Results

Most recent 60 matches, newest first

The model serving this sport has not been backtested.

Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every number as untested until you have run python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.

What xG diff tells you

xG is the quality of chances each side created. Compare it with the score: a team that won 2-0 while losing the xG 0.7 to 2.1 was outplayed and got the result anyway. Over a season, results drift back toward xG — which is why the model is fitted on expected goals rather than goals.

Date	Match	Score	xG	xG diff	Model pick	Called
11 Sep 26	San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres	5–7	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers	9–1	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Athletics v Seattle Mariners	6–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox	7–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians	2–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds	20–0	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies	6–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers	2–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals	2–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros	3–1	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles	4–7	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	New York Yankees v New York Mets	6–4	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Angels	4–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies	6–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
11 Sep 26	Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates	12–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Chicago White Sox v Pittsburgh Pirates	2–4	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs	8–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks	5–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays	2–7	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies	6–1	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels	4–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Miami Marlins v New York Mets	14–15	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros	11–7	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians	9–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals	9–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers	3–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals	7–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays	2–0	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
9 Sep 26	Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins	7–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays	1–7	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies	5–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels	1–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	Miami Marlins v New York Mets	5–7	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins	2–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros	5–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
8 Sep 26	Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians	5–9	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays	6–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds	6–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals	5–4	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals	3–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins	5–4	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs	4–3	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks	4–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians	6–4	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels	5–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Miami Marlins v New York Mets	4–9	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
7 Sep 26	Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves	1–0	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
3 Sep 26	Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox	6–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
3 Sep 26	Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays	3–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
3 Sep 26	Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants	5–2	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals	6–8	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees	3–6	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox	2–0	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers	5–9	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins	6–9	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers	6–11	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays	0–11	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants	4–5	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets	4–10	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →
2 Sep 26	Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners	3–8	—–—	—	—	—	analysis →

The model pick is the out-of-sample forecast: made by a model fitted only on matches played before that one, so it is what the model actually said in advance. A dash means no forecast was on record before kick-off.

Results

Cookies on betaider

Sport

Baseball sections

Preferences

Results