betaider.com
Sign in

Track record

Ice hockey: what the model predicted, against what actually happened

What you are looking at
Two records, answering different questions. Historical replays every prediction the walk-forward backtest made — the model only ever saw matches played before the one it was predicting, so these are genuine forecasts, and there are enough of them to mean something. Live is picks this app actually published, settled after the fact. It starts empty and grows.

Historical uses the raw model probability rather than the calibrated one, because calibration is itself derived from this history — scoring against it would be marking its own homework.
No ice hockey track record yet. Settle this sport's out-of-sample picks first:
./.venv/bin/python -m pipeline.settle --sport icehockey
betaider.com

Sport

Football Basketball Tennis Ice hockey Baseball

Ice hockey sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Ice hockey model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Track record

What this page is for

The scoreboard. Not what the model thinks it can do, but what happened when it was asked in advance and the matches were then played.

How to read it

Everything here is out of sample: each prediction was made before the match it describes. Break the record down by market and league before drawing a conclusion from the headline — a model can be genuinely good at one league and useless at another, and an average over both hides it.

Things to watch

Sample size is the trap. A market with thirty settled picks tells you almost nothing; a run of good results over a few weeks is well within what luck produces. Football is low-scoring enough that the better side loses often, and a fair chunk of every result is simply not predictable.

Where to go next

Profit at fair odds, at the foot of the page, is the harshest test on the site: it asks whether the edge survives being paid for.

Press esc to close Read the full guide