Richmond Spiders v VMI Keydets — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 84.94–65.52 | 85-66 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to score 100+ | 6.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 2.55× | 11.38 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 110+ | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.24 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.35 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| VMI Keydets to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.35 |
| VMI Keydets to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| VMI Keydets to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| VMI Keydets to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.35 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win H1 | 84.4% | 83.7% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| Richmond Spiders to win H1 | 84.3% | 83.7% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| VMI Keydets to win H1 | 13.1% | 10.8% | 38.2% | 0.28× | 9.25 |
| VMI Keydets to win H1 | 13.0% | 10.8% | 38.2% | 0.28× | 9.25 |
| H1 tied | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.87 |
| H1 tied | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.87 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 83.5 | 87.7% | 87.7% | 90.3% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 86.5% | 87.7% | 80.7% | 1.09× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 79.0% | 77.4% | 83.1% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 78.3% | 77.4% | 83.1% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 77.3% | 77.4% | 69.0% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 76.6% | 77.4% | 69.0% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 69.7% | 67.4% | 75.5% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 69.1% | 67.4% | 75.5% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 58.2% | 1.16× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 67.1% | 67.4% | 58.2% | 1.16× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 62.6% | 62.7% | 69.6% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 62.2% | 62.7% | 69.6% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 60.3% | 62.7% | 50.7% | 1.24× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 60.0% | 62.7% | 50.7% | 1.24× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 63.3% | 0.92× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 52.7% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 47.3% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 45.1% | 47.4% | 36.7% | 1.29× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 36.7% | 1.14× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 39.7% | 37.3% | 49.3% | 0.76× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 40.0% | 37.3% | 49.3% | 0.76× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 37.4% | 37.3% | 30.4% | 1.23× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 37.8% | 37.3% | 30.4% | 1.23× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 41.8% | 0.78× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 32.9% | 32.6% | 41.8% | 0.78× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 1.33× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 30.3% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 1.33× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 23.4% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.73× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 22.7% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.73× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 21.0% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 1.34× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 1.34× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 13.5% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 0.64× | 8.13 |
| H1 over 83.5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win H2 | 86.2% | 84.1% | 56.9% | 1.48× | 1.19 |
| Richmond Spiders to win H2 | 86.1% | 84.1% | 57.5% | 1.46× | 1.19 |
| VMI Keydets to win H2 | 11.6% | 14.7% | 38.5% | 0.38× | 6.79 |
| VMI Keydets to win H2 | 11.5% | 14.7% | 38.9% | 0.38× | 6.79 |
| H2 tied | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.37 |
| H2 tied | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.37 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 91.5 | 86.0% | 85.2% | 85.5% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 85.5% | 85.2% | 80.0% | 1.07× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 77.2% | 75.8% | 81.2% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 76.5% | 75.8% | 77.7% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 76.4% | 75.8% | 66.4% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 75.8% | 75.8% | 68.8% | 1.10× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 67.2% | 66.4% | 57.0% | 1.16× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 74.1% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 67.6% | 66.4% | 70.5% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 60.0% | 1.11× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 61.3% | 61.6% | 68.9% | 0.89× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 60.3% | 61.6% | 50.3% | 1.23× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 60.0% | 61.6% | 53.4% | 1.15× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 61.0% | 61.6% | 65.3% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 62.9% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 59.2% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 53.1% | 52.4% | 43.6% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 53.0% | 52.4% | 47.0% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 50.6% | 52.4% | 59.8% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 56.2% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 43.8% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 56.4% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 53.0% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 37.1% | 1.28× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 40.8% | 1.17× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 39.7% | 38.4% | 49.7% | 0.77× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 40.0% | 38.4% | 46.6% | 0.82× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 39.0% | 38.4% | 34.7% | 1.11× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 38.7% | 38.4% | 31.1% | 1.23× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 40.0% | 0.84× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 32.8% | 33.6% | 43.0% | 0.78× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 25.9% | 1.30× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 29.5% | 1.14× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 23.6% | 24.2% | 33.6% | 0.72× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 24.2% | 24.2% | 31.2% | 0.78× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 18.8% | 1.29× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 23.5% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 1.08× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 14.5% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.74× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 91.5 | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 1.02× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders leading at half time | 84.3% | 83.4% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| VMI Keydets leading at half time | 13.1% | 10.3% | 38.2% | 0.27× | 9.68 |
| Level at half time | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders +7.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +8.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +9.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +10.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders −1.5 | 95.9% | 97.4% | 60.8% | 1.60× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +1.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 65.4% | 1.49× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +2.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 68.0% | 1.43× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +3.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 70.8% | 1.38× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +4.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 73.7% | 1.32× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +5.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 76.4% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +6.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders −2.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 57.7% | 1.58× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −3.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 54.1% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −4.5 | 92.4% | 91.1% | 50.7% | 1.80× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −5.5 | 90.9% | 91.1% | 47.0% | 1.94× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −6.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 44.3% | 1.94× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −7.5 | 87.3% | 85.9% | 41.3% | 2.08× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −8.5 | 85.1% | 85.9% | 38.5% | 2.23× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −9.5 | 82.8% | 81.1% | 35.5% | 2.29× | 1.23 |
| Richmond Spiders −10.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 32.6% | 2.49× | 1.23 |
| Richmond Spiders −12.5 | 74.5% | 71.6% | 27.6% | 2.59× | 1.40 |
| Richmond Spiders −14.5 | 68.1% | 66.7% | 22.8% | 2.92× | 1.50 |
| Richmond Spiders −16.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 19.3% | 3.21× | 1.62 |
| Richmond Spiders −18.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 16.1% | 3.24× | 1.91 |
| VMI Keydets +20.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 86.5% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| VMI Keydets +18.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 83.9% | 0.57× | 2.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −20.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 13.5% | 3.54× | 2.10 |
| VMI Keydets +16.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 80.7% | 0.47× | 2.63 |
| VMI Keydets +14.5 | 31.9% | 33.3% | 77.2% | 0.43× | 3.01 |
| VMI Keydets +12.5 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 72.4% | 0.39× | 3.53 |
| VMI Keydets +10.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 67.4% | 0.28× | 5.29 |
| VMI Keydets +9.5 | 17.2% | 18.9% | 64.5% | 0.29× | 5.29 |
| VMI Keydets +8.5 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 61.5% | 0.23× | 7.09 |
| VMI Keydets +7.5 | 12.7% | 14.1% | 58.7% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| VMI Keydets +6.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 55.7% | 0.25× | 7.09 |
| VMI Keydets +5.5 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 53.0% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| VMI Keydets +3.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 45.9% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| VMI Keydets +4.5 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 49.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| VMI Keydets +2.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 42.3% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| VMI Keydets +1.5 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 39.2% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| VMI Keydets −1.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 34.6% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| VMI Keydets −2.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| VMI Keydets −3.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 29.3% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| VMI Keydets −4.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −5.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 23.6% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −6.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −7.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −8.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −9.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −10.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| VMI Keydets −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 79.8% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 78.2% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 21.8% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 20.2% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 83.2% | 84.6% | 48.6% | 1.74× | 1.18 |
| VMI Keydets at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 0.99× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.75 |
| VMI Keydets at HT / VMI Keydets at FT | 1.9% | 2.1% | 25.8% | 0.08× | 47.76 |
| Richmond Spiders at HT / VMI Keydets at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / VMI Keydets at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win | 96.8% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| VMI Keydets to win | 3.2% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 39.06 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| VMI Keydets even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.4% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Richmond Spiders odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| VMI Keydets odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.6% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.0% | 97.0% | 94.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 0.52× | 33.45 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders under 95.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 94.0% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| VMI Keydets over 55.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 91.3% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| VMI Keydets under 75.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 64.7% | 1.30× | 1.19 |
| Richmond Spiders over 75.5 | 83.8% | 80.7% | 51.0% | 1.58× | 1.24 |
| Richmond Spiders under 92.5 | 77.9% | 75.1% | 90.8% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| VMI Keydets over 58.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 86.2% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| VMI Keydets under 72.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 55.3% | 1.36× | 1.33 |
| Richmond Spiders over 78.5 | 75.0% | 75.1% | 41.6% | 1.81× | 1.33 |
| Richmond Spiders under 90.5 | 71.3% | 70.7% | 88.1% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| VMI Keydets over 60.5 | 70.1% | 70.7% | 82.0% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| VMI Keydets under 70.5 | 70.1% | 70.7% | 48.7% | 1.45× | 1.41 |
| Richmond Spiders over 80.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 35.1% | 1.89× | 1.51 |
| Richmond Spiders under 88.5 | 63.9% | 61.2% | 84.8% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| VMI Keydets over 62.5 | 62.4% | 61.2% | 76.6% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| VMI Keydets under 68.5 | 62.5% | 61.2% | 41.6% | 1.47× | 1.63 |
| Richmond Spiders over 82.5 | 60.3% | 61.2% | 29.2% | 2.09× | 1.63 |
| Richmond Spiders under 86.5 | 56.0% | 57.1% | 80.8% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| VMI Keydets over 64.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 70.7% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| VMI Keydets under 66.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 35.3% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders over 84.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 23.9% | 2.19× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders under 85.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 78.6% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| VMI Keydets under 65.5 | 50.0% | 52.3% | 32.2% | 1.62× | 1.91 |
| VMI Keydets over 65.5 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 67.8% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders under 84.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 76.1% | 0.63× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders over 85.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 21.4% | 2.23× | 2.09 |
| VMI Keydets under 64.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 29.3% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| VMI Keydets over 66.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 64.7% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders over 86.5 | 44.0% | 42.9% | 19.2% | 2.24× | 2.33 |
| Richmond Spiders under 82.5 | 39.7% | 38.8% | 70.8% | 0.55× | 2.58 |
| VMI Keydets under 62.5 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 23.4% | 1.66× | 2.58 |
| VMI Keydets over 68.5 | 37.5% | 38.8% | 58.4% | 0.66× | 2.58 |
| Richmond Spiders over 88.5 | 36.1% | 38.8% | 15.2% | 2.55× | 2.58 |
| Richmond Spiders under 80.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 64.9% | 0.52× | 2.98 |
| Richmond Spiders over 90.5 | 28.7% | 29.3% | 11.9% | 2.46× | 3.42 |
| VMI Keydets under 60.5 | 29.9% | 29.3% | 18.0% | 1.62× | 3.42 |
| VMI Keydets over 70.5 | 29.9% | 29.3% | 51.4% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| Richmond Spiders under 78.5 | 25.0% | 24.9% | 58.4% | 0.43× | 4.02 |
| VMI Keydets under 58.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 13.8% | 1.81× | 4.02 |
| VMI Keydets over 72.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 44.7% | 0.56× | 4.02 |
| Richmond Spiders over 92.5 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 9.2% | 2.71× | 4.02 |
| Richmond Spiders under 75.5 | 16.2% | 19.3% | 49.0% | 0.39× | 5.18 |
| Richmond Spiders over 95.5 | 14.1% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 2.70× | 6.21 |
| VMI Keydets under 55.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 1.85× | 6.21 |
| VMI Keydets over 75.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 35.3% | 0.46× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 130.5 points | 89.6% | 85.0% | 81.5% | 1.04× | 1.18 |
| Under 170.5 points | 89.4% | 85.0% | 88.6% | 0.96× | 1.18 |
| Over 135.5 points | 82.7% | 80.6% | 72.9% | 1.11× | 1.24 |
| Under 165.5 points | 82.6% | 80.6% | 83.4% | 0.97× | 1.24 |
| Over 140.5 points | 73.5% | 70.8% | 62.8% | 1.13× | 1.41 |
| Under 160.5 points | 73.4% | 70.8% | 76.4% | 0.93× | 1.41 |
| Over 143.5 points | 67.0% | 65.9% | 56.3% | 1.17× | 1.52 |
| Under 157.5 points | 66.9% | 65.9% | 71.6% | 0.92× | 1.52 |
| Over 145.5 points | 62.3% | 61.5% | 51.8% | 1.19× | 1.63 |
| Under 155.5 points | 62.2% | 61.5% | 68.1% | 0.90× | 1.63 |
| Over 147.5 points | 57.5% | 56.5% | 47.8% | 1.18× | 1.77 |
| Under 153.5 points | 57.4% | 56.5% | 64.6% | 0.87× | 1.77 |
| Over 149.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 43.7% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| Under 151.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 60.6% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Over 150.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 41.6% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Under 150.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 58.4% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| Under 149.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 56.3% | 0.85× | 2.10 |
| Over 151.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 39.4% | 1.21× | 2.10 |
| Under 147.5 points | 42.5% | 43.5% | 52.2% | 0.83× | 2.30 |
| Over 153.5 points | 42.6% | 43.5% | 35.4% | 1.23× | 2.30 |
| Under 145.5 points | 37.7% | 38.5% | 48.2% | 0.80× | 2.60 |
| Over 155.5 points | 37.8% | 38.5% | 31.9% | 1.21× | 2.60 |
| Under 143.5 points | 33.0% | 34.1% | 43.7% | 0.78× | 2.93 |
| Over 157.5 points | 33.1% | 34.1% | 28.4% | 1.20× | 2.93 |
| Over 160.5 points | 26.6% | 29.2% | 23.6% | 1.23× | 3.43 |
| Under 140.5 points | 26.5% | 29.2% | 37.2% | 0.78× | 3.43 |
| Under 135.5 points | 17.3% | 19.4% | 27.1% | 0.72× | 5.15 |
| Over 165.5 points | 17.4% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 1.17× | 5.15 |
| Under 130.5 points | 10.4% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 0.81× | 6.69 |
| Over 170.5 points | 10.6% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 1.32× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win both halves | 71.4% | 71.9% | 33.2% | 2.17× | 1.39 |
| VMI Keydets to win both halves | 0.6% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.81 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders by 26+ | 28.6% | 30.8% | 7.9% | 3.90× | 3.25 |
| Richmond Spiders by 21-25 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 3.01× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 16-20 | 18.4% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 11-15 | 15.6% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 6-10 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.86× | 8.11 |
| Richmond Spiders by 1-5 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 0.46× | 13.40 |
| VMI Keydets by 1-5 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 0.15× | 49.31 |
| VMI Keydets by 6-10 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.32 |
| VMI Keydets by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.33 |
| VMI Keydets by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| VMI Keydets by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |
| VMI Keydets by 11-15 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.33× | 49.33 |