Virginia Cavaliers v Drexel Dragons — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Virginia Cavaliers

00:00

Drexel Dragons

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Virginia Cavaliers win

96.2%

Draw

0.0%

Drexel Dragons win

3.8%

9604

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9604	76.63–56.95	77-57 0%	52%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to score 100+	0.9%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.19
Virginia Cavaliers to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.35
Virginia Cavaliers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Virginia Cavaliers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Drexel Dragons to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Drexel Dragons to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Drexel Dragons to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Drexel Dragons to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win H1	84.3%	83.6%	56.4%	1.48×	1.20
Drexel Dragons to win H1	13.1%	10.8%	39.9%	0.27×	9.25
H1 tied	2.6%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.87

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 76.5	89.1%	87.7%	90.2%	0.97×	1.14
H1 over 52.5	87.9%	87.7%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
H1 under 72.5	79.8%	77.4%	83.6%	0.93×	1.29
H1 over 56.5	77.7%	77.4%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
H1 under 69.5	70.5%	73.5%	76.2%	0.96×	1.36
H1 over 59.5	67.8%	67.4%	57.8%	1.17×	1.48
H1 under 67.5	63.3%	62.7%	70.4%	0.89×	1.59
H1 over 61.5	60.3%	62.7%	50.2%	1.25×	1.59
H1 under 65.5	55.6%	58.2%	63.9%	0.91×	1.72
H1 over 63.5	52.4%	52.6%	42.9%	1.23×	1.90
H1 under 64.5	51.6%	52.6%	60.7%	0.87×	1.90
H1 over 64.5	48.4%	47.4%	39.3%	1.21×	2.11
H1 under 63.5	47.6%	47.4%	57.1%	0.83×	2.11
H1 over 65.5	44.4%	41.8%	36.1%	1.16×	2.39
H1 under 61.5	39.7%	37.3%	49.8%	0.75×	2.68
H1 over 67.5	36.7%	37.3%	29.6%	1.26×	2.68
H1 under 59.5	32.2%	32.6%	42.2%	0.77×	3.07
H1 over 69.5	29.5%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.77
H1 under 56.5	22.3%	22.6%	31.8%	0.71×	4.43
H1 over 72.5	20.2%	22.6%	16.4%	1.38×	4.43
H1 under 52.5	12.1%	12.3%	20.4%	0.60×	8.14
H1 over 76.5	10.9%	12.3%	9.8%	1.26×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win H2	85.7%	84.1%	56.0%	1.50×	1.19
Drexel Dragons to win H2	11.9%	14.7%	40.6%	0.36×	6.78
H2 tied	2.3%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.37

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 82.5	87.8%	85.2%	87.4%	0.97×	1.17
H2 over 58.5	87.0%	85.2%	79.6%	1.07×	1.17
H2 under 78.5	78.5%	75.8%	80.1%	0.95×	1.32
H2 over 62.5	77.0%	75.8%	68.3%	1.11×	1.32
H2 under 75.5	69.3%	66.4%	73.0%	0.91×	1.51
H2 over 65.5	67.3%	66.4%	58.8%	1.13×	1.51
H2 under 73.5	62.4%	61.6%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
H2 over 67.5	60.1%	61.6%	52.1%	1.18×	1.62
H2 under 71.5	55.0%	52.4%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
H2 over 69.5	52.6%	52.4%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
H2 under 70.5	51.2%	52.4%	57.8%	0.91×	1.91
H2 over 70.5	48.8%	47.6%	42.2%	1.13×	2.10
H2 under 69.5	47.4%	47.6%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
H2 over 71.5	45.0%	47.6%	38.9%	1.23×	2.10
H2 under 67.5	39.9%	38.4%	47.9%	0.80×	2.61
H2 over 73.5	37.6%	38.4%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
H2 under 65.5	32.7%	33.6%	41.2%	0.82×	2.97
H2 over 75.5	30.7%	33.6%	27.0%	1.25×	2.97
H2 under 62.5	23.0%	24.2%	31.7%	0.76×	4.13
H2 over 78.5	21.5%	24.2%	19.9%	1.22×	4.13
H2 under 58.5	13.0%	14.8%	20.4%	0.73×	6.76
H2 over 82.5	12.2%	14.8%	12.6%	1.17×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers leading at half time	84.3%	83.4%	56.4%	1.48×	1.20
Drexel Dragons leading at half time	13.1%	10.3%	39.9%	0.26×	9.68
Level at half time	2.6%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers +8.5	99.4%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +9.5	99.5%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +10.5	99.6%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +12.5	99.8%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +14.5	99.9%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +16.5	99.9%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +18.5	100.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +1.5	96.9%	97.4%	61.2%	1.59×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +2.5	97.5%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +3.5	98.0%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +4.5	98.4%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +5.5	98.7%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +6.5	99.0%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +7.5	99.2%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers −1.5	95.3%	97.4%	58.7%	1.66×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers −2.5	94.2%	91.1%	56.7%	1.61×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers −3.5	93.0%	91.1%	54.2%	1.68×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers −4.5	91.6%	91.1%	52.2%	1.75×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers −5.5	90.0%	91.1%	49.7%	1.83×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers −6.5	88.3%	85.9%	47.6%	1.80×	1.16
Virginia Cavaliers −7.5	86.3%	85.9%	44.8%	1.92×	1.16
Virginia Cavaliers −8.5	84.2%	81.1%	42.0%	1.93×	1.23
Virginia Cavaliers −9.5	81.8%	81.1%	39.3%	2.06×	1.23
Virginia Cavaliers −10.5	79.3%	76.5%	36.8%	2.08×	1.31
Virginia Cavaliers −12.5	73.6%	71.6%	32.1%	2.23×	1.40
Virginia Cavaliers −14.5	67.3%	66.7%	27.9%	2.39×	1.50
Virginia Cavaliers −16.5	60.5%	61.9%	24.3%	2.55×	1.62
Virginia Cavaliers −18.5	53.3%	52.4%	20.7%	2.53×	1.91
Drexel Dragons +20.5	54.0%	52.4%	82.0%	0.64×	1.91
Drexel Dragons +18.5	46.7%	47.6%	79.3%	0.60×	2.10
Virginia Cavaliers −20.5	46.0%	47.6%	18.0%	2.65×	2.10
Drexel Dragons +16.5	39.5%	38.1%	75.7%	0.50×	2.63
Drexel Dragons +14.5	32.7%	33.3%	72.1%	0.46×	3.01
Drexel Dragons +12.5	26.4%	28.4%	67.9%	0.42×	3.53
Drexel Dragons +10.5	20.7%	23.5%	63.2%	0.37×	4.25
Drexel Dragons +9.5	18.2%	18.9%	60.7%	0.31×	5.29
Drexel Dragons +8.5	15.8%	18.9%	58.0%	0.33×	5.30
Drexel Dragons +7.5	13.7%	14.1%	55.2%	0.26×	7.09
Drexel Dragons +6.5	11.7%	14.1%	52.4%	0.27×	7.09
Drexel Dragons +5.5	10.0%	8.9%	50.3%	0.18×	11.25
Drexel Dragons +4.5	8.4%	8.9%	47.8%	0.19×	11.25
Drexel Dragons +3.5	7.0%	8.9%	45.8%	0.19×	11.25
Drexel Dragons +2.5	5.8%	8.9%	43.3%	0.21×	11.25
Drexel Dragons +1.5	4.7%	2.6%	41.3%	0.06×	38.72
Drexel Dragons −1.5	3.1%	2.6%	38.8%	0.07×	38.73
Drexel Dragons −2.5	2.5%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.73
Drexel Dragons −3.5	2.0%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.73
Drexel Dragons −4.5	1.6%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.73
Drexel Dragons −5.5	1.3%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −6.5	1.0%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −7.5	0.8%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −8.5	0.6%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −9.5	0.5%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −10.5	0.4%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −12.5	0.2%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −14.5	0.1%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −16.5	0.1%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −18.5	0.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Drexel Dragons −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	72.6%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.6%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.0%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.5%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers at HT / Virginia Cavaliers at FT	83.0%	84.5%	48.3%	1.75×	1.18
Drexel Dragons at HT / Virginia Cavaliers at FT	10.9%	12.2%	9.8%	1.25×	8.18
Level at HT / Virginia Cavaliers at FT	2.4%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.75
Drexel Dragons at HT / Drexel Dragons at FT	2.3%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.75
Virginia Cavaliers at HT / Drexel Dragons at FT	1.3%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.77
Level at HT / Drexel Dragons at FT	0.2%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win	96.2%	97.4%	59.9%	1.63×	1.03
Drexel Dragons to win	3.8%	2.6%	40.1%	0.06×	38.90

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Drexel Dragons even	50.2%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.4%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Virginia Cavaliers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Drexel Dragons odd	49.8%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.6%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	97.6%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	2.4%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.50

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win Q1	73.9%	73.9%	54.7%	1.35×	1.35
Drexel Dragons to win Q1	21.3%	22.0%	40.4%	0.55×	4.54
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.9%	0.85×	23.94

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 40.5	89.0%	87.4%	89.9%	0.97×	1.14
Q1 over 24.5	87.6%	87.4%	81.8%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 under 37.5	78.3%	76.9%	81.6%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 over 27.5	76.0%	76.9%	67.7%	1.14×	1.30
Q1 under 35.5	68.6%	67.6%	73.2%	0.92×	1.48
Q1 over 29.5	65.8%	67.6%	56.9%	1.19×	1.48
Q1 under 33.5	57.5%	58.6%	64.0%	0.92×	1.71
Q1 over 31.5	54.3%	52.7%	46.0%	1.14×	1.90
Q1 under 32.5	51.6%	52.7%	59.1%	0.89×	1.90
Q1 over 32.5	48.4%	47.3%	40.9%	1.16×	2.11
Q1 under 31.5	45.7%	47.3%	54.0%	0.88×	2.11
Q1 over 33.5	42.5%	41.4%	36.0%	1.15×	2.42
Q1 under 29.5	34.2%	32.4%	43.1%	0.75×	3.08
Q1 over 35.5	31.4%	32.4%	26.8%	1.21×	3.08
Q1 under 27.5	24.0%	23.1%	32.3%	0.71×	4.33
Q1 over 37.5	21.7%	23.1%	18.4%	1.26×	4.33
Q1 under 24.5	12.4%	12.6%	18.2%	0.69×	7.95
Q1 over 40.5	11.0%	12.6%	10.1%	1.24×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win Q2	73.3%	75.2%	52.9%	1.42×	1.33
Drexel Dragons to win Q2	22.0%	20.0%	41.5%	0.48×	5.00
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	5.7%	0.77×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 40.5	89.9%	87.3%	90.8%	0.96×	1.15
Q2 over 24.5	86.5%	87.3%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Q2 under 37.5	79.7%	76.8%	82.3%	0.93×	1.30
Q2 over 27.5	74.4%	72.0%	66.7%	1.08×	1.39
Q2 under 35.5	70.4%	72.0%	74.6%	0.96×	1.39
Q2 over 29.5	63.9%	60.7%	55.8%	1.09×	1.65
Q2 under 33.5	59.4%	58.2%	65.6%	0.89×	1.72
Q2 under 32.5	53.6%	52.7%	60.8%	0.87×	1.90
Q2 over 31.5	52.4%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 under 31.5	47.6%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 over 32.5	46.4%	47.3%	39.2%	1.21×	2.11
Q2 over 33.5	40.6%	41.8%	34.4%	1.22×	2.39
Q2 under 29.5	36.1%	39.3%	44.2%	0.89×	2.55
Q2 over 35.5	29.6%	28.0%	25.4%	1.10×	3.57
Q2 under 27.5	25.6%	28.0%	33.3%	0.84×	3.57
Q2 over 37.5	20.3%	23.2%	17.7%	1.31×	4.31
Q2 under 24.5	13.5%	12.7%	19.3%	0.66×	7.89
Q2 over 40.5	10.1%	12.7%	9.2%	1.38×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win Q3	75.4%	81.4%	53.3%	1.53×	1.23
Drexel Dragons to win Q3	20.2%	22.3%	41.8%	0.53×	4.48
Q3 tied	4.5%	4.3%	4.9%	0.86×	23.43

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 43.5	88.8%	87.2%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 over 27.5	86.5%	87.2%	80.0%	1.09×	1.15
Q3 under 40.5	78.4%	77.3%	81.9%	0.94×	1.29
Q3 over 30.5	74.7%	71.8%	66.8%	1.07×	1.39
Q3 under 38.5	69.0%	67.8%	73.9%	0.92×	1.48
Q3 over 32.5	64.6%	62.0%	56.1%	1.10×	1.61
Q3 under 36.5	58.2%	58.4%	64.6%	0.90×	1.71
Q3 over 34.5	53.3%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Q3 under 35.5	52.4%	52.3%	59.7%	0.88×	1.91
Q3 over 35.5	47.6%	47.7%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
Q3 under 34.5	46.7%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 36.5	41.8%	41.6%	35.4%	1.17×	2.40
Q3 under 32.5	35.4%	38.0%	43.9%	0.87×	2.63
Q3 over 38.5	31.0%	32.2%	26.1%	1.23×	3.11
Q3 under 30.5	25.3%	28.2%	33.2%	0.85×	3.55
Q3 over 40.5	21.6%	22.7%	18.1%	1.25×	4.40
Q3 under 27.5	13.5%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.83
Q3 over 43.5	11.2%	12.8%	9.8%	1.30×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win Q4	74.9%	66.4%	52.8%	1.26×	1.51
Drexel Dragons to win Q4	20.6%	28.9%	41.5%	0.70×	3.46
Q4 tied	4.4%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.29

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 43.5	87.3%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Q4 over 27.5	85.3%	85.6%	78.9%	1.09×	1.17
Q4 under 40.5	76.8%	76.9%	80.6%	0.95×	1.30
Q4 over 30.5	73.8%	71.5%	66.3%	1.08×	1.40
Q4 under 38.5	67.7%	67.4%	73.1%	0.92×	1.48
Q4 over 32.5	64.2%	61.4%	55.4%	1.11×	1.63
Q4 under 36.5	57.3%	58.4%	64.3%	0.91×	1.71
Q4 over 34.5	53.5%	52.5%	45.6%	1.15×	1.91
Q4 under 35.5	51.9%	52.5%	59.4%	0.88×	1.91
Q4 over 35.5	48.1%	47.5%	40.6%	1.17×	2.11
Q4 under 34.5	46.5%	47.5%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
Q4 over 36.5	42.7%	41.6%	35.7%	1.17×	2.40
Q4 under 32.5	35.8%	38.6%	44.6%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 38.5	32.3%	32.6%	26.9%	1.21×	3.07
Q4 under 30.5	26.2%	28.5%	33.7%	0.84×	3.51
Q4 over 40.5	23.2%	23.1%	19.4%	1.19×	4.33
Q4 under 27.5	14.7%	14.4%	21.1%	0.68×	6.95
Q4 over 43.5	12.7%	14.4%	11.4%	1.26×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers under 87.5	86.9%	83.9%	92.3%	0.91×	1.19
Drexel Dragons over 47.5	87.1%	83.9%	88.4%	0.95×	1.19
Drexel Dragons under 67.5	87.1%	83.9%	65.6%	1.28×	1.19
Virginia Cavaliers over 67.5	84.0%	80.7%	48.7%	1.66×	1.24
Virginia Cavaliers under 84.5	78.9%	75.1%	88.9%	0.84×	1.33
Drexel Dragons over 50.5	77.8%	75.1%	83.1%	0.90×	1.33
Drexel Dragons under 64.5	78.9%	75.1%	56.9%	1.32×	1.33
Virginia Cavaliers over 70.5	75.1%	75.1%	39.7%	1.89×	1.33
Virginia Cavaliers under 82.5	72.4%	70.7%	86.2%	0.82×	1.41
Drexel Dragons under 62.5	72.0%	70.7%	51.0%	1.39×	1.41
Drexel Dragons over 52.5	70.3%	70.7%	78.5%	0.90×	1.41
Virginia Cavaliers over 72.5	67.9%	66.4%	34.3%	1.93×	1.51
Virginia Cavaliers under 80.5	64.9%	61.2%	82.9%	0.74×	1.63
Drexel Dragons under 60.5	64.1%	61.2%	44.4%	1.38×	1.63
Drexel Dragons over 54.5	62.0%	61.2%	73.5%	0.83×	1.63
Virginia Cavaliers over 74.5	60.0%	57.1%	29.3%	1.95×	1.75
Virginia Cavaliers under 78.5	56.8%	57.1%	79.4%	0.72×	1.75
Drexel Dragons under 58.5	55.6%	57.1%	37.9%	1.51×	1.75
Virginia Cavaliers over 76.5	51.6%	52.3%	24.6%	2.13×	1.91
Virginia Cavaliers under 77.5	52.6%	52.3%	77.4%	0.68×	1.91
Drexel Dragons over 56.5	53.2%	52.3%	68.0%	0.77×	1.91
Drexel Dragons under 57.5	51.2%	52.3%	34.9%	1.50×	1.91
Virginia Cavaliers under 76.5	48.4%	47.7%	75.4%	0.63×	2.09
Virginia Cavaliers over 77.5	47.4%	47.7%	22.6%	2.11×	2.09
Drexel Dragons under 56.5	46.8%	47.7%	32.0%	1.49×	2.09
Drexel Dragons over 57.5	48.8%	47.7%	65.1%	0.73×	2.09
Drexel Dragons over 58.5	44.4%	42.9%	62.1%	0.69×	2.33
Virginia Cavaliers over 78.5	43.2%	42.9%	20.6%	2.08×	2.33
Virginia Cavaliers under 74.5	40.0%	42.9%	70.7%	0.61×	2.33
Drexel Dragons under 54.5	38.0%	38.8%	26.5%	1.47×	2.58
Virginia Cavaliers over 80.5	35.1%	38.8%	17.1%	2.27×	2.58
Drexel Dragons over 60.5	35.9%	38.8%	55.6%	0.70×	2.58
Virginia Cavaliers under 72.5	32.1%	33.6%	65.7%	0.51×	2.98
Drexel Dragons under 52.5	29.7%	29.3%	21.5%	1.36×	3.42
Virginia Cavaliers over 82.5	27.7%	29.3%	13.8%	2.13×	3.42
Drexel Dragons over 62.5	28.0%	29.3%	49.0%	0.60×	3.42
Virginia Cavaliers under 70.5	24.9%	24.9%	60.3%	0.41×	4.02
Virginia Cavaliers over 84.5	21.1%	24.9%	11.1%	2.24×	4.02
Drexel Dragons under 50.5	22.2%	24.9%	16.9%	1.48×	4.02
Drexel Dragons over 64.5	21.1%	24.9%	43.2%	0.58×	4.02
Virginia Cavaliers under 67.5	16.0%	19.3%	51.3%	0.38×	5.18
Virginia Cavaliers over 87.5	13.1%	16.1%	7.7%	2.10×	6.21
Drexel Dragons under 47.5	12.9%	16.1%	11.6%	1.39×	6.21
Drexel Dragons over 67.5	12.9%	16.1%	34.4%	0.47×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 114.5 points	91.8%	88.8%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Under 154.5 points	91.4%	88.8%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Under 149.5 points	85.0%	80.6%	84.9%	0.95×	1.24
Over 119.5 points	84.7%	80.6%	71.6%	1.13×	1.24
Under 144.5 points	75.8%	75.6%	78.1%	0.97×	1.32
Over 124.5 points	74.8%	70.8%	61.5%	1.15×	1.41
Under 141.5 points	69.1%	65.9%	73.4%	0.90×	1.52
Over 127.5 points	67.6%	65.9%	55.1%	1.20×	1.52
Under 139.5 points	64.2%	61.5%	69.9%	0.88×	1.63
Over 129.5 points	62.5%	61.5%	50.5%	1.22×	1.63
Under 137.5 points	59.0%	56.5%	66.2%	0.85×	1.77
Over 131.5 points	57.2%	56.5%	46.1%	1.23×	1.77
Under 135.5 points	53.7%	52.3%	62.4%	0.84×	1.91
Over 133.5 points	51.8%	52.3%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Under 134.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	60.2%	0.87×	1.91
Over 134.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	39.8%	1.20×	2.10
Under 133.5 points	48.2%	47.7%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Over 135.5 points	46.3%	47.7%	37.6%	1.27×	2.10
Under 131.5 points	42.8%	43.5%	53.9%	0.81×	2.30
Over 137.5 points	41.0%	43.5%	33.8%	1.29×	2.30
Under 129.5 points	37.5%	38.5%	49.5%	0.78×	2.60
Over 139.5 points	35.8%	38.5%	30.1%	1.28×	2.60
Under 127.5 points	32.4%	34.1%	44.9%	0.76×	2.93
Over 141.5 points	30.9%	34.1%	26.6%	1.28×	2.93
Under 124.5 points	25.2%	29.2%	38.5%	0.76×	3.43
Over 144.5 points	24.2%	24.4%	21.9%	1.11×	4.10
Under 119.5 points	15.3%	19.4%	28.4%	0.68×	5.15
Over 149.5 points	15.0%	19.4%	15.1%	1.29×	5.15
Under 114.5 points	8.2%	11.2%	19.6%	0.57×	8.96
Over 154.5 points	8.6%	11.2%	10.2%	1.10×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win both halves	71.2%	71.9%	36.0%	2.00×	1.39
Drexel Dragons to win both halves	0.8%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.80

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers by 26+	28.8%	30.8%	12.6%	2.44×	3.24
Virginia Cavaliers by 16-20	17.9%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
Virginia Cavaliers by 21-25	17.2%	16.8%	5.4%	3.11×	5.97
Virginia Cavaliers by 11-15	15.3%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Virginia Cavaliers by 6-10	10.7%	12.3%	12.9%	0.95×	8.11
Virginia Cavaliers by 1-5	6.2%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
Drexel Dragons by 1-5	2.5%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.31
Drexel Dragons by 6-10	0.9%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.32
Drexel Dragons by 11-15	0.3%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.33
Drexel Dragons by 16-20	0.1%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Drexel Dragons by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Drexel Dragons by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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