Toronto Raptors v New York Knicks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Toronto Raptors

19:00

New York Knicks

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Toronto Raptors win

35.0%

Draw

0.0%

New York Knicks win

65.0%

35065

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	35065	106.12–111.56	106-112 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to score 100+	85.0%	79.3%	85.9%	0.92×	1.26
Toronto Raptors to score 100+	71.0%	72.3%	89.3%	0.81×	1.38
Both sides to score 100+	62.0%	61.8%	77.5%	0.80×	1.62
New York Knicks to score 110+	57.3%	56.3%	60.9%	0.92×	1.78
Toronto Raptors to score 110+	38.5%	36.0%	67.0%	0.54×	2.78
New York Knicks to score 120+	25.1%	27.5%	29.7%	0.93×	3.64
Toronto Raptors to score 120+	12.8%	13.8%	36.5%	0.38×	7.23
New York Knicks to score 130+	6.3%	8.8%	10.0%	0.88×	11.38
Toronto Raptors to score 130+	2.4%	0.4%	12.8%	0.03×	282.89

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win H1	58.1%	57.3%	44.1%	1.30×	1.75
Toronto Raptors to win H1	38.5%	37.8%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 124.5	82.6%	83.2%	78.4%	1.06×	1.20
H1 over 100.5	81.3%	83.2%	86.8%	0.96×	1.20
H1 under 122.5	83.4%	82.5%	74.0%	1.12×	1.21
H1 over 98.5	80.9%	82.5%	90.0%	0.92×	1.21
H1 under 120.5	73.7%	74.0%	68.4%	1.08×	1.35
H1 over 104.5	72.1%	74.0%	78.3%	0.95×	1.35
H1 under 118.5	74.7%	73.5%	62.9%	1.17×	1.36
H1 over 102.5	71.4%	73.5%	83.0%	0.89×	1.36
H1 under 117.5	65.7%	68.1%	59.6%	1.14×	1.47
H1 under 115.5	66.8%	67.4%	53.6%	1.26×	1.48
H1 over 105.5	63.1%	62.7%	75.8%	0.83×	1.59
H1 under 113.5	61.0%	62.7%	47.6%	1.32×	1.59
H1 over 107.5	57.2%	58.2%	70.4%	0.83×	1.72
H1 under 111.5	55.0%	58.2%	41.0%	1.42×	1.72
H1 under 110.5	52.0%	52.6%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
H1 over 109.5	51.1%	52.6%	65.0%	0.81×	1.90
H1 under 112.5	51.0%	52.5%	44.2%	1.19×	1.90
H1 over 112.5	49.0%	47.5%	55.8%	0.85×	2.11
H1 under 109.5	48.9%	47.4%	35.0%	1.35×	2.11
H1 over 110.5	48.0%	47.4%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
H1 over 111.5	45.0%	41.8%	59.0%	0.71×	2.39
H1 under 107.5	42.8%	41.8%	29.6%	1.41×	2.39
H1 over 113.5	39.0%	37.3%	52.4%	0.71×	2.68
H1 under 105.5	36.9%	37.3%	24.2%	1.54×	2.68
H1 over 115.5	33.2%	32.6%	46.4%	0.70×	3.07
H1 over 117.5	34.3%	31.9%	40.4%	0.79×	3.13
H1 under 102.5	28.6%	26.5%	17.0%	1.56×	3.77
H1 over 118.5	25.3%	26.5%	37.1%	0.71×	3.77
H1 under 104.5	27.9%	26.0%	21.7%	1.20×	3.84
H1 over 120.5	26.3%	26.0%	31.6%	0.83×	3.84
H1 under 98.5	19.1%	17.5%	10.0%	1.75×	5.72
H1 over 122.5	16.6%	17.5%	26.0%	0.67×	5.73
H1 under 100.5	18.7%	16.8%	13.2%	1.28×	5.96
H1 over 124.5	17.4%	16.8%	21.7%	0.77×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win H2	58.0%	55.0%	44.7%	1.23×	1.82
Toronto Raptors to win H2	38.6%	41.2%	51.6%	0.80×	2.43
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 120.5	83.8%	81.8%	69.3%	1.18×	1.22
H2 over 96.5	81.0%	81.8%	89.3%	0.92×	1.22
H2 under 122.5	83.0%	81.5%	74.4%	1.10×	1.23
H2 over 98.5	81.3%	81.5%	86.2%	0.95×	1.23
H2 under 118.5	74.1%	72.5%	63.6%	1.14×	1.38
H2 over 102.5	72.0%	72.5%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
H2 under 116.5	75.0%	72.2%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
H2 over 100.5	71.5%	72.2%	82.4%	0.88×	1.39
H2 under 113.5	67.1%	66.4%	50.1%	1.32×	1.51
H2 under 115.5	66.1%	64.4%	55.4%	1.16×	1.55
H2 over 103.5	63.1%	61.6%	76.2%	0.81×	1.62
H2 under 111.5	61.3%	61.6%	44.7%	1.38×	1.62
H2 over 105.5	57.1%	57.3%	71.3%	0.80×	1.74
H2 under 109.5	55.2%	57.3%	39.1%	1.47×	1.74
H2 under 108.5	52.1%	52.4%	36.2%	1.45×	1.91
H2 over 107.5	51.0%	52.4%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
H2 under 110.5	51.2%	52.0%	41.9%	1.24×	1.92
H2 over 110.5	48.8%	48.0%	58.1%	0.82×	2.09
H2 under 107.5	49.0%	47.6%	33.8%	1.41×	2.10
H2 over 108.5	47.9%	47.6%	63.8%	0.75×	2.10
H2 over 109.5	44.8%	42.7%	60.9%	0.70×	2.34
H2 under 105.5	42.9%	42.7%	28.7%	1.49×	2.34
H2 over 111.5	38.7%	38.4%	55.3%	0.69×	2.61
H2 under 103.5	36.9%	38.4%	23.8%	1.61×	2.61
H2 over 115.5	33.9%	35.6%	44.6%	0.80×	2.81
H2 over 113.5	32.9%	33.6%	49.9%	0.67×	2.97
H2 under 100.5	28.5%	27.8%	17.6%	1.58×	3.59
H2 over 116.5	25.0%	27.8%	41.9%	0.66×	3.59
H2 under 102.5	28.0%	27.5%	21.5%	1.28×	3.63
H2 over 118.5	25.9%	27.5%	36.4%	0.76×	3.64
H2 under 98.5	18.7%	18.5%	13.8%	1.34×	5.41
H2 over 122.5	17.0%	18.5%	25.6%	0.72×	5.41
H2 under 96.5	19.0%	18.2%	10.7%	1.69×	5.50
H2 over 120.5	16.2%	18.2%	30.7%	0.59×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks leading at half time	58.1%	56.9%	44.1%	1.29×	1.76
Toronto Raptors leading at half time	38.5%	37.9%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks +20.5	96.2%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
New York Knicks +18.5	94.9%	91.1%	86.4%	1.05×	1.10
New York Knicks +16.5	93.3%	91.1%	83.5%	1.09×	1.10
New York Knicks +14.5	91.3%	91.1%	80.1%	1.14×	1.10
New York Knicks +12.5	88.9%	85.9%	76.0%	1.13×	1.16
New York Knicks +10.5	86.1%	85.9%	71.0%	1.21×	1.16
New York Knicks +9.5	84.5%	81.1%	68.7%	1.18×	1.23
Toronto Raptors +20.5	84.7%	81.1%	93.1%	0.87×	1.23
New York Knicks +8.5	82.7%	81.1%	65.9%	1.23×	1.23
New York Knicks +7.5	80.9%	81.1%	63.0%	1.29×	1.23
Toronto Raptors +18.5	81.1%	81.1%	91.5%	0.89×	1.23
New York Knicks +6.5	79.0%	76.5%	60.0%	1.27×	1.31
New York Knicks +5.5	76.9%	76.5%	57.1%	1.34×	1.31
Toronto Raptors +16.5	77.1%	76.5%	89.7%	0.85×	1.31
New York Knicks +4.5	74.7%	71.6%	54.1%	1.33×	1.40
New York Knicks +3.5	72.4%	71.6%	51.6%	1.39×	1.40
Toronto Raptors +14.5	72.7%	71.6%	87.0%	0.82×	1.40
New York Knicks +2.5	70.0%	71.6%	49.1%	1.46×	1.40
New York Knicks +1.5	67.6%	66.7%	46.3%	1.44×	1.50
Toronto Raptors +12.5	67.9%	66.7%	83.9%	0.80×	1.50
Toronto Raptors +10.5	62.7%	61.9%	80.3%	0.77×	1.62
New York Knicks −1.5	62.3%	61.9%	42.1%	1.47×	1.62
New York Knicks −2.5	59.6%	57.1%	39.5%	1.44×	1.75
Toronto Raptors +9.5	60.0%	57.1%	78.1%	0.73×	1.75
New York Knicks −3.5	56.8%	57.1%	36.9%	1.55×	1.75
Toronto Raptors +8.5	57.3%	57.1%	75.7%	0.75×	1.75
Toronto Raptors +7.5	54.5%	52.4%	73.0%	0.72×	1.91
New York Knicks −4.5	54.0%	52.4%	34.3%	1.53×	1.91
New York Knicks −5.5	51.1%	52.4%	32.0%	1.64×	1.91
Toronto Raptors +6.5	51.7%	52.4%	70.6%	0.74×	1.91
Toronto Raptors +5.5	48.9%	47.6%	68.0%	0.70×	2.10
New York Knicks −6.5	48.3%	47.6%	29.4%	1.62×	2.10
Toronto Raptors +4.5	46.0%	47.6%	65.7%	0.72×	2.10
New York Knicks −7.5	45.5%	47.6%	27.0%	1.76×	2.10
Toronto Raptors +3.5	43.2%	42.9%	63.1%	0.68×	2.33
New York Knicks −8.5	42.7%	42.9%	24.3%	1.77×	2.33
Toronto Raptors +2.5	40.4%	42.9%	60.5%	0.71×	2.33
New York Knicks −9.5	40.0%	42.9%	21.9%	1.96×	2.33
Toronto Raptors +1.5	37.7%	38.1%	57.9%	0.66×	2.63
New York Knicks −10.5	37.3%	38.1%	19.7%	1.93×	2.63
Toronto Raptors −1.5	32.4%	33.3%	53.7%	0.62×	3.01
New York Knicks −12.5	32.1%	33.3%	16.1%	2.06×	3.01
Toronto Raptors −2.5	30.0%	28.4%	50.9%	0.56×	3.53
Toronto Raptors −3.5	27.6%	28.4%	48.4%	0.59×	3.53
New York Knicks −14.5	27.3%	28.4%	13.0%	2.18×	3.53
Toronto Raptors −4.5	25.3%	28.4%	46.0%	0.62×	3.53
Toronto Raptors −5.5	23.1%	23.5%	42.9%	0.55×	4.25
New York Knicks −16.5	22.9%	23.5%	10.3%	2.28×	4.25
Toronto Raptors −6.5	21.0%	23.5%	40.0%	0.59×	4.25
Toronto Raptors −7.5	19.1%	18.9%	37.0%	0.51×	5.29
New York Knicks −18.5	18.9%	18.9%	8.5%	2.22×	5.29
Toronto Raptors −8.5	17.3%	18.9%	34.1%	0.55×	5.29
Toronto Raptors −9.5	15.5%	18.9%	31.3%	0.60×	5.30
New York Knicks −20.5	15.3%	18.9%	6.9%	2.74×	5.30
Toronto Raptors −10.5	13.9%	14.1%	29.0%	0.49×	7.09
Toronto Raptors −12.5	11.1%	14.1%	24.0%	0.59×	7.09
Toronto Raptors −14.5	8.7%	8.9%	19.9%	0.45×	11.25
Toronto Raptors −16.5	6.7%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Toronto Raptors −18.5	5.1%	8.9%	13.6%	0.65×	11.25
Toronto Raptors −20.5	3.8%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.3%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.7%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.2%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.8%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.5%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.6%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks at HT / New York Knicks at FT	48.4%	46.6%	30.9%	1.51×	2.15
Toronto Raptors at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	24.0%	24.4%	40.8%	0.60×	4.09
Toronto Raptors at HT / New York Knicks at FT	14.5%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
New York Knicks at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	9.7%	8.3%	13.3%	0.62×	12.08
Level at HT / New York Knicks at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76
Level at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	1.3%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win	65.0%	64.5%	44.3%	1.46×	1.55
Toronto Raptors to win	35.0%	35.5%	55.7%	0.64×	2.81

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Toronto Raptors even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
New York Knicks even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Toronto Raptors odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
New York Knicks odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.4%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.6%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q1	54.4%	52.6%	44.1%	1.19×	1.90
Toronto Raptors to win Q1	40.9%	42.9%	51.3%	0.84×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 64.5	83.3%	83.2%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
Q1 over 48.5	81.7%	83.2%	85.6%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 under 63.5	83.9%	82.8%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Q1 over 47.5	81.4%	82.8%	88.2%	0.94×	1.21
Q1 under 61.5	73.1%	73.1%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 over 51.5	71.0%	73.1%	76.0%	0.96×	1.37
Q1 under 60.5	73.9%	72.7%	64.5%	1.13×	1.38
Q1 over 50.5	70.5%	72.7%	79.4%	0.92×	1.38
Q1 under 58.5	65.7%	67.6%	55.7%	1.21×	1.48
Q1 under 59.5	64.9%	62.3%	60.0%	1.04×	1.61
Q1 over 53.5	62.6%	62.3%	68.2%	0.91×	1.61
Q1 over 52.5	61.9%	61.7%	72.4%	0.85×	1.62
Q1 under 57.5	55.9%	59.2%	50.4%	1.17×	1.69
Q1 under 56.5	56.7%	58.6%	45.4%	1.29×	1.71
Q1 over 54.5	52.7%	52.7%	63.3%	0.83×	1.90
Q1 under 55.5	52.0%	52.7%	40.8%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 over 55.5	48.0%	47.3%	59.2%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 under 54.5	47.3%	47.3%	36.7%	1.29×	2.11
Q1 over 56.5	43.3%	41.4%	54.6%	0.76×	2.42
Q1 over 57.5	44.1%	40.8%	49.6%	0.82×	2.45
Q1 under 52.5	38.1%	38.3%	27.6%	1.39×	2.61
Q1 under 53.5	37.4%	37.7%	31.8%	1.19×	2.65
Q1 over 59.5	35.1%	37.7%	40.0%	0.94×	2.65
Q1 over 58.5	34.3%	32.4%	44.3%	0.73×	3.08
Q1 under 50.5	29.5%	27.3%	20.6%	1.33×	3.66
Q1 over 60.5	26.1%	27.3%	35.5%	0.77×	3.66
Q1 under 51.5	29.0%	26.9%	24.0%	1.12×	3.72
Q1 over 61.5	26.9%	26.9%	31.5%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 under 47.5	18.6%	17.2%	11.8%	1.46×	5.83
Q1 over 63.5	16.1%	17.2%	23.2%	0.74×	5.83
Q1 under 48.5	18.3%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.95
Q1 over 64.5	16.7%	16.8%	19.9%	0.84×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q2	54.3%	51.4%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Toronto Raptors to win Q2	41.0%	43.9%	49.3%	0.89×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 64.5	84.0%	83.1%	80.9%	1.03×	1.20
Q2 over 48.5	80.7%	83.1%	84.7%	0.98×	1.20
Q2 under 63.5	84.6%	83.0%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Q2 over 47.5	80.3%	83.0%	87.2%	0.95×	1.21
Q2 under 61.5	74.1%	73.0%	70.4%	1.04×	1.37
Q2 under 60.5	74.8%	72.0%	65.7%	1.10×	1.39
Q2 over 51.5	69.7%	67.7%	74.2%	0.91×	1.48
Q2 under 59.5	66.0%	67.6%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
Q2 over 50.5	69.2%	67.4%	78.1%	0.86×	1.48
Q2 under 58.5	66.8%	67.4%	57.3%	1.17×	1.49
Q2 over 53.5	61.2%	62.0%	65.8%	0.94×	1.61
Q2 over 52.5	60.6%	60.7%	70.3%	0.86×	1.65
Q2 under 56.5	57.9%	58.2%	48.3%	1.20×	1.72
Q2 under 57.5	57.2%	57.8%	52.7%	1.10×	1.73
Q2 under 55.5	53.3%	52.7%	43.7%	1.21×	1.90
Q2 over 54.5	51.3%	52.7%	61.1%	0.86×	1.90
Q2 under 54.5	48.7%	47.3%	38.9%	1.22×	2.11
Q2 over 55.5	46.7%	47.3%	56.3%	0.84×	2.11
Q2 over 57.5	42.8%	42.2%	47.3%	0.89×	2.37
Q2 over 56.5	42.1%	41.8%	51.7%	0.81×	2.39
Q2 under 52.5	39.4%	39.3%	29.7%	1.32×	2.55
Q2 under 53.5	38.8%	38.0%	34.2%	1.11×	2.63
Q2 over 58.5	33.2%	32.6%	42.7%	0.77×	3.06
Q2 under 50.5	30.8%	32.6%	21.9%	1.49×	3.06
Q2 over 59.5	34.0%	32.4%	38.1%	0.85×	3.09
Q2 under 51.5	30.3%	32.3%	25.8%	1.25×	3.10
Q2 over 60.5	25.2%	28.0%	34.3%	0.82×	3.57
Q2 over 61.5	25.9%	27.0%	29.6%	0.91×	3.71
Q2 under 47.5	19.7%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.88
Q2 over 63.5	15.4%	17.0%	22.5%	0.76×	5.89
Q2 under 48.5	19.3%	16.9%	15.3%	1.10×	5.93
Q2 over 64.5	16.0%	16.9%	19.1%	0.88×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q3	54.3%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Toronto Raptors to win Q3	41.0%	42.2%	50.9%	0.83×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 63.5	83.7%	82.3%	75.9%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 over 47.5	82.1%	82.3%	88.1%	0.93×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	83.1%	82.2%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Q3 over 48.5	82.4%	82.2%	85.6%	0.96×	1.22
Q3 under 61.5	72.7%	72.5%	67.7%	1.07×	1.38
Q3 over 51.5	71.8%	72.5%	76.1%	0.95×	1.38
Q3 under 60.5	73.5%	71.8%	63.5%	1.13×	1.39
Q3 over 50.5	71.3%	71.8%	79.7%	0.90×	1.39
Q3 under 58.5	65.2%	67.8%	54.8%	1.24×	1.48
Q3 under 59.5	64.3%	62.6%	59.0%	1.06×	1.60
Q3 over 53.5	63.4%	62.6%	68.3%	0.92×	1.60
Q3 over 52.5	62.7%	61.9%	72.2%	0.86×	1.61
Q3 under 56.5	56.0%	58.4%	45.0%	1.30×	1.71
Q3 under 57.5	55.2%	57.8%	49.8%	1.16×	1.73
Q3 over 54.5	53.4%	52.3%	63.9%	0.82×	1.91
Q3 under 55.5	51.3%	52.3%	40.1%	1.30×	1.91
Q3 over 55.5	48.7%	47.7%	59.9%	0.80×	2.10
Q3 under 54.5	46.6%	47.7%	36.1%	1.32×	2.10
Q3 over 57.5	44.8%	42.2%	50.2%	0.84×	2.37
Q3 over 56.5	44.0%	41.6%	55.0%	0.76×	2.40
Q3 under 52.5	37.3%	38.1%	27.8%	1.37×	2.63
Q3 under 53.5	36.6%	37.4%	31.7%	1.18×	2.67
Q3 over 59.5	35.7%	37.4%	41.0%	0.91×	2.67
Q3 over 58.5	34.8%	32.2%	45.2%	0.71×	3.10
Q3 under 50.5	28.7%	28.2%	20.3%	1.39×	3.55
Q3 over 60.5	26.5%	28.2%	36.5%	0.77×	3.55
Q3 under 51.5	28.2%	27.5%	23.9%	1.15×	3.64
Q3 over 61.5	27.3%	27.5%	32.3%	0.85×	3.64
Q3 under 48.5	17.6%	17.8%	14.4%	1.23×	5.62
Q3 over 64.5	16.9%	17.8%	20.8%	0.85×	5.63
Q3 under 47.5	17.9%	17.7%	11.9%	1.49×	5.66
Q3 over 63.5	16.3%	17.7%	24.1%	0.73×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q4	54.2%	51.4%	46.4%	1.11×	1.94
Toronto Raptors to win Q4	41.0%	43.1%	48.3%	0.89×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 44.5	82.4%	82.0%	87.3%	0.94×	1.22
Q4 under 60.5	81.9%	82.0%	74.2%	1.10×	1.22
Q4 over 45.5	82.6%	81.9%	84.6%	0.97×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	81.4%	81.9%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	72.5%	72.3%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
Q4 under 58.5	70.9%	72.3%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
Q4 over 47.5	72.1%	71.5%	79.0%	0.91×	1.40
Q4 under 57.5	71.4%	71.5%	61.9%	1.16×	1.40
Q4 over 50.5	64.3%	61.7%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Q4 under 56.5	62.6%	61.6%	57.2%	1.08×	1.62
Q4 over 49.5	63.9%	61.4%	72.3%	0.85×	1.63
Q4 under 55.5	63.1%	61.4%	52.9%	1.16×	1.63
Q4 over 51.5	55.0%	58.4%	64.7%	0.90×	1.71
Q4 under 53.5	54.2%	52.5%	44.3%	1.18×	1.91
Q4 over 52.5	50.4%	52.5%	60.4%	0.87×	1.91
Q4 under 54.5	53.6%	52.4%	48.6%	1.08×	1.91
Q4 over 54.5	46.4%	47.6%	51.4%	0.93×	2.10
Q4 under 52.5	49.6%	47.5%	39.6%	1.20×	2.11
Q4 over 53.5	45.8%	47.5%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q4 under 51.5	45.0%	41.6%	35.3%	1.18×	2.40
Q4 over 55.5	36.9%	38.6%	47.1%	0.82×	2.59
Q4 under 49.5	36.1%	38.6%	27.7%	1.39×	2.59
Q4 over 56.5	37.4%	38.4%	42.8%	0.90×	2.61
Q4 under 50.5	35.7%	38.3%	31.5%	1.22×	2.61
Q4 over 57.5	28.6%	28.5%	38.1%	0.75×	3.51
Q4 under 47.5	27.9%	28.5%	21.0%	1.35×	3.51
Q4 over 58.5	29.1%	27.7%	33.8%	0.82×	3.61
Q4 under 48.5	27.5%	27.7%	24.5%	1.13×	3.61
Q4 over 61.5	18.6%	18.1%	22.5%	0.80×	5.53
Q4 under 45.5	17.4%	18.1%	15.4%	1.18×	5.53
Q4 over 60.5	18.1%	18.0%	25.8%	0.70×	5.56
Q4 under 44.5	17.6%	18.0%	12.7%	1.41×	5.56

Team total 76

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors under 116.5	81.2%	80.7%	54.7%	1.47×	1.24
New York Knicks over 101.5	80.6%	80.7%	82.0%	0.98×	1.24
New York Knicks under 121.5	80.0%	80.7%	74.7%	1.08×	1.24
New York Knicks over 102.5	79.8%	78.3%	79.7%	0.98×	1.28
New York Knicks under 122.5	79.4%	78.3%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Toronto Raptors under 119.5	79.1%	78.3%	63.5%	1.23×	1.28
Toronto Raptors over 96.5	79.0%	75.1%	92.9%	0.81×	1.33
Toronto Raptors over 102.5	72.3%	71.8%	84.2%	0.85×	1.39
New York Knicks over 105.5	72.2%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
New York Knicks under 119.5	71.6%	71.8%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Toronto Raptors under 113.5	73.6%	70.7%	45.7%	1.55×	1.41
New York Knicks over 104.5	72.9%	70.7%	75.0%	0.94×	1.41
New York Knicks under 118.5	72.1%	70.7%	67.4%	1.05×	1.41
Toronto Raptors over 99.5	71.0%	70.7%	89.3%	0.79×	1.41
Toronto Raptors over 104.5	66.6%	66.6%	79.8%	0.84×	1.50
New York Knicks over 107.5	66.3%	66.6%	66.6%	1.00×	1.50
New York Knicks under 117.5	65.8%	66.6%	64.4%	1.03×	1.50
Toronto Raptors under 114.5	65.5%	66.6%	48.6%	1.37×	1.50
Toronto Raptors under 111.5	67.8%	66.4%	38.9%	1.71×	1.51
New York Knicks over 106.5	67.0%	66.4%	68.9%	0.96×	1.51
New York Knicks under 116.5	66.1%	66.4%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Toronto Raptors over 101.5	64.9%	61.2%	86.0%	0.71×	1.63
New York Knicks over 108.5	60.6%	61.2%	64.0%	0.96×	1.63
Toronto Raptors under 109.5	61.5%	61.2%	33.0%	1.86×	1.63
New York Knicks over 109.5	60.1%	61.2%	60.9%	1.00×	1.64
New York Knicks under 115.5	59.5%	57.9%	58.6%	0.99×	1.73
Toronto Raptors under 112.5	59.2%	57.9%	42.3%	1.37×	1.73
New York Knicks under 114.5	59.6%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75
Toronto Raptors over 103.5	58.5%	57.1%	82.1%	0.70×	1.75
Toronto Raptors under 107.5	55.0%	52.3%	27.3%	1.91×	1.91
New York Knicks over 110.5	53.9%	52.3%	57.9%	0.90×	1.91
Toronto Raptors over 105.5	51.8%	52.3%	77.4%	0.68×	1.91
Toronto Raptors under 106.5	51.6%	52.3%	24.9%	2.10×	1.91
New York Knicks under 112.5	52.9%	52.3%	48.5%	1.08×	1.91
New York Knicks over 111.5	50.5%	52.3%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Toronto Raptors over 108.5	53.9%	52.2%	69.9%	0.75×	1.91
Toronto Raptors under 110.5	52.7%	52.2%	35.9%	1.46×	1.91
New York Knicks under 113.5	53.0%	52.2%	52.0%	1.00×	1.91
Toronto Raptors over 110.5	47.3%	47.8%	64.1%	0.75×	2.09
New York Knicks over 113.5	47.0%	47.8%	48.0%	1.00×	2.09
Toronto Raptors under 108.5	46.1%	47.8%	30.1%	1.58×	2.09
New York Knicks under 111.5	49.5%	47.7%	45.4%	1.05×	2.09
Toronto Raptors under 105.5	48.2%	47.7%	22.6%	2.11×	2.09
Toronto Raptors over 106.5	48.4%	47.7%	75.1%	0.64×	2.09
New York Knicks over 112.5	47.1%	47.7%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Toronto Raptors over 107.5	45.0%	47.7%	72.7%	0.66×	2.09
New York Knicks under 110.5	46.1%	47.7%	42.1%	1.13×	2.09
Toronto Raptors under 103.5	41.5%	42.9%	17.9%	2.40×	2.33
New York Knicks over 114.5	40.4%	42.9%	44.5%	0.96×	2.33
Toronto Raptors over 112.5	40.8%	42.1%	57.7%	0.73×	2.38
New York Knicks over 115.5	40.5%	42.1%	41.4%	1.01×	2.38
New York Knicks under 109.5	39.9%	38.8%	39.1%	0.99×	2.58
New York Knicks under 108.5	39.4%	38.8%	36.0%	1.08×	2.58
Toronto Raptors over 109.5	38.5%	38.8%	67.0%	0.58×	2.58
Toronto Raptors under 101.5	35.1%	38.8%	14.0%	2.76×	2.58
New York Knicks under 106.5	33.0%	33.6%	31.1%	1.08×	2.98
New York Knicks over 116.5	33.9%	33.6%	38.5%	0.87×	2.98
Toronto Raptors over 111.5	32.2%	33.6%	61.1%	0.55×	2.98
Toronto Raptors over 114.5	34.5%	33.4%	51.4%	0.65×	2.99
New York Knicks over 117.5	34.2%	33.4%	35.6%	0.94×	2.99
New York Knicks under 107.5	33.7%	33.4%	33.4%	1.00×	2.99
Toronto Raptors under 104.5	33.4%	33.4%	20.2%	1.65×	2.99
Toronto Raptors under 99.5	29.0%	29.3%	10.7%	2.72×	3.42
New York Knicks under 104.5	27.1%	29.3%	25.0%	1.17×	3.42
New York Knicks over 118.5	27.9%	29.3%	32.6%	0.90×	3.42
Toronto Raptors over 113.5	26.4%	29.3%	54.3%	0.54×	3.42
New York Knicks over 119.5	28.4%	28.2%	29.7%	0.95×	3.55
Toronto Raptors under 102.5	27.7%	28.2%	15.8%	1.78×	3.55
New York Knicks under 105.5	27.8%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Toronto Raptors under 96.5	21.0%	24.9%	7.1%	3.50×	4.02
Toronto Raptors over 119.5	20.9%	21.7%	36.5%	0.59×	4.60
New York Knicks over 122.5	20.6%	21.7%	22.6%	0.96×	4.60
New York Knicks under 102.5	20.2%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.61
New York Knicks over 121.5	20.0%	19.3%	25.3%	0.76×	5.18
New York Knicks under 101.5	19.4%	19.3%	18.0%	1.07×	5.18
Toronto Raptors over 116.5	18.8%	19.3%	45.3%	0.43×	5.18

Total points 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 242.5 points	85.9%	85.5%	76.8%	1.11×	1.17
Over 197.5 points	86.3%	85.0%	94.1%	0.90×	1.18
Under 237.5 points	86.0%	85.0%	69.3%	1.23×	1.18
Over 202.5 points	79.5%	75.6%	90.8%	0.83×	1.32
Under 232.5 points	79.0%	75.6%	59.4%	1.27×	1.32
Over 207.5 points	71.0%	70.8%	85.5%	0.83×	1.41
Under 227.5 points	70.4%	70.8%	49.4%	1.43×	1.41
Over 210.5 points	65.2%	65.9%	81.4%	0.81×	1.52
Under 229.5 points	65.0%	61.8%	53.3%	1.16×	1.62
Over 215.5 points	64.1%	61.8%	73.4%	0.84×	1.62
Under 224.5 points	64.4%	61.5%	43.5%	1.41×	1.63
Over 212.5 points	61.1%	61.5%	77.8%	0.79×	1.63
Under 222.5 points	60.3%	61.5%	39.6%	1.55×	1.63
Over 214.5 points	56.9%	56.5%	75.1%	0.75×	1.77
Under 220.5 points	56.1%	56.5%	35.8%	1.58×	1.77
Under 225.5 points	56.8%	56.0%	45.3%	1.24×	1.79
Over 219.5 points	55.9%	56.0%	66.1%	0.85×	1.79
Over 216.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	71.6%	0.73×	1.91
Under 218.5 points	51.8%	52.3%	32.2%	1.62×	1.91
Over 217.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	69.6%	0.75×	1.91
Under 223.5 points	52.6%	52.2%	41.7%	1.25×	1.92
Over 221.5 points	51.6%	52.2%	62.2%	0.84×	1.92
Under 221.5 points	48.4%	47.8%	37.8%	1.26×	2.09
Over 223.5 points	47.4%	47.8%	58.3%	0.82×	2.09
Under 217.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	30.4%	1.57×	2.10
Under 216.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	28.4%	1.68×	2.10
Over 218.5 points	48.2%	47.7%	67.8%	0.70×	2.10
Under 219.5 points	44.1%	44.0%	33.9%	1.30×	2.27
Over 225.5 points	43.2%	44.0%	54.7%	0.80×	2.27
Under 214.5 points	43.1%	43.5%	24.9%	1.75×	2.30
Over 220.5 points	43.9%	43.5%	64.2%	0.68×	2.30
Over 222.5 points	39.7%	38.5%	60.4%	0.64×	2.60
Under 212.5 points	38.9%	38.5%	22.2%	1.74×	2.60
Over 224.5 points	35.6%	38.5%	56.5%	0.68×	2.60
Under 215.5 points	35.9%	38.2%	26.6%	1.44×	2.62
Over 229.5 points	35.0%	38.2%	46.7%	0.82×	2.62
Under 210.5 points	34.8%	34.1%	18.6%	1.83×	2.93
Over 227.5 points	29.6%	29.2%	50.6%	0.58×	3.43
Under 207.5 points	29.0%	29.2%	14.5%	2.01×	3.43
Over 232.5 points	21.0%	24.4%	40.6%	0.60×	4.10
Under 202.5 points	20.5%	24.4%	9.2%	2.65×	4.10
Over 237.5 points	14.0%	15.0%	30.7%	0.49×	6.68
Under 197.5 points	13.7%	15.0%	5.9%	2.53×	6.68
Over 242.5 points	14.1%	14.5%	23.2%	0.63×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win both halves	31.6%	31.2%	17.8%	1.75×	3.20
Toronto Raptors to win both halves	12.8%	14.0%	25.2%	0.56×	7.12

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks by 1-5	13.9%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
New York Knicks by 6-10	13.8%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 1-5	11.9%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
New York Knicks by 11-15	12.3%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
New York Knicks by 16-20	9.7%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Toronto Raptors by 6-10	9.2%	7.5%	13.9%	0.54×	13.40
New York Knicks by 26+	8.5%	7.5%	3.9%	1.93×	13.40
Toronto Raptors by 11-15	6.3%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
New York Knicks by 21-25	6.8%	7.5%	3.0%	2.45×	13.40
Toronto Raptors by 16-20	3.9%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.29
Toronto Raptors by 21-25	2.1%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.31
Toronto Raptors by 26+	1.7%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.31

Toronto Raptors v New York Knicks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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