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UNC Asheville Bulldogs v Queens University Royals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs win
64.5%
Draw
0.0%
Queens University Royals win
35.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 61.95–57.82 62-58 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win H1 56.6% 57.3% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Queens University Royals to win H1 39.0% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 89.0% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 88.3% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 79.2% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 78.6% 77.4% 63.9% 1.21× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 69.5% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 68.9% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 54.5 62.1% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 61.6% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 54.2% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 53.8% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 50.2% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 49.8% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 45.8% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 46.2% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 54.5 37.9% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 38.4% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 31.1% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 52.5 30.5% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 21.4% 22.6% 36.1% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 49.5 20.8% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 under 45.5 11.0% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 11.7% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win H2 57.2% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Queens University Royals to win H2 38.6% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 75.5 88.2% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 51.5 86.9% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 79.0% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 76.6% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 69.9% 66.4% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 66.8% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 63.0% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 59.6% 57.3% 74.5% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 55.6% 57.3% 37.9% 1.51× 1.74
H2 over 62.5 52.0% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 51.8% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 48.0% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 48.2% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 44.4% 42.7% 62.1% 0.69× 2.34
H2 under 60.5 40.4% 42.7% 25.5% 1.67× 2.35
H2 over 66.5 37.0% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 33.2% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 30.1% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.97
H2 under 55.5 23.4% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 21.0% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 13.1% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 11.8% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs leading at half time 56.6% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Queens University Royals leading at half time 39.0% 37.9% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +16.5 96.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +18.5 98.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +20.5 98.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +14.5 95.3% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Queens University Royals +20.5 93.4% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +12.5 93.1% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Queens University Royals +18.5 90.6% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +10.5 90.3% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +9.5 88.6% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Queens University Royals +16.5 87.1% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +8.5 86.7% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +7.5 84.7% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +6.5 82.4% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Queens University Royals +14.5 82.7% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +5.5 79.9% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Queens University Royals +12.5 77.5% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +4.5 77.2% 76.5% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +3.5 74.3% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +2.5 71.2% 71.6% 63.3% 1.13× 1.40
Queens University Royals +10.5 71.6% 71.6% 63.2% 1.13× 1.40
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +1.5 67.9% 66.7% 61.2% 1.09× 1.50
Queens University Royals +9.5 68.3% 66.7% 60.7% 1.10× 1.50
Queens University Royals +8.5 64.9% 61.9% 58.0% 1.07× 1.62
Queens University Royals +7.5 61.4% 61.9% 55.2% 1.12× 1.62
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −1.5 60.9% 61.9% 58.7% 1.05× 1.62
Queens University Royals +6.5 57.8% 57.1% 52.4% 1.09× 1.75
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −2.5 57.2% 57.1% 56.7% 1.01× 1.75
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −3.5 53.4% 52.4% 54.2% 0.97× 1.91
Queens University Royals +5.5 54.1% 52.4% 50.3% 1.04× 1.91
Queens University Royals +4.5 50.3% 52.4% 47.8% 1.10× 1.91
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −4.5 49.7% 47.6% 52.2% 0.91× 2.10
Queens University Royals +3.5 46.6% 47.6% 45.8% 1.04× 2.10
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −5.5 45.9% 47.6% 49.7% 0.96× 2.10
Queens University Royals +2.5 42.8% 42.9% 43.3% 0.99× 2.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −6.5 42.2% 42.9% 47.6% 0.90× 2.33
Queens University Royals +1.5 39.1% 38.1% 41.3% 0.92× 2.63
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −7.5 38.6% 38.1% 44.8% 0.85× 2.63
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −8.5 35.1% 38.1% 42.0% 0.91× 2.63
Queens University Royals −1.5 32.1% 33.3% 38.8% 0.86× 3.01
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −9.5 31.7% 33.3% 39.3% 0.85× 3.01
Queens University Royals −2.5 28.8% 28.4% 36.7% 0.77× 3.53
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −10.5 28.4% 28.4% 36.8% 0.77× 3.53
Queens University Royals −3.5 25.7% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
Queens University Royals −4.5 22.8% 23.5% 32.2% 0.73× 4.25
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −12.5 22.5% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Queens University Royals −5.5 20.1% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
Queens University Royals −6.5 17.6% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −14.5 17.3% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.29
Queens University Royals −7.5 15.3% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.30
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −16.5 12.9% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Queens University Royals −8.5 13.3% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Queens University Royals −9.5 11.4% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −18.5 9.4% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Queens University Royals −10.5 9.7% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −20.5 6.6% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Queens University Royals −12.5 6.9% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Queens University Royals −14.5 4.7% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.72
Queens University Royals −16.5 3.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Queens University Royals −18.5 2.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Queens University Royals −20.5 1.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs at HT / UNC Asheville Bulldogs at FT 46.4% 46.6% 48.3% 0.97× 2.15
Queens University Royals at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 23.5% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.09
Queens University Royals at HT / UNC Asheville Bulldogs at FT 15.4% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
UNC Asheville Bulldogs at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 10.2% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / UNC Asheville Bulldogs at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win 64.5% 60.7% 59.9% 1.01× 1.65
Queens University Royals to win 35.5% 39.3% 40.1% 0.98× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
UNC Asheville Bulldogs even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Queens University Royals even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
UNC Asheville Bulldogs odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Queens University Royals odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.1% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.9% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q1 52.9% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Queens University Royals to win Q1 41.0% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 89.8% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 86.8% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.6% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 74.7% 72.7% 81.8% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 under 32.5 70.2% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 64.3% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 59.2% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 53.3% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 52.7% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 47.3% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 46.7% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 40.8% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 35.7% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 29.8% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.3% 27.3% 18.2% 1.50× 3.67
Q1 over 34.5 20.4% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 13.2% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.2% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q2 52.8% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Queens University Royals to win Q2 41.2% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 88.9% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 87.9% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 78.0% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 76.5% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 68.1% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 66.5% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 56.8% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 55.1% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 50.9% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 49.1% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 44.9% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 43.2% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 33.5% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 31.9% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 23.5% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 22.0% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 12.1% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.89
Q2 under 20.5 11.1% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q3 53.4% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Queens University Royals to win Q3 40.7% 42.2% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 87.9% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.7% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 76.7% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 76.6% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 66.9% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 66.8% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 55.8% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 55.8% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 50.0% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 50.0% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 44.2% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 32.5 44.2% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 33.1% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 33.2% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 23.4% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 23.3% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 12.3% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q3 under 23.5 12.1% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q4 53.3% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.94
Queens University Royals to win Q4 40.9% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 86.7% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 86.1% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 75.7% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 75.0% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 66.3% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 65.6% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 55.8% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 55.1% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 50.4% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 49.6% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 44.9% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 44.2% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 34.5 34.4% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 33.7% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 25.0% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 24.3% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 13.9% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Q4 under 23.5 13.3% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens University Royals over 48.5 86.2% 83.9% 86.7% 0.97× 1.19
Queens University Royals under 68.5 87.1% 83.9% 68.6% 1.22× 1.19
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 52.5 85.2% 83.9% 87.7% 0.96× 1.19
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 72.5 85.9% 83.9% 65.7% 1.28× 1.19
Queens University Royals under 65.5 79.0% 75.1% 59.8% 1.26× 1.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 55.5 76.5% 75.1% 81.6% 0.92× 1.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 69.5 77.6% 75.1% 57.4% 1.31× 1.33
Queens University Royals over 51.5 76.9% 75.1% 81.0% 0.93× 1.33
Queens University Royals under 63.5 72.3% 70.7% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 67.5 70.8% 70.7% 51.3% 1.38× 1.41
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 57.5 69.4% 66.4% 77.2% 0.86× 1.51
Queens University Royals over 53.5 69.5% 66.4% 76.3% 0.87× 1.51
Queens University Royals under 61.5 64.6% 61.2% 47.9% 1.28× 1.63
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 65.5 63.2% 61.2% 44.7% 1.37× 1.63
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 59.5 61.7% 61.2% 72.2% 0.85× 1.63
Queens University Royals over 55.5 61.2% 61.2% 70.8% 0.86× 1.63
Queens University Royals under 59.5 56.2% 57.1% 41.2% 1.39× 1.75
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 63.5 55.0% 57.1% 38.5% 1.48× 1.75
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 61.5 53.4% 52.3% 66.9% 0.78× 1.91
Queens University Royals over 57.5 52.5% 52.3% 65.1% 0.80× 1.91
Queens University Royals under 58.5 51.8% 52.3% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 62.5 50.8% 52.3% 35.7% 1.46× 1.91
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 62.5 49.2% 47.7% 64.3% 0.74× 2.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 61.5 46.6% 47.7% 33.1% 1.44× 2.09
Queens University Royals under 57.5 47.5% 47.7% 34.9% 1.37× 2.09
Queens University Royals over 58.5 48.2% 47.7% 62.1% 0.77× 2.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 63.5 45.0% 42.9% 61.5% 0.70× 2.33
Queens University Royals over 59.5 43.8% 42.9% 58.8% 0.73× 2.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 59.5 38.3% 38.8% 27.8% 1.39× 2.58
Queens University Royals under 55.5 38.8% 38.8% 29.2% 1.33× 2.58
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 65.5 36.8% 38.8% 55.3% 0.70× 2.58
Queens University Royals over 61.5 35.4% 38.8% 52.1% 0.74× 2.58
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 57.5 30.6% 33.6% 22.8% 1.47× 2.98
Queens University Royals under 53.5 30.5% 33.6% 23.7% 1.42× 2.98
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 67.5 29.2% 29.3% 48.7% 0.60× 3.42
Queens University Royals over 63.5 27.7% 29.3% 46.1% 0.64× 3.42
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 55.5 23.5% 24.9% 18.5% 1.35× 4.02
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 69.5 22.4% 24.9% 42.6% 0.58× 4.02
Queens University Royals under 51.5 23.1% 24.9% 19.0% 1.31× 4.02
Queens University Royals over 65.5 21.0% 24.9% 40.2% 0.62× 4.02
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 52.5 14.8% 16.1% 12.3% 1.30× 6.21
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 72.5 14.1% 16.1% 34.3% 0.47× 6.21
Queens University Royals under 48.5 13.8% 16.1% 13.3% 1.21× 6.21
Queens University Royals over 68.5 12.9% 16.1% 31.4% 0.51× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 141.5 points 92.2% 88.8% 73.4% 1.21× 1.13
Over 101.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 94.8% 0.94× 1.13
Under 136.5 points 86.1% 85.0% 64.2% 1.32× 1.18
Over 106.5 points 83.7% 80.6% 91.0% 0.89× 1.24
Under 131.5 points 77.4% 75.6% 53.9% 1.40× 1.32
Over 111.5 points 73.2% 70.8% 85.1% 0.83× 1.41
Under 128.5 points 70.8% 70.8% 47.2% 1.50× 1.41
Over 114.5 points 65.9% 65.9% 80.4% 0.82× 1.52
Under 126.5 points 66.0% 65.9% 42.6% 1.54× 1.52
Under 124.5 points 60.9% 61.5% 38.5% 1.60× 1.63
Over 116.5 points 60.6% 61.5% 77.2% 0.80× 1.63
Over 118.5 points 55.2% 56.5% 73.6% 0.77× 1.77
Under 122.5 points 55.6% 56.5% 34.4% 1.64× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 50.2% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 49.8% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 118.5 points 44.8% 43.5% 26.4% 1.64× 2.30
Over 122.5 points 44.4% 43.5% 65.6% 0.66× 2.30
Under 116.5 points 39.4% 38.5% 22.8% 1.69× 2.60
Over 124.5 points 39.1% 38.5% 61.5% 0.63× 2.60
Under 114.5 points 34.1% 34.1% 19.6% 1.74× 2.93
Over 126.5 points 34.0% 34.1% 57.4% 0.59× 2.93
Over 128.5 points 29.2% 29.2% 52.8% 0.55× 3.43
Under 111.5 points 26.8% 29.2% 14.9% 1.95× 3.43
Over 131.5 points 22.6% 24.4% 46.1% 0.53× 4.10
Under 106.5 points 16.3% 19.4% 9.0% 2.16× 5.15
Over 136.5 points 13.9% 15.0% 35.8% 0.42× 6.68
Under 101.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 5.2% 2.15× 8.96
Over 141.5 points 7.8% 11.2% 26.6% 0.42× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win both halves 29.2% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Queens University Royals to win both halves 12.1% 14.0% 20.4% 0.69× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 1-5 18.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 6-10 17.5% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Queens University Royals by 1-5 15.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 11-15 13.4% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Queens University Royals by 6-10 10.5% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 16-20 8.4% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Queens University Royals by 11-15 5.8% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 21-25 4.2% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.29
Queens University Royals by 16-20 2.6% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
Queens University Royals by 21-25 0.9% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 26+ 2.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Queens University Royals by 26+ 0.3% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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