San José State Spartans v Fresno State Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

San José State Spartans

21:00

Fresno State Bulldogs

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

San José State Spartans win

42.6%

Draw

0.0%

Fresno State Bulldogs win

57.4%

43057

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	43057	73.38–75.32	73-75 0%	51%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans to score 100+	0.4%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	283.28
San José State Spartans to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.35
San José State Spartans to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
San José State Spartans to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Fresno State Bulldogs to score 100+	0.6%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.24
Fresno State Bulldogs to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.35
Fresno State Bulldogs to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Fresno State Bulldogs to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.35

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs to win H1	52.1%	51.9%	38.2%	1.36×	1.93
Fresno State Bulldogs to win H1	52.1%	51.9%	38.2%	1.36×	1.93
San José State Spartans to win H1	43.4%	42.7%	57.9%	0.74×	2.34
San José State Spartans to win H1	43.4%	42.7%	57.9%	0.74×	2.34
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.85
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.85

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 82.5	87.4%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
H1 over 58.5	86.7%	87.7%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
H1 under 78.5	78.6%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	77.6%	77.4%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	76.9%	77.4%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
H1 under 78.5	77.9%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	69.2%	67.4%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
H1 over 65.5	68.0%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
H1 under 75.5	68.7%	67.4%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
H1 over 65.5	67.5%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
H1 under 73.5	62.1%	62.7%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
H1 under 73.5	61.7%	62.7%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
H1 over 67.5	60.8%	62.7%	54.4%	1.15×	1.59
H1 over 67.5	60.5%	62.7%	54.4%	1.15×	1.59
H1 under 71.5	54.5%	52.6%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
H1 under 71.5	54.4%	52.6%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
H1 over 69.5	53.2%	52.6%	46.9%	1.12×	1.90
H1 over 69.5	53.1%	52.6%	46.9%	1.12×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	50.7%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	50.7%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90
H1 over 70.5	49.3%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
H1 over 70.5	49.3%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
H1 under 69.5	46.8%	47.4%	53.1%	0.89×	2.11
H1 under 69.5	46.9%	47.4%	53.1%	0.89×	2.11
H1 over 71.5	45.5%	47.4%	40.0%	1.19×	2.11
H1 over 71.5	45.6%	47.4%	40.0%	1.19×	2.11
H1 under 67.5	39.2%	37.3%	45.6%	0.82×	2.68
H1 under 67.5	39.5%	37.3%	45.6%	0.82×	2.68
H1 over 73.5	38.3%	37.3%	33.4%	1.12×	2.68
H1 over 73.5	37.9%	37.3%	33.4%	1.12×	2.68
H1 under 65.5	32.5%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
H1 under 65.5	32.0%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	31.3%	32.6%	27.2%	1.20×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	30.8%	32.6%	27.2%	1.20×	3.07
H1 under 62.5	22.4%	22.6%	28.0%	0.80×	4.43
H1 under 62.5	23.1%	22.6%	28.0%	0.80×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	22.1%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	21.4%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 under 58.5	13.3%	12.3%	16.7%	0.74×	8.14
H1 over 82.5	12.6%	12.3%	11.1%	1.10×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs to win H2	52.5%	51.2%	38.9%	1.32×	1.95
Fresno State Bulldogs to win H2	52.5%	51.2%	38.5%	1.33×	1.95
San José State Spartans to win H2	43.2%	43.6%	56.9%	0.76×	2.30
San José State Spartans to win H2	43.2%	43.6%	57.5%	0.76×	2.30
H2 tied	4.3%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.35
H2 tied	4.3%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.35

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 90.5	85.9%	85.2%	83.6%	1.02×	1.17
H2 over 66.5	85.4%	85.2%	82.3%	1.03×	1.17
H2 under 86.5	77.1%	75.8%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	76.4%	75.8%	69.8%	1.09×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	75.8%	75.8%	71.9%	1.05×	1.32
H2 under 86.5	76.4%	75.8%	75.7%	1.00×	1.32
H2 over 73.5	67.2%	66.4%	60.4%	1.10×	1.51
H2 under 83.5	68.0%	66.4%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
H2 under 83.5	67.5%	66.4%	68.0%	0.98×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	66.8%	66.4%	63.1%	1.05×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	61.2%	61.6%	65.8%	0.94×	1.62
H2 over 75.5	60.4%	61.6%	53.4%	1.15×	1.62
H2 over 75.5	60.1%	61.6%	56.4%	1.09×	1.62
H2 under 81.5	60.9%	61.6%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
H2 under 79.5	54.1%	52.4%	59.8%	0.88×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	53.9%	52.4%	56.2%	0.93×	1.91
H2 over 77.5	53.2%	52.4%	47.0%	1.12×	1.91
H2 over 77.5	53.1%	52.4%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	50.4%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	50.4%	52.4%	53.0%	0.99×	1.91
H2 over 78.5	49.6%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
H2 over 78.5	49.6%	47.6%	47.0%	1.01×	2.10
H2 under 77.5	46.8%	47.6%	53.0%	0.90×	2.10
H2 under 77.5	46.9%	47.6%	49.8%	0.96×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	45.9%	47.6%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	46.1%	47.6%	43.8%	1.09×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	39.6%	38.4%	46.6%	0.82×	2.61
H2 under 75.5	39.9%	38.4%	43.6%	0.88×	2.61
H2 over 81.5	39.1%	38.4%	37.8%	1.02×	2.61
H2 over 81.5	38.8%	38.4%	34.2%	1.12×	2.61
H2 under 73.5	33.2%	33.6%	36.9%	0.91×	2.97
H2 under 73.5	32.8%	33.6%	39.6%	0.85×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	32.0%	33.6%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	32.5%	33.6%	32.0%	1.05×	2.97
H2 under 70.5	23.6%	24.2%	30.2%	0.80×	4.13
H2 under 70.5	24.2%	24.2%	28.1%	0.86×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	23.6%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	22.9%	24.2%	20.7%	1.17×	4.13
H2 under 66.5	14.6%	14.8%	17.7%	0.84×	6.76
H2 over 90.5	14.1%	14.8%	16.4%	0.90×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs leading at half time	52.1%	51.9%	38.2%	1.36×	1.93
San José State Spartans leading at half time	43.4%	42.9%	57.9%	0.74×	2.33
Level at half time	4.5%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs +16.5	95.6%	97.4%	80.7%	1.21×	1.03
Fresno State Bulldogs +18.5	97.1%	97.4%	83.9%	1.16×	1.03
Fresno State Bulldogs +20.5	98.1%	97.4%	86.5%	1.13×	1.03
San José State Spartans +20.5	95.7%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Fresno State Bulldogs +14.5	93.5%	91.1%	77.2%	1.18×	1.10
San José State Spartans +18.5	93.7%	91.1%	95.4%	0.95×	1.10
Fresno State Bulldogs +12.5	90.7%	91.1%	72.4%	1.26×	1.10
San José State Spartans +16.5	91.0%	91.1%	94.0%	0.97×	1.10
Fresno State Bulldogs +10.5	87.2%	85.9%	67.4%	1.28×	1.16
San José State Spartans +14.5	87.5%	85.9%	92.2%	0.93×	1.16
Fresno State Bulldogs +9.5	85.1%	85.9%	64.5%	1.33×	1.16
Fresno State Bulldogs +8.5	82.8%	81.1%	61.5%	1.32×	1.23
San José State Spartans +12.5	83.2%	81.1%	89.9%	0.90×	1.23
Fresno State Bulldogs +7.5	80.3%	81.1%	58.7%	1.38×	1.23
Fresno State Bulldogs +6.5	77.6%	76.5%	55.7%	1.37×	1.31
San José State Spartans +10.5	78.0%	76.5%	87.2%	0.88×	1.31
San José State Spartans +9.5	75.1%	76.5%	85.3%	0.90×	1.31
Fresno State Bulldogs +5.5	74.7%	71.6%	53.0%	1.35×	1.40
Fresno State Bulldogs +4.5	71.5%	71.6%	49.3%	1.45×	1.40
San José State Spartans +8.5	72.0%	71.6%	83.3%	0.86×	1.40
San José State Spartans +7.5	68.7%	66.7%	81.0%	0.82×	1.50
Fresno State Bulldogs +3.5	68.2%	66.7%	45.9%	1.46×	1.50
San José State Spartans +6.5	65.2%	66.7%	78.8%	0.85×	1.50
Fresno State Bulldogs +2.5	64.7%	61.9%	42.3%	1.46×	1.62
San José State Spartans +5.5	61.6%	61.9%	76.4%	0.81×	1.62
Fresno State Bulldogs +1.5	61.1%	61.9%	39.2%	1.58×	1.62
San José State Spartans +4.5	57.9%	57.1%	73.7%	0.77×	1.75
Fresno State Bulldogs −1.5	53.6%	52.4%	34.6%	1.51×	1.91
San José State Spartans +3.5	54.1%	52.4%	70.8%	0.74×	1.91
San José State Spartans +2.5	50.3%	52.4%	68.0%	0.77×	1.91
Fresno State Bulldogs −2.5	49.7%	47.6%	32.0%	1.49×	2.10
San José State Spartans +1.5	46.4%	47.6%	65.4%	0.73×	2.10
Fresno State Bulldogs −3.5	45.9%	47.6%	29.3%	1.63×	2.10
Fresno State Bulldogs −4.5	42.1%	42.9%	26.3%	1.63×	2.33
San José State Spartans −1.5	38.9%	38.1%	60.8%	0.63×	2.63
Fresno State Bulldogs −5.5	38.4%	38.1%	23.6%	1.61×	2.63
San José State Spartans −2.5	35.3%	38.1%	57.7%	0.66×	2.63
Fresno State Bulldogs −6.5	34.8%	33.3%	21.2%	1.57×	3.01
San José State Spartans −3.5	31.8%	33.3%	54.1%	0.61×	3.01
Fresno State Bulldogs −7.5	31.3%	33.3%	19.0%	1.75×	3.01
San José State Spartans −4.5	28.5%	28.4%	50.7%	0.56×	3.53
Fresno State Bulldogs −8.5	28.0%	28.4%	16.7%	1.70×	3.53
San José State Spartans −5.5	25.3%	28.4%	47.0%	0.60×	3.53
Fresno State Bulldogs −9.5	24.9%	23.5%	14.7%	1.61×	4.25
San José State Spartans −6.5	22.4%	23.5%	44.3%	0.53×	4.25
Fresno State Bulldogs −10.5	22.0%	23.5%	12.8%	1.83×	4.25
San José State Spartans −7.5	19.7%	18.9%	41.3%	0.46×	5.29
San José State Spartans −8.5	17.2%	18.9%	38.5%	0.49×	5.29
Fresno State Bulldogs −12.5	16.8%	18.9%	10.1%	1.87×	5.29
San José State Spartans −9.5	14.9%	14.1%	35.5%	0.40×	7.09
San José State Spartans −10.5	12.8%	14.1%	32.6%	0.43×	7.09
Fresno State Bulldogs −14.5	12.5%	14.1%	7.8%	1.80×	7.09
San José State Spartans −12.5	9.3%	8.9%	27.6%	0.32×	11.25
Fresno State Bulldogs −16.5	9.0%	8.9%	6.0%	1.49×	11.25
San José State Spartans −14.5	6.5%	8.9%	22.8%	0.39×	11.25
Fresno State Bulldogs −18.5	6.3%	8.9%	4.6%	1.95×	11.25
San José State Spartans −16.5	4.4%	2.6%	19.3%	0.13×	38.72
San José State Spartans −18.5	2.9%	2.6%	16.1%	0.16×	38.73
San José State Spartans −20.5	1.9%	2.6%	13.5%	0.19×	38.73
Fresno State Bulldogs −20.5	4.3%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.72

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	79.5%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	77.9%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	22.1%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	20.5%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs at HT / Fresno State Bulldogs at FT	40.0%	37.8%	25.8%	1.46×	2.65
San José State Spartans at HT / San José State Spartans at FT	28.5%	29.6%	48.6%	0.61×	3.38
San José State Spartans at HT / Fresno State Bulldogs at FT	14.9%	12.2%	9.3%	1.31×	8.17
Fresno State Bulldogs at HT / San José State Spartans at FT	12.1%	12.2%	12.4%	0.99×	8.18
Level at HT / San José State Spartans at FT	2.0%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.76
Level at HT / Fresno State Bulldogs at FT	2.5%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.75

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs to win	57.4%	55.2%	36.8%	1.50×	1.81
San José State Spartans to win	42.6%	44.8%	63.2%	0.71×	2.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.9%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
San José State Spartans even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Fresno State Bulldogs even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
San José State Spartans odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Fresno State Bulldogs odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.1%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.1%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.9%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.64

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs under 85.5	85.5%	83.9%	88.8%	0.94×	1.19
San José State Spartans under 83.5	85.0%	80.7%	73.5%	1.10×	1.24
Fresno State Bulldogs over 65.5	84.8%	80.7%	67.8%	1.19×	1.24
San José State Spartans over 63.5	84.3%	80.7%	85.4%	0.95×	1.24
San José State Spartans under 80.5	76.7%	75.1%	64.9%	1.16×	1.33
Fresno State Bulldogs over 68.5	76.3%	75.1%	58.4%	1.29×	1.33
Fresno State Bulldogs under 82.5	77.2%	75.1%	83.3%	0.90×	1.33
San José State Spartans over 66.5	75.7%	75.1%	78.7%	0.95×	1.33
San José State Spartans under 78.5	70.0%	70.7%	58.4%	1.21×	1.41
Fresno State Bulldogs under 80.5	70.4%	70.7%	78.8%	0.90×	1.41
San José State Spartans over 68.5	68.9%	66.4%	72.7%	0.91×	1.51
Fresno State Bulldogs over 70.5	69.4%	66.4%	51.4%	1.29×	1.51
San José State Spartans under 76.5	62.6%	61.2%	52.3%	1.17×	1.63
Fresno State Bulldogs under 78.5	62.8%	61.2%	73.7%	0.83×	1.63
San José State Spartans over 70.5	61.4%	61.2%	66.7%	0.92×	1.63
Fresno State Bulldogs over 72.5	61.7%	61.2%	44.7%	1.37×	1.63
San José State Spartans under 74.5	54.7%	52.3%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Fresno State Bulldogs over 74.5	53.6%	52.3%	38.3%	1.36×	1.91
Fresno State Bulldogs under 76.5	54.7%	52.3%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
San José State Spartans over 72.5	53.4%	52.3%	60.8%	0.86×	1.91
San José State Spartans under 73.5	50.6%	52.3%	42.6%	1.23×	1.91
Fresno State Bulldogs under 75.5	50.6%	52.3%	64.7%	0.81×	1.91
San José State Spartans over 73.5	49.4%	47.7%	57.4%	0.83×	2.09
Fresno State Bulldogs over 75.5	49.4%	47.7%	35.3%	1.35×	2.09
San José State Spartans under 72.5	46.6%	47.7%	39.2%	1.22×	2.09
San José State Spartans over 74.5	45.3%	47.7%	54.1%	0.88×	2.09
Fresno State Bulldogs under 74.5	46.4%	47.7%	61.7%	0.77×	2.09
Fresno State Bulldogs over 76.5	45.3%	47.7%	32.1%	1.49×	2.09
San José State Spartans under 70.5	38.6%	38.8%	33.3%	1.16×	2.58
Fresno State Bulldogs under 72.5	38.3%	38.8%	55.3%	0.70×	2.58
San José State Spartans over 76.5	37.4%	38.8%	47.7%	0.81×	2.58
Fresno State Bulldogs over 78.5	37.2%	38.8%	26.3%	1.48×	2.58
San José State Spartans under 68.5	31.1%	33.6%	27.3%	1.23×	2.98
Fresno State Bulldogs under 70.5	30.6%	33.6%	48.7%	0.69×	2.98
San José State Spartans over 78.5	30.0%	29.3%	41.6%	0.70×	3.42
Fresno State Bulldogs over 80.5	29.6%	29.3%	21.2%	1.38×	3.42
San José State Spartans under 66.5	24.3%	24.9%	21.3%	1.17×	4.02
San José State Spartans over 80.5	23.3%	24.9%	35.1%	0.71×	4.02
Fresno State Bulldogs under 68.5	23.7%	24.9%	41.6%	0.60×	4.02
Fresno State Bulldogs over 82.5	22.8%	24.9%	16.7%	1.49×	4.02
San José State Spartans under 63.5	15.7%	19.3%	14.6%	1.32×	5.18
San José State Spartans over 83.5	15.0%	19.3%	26.5%	0.73×	5.18
Fresno State Bulldogs under 65.5	15.2%	19.3%	32.2%	0.60×	5.18
Fresno State Bulldogs over 85.5	14.5%	16.1%	11.2%	1.44×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 128.5 points	89.7%	85.0%	84.5%	1.01×	1.18
Under 168.5 points	89.1%	85.0%	86.7%	0.98×	1.18
Over 133.5 points	82.9%	80.6%	76.4%	1.05×	1.24
Under 163.5 points	82.2%	80.6%	80.9%	1.00×	1.24
Over 138.5 points	73.8%	70.8%	67.0%	1.06×	1.41
Under 158.5 points	72.9%	70.8%	73.3%	0.97×	1.41
Over 141.5 points	67.3%	65.9%	60.4%	1.09×	1.52
Under 155.5 points	66.5%	65.9%	68.1%	0.97×	1.52
Over 143.5 points	62.7%	61.5%	56.3%	1.09×	1.63
Under 153.5 points	61.8%	61.5%	64.6%	0.95×	1.63
Over 145.5 points	57.9%	56.5%	51.8%	1.09×	1.77
Under 151.5 points	57.0%	56.5%	60.6%	0.93×	1.77
Over 147.5 points	53.0%	52.3%	47.8%	1.09×	1.91
Under 149.5 points	52.0%	52.3%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Over 148.5 points	50.6%	52.3%	45.7%	1.14×	1.91
Under 148.5 points	49.4%	47.7%	54.3%	0.88×	2.10
Under 147.5 points	47.1%	47.7%	52.2%	0.91×	2.10
Over 149.5 points	48.0%	47.7%	43.7%	1.09×	2.10
Over 151.5 points	43.0%	43.5%	39.4%	1.10×	2.30
Under 145.5 points	42.1%	43.5%	48.2%	0.90×	2.30
Over 153.5 points	38.2%	38.5%	35.4%	1.09×	2.60
Under 143.5 points	37.3%	38.5%	43.7%	0.88×	2.60
Under 141.5 points	32.7%	34.1%	39.6%	0.86×	2.93
Over 155.5 points	33.5%	34.1%	31.9%	1.07×	2.93
Over 158.5 points	27.1%	29.2%	26.7%	1.09×	3.43
Under 138.5 points	26.2%	29.2%	33.0%	0.88×	3.43
Over 163.5 points	17.8%	19.4%	19.1%	1.02×	5.15
Under 133.5 points	17.1%	19.4%	23.6%	0.82×	5.15
Under 128.5 points	10.3%	15.0%	15.5%	0.97×	6.69
Over 168.5 points	10.9%	15.0%	13.3%	1.12×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs to win both halves	23.7%	23.1%	14.5%	1.59×	4.34
San José State Spartans to win both halves	15.2%	18.9%	33.2%	0.57×	5.31

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fresno State Bulldogs by 1-5	19.0%	16.8%	13.2%	1.27×	5.97
San José State Spartans by 1-5	17.2%	16.8%	16.2%	1.03×	5.97
Fresno State Bulldogs by 6-10	16.4%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
San José State Spartans by 6-10	12.6%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.11
Fresno State Bulldogs by 11-15	11.3%	12.3%	6.1%	2.04×	8.11
San José State Spartans by 11-15	7.4%	7.5%	11.6%	0.64×	13.40
Fresno State Bulldogs by 16-20	6.4%	7.5%	3.3%	2.24×	13.40
San José State Spartans by 16-20	3.5%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.30
San José State Spartans by 21-25	1.3%	2.0%	5.6%	0.36×	49.32
Fresno State Bulldogs by 21-25	2.9%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.30
Fresno State Bulldogs by 26+	1.4%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.32
San José State Spartans by 26+	0.5%	2.0%	7.9%	0.26×	49.32

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