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Track record

Every pick, sealed before kick-off, checkable afterwards

The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every number as untested until you have run python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.
A hit rate proves nothing on its own: anyone can publish one, and anyone can quietly drop the losers. What makes it evidence is that the claims were fixed before the matches were played, and can be shown not to have moved since.

Each day's picks are reduced to one SHA-256 digest, and every digest folds in the previous day's. Alter a single probability after the fact and that day's digest changes — and so does every digest after it. The newest digest below therefore vouches for everything behind it.
All 1 sealed entry verify. Every digest was re-derived from the picks as they stand now and matched.
1 further entry under the other sports no longer verifies. It is not baseball, so it is not listed here — but it sits in the same chain of digests, which is worth knowing before you re-derive it. Each sport's page shows its own.
Days sealed
1
Picks on record
3,285
Settled
0
Claimed
Landed
Nothing has settled yet. Every pick on record is for a fixture that has not been played. The claims are sealed; the results column fills itself in as those matches finish. A record that starts empty and fills in public is the only kind worth trusting — one that arrives complete on day one was written after the fact.

Sealed baseball entries 1

One entry per model and day. Every scheduled model is sealed separately, so a single day can produce several. The other sports keep their own entries in the same chain; switch sport above to read them.

Fixtures onModel MatchesPicks SettledLanded Sealed atDigest
Sun 6 Sep 2026 mlb-dc 15 3,285 1b3d929e05305b00… verified

Latest digest

This one hash covers every entry above — and every entry under the other sports, since they are all sealed into one chain in the order they were made. Copy it somewhere with its own timestamp — a commit, a post, anywhere you do not control — and the whole record behind it becomes checkable by anyone, including against us.

1b3d929e05305b00d61eb0a037b9ee50e092f10eca203b3350df8e4095d21777

Sealed . Re-derive it yourself with php bin/seal_ledger.php --verify.

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What this page is for

Making the track record checkable rather than merely stated. Each day's picks are written down and hashed before any of the matches start, and the digest is published here. Change a single character of a sealed day afterwards and its digest no longer matches.

How to read it

A sealed day carries its digest and the time it was sealed. That timestamp sitting before the day's first kick-off is the whole guarantee — it is what separates a forecast from a claim made after the fact.

Why it exists

Every prediction site looks accurate in retrospect, because the losing picks are the easiest thing in the world to forget to mention. This page removes the option.

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