UC Davis Aggies v Alabama State Hornets — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

UC Davis Aggies

00:00

Alabama State Hornets

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

UC Davis Aggies win

87.2%

Draw

0.0%

Alabama State Hornets win

12.8%

87013

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	87013	80.02–68.20	80-68 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies to score 100+	2.3%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	282.90
UC Davis Aggies to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.33
UC Davis Aggies to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
UC Davis Aggies to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Alabama State Hornets to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.35
Alabama State Hornets to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.36
Alabama State Hornets to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Alabama State Hornets to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.35

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies to win H1	72.6%	72.9%	57.9%	1.26×	1.37
UC Davis Aggies to win H1	72.6%	72.9%	57.9%	1.26×	1.37
Alabama State Hornets to win H1	23.7%	21.4%	38.2%	0.56×	4.67
Alabama State Hornets to win H1	23.7%	21.4%	38.2%	0.56×	4.67
H1 tied	3.7%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	3.7%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 82.5	87.8%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
H1 over 58.5	86.3%	87.7%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
H1 under 78.5	79.2%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 under 78.5	78.5%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	77.0%	77.4%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	76.3%	77.4%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	70.0%	67.4%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
H1 under 75.5	69.4%	67.4%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
H1 over 65.5	67.3%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
H1 over 65.5	66.8%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
H1 under 73.5	62.9%	62.7%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
H1 under 73.5	62.5%	62.7%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
H1 over 67.5	60.0%	62.7%	54.4%	1.15×	1.59
H1 over 67.5	59.7%	58.2%	54.4%	1.07×	1.72
H1 under 71.5	55.4%	58.2%	60.0%	0.97×	1.72
H1 under 71.5	55.2%	58.2%	60.0%	0.97×	1.72
H1 over 69.5	52.4%	52.6%	46.9%	1.12×	1.90
H1 over 69.5	52.3%	52.6%	46.9%	1.12×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	51.5%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	51.4%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90
H1 over 70.5	48.5%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
H1 over 70.5	48.6%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
H1 under 69.5	47.6%	47.4%	53.1%	0.89×	2.11
H1 under 69.5	47.7%	47.4%	53.1%	0.89×	2.11
H1 over 71.5	44.6%	41.8%	40.0%	1.05×	2.39
H1 over 71.5	44.8%	41.8%	40.0%	1.05×	2.39
H1 under 67.5	40.3%	41.8%	45.6%	0.92×	2.39
H1 under 67.5	40.0%	37.3%	45.6%	0.82×	2.68
H1 over 73.5	37.1%	37.3%	33.4%	1.12×	2.68
H1 over 73.5	37.5%	37.3%	33.4%	1.12×	2.68
H1 under 65.5	33.2%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
H1 under 65.5	32.7%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	30.0%	32.6%	27.2%	1.20×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	30.6%	32.6%	27.2%	1.20×	3.07
H1 under 62.5	23.7%	22.6%	28.0%	0.80×	4.43
H1 under 62.5	23.0%	22.6%	28.0%	0.80×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	21.5%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	20.8%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 under 58.5	13.7%	12.3%	16.7%	0.74×	8.13
H1 over 82.5	12.2%	12.3%	11.1%	1.10×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies to win H2	74.2%	67.6%	56.9%	1.19×	1.48
UC Davis Aggies to win H2	74.2%	67.6%	57.5%	1.18×	1.48
Alabama State Hornets to win H2	22.4%	26.9%	38.5%	0.70×	3.72
Alabama State Hornets to win H2	22.3%	26.8%	38.9%	0.69×	3.72
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.36
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 90.5	86.3%	85.2%	83.6%	1.02×	1.17
H2 over 66.5	85.0%	81.8%	82.3%	0.99×	1.22
H2 under 86.5	77.7%	75.8%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
H2 under 86.5	77.1%	75.8%	75.7%	1.00×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	75.8%	75.8%	69.8%	1.09×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	75.2%	75.8%	71.9%	1.05×	1.32
H2 under 83.5	68.7%	66.4%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
H2 under 83.5	68.3%	66.4%	68.0%	0.98×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	66.4%	66.4%	60.4%	1.10×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	66.0%	66.4%	63.1%	1.05×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	62.0%	61.6%	65.8%	0.94×	1.62
H2 under 81.5	61.7%	61.6%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
H2 over 75.5	59.6%	57.3%	53.4%	1.07×	1.74
H2 over 75.5	59.3%	57.3%	56.4%	1.02×	1.74
H2 under 79.5	54.9%	52.4%	59.8%	0.88×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	54.8%	52.4%	56.2%	0.93×	1.91
H2 over 77.5	52.4%	52.4%	47.0%	1.12×	1.91
H2 over 77.5	52.3%	52.4%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	51.3%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	51.2%	52.4%	53.0%	0.99×	1.91
H2 over 78.5	48.7%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
H2 over 78.5	48.8%	47.6%	47.0%	1.01×	2.10
H2 under 77.5	47.6%	47.6%	53.0%	0.90×	2.10
H2 under 77.5	47.7%	47.6%	49.8%	0.96×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	45.1%	47.6%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	45.2%	47.6%	43.8%	1.09×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	40.7%	42.7%	43.6%	0.98×	2.35
H2 under 75.5	40.4%	42.7%	46.6%	0.91×	2.35
H2 over 81.5	38.0%	38.4%	34.2%	1.12×	2.61
H2 over 81.5	38.3%	38.4%	37.8%	1.02×	2.61
H2 under 73.5	33.6%	33.6%	39.6%	0.85×	2.97
H2 under 73.5	34.0%	33.6%	36.9%	0.91×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	31.7%	33.6%	32.0%	1.05×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	31.3%	33.6%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
H2 under 70.5	24.2%	24.2%	30.2%	0.80×	4.13
H2 under 70.5	24.8%	24.2%	28.1%	0.86×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	22.9%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	22.3%	24.2%	20.7%	1.17×	4.13
H2 under 66.5	15.0%	18.2%	17.7%	1.03×	5.50
H2 over 90.5	13.7%	14.8%	16.4%	0.90×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies leading at half time	72.6%	73.5%	57.9%	1.27×	1.36
Alabama State Hornets leading at half time	23.7%	21.0%	38.2%	0.55×	4.77
Level at half time	3.7%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies +16.5	99.6%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +18.5	99.8%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +20.5	99.9%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +6.5	95.5%	97.4%	78.8%	1.24×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +7.5	96.3%	97.4%	81.0%	1.20×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +8.5	97.0%	97.4%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +9.5	97.6%	97.4%	85.3%	1.14×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +10.5	98.1%	97.4%	87.2%	1.12×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +12.5	98.8%	97.4%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +14.5	99.3%	97.4%	92.2%	1.06×	1.03
UC Davis Aggies +5.5	94.6%	91.1%	76.4%	1.19×	1.10
UC Davis Aggies +3.5	92.2%	91.1%	70.8%	1.29×	1.10
UC Davis Aggies +4.5	93.4%	91.1%	73.7%	1.24×	1.10
UC Davis Aggies +2.5	90.7%	91.1%	68.0%	1.34×	1.10
UC Davis Aggies +1.5	89.0%	85.9%	65.4%	1.31×	1.16
UC Davis Aggies −1.5	84.9%	81.1%	60.8%	1.33×	1.23
UC Davis Aggies −2.5	82.4%	81.1%	57.7%	1.41×	1.23
UC Davis Aggies −3.5	79.7%	76.5%	54.1%	1.41×	1.31
Alabama State Hornets +20.5	78.7%	76.5%	86.5%	0.88×	1.31
UC Davis Aggies −4.5	76.8%	76.5%	50.7%	1.51×	1.31
UC Davis Aggies −5.5	73.7%	71.6%	47.0%	1.52×	1.40
Alabama State Hornets +18.5	72.9%	71.6%	83.9%	0.85×	1.40
UC Davis Aggies −6.5	70.4%	71.6%	44.3%	1.62×	1.40
UC Davis Aggies −7.5	67.0%	66.7%	41.3%	1.61×	1.50
Alabama State Hornets +16.5	66.3%	66.7%	80.7%	0.83×	1.50
UC Davis Aggies −8.5	63.4%	61.9%	38.5%	1.61×	1.62
UC Davis Aggies −9.5	59.7%	57.1%	35.5%	1.61×	1.75
Alabama State Hornets +14.5	59.1%	57.1%	77.2%	0.74×	1.75
UC Davis Aggies −10.5	56.0%	57.1%	32.6%	1.75×	1.75
Alabama State Hornets +12.5	51.6%	52.4%	72.4%	0.72×	1.91
UC Davis Aggies −12.5	48.4%	47.6%	27.6%	1.72×	2.10
Alabama State Hornets +10.5	44.0%	42.9%	67.4%	0.64×	2.33
Alabama State Hornets +9.5	40.3%	42.9%	64.5%	0.67×	2.33
UC Davis Aggies −14.5	40.9%	42.9%	22.8%	1.88×	2.33
Alabama State Hornets +8.5	36.6%	38.1%	61.5%	0.62×	2.63
Alabama State Hornets +7.5	33.0%	33.3%	58.7%	0.57×	3.01
UC Davis Aggies −16.5	33.7%	33.3%	19.3%	1.72×	3.01
Alabama State Hornets +6.5	29.6%	28.4%	55.7%	0.51×	3.53
UC Davis Aggies −18.5	27.1%	28.4%	16.1%	1.76×	3.53
Alabama State Hornets +5.5	26.3%	28.4%	53.0%	0.54×	3.53
Alabama State Hornets +4.5	23.2%	23.5%	49.3%	0.48×	4.25
Alabama State Hornets +3.5	20.3%	23.5%	45.9%	0.51×	4.25
UC Davis Aggies −20.5	21.3%	23.5%	13.5%	1.75×	4.25
Alabama State Hornets +2.5	17.6%	18.9%	42.3%	0.45×	5.29
Alabama State Hornets +1.5	15.1%	18.9%	39.2%	0.48×	5.30
Alabama State Hornets −1.5	11.0%	14.1%	34.6%	0.41×	7.09
Alabama State Hornets −2.5	9.3%	8.9%	32.0%	0.28×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −3.5	7.8%	8.9%	29.3%	0.30×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −4.5	6.6%	8.9%	26.3%	0.34×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −5.5	5.4%	8.9%	23.6%	0.38×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −6.5	4.5%	2.6%	21.2%	0.12×	38.72
Alabama State Hornets −7.5	3.7%	2.6%	19.0%	0.14×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −8.5	3.0%	2.6%	16.7%	0.16×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −9.5	2.4%	2.6%	14.7%	0.18×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −10.5	1.9%	2.6%	12.8%	0.20×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −12.5	1.2%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −14.5	0.7%	2.6%	7.8%	0.33×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −16.5	0.4%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −18.5	0.2%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −20.5	0.1%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	79.3%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	77.8%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	22.2%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	20.7%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies at HT / UC Davis Aggies at FT	68.3%	68.3%	48.6%	1.41×	1.47
Alabama State Hornets at HT / UC Davis Aggies at FT	15.8%	15.4%	12.4%	1.25×	6.47
Alabama State Hornets at HT / Alabama State Hornets at FT	7.9%	8.3%	25.8%	0.32×	12.09
UC Davis Aggies at HT / Alabama State Hornets at FT	4.2%	2.1%	9.3%	0.22×	47.72
Level at HT / UC Davis Aggies at FT	3.0%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.74
Level at HT / Alabama State Hornets at FT	0.7%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies to win	87.2%	85.5%	63.2%	1.35×	1.17
Alabama State Hornets to win	12.8%	14.5%	36.8%	0.39×	6.91

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Alabama State Hornets even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.0%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
UC Davis Aggies odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Alabama State Hornets odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	49.0%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.5%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.5%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.66

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alabama State Hornets under 78.5	86.3%	83.9%	73.7%	1.14×	1.19
UC Davis Aggies under 90.5	85.6%	83.9%	88.1%	0.95×	1.19
UC Davis Aggies over 70.5	84.0%	80.7%	66.7%	1.21×	1.24
Alabama State Hornets over 58.5	84.4%	80.7%	86.2%	0.94×	1.24
Alabama State Hornets under 75.5	78.2%	75.1%	64.7%	1.16×	1.33
UC Davis Aggies under 87.5	77.5%	75.1%	82.8%	0.91×	1.33
UC Davis Aggies over 73.5	75.4%	75.1%	57.4%	1.31×	1.33
Alabama State Hornets over 61.5	75.6%	75.1%	79.3%	0.95×	1.33
Alabama State Hornets under 73.5	71.5%	70.7%	58.3%	1.21×	1.41
UC Davis Aggies under 85.5	70.8%	70.7%	78.6%	0.90×	1.41
UC Davis Aggies over 75.5	68.5%	66.4%	51.0%	1.30×	1.51
Alabama State Hornets over 63.5	68.5%	66.4%	73.9%	0.90×	1.51
Alabama State Hornets under 71.5	64.0%	61.2%	51.8%	1.18×	1.63
UC Davis Aggies under 83.5	63.4%	61.2%	73.5%	0.83×	1.63
UC Davis Aggies over 77.5	60.8%	61.2%	44.6%	1.37×	1.63
Alabama State Hornets over 65.5	60.7%	61.2%	67.8%	0.90×	1.63
Alabama State Hornets under 69.5	55.9%	57.1%	45.2%	1.26×	1.75
UC Davis Aggies under 81.5	55.4%	57.1%	67.9%	0.84×	1.75
UC Davis Aggies over 79.5	52.8%	52.3%	38.4%	1.36×	1.91
UC Davis Aggies under 80.5	51.3%	52.3%	64.9%	0.81×	1.91
Alabama State Hornets over 67.5	52.5%	52.3%	61.6%	0.85×	1.91
Alabama State Hornets under 68.5	51.7%	52.3%	41.6%	1.26×	1.91
UC Davis Aggies under 79.5	47.2%	47.7%	61.6%	0.78×	2.09
UC Davis Aggies over 80.5	48.7%	47.7%	35.1%	1.36×	2.09
Alabama State Hornets under 67.5	47.5%	47.7%	38.4%	1.24×	2.09
Alabama State Hornets over 68.5	48.3%	47.7%	58.4%	0.82×	2.09
UC Davis Aggies over 81.5	44.6%	42.9%	32.1%	1.34×	2.33
Alabama State Hornets over 69.5	44.1%	42.9%	54.8%	0.78×	2.33
UC Davis Aggies under 77.5	39.2%	38.8%	55.4%	0.70×	2.58
Alabama State Hornets under 65.5	39.3%	38.8%	32.2%	1.21×	2.58
UC Davis Aggies over 83.5	36.6%	38.8%	26.5%	1.47×	2.58
Alabama State Hornets over 71.5	36.0%	38.8%	48.2%	0.81×	2.58
UC Davis Aggies under 75.5	31.5%	33.6%	49.0%	0.69×	2.98
Alabama State Hornets under 63.5	31.5%	33.6%	26.1%	1.29×	2.98
UC Davis Aggies over 85.5	29.2%	29.3%	21.4%	1.37×	3.42
Alabama State Hornets over 73.5	28.5%	29.3%	41.7%	0.70×	3.42
UC Davis Aggies under 73.5	24.6%	24.9%	42.6%	0.58×	4.02
Alabama State Hornets under 61.5	24.4%	24.9%	20.7%	1.20×	4.02
UC Davis Aggies over 87.5	22.5%	24.9%	17.2%	1.45×	4.02
Alabama State Hornets over 75.5	21.8%	24.9%	35.3%	0.71×	4.02
UC Davis Aggies under 70.5	16.0%	19.3%	33.3%	0.58×	5.18
Alabama State Hornets under 58.5	15.6%	19.3%	13.8%	1.40×	5.18
UC Davis Aggies over 90.5	14.4%	16.1%	11.9%	1.35×	6.21
Alabama State Hornets over 78.5	13.7%	16.1%	26.3%	0.61×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 128.5 points	89.2%	85.0%	84.5%	1.01×	1.18
Under 168.5 points	89.7%	85.0%	86.7%	0.98×	1.18
Under 163.5 points	83.0%	80.6%	80.9%	1.00×	1.24
Over 133.5 points	82.2%	80.6%	76.4%	1.05×	1.24
Under 158.5 points	73.9%	70.8%	73.3%	0.97×	1.41
Over 138.5 points	72.9%	70.8%	67.0%	1.06×	1.41
Under 155.5 points	67.5%	65.9%	68.1%	0.97×	1.52
Over 141.5 points	66.3%	65.9%	60.4%	1.09×	1.52
Under 153.5 points	62.9%	61.5%	64.6%	0.95×	1.63
Over 143.5 points	61.7%	61.5%	56.3%	1.09×	1.63
Under 151.5 points	58.1%	56.5%	60.6%	0.93×	1.77
Over 145.5 points	56.8%	56.5%	51.8%	1.09×	1.77
Over 147.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	47.8%	1.09×	1.91
Under 149.5 points	53.1%	52.3%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Under 148.5 points	50.6%	52.3%	54.3%	0.96×	1.91
Over 148.5 points	49.4%	47.7%	45.7%	1.04×	2.10
Under 147.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	52.2%	0.91×	2.10
Over 149.5 points	46.9%	47.7%	43.7%	1.09×	2.10
Under 145.5 points	43.2%	43.5%	48.2%	0.90×	2.30
Over 151.5 points	41.9%	43.5%	39.4%	1.10×	2.30
Under 143.5 points	38.3%	38.5%	43.7%	0.88×	2.60
Over 153.5 points	37.1%	38.5%	35.4%	1.09×	2.60
Under 141.5 points	33.7%	34.1%	39.6%	0.86×	2.93
Over 155.5 points	32.5%	34.1%	31.9%	1.07×	2.93
Under 138.5 points	27.1%	29.2%	33.0%	0.88×	3.43
Over 158.5 points	26.1%	29.2%	26.7%	1.09×	3.43
Under 133.5 points	17.8%	19.4%	23.6%	0.82×	5.15
Over 163.5 points	17.0%	19.4%	19.1%	1.02×	5.15
Under 128.5 points	10.8%	15.0%	15.5%	0.97×	6.69
Over 168.5 points	10.3%	15.0%	13.3%	1.12×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies to win both halves	51.3%	50.4%	33.2%	1.52×	1.99
Alabama State Hornets to win both halves	3.2%	3.0%	14.5%	0.20×	33.64

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UC Davis Aggies by 6-10	17.7%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.97
UC Davis Aggies by 11-15	18.7%	16.8%	11.6%	1.45×	5.97
UC Davis Aggies by 16-20	16.0%	16.8%	7.6%	2.20×	5.97
UC Davis Aggies by 1-5	13.5%	12.3%	16.2%	0.76×	8.11
UC Davis Aggies by 21-25	11.0%	12.3%	5.6%	2.22×	8.11
UC Davis Aggies by 26+	10.2%	12.3%	7.9%	1.56×	8.11
Alabama State Hornets by 1-5	7.4%	7.5%	13.2%	0.57×	13.40
Alabama State Hornets by 6-10	3.5%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.30
Alabama State Hornets by 11-15	1.4%	2.0%	6.1%	0.34×	49.32
Alabama State Hornets by 16-20	0.4%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.32
Alabama State Hornets by 21-25	0.1%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.33
Alabama State Hornets by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.33

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