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VCU Rams v North Carolina Central Eagles — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
VCU Rams win
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
North Carolina Central Eagles win
18.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 67.68–57.63 68-58 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
North Carolina Central Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
North Carolina Central Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
North Carolina Central Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
North Carolina Central Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
VCU Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win H1 68.7% 68.3% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
North Carolina Central Eagles to win H1 27.4% 26.5% 39.9% 0.67× 3.77
H1 tied 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 72.5 89.0% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 48.5 87.9% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 68.5 79.7% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 77.8% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 70.4% 73.5% 63.9% 1.15× 1.36
H1 over 55.5 67.8% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 63.5 63.2% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 57.5 60.4% 62.7% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
H1 under 61.5 55.5% 58.2% 49.8% 1.17× 1.72
H1 over 59.5 52.5% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 51.5% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 48.5% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 47.5% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 44.6% 41.8% 50.2% 0.83× 2.39
H1 under 57.5 39.6% 37.3% 35.2% 1.06× 2.68
H1 over 63.5 36.8% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 55.5 32.2% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 29.6% 26.5% 36.1% 0.73× 3.77
H1 under 52.5 22.2% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 68.5 20.3% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 under 48.5 12.1% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 over 72.5 11.0% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win H2 69.9% 62.8% 56.0% 1.12× 1.59
North Carolina Central Eagles to win H2 26.4% 31.3% 40.6% 0.77× 3.20
H2 tied 3.7% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 78.5 88.5% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 86.3% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 79.4% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 58.5 75.9% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 70.5% 72.2% 61.1% 1.18× 1.39
H2 over 61.5 66.1% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 63.6% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 58.8% 57.3% 65.3% 0.88× 1.74
H2 under 67.5 56.3% 57.3% 47.9% 1.20× 1.74
H2 under 66.5 52.5% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 51.3% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 48.7% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 47.5% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 43.7% 42.7% 52.1% 0.82× 2.34
H2 under 63.5 41.2% 42.7% 34.7% 1.23× 2.34
H2 over 69.5 36.4% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 33.9% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 29.5% 27.8% 38.9% 0.72× 3.59
H2 under 58.5 24.1% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 20.6% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 13.7% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 11.5% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams leading at half time 68.7% 68.4% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
North Carolina Central Eagles leading at half time 27.4% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.78
Level at half time 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams +18.5 99.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
VCU Rams +20.5 99.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
VCU Rams +9.5 95.8% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
VCU Rams +10.5 96.5% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
VCU Rams +12.5 97.7% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
VCU Rams +14.5 98.5% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
VCU Rams +16.5 99.1% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
VCU Rams +8.5 94.9% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
VCU Rams +6.5 92.7% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
VCU Rams +7.5 93.9% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
VCU Rams +5.5 91.3% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
VCU Rams +4.5 89.8% 85.9% 67.8% 1.27× 1.16
VCU Rams +3.5 88.1% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
VCU Rams +2.5 86.2% 85.9% 63.3% 1.36× 1.16
VCU Rams +1.5 84.1% 81.1% 61.2% 1.32× 1.23
North Carolina Central Eagles +20.5 83.3% 81.1% 82.0% 0.99× 1.23
VCU Rams −1.5 79.1% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
North Carolina Central Eagles +18.5 78.2% 76.5% 79.3% 0.96× 1.31
VCU Rams −2.5 76.2% 76.5% 56.7% 1.35× 1.31
VCU Rams −3.5 73.2% 71.6% 54.2% 1.32× 1.40
North Carolina Central Eagles +16.5 72.4% 71.6% 75.7% 0.95× 1.40
VCU Rams −4.5 69.9% 66.7% 52.2% 1.28× 1.50
VCU Rams −5.5 66.6% 66.7% 49.7% 1.34× 1.50
North Carolina Central Eagles +14.5 65.9% 66.7% 72.1% 0.93× 1.50
VCU Rams −6.5 63.1% 61.9% 47.6% 1.30× 1.62
VCU Rams −7.5 59.5% 57.1% 44.8% 1.28× 1.75
North Carolina Central Eagles +12.5 58.9% 57.1% 67.9% 0.84× 1.75
VCU Rams −8.5 55.9% 57.1% 42.0% 1.36× 1.75
VCU Rams −9.5 52.2% 52.4% 39.3% 1.33× 1.91
North Carolina Central Eagles +10.5 51.5% 52.4% 63.2% 0.83× 1.91
VCU Rams −10.5 48.5% 47.6% 36.8% 1.29× 2.10
North Carolina Central Eagles +9.5 47.8% 47.6% 60.7% 0.78× 2.10
North Carolina Central Eagles +8.5 44.1% 42.9% 58.0% 0.74× 2.33
VCU Rams −12.5 41.1% 42.9% 32.1% 1.34× 2.33
North Carolina Central Eagles +7.5 40.5% 42.9% 55.2% 0.78× 2.33
North Carolina Central Eagles +6.5 36.9% 38.1% 52.4% 0.73× 2.63
VCU Rams −14.5 34.1% 33.3% 27.9% 1.19× 3.01
North Carolina Central Eagles +5.5 33.4% 33.3% 50.3% 0.66× 3.01
North Carolina Central Eagles +4.5 30.1% 33.3% 47.8% 0.70× 3.01
North Carolina Central Eagles +3.5 26.8% 28.4% 45.8% 0.62× 3.53
VCU Rams −16.5 27.6% 28.4% 24.3% 1.17× 3.53
North Carolina Central Eagles +2.5 23.8% 23.5% 43.3% 0.54× 4.25
VCU Rams −18.5 21.8% 23.5% 20.7% 1.14× 4.25
North Carolina Central Eagles +1.5 20.9% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
VCU Rams −20.5 16.7% 18.9% 18.0% 1.05× 5.29
North Carolina Central Eagles −1.5 15.9% 18.9% 38.8% 0.49× 5.30
North Carolina Central Eagles −2.5 13.8% 14.1% 36.7% 0.39× 7.09
North Carolina Central Eagles −3.5 11.9% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
North Carolina Central Eagles −4.5 10.2% 14.1% 32.2% 0.44× 7.09
North Carolina Central Eagles −5.5 8.7% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
North Carolina Central Eagles −6.5 7.3% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
North Carolina Central Eagles −7.5 6.1% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
North Carolina Central Eagles −8.5 5.1% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
North Carolina Central Eagles −9.5 4.2% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.72
North Carolina Central Eagles −10.5 3.5% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
North Carolina Central Eagles −12.5 2.3% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
North Carolina Central Eagles −14.5 1.5% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
North Carolina Central Eagles −16.5 0.9% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
North Carolina Central Eagles −18.5 0.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
North Carolina Central Eagles −20.5 0.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.3% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.1% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.3% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.0% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams at HT / VCU Rams at FT 63.0% 62.3% 48.3% 1.29× 1.61
North Carolina Central Eagles at HT / VCU Rams at FT 15.8% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
North Carolina Central Eagles at HT / North Carolina Central Eagles at FT 11.6% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.18
VCU Rams at HT / North Carolina Central Eagles at FT 5.7% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.10
Level at HT / VCU Rams at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / North Carolina Central Eagles at FT 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win 81.8% 80.9% 59.9% 1.35× 1.24
North Carolina Central Eagles to win 18.2% 19.1% 40.1% 0.48× 5.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
North Carolina Central Eagles even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 51.3% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
VCU Rams even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
North Carolina Central Eagles odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.7% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
VCU Rams odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.2% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.33
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q1 61.5% 64.9% 54.7% 1.19× 1.54
North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q1 32.8% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.7% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 89.0% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 22.5 87.6% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 78.3% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 76.0% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 68.6% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 65.8% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 57.5% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 54.4% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 51.6% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 48.4% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 45.6% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 42.5% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 34.2% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 31.4% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 24.0% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 21.7% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 12.4% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 11.0% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q2 61.1% 61.9% 52.9% 1.17× 1.62
North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q2 33.2% 31.8% 41.5% 0.77× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.8% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 86.6% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 79.6% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 74.5% 72.0% 76.2% 0.94× 1.39
Q2 under 33.5 70.3% 72.0% 65.6% 1.10× 1.39
Q2 over 27.5 64.1% 60.7% 66.7% 0.91× 1.65
Q2 under 31.5 59.3% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 53.4% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 52.5% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 47.5% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 46.6% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 40.7% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 35.9% 39.3% 33.3% 1.18× 2.55
Q2 over 33.5 29.7% 28.0% 34.4% 0.81× 3.57
Q2 under 25.5 25.5% 28.0% 23.8% 1.18× 3.57
Q2 over 35.5 20.4% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 13.4% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.2% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q3 62.4% 60.9% 53.3% 1.14× 1.64
North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q3 32.1% 33.8% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.5% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 89.3% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 85.9% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 79.1% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 73.9% 71.8% 76.4% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 36.5 69.9% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 63.6% 62.0% 66.8% 0.93× 1.61
Q3 under 34.5 59.1% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 53.4% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 52.3% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 47.7% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 46.6% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 40.9% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 36.4% 38.0% 33.2% 1.15× 2.63
Q3 over 36.5 30.1% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 26.1% 28.2% 23.6% 1.19× 3.55
Q3 over 38.5 20.9% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 14.1% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 10.7% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q4 62.1% 57.8% 52.8% 1.09× 1.73
North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q4 32.4% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.68
Q4 tied 5.4% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 87.8% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 84.7% 82.0% 86.1% 0.95× 1.22
Q4 under 38.5 77.5% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 73.0% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 68.5% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 63.2% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 58.3% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 52.9% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 52.6% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 47.4% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 47.1% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 41.7% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 36.8% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 31.5% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 27.0% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 22.5% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 15.3% 18.0% 13.9% 1.30× 5.56
Q4 over 41.5 12.2% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
North Carolina Central Eagles under 68.5 87.8% 83.9% 68.6% 1.22× 1.19
VCU Rams under 78.5 86.6% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
North Carolina Central Eagles over 48.5 85.7% 83.9% 86.7% 0.97× 1.19
VCU Rams over 58.5 84.2% 80.7% 74.7% 1.08× 1.24
North Carolina Central Eagles under 65.5 80.0% 75.1% 59.8% 1.26× 1.33
VCU Rams under 75.5 78.6% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
North Carolina Central Eagles over 51.5 76.1% 75.1% 81.0% 0.93× 1.33
VCU Rams over 61.5 75.4% 75.1% 66.9% 1.12× 1.33
North Carolina Central Eagles under 63.5 73.4% 70.7% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
VCU Rams under 73.5 71.9% 70.7% 68.5% 1.03× 1.41
North Carolina Central Eagles over 53.5 68.5% 66.4% 76.3% 0.87× 1.51
VCU Rams over 63.5 68.3% 66.4% 61.5% 1.08× 1.51
North Carolina Central Eagles under 61.5 65.8% 66.4% 47.9% 1.39× 1.51
VCU Rams under 71.5 64.4% 61.2% 63.0% 0.97× 1.63
VCU Rams over 65.5 60.4% 61.2% 55.3% 1.11× 1.63
North Carolina Central Eagles over 55.5 60.1% 61.2% 70.8% 0.86× 1.63
North Carolina Central Eagles under 59.5 57.4% 57.1% 41.2% 1.39× 1.75
VCU Rams under 69.5 56.3% 57.1% 57.4% 0.99× 1.75
North Carolina Central Eagles under 58.5 53.1% 52.3% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
VCU Rams over 67.5 52.1% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
VCU Rams under 68.5 52.1% 52.3% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
North Carolina Central Eagles over 57.5 51.3% 52.3% 65.1% 0.80× 1.91
North Carolina Central Eagles over 58.5 46.9% 47.7% 62.1% 0.77× 2.09
VCU Rams under 67.5 47.9% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
VCU Rams over 68.5 47.9% 47.7% 45.6% 1.05× 2.09
North Carolina Central Eagles under 57.5 48.7% 47.7% 34.9% 1.37× 2.09
VCU Rams over 69.5 43.7% 42.9% 42.6% 1.01× 2.33
North Carolina Central Eagles over 59.5 42.6% 42.9% 58.8% 0.73× 2.33
North Carolina Central Eagles under 55.5 39.9% 38.8% 29.2% 1.33× 2.58
VCU Rams under 65.5 39.6% 38.8% 44.7% 0.87× 2.58
VCU Rams over 71.5 35.6% 38.8% 37.0% 1.05× 2.58
North Carolina Central Eagles over 61.5 34.2% 33.6% 52.1% 0.65× 2.98
VCU Rams under 63.5 31.7% 33.6% 38.5% 0.87× 2.98
North Carolina Central Eagles under 53.5 31.5% 33.6% 23.7% 1.42× 2.98
VCU Rams over 73.5 28.1% 29.3% 31.5% 0.93× 3.42
North Carolina Central Eagles over 63.5 26.6% 29.3% 46.1% 0.64× 3.42
VCU Rams under 61.5 24.6% 24.9% 33.1% 0.75× 4.02
North Carolina Central Eagles under 51.5 23.9% 24.9% 19.0% 1.31× 4.02
VCU Rams over 75.5 21.4% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
North Carolina Central Eagles over 65.5 20.0% 24.9% 40.2% 0.62× 4.02
VCU Rams under 58.5 15.8% 19.3% 25.3% 0.76× 5.18
North Carolina Central Eagles under 48.5 14.3% 16.1% 13.3% 1.21× 6.21
VCU Rams over 78.5 13.4% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
North Carolina Central Eagles over 68.5 12.2% 16.1% 31.4% 0.51× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 106.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 91.0% 0.98× 1.13
Under 146.5 points 91.7% 88.8% 80.9% 1.10× 1.13
Under 141.5 points 85.4% 85.0% 73.4% 1.16× 1.18
Over 111.5 points 84.1% 80.6% 85.1% 0.95× 1.24
Under 136.5 points 76.4% 75.6% 64.2% 1.18× 1.32
Over 116.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 77.2% 0.92× 1.41
Under 133.5 points 69.8% 65.9% 58.0% 1.14× 1.52
Over 119.5 points 66.8% 65.9% 71.6% 0.92× 1.52
Under 131.5 points 65.0% 61.5% 53.9% 1.14× 1.63
Over 121.5 points 61.6% 61.5% 67.7% 0.91× 1.63
Under 129.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 49.5% 1.14× 1.77
Over 123.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 63.3% 0.89× 1.77
Under 127.5 points 54.5% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Under 126.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Over 125.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 59.5% 0.88× 1.91
Under 125.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 40.5% 1.18× 2.10
Over 126.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.10
Over 127.5 points 45.5% 47.7% 55.1% 0.86× 2.10
Under 123.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 36.7% 1.18× 2.30
Over 129.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 50.5% 0.86× 2.30
Under 121.5 points 38.4% 38.5% 32.3% 1.19× 2.60
Over 131.5 points 35.0% 38.5% 46.1% 0.84× 2.60
Under 119.5 points 33.2% 34.1% 28.4% 1.20× 2.93
Over 133.5 points 30.2% 34.1% 42.0% 0.81× 2.93
Under 116.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 22.8% 1.28× 3.43
Over 136.5 points 23.6% 24.4% 35.8% 0.68× 4.10
Under 111.5 points 15.9% 19.4% 14.9% 1.30× 5.15
Over 141.5 points 14.6% 15.0% 26.6% 0.56× 6.68
Under 106.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 9.0% 1.24× 8.96
Over 146.5 points 8.3% 11.2% 19.1% 0.58× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win both halves 45.6% 45.8% 36.0% 1.27× 2.19
North Carolina Central Eagles to win both halves 5.2% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.34
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams by 6-10 18.1% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
VCU Rams by 11-15 17.7% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
VCU Rams by 1-5 15.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
VCU Rams by 16-20 14.1% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
North Carolina Central Eagles by 1-5 9.5% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
VCU Rams by 21-25 9.1% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
VCU Rams by 26+ 7.6% 7.5% 12.6% 0.59× 13.40
North Carolina Central Eagles by 6-10 5.2% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.41
North Carolina Central Eagles by 11-15 2.3% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
North Carolina Central Eagles by 16-20 0.8% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
North Carolina Central Eagles by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
North Carolina Central Eagles by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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