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New York Rangers v New York Islanders — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 22 September 2026 · NHL · 2027

NHL results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
New York Rangers win
45.0%
Draw
22.5%
New York Islanders win
32.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nhl-ai 2.95–2.52 2-2 8% 90% 88%
nhl-dc 2.95–2.52 2-2 6% 91% 88%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers to win 45.0% 45.9% 42.6% 1.08× 2.18
New York Islanders to win 32.5% 28.0% 31.2% 0.90× 3.58
Draw 22.5% 24.4% 26.3% 0.93× 4.10
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers (1UP) 71.2% 76.9% 58.7% 1.31× 1.30
New York Islanders (1UP) 61.9% 63.6% 49.3% 1.29× 1.57
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers (2UP) 45.0% 48.4% 44.5% 1.09× 2.07
New York Islanders (2UP) 32.6% 30.2% 33.4% 0.91× 3.31
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders (+2.5) 83.2% 85.6% 90.3% 0.95× 1.17
New York Islanders (+1.5) 70.6% 75.4% 78.1% 0.97× 1.33
New York Rangers (+0.5) 67.5% 70.8% 68.8% 1.03× 1.41
New York Islanders (+0.5) 55.0% 53.3% 57.4% 0.93× 1.88
New York Rangers (-0.5) 45.0% 46.7% 42.6% 1.10× 2.14
New York Islanders (-0.5) 32.5% 29.2% 31.2% 0.94× 3.43
New York Rangers (-1.5) 29.4% 24.6% 21.9% 1.12× 4.07
New York Rangers (-2.5) 16.8% 14.4% 9.7% 1.48× 6.93
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers (away no bet) 66.7% 63.6% 61.8% 1.03× 1.57
Draw (away no bet) 33.3% 36.4% 38.2% 0.95× 2.75
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals 54.5% 57.0% 16.9% 3.38× 1.75
Not both halves over 1.5 45.5% 43.0% 83.1% 0.52× 2.33
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 93.8% 94.8% 64.8% 1.46× 1.06
Both halves under 1.5 goals 6.2% 5.2% 35.2% 0.15× 19.08
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 86.1% 88.5% 57.4% 1.54× 1.13
New York Rangers to score 2+ in a row 63.3% 60.4% 36.2% 1.67× 1.66
New York Islanders to score 2+ in a row 53.6% 51.4% 27.9% 1.84× 1.94
Either team to score 3+ in a row 47.7% 45.5% 22.4% 2.03× 2.20
New York Rangers to score 3+ in a row 30.3% 29.4% 13.9% 2.11× 3.41
New York Islanders to score 3+ in a row 21.5% 18.7% 8.9% 2.11× 5.34
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 25.2% 24.7% 3.8% 6.51× 4.05
2-2 7.6% 7.5% 5.8% 1.29× 13.39
3-3 6.3% 7.5% 1.2% 6.19× 13.39
3-2 5.3% 7.5% 2.9% 2.57× 13.39
2-3 4.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.79× 57.45
1-1 4.1% 1.7% 11.4% 0.15× 57.47
1-2 3.8% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.48
2-1 4.3% 1.7% 8.5% 0.21× 57.46
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 4.7% 0.37× 57.46
4-2 3.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 57.47
1-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 57.49
2-4 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.37× 57.50
3-4 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.53× 57.50
4-1 3.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 57.50
4-3 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 57.49
4-4 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 8.83× 57.50
0-2 1.3% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 57.55
1-4 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 57.53
2-0 1.7% 1.7% 6.5% 0.27× 57.54
3-0 1.7% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 57.54
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 57.55
0-0 0.6% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 57.57
0-1 1.0% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.56
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 57.56
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.60× 57.57
1-0 1.2% 1.7% 8.8% 0.20× 57.56
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 58.5% 58.2% 56.8% 1.03× 1.72
New York Islanders leading at HT (DNB) 41.5% 41.8% 43.2% 0.97× 2.39
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers or New York Islanders (12) 77.5% 75.6% 73.7% 1.03× 1.32
New York Rangers or draw (1X) 67.5% 72.0% 68.8% 1.05× 1.39
New York Islanders or draw (X2) 55.0% 54.1% 57.4% 0.94× 1.85
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers or draw (1UP) 71.2% 79.9% 74.6% 1.07× 1.25
New York Islanders or draw (1UP) 61.9% 70.9% 64.5% 1.10× 1.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers (DNB) 58.1% 62.6% 57.7% 1.08× 1.60
New York Islanders (DNB) 41.9% 37.4% 42.3% 0.88× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers to score first 53.7% 54.6% 50.2% 1.09× 1.83
New York Islanders to score first 45.8% 44.0% 42.0% 1.05× 2.27
No goal scored 0.6% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.87
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 87.8% 87.8% 54.0% 1.63× 1.14
Not both teams to score 12.2% 12.2% 46.0% 0.27× 8.17
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 2+ 58.2% 59.2% 15.5% 3.81× 1.69
Not both teams to score 2+ 41.8% 40.8% 84.5% 0.48× 2.45
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half 63.8% 68.5% 29.1% 2.36× 1.46
Not both to score in 2nd half 36.2% 31.5% 70.9% 0.44× 3.17
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 54.1% 54.1% 82.0% 0.66× 1.85
Both teams to score by HT 45.9% 45.9% 18.0% 2.55× 2.18
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 49.5% 47.0% 29.1% 1.62× 2.13
7+ goals 29.9% 27.3% 2.4% 11.31× 3.67
2-3 goals 17.9% 20.9% 45.0% 0.46× 4.79
0-1 goals 2.7% 1.8% 23.6% 0.08× 54.48
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders to score 3+ 46.2% 44.6% 13.9% 3.20× 2.25
New York Islanders to score exactly 2 26.0% 28.0% 22.3% 1.26× 3.57
New York Islanders to score exactly 1 20.1% 21.5% 34.3% 0.63× 4.65
New York Islanders to score exactly 0 7.7% 6.2% 29.6% 0.21× 16.18
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers to score 3+ 55.5% 52.6% 20.8% 2.53× 1.90
New York Rangers to score exactly 2 23.6% 23.9% 23.6% 1.01× 4.19
New York Rangers to score exactly 1 15.8% 19.2% 31.4% 0.61× 5.21
New York Rangers to score exactly 0 5.1% 7.1% 24.2% 0.29× 14.12
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers leading at HT 41.6% 44.4% 33.2% 1.34× 2.25
New York Islanders leading at HT 29.5% 25.7% 25.3% 1.02× 3.89
Draw at HT 28.9% 25.7% 41.5% 0.62× 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers -1: 2 55.0% 52.9% 1.89
New York Rangers -1: 1 29.4% 26.4% 3.80
New York Rangers -1: X 15.7% 16.4% 6.09
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders (0:1) 55.0% 52.6% 57.4% 0.92× 1.90
New York Rangers (0:1) 29.4% 25.3% 21.9% 1.16× 3.96
Draw (0:1) 15.7% 14.4% 20.7% 0.70× 6.93
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders (0:2) 70.6% 73.8% 78.1% 0.94× 1.36
New York Rangers (0:2) 16.8% 17.0% 9.7% 1.75× 5.87
Draw (0:2) 12.6% 10.4% 12.2% 0.85× 9.64
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders (0:3) 83.2% 85.1% 90.3% 0.94× 1.17
New York Rangers (0:3) 8.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.51× 17.66
Draw (0:3) 8.4% 5.7% 6.0% 0.94× 17.66
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders (0:4) 91.6% 94.9% 96.3% 0.99× 1.05
Draw (0:4) 4.7% 1.1% 2.6% 0.42× 90.63
New York Rangers (0:4) 3.7% 1.1% 1.2% 0.95× 91.44
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers (1:0) 67.5% 71.2% 68.8% 1.03× 1.41
New York Islanders (1:0) 18.8% 17.3% 14.5% 1.19× 5.79
Draw (1:0) 13.7% 11.0% 16.7% 0.66× 9.10
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers (2:0) 81.2% 83.1% 85.5% 0.97× 1.20
New York Islanders (2:0) 9.4% 6.3% 5.9% 1.07× 15.95
Draw (2:0) 9.4% 6.3% 8.7% 0.72× 15.95
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 56.0% 59.6% 47.5% 1.25× 1.68
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.5% 25.7% 1.03× 3.78
Halves equal 17.6% 18.9% 26.7% 0.71× 5.30
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders (home no bet) 59.1% 54.1% 54.3% 1.00× 1.85
Draw (home no bet) 40.9% 45.9% 45.7% 1.00× 2.18
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other HT score 20.0% 19.1% 4.7% 4.10× 5.25
HT 1-1 13.4% 10.8% 10.0% 1.08× 9.22
HT 1-0 13.0% 10.8% 20.3% 0.53× 9.22
HT 0-0 10.5% 10.8% 30.7% 0.35× 9.25
HT 0-1 10.5% 10.8% 16.1% 0.67× 9.25
HT 2-1 8.3% 7.0% 3.2% 2.23× 14.25
HT 2-0 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 1.00× 14.26
HT 1-2 6.7% 7.0% 2.7% 2.64× 14.28
HT 0-2 5.2% 7.0% 4.7% 1.47× 14.30
HT 2-2 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 2.61× 44.50
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers at HT / New York Rangers at FT 29.6% 26.9% 25.3% 1.06× 3.72
New York Islanders at HT / New York Islanders at FT 18.7% 16.7% 17.0% 0.98× 6.01
Draw at HT / New York Rangers at FT 11.0% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.88
Draw at HT / New York Islanders at FT 9.3% 6.3% 11.4% 0.55× 15.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 8.6% 6.3% 15.8% 0.40× 16.00
New York Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 7.5% 6.2% 5.1% 1.23× 16.03
New York Islanders at HT / Draw at FT 6.4% 6.2% 5.5% 1.14× 16.06
New York Rangers at HT / New York Islanders at FT 4.5% 3.4% 2.9% 1.19× 29.46
New York Islanders at HT / New York Rangers at FT 4.4% 3.4% 2.9% 1.18× 29.46
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers to score last 53.2% 52.5% 50.3% 1.04× 1.90
New York Islanders to score last 46.2% 46.0% 41.9% 1.10× 2.17
No goal scored 0.6% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.87
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 99.4% 94.9% 92.2% 1.03× 1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 73.7% 75.9% 47.3% 1.60× 1.32
New York Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 71.2% 75.6% 58.7% 1.29× 1.32
New York Islanders to lead by 1 at any time 61.9% 61.3% 49.3% 1.24× 1.63
New York Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 43.6% 38.3% 27.8% 1.38× 2.61
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 38.6% 34.1% 19.0% 1.79× 2.93
New York Islanders to lead by 2 at any time 32.6% 31.0% 19.9% 1.56× 3.23
New York Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 23.6% 20.2% 11.9% 1.70× 4.95
New York Islanders to lead by 3 at any time 15.1% 14.5% 7.2% 2.02× 6.88
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 67.4% 68.8% 74.0% 0.93× 1.45
3-6 goals 60.4% 62.7% 50.9% 1.23× 1.59
1-5 goals 53.1% 51.2% 85.7% 0.60× 1.96
2-5 goals 51.0% 51.1% 69.9% 0.73× 1.96
4-6 goals 49.5% 47.4% 29.1% 1.63× 2.11
3-5 goals 43.9% 42.2% 46.8% 0.90× 2.37
1-4 goals 37.0% 39.4% 76.8% 0.51× 2.54
2-4 goals 34.8% 32.8% 61.0% 0.54× 3.05
4-5 goals 33.1% 32.7% 25.0% 1.31× 3.05
5-6 goals 32.6% 32.7% 13.1% 2.50× 3.05
7+ goals 29.9% 26.1% 2.4% 10.84× 3.83
3-4 goals 27.7% 26.1% 37.8% 0.69× 3.83
1-3 goals 20.1% 20.8% 60.8% 0.34× 4.81
2-3 goals 17.9% 15.7% 45.0% 0.35× 6.37
1-2 goals 9.2% 5.0% 39.0% 0.13× 19.98
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Rangers never behind 37.5% 44.5% 50.7% 0.88× 2.25
New York Islanders never behind 28.2% 30.5% 41.3% 0.74× 3.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 53.1% 50.3% 51.6% 0.98× 1.99
Odd number of goals 46.9% 49.7% 48.5% 1.03× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 50.6% 52.2% 54.6% 0.96× 1.92
Odd goals in 1st half 49.4% 47.8% 45.4% 1.05× 2.09
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.2% 52.4% 52.1% 1.01× 1.91
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.8% 47.6% 47.9% 0.99× 2.10
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 99.4% 95.8% 92.2% 1.04× 1.04
Over 1.5 goals 97.3% 95.7% 76.4% 1.25× 1.05
Over 2.5 goals 90.2% 92.9% 53.3% 1.74× 1.08
Over 3.5 goals 79.4% 79.7% 31.5% 2.53× 1.25
Over 4.5 goals 62.5% 61.1% 15.5% 3.95× 1.64
Under 5.5 goals 53.7% 52.0% 93.5% 0.56× 1.92
Over 5.5 goals 46.3% 48.0% 6.5% 7.33× 2.09
Under 4.5 goals 37.5% 38.9% 84.5% 0.46× 2.57
Under 3.5 goals 20.6% 20.3% 68.5% 0.30× 4.93
Under 2.5 goals 9.8% 7.1% 46.7% 0.15× 14.12
Under 1.5 goals 2.7% 4.3% 23.6% 0.18× 23.26
Under 0.5 goals 0.6% 4.2% 7.8% 0.55× 23.53
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 97.1% 98.1% 69.3% 1.41× 1.02
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 89.0% 89.6% 40.2% 2.23× 1.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 75.2% 77.8% 18.4% 4.22× 1.29
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 64.3% 61.4% 97.5% 0.63× 1.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 55.3% 59.9% 7.2% 8.33× 1.67
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 44.7% 40.1% 92.8% 0.43× 2.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 35.7% 38.6% 2.5% 15.35× 2.59
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 24.8% 22.2% 81.6% 0.27× 4.50
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 11.0% 10.4% 59.8% 0.17× 9.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 2.9% 1.9% 30.7% 0.06× 52.07
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders not to score in both halves 50.2% 57.1% 78.1% 0.73× 1.75
New York Rangers to score in both halves 57.9% 56.5% 28.9% 1.96× 1.77
New York Rangers not to score in both halves 42.1% 43.5% 71.1% 0.61× 2.30
New York Islanders to score in both halves 49.8% 42.9% 21.9% 1.96× 2.33
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 87.8% 87.8% 54.0% 1.63× 1.14
Only New York Rangers scores 7.1% 7.3% 21.8% 0.34× 13.64
Only New York Islanders scores 4.6% 4.9% 16.5% 0.30× 20.40
Neither team scores 0.6% 4.8% 7.8% 0.62× 20.87
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 46.3% 46.3% 6.5% 7.08× 2.16
Exactly 4 goals 16.9% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.55
Exactly 5 goals 16.2% 18.0% 9.0% 2.01× 5.55
Exactly 3 goals 10.8% 11.4% 21.8% 0.52× 8.75
Exactly 2 goals 7.1% 7.3% 23.2% 0.32× 13.69
Exactly 1 goals 2.2% 4.3% 15.8% 0.27× 23.53
Exactly 0 goals 0.6% 4.2% 7.8% 0.54× 23.72
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 82.4% 82.4% 48.7% 1.69× 1.21
1 goal in 2nd half 13.3% 15.9% 32.0% 0.50× 6.28
No goals in 2nd half 4.3% 4.2% 19.3% 0.22× 23.93
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New York Islanders not to win both halves 90.3% 93.9% 92.0% 1.02× 1.07
New York Rangers not to win both halves 83.5% 83.9% 87.0% 0.96× 1.19
New York Rangers to win both halves 16.5% 16.1% 13.0% 1.24× 6.21
New York Islanders to win both halves 9.7% 6.1% 8.0% 0.76× 16.34
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 22.5% 24.7% 26.3% 0.94× 4.05
New York Rangers by 3+ 16.8% 17.1% 9.7% 1.76× 5.83
New York Rangers by 1 15.7% 17.1% 20.7% 0.83× 5.84
New York Islanders by 1 13.7% 11.1% 16.7% 0.67× 8.97
New York Rangers by 2 12.6% 11.1% 12.2% 0.92× 8.99
New York Islanders by 2 9.4% 6.4% 8.7% 0.74× 15.69
New York Islanders by 3+ 9.4% 6.4% 5.9% 1.08× 15.69
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How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

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