Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Los Angeles Dodgers win
63.5%
Draw
11.6%
Washington Nationals win
24.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 5.77–4.10 | 5-4 3% | 100% | 98% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers to win | 63.1% | 63.1% | 42.6% | 1.48× | 1.59 |
| Washington Nationals to win | 25.0% | 25.0% | 31.2% | 0.80× | 4.01 |
| Draw | 12.0% | 12.0% | 26.3% | 0.46× | 8.35 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (1UP) | 85.4% | 85.4% | 58.7% | 1.45× | 1.17 |
| Washington Nationals (1UP) | 61.8% | 61.8% | 49.3% | 1.25× | 1.62 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (2UP) | 67.3% | 67.3% | 44.5% | 1.51× | 1.49 |
| Washington Nationals (2UP) | 34.9% | 34.9% | 33.4% | 1.04× | 2.87 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (+0.5) | 75.0% | 75.0% | 68.8% | 1.09× | 1.33 |
| Washington Nationals (+2.5) | 63.9% | 63.9% | 90.3% | 0.71× | 1.57 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (-0.5) | 63.1% | 63.1% | 42.6% | 1.48× | 1.59 |
| Washington Nationals (+1.5) | 50.4% | 50.4% | 78.1% | 0.65× | 1.98 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | 49.6% | 49.6% | 21.9% | 2.27× | 2.02 |
| Washington Nationals (+0.5) | 36.9% | 36.9% | 57.4% | 0.64× | 2.71 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | 36.1% | 36.1% | 9.7% | 3.71× | 2.77 |
| Washington Nationals (-0.5) | 25.0% | 25.0% | 31.2% | 0.80× | 4.01 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (away no bet) | 84.0% | 84.0% | 61.8% | 1.36× | 1.19 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 16.0% | 16.0% | 38.2% | 0.42× | 6.27 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 89.5% | 89.5% | 16.9% | 5.30× | 1.12 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 10.6% | 10.6% | 83.1% | 0.13× | 9.48 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.8% | 99.8% | 64.8% | 1.54× | 1.00 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 35.2% | 0.01× | 439.17 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 98.5% | 98.5% | 57.4% | 1.72× | 1.02 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score 2+ in a row | 89.4% | 89.4% | 36.2% | 2.47× | 1.12 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 77.2% | 77.2% | 22.4% | 3.45× | 1.30 |
| Washington Nationals to score 2+ in a row | 69.6% | 69.6% | 27.9% | 2.49× | 1.44 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score 3+ in a row | 60.7% | 60.7% | 13.9% | 4.36× | 1.65 |
| Washington Nationals to score 3+ in a row | 31.4% | 31.4% | 8.9% | 3.54× | 3.19 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 79.1% | 79.1% | 3.8% | 20.87× | 1.27 |
| 4-4 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 15.46× | 32.86 |
| 4-3 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 5.25× | 33.68 |
| 4-2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.15× | 46.03 |
| 3-4 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 4.29× | 47.41 |
| 3-3 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.71× | 48.60 |
| 3-2 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 0.52× | 66.42 |
| 2-4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.12× | 91.22 |
| 2-3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.48× | 93.50 |
| 4-1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.59× | 94.36 |
| 2-2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 5.8% | 0.14× | 127.79 |
| 3-1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 4.7% | 0.16× | 136.16 |
| 2-1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 8.5% | 0.05× | 261.96 |
| 1-4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.37× | 263.27 |
| 1-3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.8% | 0.13× | 269.85 |
| 1-2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 7.0% | 0.04× | 368.79 |
| 4-0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.15× | 386.86 |
| 3-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 3.9% | 0.05× | 558.24 |
| 1-1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 11.4% | 0.01× | 945.03 |
| 2-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 6.5% | 0.01× | 1,074.04 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.06× | 1,519.57 |
| 0-3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 2.5% | 0.03× | 1,557.56 |
| 1-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.8% | 0.01× | 1,703.13 |
| 0-1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 0.01× | 2,025.51 |
| 0-2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 0.01× | 2,128.66 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers leading at HT (DNB) | 68.9% | 68.9% | 56.8% | 1.21× | 1.45 |
| Washington Nationals leading at HT (DNB) | 31.1% | 31.1% | 43.2% | 0.72× | 3.22 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers or Washington Nationals (12) | 88.0% | 88.0% | 73.7% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers or draw (1X) | 75.0% | 75.0% | 68.8% | 1.09× | 1.33 |
| Washington Nationals or draw (X2) | 36.9% | 36.9% | 57.4% | 0.64× | 2.71 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers or draw (1UP) | 85.4% | 85.4% | 74.6% | 1.14× | 1.17 |
| Washington Nationals or draw (1UP) | 61.8% | 61.8% | 64.5% | 0.96× | 1.62 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (DNB) | 71.6% | 71.6% | 57.7% | 1.24× | 1.40 |
| Washington Nationals (DNB) | 28.4% | 28.4% | 42.3% | 0.67× | 3.53 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score first | 58.5% | 58.5% | 50.2% | 1.16× | 1.71 |
| Washington Nationals to score first | 41.5% | 41.5% | 42.0% | 0.99× | 2.41 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 97.9% | 97.9% | 54.0% | 1.82× | 1.02 |
| Not both teams to score | 2.1% | 2.1% | 46.0% | 0.04× | 48.65 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 89.3% | 89.3% | 15.5% | 5.75× | 1.12 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 10.7% | 10.7% | 84.5% | 0.13× | 9.39 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 87.7% | 87.7% | 29.1% | 3.02× | 1.14 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 12.3% | 12.3% | 70.9% | 0.17× | 8.15 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 73.7% | 73.7% | 18.0% | 4.10× | 1.36 |
| Not both to score by HT | 26.3% | 26.3% | 82.0% | 0.32× | 3.81 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 85.0% | 85.0% | 2.4% | 35.24× | 1.18 |
| 4-6 goals | 13.8% | 13.8% | 29.1% | 0.47× | 7.27 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.1% | 1.1% | 45.0% | 0.03× | 87.56 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.1% | 0.1% | 23.6% | 0.00× | 925.19 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals to score 3+ | 77.3% | 77.3% | 13.9% | 5.56× | 1.29 |
| Washington Nationals to score exactly 2 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 0.63× | 7.08 |
| Washington Nationals to score exactly 1 | 6.9% | 6.9% | 34.3% | 0.20× | 14.51 |
| Washington Nationals to score exactly 0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 29.6% | 0.06× | 58.74 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score 3+ | 92.2% | 92.2% | 20.8% | 4.43× | 1.09 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score exactly 2 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 23.6% | 0.23× | 18.06 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score exactly 1 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 31.4% | 0.06× | 52.13 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score exactly 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 24.2% | 0.01× | 283.13 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers leading at HT | 55.7% | 55.7% | 33.2% | 1.68× | 1.80 |
| Washington Nationals leading at HT | 25.1% | 25.1% | 25.3% | 0.99× | 3.98 |
| Draw at HT | 19.2% | 19.2% | 41.5% | 0.46× | 5.21 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers -1: 1 | 49.6% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers -1: 2 | 36.9% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers -1: X | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | — | 7.41 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (0:1) | 49.6% | 49.6% | 21.9% | 2.27× | 2.02 |
| Washington Nationals (0:1) | 36.9% | 36.9% | 57.4% | 0.64× | 2.71 |
| Draw (0:1) | 13.5% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 0.65× | 7.41 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals (0:2) | 50.4% | 50.4% | 78.1% | 0.65× | 1.98 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (0:2) | 36.1% | 36.1% | 9.7% | 3.71× | 2.77 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 1.11× | 7.43 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals (0:3) | 63.9% | 63.9% | 90.3% | 0.71× | 1.57 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (0:3) | 24.1% | 24.1% | 3.7% | 6.45× | 4.15 |
| Draw (0:3) | 12.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.99× | 8.33 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals (0:4) | 75.9% | 75.9% | 96.3% | 0.79× | 1.32 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (0:4) | 14.6% | 14.6% | 1.2% | 12.63× | 6.85 |
| Draw (0:4) | 9.5% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 3.65× | 10.51 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (1:0) | 75.0% | 75.0% | 68.8% | 1.09× | 1.33 |
| Washington Nationals (1:0) | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 1.06× | 6.50 |
| Draw (1:0) | 9.6% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 0.57× | 10.45 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (2:0) | 84.6% | 84.6% | 85.5% | 0.99× | 1.18 |
| Washington Nationals (2:0) | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.47× | 11.59 |
| Draw (2:0) | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 0.78× | 14.79 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.6% | 62.6% | 47.5% | 1.32× | 1.60 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.7% | 0.99× | 3.94 |
| Halves equal | 12.1% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 0.45× | 8.29 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals (home no bet) | 67.6% | 67.6% | 54.3% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 32.4% | 32.4% | 45.7% | 0.71× | 3.09 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 56.9% | 56.9% | 4.7% | 12.24× | 1.76 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 2.64× | 12.03 |
| HT 2-2 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 7.92× | 14.67 |
| HT 1-1 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 0.67× | 14.94 |
| HT 1-2 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.07× | 18.20 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 0.72× | 19.73 |
| HT 1-0 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 20.3% | 0.20× | 24.45 |
| HT 0-1 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 16.1% | 0.17× | 36.98 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 0.47× | 45.18 |
| HT 0-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 30.7% | 0.05× | 60.16 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers at HT / Los Angeles Dodgers at FT | 46.2% | 46.2% | 25.3% | 1.82× | 2.16 |
| Washington Nationals at HT / Washington Nationals at FT | 14.6% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 0.86× | 6.85 |
| Draw at HT / Los Angeles Dodgers at FT | 10.3% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 0.71× | 9.72 |
| Washington Nationals at HT / Los Angeles Dodgers at FT | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 2.29× | 15.20 |
| Draw at HT / Washington Nationals at FT | 5.6% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 0.49× | 17.79 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 21.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers at HT / Washington Nationals at FT | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.66× | 21.15 |
| Washington Nationals at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 0.72× | 25.42 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 3.3% | 3.3% | 15.8% | 0.21× | 30.53 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score last | 57.9% | 57.9% | 50.3% | 1.15× | 1.73 |
| Washington Nationals to score last | 42.1% | 42.1% | 41.9% | 1.00× | 2.38 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 93.0% | 93.0% | 47.3% | 1.97× | 1.08 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to lead by 1 at any time | 85.4% | 85.4% | 58.7% | 1.45× | 1.17 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to lead by 2 at any time | 67.3% | 67.3% | 27.8% | 2.42× | 1.49 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 66.5% | 66.5% | 19.0% | 3.49× | 1.50 |
| Washington Nationals to lead by 1 at any time | 61.8% | 61.8% | 49.3% | 1.25× | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to lead by 3 at any time | 49.0% | 49.0% | 11.9% | 4.12× | 2.04 |
| Washington Nationals to lead by 2 at any time | 34.9% | 34.9% | 19.9% | 1.76× | 2.87 |
| Washington Nationals to lead by 3 at any time | 18.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 2.51× | 5.55 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 85.0% | 85.0% | 2.4% | 35.24× | 1.18 |
| 2-6 goals | 14.9% | 14.9% | 74.0% | 0.20× | 6.71 |
| 3-6 goals | 14.7% | 14.7% | 50.9% | 0.29× | 6.82 |
| 4-6 goals | 13.8% | 13.8% | 29.1% | 0.47× | 7.27 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 0.88× | 8.66 |
| 1-5 goals | 7.8% | 7.8% | 85.7% | 0.09× | 12.77 |
| 2-5 goals | 7.7% | 7.7% | 69.9% | 0.11× | 12.95 |
| 3-5 goals | 7.5% | 7.5% | 46.8% | 0.16× | 13.38 |
| 4-5 goals | 6.6% | 6.6% | 25.0% | 0.26× | 15.20 |
| 1-4 goals | 3.5% | 3.5% | 76.8% | 0.05× | 28.88 |
| 2-4 goals | 3.4% | 3.4% | 61.0% | 0.06× | 29.82 |
| 3-4 goals | 3.1% | 3.1% | 37.8% | 0.08× | 32.17 |
| 1-3 goals | 1.3% | 1.3% | 60.8% | 0.02× | 79.99 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.1% | 1.1% | 45.0% | 0.03× | 87.56 |
| 1-2 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 39.0% | 0.01× | 282.50 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers never behind | 38.2% | 38.2% | 50.7% | 0.75× | 2.62 |
| Washington Nationals never behind | 14.6% | 14.6% | 41.3% | 0.35× | 6.85 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.9% | 99.9% | 76.4% | 1.31× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.6% | 99.6% | 53.3% | 1.87× | 1.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 98.8% | 98.8% | 31.5% | 3.14× | 1.01 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 96.5% | 96.5% | 15.5% | 6.24× | 1.04 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.2% | 6.5% | 14.08× | 1.09 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.8% | 93.5% | 0.08× | 12.77 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 3.5% | 3.5% | 84.5% | 0.04× | 28.88 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.3% | 1.3% | 68.5% | 0.02× | 79.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 46.7% | 0.01× | 282.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.1% | 0.1% | 23.6% | 0.00× | 925.19 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.9% | 99.9% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.6% | 99.6% | 40.2% | 2.48× | 1.00 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 98.7% | 98.7% | 18.4% | 5.36× | 1.01 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.4% | 96.4% | 7.2% | 13.41× | 1.04 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 91.6% | 91.6% | 2.5% | 36.40× | 1.09 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 8.4% | 8.4% | 97.5% | 0.09× | 11.86 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.6% | 3.6% | 92.8% | 0.04× | 27.62 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 1.3% | 1.3% | 81.6% | 0.02× | 78.22 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 0.4% | 0.4% | 59.8% | 0.01× | 279.97 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.1% | 0.1% | 30.7% | 0.00× | 922.92 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers to score in both halves | 87.9% | 87.9% | 28.9% | 3.04× | 1.14 |
| Washington Nationals to score in both halves | 73.6% | 73.6% | 21.9% | 3.35× | 1.36 |
| Washington Nationals not to score in both halves | 26.4% | 26.4% | 78.1% | 0.34× | 3.79 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers not to score in both halves | 12.1% | 12.1% | 71.1% | 0.17× | 8.28 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 97.9% | 97.9% | 54.0% | 1.82× | 1.02 |
| Only Los Angeles Dodgers scores | 1.7% | 1.7% | 21.8% | 0.08× | 58.74 |
| Only Washington Nationals scores | 0.4% | 0.4% | 16.5% | 0.02× | 283.13 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 92.2% | 92.2% | 6.5% | 14.08× | 1.09 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 0.49× | 22.90 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 2.2% | 2.2% | 16.0% | 0.14× | 45.21 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 0.9% | 0.9% | 21.8% | 0.04× | 111.58 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.2% | 0.01× | 406.67 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.1% | 0.1% | 15.8% | 0.01× | 925.19 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 97.7% | 97.7% | 48.7% | 2.01× | 1.02 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 2.0% | 2.0% | 32.0% | 0.06× | 50.76 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.4% | 0.4% | 19.3% | 0.02× | 284.64 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals not to win both halves | 92.7% | 92.7% | 92.0% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers not to win both halves | 70.2% | 70.2% | 87.0% | 0.81× | 1.43 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers to win both halves | 29.8% | 29.8% | 13.0% | 2.30× | 3.35 |
| Washington Nationals to win both halves | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 0.92× | 13.62 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers by 3+ | 36.1% | 36.1% | 9.7% | 3.71× | 2.77 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers by 1 | 13.5% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 0.65× | 7.41 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers by 2 | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 1.11× | 7.43 |
| Draw | 12.0% | 12.0% | 26.3% | 0.46× | 8.35 |
| Washington Nationals by 1 | 9.6% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 0.57× | 10.45 |
| Washington Nationals by 3+ | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.47× | 11.59 |
| Washington Nationals by 2 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 0.78× | 14.79 |