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Verona v Monza — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 21 October 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

0–3
0.81 – 1.56 xG
Shots
16 – 10
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
10 – 7
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.30 – 0.27
Goals − xG
-0.81 – +1.44
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Dany Mota 8' — goalDany Mota 73' — goalAlessandro Bianco 78' — goal
Verona 0.81 xGMonza 1.56 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Pedro Pereira 4' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 8' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Daniele Ghilardi 14' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Darko Lazovic 20' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Daniele Ghilardi 22' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Giangiacomo Magnani 22' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Daniel Mosquera 27' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Ondrej Duda 31' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Casper Tengstedt 32' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Tomás Suslov 33' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Milan Djuric 37' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Casper Tengstedt 42' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Darko Lazovic 45' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Giangiacomo Magnani 46' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Milan Djuric 51' — Saved Shot (0.24 xG, From Corner)Gianluca Caprari 54' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Matteo Pessina 57' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Georgios Kyriakopoulos 60' — Shot On Post (0.03 xG, Open Play)Georgios Kyriakopoulos 62' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Suat Serdar 69' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Grigoris Kastanos 70' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Daniele Ghilardi 72' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dany Mota 73' — Goal (0.43 xG, Open Play)Alessandro Bianco 78' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)Marco Faraoni 83' — Missed Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Reda Belahyane 87' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Verona attacking right Monza attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Monza Pedro Pereira 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Dany Mota
8' Monza Dany Mota 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Gianluca Caprari
14' Verona Daniele Ghilardi 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Domagoj Bradaric
20' Verona Darko Lazovic 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Daniel Mosquera
22' Verona Daniele Ghilardi 0.03 From Corner Saved Shot Ondrej Duda
22' Verona Giangiacomo Magnani 0.01 From Corner Missed Shot Tomás Suslov
27' Verona Daniel Mosquera 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Daniele Ghilardi
31' Verona Ondrej Duda 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jackson Tchatchoua
32' Verona Casper Tengstedt 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
33' Verona Tomás Suslov 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ondrej Duda
37' Monza Milan Djuric 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Gianluca Caprari
42' Verona Casper Tengstedt 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jackson Tchatchoua
45' Verona Darko Lazovic 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Casper Tengstedt
46' Verona Giangiacomo Magnani 0.06 Set Piece Missed Shot Tomás Suslov
51' Monza Milan Djuric 0.24 From Corner Saved Shot Gianluca Caprari
54' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Andrea Carboni
57' Monza Matteo Pessina 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Gianluca Caprari
60' Monza Georgios Kyriakopoulos 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Pedro Pereira
62' Monza Georgios Kyriakopoulos 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Gianluca Caprari
69' Verona Suat Serdar 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
70' Verona Grigoris Kastanos 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Amin Sarr
72' Verona Daniele Ghilardi 0.03 From Corner Saved Shot Domagoj Bradaric
73' Monza Dany Mota 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Goal Milan Djuric
78' Monza Alessandro Bianco 0.55 Open Play Right Foot Goal
83' Verona Marco Faraoni 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Reda Belahyane
87' Verona Reda Belahyane 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Casper Tengstedt

Players

Monza

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dany Mota AMC 90 2 0 2 1 0.46 0.06 0.55
Georgios Kyriakopoulos DML 90 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.17
Pablo Marí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Stefano Turati GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.43
Armando Izzo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Andrea Carboni DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.05
Warren Bondo MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Milan Djuric FW 86 0 1 2 1 0.27 0.43 0.54
Matteo Pessina MC 86 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.18
Pedro Pereira DMR 73 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.03 0.12
Gianluca Caprari AMC 73 0 1 1 5 0.01 0.49 0.26
Alessandro Bianco Sub 17 1 0 1 0 0.55 0.00 0.55
Danilo D'Ambrosio Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Roberto Gagliardini Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mirko Maric Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuele Vignato Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Verona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Daniele Ghilardi DC 90 0 0 3 1 0.09 0.07 0.10
Giangiacomo Magnani DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.15
Casper Tengstedt FW 90 0 0 2 2 0.06 0.07 0.13
Reda Belahyane MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.31 0.41
Jackson Tchatchoua DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.15
Lorenzo Montipò GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Domagoj Bradaric DL 78 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.06 0.02
Darko Lazovic MR 70 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Daniel Mosquera FW 63 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.02 0.15
Tomás Suslov ML 63 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.07 0.04
Ondrej Duda MC 62 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.05 0.07
Suat Serdar Sub 28 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.32
Grigoris Kastanos Sub 27 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.32
Amin Sarr Sub 27 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Dailon Livramento Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marco Faraoni Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.31 0.00 0.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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