New York Rangers v New York Islanders — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 22 September 2026 · NHL · 2027
NHL results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nhl-ai | 2.95–2.52 | 2-2 8% | 90% | 88% | |
| nhl-dc | 2.95–2.52 | 2-2 6% | 91% | 88% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers to win | 45.0% | 45.9% | 42.6% | 1.08× | 2.18 |
| New York Islanders to win | 32.5% | 28.0% | 31.2% | 0.90× | 3.58 |
| Draw | 22.5% | 24.4% | 26.3% | 0.93× | 4.10 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers (1UP) | 71.2% | 76.9% | 58.7% | 1.31× | 1.30 |
| New York Islanders (1UP) | 61.9% | 63.6% | 49.3% | 1.29× | 1.57 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers (2UP) | 45.0% | 48.4% | 44.5% | 1.09× | 2.07 |
| New York Islanders (2UP) | 32.6% | 30.2% | 33.4% | 0.91× | 3.31 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders (+2.5) | 83.2% | 85.6% | 90.3% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| New York Islanders (+1.5) | 70.6% | 75.4% | 78.1% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| New York Rangers (+0.5) | 67.5% | 70.8% | 68.8% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| New York Islanders (+0.5) | 55.0% | 53.3% | 57.4% | 0.93× | 1.88 |
| New York Rangers (-0.5) | 45.0% | 46.7% | 42.6% | 1.10× | 2.14 |
| New York Islanders (-0.5) | 32.5% | 29.2% | 31.2% | 0.94× | 3.43 |
| New York Rangers (-1.5) | 29.4% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 1.12× | 4.07 |
| New York Rangers (-2.5) | 16.8% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 1.48× | 6.93 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers (away no bet) | 66.7% | 63.6% | 61.8% | 1.03× | 1.57 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 33.3% | 36.4% | 38.2% | 0.95× | 2.75 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 54.5% | 57.0% | 16.9% | 3.38× | 1.75 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 45.5% | 43.0% | 83.1% | 0.52× | 2.33 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 93.8% | 94.8% | 64.8% | 1.46× | 1.06 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 6.2% | 5.2% | 35.2% | 0.15× | 19.08 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 86.1% | 88.5% | 57.4% | 1.54× | 1.13 |
| New York Rangers to score 2+ in a row | 63.3% | 60.4% | 36.2% | 1.67× | 1.66 |
| New York Islanders to score 2+ in a row | 53.6% | 51.4% | 27.9% | 1.84× | 1.94 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 47.7% | 45.5% | 22.4% | 2.03× | 2.20 |
| New York Rangers to score 3+ in a row | 30.3% | 29.4% | 13.9% | 2.11× | 3.41 |
| New York Islanders to score 3+ in a row | 21.5% | 18.7% | 8.9% | 2.11× | 5.34 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 25.2% | 24.7% | 3.8% | 6.51× | 4.05 |
| 2-2 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.29× | 13.39 |
| 3-3 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 6.19× | 13.39 |
| 3-2 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 2.57× | 13.39 |
| 2-3 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.79× | 57.45 |
| 1-1 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 11.4% | 0.15× | 57.47 |
| 1-2 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.48 |
| 2-1 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 8.5% | 0.21× | 57.46 |
| 3-1 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.37× | 57.46 |
| 4-2 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.72× | 57.47 |
| 1-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.49 |
| 2-4 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.37× | 57.50 |
| 3-4 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.53× | 57.50 |
| 4-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 57.50 |
| 4-3 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.07× | 57.49 |
| 4-4 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.83× | 57.50 |
| 0-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.33× | 57.55 |
| 1-4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 57.53 |
| 2-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 0.27× | 57.54 |
| 3-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 57.54 |
| 4-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.99× | 57.55 |
| 0-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 57.57 |
| 0-1 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.56 |
| 0-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 57.56 |
| 0-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.60× | 57.57 |
| 1-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 8.8% | 0.20× | 57.56 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers leading at HT (DNB) | 58.5% | 58.2% | 56.8% | 1.03× | 1.72 |
| New York Islanders leading at HT (DNB) | 41.5% | 41.8% | 43.2% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers or New York Islanders (12) | 77.5% | 75.6% | 73.7% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| New York Rangers or draw (1X) | 67.5% | 72.0% | 68.8% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| New York Islanders or draw (X2) | 55.0% | 54.1% | 57.4% | 0.94× | 1.85 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers or draw (1UP) | 71.2% | 79.9% | 74.6% | 1.07× | 1.25 |
| New York Islanders or draw (1UP) | 61.9% | 70.9% | 64.5% | 1.10× | 1.41 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers (DNB) | 58.1% | 62.6% | 57.7% | 1.08× | 1.60 |
| New York Islanders (DNB) | 41.9% | 37.4% | 42.3% | 0.88× | 2.68 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers to score first | 53.7% | 54.6% | 50.2% | 1.09× | 1.83 |
| New York Islanders to score first | 45.8% | 44.0% | 42.0% | 1.05× | 2.27 |
| No goal scored | 0.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.87 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 87.8% | 87.8% | 54.0% | 1.63× | 1.14 |
| Not both teams to score | 12.2% | 12.2% | 46.0% | 0.27× | 8.17 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 58.2% | 59.2% | 15.5% | 3.81× | 1.69 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 41.8% | 40.8% | 84.5% | 0.48× | 2.45 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 63.8% | 68.5% | 29.1% | 2.36× | 1.46 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 36.2% | 31.5% | 70.9% | 0.44× | 3.17 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 54.1% | 54.1% | 82.0% | 0.66× | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 45.9% | 45.9% | 18.0% | 2.55× | 2.18 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 49.5% | 47.0% | 29.1% | 1.62× | 2.13 |
| 7+ goals | 29.9% | 27.3% | 2.4% | 11.31× | 3.67 |
| 2-3 goals | 17.9% | 20.9% | 45.0% | 0.46× | 4.79 |
| 0-1 goals | 2.7% | 1.8% | 23.6% | 0.08× | 54.48 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders to score 3+ | 46.2% | 44.6% | 13.9% | 3.20× | 2.25 |
| New York Islanders to score exactly 2 | 26.0% | 28.0% | 22.3% | 1.26× | 3.57 |
| New York Islanders to score exactly 1 | 20.1% | 21.5% | 34.3% | 0.63× | 4.65 |
| New York Islanders to score exactly 0 | 7.7% | 6.2% | 29.6% | 0.21× | 16.18 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers to score 3+ | 55.5% | 52.6% | 20.8% | 2.53× | 1.90 |
| New York Rangers to score exactly 2 | 23.6% | 23.9% | 23.6% | 1.01× | 4.19 |
| New York Rangers to score exactly 1 | 15.8% | 19.2% | 31.4% | 0.61× | 5.21 |
| New York Rangers to score exactly 0 | 5.1% | 7.1% | 24.2% | 0.29× | 14.12 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers leading at HT | 41.6% | 44.4% | 33.2% | 1.34× | 2.25 |
| New York Islanders leading at HT | 29.5% | 25.7% | 25.3% | 1.02× | 3.89 |
| Draw at HT | 28.9% | 25.7% | 41.5% | 0.62× | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers -1: 2 | 55.0% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
| New York Rangers -1: 1 | 29.4% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.80 |
| New York Rangers -1: X | 15.7% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.09 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders (0:1) | 55.0% | 52.6% | 57.4% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| New York Rangers (0:1) | 29.4% | 25.3% | 21.9% | 1.16× | 3.96 |
| Draw (0:1) | 15.7% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 0.70× | 6.93 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders (0:2) | 70.6% | 73.8% | 78.1% | 0.94× | 1.36 |
| New York Rangers (0:2) | 16.8% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75× | 5.87 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 0.85× | 9.64 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders (0:3) | 83.2% | 85.1% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| New York Rangers (0:3) | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.51× | 17.66 |
| Draw (0:3) | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 0.94× | 17.66 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders (0:4) | 91.6% | 94.9% | 96.3% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 0.42× | 90.63 |
| New York Rangers (0:4) | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.95× | 91.44 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers (1:0) | 67.5% | 71.2% | 68.8% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| New York Islanders (1:0) | 18.8% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 1.19× | 5.79 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.7% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 0.66× | 9.10 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers (2:0) | 81.2% | 83.1% | 85.5% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| New York Islanders (2:0) | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.07× | 15.95 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 0.72× | 15.95 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 56.0% | 59.6% | 47.5% | 1.25× | 1.68 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.4% | 26.5% | 25.7% | 1.03× | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 17.6% | 18.9% | 26.7% | 0.71× | 5.30 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders (home no bet) | 59.1% | 54.1% | 54.3% | 1.00× | 1.85 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.9% | 45.9% | 45.7% | 1.00× | 2.18 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 20.0% | 19.1% | 4.7% | 4.10× | 5.25 |
| HT 1-1 | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.22 |
| HT 1-0 | 13.0% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 0.53× | 9.22 |
| HT 0-0 | 10.5% | 10.8% | 30.7% | 0.35× | 9.25 |
| HT 0-1 | 10.5% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 0.67× | 9.25 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.23× | 14.25 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.00× | 14.26 |
| HT 1-2 | 6.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.64× | 14.28 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.47× | 14.30 |
| HT 2-2 | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.61× | 44.50 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers at HT / New York Rangers at FT | 29.6% | 26.9% | 25.3% | 1.06× | 3.72 |
| New York Islanders at HT / New York Islanders at FT | 18.7% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 0.98× | 6.01 |
| Draw at HT / New York Rangers at FT | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 0.88× | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / New York Islanders at FT | 9.3% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 0.55× | 15.98 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 8.6% | 6.3% | 15.8% | 0.40× | 16.00 |
| New York Rangers at HT / Draw at FT | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.23× | 16.03 |
| New York Islanders at HT / Draw at FT | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.14× | 16.06 |
| New York Rangers at HT / New York Islanders at FT | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.19× | 29.46 |
| New York Islanders at HT / New York Rangers at FT | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.18× | 29.46 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers to score last | 53.2% | 52.5% | 50.3% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| New York Islanders to score last | 46.2% | 46.0% | 41.9% | 1.10× | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 0.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.87 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 99.4% | 94.9% | 92.2% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 73.7% | 75.9% | 47.3% | 1.60× | 1.32 |
| New York Rangers to lead by 1 at any time | 71.2% | 75.6% | 58.7% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| New York Islanders to lead by 1 at any time | 61.9% | 61.3% | 49.3% | 1.24× | 1.63 |
| New York Rangers to lead by 2 at any time | 43.6% | 38.3% | 27.8% | 1.38× | 2.61 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 38.6% | 34.1% | 19.0% | 1.79× | 2.93 |
| New York Islanders to lead by 2 at any time | 32.6% | 31.0% | 19.9% | 1.56× | 3.23 |
| New York Rangers to lead by 3 at any time | 23.6% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 1.70× | 4.95 |
| New York Islanders to lead by 3 at any time | 15.1% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 2.02× | 6.88 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 67.4% | 68.8% | 74.0% | 0.93× | 1.45 |
| 3-6 goals | 60.4% | 62.7% | 50.9% | 1.23× | 1.59 |
| 1-5 goals | 53.1% | 51.2% | 85.7% | 0.60× | 1.96 |
| 2-5 goals | 51.0% | 51.1% | 69.9% | 0.73× | 1.96 |
| 4-6 goals | 49.5% | 47.4% | 29.1% | 1.63× | 2.11 |
| 3-5 goals | 43.9% | 42.2% | 46.8% | 0.90× | 2.37 |
| 1-4 goals | 37.0% | 39.4% | 76.8% | 0.51× | 2.54 |
| 2-4 goals | 34.8% | 32.8% | 61.0% | 0.54× | 3.05 |
| 4-5 goals | 33.1% | 32.7% | 25.0% | 1.31× | 3.05 |
| 5-6 goals | 32.6% | 32.7% | 13.1% | 2.50× | 3.05 |
| 7+ goals | 29.9% | 26.1% | 2.4% | 10.84× | 3.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 27.7% | 26.1% | 37.8% | 0.69× | 3.83 |
| 1-3 goals | 20.1% | 20.8% | 60.8% | 0.34× | 4.81 |
| 2-3 goals | 17.9% | 15.7% | 45.0% | 0.35× | 6.37 |
| 1-2 goals | 9.2% | 5.0% | 39.0% | 0.13× | 19.98 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers never behind | 37.5% | 44.5% | 50.7% | 0.88× | 2.25 |
| New York Islanders never behind | 28.2% | 30.5% | 41.3% | 0.74× | 3.27 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 53.1% | 50.3% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| Odd number of goals | 46.9% | 49.7% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.6% | 52.2% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.4% | 47.8% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.2% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.8% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 99.4% | 95.8% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97.3% | 95.7% | 76.4% | 1.25× | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90.2% | 92.9% | 53.3% | 1.74× | 1.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 79.4% | 79.7% | 31.5% | 2.53× | 1.25 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 62.5% | 61.1% | 15.5% | 3.95× | 1.64 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 53.7% | 52.0% | 93.5% | 0.56× | 1.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 46.3% | 48.0% | 6.5% | 7.33× | 2.09 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 37.5% | 38.9% | 84.5% | 0.46× | 2.57 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 20.6% | 20.3% | 68.5% | 0.30× | 4.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 9.8% | 7.1% | 46.7% | 0.15× | 14.12 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 2.7% | 4.3% | 23.6% | 0.18× | 23.26 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.55× | 23.53 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 97.1% | 98.1% | 69.3% | 1.41× | 1.02 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 89.0% | 89.6% | 40.2% | 2.23× | 1.12 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 75.2% | 77.8% | 18.4% | 4.22× | 1.29 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 64.3% | 61.4% | 97.5% | 0.63× | 1.63 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 55.3% | 59.9% | 7.2% | 8.33× | 1.67 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 44.7% | 40.1% | 92.8% | 0.43× | 2.49 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 35.7% | 38.6% | 2.5% | 15.35× | 2.59 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 24.8% | 22.2% | 81.6% | 0.27× | 4.50 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 11.0% | 10.4% | 59.8% | 0.17× | 9.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 2.9% | 1.9% | 30.7% | 0.06× | 52.07 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders not to score in both halves | 50.2% | 57.1% | 78.1% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| New York Rangers to score in both halves | 57.9% | 56.5% | 28.9% | 1.96× | 1.77 |
| New York Rangers not to score in both halves | 42.1% | 43.5% | 71.1% | 0.61× | 2.30 |
| New York Islanders to score in both halves | 49.8% | 42.9% | 21.9% | 1.96× | 2.33 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 87.8% | 87.8% | 54.0% | 1.63× | 1.14 |
| Only New York Rangers scores | 7.1% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 0.34× | 13.64 |
| Only New York Islanders scores | 4.6% | 4.9% | 16.5% | 0.30× | 20.40 |
| Neither team scores | 0.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.87 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 46.3% | 46.3% | 6.5% | 7.08× | 2.16 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.9% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 1.13× | 5.55 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 16.2% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 2.01× | 5.55 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 10.8% | 11.4% | 21.8% | 0.52× | 8.75 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 7.1% | 7.3% | 23.2% | 0.32× | 13.69 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 2.2% | 4.3% | 15.8% | 0.27× | 23.53 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.54× | 23.72 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 82.4% | 82.4% | 48.7% | 1.69× | 1.21 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 13.3% | 15.9% | 32.0% | 0.50× | 6.28 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 4.3% | 4.2% | 19.3% | 0.22× | 23.93 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders not to win both halves | 90.3% | 93.9% | 92.0% | 1.02× | 1.07 |
| New York Rangers not to win both halves | 83.5% | 83.9% | 87.0% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| New York Rangers to win both halves | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 1.24× | 6.21 |
| New York Islanders to win both halves | 9.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 0.76× | 16.34 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 22.5% | 24.7% | 26.3% | 0.94× | 4.05 |
| New York Rangers by 3+ | 16.8% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 1.76× | 5.83 |
| New York Rangers by 1 | 15.7% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 0.83× | 5.84 |
| New York Islanders by 1 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.67× | 8.97 |
| New York Rangers by 2 | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 0.92× | 8.99 |
| New York Islanders by 2 | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 0.74× | 15.69 |
| New York Islanders by 3+ | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.08× | 15.69 |