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Saint Louis Billikens v High Point Panthers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Saint Louis Billikens win
75.8%
Draw
0.0%
High Point Panthers win
24.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 86.04–78.79 86-79 0% 48% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens to score 100+ 8.6% 8.8% 3.4% 2.56× 11.36
High Point Panthers to score 100+ 1.5% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.06
High Point Panthers to score 110+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.34
High Point Panthers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.27
Saint Louis Billikens to score 110+ 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.19
Saint Louis Billikens to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.35
Saint Louis Billikens to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens to win H1 63.7% 62.2% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
Saint Louis Billikens to win H1 63.7% 62.2% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
High Point Panthers to win H1 32.1% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
High Point Panthers to win H1 32.1% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 90.5 88.1% 87.7% 97.0% 0.90× 1.14
H1 over 66.5 85.9% 87.7% 58.2% 1.51× 1.14
H1 under 86.5 79.6% 77.4% 94.0% 0.82× 1.29
H1 under 86.5 78.9% 77.4% 94.0% 0.82× 1.29
H1 over 70.5 76.5% 77.4% 43.5% 1.78× 1.29
H1 over 70.5 75.8% 77.4% 43.5% 1.78× 1.29
H1 under 83.5 70.5% 73.5% 90.3% 0.81× 1.36
H1 under 83.5 69.9% 67.4% 90.3% 0.75× 1.48
H1 over 73.5 66.7% 67.4% 33.4% 2.02× 1.48
H1 over 73.5 66.2% 67.4% 33.4% 2.02× 1.48
H1 under 81.5 63.5% 62.7% 87.2% 0.72× 1.59
H1 under 81.5 63.0% 62.7% 87.2% 0.72× 1.59
H1 over 75.5 59.4% 58.2% 27.2% 2.14× 1.72
H1 over 75.5 59.1% 58.2% 27.2% 2.14× 1.72
H1 under 79.5 56.0% 58.2% 83.1% 0.70× 1.72
H1 under 79.5 55.8% 58.2% 83.1% 0.70× 1.72
H1 over 77.5 51.8% 52.6% 21.7% 2.43× 1.90
H1 under 78.5 52.1% 52.6% 80.7% 0.65× 1.90
H1 over 77.5 51.7% 52.6% 21.7% 2.43× 1.90
H1 under 78.5 52.0% 52.6% 80.7% 0.65× 1.90
H1 under 77.5 48.2% 47.4% 78.3% 0.60× 2.11
H1 over 78.5 47.9% 47.4% 19.3% 2.45× 2.11
H1 under 77.5 48.3% 47.4% 78.3% 0.60× 2.11
H1 over 78.5 48.0% 47.4% 19.3% 2.45× 2.11
H1 over 79.5 44.0% 41.8% 16.9% 2.47× 2.39
H1 over 79.5 44.2% 41.8% 16.9% 2.47× 2.39
H1 under 75.5 40.9% 41.8% 72.8% 0.57× 2.39
H1 under 75.5 40.6% 41.8% 72.8% 0.57× 2.39
H1 over 81.5 37.0% 37.3% 12.8% 2.92× 2.68
H1 over 81.5 36.5% 37.3% 12.8% 2.92× 2.68
H1 under 73.5 33.3% 32.6% 66.6% 0.49× 3.07
H1 under 73.5 33.8% 32.6% 66.6% 0.49× 3.07
H1 over 83.5 30.1% 32.6% 9.7% 3.35× 3.07
H1 over 83.5 29.5% 26.5% 9.7% 2.72× 3.77
H1 under 70.5 23.5% 22.6% 56.5% 0.40× 4.43
H1 under 70.5 24.2% 22.6% 56.5% 0.40× 4.43
H1 over 86.5 21.1% 22.6% 6.0% 3.75× 4.43
H1 over 86.5 20.4% 22.6% 6.0% 3.75× 4.43
H1 under 66.5 14.1% 12.3% 41.8% 0.29× 8.13
H1 over 90.5 11.9% 12.3% 3.0% 4.11× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens to win H2 64.9% 58.9% 56.9% 1.03× 1.70
Saint Louis Billikens to win H2 64.8% 58.9% 57.5% 1.02× 1.70
High Point Panthers to win H2 31.1% 36.3% 38.9% 0.93× 2.76
High Point Panthers to win H2 31.2% 36.3% 38.5% 0.94× 2.76
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 99.5 86.8% 85.2% 94.0% 0.91× 1.17
H2 over 75.5 84.4% 81.8% 56.4% 1.45× 1.22
H2 under 95.5 78.5% 75.8% 93.4% 0.81× 1.32
H2 under 95.5 77.7% 75.8% 90.6% 0.84× 1.32
H2 over 79.5 75.0% 72.2% 40.3% 1.79× 1.39
H2 over 79.5 74.4% 72.2% 43.8% 1.65× 1.39
H2 under 92.5 69.6% 66.4% 90.1% 0.74× 1.51
H2 under 92.5 69.1% 66.4% 86.9% 0.76× 1.51
H2 over 82.5 65.5% 66.4% 31.1% 2.14× 1.51
H2 over 82.5 65.1% 66.4% 34.7% 1.91× 1.51
H2 under 90.5 63.0% 61.6% 86.9% 0.71× 1.62
H2 under 90.5 62.6% 61.6% 83.6% 0.74× 1.62
H2 over 84.5 58.6% 57.3% 25.9% 2.22× 1.74
H2 over 84.5 58.4% 57.3% 29.5% 1.95× 1.74
H2 under 88.5 55.9% 57.3% 83.3% 0.69× 1.74
H2 under 88.5 55.7% 57.3% 79.8% 0.72× 1.74
H2 over 86.5 51.4% 52.4% 20.7% 2.53× 1.91
H2 under 87.5 52.3% 52.4% 81.2% 0.64× 1.91
H2 over 86.5 51.4% 52.4% 24.3% 2.16× 1.91
H2 under 87.5 52.2% 52.4% 77.7% 0.67× 1.91
H2 under 86.5 48.6% 47.6% 79.3% 0.60× 2.10
H2 over 87.5 47.7% 47.6% 18.8% 2.53× 2.10
H2 under 86.5 48.6% 47.6% 75.7% 0.63× 2.10
H2 over 87.5 47.8% 47.6% 22.3% 2.13× 2.10
H2 over 88.5 44.1% 42.7% 16.7% 2.55× 2.34
H2 over 88.5 44.3% 42.7% 20.2% 2.11× 2.34
H2 under 84.5 41.6% 42.7% 70.5% 0.60× 2.34
H2 under 84.5 41.4% 42.7% 74.1% 0.58× 2.34
H2 over 90.5 37.0% 38.4% 13.1% 2.93× 2.61
H2 over 90.5 37.4% 38.4% 16.4% 2.35× 2.61
H2 under 82.5 34.5% 33.6% 68.9% 0.49× 2.97
H2 under 82.5 34.9% 33.6% 65.3% 0.51× 2.97
H2 over 92.5 30.4% 33.6% 9.9% 3.39× 2.97
H2 over 92.5 30.9% 33.6% 13.1% 2.58× 2.97
H2 under 79.5 25.6% 27.8% 56.2% 0.50× 3.59
H2 under 79.5 25.0% 27.8% 59.8% 0.47× 3.59
H2 over 95.5 21.5% 24.2% 6.6% 3.70× 4.13
H2 over 95.5 22.3% 24.2% 9.4% 2.59× 4.13
H2 under 75.5 15.6% 18.2% 43.6% 0.42× 5.50
H2 over 99.5 13.2% 14.8% 6.0% 2.48× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens leading at half time 63.7% 62.5% 57.9% 1.08× 1.60
High Point Panthers leading at half time 32.1% 32.7% 38.2% 0.86× 3.06
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens +20.5 99.5% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Saint Louis Billikens +12.5 96.6% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Saint Louis Billikens +14.5 97.8% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Saint Louis Billikens +16.5 98.6% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Saint Louis Billikens +18.5 99.2% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Saint Louis Billikens +10.5 94.9% 91.1% 87.2% 1.05× 1.10
Saint Louis Billikens +8.5 92.7% 91.1% 83.3% 1.09× 1.10
Saint Louis Billikens +9.5 93.9% 91.1% 85.3% 1.07× 1.10
Saint Louis Billikens +7.5 91.3% 91.1% 81.0% 1.13× 1.10
Saint Louis Billikens +6.5 89.7% 85.9% 78.8% 1.09× 1.16
High Point Panthers +20.5 88.8% 85.9% 86.5% 0.99× 1.16
Saint Louis Billikens +5.5 87.9% 85.9% 76.4% 1.12× 1.16
Saint Louis Billikens +4.5 85.9% 85.9% 73.7% 1.17× 1.16
Saint Louis Billikens +3.5 83.7% 81.1% 70.8% 1.15× 1.23
High Point Panthers +18.5 84.8% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
Saint Louis Billikens +2.5 81.3% 81.1% 68.0% 1.19× 1.23
High Point Panthers +16.5 80.0% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
Saint Louis Billikens +1.5 78.6% 76.5% 65.4% 1.17× 1.31
High Point Panthers +14.5 74.3% 71.6% 77.2% 0.93× 1.40
Saint Louis Billikens −1.5 72.5% 71.6% 60.8% 1.18× 1.40
Saint Louis Billikens −2.5 69.1% 66.7% 57.7% 1.16× 1.50
High Point Panthers +12.5 67.8% 66.7% 72.4% 0.92× 1.50
Saint Louis Billikens −3.5 65.6% 66.7% 54.1% 1.23× 1.50
Saint Louis Billikens −4.5 61.9% 61.9% 50.7% 1.22× 1.62
High Point Panthers +10.5 60.7% 61.9% 67.4% 0.92× 1.62
Saint Louis Billikens −5.5 58.2% 57.1% 47.0% 1.21× 1.75
High Point Panthers +9.5 57.0% 57.1% 64.5% 0.88× 1.75
Saint Louis Billikens −6.5 54.4% 52.4% 44.3% 1.18× 1.91
High Point Panthers +8.5 53.3% 52.4% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
Saint Louis Billikens −7.5 50.6% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
High Point Panthers +7.5 49.4% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Saint Louis Billikens −8.5 46.7% 47.6% 38.5% 1.24× 2.10
High Point Panthers +6.5 45.6% 47.6% 55.7% 0.86× 2.10
Saint Louis Billikens −9.5 43.0% 42.9% 35.5% 1.21× 2.33
High Point Panthers +5.5 41.8% 42.9% 53.0% 0.81× 2.33
Saint Louis Billikens −10.5 39.3% 38.1% 32.6% 1.17× 2.63
High Point Panthers +4.5 38.1% 38.1% 49.3% 0.77× 2.63
High Point Panthers +3.5 34.4% 33.3% 45.9% 0.73× 3.01
Saint Louis Billikens −12.5 32.2% 33.3% 27.6% 1.20× 3.01
High Point Panthers +2.5 30.9% 33.3% 42.3% 0.79× 3.01
High Point Panthers +1.5 27.5% 28.4% 39.2% 0.72× 3.53
Saint Louis Billikens −14.5 25.7% 28.4% 22.8% 1.24× 3.53
High Point Panthers −1.5 21.4% 23.5% 34.6% 0.68× 4.25
Saint Louis Billikens −16.5 20.0% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.25
High Point Panthers −2.5 18.7% 18.9% 32.0% 0.59× 5.29
High Point Panthers −3.5 16.3% 18.9% 29.3% 0.65× 5.30
Saint Louis Billikens −18.5 15.2% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.30
High Point Panthers −4.5 14.1% 14.1% 26.3% 0.54× 7.09
High Point Panthers −5.5 12.1% 14.1% 23.6% 0.60× 7.09
High Point Panthers −6.5 10.3% 14.1% 21.2% 0.66× 7.09
Saint Louis Billikens −20.5 11.2% 14.1% 13.5% 1.05× 7.09
High Point Panthers −7.5 8.7% 8.9% 19.0% 0.47× 11.25
High Point Panthers −8.5 7.3% 8.9% 16.7% 0.53× 11.25
High Point Panthers −9.5 6.1% 8.9% 14.7% 0.61× 11.25
High Point Panthers −10.5 5.1% 8.9% 12.8% 0.69× 11.25
High Point Panthers −12.5 3.4% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.73
High Point Panthers −14.5 2.2% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.73
High Point Panthers −16.5 1.4% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.73
High Point Panthers −18.5 0.8% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
High Point Panthers −20.5 0.5% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 81.7% 71.5% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 80.2% 71.5% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 19.8% 28.5% 27.5% 1.04× 3.51
H1 highest scoring 18.3% 28.5% 29.6% 0.96× 3.51
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens at HT / Saint Louis Billikens at FT 56.1% 56.8% 48.6% 1.17× 1.76
High Point Panthers at HT / Saint Louis Billikens at FT 16.6% 15.5% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
High Point Panthers at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 15.5% 15.4% 25.8% 0.60× 6.47
Saint Louis Billikens at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 7.5% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.09
Level at HT / Saint Louis Billikens at FT 3.0% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens to win 75.8% 75.1% 63.2% 1.19× 1.33
High Point Panthers to win 24.2% 24.9% 36.8% 0.68× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
High Point Panthers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Saint Louis Billikens even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
High Point Panthers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Saint Louis Billikens odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.1% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.9% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.65
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens under 96.5 85.5% 83.9% 94.8% 0.88× 1.19
High Point Panthers over 68.5 85.7% 83.9% 58.4% 1.44× 1.19
Saint Louis Billikens over 76.5 83.9% 80.7% 47.7% 1.69× 1.24
High Point Panthers under 88.5 84.8% 80.7% 92.6% 0.87× 1.24
Saint Louis Billikens under 93.5 77.4% 75.1% 92.1% 0.82× 1.33
High Point Panthers over 71.5 77.4% 75.1% 48.2% 1.56× 1.33
High Point Panthers under 85.5 76.2% 75.1% 88.8% 0.85× 1.33
Saint Louis Billikens over 79.5 75.3% 75.1% 38.4% 1.96× 1.33
Saint Louis Billikens under 91.5 70.7% 70.7% 89.7% 0.79× 1.41
High Point Panthers over 73.5 70.6% 70.7% 41.7% 1.70× 1.41
Saint Louis Billikens over 81.5 68.4% 66.4% 32.1% 2.07× 1.51
High Point Panthers under 83.5 69.3% 66.4% 85.3% 0.78× 1.51
Saint Louis Billikens under 89.5 63.3% 61.2% 86.5% 0.71× 1.63
High Point Panthers over 75.5 63.0% 61.2% 35.3% 1.74× 1.63
Saint Louis Billikens over 83.5 60.8% 61.2% 26.5% 2.31× 1.63
High Point Panthers under 81.5 61.6% 61.2% 81.2% 0.75× 1.63
Saint Louis Billikens under 87.5 55.4% 57.1% 82.8% 0.69× 1.75
High Point Panthers over 77.5 54.9% 52.3% 29.1% 1.79× 1.91
Saint Louis Billikens over 85.5 52.8% 52.3% 21.4% 2.44× 1.91
Saint Louis Billikens under 86.5 51.3% 52.3% 80.8% 0.65× 1.91
High Point Panthers under 79.5 53.5% 52.3% 76.3% 0.69× 1.91
High Point Panthers over 78.5 50.7% 52.3% 26.3% 1.99× 1.91
High Point Panthers under 78.5 49.3% 47.7% 73.7% 0.65× 2.09
Saint Louis Billikens under 85.5 47.2% 47.7% 78.6% 0.61× 2.09
Saint Louis Billikens over 86.5 48.7% 47.7% 19.2% 2.49× 2.09
High Point Panthers over 79.5 46.5% 47.7% 23.7% 2.01× 2.09
High Point Panthers under 77.5 45.1% 47.7% 70.9% 0.67× 2.09
Saint Louis Billikens over 87.5 44.6% 42.9% 17.2% 2.50× 2.33
Saint Louis Billikens under 83.5 39.2% 38.8% 73.5% 0.53× 2.58
High Point Panthers over 81.5 38.4% 38.8% 18.8% 2.06× 2.58
Saint Louis Billikens over 89.5 36.7% 38.8% 13.5% 2.87× 2.58
High Point Panthers under 75.5 37.0% 38.8% 64.7% 0.60× 2.58
Saint Louis Billikens under 81.5 31.6% 33.6% 67.9% 0.49× 2.98
High Point Panthers over 83.5 30.7% 33.6% 14.7% 2.29× 2.98
Saint Louis Billikens over 91.5 29.3% 29.3% 10.3% 2.83× 3.42
High Point Panthers under 73.5 29.4% 29.3% 58.3% 0.50× 3.42
Saint Louis Billikens under 79.5 24.7% 24.9% 61.6% 0.40× 4.02
Saint Louis Billikens over 93.5 22.6% 24.9% 7.9% 3.14× 4.02
High Point Panthers under 71.5 22.6% 24.9% 51.8% 0.48× 4.02
High Point Panthers over 85.5 23.8% 24.9% 11.2% 2.23× 4.02
Saint Louis Billikens under 76.5 16.1% 19.3% 52.3% 0.37× 5.18
High Point Panthers over 88.5 15.2% 19.3% 7.4% 2.59× 5.18
Saint Louis Billikens over 96.5 14.5% 16.1% 5.2% 3.11× 6.21
High Point Panthers under 68.5 14.3% 16.1% 41.6% 0.39× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 185.5 points 90.1% 88.8% 97.2% 0.91× 1.13
Over 145.5 points 88.6% 85.0% 51.8% 1.64× 1.18
Under 180.5 points 83.5% 80.6% 95.4% 0.84× 1.24
Over 150.5 points 81.5% 80.6% 41.6% 1.94× 1.24
Under 175.5 points 74.7% 70.8% 92.5% 0.77× 1.41
Over 155.5 points 72.0% 70.8% 31.9% 2.22× 1.41
Under 172.5 points 68.3% 65.9% 90.5% 0.73× 1.52
Over 158.5 points 65.4% 65.9% 26.7% 2.46× 1.52
Under 170.5 points 63.8% 61.5% 88.6% 0.69× 1.63
Over 160.5 points 60.7% 61.5% 23.6% 2.60× 1.63
Under 168.5 points 59.0% 56.5% 86.7% 0.65× 1.77
Over 162.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 20.6% 2.74× 1.77
Under 166.5 points 54.1% 52.3% 84.3% 0.62× 1.91
Under 165.5 points 51.7% 52.3% 83.4% 0.63× 1.91
Over 164.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 17.7% 2.95× 1.91
Under 164.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 82.3% 0.58× 2.10
Over 165.5 points 48.3% 47.7% 16.6% 2.87× 2.10
Over 166.5 points 45.9% 47.7% 15.7% 3.03× 2.10
Under 162.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 79.4% 0.55× 2.30
Over 168.5 points 41.0% 43.5% 13.3% 3.26× 2.30
Under 160.5 points 39.3% 38.5% 76.4% 0.50× 2.60
Over 170.5 points 36.2% 38.5% 11.4% 3.39× 2.60
Under 158.5 points 34.6% 34.1% 73.3% 0.47× 2.93
Over 172.5 points 31.7% 34.1% 9.5% 3.60× 2.93
Under 155.5 points 28.0% 29.2% 68.1% 0.43× 3.43
Over 175.5 points 25.3% 29.2% 7.5% 3.89× 3.43
Under 150.5 points 18.5% 19.4% 58.4% 0.33× 5.15
Over 180.5 points 16.5% 19.4% 4.6% 4.23× 5.15
Under 145.5 points 11.4% 15.0% 48.2% 0.31× 6.69
Over 185.5 points 9.9% 11.2% 2.8% 3.97× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens to win both halves 38.0% 36.3% 33.2% 1.09× 2.75
High Point Panthers to win both halves 7.1% 8.8% 14.5% 0.61× 11.32
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Saint Louis Billikens by 6-10 18.9% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Saint Louis Billikens by 1-5 17.6% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Saint Louis Billikens by 11-15 16.5% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
High Point Panthers by 1-5 12.1% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.11
Saint Louis Billikens by 16-20 11.6% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
High Point Panthers by 6-10 7.0% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Saint Louis Billikens by 21-25 6.6% 7.5% 5.6% 1.34× 13.40
Saint Louis Billikens by 26+ 4.6% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.29
High Point Panthers by 11-15 3.3% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.30
High Point Panthers by 16-20 1.3% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
High Point Panthers by 21-25 0.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.32
High Point Panthers by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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