9% 0.51× 4.25
Brown Bears +2.5 21.9% 23.5% 42.3% 0.56× 4.25
Rhode Island Rams −18.5 22.1% 23.5% 16.1% 1.46× 4.25
Brown Bears +1.5 19.0% 18.9% 39.2% 0.48× 5.29
Rhode Island Rams −20.5 16.8% 18.9% 13.5% 1.40× 5.29
Brown Bears −1.5 14.1% 14.1% 34.6% 0.41× 7.09
Brown Bears −2.5 12.1% 14.1% 32.0% 0.44× 7.09
Brown Bears −3.5 10.3% 14.1% 29.3% 0.48× 7.09
Brown Bears −4.5 8.7% 8.9% 26.3% 0.34× 11.25
Brown Bears −5.5 7.3% 8.9% 23.6% 0.38× 11.25
Brown Bears −6.5 6.1% 8.9% 21.2% 0.42× 11.25
Brown Bears −7.5 5.0% 8.9% 19.0% 0.47× 11.25
Brown Bears −8.5 4.1% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.72
Brown Bears −9.5 3.4% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.73
Brown Bears −10.5 2.7% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.73
Brown Bears −12.5 1.7% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.73
Brown Bears −14.5 1.1% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Brown Bears −16.5 0.6% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Brown Bears −18.5 0.4% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Brown Bears −20.5 0.2% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 76.9% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 75.5% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 24.5% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 23.1% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 64.1% 62.3% 48.6% 1.28× 1.60
Brown Bears at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 16.4% 15.5% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
Brown Bears at HT / Brown Bears at FT 10.2% 12.2% 25.8% 0.47× 8.18
Rhode Island Rams at HT / Brown Bears at FT 5.3% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.10
Level at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 3.1% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Brown Bears at FT 0.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win 83.7% 80.9% 63.2% 1.28× 1.24
Brown Bears to win 16.3% 19.1% 36.8% 0.52× 5.24
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Brown Bears even 50.1% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 51.2% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Rhode Island Rams odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Brown Bears odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.8% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.66
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears under 72.5 87.1% 83.9% 55.3% 1.52× 1.19
Rhode Island Rams under 82.5 85.5% 83.9% 70.8% 1.19× 1.19
Rhode Island Rams over 62.5 84.3% 80.7% 87.3% 0.92× 1.24
Brown Bears over 52.5 84.0% 80.7% 95.0% 0.85× 1.24
Brown Bears under 69.5 79.3% 75.1% 45.2% 1.66× 1.33
Rhode Island Rams under 79.5 77.3% 75.1% 61.6% 1.22× 1.33
Rhode Island Rams over 65.5 75.7% 75.1% 81.1% 0.93× 1.33
Brown Bears over 55.5 74.7% 70.7% 91.3% 0.77× 1.41
Brown Bears under 67.5 72.8% 70.7% 38.4% 1.84× 1.41
Rhode Island Rams under 77.5 70.6% 70.7% 55.4% 1.28× 1.41
Rhode Island Rams over 67.5 68.8% 66.4% 75.9% 0.88× 1.51
Brown Bears over 57.5 67.4% 66.4% 88.1% 0.75× 1.51
Brown Bears under 65.5 65.4% 66.4% 32.2% 2.06× 1.51
Rhode Island Rams under 75.5 63.2% 61.2% 49.0% 1.25× 1.63
Rhode Island Rams over 69.5 61.1% 61.2% 69.6% 0.88× 1.63
Brown Bears over 59.5 59.4% 57.1% 84.5% 0.68× 1.75
Brown Bears under 63.5 57.4% 57.1% 26.1% 2.19× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams under 73.5 55.2% 57.1% 42.6% 1.34× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams over 71.5 53.1% 52.3% 63.7% 0.82× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams under 72.5 51.1% 52.3% 39.2% 1.33× 1.91
Brown Bears over 61.5 51.0% 52.3% 79.3% 0.66× 1.91
Brown Bears under 62.5 53.2% 52.3% 23.4% 2.23× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams under 71.5 46.9% 47.7% 36.3% 1.32× 2.09
Rhode Island Rams over 72.5 48.9% 47.7% 60.8% 0.79× 2.09
Brown Bears under 61.5 49.0% 47.7% 20.7% 2.31× 2.09
Brown Bears over 62.5 46.8% 47.7% 76.6% 0.62× 2.09
Rhode Island Rams over 73.5 44.8% 42.9% 57.4% 0.75× 2.33
Brown Bears over 63.5 42.6% 42.9% 73.9% 0.58× 2.33
Brown Bears under 59.5 40.6% 42.9% 15.5% 2.76× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams under 69.5 38.9% 38.8% 30.4% 1.27× 2.58
Rhode Island Rams over 75.5 36.8% 38.8% 51.0% 0.76× 2.58
Brown Bears over 65.5 34.6% 33.6% 67.8% 0.50× 2.98
Brown Bears under 57.5 32.6% 33.6% 11.9% 2.82× 2.98
Rhode Island Rams under 67.5 31.2% 33.6% 24.1% 1.39× 2.98
Rhode Island Rams over 77.5 29.4% 29.3% 44.6% 0.66× 3.42
Brown Bears over 67.5 27.2% 29.3% 61.6% 0.48× 3.42
Brown Bears under 55.5 25.3% 29.3% 8.7% 3.36× 3.42
Rhode Island Rams under 65.5 24.3% 24.9% 18.9% 1.32× 4.02
Rhode Island Rams over 79.5 22.7% 24.9% 38.4% 0.65× 4.02
Brown Bears over 69.5 20.7% 24.9% 54.8% 0.45× 4.02
Rhode Island Rams under 62.5 15.7% 19.3% 12.7% 1.52× 5.18
Brown Bears under 52.5 16.0% 19.3% 5.0% 3.87× 5.18
Rhode Island Rams over 82.5 14.5% 16.1% 29.2% 0.55× 6.21
Brown Bears over 72.5 12.9% 16.1% 44.7% 0.36× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 154.5 points 90.1% 88.8% 66.4% 1.34× 1.13
Over 114.5 points 89.4% 85.0% 96.8% 0.88× 1.18
Under 149.5 points 83.5% 80.6% 56.3% 1.43× 1.24
Over 119.5 points 82.2% 80.6% 93.9% 0.86× 1.24
Under 144.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 45.9% 1.54× 1.41
Over 124.5 points 72.6% 70.8% 89.3% 0.79× 1.41
Under 141.5 points 68.2% 65.9% 39.6% 1.67× 1.52
Over 127.5 points 65.9% 65.9% 85.8% 0.77× 1.52
Under 139.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 35.4% 1.74× 1.63
Over 129.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 83.3% 0.74× 1.63
Under 137.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 31.0% 1.83× 1.77
Over 131.5 points 56.2% 56.5% 79.9% 0.71× 1.77
Under 135.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 27.1% 1.93× 1.91
Over 133.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 76.4% 0.68× 1.91
Under 134.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
Under 133.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 23.6% 2.02× 2.10
Over 134.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.10
Over 135.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 72.9% 0.65× 2.10
Under 131.5 points 43.8% 43.5% 20.1% 2.17× 2.30
Over 137.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 69.0% 0.63× 2.30
Under 129.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 16.7% 2.30× 2.60
Over 139.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 64.6% 0.60× 2.60
Under 127.5 points 34.1% 34.1% 14.2% 2.40× 2.93
Over 141.5 points 31.8% 34.1% 60.4% 0.56× 2.93
Under 124.5 points 27.4% 29.2% 10.7% 2.72× 3.43
Over 144.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 54.1% 0.54× 3.43
Under 119.5 points 17.8% 19.4% 6.1% 3.17× 5.15
Over 149.5 points 16.5% 19.4% 43.7% 0.44× 5.15
Under 114.5 points 10.6% 15.0% 3.2% 4.65× 6.69
Over 154.5 points 9.9% 11.2% 33.6% 0.33× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win both halves 46.4% 45.8% 33.2% 1.38× 2.18
Brown Bears to win both halves 4.3% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.57
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams by 6-10 18.6% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 11-15 18.4% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 1-5 15.2% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 16-20 14.6% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Rhode Island Rams by 21-25 9.3% 7.5% 5.6% 1.34× 13.40
Brown Bears by 1-5 9.0% 7.5% 13.2% 0.57× 13.40
Rhode Island Rams by 26+ 7.5% 7.5% 7.9% 0.94× 13.40
Brown Bears by 6-10 4.6% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.29
Brown Bears by 11-15 1.9% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.31
Brown Bears by 16-20 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
Brown Bears by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Brown Bears by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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