Sacramento Kings v Los Angeles Lakers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 6 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Sacramento Kings win
26.1%
Draw
0.0%
Los Angeles Lakers win
73.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 110.09–119.15 | 110-119 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 100+ | 95.4% | 94.9% | 85.9% | 1.10× | 1.05 |
| Sacramento Kings to score 100+ | 81.3% | 79.2% | 89.3% | 0.89× | 1.26 |
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 110+ | 79.8% | 77.0% | 60.9% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 78.2% | 77.0% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Sacramento Kings to score 110+ | 51.5% | 52.3% | 67.0% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 120+ | 49.3% | 47.0% | 29.7% | 1.59× | 2.13 |
| Sacramento Kings to score 120+ | 21.0% | 22.0% | 36.5% | 0.60× | 4.55 |
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 130+ | 19.0% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 1.76× | 5.69 |
| Sacramento Kings to score 130+ | 4.9% | 0.4% | 12.8% | 0.03× | 282.39 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win H1 | 64.5% | 62.3% | 44.1% | 1.41× | 1.61 |
| Sacramento Kings to win H1 | 32.3% | 33.1% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 103.5 | 82.6% | 82.5% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 127.5 | 81.8% | 82.5% | 84.8% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 73.6% | 73.5% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 123.5 | 72.6% | 73.5% | 76.0% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 64.4% | 62.7% | 68.4% | 0.92× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 59.7% | 58.2% | 55.8% | 1.04× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 58.5% | 58.2% | 62.9% | 0.93× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 53.7% | 52.6% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 52.5% | 52.6% | 56.6% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 50.6% | 52.6% | 46.4% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 49.4% | 47.4% | 53.6% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 47.5% | 47.4% | 43.4% | 1.09× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 46.3% | 47.4% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 41.5% | 41.8% | 37.1% | 1.13× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 40.3% | 41.8% | 44.2% | 0.95× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 35.6% | 37.3% | 31.6% | 1.18× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 123.5 | 27.4% | 26.5% | 24.0% | 1.10× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 0.90× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 127.5 | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 1.15× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 103.5 | 17.4% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win H2 | 64.3% | 58.8% | 44.7% | 1.32× | 1.70 |
| Sacramento Kings to win H2 | 32.5% | 36.3% | 51.6% | 0.70× | 2.76 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 101.5 | 82.5% | 81.8% | 80.3% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 125.5 | 82.3% | 81.8% | 81.3% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 73.4% | 72.2% | 71.3% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 121.5 | 73.2% | 72.2% | 72.0% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 65.2% | 66.4% | 63.8% | 1.04× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 65.0% | 61.6% | 63.6% | 0.97× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 59.3% | 57.3% | 58.1% | 0.99× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 59.1% | 57.3% | 58.1% | 0.99× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 52.6% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 53.0% | 52.4% | 52.5% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 49.9% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 50.1% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 47.4% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 47.5% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 40.7% | 42.7% | 41.9% | 1.02× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 40.9% | 42.7% | 41.9% | 1.02× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 35.0% | 38.4% | 36.4% | 1.05× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 34.8% | 33.6% | 36.2% | 0.93× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 28.7% | 0.97× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 121.5 | 26.8% | 27.8% | 28.0% | 0.99× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 101.5 | 17.5% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 0.92× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 125.5 | 17.7% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 0.97× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers leading at half time | 64.5% | 62.5% | 44.1% | 1.42× | 1.60 |
| Sacramento Kings leading at half time | 32.3% | 32.7% | 52.8% | 0.62× | 3.06 |
| Level at half time | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers +16.5 | 96.0% | 97.4% | 83.5% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +18.5 | 97.1% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +20.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +14.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 | 93.0% | 91.1% | 76.0% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +10.5 | 90.9% | 91.1% | 71.0% | 1.28× | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +8.5 | 88.5% | 85.9% | 65.9% | 1.30× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +9.5 | 89.7% | 85.9% | 68.7% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +7.5 | 87.0% | 85.9% | 63.0% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 | 85.5% | 85.9% | 60.0% | 1.43× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +5.5 | 83.9% | 81.1% | 57.1% | 1.42× | 1.23 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +4.5 | 82.1% | 81.1% | 54.1% | 1.50× | 1.23 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 51.6% | 1.57× | 1.23 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 | 78.3% | 76.5% | 49.1% | 1.56× | 1.31 |
| Sacramento Kings +20.5 | 78.0% | 76.5% | 93.1% | 0.82× | 1.31 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 46.3% | 1.65× | 1.31 |
| Sacramento Kings +18.5 | 73.6% | 71.6% | 91.5% | 0.78× | 1.40 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −1.5 | 71.5% | 71.6% | 42.1% | 1.70× | 1.40 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −2.5 | 69.0% | 66.7% | 39.5% | 1.69× | 1.50 |
| Sacramento Kings +16.5 | 68.9% | 66.7% | 89.7% | 0.74× | 1.50 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −3.5 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 36.9% | 1.81× | 1.50 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −4.5 | 63.8% | 61.9% | 34.3% | 1.81× | 1.62 |
| Sacramento Kings +14.5 | 63.8% | 61.9% | 87.0% | 0.71× | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −5.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 32.0% | 1.93× | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −6.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 29.4% | 1.94× | 1.75 |
| Sacramento Kings +12.5 | 58.4% | 57.1% | 83.9% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −7.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 2.11× | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −8.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 24.3% | 2.15× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento Kings +10.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 80.3% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento Kings +9.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 78.1% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −9.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 21.9% | 2.18× | 2.10 |
| Sacramento Kings +8.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 75.7% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −10.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 19.7% | 2.41× | 2.10 |
| Sacramento Kings +7.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 73.0% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento Kings +6.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 70.6% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −12.5 | 41.6% | 42.9% | 16.1% | 2.66× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento Kings +5.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 68.0% | 0.56× | 2.63 |
| Sacramento Kings +4.5 | 36.2% | 38.1% | 65.7% | 0.58× | 2.63 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −14.5 | 36.2% | 38.1% | 13.0% | 2.93× | 2.63 |
| Sacramento Kings +3.5 | 33.6% | 33.3% | 63.1% | 0.53× | 3.01 |
| Sacramento Kings +2.5 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 60.5% | 0.55× | 3.01 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −16.5 | 31.1% | 33.3% | 10.3% | 3.22× | 3.01 |
| Sacramento Kings +1.5 | 28.5% | 28.4% | 57.9% | 0.49× | 3.53 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −18.5 | 26.4% | 28.4% | 8.5% | 3.33× | 3.53 |
| Sacramento Kings −1.5 | 23.9% | 23.5% | 53.7% | 0.44× | 4.25 |
| Sacramento Kings −2.5 | 21.7% | 23.5% | 50.9% | 0.46× | 4.25 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −20.5 | 22.0% | 23.5% | 6.9% | 3.42× | 4.25 |
| Sacramento Kings −3.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 48.4% | 0.39× | 5.29 |
| Sacramento Kings −4.5 | 17.9% | 18.9% | 46.0% | 0.41× | 5.29 |
| Sacramento Kings −5.5 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 42.9% | 0.44× | 5.30 |
| Sacramento Kings −6.5 | 14.5% | 14.1% | 40.0% | 0.35× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento Kings −7.5 | 13.0% | 14.1% | 37.0% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento Kings −8.5 | 11.5% | 14.1% | 34.1% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento Kings −9.5 | 10.3% | 14.1% | 31.3% | 0.45× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento Kings −10.5 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 29.0% | 0.31× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento Kings −12.5 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento Kings −14.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento Kings −16.5 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 16.5% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Sacramento Kings −18.5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Sacramento Kings −20.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.7% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.3% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.9% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT | 56.8% | 56.8% | 30.9% | 1.84× | 1.76 |
| Sacramento Kings at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT | 17.4% | 15.5% | 40.8% | 0.38× | 6.47 |
| Sacramento Kings at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Los Angeles Lakers at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT | 7.6% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Sacramento Kings at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win | 73.9% | 68.8% | 44.3% | 1.55× | 1.45 |
| Sacramento Kings to win | 26.1% | 31.2% | 55.7% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Los Angeles Lakers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Sacramento Kings odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Los Angeles Lakers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.2% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q1 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Sacramento Kings to win Q1 | 36.6% | 38.2% | 51.3% | 0.74× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 66.5 | 84.2% | 82.8% | 86.1% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 50.5 | 81.1% | 82.8% | 79.4% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 74.1% | 72.7% | 76.8% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 70.2% | 72.7% | 68.2% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 66.0% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 61.6% | 61.7% | 59.2% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 57.0% | 58.6% | 60.0% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 52.3% | 52.7% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 47.7% | 47.3% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 43.0% | 41.4% | 40.0% | 1.03× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 38.4% | 38.3% | 40.8% | 0.94× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 34.0% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 29.8% | 27.3% | 31.8% | 0.86× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 25.9% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 1.17× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 50.5 | 18.9% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 0.84× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 66.5 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 1.23× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q2 | 58.7% | 59.4% | 46.2% | 1.28× | 1.68 |
| Sacramento Kings to win Q2 | 36.7% | 35.8% | 49.3% | 0.72× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 49.5 | 83.1% | 83.0% | 81.8% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 65.5 | 81.9% | 83.0% | 83.6% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 72.9% | 72.0% | 70.3% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 71.3% | 72.0% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 64.6% | 60.7% | 61.1% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 62.8% | 60.7% | 65.7% | 0.92× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 55.6% | 58.2% | 51.7% | 1.12× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 53.7% | 52.7% | 57.3% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 50.9% | 52.7% | 47.3% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 49.1% | 47.3% | 52.7% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 42.7% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 44.4% | 41.8% | 48.3% | 0.87× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 37.2% | 39.3% | 34.3% | 1.15× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 35.4% | 39.3% | 38.9% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 28.7% | 28.0% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 27.1% | 28.0% | 29.7% | 0.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 65.5 | 18.1% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 1.04× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 49.5 | 16.9% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.93× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q3 | 58.7% | 56.8% | 44.3% | 1.28× | 1.76 |
| Sacramento Kings to win Q3 | 36.7% | 38.8% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 66.5 | 83.9% | 82.3% | 84.7% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 50.5 | 81.9% | 82.3% | 79.7% | 1.03× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 73.7% | 71.8% | 75.9% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 71.0% | 71.8% | 68.3% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 65.4% | 67.8% | 67.7% | 1.00× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 62.4% | 61.9% | 59.9% | 1.03× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 56.3% | 58.4% | 59.0% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 50.2% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 51.6% | 52.3% | 54.8% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 48.4% | 47.7% | 45.2% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 49.8% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 41.0% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 37.6% | 38.1% | 40.1% | 0.95× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 34.6% | 32.2% | 32.3% | 1.00× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 29.0% | 28.2% | 31.7% | 0.89× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 26.3% | 28.2% | 24.1% | 1.17× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 50.5 | 18.1% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 0.87× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 16.1% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 1.16× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q4 | 58.5% | 52.1% | 46.4% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Sacramento Kings to win Q4 | 36.8% | 42.4% | 48.3% | 0.88× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 63.5 | 82.5% | 82.0% | 83.7% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 47.5 | 81.8% | 82.0% | 79.0% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 72.2% | 71.5% | 74.2% | 0.96× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 71.3% | 71.5% | 68.5% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 64.0% | 61.4% | 66.2% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 63.0% | 61.4% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 55.1% | 58.4% | 57.2% | 1.02× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 54.1% | 52.5% | 51.4% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 50.5% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 49.5% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 45.9% | 47.5% | 48.6% | 0.98× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 44.9% | 41.6% | 42.8% | 0.97× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 37.0% | 38.6% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 36.0% | 38.6% | 33.8% | 1.14× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 28.7% | 28.5% | 31.5% | 0.91× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 1.11× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 47.5 | 18.2% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 0.86× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 1.11× | 5.56 |
Team total 66
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings under 120.5 | 81.4% | 80.7% | 66.3% | 1.22× | 1.24 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 129.5 | 81.0% | 80.7% | 90.0% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 106.5 | 79.8% | 78.3% | 68.9% | 1.14× | 1.28 |
| Sacramento Kings over 102.5 | 79.5% | 78.3% | 84.2% | 0.93× | 1.28 |
| Sacramento Kings under 122.5 | 79.6% | 78.3% | 71.8% | 1.09× | 1.28 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 109.5 | 79.8% | 75.1% | 60.9% | 1.23× | 1.33 |
| Sacramento Kings over 100.5 | 78.9% | 75.1% | 87.7% | 0.86× | 1.33 |
| Sacramento Kings under 119.5 | 71.9% | 71.8% | 63.5% | 1.13× | 1.39 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 123.5 | 71.7% | 71.8% | 79.5% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| Sacramento Kings under 117.5 | 73.8% | 70.7% | 57.8% | 1.22× | 1.41 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 126.5 | 73.2% | 70.7% | 85.3% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 112.5 | 71.9% | 70.7% | 51.5% | 1.37× | 1.41 |
| Sacramento Kings over 103.5 | 70.8% | 70.7% | 82.1% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 111.5 | 66.3% | 66.6% | 54.6% | 1.22× | 1.50 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 121.5 | 65.8% | 66.6% | 74.7% | 0.89× | 1.50 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 124.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 81.4% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| Sacramento Kings under 115.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 51.6% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 114.5 | 65.9% | 66.4% | 44.5% | 1.49× | 1.51 |
| Sacramento Kings over 105.5 | 64.7% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 122.5 | 60.9% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Sacramento Kings under 113.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 45.7% | 1.34× | 1.63 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 113.5 | 60.1% | 61.2% | 48.0% | 1.28× | 1.64 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 116.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 38.5% | 1.48× | 1.75 |
| Sacramento Kings over 107.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 72.7% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| Sacramento Kings under 111.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 38.9% | 1.47× | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 120.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 72.7% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento Kings under 110.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 35.9% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 118.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 32.6% | 1.60× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento Kings over 109.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 67.0% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 119.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 70.3% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 115.5 | 53.6% | 52.2% | 41.4% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 117.5 | 53.0% | 52.2% | 64.4% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento Kings under 112.5 | 50.1% | 52.2% | 42.3% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento Kings over 112.5 | 49.9% | 47.8% | 57.7% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 117.5 | 47.0% | 47.8% | 35.6% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 115.5 | 46.4% | 47.8% | 58.6% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 119.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 29.7% | 1.61× | 2.09 |
| Sacramento Kings over 110.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 64.1% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 118.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 67.4% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Sacramento Kings under 109.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 33.0% | 1.45× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 120.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 27.3% | 1.75× | 2.09 |
| Sacramento Kings over 111.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 61.1% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento Kings under 107.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 27.3% | 1.57× | 2.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 116.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 61.5% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 113.5 | 39.9% | 38.8% | 52.0% | 0.75× | 2.58 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 122.5 | 39.1% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.71× | 2.58 |
| Sacramento Kings over 113.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 54.3% | 0.72× | 2.58 |
| Sacramento Kings under 105.5 | 35.3% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.72× | 2.58 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 114.5 | 34.1% | 33.6% | 55.5% | 0.61× | 2.98 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 124.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 18.6% | 1.81× | 2.98 |
| Sacramento Kings over 115.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 48.4% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 121.5 | 34.2% | 33.4% | 25.3% | 1.32× | 2.99 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 111.5 | 33.7% | 33.4% | 45.4% | 0.74× | 2.99 |
| Sacramento Kings under 103.5 | 29.2% | 29.3% | 17.9% | 1.64× | 3.42 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 112.5 | 28.1% | 29.3% | 48.5% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Sacramento Kings over 117.5 | 26.2% | 29.3% | 42.2% | 0.69× | 3.42 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 126.5 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 14.7% | 1.99× | 3.42 |
| Sacramento Kings over 119.5 | 28.1% | 28.2% | 36.5% | 0.77× | 3.55 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 123.5 | 28.3% | 28.2% | 20.5% | 1.37× | 3.55 |
| Sacramento Kings under 100.5 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 12.3% | 2.02× | 4.02 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 109.5 | 20.2% | 24.9% | 39.1% | 0.64× | 4.02 |
| Sacramento Kings under 102.5 | 20.5% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 1.37× | 4.60 |
| Sacramento Kings over 122.5 | 20.4% | 21.7% | 28.2% | 0.77× | 4.60 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 106.5 | 20.2% | 21.7% | 31.1% | 0.70× | 4.61 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 129.5 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 1.94× | 5.18 |
| Sacramento Kings over 120.5 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 33.7% | 0.57× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 249.5 points | 86.5% | 85.0% | 85.3% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Over 209.5 points | 85.8% | 85.0% | 82.9% | 1.03× | 1.18 |
| Under 244.5 points | 79.6% | 75.6% | 79.5% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| Over 214.5 points | 78.9% | 75.6% | 75.1% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Under 239.5 points | 71.2% | 70.8% | 72.5% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Over 219.5 points | 70.2% | 70.8% | 66.1% | 1.07× | 1.41 |
| Under 236.5 points | 65.3% | 65.9% | 67.3% | 0.98× | 1.52 |
| Over 222.5 points | 64.3% | 61.5% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Under 234.5 points | 61.2% | 61.5% | 63.3% | 0.97× | 1.63 |
| Over 224.5 points | 60.2% | 61.5% | 56.5% | 1.09× | 1.63 |
| Under 232.5 points | 57.0% | 56.5% | 59.4% | 0.95× | 1.77 |
| Over 226.5 points | 55.9% | 56.5% | 52.7% | 1.07× | 1.77 |
| Over 228.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Under 230.5 points | 52.7% | 52.3% | 55.4% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Under 229.5 points | 50.6% | 52.3% | 53.3% | 0.98× | 1.91 |
| Over 229.5 points | 49.4% | 47.7% | 46.7% | 1.02× | 2.10 |
| Under 228.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Over 230.5 points | 47.3% | 47.7% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Under 226.5 points | 44.1% | 43.5% | 47.3% | 0.92× | 2.30 |
| Over 232.5 points | 43.0% | 43.5% | 40.6% | 1.07× | 2.30 |
| Under 224.5 points | 39.8% | 38.5% | 43.5% | 0.89× | 2.60 |
| Over 234.5 points | 38.8% | 38.5% | 36.7% | 1.05× | 2.60 |
| Under 222.5 points | 35.7% | 38.5% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.60 |
| Over 236.5 points | 34.7% | 34.1% | 32.7% | 1.04× | 2.93 |
| Under 219.5 points | 29.8% | 29.2% | 33.9% | 0.86× | 3.43 |
| Over 239.5 points | 28.8% | 29.2% | 27.5% | 1.06× | 3.43 |
| Under 214.5 points | 21.1% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 0.98× | 4.10 |
| Over 244.5 points | 20.4% | 24.4% | 20.5% | 1.19× | 4.10 |
| Under 209.5 points | 14.2% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 0.87× | 6.68 |
| Over 249.5 points | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 1.02× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win both halves | 39.5% | 36.3% | 17.8% | 2.04× | 2.75 |
| Sacramento Kings to win both halves | 8.7% | 8.8% | 25.2% | 0.35× | 11.31 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 11-15 | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 26+ | 13.1% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.19× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 1-5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 16-20 | 11.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| Sacramento Kings by 1-5 | 9.9% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 21-25 | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Sacramento Kings by 6-10 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| Sacramento Kings by 11-15 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.29 |
| Sacramento Kings by 16-20 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.31 |
| Sacramento Kings by 21-25 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Sacramento Kings by 26+ | 0.9% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.32 |