Nashville Predators v Tampa Bay Lightning — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 23 September 2026 · NHL · 2027
NHL results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Nashville Predators win
36.3%
Draw
21.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning win
42.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nhl-ai | 2.64–3.30 | 2-2 6% | 93% | 90% | |
| nhl-dc | 2.64–3.30 | 2-3 5% | 94% | 90% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win | 42.6% | 44.8% | 31.2% | 1.44× | 2.23 |
| Nashville Predators to win | 36.3% | 35.3% | 42.6% | 0.83× | 2.83 |
| Draw | 21.1% | 24.3% | 26.3% | 0.93× | 4.11 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (1UP) | 70.6% | 76.8% | 49.3% | 1.56× | 1.30 |
| Nashville Predators (1UP) | 65.2% | 67.5% | 58.7% | 1.15× | 1.48 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (2UP) | 43.7% | 47.7% | 33.4% | 1.43× | 2.10 |
| Nashville Predators (2UP) | 36.5% | 36.7% | 44.5% | 0.82× | 2.73 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (+2.5) | 89.3% | 90.1% | 90.3% | 1.00× | 1.11 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning (+1.5) | 79.0% | 81.6% | 78.1% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning (+0.5) | 63.7% | 63.8% | 57.4% | 1.11× | 1.57 |
| Nashville Predators (+0.5) | 57.4% | 57.5% | 68.8% | 0.84× | 1.74 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.5) | 42.6% | 42.5% | 31.2% | 1.36× | 2.35 |
| Nashville Predators (-0.5) | 36.3% | 36.2% | 42.6% | 0.85× | 2.76 |
| Nashville Predators (-1.5) | 21.0% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 0.84× | 5.43 |
| Nashville Predators (-2.5) | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 1.02× | 10.07 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators (away no bet) | 63.3% | 60.0% | 61.8% | 0.97× | 1.67 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 36.7% | 40.0% | 38.2% | 1.05× | 2.50 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 60.2% | 60.4% | 16.9% | 3.58× | 1.66 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 39.8% | 39.6% | 83.1% | 0.48× | 2.52 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 95.6% | 95.6% | 64.8% | 1.48× | 1.05 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 35.2% | 0.12× | 22.83 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 88.9% | 90.4% | 57.4% | 1.57× | 1.11 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score 2+ in a row | 65.0% | 60.5% | 27.9% | 2.17× | 1.65 |
| Nashville Predators to score 2+ in a row | 59.0% | 54.2% | 36.2% | 1.50× | 1.84 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 52.0% | 51.3% | 22.4% | 2.29× | 1.95 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score 3+ in a row | 31.9% | 29.4% | 8.9% | 3.32× | 3.40 |
| Nashville Predators to score 3+ in a row | 25.3% | 25.3% | 13.9% | 1.82× | 3.95 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 31.2% | 27.5% | 3.8% | 7.26× | 3.63 |
| 2-2 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.29× | 13.39 |
| 3-3 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 6.19× | 13.39 |
| 3-2 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 2.57× | 13.40 |
| 2-3 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.79× | 57.45 |
| 1-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.49 |
| 2-1 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 8.5% | 0.21× | 57.48 |
| 2-4 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.37× | 57.48 |
| 4-3 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.07× | 57.48 |
| 4-4 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.84× | 57.49 |
| 1-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 11.4% | 0.15× | 57.50 |
| 1-2 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.50 |
| 1-4 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 57.51 |
| 3-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.37× | 57.50 |
| 3-4 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.53× | 57.49 |
| 4-2 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.72× | 57.49 |
| 0-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 57.55 |
| 4-1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 57.53 |
| 0-0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 57.58 |
| 0-1 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.57 |
| 0-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.33× | 57.56 |
| 0-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.60× | 57.56 |
| 1-0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 8.8% | 0.20× | 57.57 |
| 2-0 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 0.27× | 57.56 |
| 3-0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 57.56 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.99× | 57.57 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning leading at HT (DNB) | 50.9% | 55.5% | 43.2% | 1.28× | 1.80 |
| Nashville Predators leading at HT (DNB) | 49.1% | 44.5% | 56.8% | 0.78× | 2.25 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators or Tampa Bay Lightning (12) | 78.9% | 75.7% | 73.7% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning or draw (X2) | 63.7% | 64.7% | 57.4% | 1.13× | 1.55 |
| Nashville Predators or draw (1X) | 57.4% | 55.2% | 68.8% | 0.80× | 1.81 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning or draw (1UP) | 70.6% | 79.9% | 64.5% | 1.24× | 1.25 |
| Nashville Predators or draw (1UP) | 65.2% | 76.2% | 74.6% | 1.02× | 1.31 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (DNB) | 54.0% | 52.8% | 42.3% | 1.25× | 1.90 |
| Nashville Predators (DNB) | 46.0% | 47.2% | 57.7% | 0.82× | 2.12 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score first | 55.4% | 61.7% | 42.0% | 1.47× | 1.62 |
| Nashville Predators to score first | 44.3% | 41.5% | 50.2% | 0.83× | 2.41 |
| No goal scored | 0.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.90 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 90.1% | 90.1% | 54.0% | 1.67× | 1.11 |
| Not both teams to score | 9.9% | 9.9% | 46.0% | 0.21× | 10.11 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 63.8% | 64.2% | 15.5% | 4.13× | 1.56 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 36.2% | 35.8% | 84.5% | 0.42× | 2.79 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 67.7% | 67.4% | 29.1% | 2.32× | 1.48 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 32.3% | 32.6% | 70.9% | 0.46× | 3.07 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 50.0% | 50.0% | 18.0% | 2.78× | 2.00 |
| Not both to score by HT | 50.0% | 50.0% | 82.0% | 0.61× | 2.00 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 47.0% | 46.9% | 29.1% | 1.61× | 2.13 |
| 7+ goals | 37.1% | 38.4% | 2.4% | 15.93× | 2.60 |
| 2-3 goals | 14.0% | 14.3% | 45.0% | 0.32× | 6.97 |
| 0-1 goals | 1.9% | 1.8% | 23.6% | 0.08× | 55.04 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score 3+ | 59.4% | 58.1% | 13.9% | 4.18× | 1.72 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score exactly 2 | 22.2% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 0.97× | 4.64 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score exactly 1 | 14.1% | 10.6% | 34.3% | 0.31× | 9.43 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score exactly 0 | 4.3% | 2.3% | 29.6% | 0.08× | 42.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators to score 3+ | 53.3% | 45.4% | 20.8% | 2.18× | 2.20 |
| Nashville Predators to score exactly 2 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 23.6% | 1.01× | 4.19 |
| Nashville Predators to score exactly 1 | 16.7% | 19.2% | 31.4% | 0.61× | 5.20 |
| Nashville Predators to score exactly 0 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 24.2% | 0.29× | 13.99 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning leading at HT | 36.8% | 38.3% | 25.3% | 1.52× | 2.61 |
| Nashville Predators leading at HT | 35.5% | 38.3% | 33.2% | 1.15× | 2.61 |
| Draw at HT | 27.7% | 25.6% | 41.5% | 0.62× | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning -1: 1 | 57.4% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning -1: 2 | 29.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning -1: X | 13.5% | 11.8% | — | — | 8.50 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (0:1) | 63.7% | 66.4% | 57.4% | 1.16× | 1.51 |
| Nashville Predators (0:1) | 21.0% | 23.8% | 21.9% | 1.09× | 4.20 |
| Draw (0:1) | 15.3% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 0.70× | 6.93 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (0:2) | 79.0% | 81.0% | 78.1% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Nashville Predators (0:2) | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 1.06× | 9.70 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 0.85× | 9.70 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (0:3) | 89.3% | 89.9% | 90.3% | 1.00× | 1.11 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 0.93× | 17.87 |
| Nashville Predators (0:3) | 4.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.05 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (0:4) | 95.3% | 98.3% | 96.3% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 0.42× | 92.07 |
| Nashville Predators (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.93× | 92.93 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators (1:0) | 57.4% | 53.6% | 68.8% | 0.78× | 1.86 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning (1:0) | 29.0% | 29.0% | 14.5% | 1.99× | 3.45 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.5% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 0.66× | 9.11 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators (2:0) | 71.0% | 71.9% | 85.5% | 0.84× | 1.39 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning (2:0) | 17.6% | 18.2% | 5.9% | 3.10× | 5.49 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 1.40× | 8.23 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 57.5% | 60.8% | 47.5% | 1.28× | 1.64 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.0% | 26.5% | 25.7% | 1.03× | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 16.5% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 0.69× | 5.40 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning (home no bet) | 66.9% | 67.0% | 54.3% | 1.23× | 1.49 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 33.1% | 33.0% | 45.7% | 0.72× | 3.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 23.3% | 23.9% | 4.7% | 5.13× | 4.19 |
| HT 1-1 | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.22 |
| HT 0-1 | 10.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 0.67× | 9.25 |
| HT 1-0 | 10.6% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 0.53× | 9.25 |
| HT 0-0 | 8.7% | 7.0% | 30.7% | 0.23× | 14.24 |
| HT 1-2 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.64× | 14.26 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.23× | 14.26 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.47× | 14.28 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.00× | 14.28 |
| HT 2-2 | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.61× | 44.45 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning at HT / Tampa Bay Lightning at FT | 26.4% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 1.57× | 3.74 |
| Nashville Predators at HT / Nashville Predators at FT | 22.8% | 21.8% | 25.3% | 0.86× | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Tampa Bay Lightning at FT | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 1.12× | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Nashville Predators at FT | 9.2% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 0.43× | 15.98 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 7.7% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 0.40× | 16.03 |
| Nashville Predators at HT / Draw at FT | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.23× | 16.04 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning at HT / Draw at FT | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.14× | 16.07 |
| Nashville Predators at HT / Tampa Bay Lightning at FT | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.18× | 16.09 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning at HT / Nashville Predators at FT | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.18× | 29.46 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score last | 52.1% | 52.5% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Nashville Predators to score last | 47.5% | 46.1% | 50.3% | 0.92× | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 0.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.90 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 99.7% | 94.9% | 92.2% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 77.1% | 78.7% | 47.3% | 1.66× | 1.27 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to lead by 1 at any time | 70.6% | 75.6% | 49.3% | 1.53× | 1.32 |
| Nashville Predators to lead by 1 at any time | 65.2% | 66.5% | 58.7% | 1.13× | 1.50 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to lead by 2 at any time | 43.7% | 38.3% | 19.9% | 1.93× | 2.61 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 42.2% | 38.3% | 19.0% | 2.01× | 2.61 |
| Nashville Predators to lead by 2 at any time | 36.5% | 34.1% | 27.8% | 1.23× | 2.94 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to lead by 3 at any time | 24.7% | 20.2% | 7.2% | 2.82× | 4.94 |
| Nashville Predators to lead by 3 at any time | 17.6% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 1.23× | 6.86 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 61.0% | 62.7% | 74.0% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| 3-6 goals | 55.8% | 58.4% | 50.9% | 1.15× | 1.71 |
| 4-6 goals | 47.0% | 47.4% | 29.1% | 1.63× | 2.11 |
| 1-5 goals | 45.7% | 47.3% | 85.7% | 0.55× | 2.11 |
| 2-5 goals | 44.2% | 42.2% | 69.9% | 0.60× | 2.37 |
| 3-5 goals | 39.0% | 39.5% | 46.8% | 0.84× | 2.53 |
| 7+ goals | 37.1% | 39.4% | 2.4% | 16.36× | 2.54 |
| 5-6 goals | 32.3% | 32.7% | 13.1% | 2.50× | 3.06 |
| 1-4 goals | 30.2% | 32.7% | 76.8% | 0.43× | 3.06 |
| 4-5 goals | 30.1% | 32.7% | 25.0% | 1.31× | 3.06 |
| 2-4 goals | 28.7% | 26.1% | 61.0% | 0.43× | 3.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 23.5% | 20.9% | 37.8% | 0.55× | 4.79 |
| 1-3 goals | 15.5% | 15.6% | 60.8% | 0.26× | 6.40 |
| 2-3 goals | 14.0% | 10.8% | 45.0% | 0.24× | 9.27 |
| 1-2 goals | 6.7% | 4.9% | 39.0% | 0.13× | 20.41 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning never behind | 34.5% | 36.1% | 41.3% | 0.87× | 2.77 |
| Nashville Predators never behind | 29.1% | 30.6% | 50.7% | 0.60× | 3.27 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 52.6% | 50.3% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| Odd number of goals | 47.4% | 49.7% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.4% | 52.2% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.6% | 47.8% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.1% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.9% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 99.7% | 95.8% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 98.1% | 95.7% | 76.4% | 1.25× | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92.9% | 93.0% | 53.3% | 1.75× | 1.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 84.1% | 82.0% | 31.5% | 2.61× | 1.22 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 69.5% | 68.9% | 15.5% | 4.45× | 1.45 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 54.0% | 52.0% | 6.5% | 7.95× | 1.92 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 46.0% | 48.0% | 93.5% | 0.51× | 2.09 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 30.5% | 31.1% | 84.5% | 0.37× | 3.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 15.9% | 18.0% | 68.5% | 0.26× | 5.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7.1% | 7.0% | 46.7% | 0.15× | 14.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 1.9% | 4.3% | 23.6% | 0.18× | 23.37 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.55× | 23.56 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 98.0% | 98.1% | 69.3% | 1.42× | 1.02 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 92.3% | 94.8% | 40.2% | 2.36× | 1.06 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 81.4% | 83.7% | 18.4% | 4.54× | 1.20 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 63.9% | 61.4% | 7.2% | 8.54× | 1.63 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 55.3% | 59.9% | 97.5% | 0.61× | 1.67 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 44.7% | 40.1% | 2.5% | 15.94× | 2.49 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 36.1% | 38.6% | 92.8% | 0.42× | 2.59 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 18.6% | 16.3% | 81.6% | 0.20× | 6.13 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 7.7% | 5.2% | 59.8% | 0.09× | 19.29 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 2.0% | 1.9% | 30.7% | 0.06× | 52.58 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning to score in both halves | 59.9% | 56.7% | 21.9% | 2.58× | 1.76 |
| Nashville Predators to score in both halves | 56.0% | 56.3% | 28.9% | 1.95× | 1.78 |
| Nashville Predators not to score in both halves | 44.0% | 43.7% | 71.1% | 0.61× | 2.29 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning not to score in both halves | 40.1% | 43.3% | 78.1% | 0.55× | 2.31 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 90.1% | 90.1% | 54.0% | 1.67× | 1.11 |
| Only Tampa Bay Lightning scores | 5.6% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 0.44× | 13.70 |
| Only Nashville Predators scores | 4.0% | 4.9% | 21.8% | 0.22× | 20.47 |
| Neither team scores | 0.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.89 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 54.0% | 54.0% | 6.5% | 8.25× | 1.85 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 15.5% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 2.01× | 5.55 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.7% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 0.72× | 8.71 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 8.8% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 0.34× | 13.65 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 5.2% | 7.3% | 23.2% | 0.31× | 13.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 1.5% | 4.2% | 15.8% | 0.27× | 23.61 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.54× | 23.75 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 85.8% | 85.8% | 48.7% | 1.76× | 1.17 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 11.0% | 15.8% | 32.0% | 0.49× | 6.34 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 3.2% | 3.2% | 19.3% | 0.16× | 31.67 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators not to win both halves | 89.1% | 88.2% | 87.0% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning not to win both halves | 83.8% | 83.9% | 92.0% | 0.91× | 1.19 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win both halves | 16.2% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.00× | 6.22 |
| Nashville Predators to win both halves | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 0.91× | 8.47 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 21.1% | 24.7% | 26.3% | 0.94× | 4.05 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning by 3+ | 17.6% | 17.2% | 5.9% | 2.92× | 5.83 |
| Nashville Predators by 1 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 0.83× | 5.84 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning by 1 | 13.5% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.67× | 8.98 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning by 2 | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 1.28× | 9.00 |
| Nashville Predators by 3+ | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 1.14× | 9.01 |
| Nashville Predators by 2 | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 0.91× | 9.01 |