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Richmond Spiders v Bethune-Cookman Wildcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Richmond Spiders win
82.1%
Draw
0.0%
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats win
17.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 80.62–71.07 81-71 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to score 100+ 2.7% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 282.83
Richmond Spiders to score 110+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.33
Richmond Spiders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Richmond Spiders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.35
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win H1 68.3% 68.3% 57.9% 1.18× 1.47
Richmond Spiders to win H1 68.3% 68.3% 57.9% 1.18× 1.47
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win H1 27.7% 26.5% 38.2% 0.70× 3.77
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win H1 27.7% 26.5% 38.2% 0.70× 3.77
H1 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 59.5 87.5% 87.7% 80.7% 1.09× 1.14
H1 under 83.5 86.5% 87.7% 90.3% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 63.5 78.8% 77.4% 69.0% 1.12× 1.29
H1 over 63.5 78.1% 77.4% 69.0% 1.12× 1.29
H1 under 79.5 77.4% 77.4% 83.1% 0.93× 1.29
H1 under 79.5 76.7% 77.4% 83.1% 0.93× 1.29
H1 over 66.5 69.5% 67.4% 58.2% 1.16× 1.48
H1 over 66.5 68.9% 67.4% 58.2% 1.16× 1.48
H1 under 76.5 67.8% 67.4% 75.5% 0.89× 1.48
H1 under 76.5 67.3% 67.4% 75.5% 0.89× 1.48
H1 over 68.5 62.4% 62.7% 50.7% 1.24× 1.59
H1 over 68.5 62.0% 62.7% 50.7% 1.24× 1.59
H1 under 74.5 60.5% 62.7% 69.6% 0.90× 1.59
H1 under 74.5 60.2% 62.7% 69.6% 0.90× 1.59
H1 over 70.5 54.8% 52.6% 43.5% 1.21× 1.90
H1 over 70.5 54.7% 52.6% 43.5% 1.21× 1.90
H1 under 72.5 52.9% 52.6% 63.3% 0.83× 1.90
H1 under 72.5 52.8% 52.6% 63.3% 0.83× 1.90
H1 over 71.5 50.9% 52.6% 40.0% 1.32× 1.90
H1 over 71.5 50.9% 52.6% 40.0% 1.32× 1.90
H1 under 71.5 49.1% 47.4% 60.0% 0.79× 2.11
H1 under 71.5 49.1% 47.4% 60.0% 0.79× 2.11
H1 over 72.5 47.1% 47.4% 36.7% 1.29× 2.11
H1 over 72.5 47.2% 47.4% 36.7% 1.29× 2.11
H1 under 70.5 45.2% 47.4% 56.5% 0.84× 2.11
H1 under 70.5 45.3% 47.4% 56.5% 0.84× 2.11
H1 over 74.5 39.5% 37.3% 30.4% 1.23× 2.68
H1 over 74.5 39.8% 37.3% 30.4% 1.23× 2.68
H1 under 68.5 38.0% 37.3% 49.3% 0.76× 2.68
H1 under 68.5 37.6% 37.3% 49.3% 0.76× 2.68
H1 over 76.5 32.2% 32.6% 24.5% 1.33× 3.07
H1 over 76.5 32.7% 32.6% 24.5% 1.33× 3.07
H1 under 66.5 31.1% 32.6% 41.8% 0.78× 3.07
H1 under 66.5 30.5% 32.6% 41.8% 0.78× 3.07
H1 over 79.5 23.3% 22.6% 16.9% 1.34× 4.43
H1 over 79.5 22.6% 22.6% 16.9% 1.34× 4.43
H1 under 63.5 21.2% 22.6% 31.0% 0.73× 4.43
H1 under 63.5 21.9% 22.6% 31.0% 0.73× 4.43
H1 over 83.5 13.5% 12.3% 9.7% 1.26× 8.13
H1 under 59.5 12.5% 12.3% 19.3% 0.64× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win H2 69.8% 62.8% 56.9% 1.10× 1.59
Richmond Spiders to win H2 69.7% 62.8% 57.5% 1.09× 1.59
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win H2 26.5% 31.3% 38.9% 0.80× 3.20
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win H2 26.5% 31.3% 38.5% 0.81× 3.20
H2 tied 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 92.5 86.7% 85.2% 86.9% 0.98× 1.17
H2 over 68.5 84.6% 81.8% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
H2 under 88.5 78.2% 75.8% 83.3% 0.91× 1.32
H2 under 88.5 77.5% 75.8% 79.8% 0.95× 1.32
H2 over 72.5 75.2% 75.8% 63.4% 1.20× 1.32
H2 over 72.5 74.6% 72.2% 65.9% 1.09× 1.39
H2 under 85.5 69.3% 66.4% 76.8% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 85.5 68.8% 66.4% 73.3% 0.91× 1.51
H2 over 75.5 65.8% 66.4% 53.4% 1.24× 1.51
H2 over 75.5 65.4% 66.4% 56.4% 1.18× 1.51
H2 under 83.5 62.6% 61.6% 71.6% 0.86× 1.62
H2 under 83.5 62.3% 61.6% 68.0% 0.91× 1.62
H2 over 77.5 58.9% 57.3% 47.0% 1.22× 1.74
H2 over 77.5 58.7% 57.3% 50.2% 1.14× 1.74
H2 under 81.5 55.6% 57.3% 65.8% 0.87× 1.74
H2 under 81.5 55.4% 57.3% 62.2% 0.92× 1.74
H2 over 79.5 51.7% 52.4% 40.3% 1.30× 1.91
H2 under 80.5 51.9% 52.4% 62.9% 0.83× 1.91
H2 over 79.5 51.7% 52.4% 43.8% 1.20× 1.91
H2 under 80.5 51.9% 52.4% 59.2% 0.88× 1.91
H2 under 79.5 48.3% 47.6% 59.8% 0.80× 2.10
H2 over 80.5 48.1% 47.6% 37.1% 1.28× 2.10
H2 under 79.5 48.3% 47.6% 56.2% 0.85× 2.10
H2 over 80.5 48.1% 47.6% 40.8% 1.17× 2.10
H2 over 81.5 44.4% 42.7% 34.2% 1.25× 2.34
H2 over 81.5 44.6% 42.7% 37.8% 1.13× 2.34
H2 under 77.5 41.1% 42.7% 53.0% 0.80× 2.34
H2 under 77.5 41.3% 42.7% 49.8% 0.86× 2.34
H2 over 83.5 37.4% 38.4% 28.4% 1.35× 2.61
H2 over 83.5 37.7% 38.4% 32.0% 1.20× 2.61
H2 under 75.5 34.6% 33.6% 43.6% 0.77× 2.97
H2 under 75.5 34.2% 33.6% 46.6% 0.72× 2.97
H2 over 85.5 30.7% 33.6% 23.2% 1.45× 2.97
H2 over 85.5 31.2% 33.6% 26.7% 1.26× 2.97
H2 under 72.5 25.4% 27.8% 34.1% 0.82× 3.59
H2 under 72.5 24.8% 24.2% 36.6% 0.66× 4.13
H2 over 88.5 22.5% 24.2% 20.2% 1.20× 4.13
H2 over 88.5 21.8% 24.2% 16.7% 1.45× 4.13
H2 under 68.5 15.4% 18.2% 22.5% 0.81× 5.50
H2 over 92.5 13.3% 14.8% 13.1% 1.13× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders leading at half time 68.3% 68.4% 57.9% 1.18× 1.46
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats leading at half time 27.7% 26.5% 38.2% 0.69× 3.78
Level at half time 4.0% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders +18.5 99.5% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +20.5 99.7% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +9.5 96.1% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +10.5 96.8% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +12.5 98.0% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +14.5 98.7% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +16.5 99.2% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +8.5 95.3% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +7.5 94.2% 91.1% 81.0% 1.13× 1.10
Richmond Spiders +6.5 93.1% 91.1% 78.8% 1.16× 1.10
Richmond Spiders +4.5 90.2% 91.1% 73.7% 1.24× 1.10
Richmond Spiders +5.5 91.8% 91.1% 76.4% 1.19× 1.10
Richmond Spiders +3.5 88.5% 85.9% 70.8% 1.21× 1.16
Richmond Spiders +2.5 86.6% 85.9% 68.0% 1.26× 1.16
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +20.5 84.3% 81.1% 86.5% 0.94× 1.23
Richmond Spiders +1.5 84.4% 81.1% 65.4% 1.24× 1.23
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +18.5 79.3% 76.5% 83.9% 0.91× 1.31
Richmond Spiders −1.5 79.3% 76.5% 60.8% 1.26× 1.31
Richmond Spiders −2.5 76.3% 76.5% 57.7% 1.33× 1.31
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +16.5 73.5% 71.6% 80.7% 0.89× 1.40
Richmond Spiders −3.5 73.2% 71.6% 54.1% 1.32× 1.40
Richmond Spiders −4.5 69.8% 66.7% 50.7% 1.32× 1.50
Richmond Spiders −5.5 66.3% 66.7% 47.0% 1.42× 1.50
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +14.5 67.0% 66.7% 77.2% 0.86× 1.50
Richmond Spiders −6.5 62.7% 61.9% 44.3% 1.40× 1.62
Richmond Spiders −7.5 59.0% 57.1% 41.3% 1.38× 1.75
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +12.5 59.9% 57.1% 72.4% 0.79× 1.75
Richmond Spiders −8.5 55.2% 57.1% 38.5% 1.48× 1.75
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +10.5 52.4% 52.4% 67.4% 0.78× 1.91
Richmond Spiders −9.5 51.4% 52.4% 35.5% 1.48× 1.91
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +9.5 48.6% 47.6% 64.5% 0.74× 2.10
Richmond Spiders −10.5 47.6% 47.6% 32.6% 1.46× 2.10
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +8.5 44.8% 42.9% 61.5% 0.70× 2.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +7.5 41.0% 42.9% 58.7% 0.73× 2.33
Richmond Spiders −12.5 40.1% 42.9% 27.6% 1.56× 2.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +6.5 37.3% 38.1% 55.7% 0.68× 2.63
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +5.5 33.7% 33.3% 53.0% 0.63× 3.01
Richmond Spiders −14.5 33.0% 33.3% 22.8% 1.46× 3.01
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +4.5 30.2% 33.3% 49.3% 0.67× 3.01
Richmond Spiders −16.5 26.5% 28.4% 19.3% 1.47× 3.53
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +3.5 26.8% 28.4% 45.9% 0.62× 3.53
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +2.5 23.7% 23.5% 42.3% 0.56× 4.25
Richmond Spiders −18.5 20.7% 23.5% 16.1% 1.46× 4.25
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +1.5 20.7% 23.5% 39.2% 0.60× 4.25
Richmond Spiders −20.5 15.7% 18.9% 13.5% 1.40× 5.30
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −1.5 15.6% 18.9% 34.6% 0.55× 5.30
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −2.5 13.4% 14.1% 32.0% 0.44× 7.09
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −3.5 11.5% 14.1% 29.3% 0.48× 7.09
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −4.5 9.8% 8.9% 26.3% 0.34× 11.25
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −5.5 8.3% 8.9% 23.6% 0.38× 11.25
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −6.5 6.9% 8.9% 21.2% 0.42× 11.25
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −7.5 5.8% 8.9% 19.0% 0.47× 11.25
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −8.5 4.7% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.72
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −9.5 3.9% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.73
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −10.5 3.2% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.73
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −12.5 2.0% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.73
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −14.5 1.3% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −16.5 0.8% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −18.5 0.5% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats −20.5 0.3% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 79.9% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 78.3% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 21.7% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 20.1% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT 62.5% 62.3% 48.6% 1.28× 1.61
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT 16.5% 15.5% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at HT / Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at FT 11.3% 12.2% 25.8% 0.47× 8.18
Richmond Spiders at HT / Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at FT 5.8% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.10
Level at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT 3.1% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at FT 0.9% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win 82.1% 80.9% 63.2% 1.28× 1.24
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win 17.9% 19.1% 36.8% 0.52× 5.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 51.3% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Richmond Spiders odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.7% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.7% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.3% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.65
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders under 91.5 86.5% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 81.5 86.5% 83.9% 81.2% 1.03× 1.19
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 61.5 84.0% 80.7% 79.3% 1.02× 1.24
Richmond Spiders over 71.5 82.9% 80.7% 63.7% 1.27× 1.24
Richmond Spiders under 88.5 78.7% 75.1% 84.8% 0.89× 1.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 78.5 78.6% 75.1% 73.7% 1.02× 1.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 64.5 75.1% 75.1% 70.7% 1.06× 1.33
Richmond Spiders over 74.5 74.0% 70.7% 54.1% 1.31× 1.41
Richmond Spiders under 86.5 72.2% 70.7% 80.8% 0.88× 1.41
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 76.5 72.0% 70.7% 67.9% 1.04× 1.41
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 66.5 68.0% 66.4% 64.7% 1.03× 1.51
Richmond Spiders over 76.5 66.9% 66.4% 47.7% 1.39× 1.51
Richmond Spiders under 84.5 64.9% 61.2% 76.1% 0.80× 1.63
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 74.5 64.5% 61.2% 61.7% 0.99× 1.63
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 68.5 60.1% 61.2% 58.4% 1.05× 1.63
Richmond Spiders over 78.5 59.2% 57.1% 41.6% 1.37× 1.75
Richmond Spiders under 82.5 57.1% 57.1% 70.8% 0.81× 1.75
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 72.5 56.5% 57.1% 55.3% 1.03× 1.75
Richmond Spiders over 80.5 51.1% 52.3% 35.1% 1.49× 1.91
Richmond Spiders under 81.5 53.0% 52.3% 67.9% 0.77× 1.91
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 70.5 51.9% 52.3% 51.4% 1.02× 1.91
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 71.5 52.3% 52.3% 51.8% 1.01× 1.91
Richmond Spiders under 80.5 48.9% 47.7% 64.9% 0.74× 2.09
Richmond Spiders over 81.5 47.0% 47.7% 32.1% 1.49× 2.09
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 70.5 48.1% 47.7% 48.7% 0.98× 2.09
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 71.5 47.7% 47.7% 48.2% 0.99× 2.09
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 72.5 43.5% 42.9% 44.7% 0.96× 2.33
Richmond Spiders over 82.5 42.9% 42.9% 29.2% 1.47× 2.33
Richmond Spiders under 78.5 40.8% 42.9% 58.4% 0.73× 2.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 68.5 39.9% 38.8% 41.6% 0.93× 2.58
Richmond Spiders over 84.5 35.1% 38.8% 23.9% 1.63× 2.58
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 74.5 35.5% 38.8% 38.3% 1.01× 2.58
Richmond Spiders under 76.5 33.1% 33.6% 52.3% 0.64× 2.98
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 66.5 32.0% 33.6% 35.3% 0.95× 2.98
Richmond Spiders over 86.5 27.8% 29.3% 19.2% 1.53× 3.42
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 76.5 28.0% 29.3% 32.1% 0.91× 3.42
Richmond Spiders under 74.5 26.0% 29.3% 45.9% 0.64× 3.42
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 64.5 24.9% 24.9% 29.3% 0.85× 4.02
Richmond Spiders over 88.5 21.3% 24.9% 15.2% 1.64× 4.02
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 78.5 21.4% 24.9% 26.3% 0.95× 4.02
Richmond Spiders under 71.5 17.1% 19.3% 36.3% 0.53× 5.18
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats under 61.5 16.0% 19.3% 20.7% 0.93× 5.18
Richmond Spiders over 91.5 13.5% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over 81.5 13.5% 16.1% 18.8% 0.86× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 131.5 points 89.7% 85.0% 79.9% 1.06× 1.18
Under 171.5 points 89.2% 85.0% 89.7% 0.95× 1.18
Over 136.5 points 82.9% 80.6% 71.1% 1.13× 1.24
Under 166.5 points 82.2% 80.6% 84.3% 0.96× 1.24
Over 141.5 points 73.8% 70.8% 60.4% 1.17× 1.41
Under 161.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 77.9% 0.91× 1.41
Over 144.5 points 67.4% 65.9% 54.1% 1.22× 1.52
Under 158.5 points 66.4% 65.9% 73.3% 0.90× 1.52
Over 146.5 points 62.8% 61.5% 49.8% 1.23× 1.63
Under 156.5 points 61.7% 61.5% 69.8% 0.88× 1.63
Over 148.5 points 58.0% 56.5% 45.7% 1.24× 1.77
Under 154.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 66.4% 0.85× 1.77
Over 150.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 41.6% 1.26× 1.91
Under 152.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 62.7% 0.84× 1.91
Over 151.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 39.4% 1.33× 1.91
Under 151.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 60.6% 0.79× 2.10
Under 150.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 58.4% 0.82× 2.10
Over 152.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 37.4% 1.28× 2.10
Over 154.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 33.6% 1.29× 2.30
Under 148.5 points 42.0% 43.5% 54.3% 0.80× 2.30
Over 156.5 points 38.3% 38.5% 30.2% 1.28× 2.60
Under 146.5 points 37.2% 38.5% 50.2% 0.77× 2.60
Over 158.5 points 33.6% 34.1% 26.7% 1.28× 2.93
Under 144.5 points 32.6% 34.1% 45.9% 0.74× 2.93
Over 161.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 22.1% 1.32× 3.43
Under 141.5 points 26.2% 29.2% 39.6% 0.74× 3.43
Over 166.5 points 17.8% 19.4% 15.7% 1.23× 5.15
Under 136.5 points 17.1% 19.4% 28.9% 0.67× 5.15
Under 131.5 points 10.3% 15.0% 20.1% 0.75× 6.69
Over 171.5 points 10.8% 15.0% 10.3% 1.45× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win both halves 44.7% 40.7% 33.2% 1.23× 2.46
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win both halves 4.9% 3.0% 14.5% 0.21× 33.54
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders by 6-10 18.7% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Richmond Spiders by 11-15 18.0% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Richmond Spiders by 1-5 15.7% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Richmond Spiders by 16-20 13.9% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats by 1-5 9.7% 7.5% 13.2% 0.57× 13.40
Richmond Spiders by 21-25 8.7% 7.5% 5.6% 1.34× 13.40
Richmond Spiders by 26+ 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 0.94× 13.40
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats by 6-10 5.1% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.41
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats by 11-15 2.2% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.31
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats by 16-20 0.7% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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