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Tulane Green Wave v LSU New Orleans Privateers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Tulane Green Wave win
97.9%
Draw
0.0%
LSU New Orleans Privateers win
2.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 80.39–57.94 80-58 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to score 100+ 2.3% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 282.90
Tulane Green Wave to score 110+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.33
Tulane Green Wave to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Tulane Green Wave to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
LSU New Orleans Privateers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
LSU New Orleans Privateers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
LSU New Orleans Privateers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
LSU New Orleans Privateers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win H1 87.6% 88.7% 56.4% 1.57× 1.13
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win H1 10.2% 10.7% 39.9% 0.27× 9.32
H1 tied 2.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 54.5 88.2% 87.7% 74.0% 1.19× 1.14
H1 under 78.5 88.6% 87.7% 92.8% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 74.5 79.2% 77.4% 87.2% 0.89× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 78.2% 77.4% 61.4% 1.26× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 69.7% 67.4% 81.4% 0.83× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 68.4% 67.4% 50.2% 1.34× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 62.5% 62.7% 76.2% 0.82× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 61.0% 62.7% 42.9% 1.46× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 54.8% 52.6% 70.4% 0.75× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 53.2% 52.6% 36.1% 1.46× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 50.8% 52.6% 67.1% 0.78× 1.90
H1 over 66.5 49.2% 47.4% 32.9% 1.44× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 46.8% 47.4% 63.9% 0.74× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 45.2% 47.4% 29.6% 1.60× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 39.0% 37.3% 57.1% 0.65× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 37.5% 37.3% 23.8% 1.56× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 31.6% 32.6% 49.8% 0.65× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 30.3% 32.6% 18.6% 1.76× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 21.8% 22.6% 38.6% 0.58× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 20.8% 22.6% 12.8% 1.76× 4.43
H1 under 54.5 11.8% 12.3% 26.0% 0.47× 8.14
H1 over 78.5 11.4% 12.3% 7.2% 1.70× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win H2 89.0% 84.2% 56.0% 1.50× 1.19
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win H2 9.0% 11.3% 40.6% 0.28× 8.82
H2 tied 1.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 60.5 87.7% 85.2% 74.5% 1.14× 1.17
H2 under 84.5 87.0% 85.2% 90.3% 0.94× 1.17
H2 over 64.5 78.1% 75.8% 62.1% 1.22× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 77.3% 75.8% 84.0% 0.90× 1.32
H2 over 67.5 68.7% 66.4% 52.1% 1.27× 1.51
H2 under 77.5 67.9% 66.4% 77.9% 0.85× 1.51
H2 over 69.5 61.6% 61.6% 45.2% 1.36× 1.62
H2 under 75.5 60.8% 61.6% 73.0% 0.84× 1.62
H2 over 71.5 54.2% 52.4% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 53.4% 52.4% 67.1% 0.78× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 50.4% 52.4% 36.0% 1.46× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 49.6% 47.6% 64.1% 0.74× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 45.8% 47.6% 61.1% 0.78× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 46.6% 47.6% 32.9% 1.45× 2.10
H2 over 75.5 39.2% 38.4% 27.0% 1.42× 2.61
H2 under 69.5 38.4% 38.4% 54.8% 0.70× 2.61
H2 over 77.5 32.1% 33.6% 22.1% 1.52× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 31.3% 33.6% 47.9% 0.70× 2.97
H2 over 80.5 22.7% 24.2% 16.0% 1.52× 4.13
H2 under 64.5 21.9% 24.2% 37.9% 0.64× 4.13
H2 over 84.5 13.0% 14.8% 9.7% 1.52× 6.76
H2 under 60.5 12.3% 14.8% 25.5% 0.58× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave leading at half time 87.6% 89.4% 56.4% 1.58× 1.12
LSU New Orleans Privateers leading at half time 10.2% 10.2% 39.9% 0.26× 9.78
Level at half time 2.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.43
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave +6.5 99.5% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +7.5 99.6% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +8.5 99.7% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +9.5 99.8% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +10.5 99.8% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +12.5 99.9% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave −1.5 97.3% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +1.5 98.3% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave −2.5 96.6% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +2.5 98.6% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave −3.5 95.8% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +3.5 98.9% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +4.5 99.1% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +5.5 99.3% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave −4.5 94.8% 91.1% 52.2% 1.75× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave −5.5 93.7% 91.1% 49.7% 1.83× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave −6.5 92.5% 91.1% 47.6% 1.91× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave −7.5 91.0% 91.1% 44.8% 2.04× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave −8.5 89.4% 85.9% 42.0% 2.05× 1.16
Tulane Green Wave −9.5 87.6% 85.9% 39.3% 2.19× 1.16
Tulane Green Wave −10.5 85.7% 85.9% 36.8% 2.33× 1.16
Tulane Green Wave −12.5 81.1% 81.1% 32.1% 2.52× 1.23
Tulane Green Wave −14.5 75.8% 76.5% 27.9% 2.74× 1.31
Tulane Green Wave −16.5 69.8% 66.7% 24.3% 2.75× 1.50
Tulane Green Wave −18.5 63.2% 61.9% 20.7% 2.99× 1.62
Tulane Green Wave −20.5 56.2% 57.1% 18.0% 3.17× 1.75
LSU New Orleans Privateers +20.5 43.8% 42.9% 82.0% 0.52× 2.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers +18.5 36.8% 38.1% 79.3% 0.48× 2.63
LSU New Orleans Privateers +16.5 30.2% 33.3% 75.7% 0.44× 3.01
LSU New Orleans Privateers +14.5 24.2% 23.5% 72.1% 0.33× 4.25
LSU New Orleans Privateers +12.5 18.9% 18.9% 67.9% 0.28× 5.29
LSU New Orleans Privateers +10.5 14.3% 14.1% 63.2% 0.22× 7.09
LSU New Orleans Privateers +9.5 12.4% 14.1% 60.7% 0.23× 7.09
LSU New Orleans Privateers +8.5 10.6% 14.1% 58.0% 0.24× 7.09
LSU New Orleans Privateers +7.5 9.0% 8.9% 55.2% 0.16× 11.25
LSU New Orleans Privateers +5.5 6.3% 8.9% 50.3% 0.18× 11.25
LSU New Orleans Privateers +6.5 7.6% 8.9% 52.4% 0.17× 11.25
LSU New Orleans Privateers +4.5 5.2% 8.9% 47.8% 0.19× 11.25
LSU New Orleans Privateers +1.5 2.7% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.73
LSU New Orleans Privateers −1.5 1.7% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.73
LSU New Orleans Privateers +2.5 3.4% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.73
LSU New Orleans Privateers −2.5 1.4% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.73
LSU New Orleans Privateers +3.5 4.2% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.72
LSU New Orleans Privateers −3.5 1.1% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −4.5 0.9% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −5.5 0.7% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −6.5 0.5% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −7.5 0.4% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −8.5 0.3% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −9.5 0.2% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −10.5 0.2% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −12.5 0.1% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
LSU New Orleans Privateers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 73.3% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 26.7% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.9% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.1% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.8% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.2% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave at HT / Tulane Green Wave at FT 86.9% 89.1% 48.3% 1.85× 1.12
LSU New Orleans Privateers at HT / Tulane Green Wave at FT 8.9% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.08
Level at HT / Tulane Green Wave at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Tulane Green Wave at HT / LSU New Orleans Privateers at FT 0.8% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.78
Level at HT / LSU New Orleans Privateers at FT 0.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
LSU New Orleans Privateers at HT / LSU New Orleans Privateers at FT 1.3% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win 97.9% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win 2.1% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.37
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
LSU New Orleans Privateers even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.3% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Tulane Green Wave odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
LSU New Orleans Privateers odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.8% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 98.3% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 1.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.54
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q1 77.2% 79.9% 54.7% 1.46× 1.25
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win Q1 18.4% 15.7% 40.4% 0.39× 6.36
Q1 tied 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.96
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 41.5 88.7% 87.4% 91.9% 0.95× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 87.9% 87.4% 77.6% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 77.8% 76.9% 84.8% 0.91× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 76.4% 76.9% 62.7% 1.23× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 68.1% 67.6% 77.4% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 66.3% 67.6% 51.2% 1.32× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 56.9% 58.6% 68.5% 0.86× 1.71
Q1 over 32.5 54.9% 52.7% 40.9% 1.29× 1.90
Q1 under 33.5 51.0% 52.7% 64.0% 0.82× 1.90
Q1 over 33.5 49.0% 47.3% 36.0% 1.31× 2.11
Q1 under 32.5 45.1% 47.3% 59.1% 0.80× 2.11
Q1 over 34.5 43.1% 41.4% 31.5% 1.31× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 33.7% 32.4% 48.8% 0.67× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 31.9% 32.4% 22.6% 1.44× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 23.6% 23.1% 37.3% 0.62× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 22.2% 23.1% 15.2% 1.52× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 12.1% 12.6% 22.4% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 over 41.5 11.3% 12.6% 8.1% 1.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q2 76.5% 80.6% 52.9% 1.53× 1.24
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win Q2 19.1% 14.7% 41.5% 0.35× 6.81
Q2 tied 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.89
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 41.5 89.6% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 over 25.5 86.8% 87.3% 76.2% 1.15× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 79.3% 76.8% 85.6% 0.90× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 74.8% 72.0% 61.2% 1.18× 1.39
Q2 under 36.5 69.9% 67.4% 78.7% 0.86× 1.48
Q2 over 30.5 64.4% 60.7% 49.9% 1.22× 1.65
Q2 under 34.5 58.9% 58.2% 70.1% 0.83× 1.72
Q2 under 33.5 53.0% 52.7% 65.6% 0.80× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 52.9% 52.7% 39.2% 1.34× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 47.1% 47.3% 60.8% 0.78× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 47.0% 47.3% 34.4% 1.38× 2.11
Q2 over 34.5 41.1% 41.8% 29.9% 1.40× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 35.6% 39.3% 50.1% 0.78× 2.55
Q2 over 36.5 30.1% 32.6% 21.3% 1.53× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 25.2% 28.0% 38.8% 0.72× 3.57
Q2 over 38.5 20.7% 23.2% 14.4% 1.61× 4.31
Q2 under 25.5 13.2% 12.7% 23.8% 0.53× 7.89
Q2 over 41.5 10.4% 12.7% 7.3% 1.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q3 78.7% 81.6% 53.3% 1.53× 1.23
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win Q3 17.2% 15.1% 41.8% 0.36× 6.63
Q3 tied 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.45
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 44.5 88.2% 87.2% 92.1% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 87.1% 87.2% 76.4% 1.14× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 77.5% 77.3% 85.1% 0.91× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 75.6% 77.3% 61.6% 1.25× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 67.9% 67.8% 77.9% 0.87× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 65.6% 67.8% 50.9% 1.33× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 57.0% 58.4% 69.7% 0.84× 1.71
Q3 over 35.5 54.5% 52.3% 40.3% 1.30× 1.91
Q3 under 36.5 51.3% 52.3% 64.6% 0.81× 1.91
Q3 over 36.5 48.7% 47.7% 35.4% 1.35× 2.10
Q3 under 35.5 45.5% 47.7% 59.7% 0.80× 2.10
Q3 over 37.5 43.0% 41.6% 30.3% 1.37× 2.40
Q3 under 33.5 34.4% 32.2% 49.1% 0.66× 3.10
Q3 over 39.5 32.1% 32.2% 22.1% 1.46× 3.10
Q3 under 31.5 24.4% 22.7% 38.4% 0.59× 4.40
Q3 over 41.5 22.6% 22.7% 14.9% 1.53× 4.40
Q3 under 28.5 12.9% 12.8% 23.6% 0.54× 7.83
Q3 over 44.5 11.8% 12.8% 7.9% 1.63× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q4 78.2% 71.5% 52.8% 1.35× 1.40
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win Q4 17.7% 22.6% 41.5% 0.55× 4.42
Q4 tied 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.30
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 44.5 86.7% 85.6% 90.6% 0.95× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 85.9% 85.6% 75.1% 1.14× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 75.9% 76.9% 83.6% 0.92× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 74.7% 71.5% 61.1% 1.17× 1.40
Q4 under 39.5 66.6% 67.4% 77.0% 0.88× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 65.2% 67.4% 50.4% 1.34× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 56.2% 58.4% 68.8% 0.85× 1.71
Q4 over 35.5 54.6% 52.5% 40.6% 1.29× 1.91
Q4 under 36.5 50.8% 52.5% 64.3% 0.82× 1.91
Q4 over 36.5 49.2% 47.5% 35.7% 1.33× 2.11
Q4 under 35.5 45.4% 47.5% 59.4% 0.80× 2.11
Q4 over 37.5 43.8% 41.6% 31.2% 1.33× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 34.8% 32.6% 49.6% 0.66× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 33.4% 32.6% 23.0% 1.41× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 25.3% 28.5% 38.9% 0.73× 3.51
Q4 over 41.5 24.1% 23.1% 16.4% 1.41× 4.33
Q4 under 28.5 14.1% 14.4% 24.9% 0.58× 6.95
Q4 over 44.5 13.3% 14.4% 9.4% 1.53× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 48.5 86.5% 83.9% 86.7% 0.97× 1.19
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 68.5 87.1% 83.9% 68.6% 1.22× 1.19
Tulane Green Wave over 70.5 85.7% 83.9% 39.7% 2.11× 1.19
Tulane Green Wave under 90.5 85.2% 83.9% 94.5% 0.89× 1.19
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 65.5 78.9% 75.1% 59.8% 1.26× 1.33
Tulane Green Wave over 73.5 77.3% 75.1% 31.5% 2.38× 1.33
Tulane Green Wave under 87.5 76.7% 75.1% 92.3% 0.81× 1.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 51.5 77.3% 75.1% 81.0% 0.93× 1.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 63.5 72.1% 70.7% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
Tulane Green Wave over 75.5 70.5% 70.7% 26.8% 2.64× 1.41
Tulane Green Wave under 85.5 69.8% 66.4% 90.2% 0.74× 1.51
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 53.5 69.9% 66.4% 76.3% 0.87× 1.51
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 61.5 64.3% 61.2% 47.9% 1.28× 1.63
Tulane Green Wave over 77.5 62.8% 61.2% 22.6% 2.71× 1.63
Tulane Green Wave under 83.5 62.1% 61.2% 87.7% 0.70× 1.63
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 55.5 61.7% 61.2% 70.8% 0.86× 1.63
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 59.5 55.8% 57.1% 41.2% 1.39× 1.75
Tulane Green Wave over 79.5 54.6% 52.3% 18.7% 2.79× 1.91
Tulane Green Wave under 81.5 53.8% 52.3% 84.6% 0.62× 1.91
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 57.5 53.0% 52.3% 65.1% 0.80× 1.91
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 58.5 51.5% 52.3% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
Tulane Green Wave over 80.5 50.4% 52.3% 17.1% 3.06× 1.91
Tulane Green Wave under 80.5 49.6% 47.7% 82.9% 0.58× 2.09
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 57.5 47.0% 47.7% 34.9% 1.37× 2.09
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 58.5 48.5% 47.7% 62.1% 0.77× 2.09
Tulane Green Wave under 79.5 45.4% 47.7% 81.3% 0.59× 2.09
Tulane Green Wave over 81.5 46.2% 47.7% 15.4% 3.09× 2.09
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 59.5 44.2% 42.9% 58.8% 0.73× 2.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 55.5 38.3% 38.8% 29.2% 1.33× 2.58
Tulane Green Wave under 77.5 37.2% 38.8% 77.4% 0.50× 2.58
Tulane Green Wave over 83.5 37.9% 38.8% 12.3% 3.15× 2.58
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 61.5 35.7% 38.8% 52.1% 0.74× 2.58
Tulane Green Wave over 85.5 30.2% 33.6% 9.8% 3.43× 2.98
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 53.5 30.1% 33.6% 23.7% 1.42× 2.98
Tulane Green Wave under 75.5 29.5% 29.3% 73.2% 0.40× 3.42
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 63.5 27.9% 29.3% 46.1% 0.64× 3.42
Tulane Green Wave under 73.5 22.7% 24.9% 68.5% 0.36× 4.02
Tulane Green Wave over 87.5 23.3% 24.9% 7.7% 3.24× 4.02
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 51.5 22.7% 24.9% 19.0% 1.31× 4.02
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 65.5 21.1% 24.9% 40.2% 0.62× 4.02
Tulane Green Wave under 70.5 14.3% 16.1% 60.3% 0.27× 6.21
Tulane Green Wave over 90.5 14.8% 16.1% 5.5% 2.94× 6.21
LSU New Orleans Privateers under 48.5 13.5% 16.1% 13.3% 1.21× 6.21
LSU New Orleans Privateers over 68.5 12.9% 16.1% 31.4% 0.51× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 159.5 points 91.8% 88.8% 93.3% 0.95× 1.13
Over 119.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 71.6% 1.24× 1.13
Under 154.5 points 85.4% 85.0% 89.8% 0.95× 1.18
Over 124.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 61.5% 1.31× 1.24
Under 149.5 points 76.5% 75.6% 84.9% 0.89× 1.32
Over 129.5 points 73.8% 70.8% 50.5% 1.40× 1.41
Under 146.5 points 69.8% 65.9% 80.9% 0.81× 1.52
Over 132.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 44.0% 1.50× 1.52
Under 144.5 points 65.0% 65.9% 78.1% 0.84× 1.52
Over 134.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 39.8% 1.54× 1.63
Under 142.5 points 59.9% 56.5% 75.1% 0.75× 1.77
Over 136.5 points 56.2% 56.5% 35.8% 1.58× 1.77
Under 140.5 points 54.6% 52.3% 71.8% 0.73× 1.91
Under 139.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 69.9% 0.75× 1.91
Over 138.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Under 138.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
Over 139.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 30.1% 1.58× 2.10
Over 140.5 points 45.4% 47.7% 28.2% 1.69× 2.10
Under 136.5 points 43.8% 43.5% 64.2% 0.68× 2.30
Over 142.5 points 40.1% 43.5% 24.9% 1.75× 2.30
Under 134.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 60.2% 0.64× 2.60
Over 144.5 points 35.0% 34.1% 21.9% 1.56× 2.93
Under 132.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 56.0% 0.61× 2.93
Over 146.5 points 30.2% 34.1% 19.1% 1.79× 2.93
Under 129.5 points 26.2% 29.2% 49.5% 0.59× 3.43
Over 149.5 points 23.5% 24.4% 15.1% 1.62× 4.10
Under 124.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 38.5% 0.50× 5.15
Over 154.5 points 14.6% 15.0% 10.2% 1.47× 6.68
Under 119.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 28.4% 0.39× 8.96
Over 159.5 points 8.2% 11.2% 6.7% 1.67× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win both halves 77.3% 77.1% 36.0% 2.14× 1.30
LSU New Orleans Privateers to win both halves 0.4% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.82
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave by 26+ 38.3% 40.0% 12.6% 3.17× 2.50
Tulane Green Wave by 21-25 17.9% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Tulane Green Wave by 16-20 16.7% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Tulane Green Wave by 11-15 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Tulane Green Wave by 6-10 8.0% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Tulane Green Wave by 1-5 4.2% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
LSU New Orleans Privateers by 1-5 1.5% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
LSU New Orleans Privateers by 6-10 0.5% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
LSU New Orleans Privateers by 11-15 0.1% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
LSU New Orleans Privateers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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