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St. Bonaventure Bonnies v Buffalo Bulls — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

St. Bonaventure Bonnies
v
Buffalo Bulls

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies win
77.5%
Draw
0.0%
Buffalo Bulls win
22.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 82.90–75.05 83-75 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 100+ 4.5% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 282.47
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 110+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.29
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.35
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 100+ 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.25
Buffalo Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.35
Buffalo Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.33
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H1 64.9% 62.3% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H1 64.9% 62.3% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 31.0% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 30.9% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 62.5 87.4% 87.7% 72.0% 1.22× 1.14
H1 under 86.5 86.6% 87.7% 94.0% 0.93× 1.14
H1 over 66.5 78.7% 77.4% 58.2% 1.33× 1.29
H1 under 82.5 77.5% 77.4% 88.9% 0.87× 1.29
H1 over 66.5 78.0% 77.4% 58.2% 1.33× 1.29
H1 under 82.5 76.8% 77.4% 88.9% 0.87× 1.29
H1 over 69.5 69.3% 67.4% 46.9% 1.44× 1.48
H1 over 69.5 68.7% 67.4% 46.9% 1.44× 1.48
H1 under 79.5 67.9% 67.4% 83.1% 0.81× 1.48
H1 under 79.5 67.4% 67.4% 83.1% 0.81× 1.48
H1 over 71.5 62.2% 62.7% 40.0% 1.57× 1.59
H1 over 71.5 61.8% 62.7% 40.0% 1.57× 1.59
H1 under 77.5 60.7% 62.7% 78.3% 0.80× 1.59
H1 under 77.5 60.4% 62.7% 78.3% 0.80× 1.59
H1 over 73.5 54.6% 52.6% 33.4% 1.58× 1.90
H1 over 73.5 54.5% 52.6% 33.4% 1.58× 1.90
H1 under 75.5 53.1% 52.6% 72.8% 0.72× 1.90
H1 under 75.5 53.0% 52.6% 72.8% 0.72× 1.90
H1 over 74.5 50.8% 52.6% 30.4% 1.73× 1.90
H1 over 74.5 50.8% 52.6% 30.4% 1.73× 1.90
H1 under 74.5 49.2% 47.4% 69.6% 0.68× 2.11
H1 under 74.5 49.3% 47.4% 69.6% 0.68× 2.11
H1 over 75.5 46.9% 47.4% 27.2% 1.74× 2.11
H1 over 75.5 47.0% 47.4% 27.2% 1.74× 2.11
H1 under 73.5 45.4% 47.4% 66.6% 0.71× 2.11
H1 under 73.5 45.5% 47.4% 66.6% 0.71× 2.11
H1 over 77.5 39.3% 37.3% 21.7% 1.72× 2.68
H1 over 77.5 39.6% 37.3% 21.7% 1.72× 2.68
H1 under 71.5 38.2% 37.3% 60.0% 0.62× 2.68
H1 under 71.5 37.8% 37.3% 60.0% 0.62× 2.68
H1 over 79.5 32.1% 32.6% 16.9% 1.93× 3.07
H1 over 79.5 32.6% 32.6% 16.9% 1.93× 3.07
H1 under 69.5 31.3% 32.6% 53.1% 0.61× 3.07
H1 under 69.5 30.7% 32.6% 53.1% 0.61× 3.07
H1 over 82.5 23.2% 22.6% 11.1% 2.03× 4.43
H1 over 82.5 22.5% 22.6% 11.1% 2.03× 4.43
H1 under 66.5 22.0% 22.6% 41.8% 0.54× 4.43
H1 under 66.5 21.3% 22.6% 41.8% 0.54× 4.43
H1 over 86.5 13.4% 12.3% 6.0% 2.04× 8.14
H1 under 62.5 12.6% 12.3% 28.0% 0.44× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H2 66.2% 62.7% 56.9% 1.10× 1.59
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H2 66.1% 62.7% 57.5% 1.09× 1.59
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 29.9% 31.3% 38.9% 0.80× 3.19
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 29.9% 31.3% 38.5% 0.81× 3.19
H2 tied 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 95.5 86.1% 85.2% 90.6% 0.94× 1.17
H2 over 71.5 85.2% 85.2% 68.8% 1.24× 1.17
H2 under 91.5 77.4% 75.8% 88.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 91.5 76.7% 75.8% 85.5% 0.89× 1.32
H2 over 75.5 76.0% 75.8% 53.4% 1.42× 1.32
H2 over 75.5 75.4% 75.8% 56.4% 1.34× 1.32
H2 under 88.5 68.4% 66.4% 83.3% 0.80× 1.51
H2 under 88.5 67.9% 66.4% 79.8% 0.83× 1.51
H2 over 78.5 66.8% 66.4% 43.6% 1.52× 1.51
H2 over 78.5 66.4% 66.4% 47.0% 1.41× 1.51
H2 under 86.5 61.6% 61.6% 79.3% 0.78× 1.62
H2 under 86.5 61.3% 61.6% 75.7% 0.81× 1.62
H2 over 80.5 59.9% 57.3% 37.1% 1.54× 1.74
H2 over 80.5 59.7% 57.3% 40.8% 1.41× 1.74
H2 under 84.5 54.5% 52.4% 74.1% 0.71× 1.91
H2 under 84.5 54.4% 52.4% 70.5% 0.74× 1.91
H2 over 82.5 52.8% 52.4% 31.1% 1.69× 1.91
H2 over 82.5 52.7% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 83.5 50.9% 52.4% 71.6% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 83.5 50.8% 52.4% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
H2 over 83.5 49.1% 47.6% 28.4% 1.68× 2.10
H2 over 83.5 49.2% 47.6% 32.0% 1.49× 2.10
H2 under 82.5 47.2% 47.6% 68.9% 0.69× 2.10
H2 under 82.5 47.3% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 84.5 45.5% 47.6% 25.9% 1.84× 2.10
H2 over 84.5 45.6% 47.6% 29.5% 1.62× 2.10
H2 under 80.5 40.1% 42.7% 62.9% 0.68× 2.35
H2 under 80.5 40.3% 42.7% 59.2% 0.72× 2.35
H2 over 86.5 38.4% 38.4% 20.7% 1.85× 2.61
H2 over 86.5 38.7% 38.4% 24.3% 1.58× 2.61
H2 under 78.5 33.2% 33.6% 56.4% 0.60× 2.97
H2 under 78.5 33.6% 33.6% 53.0% 0.64× 2.97
H2 over 88.5 32.1% 33.6% 20.2% 1.66× 2.97
H2 over 88.5 31.6% 33.6% 16.7% 2.01× 2.97
H2 under 75.5 24.0% 24.2% 46.6% 0.52× 4.13
H2 under 75.5 24.6% 24.2% 43.6% 0.56× 4.13
H2 over 91.5 22.6% 24.2% 11.3% 2.15× 4.13
H2 over 91.5 23.3% 24.2% 14.5% 1.68× 4.13
H2 under 71.5 14.8% 14.8% 31.2% 0.47× 6.76
H2 over 95.5 13.9% 14.8% 9.4% 1.58× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies leading at half time 64.9% 62.5% 57.9% 1.08× 1.60
Buffalo Bulls leading at half time 31.0% 32.7% 38.2% 0.86× 3.06
Level at half time 4.1% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +20.5 99.6% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +10.5 95.5% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +12.5 97.0% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +14.5 98.1% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +16.5 98.8% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +18.5 99.3% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9.5 94.5% 91.1% 85.3% 1.07× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +7.5 92.1% 91.1% 81.0% 1.13× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +8.5 93.4% 91.1% 83.3% 1.09× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +6.5 90.7% 91.1% 78.8% 1.16× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +5.5 89.0% 85.9% 76.4% 1.12× 1.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +4.5 87.1% 85.9% 73.7% 1.17× 1.16
Buffalo Bulls +20.5 87.7% 85.9% 86.5% 0.99× 1.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +3.5 85.1% 85.9% 70.8% 1.21× 1.16
Buffalo Bulls +18.5 83.5% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +2.5 82.8% 81.1% 68.0% 1.19× 1.23
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +1.5 80.2% 81.1% 65.4% 1.24× 1.23
Buffalo Bulls +16.5 78.4% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −1.5 74.4% 71.6% 60.8% 1.18× 1.40
Buffalo Bulls +14.5 72.5% 71.6% 77.2% 0.93× 1.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −2.5 71.1% 71.6% 57.7% 1.24× 1.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −3.5 67.6% 66.7% 54.1% 1.23× 1.50
Buffalo Bulls +12.5 65.8% 66.7% 72.4% 0.92× 1.50
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −4.5 64.1% 61.9% 50.7% 1.22× 1.62
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −5.5 60.4% 61.9% 47.0% 1.32× 1.62
Buffalo Bulls +10.5 58.6% 57.1% 67.4% 0.85× 1.75
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −6.5 56.6% 57.1% 44.3% 1.29× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls +9.5 54.8% 52.4% 64.5% 0.81× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −7.5 52.8% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls +8.5 51.0% 52.4% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −8.5 49.0% 47.6% 38.5% 1.24× 2.10
Buffalo Bulls +7.5 47.2% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −9.5 45.2% 47.6% 35.5% 1.34× 2.10
Buffalo Bulls +6.5 43.4% 42.9% 55.7% 0.77× 2.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −10.5 41.4% 42.9% 32.6% 1.32× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls +5.5 39.6% 38.1% 53.0% 0.72× 2.63
Buffalo Bulls +4.5 35.9% 38.1% 49.3% 0.77× 2.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −12.5 34.2% 33.3% 27.6% 1.20× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls +3.5 32.4% 33.3% 45.9% 0.73× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls +2.5 28.9% 28.4% 42.3% 0.67× 3.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −14.5 27.5% 28.4% 22.8% 1.24× 3.53
Buffalo Bulls +1.5 25.6% 28.4% 39.2% 0.72× 3.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −16.5 21.6% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.25
Buffalo Bulls −1.5 19.8% 18.9% 34.6% 0.55× 5.29
Buffalo Bulls −2.5 17.2% 18.9% 32.0% 0.59× 5.29
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −18.5 16.5% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.30
Buffalo Bulls −3.5 14.9% 14.1% 29.3% 0.48× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −4.5 12.9% 14.1% 26.3% 0.54× 7.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −20.5 12.3% 14.1% 13.5% 1.05× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −5.5 11.0% 14.1% 23.6% 0.60× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −6.5 9.3% 8.9% 21.2% 0.42× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −7.5 7.9% 8.9% 19.0% 0.47× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −8.5 6.6% 8.9% 16.7% 0.53× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −9.5 5.5% 8.9% 14.7% 0.61× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −10.5 4.5% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.72
Buffalo Bulls −12.5 3.0% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −14.5 1.9% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −16.5 1.2% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Buffalo Bulls −18.5 0.7% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Buffalo Bulls −20.5 0.4% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 79.2% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
H2 highest scoring 80.7% 71.5% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
H1 highest scoring 19.3% 28.5% 29.6% 0.96× 3.51
1st half highest scoring 20.8% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 57.8% 56.8% 48.6% 1.17× 1.76
Buffalo Bulls at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 16.7% 15.5% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 14.3% 12.2% 25.8% 0.47× 8.17
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 7.1% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.09
Level at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 3.0% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 1.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win 77.5% 75.1% 63.2% 1.19× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls to win 22.5% 24.9% 36.8% 0.68× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Buffalo Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Buffalo Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.2% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.8% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.65
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls under 85.5 86.5% 83.9% 88.8% 0.94× 1.19
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 93.5 85.9% 83.9% 92.1% 0.91× 1.19
Buffalo Bulls over 65.5 83.9% 80.7% 67.8% 1.19× 1.24
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 73.5 83.5% 80.7% 57.4% 1.41× 1.24
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 90.5 77.8% 75.1% 88.1% 0.85× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls under 82.5 78.6% 75.1% 83.3% 0.90× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls over 68.5 75.0% 70.7% 58.4% 1.21× 1.41
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 76.5 74.8% 70.7% 47.7% 1.48× 1.41
Buffalo Bulls under 80.5 72.0% 70.7% 78.8% 0.90× 1.41
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 88.5 71.2% 70.7% 84.8% 0.83× 1.41
Buffalo Bulls over 70.5 67.9% 66.4% 51.4% 1.29× 1.51
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 78.5 67.9% 66.4% 41.6% 1.60× 1.51
Buffalo Bulls under 78.5 64.6% 61.2% 73.7% 0.83× 1.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 86.5 63.9% 61.2% 80.8% 0.76× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls over 72.5 60.0% 61.2% 44.7% 1.37× 1.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 80.5 60.3% 61.2% 35.1% 1.74× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls under 76.5 56.5% 57.1% 67.9% 0.84× 1.75
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 84.5 56.0% 57.1% 76.1% 0.75× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls over 74.5 51.8% 52.3% 38.3% 1.36× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls under 75.5 52.4% 52.3% 64.7% 0.81× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 82.5 52.2% 52.3% 29.2% 1.79× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 83.5 51.9% 52.3% 73.5% 0.71× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls under 74.5 48.2% 47.7% 61.7% 0.77× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls over 75.5 47.6% 47.7% 35.3% 1.35× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 82.5 47.8% 47.7% 70.8% 0.67× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 83.5 48.1% 47.7% 26.5% 1.80× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls over 76.5 43.5% 42.9% 32.1% 1.34× 2.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 84.5 44.0% 42.9% 23.9% 1.80× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls under 72.5 40.0% 38.8% 55.3% 0.70× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 80.5 39.7% 38.8% 64.9% 0.60× 2.58
Buffalo Bulls over 78.5 35.4% 38.8% 26.3% 1.48× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 86.5 36.1% 38.8% 19.2% 2.02× 2.58
Buffalo Bulls under 70.5 32.1% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 78.5 32.1% 33.6% 58.4% 0.58× 2.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 88.5 28.8% 29.3% 15.2% 1.93× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls over 80.5 28.0% 29.3% 21.2% 1.38× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls under 68.5 25.0% 29.3% 41.6% 0.70× 3.42
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 76.5 25.2% 29.3% 52.3% 0.56× 3.42
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 90.5 22.2% 24.9% 11.9% 2.09× 4.02
Buffalo Bulls over 82.5 21.4% 24.9% 16.7% 1.49× 4.02
Buffalo Bulls under 65.5 16.1% 19.3% 32.2% 0.60× 5.18
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 73.5 16.5% 19.3% 42.6% 0.45× 5.18
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 93.5 14.1% 16.1% 7.9% 2.03× 6.21
Buffalo Bulls over 85.5 13.5% 16.1% 11.2% 1.44× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 178.5 points 90.0% 85.0% 94.2% 0.90× 1.18
Over 138.5 points 88.8% 85.0% 67.0% 1.27× 1.18
Under 173.5 points 83.4% 80.6% 91.2% 0.88× 1.24
Over 143.5 points 81.6% 80.6% 56.3% 1.43× 1.24
Under 168.5 points 74.4% 70.8% 86.7% 0.82× 1.41
Over 148.5 points 72.3% 70.8% 45.7% 1.55× 1.41
Under 165.5 points 68.1% 65.9% 83.4% 0.79× 1.52
Over 151.5 points 65.6% 65.9% 39.4% 1.67× 1.52
Under 163.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 80.9% 0.76× 1.63
Over 153.5 points 60.9% 61.5% 35.4% 1.74× 1.63
Under 161.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 77.9% 0.73× 1.77
Over 155.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 31.9% 1.77× 1.77
Under 159.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 75.0% 0.70× 1.91
Over 157.5 points 51.1% 52.3% 28.4% 1.84× 1.91
Under 158.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 73.3% 0.71× 1.91
Under 157.5 points 48.9% 47.7% 71.6% 0.67× 2.10
Over 158.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 26.7% 1.78× 2.10
Over 159.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 25.0% 1.91× 2.10
Under 155.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 68.1% 0.64× 2.30
Over 161.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 22.1% 1.97× 2.30
Under 153.5 points 39.1% 38.5% 64.6% 0.60× 2.60
Over 163.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 19.1% 2.02× 2.60
Under 151.5 points 34.4% 34.1% 60.6% 0.56× 2.93
Over 165.5 points 31.9% 34.1% 16.6% 2.05× 2.93
Under 148.5 points 27.7% 29.2% 54.3% 0.54× 3.43
Over 168.5 points 25.6% 29.2% 13.3% 2.19× 3.43
Under 143.5 points 18.4% 19.4% 43.7% 0.44× 5.15
Over 173.5 points 16.6% 19.4% 8.8% 2.20× 5.15
Under 138.5 points 11.2% 15.0% 33.0% 0.45× 6.69
Over 178.5 points 10.0% 15.0% 5.8% 2.57× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win both halves 39.7% 36.3% 33.2% 1.10× 2.75
Buffalo Bulls to win both halves 6.5% 8.8% 14.5% 0.61× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 6-10 19.0% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 1-5 17.2% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 11-15 16.9% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 16-20 12.2% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Buffalo Bulls by 1-5 11.5% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.11
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 21-25 7.1% 7.5% 5.6% 1.34× 13.40
Buffalo Bulls by 6-10 6.5% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 26+ 5.1% 7.5% 7.9% 0.94× 13.41
Buffalo Bulls by 11-15 3.0% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.30
Buffalo Bulls by 16-20 1.1% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
Buffalo Bulls by 21-25 0.3% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Buffalo Bulls by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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