Utah Jazz v San Antonio Spurs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Utah Jazz

21:00

San Antonio Spurs

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Utah Jazz win

11.5%

Draw

0.0%

San Antonio Spurs win

88.5%

12088

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	12088	111.60–128.60	112-129 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to score 100+	99.4%	94.9%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
San Antonio Spurs to score 110+	95.0%	94.8%	60.9%	1.56×	1.05
Utah Jazz to score 100+	84.6%	79.3%	89.3%	0.89×	1.26
Both sides to score 100+	84.2%	79.3%	77.5%	1.02×	1.26
San Antonio Spurs to score 120+	78.6%	77.0%	29.7%	2.60×	1.30
Utah Jazz to score 110+	56.7%	56.3%	67.0%	0.84×	1.78
San Antonio Spurs to score 130+	47.4%	47.0%	10.0%	4.71×	2.13
Utah Jazz to score 120+	24.7%	22.0%	36.5%	0.60×	4.54
Utah Jazz to score 130+	6.3%	8.8%	12.8%	0.68×	11.38

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win H1	76.7%	79.2%	44.1%	1.79×	1.26
Utah Jazz to win H1	20.7%	21.4%	52.8%	0.40×	4.68
H1 tied	2.6%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.87

H1 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 106.5	82.1%	83.2%	73.3%	1.14×	1.20
H1 under 130.5	81.7%	83.2%	89.6%	0.93×	1.20
H1 under 133.5	82.7%	82.5%	93.1%	0.89×	1.21
H1 over 109.5	81.6%	82.5%	65.0%	1.27×	1.21
H1 over 110.5	73.1%	74.0%	61.9%	1.19×	1.35
H1 under 129.5	73.8%	73.5%	88.1%	0.83×	1.36
H1 over 113.5	72.4%	73.5%	52.4%	1.40×	1.36
H1 under 126.5	65.7%	67.4%	82.8%	0.81×	1.48
H1 under 123.5	64.6%	63.3%	76.0%	0.83×	1.58
H1 over 116.5	64.2%	62.7%	43.4%	1.44×	1.59
H1 under 124.5	59.9%	58.2%	78.4%	0.74×	1.72
H1 over 118.5	58.3%	58.2%	37.1%	1.57×	1.72
H1 over 115.5	59.3%	58.2%	46.4%	1.25×	1.72
H1 under 122.5	53.9%	52.6%	74.0%	0.71×	1.90
H1 over 120.5	52.2%	52.6%	31.6%	1.67×	1.90
H1 under 121.5	50.8%	52.6%	71.2%	0.74×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	53.3%	52.5%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 under 119.5	52.7%	52.5%	65.9%	0.80×	1.90
H1 over 119.5	47.3%	47.5%	34.1%	1.39×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	46.7%	47.5%	59.6%	0.80×	2.11
H1 over 121.5	49.2%	47.4%	28.8%	1.64×	2.11
H1 under 120.5	47.8%	47.4%	68.4%	0.69×	2.11
H1 over 122.5	46.1%	47.4%	26.0%	1.82×	2.11
H1 under 115.5	40.7%	41.8%	53.6%	0.78×	2.39
H1 under 118.5	41.7%	41.8%	62.9%	0.66×	2.39
H1 over 124.5	40.1%	41.8%	21.7%	1.93×	2.39
H1 under 116.5	35.8%	37.3%	56.6%	0.66×	2.68
H1 over 123.5	35.4%	36.7%	24.0%	1.53×	2.72
H1 over 126.5	34.3%	32.6%	17.2%	1.89×	3.07
H1 under 113.5	27.6%	26.5%	47.6%	0.56×	3.77
H1 over 129.5	26.2%	26.5%	11.9%	2.24×	3.77
H1 under 110.5	26.9%	26.0%	38.1%	0.68×	3.84
H1 under 109.5	18.4%	17.5%	35.0%	0.50×	5.72
H1 over 133.5	17.3%	17.5%	6.9%	2.54×	5.73
H1 over 130.5	18.3%	16.8%	10.4%	1.62×	5.96
H1 under 106.5	17.9%	16.8%	26.7%	0.63×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win H2	76.4%	73.9%	44.7%	1.65×	1.35
Utah Jazz to win H2	21.0%	26.8%	51.6%	0.52×	3.73
H2 tied	2.7%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.37

H2 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 131.5	83.5%	81.8%	90.1%	0.91×	1.22
H2 over 107.5	81.3%	81.8%	66.2%	1.24×	1.22
H2 under 128.5	82.4%	81.5%	86.3%	0.95×	1.23
H2 over 104.5	81.9%	81.5%	73.9%	1.10×	1.23
H2 over 108.5	72.8%	72.5%	63.8%	1.14×	1.38
H2 under 127.5	74.6%	72.2%	84.9%	0.85×	1.39
H2 over 111.5	71.9%	72.2%	55.3%	1.30×	1.39
H2 under 124.5	66.6%	66.4%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
H2 under 121.5	65.3%	64.4%	72.0%	0.89×	1.55
H2 over 114.5	63.6%	61.6%	47.5%	1.30×	1.62
H2 under 122.5	60.8%	61.6%	74.4%	0.83×	1.62
H2 over 113.5	58.8%	58.0%	49.9%	1.16×	1.72
H2 over 116.5	57.6%	57.3%	41.9%	1.37×	1.74
H2 under 120.5	54.7%	52.4%	69.3%	0.76×	1.91
H2 under 119.5	51.6%	52.4%	66.4%	0.79×	1.91
H2 over 118.5	51.5%	52.4%	36.4%	1.44×	1.91
H2 under 117.5	53.4%	52.1%	61.1%	0.85×	1.92
H2 over 115.5	52.7%	52.0%	44.6%	1.17×	1.92
H2 under 115.5	47.3%	48.0%	55.4%	0.87×	2.09
H2 over 117.5	46.6%	47.9%	38.9%	1.23×	2.09
H2 over 119.5	48.4%	47.6%	33.6%	1.42×	2.10
H2 under 118.5	48.5%	47.6%	63.6%	0.75×	2.10
H2 over 120.5	45.3%	47.6%	30.7%	1.55×	2.10
H2 under 116.5	42.4%	42.7%	58.1%	0.73×	2.34
H2 under 113.5	41.2%	42.0%	50.1%	0.84×	2.38
H2 over 122.5	39.2%	38.4%	25.6%	1.50×	2.61
H2 under 114.5	36.4%	38.4%	52.5%	0.73×	2.61
H2 over 121.5	34.7%	35.6%	28.0%	1.27×	2.81
H2 over 124.5	33.4%	33.6%	20.9%	1.61×	2.97
H2 under 111.5	28.1%	27.8%	44.7%	0.62×	3.59
H2 over 127.5	25.4%	27.8%	15.1%	1.84×	3.59
H2 under 108.5	27.2%	27.5%	36.2%	0.76×	3.63
H2 under 104.5	18.1%	18.5%	26.1%	0.71×	5.41
H2 over 128.5	17.6%	18.5%	13.7%	1.35×	5.41
H2 under 107.5	18.7%	18.2%	33.8%	0.54×	5.50
H2 over 131.5	16.5%	18.2%	9.9%	1.83×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs leading at half time	76.7%	79.7%	44.1%	1.81×	1.26
Utah Jazz leading at half time	20.7%	20.9%	52.8%	0.40×	4.78
Level at half time	2.6%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs +20.5	99.5%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +12.5	97.9%	97.4%	76.0%	1.28×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +14.5	98.5%	97.4%	80.1%	1.22×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +16.5	98.9%	97.4%	83.5%	1.17×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +18.5	99.3%	97.4%	86.4%	1.13×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +8.5	96.0%	97.4%	65.9%	1.48×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +9.5	96.6%	97.4%	68.7%	1.42×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +10.5	97.1%	97.4%	71.0%	1.37×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +7.5	95.4%	97.4%	63.0%	1.55×	1.03
San Antonio Spurs +6.5	94.7%	91.1%	60.0%	1.52×	1.10
San Antonio Spurs +4.5	93.0%	91.1%	54.1%	1.69×	1.10
San Antonio Spurs +5.5	93.9%	91.1%	57.1%	1.60×	1.10
San Antonio Spurs +2.5	90.9%	91.1%	49.1%	1.86×	1.10
San Antonio Spurs +3.5	92.0%	91.1%	51.6%	1.77×	1.10
San Antonio Spurs +1.5	89.8%	85.9%	46.3%	1.85×	1.16
San Antonio Spurs −1.5	86.9%	85.9%	42.1%	2.04×	1.16
San Antonio Spurs −2.5	85.3%	85.9%	39.5%	2.17×	1.16
San Antonio Spurs −3.5	83.6%	81.1%	36.9%	2.20×	1.23
San Antonio Spurs −4.5	81.7%	81.1%	34.3%	2.37×	1.23
San Antonio Spurs −5.5	79.7%	76.5%	32.0%	2.39×	1.31
San Antonio Spurs −6.5	77.6%	76.5%	29.4%	2.60×	1.31
San Antonio Spurs −7.5	75.4%	76.5%	27.0%	2.83×	1.31
San Antonio Spurs −8.5	73.1%	71.6%	24.3%	2.95×	1.40
San Antonio Spurs −9.5	70.7%	71.6%	21.9%	3.28×	1.40
San Antonio Spurs −10.5	68.2%	66.7%	19.7%	3.38×	1.50
San Antonio Spurs −12.5	63.1%	61.9%	16.1%	3.84×	1.62
Utah Jazz +20.5	59.0%	57.1%	93.1%	0.61×	1.75
San Antonio Spurs −14.5	57.6%	57.1%	13.0%	4.39×	1.75
Utah Jazz +18.5	53.5%	52.4%	91.5%	0.57×	1.91
San Antonio Spurs −16.5	52.1%	52.4%	10.3%	5.07×	1.91
Utah Jazz +16.5	47.9%	47.6%	89.7%	0.53×	2.10
San Antonio Spurs −18.5	46.5%	47.6%	8.5%	5.59×	2.10
Utah Jazz +14.5	42.4%	42.9%	87.0%	0.49×	2.33
San Antonio Spurs −20.5	41.0%	42.9%	6.9%	6.23×	2.33
Utah Jazz +12.5	36.9%	38.1%	83.9%	0.45×	2.63
Utah Jazz +10.5	31.8%	33.3%	80.3%	0.41×	3.01
Utah Jazz +9.5	29.3%	28.4%	78.1%	0.36×	3.53
Utah Jazz +8.5	26.9%	28.4%	75.7%	0.37×	3.53
Utah Jazz +7.5	24.6%	23.5%	73.0%	0.32×	4.25
Utah Jazz +6.5	22.4%	23.5%	70.6%	0.33×	4.25
Utah Jazz +5.5	20.3%	23.5%	68.0%	0.35×	4.25
Utah Jazz +4.5	18.3%	18.9%	65.7%	0.29×	5.29
Utah Jazz +3.5	16.4%	18.9%	63.1%	0.30×	5.30
Utah Jazz +2.5	14.7%	14.1%	60.5%	0.23×	7.09
Utah Jazz +1.5	13.1%	14.1%	57.9%	0.24×	7.09
Utah Jazz −1.5	10.2%	14.1%	53.7%	0.26×	7.09
Utah Jazz −2.5	9.1%	8.9%	50.9%	0.17×	11.25
Utah Jazz −3.5	8.0%	8.9%	48.4%	0.18×	11.25
Utah Jazz −4.5	7.0%	8.9%	46.0%	0.19×	11.25
Utah Jazz −5.5	6.1%	8.9%	42.9%	0.21×	11.25
Utah Jazz −6.5	5.3%	8.9%	40.0%	0.22×	11.25
Utah Jazz −7.5	4.6%	2.6%	37.0%	0.07×	38.72
Utah Jazz −12.5	2.1%	2.6%	24.0%	0.11×	38.73
Utah Jazz −14.5	1.5%	2.6%	19.9%	0.13×	38.73
Utah Jazz −16.5	1.1%	2.6%	16.5%	0.16×	38.74
Utah Jazz −18.5	0.7%	2.6%	13.6%	0.19×	38.74
Utah Jazz −8.5	4.0%	2.6%	34.1%	0.08×	38.72
Utah Jazz −9.5	3.4%	2.6%	31.3%	0.08×	38.73
Utah Jazz −10.5	2.9%	2.6%	29.0%	0.09×	38.73
Utah Jazz −20.5	0.5%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	57.0%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.9%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT	73.0%	73.2%	30.9%	2.37×	1.37
Utah Jazz at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT	13.3%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	7.4%	8.3%	40.8%	0.20×	12.09
San Antonio Spurs at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	3.7%	2.1%	13.3%	0.16×	47.73
Level at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT	2.2%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76
Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	0.5%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win	88.5%	85.5%	44.3%	1.93×	1.17
Utah Jazz to win	11.5%	14.5%	55.7%	0.26×	6.92

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
San Antonio Spurs odd	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Total points odd	50.7%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Utah Jazz odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
San Antonio Spurs even	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	49.3%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.6%	97.0%	94.8%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.4%	3.0%	5.2%	0.58×	33.43

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win Q1	67.9%	72.3%	44.1%	1.64×	1.38
Utah Jazz to win Q1	27.9%	22.4%	51.3%	0.44×	4.46
Q1 tied	4.2%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.96

Q1 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 67.5	82.7%	83.2%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
Q1 over 51.5	82.4%	83.2%	76.0%	1.10×	1.20
Q1 under 69.5	84.8%	82.8%	92.7%	0.89×	1.21
Q1 over 53.5	80.4%	82.8%	68.2%	1.21×	1.21
Q1 over 54.5	71.9%	73.1%	63.3%	1.16×	1.37
Q1 under 66.5	75.0%	72.7%	86.1%	0.84×	1.38
Q1 over 56.5	69.2%	67.6%	54.6%	1.24×	1.48
Q1 under 64.5	67.0%	67.6%	80.1%	0.84×	1.48
Q1 over 58.5	60.5%	61.7%	44.3%	1.39×	1.62
Q1 under 62.5	58.1%	58.6%	72.9%	0.80×	1.71
Q1 under 59.5	50.2%	52.7%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
Q1 under 61.5	53.4%	52.7%	68.5%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 over 60.5	51.3%	52.7%	35.5%	1.48×	1.90
Q1 under 60.5	48.7%	47.3%	64.5%	0.73×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	46.6%	47.3%	31.5%	1.50×	2.11
Q1 over 59.5	49.8%	47.3%	40.0%	1.18×	2.11
Q1 over 62.5	41.9%	41.4%	27.1%	1.53×	2.42
Q1 under 58.5	39.5%	38.3%	55.7%	0.69×	2.61
Q1 over 64.5	33.0%	32.4%	19.9%	1.63×	3.08
Q1 under 56.5	30.8%	32.4%	45.4%	0.71×	3.08
Q1 over 66.5	25.0%	27.3%	13.9%	1.96×	3.67
Q1 under 54.5	28.1%	26.9%	36.7%	0.73×	3.72
Q1 under 53.5	19.6%	17.2%	31.8%	0.54×	5.82
Q1 over 69.5	15.2%	17.2%	7.3%	2.34×	5.83
Q1 under 51.5	17.6%	16.8%	24.0%	0.70×	5.95
Q1 over 67.5	17.3%	16.8%	11.2%	1.49×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win Q2	67.7%	68.4%	46.2%	1.48×	1.46
Utah Jazz to win Q2	28.1%	27.7%	49.3%	0.56×	3.61
Q2 tied	4.2%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.90

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 67.5	83.4%	83.1%	88.7%	0.94×	1.20
Q2 over 51.5	81.3%	83.1%	74.2%	1.12×	1.20
Q2 under 68.5	82.7%	83.0%	90.6%	0.92×	1.21
Q2 over 52.5	82.4%	83.0%	70.3%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 under 64.5	73.3%	73.0%	80.9%	0.90×	1.37
Q2 over 54.5	70.5%	73.0%	61.1%	1.20×	1.37
Q2 under 65.5	72.2%	72.0%	83.6%	0.86×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	71.9%	72.0%	56.3%	1.28×	1.39
Q2 under 62.5	65.2%	67.6%	74.4%	0.91×	1.48
Q2 over 56.5	62.1%	62.0%	51.7%	1.20×	1.61
Q2 under 63.5	63.9%	60.7%	77.5%	0.78×	1.65
Q2 over 57.5	63.5%	60.7%	47.3%	1.28×	1.65
Q2 under 61.5	54.9%	52.7%	70.4%	0.75×	1.90
Q2 over 59.5	54.5%	52.7%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
Q2 under 60.5	50.2%	52.7%	65.7%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	53.0%	52.2%	42.7%	1.22×	1.92
Q2 under 58.5	47.0%	47.8%	57.3%	0.83×	2.09
Q2 over 60.5	49.8%	47.3%	34.3%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 59.5	45.5%	47.3%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
Q2 over 61.5	45.1%	47.3%	29.6%	1.60×	2.11
Q2 under 57.5	36.5%	39.3%	52.7%	0.75×	2.55
Q2 over 63.5	36.1%	39.3%	22.5%	1.75×	2.55
Q2 under 56.5	37.9%	38.0%	48.3%	0.79×	2.63
Q2 over 62.5	34.8%	32.4%	25.6%	1.26×	3.09
Q2 under 55.5	28.1%	28.0%	43.7%	0.64×	3.57
Q2 over 65.5	27.8%	28.0%	16.4%	1.71×	3.57
Q2 under 54.5	29.5%	27.0%	38.9%	0.69×	3.71
Q2 over 64.5	26.7%	27.0%	19.1%	1.41×	3.71
Q2 under 52.5	17.6%	17.0%	29.7%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 over 68.5	17.3%	17.0%	9.4%	1.80×	5.88
Q2 under 51.5	18.7%	16.9%	25.8%	0.65×	5.93
Q2 over 67.5	16.6%	16.9%	11.3%	1.49×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win Q3	67.7%	66.7%	44.3%	1.51×	1.50
Utah Jazz to win Q3	28.1%	28.8%	50.9%	0.57×	3.47
Q3 tied	4.1%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.45

Q3 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 69.5	84.6%	82.3%	91.4%	0.90×	1.22
Q3 over 53.5	81.2%	82.3%	68.3%	1.20×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	83.1%	82.2%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 67.5	82.4%	82.2%	87.0%	0.94×	1.22
Q3 over 54.5	72.7%	72.5%	63.9%	1.14×	1.38
Q3 under 66.5	74.6%	71.8%	84.7%	0.85×	1.39
Q3 over 56.5	70.1%	71.8%	55.0%	1.30×	1.39
Q3 under 64.5	66.4%	67.8%	79.2%	0.86×	1.48
Q3 over 58.5	61.4%	61.9%	45.2%	1.37×	1.61
Q3 under 62.5	57.4%	58.4%	71.9%	0.81×	1.71
Q3 over 59.5	50.5%	52.6%	41.0%	1.28×	1.90
Q3 under 61.5	52.7%	52.3%	67.7%	0.77×	1.91
Q3 over 60.5	52.1%	52.3%	36.5%	1.43×	1.91
Q3 under 60.5	47.9%	47.7%	63.5%	0.75×	2.10
Q3 over 61.5	47.3%	47.7%	32.3%	1.48×	2.10
Q3 under 59.5	49.5%	47.4%	59.0%	0.80×	2.11
Q3 over 62.5	42.6%	41.6%	28.1%	1.48×	2.40
Q3 under 58.5	38.6%	38.1%	54.8%	0.69×	2.63
Q3 over 64.5	33.6%	32.2%	20.8%	1.55×	3.10
Q3 under 56.5	29.9%	28.2%	45.0%	0.63×	3.55
Q3 over 66.5	25.4%	28.2%	15.3%	1.85×	3.55
Q3 under 54.5	27.3%	27.5%	36.1%	0.76×	3.64
Q3 over 67.5	17.6%	17.8%	13.0%	1.37×	5.62
Q3 under 51.5	16.9%	17.8%	23.9%	0.74×	5.63
Q3 under 53.5	18.8%	17.7%	31.7%	0.56×	5.66
Q3 over 69.5	15.4%	17.7%	8.6%	2.05×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win Q4	67.4%	60.6%	46.4%	1.31×	1.65
Utah Jazz to win Q4	28.3%	33.4%	48.3%	0.69×	3.00
Q4 tied	4.3%	5.2%	5.3%	0.97×	19.29

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 66.5	83.5%	82.0%	90.4%	0.91×	1.22
Q4 over 50.5	80.7%	82.0%	68.5%	1.20×	1.22
Q4 under 65.5	84.1%	81.9%	88.4%	0.93×	1.22
Q4 over 49.5	79.8%	78.3%	72.3%	1.08×	1.28
Q4 under 62.5	74.4%	72.3%	80.4%	0.90×	1.38
Q4 under 63.5	73.6%	71.5%	83.7%	0.85×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	69.9%	67.4%	55.7%	1.21×	1.48
Q4 under 61.5	65.5%	67.4%	77.5%	0.87×	1.48
Q4 over 52.5	68.8%	66.7%	60.4%	1.10×	1.50
Q4 under 60.5	66.5%	66.6%	74.2%	0.90×	1.50
Q4 over 54.5	60.3%	61.6%	51.4%	1.20×	1.62
Q4 over 55.5	61.5%	61.4%	47.1%	1.30×	1.63
Q4 under 59.5	56.7%	58.4%	70.2%	0.83×	1.71
Q4 over 57.5	52.4%	52.5%	38.1%	1.38×	1.91
Q4 under 58.5	52.2%	52.5%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	51.2%	52.3%	42.8%	1.22×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	48.8%	47.7%	57.2%	0.83×	2.10
Q4 over 58.5	47.8%	47.5%	33.8%	1.41×	2.11
Q4 under 57.5	47.6%	47.5%	61.9%	0.77×	2.11
Q4 over 59.5	43.3%	41.6%	29.8%	1.40×	2.40
Q4 under 55.5	38.5%	38.6%	52.9%	0.73×	2.59
Q4 under 54.5	39.7%	38.4%	48.6%	0.79×	2.61
Q4 over 60.5	33.5%	33.4%	25.8%	1.30×	3.00
Q4 under 52.5	31.2%	33.3%	39.6%	0.84×	3.00
Q4 over 61.5	34.5%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.07
Q4 under 53.5	30.1%	32.6%	44.3%	0.73×	3.07
Q4 over 63.5	26.4%	28.5%	16.3%	1.75×	3.51
Q4 over 62.5	25.6%	27.7%	19.6%	1.41×	3.61
Q4 under 49.5	20.2%	21.7%	27.7%	0.78×	4.62
Q4 over 65.5	15.9%	18.1%	11.6%	1.56×	5.54
Q4 under 50.5	19.3%	18.0%	31.5%	0.57×	5.56
Q4 over 66.5	16.5%	18.0%	9.6%	1.88×	5.56

Team total 64

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz under 121.5	80.3%	80.7%	69.6%	1.16×	1.24
San Antonio Spurs over 118.5	81.0%	80.7%	32.6%	2.47×	1.24
Utah Jazz over 101.5	80.2%	80.7%	86.0%	0.94×	1.24
Utah Jazz under 123.5	81.1%	80.3%	74.4%	1.08×	1.25
San Antonio Spurs under 132.5	80.5%	80.3%	93.6%	0.86×	1.25
San Antonio Spurs over 112.5	78.9%	78.3%	51.5%	1.52×	1.28
Utah Jazz over 103.5	78.0%	78.3%	82.1%	0.95×	1.28
San Antonio Spurs under 138.5	80.0%	75.1%	97.5%	0.77×	1.33
Utah Jazz under 120.5	73.7%	71.9%	66.3%	1.08×	1.39
San Antonio Spurs over 115.5	71.0%	71.8%	41.4%	1.73×	1.39
San Antonio Spurs over 121.5	73.3%	70.7%	25.3%	2.80×	1.41
Utah Jazz under 118.5	72.5%	70.7%	60.3%	1.17×	1.41
Utah Jazz over 104.5	72.4%	70.7%	79.8%	0.89×	1.41
San Antonio Spurs under 135.5	72.0%	70.7%	95.8%	0.74×	1.41
San Antonio Spurs over 117.5	65.1%	66.6%	35.6%	1.87×	1.50
San Antonio Spurs over 123.5	67.3%	66.4%	20.5%	3.24×	1.51
Utah Jazz over 106.5	66.4%	66.4%	75.1%	0.88×	1.51
Utah Jazz under 116.5	66.6%	66.4%	54.7%	1.21×	1.51
San Antonio Spurs under 133.5	65.9%	66.4%	94.6%	0.70×	1.51
San Antonio Spurs over 125.5	60.9%	61.2%	16.6%	3.68×	1.63
Utah Jazz under 114.5	60.2%	61.2%	48.6%	1.26×	1.63
San Antonio Spurs over 119.5	58.8%	57.9%	29.7%	1.95×	1.73
Utah Jazz over 108.5	60.0%	57.1%	69.9%	0.82×	1.75
San Antonio Spurs under 131.5	59.4%	57.1%	92.6%	0.62×	1.75
San Antonio Spurs over 127.5	54.2%	52.3%	13.1%	3.98×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 110.5	53.3%	52.3%	64.1%	0.82×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 112.5	53.5%	52.3%	42.3%	1.24×	1.91
San Antonio Spurs under 129.5	52.6%	52.3%	90.0%	0.58×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 111.5	50.1%	52.3%	38.9%	1.34×	1.91
San Antonio Spurs over 128.5	50.8%	52.3%	11.5%	4.56×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 113.5	52.3%	52.2%	45.7%	1.14×	1.91
San Antonio Spurs under 122.5	51.1%	52.2%	77.4%	0.68×	1.91
San Antonio Spurs over 122.5	48.9%	47.8%	22.6%	2.11×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 113.5	47.7%	47.8%	54.3%	0.88×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 111.5	49.9%	47.7%	61.1%	0.78×	2.09
San Antonio Spurs under 128.5	49.2%	47.7%	88.6%	0.54×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 110.5	46.7%	47.7%	35.9%	1.33×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 112.5	46.5%	47.7%	57.7%	0.83×	2.09
San Antonio Spurs over 129.5	47.4%	47.7%	10.0%	4.79×	2.09
San Antonio Spurs under 127.5	45.8%	47.7%	86.9%	0.55×	2.09
San Antonio Spurs over 131.5	40.6%	42.9%	7.4%	5.78×	2.33
Utah Jazz under 108.5	40.0%	42.9%	30.1%	1.42×	2.33
San Antonio Spurs under 119.5	41.2%	42.1%	70.3%	0.60×	2.38
Utah Jazz over 114.5	39.8%	38.8%	51.4%	0.76×	2.58
San Antonio Spurs under 125.5	39.1%	38.8%	83.4%	0.47×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 106.5	33.6%	33.6%	24.9%	1.35×	2.98
Utah Jazz over 116.5	33.4%	33.6%	45.3%	0.74×	2.98
San Antonio Spurs over 133.5	34.1%	33.6%	5.4%	6.21×	2.98
San Antonio Spurs under 123.5	32.7%	33.6%	79.5%	0.42×	2.98
San Antonio Spurs under 117.5	34.9%	33.4%	64.4%	0.52×	2.99
Utah Jazz over 118.5	27.5%	29.3%	39.7%	0.74×	3.42
Utah Jazz under 104.5	27.6%	29.3%	20.2%	1.45×	3.42
San Antonio Spurs over 135.5	28.0%	29.3%	4.2%	7.03×	3.42
San Antonio Spurs under 121.5	26.7%	29.3%	74.7%	0.39×	3.42
San Antonio Spurs under 115.5	29.0%	28.2%	58.6%	0.48×	3.55
Utah Jazz over 120.5	26.3%	28.1%	33.7%	0.84×	3.55
San Antonio Spurs over 138.5	20.0%	24.9%	2.5%	9.81×	4.02
Utah Jazz under 103.5	22.0%	21.7%	17.9%	1.22×	4.60
San Antonio Spurs under 112.5	21.1%	21.7%	48.5%	0.45×	4.60
San Antonio Spurs over 132.5	19.5%	19.7%	6.4%	3.09×	5.07
Utah Jazz over 123.5	18.9%	19.7%	25.6%	0.77×	5.07
Utah Jazz under 101.5	19.8%	19.3%	14.0%	1.37×	5.18
Utah Jazz over 121.5	19.7%	19.3%	30.4%	0.63×	5.18
San Antonio Spurs under 118.5	19.0%	19.3%	67.4%	0.29×	5.18

Total points 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 215.5 points	85.0%	85.5%	73.4%	1.16×	1.17
Under 260.5 points	86.5%	85.0%	94.1%	0.90×	1.18
Over 220.5 points	85.8%	85.0%	64.2%	1.33×	1.18
Under 255.5 points	79.7%	75.6%	90.8%	0.83×	1.32
Over 225.5 points	78.8%	75.6%	54.7%	1.38×	1.32
Under 250.5 points	71.2%	70.8%	86.1%	0.82×	1.41
Over 230.5 points	70.1%	70.8%	44.6%	1.59×	1.41
Under 242.5 points	65.5%	66.6%	76.8%	0.87×	1.50
Under 247.5 points	65.4%	65.9%	83.3%	0.79×	1.52
Over 228.5 points	63.5%	61.8%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 233.5 points	64.2%	61.5%	38.6%	1.59×	1.63
Under 245.5 points	61.4%	61.5%	80.9%	0.76×	1.63
Over 235.5 points	60.1%	61.5%	34.7%	1.77×	1.63
Under 243.5 points	57.1%	56.5%	78.2%	0.72×	1.77
Over 237.5 points	55.8%	56.5%	30.7%	1.84×	1.77
Under 238.5 points	57.4%	56.0%	70.9%	0.79×	1.79
Over 232.5 points	55.3%	56.0%	40.6%	1.38×	1.79
Under 241.5 points	52.8%	52.3%	75.5%	0.69×	1.91
Under 240.5 points	50.6%	52.3%	74.0%	0.71×	1.91
Over 239.5 points	51.5%	52.3%	27.5%	1.90×	1.91
Under 236.5 points	53.2%	52.2%	67.3%	0.78×	1.92
Over 234.5 points	51.0%	52.2%	36.7%	1.42×	1.92
Under 234.5 points	49.0%	47.8%	63.3%	0.75×	2.09
Over 236.5 points	46.8%	47.8%	32.7%	1.46×	2.09
Over 240.5 points	49.4%	47.7%	26.0%	1.84×	2.10
Under 239.5 points	48.5%	47.7%	72.5%	0.66×	2.10
Over 241.5 points	47.2%	47.7%	24.5%	1.95×	2.10
Under 232.5 points	44.7%	44.0%	59.4%	0.74×	2.27
Over 238.5 points	42.6%	44.0%	29.1%	1.51×	2.27
Under 237.5 points	44.2%	43.5%	69.3%	0.63×	2.30
Over 243.5 points	42.9%	43.5%	21.8%	1.99×	2.30
Under 235.5 points	39.9%	38.5%	65.3%	0.59×	2.60
Over 245.5 points	38.6%	38.5%	19.1%	2.01×	2.60
Under 233.5 points	35.8%	38.5%	61.4%	0.63×	2.60
Under 228.5 points	36.5%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Over 247.5 points	34.6%	34.1%	16.7%	2.04×	2.93
Over 242.5 points	34.5%	33.4%	23.2%	1.44×	2.99
Under 230.5 points	29.9%	29.2%	55.4%	0.53×	3.43
Over 250.5 points	28.8%	29.2%	13.9%	2.11×	3.43
Under 225.5 points	21.2%	24.4%	45.3%	0.54×	4.10
Over 255.5 points	20.3%	24.4%	9.2%	2.65×	4.10
Under 220.5 points	14.2%	15.0%	35.8%	0.42×	6.68
Over 260.5 points	13.5%	15.0%	5.9%	2.55×	6.68
Under 215.5 points	15.0%	14.5%	26.6%	0.55×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs to win both halves	57.2%	57.8%	17.8%	3.24×	1.73
Utah Jazz to win both halves	3.2%	3.0%	25.2%	0.12×	33.65

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Antonio Spurs by 26+	28.3%	30.8%	3.9%	7.97×	3.25
San Antonio Spurs by 11-15	13.4%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
San Antonio Spurs by 16-20	13.8%	12.3%	4.9%	2.54×	8.11
San Antonio Spurs by 21-25	12.8%	12.3%	3.0%	4.05×	8.11
San Antonio Spurs by 6-10	11.5%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
San Antonio Spurs by 1-5	8.8%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 1-5	5.4%	7.5%	12.8%	0.58×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 6-10	3.2%	2.0%	13.9%	0.15×	49.30
Utah Jazz by 11-15	1.7%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.31
Utah Jazz by 16-20	0.8%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.32
Utah Jazz by 21-25	0.3%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.33
Utah Jazz by 26+	0.2%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.33

Utah Jazz v San Antonio Spurs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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