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Western Carolina Catamounts v Queens University Royals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Western Carolina Catamounts win
52.3%
Draw
0.0%
Queens University Royals win
47.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 60.53–59.92 61-60 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Western Carolina Catamounts to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Western Carolina Catamounts to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Western Carolina Catamounts to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win H1 49.1% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
Queens University Royals to win H1 46.4% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 70.5 89.6% 87.7% 78.9% 1.11× 1.14
H1 over 46.5 87.4% 87.7% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 66.5 80.6% 82.5% 67.1% 1.23× 1.21
H1 over 50.5 76.9% 77.4% 84.5% 0.92× 1.29
H1 under 63.5 71.4% 73.5% 57.1% 1.29× 1.36
H1 over 53.5 66.8% 67.4% 76.8% 0.88× 1.48
H1 under 61.5 64.3% 62.7% 49.8% 1.26× 1.59
H1 over 55.5 59.2% 58.2% 71.0% 0.82× 1.72
H1 under 59.5 56.7% 58.2% 42.2% 1.38× 1.72
H1 under 58.5 52.7% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 51.3% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 48.7% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 47.3% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 43.3% 41.8% 57.8% 0.72× 2.39
H1 under 55.5 40.8% 41.8% 29.0% 1.44× 2.39
H1 over 61.5 35.7% 37.3% 50.2% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 53.5 33.2% 32.6% 23.2% 1.41× 3.07
H1 over 63.5 28.6% 26.5% 42.9% 0.62× 3.77
H1 under 50.5 23.1% 22.6% 15.5% 1.46× 4.43
H1 over 66.5 19.4% 17.5% 32.9% 0.53× 5.72
H1 under 46.5 12.6% 12.3% 7.7% 1.60× 8.14
H1 over 70.5 10.4% 12.3% 21.1% 0.58× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win H2 49.3% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
Queens University Royals to win H2 46.4% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 51.5 87.4% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 87.6% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 78.2% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 77.4% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 68.9% 66.4% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 67.8% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 61.9% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 60.6% 61.6% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
H2 under 64.5 54.5% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 over 62.5 53.1% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 50.7% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 over 63.5 49.3% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 under 62.5 46.9% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 45.5% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 39.4% 38.4% 25.5% 1.50× 2.61
H2 over 66.5 38.1% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 32.2% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 31.1% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.97
H2 under 55.5 22.6% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 21.8% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 12.6% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 12.4% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts leading at half time 49.1% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Queens University Royals leading at half time 46.4% 47.2% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts +18.5 95.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Queens University Royals +20.5 96.4% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Western Carolina Catamounts +20.5 97.3% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Queens University Royals +18.5 94.7% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Queens University Royals +16.5 92.4% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Western Carolina Catamounts +16.5 93.9% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Western Carolina Catamounts +14.5 91.3% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Queens University Royals +14.5 89.4% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
Western Carolina Catamounts +12.5 88.0% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Queens University Royals +12.5 85.5% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
Western Carolina Catamounts +10.5 83.9% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
Western Carolina Catamounts +9.5 81.5% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
Queens University Royals +10.5 80.9% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
Western Carolina Catamounts +8.5 78.9% 76.5% 76.5% 1.00× 1.31
Queens University Royals +9.5 78.3% 76.5% 60.7% 1.26× 1.31
Western Carolina Catamounts +7.5 76.1% 76.5% 74.5% 1.03× 1.31
Queens University Royals +8.5 75.5% 76.5% 58.0% 1.32× 1.31
Western Carolina Catamounts +6.5 73.2% 71.6% 72.3% 0.99× 1.40
Queens University Royals +7.5 72.5% 71.6% 55.2% 1.30× 1.40
Western Carolina Catamounts +5.5 70.0% 71.6% 70.1% 1.02× 1.40
Queens University Royals +6.5 69.3% 66.7% 52.4% 1.27× 1.50
Western Carolina Catamounts +4.5 66.7% 66.7% 67.8% 0.98× 1.50
Queens University Royals +5.5 66.0% 66.7% 50.3% 1.33× 1.50
Western Carolina Catamounts +3.5 63.2% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
Queens University Royals +4.5 62.5% 61.9% 47.8% 1.29× 1.62
Western Carolina Catamounts +2.5 59.7% 57.1% 63.3% 0.90× 1.75
Queens University Royals +3.5 58.9% 57.1% 45.8% 1.25× 1.75
Western Carolina Catamounts +1.5 56.0% 57.1% 61.2% 0.93× 1.75
Queens University Royals +2.5 55.2% 57.1% 43.3% 1.32× 1.75
Queens University Royals +1.5 51.5% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
Western Carolina Catamounts −1.5 48.5% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Western Carolina Catamounts −2.5 44.8% 42.9% 56.7% 0.76× 2.33
Queens University Royals −1.5 44.0% 42.9% 38.8% 1.11× 2.33
Queens University Royals −2.5 40.3% 42.9% 36.7% 1.17× 2.33
Western Carolina Catamounts −3.5 41.1% 42.9% 54.2% 0.79× 2.33
Western Carolina Catamounts −4.5 37.5% 38.1% 52.2% 0.73× 2.63
Queens University Royals −3.5 36.8% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
Western Carolina Catamounts −5.5 34.0% 33.3% 49.7% 0.67× 3.01
Queens University Royals −4.5 33.3% 33.3% 32.2% 1.03× 3.01
Western Carolina Catamounts −6.5 30.7% 33.3% 47.6% 0.70× 3.01
Queens University Royals −5.5 30.0% 28.4% 29.9% 0.95× 3.53
Queens University Royals −6.5 26.8% 28.4% 27.7% 1.02× 3.53
Western Carolina Catamounts −7.5 27.5% 28.4% 44.8% 0.63× 3.53
Western Carolina Catamounts −8.5 24.5% 23.5% 42.0% 0.56× 4.25
Queens University Royals −7.5 23.9% 23.5% 25.5% 0.92× 4.25
Western Carolina Catamounts −9.5 21.7% 23.5% 39.3% 0.60× 4.25
Queens University Royals −8.5 21.1% 23.5% 23.5% 1.00× 4.25
Queens University Royals −9.5 18.5% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.29
Western Carolina Catamounts −10.5 19.1% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.29
Queens University Royals −10.5 16.1% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.30
Western Carolina Catamounts −12.5 14.5% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Queens University Royals −12.5 12.0% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
Western Carolina Catamounts −14.5 10.6% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
Queens University Royals −14.5 8.7% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Western Carolina Catamounts −16.5 7.6% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Queens University Royals −16.5 6.1% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Western Carolina Catamounts −18.5 5.3% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Queens University Royals −18.5 4.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.72
Western Carolina Catamounts −20.5 3.6% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Queens University Royals −20.5 2.7% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts at HT / Western Carolina Catamounts at FT 36.3% 37.7% 48.3% 0.78× 2.65
Queens University Royals at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 32.7% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
Queens University Royals at HT / Western Carolina Catamounts at FT 13.7% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Western Carolina Catamounts at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 12.9% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Level at HT / Western Carolina Catamounts at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win 52.3% 51.0% 59.9% 0.85× 1.96
Queens University Royals to win 47.7% 49.0% 40.1% 1.22× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Western Carolina Catamounts even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Queens University Royals even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Western Carolina Catamounts odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Queens University Royals odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win Q1 47.9% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Queens University Royals to win Q1 46.0% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 89.4% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 87.2% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.0% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 75.3% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 69.5% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 26.5 65.0% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 58.4% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 28.5 53.4% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 52.5% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 47.5% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 46.6% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 41.6% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 35.0% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 30.5% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 24.5 24.7% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 21.0% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 12.8% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.6% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win Q2 47.9% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Queens University Royals to win Q2 46.1% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 90.2% 90.8% 82.3% 1.10× 1.10
Q2 over 21.5 86.2% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 80.2% 83.0% 70.1% 1.18× 1.21
Q2 over 24.5 73.9% 72.0% 80.7% 0.89× 1.39
Q2 under 32.5 71.0% 72.0% 60.8% 1.18× 1.39
Q2 over 26.5 63.3% 60.7% 71.6% 0.85× 1.65
Q2 under 30.5 60.1% 60.7% 50.1% 1.21× 1.65
Q2 under 29.5 54.3% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 51.6% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 48.4% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 45.7% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 39.9% 39.3% 49.9% 0.79× 2.54
Q2 under 26.5 36.7% 39.3% 28.4% 1.38× 2.55
Q2 over 32.5 29.0% 28.0% 39.2% 0.71× 3.57
Q2 under 24.5 26.1% 28.0% 19.3% 1.45× 3.57
Q2 over 34.5 19.8% 17.0% 29.9% 0.57× 5.88
Q2 under 21.5 13.8% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 9.8% 9.2% 17.7% 0.52× 10.83
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win Q3 48.0% 47.6% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Queens University Royals to win Q3 46.0% 47.5% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 88.3% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.2% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 77.3% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 75.9% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 67.6% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 66.0% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 56.6% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 54.9% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 50.8% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 49.2% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 45.1% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 43.4% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 34.0% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 32.4% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 24.1% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 22.7% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 12.8% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q3 under 23.5 11.7% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win Q4 48.1% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Queens University Royals to win Q4 46.1% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 87.1% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 85.6% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 76.3% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 74.4% 71.5% 64.3% 1.11× 1.40
Q4 over 28.5 67.0% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 64.9% 61.4% 54.4% 1.13× 1.63
Q4 over 30.5 56.6% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 54.3% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 51.1% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 48.9% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 45.7% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 43.4% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 34.5 35.1% 38.6% 45.6% 0.85× 2.59
Q4 under 28.5 33.0% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 25.6% 28.5% 35.7% 0.80× 3.51
Q4 under 26.5 23.7% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 14.4% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Q4 under 23.5 12.9% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts under 71.5 87.0% 83.9% 63.0% 1.33× 1.19
Queens University Royals under 70.5 86.8% 83.9% 73.7% 1.14× 1.19
Queens University Royals over 50.5 85.8% 83.9% 83.1% 1.01× 1.19
Western Carolina Catamounts over 51.5 84.1% 80.7% 89.3% 0.90× 1.24
Western Carolina Catamounts under 68.5 79.1% 75.1% 54.4% 1.38× 1.33
Queens University Royals under 67.5 78.6% 75.1% 65.6% 1.15× 1.33
Queens University Royals over 53.5 76.8% 75.1% 76.3% 0.98× 1.33
Western Carolina Catamounts over 54.5 74.9% 70.7% 83.8% 0.84× 1.41
Western Carolina Catamounts under 66.5 72.6% 70.7% 48.2% 1.47× 1.41
Queens University Royals under 65.5 71.8% 70.7% 59.8% 1.18× 1.41
Queens University Royals over 55.5 69.5% 66.4% 70.8% 0.94× 1.51
Western Carolina Catamounts over 56.5 67.6% 66.4% 79.5% 0.83× 1.51
Western Carolina Catamounts under 64.5 65.1% 66.4% 41.6% 1.60× 1.51
Queens University Royals under 63.5 64.1% 61.2% 53.9% 1.13× 1.63
Queens University Royals over 57.5 61.4% 61.2% 65.1% 0.94× 1.63
Western Carolina Catamounts over 58.5 59.6% 57.1% 74.7% 0.76× 1.75
Western Carolina Catamounts under 62.5 57.1% 57.1% 35.7% 1.60× 1.75
Queens University Royals under 61.5 55.8% 57.1% 47.9% 1.19× 1.75
Western Carolina Catamounts over 60.5 51.3% 52.3% 69.5% 0.75× 1.91
Western Carolina Catamounts under 61.5 52.9% 52.3% 33.1% 1.58× 1.91
Queens University Royals over 59.5 52.9% 52.3% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
Queens University Royals under 60.5 51.5% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
Western Carolina Catamounts under 60.5 48.7% 47.7% 30.5% 1.56× 2.09
Western Carolina Catamounts over 61.5 47.1% 47.7% 66.9% 0.71× 2.09
Queens University Royals under 59.5 47.1% 47.7% 41.2% 1.16× 2.09
Queens University Royals over 60.5 48.5% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
Queens University Royals over 61.5 44.2% 42.9% 52.1% 0.82× 2.33
Western Carolina Catamounts over 62.5 42.9% 42.9% 64.3% 0.67× 2.33
Western Carolina Catamounts under 58.5 40.4% 42.9% 25.3% 1.70× 2.33
Queens University Royals under 57.5 38.6% 38.8% 34.9% 1.11× 2.58
Queens University Royals over 63.5 35.9% 38.8% 46.1% 0.84× 2.58
Western Carolina Catamounts over 64.5 34.9% 33.6% 58.4% 0.58× 2.98
Western Carolina Catamounts under 56.5 32.4% 33.6% 20.5% 1.64× 2.98
Queens University Royals under 55.5 30.5% 33.6% 29.2% 1.15× 2.98
Western Carolina Catamounts over 66.5 27.5% 29.3% 51.8% 0.56× 3.42
Queens University Royals over 65.5 28.2% 29.3% 40.2% 0.73× 3.42
Western Carolina Catamounts under 54.5 25.1% 29.3% 16.2% 1.81× 3.42
Queens University Royals under 53.5 23.2% 24.9% 23.7% 1.05× 4.02
Western Carolina Catamounts over 68.5 20.9% 24.9% 45.6% 0.55× 4.02
Queens University Royals over 67.5 21.4% 24.9% 34.4% 0.72× 4.02
Western Carolina Catamounts under 51.5 15.9% 19.3% 10.7% 1.80× 5.18
Queens University Royals under 50.5 14.2% 16.1% 16.9% 0.95× 6.21
Western Carolina Catamounts over 71.5 13.0% 16.1% 37.0% 0.44× 6.21
Queens University Royals over 70.5 13.2% 16.1% 26.3% 0.61× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 141.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 73.4% 1.21× 1.13
Over 101.5 points 91.7% 88.8% 94.8% 0.94× 1.13
Under 136.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 64.2% 1.32× 1.18
Over 106.5 points 84.5% 80.6% 91.0% 0.89× 1.24
Under 131.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 53.9% 1.40× 1.32
Over 111.5 points 74.3% 70.8% 85.1% 0.83× 1.41
Under 128.5 points 69.4% 65.9% 47.2% 1.40× 1.52
Over 114.5 points 67.2% 65.9% 80.4% 0.82× 1.52
Under 126.5 points 64.5% 61.5% 42.6% 1.44× 1.63
Over 116.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 77.2% 0.80× 1.63
Under 124.5 points 59.4% 56.5% 38.5% 1.47× 1.77
Over 118.5 points 56.8% 56.5% 73.6% 0.77× 1.77
Under 122.5 points 54.1% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 69.8% 0.75× 1.91
Under 121.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 30.2% 1.58× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Over 122.5 points 45.9% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.10
Under 118.5 points 43.2% 43.5% 26.4% 1.64× 2.30
Over 124.5 points 40.6% 43.5% 61.5% 0.71× 2.30
Under 116.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 22.8% 1.69× 2.60
Over 126.5 points 35.5% 38.5% 57.4% 0.67× 2.60
Under 114.5 points 32.8% 34.1% 19.6% 1.74× 2.93
Over 128.5 points 30.6% 34.1% 52.8% 0.65× 2.93
Under 111.5 points 25.7% 29.2% 14.9% 1.95× 3.43
Over 131.5 points 23.9% 24.4% 46.1% 0.53× 4.10
Under 106.5 points 15.5% 19.4% 9.0% 2.16× 5.15
Over 136.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 35.8% 0.42× 6.68
Over 141.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 26.6% 0.42× 8.96
Under 101.5 points 8.3% 11.2% 5.2% 2.15× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts to win both halves 21.1% 23.0% 36.0% 0.64× 4.34
Queens University Royals to win both halves 18.4% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Carolina Catamounts by 1-5 18.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Queens University Royals by 1-5 17.7% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Western Carolina Catamounts by 6-10 15.0% 12.3% 12.9% 0.96× 8.11
Queens University Royals by 6-10 13.9% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Western Carolina Catamounts by 11-15 10.0% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Queens University Royals by 11-15 8.8% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Western Carolina Catamounts by 16-20 5.5% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Queens University Royals by 16-20 4.6% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
Western Carolina Catamounts by 21-25 2.4% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Queens University Royals by 21-25 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Western Carolina Catamounts by 26+ 1.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Queens University Royals by 26+ 0.8% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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