Aalesund v IK Start — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 4 September 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Aalesund win
45.9%
Draw
24.4%
IK Start win
29.7%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.77–1.39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.13–1.43 | 2-1 9% | 69% | 67% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund to win | 53.2% | 51.8% | 42.6% | 1.22× | 1.93 |
| IK Start to win | 25.0% | 25.1% | 31.2% | 0.81× | 3.98 |
| Draw | 21.8% | 25.1% | 26.3% | 0.95× | 3.99 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund (1UP) | 70.1% | 74.1% | 58.7% | 1.26× | 1.35 |
| IK Start (1UP) | 46.9% | 42.6% | 49.3% | 0.86× | 2.35 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund (2UP) | 53.2% | 54.2% | 44.5% | 1.22× | 1.85 |
| IK Start (2UP) | 25.0% | 22.8% | 33.4% | 0.68× | 4.38 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (+2.5) | 83.8% | 85.2% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| Aalesund (+0.5) | 75.0% | 81.3% | 68.8% | 1.18× | 1.23 |
| IK Start (+1.5) | 67.7% | 71.4% | 78.1% | 0.91× | 1.40 |
| Aalesund (-0.5) | 53.2% | 52.7% | 42.6% | 1.24× | 1.90 |
| IK Start (+0.5) | 46.8% | 47.3% | 57.4% | 0.82× | 2.12 |
| Aalesund (-1.5) | 32.3% | 28.6% | 21.9% | 1.31× | 3.49 |
| IK Start (-0.5) | 25.0% | 18.7% | 31.2% | 0.60× | 5.34 |
| Aalesund (-2.5) | 16.2% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 1.52× | 6.77 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund (away no bet) | 70.9% | 67.2% | 61.8% | 1.09× | 1.49 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 29.1% | 32.8% | 38.2% | 0.86× | 3.05 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 73.2% | 77.5% | 83.1% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 26.8% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 1.33× | 4.45 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 78.5% | 72.4% | 64.8% | 1.12× | 1.38 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 21.5% | 27.6% | 35.2% | 0.78× | 3.63 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 69.9% | 61.7% | 57.4% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| Aalesund to score 2+ in a row | 52.2% | 50.5% | 36.2% | 1.40× | 1.98 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 31.0% | 27.8% | 22.4% | 1.24× | 3.60 |
| IK Start to score 2+ in a row | 29.2% | 24.8% | 27.9% | 0.89× | 4.04 |
| Aalesund to score 3+ in a row | 23.4% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.37× | 5.24 |
| IK Start to score 3+ in a row | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 0.61× | 18.51 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 0.65× | 13.44 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 0.88× | 13.44 |
| Any other score | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.96× | 13.45 |
| 2-0 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.14× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.29× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.59× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.06× | 13.46 |
| 1-0 | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 0.84× | 13.46 |
| 3-0 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 58.56 |
| 3-2 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.56 |
| 0-0 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 58.60 |
| 0-1 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.24× | 58.59 |
| 4-1 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.95× | 58.60 |
| 0-2 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.61 |
| 1-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.60× | 58.61 |
| 2-3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.77× | 58.61 |
| 4-0 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.63 |
| 4-2 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.69× | 58.63 |
| 0-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.67× | 58.66 |
| 3-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.41× | 58.64 |
| 4-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.01× | 58.67 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.69 |
| 1-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.65× | 58.67 |
| 2-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.30× | 58.67 |
| 3-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.46× | 58.68 |
| 4-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.66× | 58.69 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund leading at HT (DNB) | 65.9% | 73.6% | 56.8% | 1.30× | 1.36 |
| IK Start leading at HT (DNB) | 34.1% | 26.4% | 43.2% | 0.61× | 3.79 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund or IK Start (12) | 78.2% | 74.9% | 73.7% | 1.02× | 1.33 |
| Aalesund or draw (1X) | 75.0% | 74.9% | 68.8% | 1.09× | 1.34 |
| IK Start or draw (X2) | 46.8% | 48.2% | 57.4% | 0.84× | 2.08 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund or draw (1UP) | 75.0% | 84.4% | 74.6% | 1.13× | 1.19 |
| IK Start or draw (1UP) | 46.9% | 53.5% | 64.5% | 0.83× | 1.87 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund (DNB) | 68.0% | 72.9% | 57.7% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| IK Start (DNB) | 32.0% | 27.1% | 42.3% | 0.64× | 3.69 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund to score first | 57.9% | 60.7% | 50.2% | 1.21× | 1.65 |
| IK Start to score first | 38.7% | 32.2% | 42.0% | 0.77× | 3.11 |
| No goal scored | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 0.66× | 19.66 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 67.4% | 62.5% | 54.0% | 1.16× | 1.60 |
| Not both teams to score | 32.6% | 37.5% | 46.0% | 0.81× | 2.67 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 73.8% | 80.0% | 84.5% | 0.95× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 26.2% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 1.29× | 4.99 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 59.4% | 67.1% | 70.9% | 0.95× | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 40.6% | 32.9% | 29.1% | 1.13× | 3.04 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 73.9% | 80.0% | 82.0% | 0.98× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 26.1% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 1.11× | 5.01 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 40.6% | 43.5% | 29.1% | 1.50× | 2.30 |
| 2-3 goals | 40.0% | 37.0% | 45.0% | 0.82× | 2.70 |
| 0-1 goals | 12.5% | 13.3% | 23.6% | 0.56× | 7.54 |
| 7+ goals | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.91× | 21.76 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start to score exactly 1 | 34.3% | 34.0% | 34.3% | 0.99× | 2.94 |
| IK Start to score exactly 2 | 24.4% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 0.99× | 4.53 |
| IK Start to score exactly 0 | 24.1% | 22.1% | 29.6% | 0.75× | 4.53 |
| IK Start to score 3+ | 17.3% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.36× | 5.28 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund to score 3+ | 35.8% | 34.2% | 20.8% | 1.64× | 2.93 |
| Aalesund to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.9% | 23.6% | 1.14× | 3.71 |
| Aalesund to score exactly 1 | 25.3% | 26.9% | 31.4% | 0.86× | 3.72 |
| Aalesund to score exactly 0 | 11.9% | 12.2% | 24.2% | 0.50× | 8.17 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund leading at HT | 42.0% | 43.5% | 33.2% | 1.31× | 2.30 |
| Draw at HT | 36.3% | 37.9% | 41.5% | 0.91× | 2.64 |
| IK Start leading at HT | 21.8% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 0.79× | 5.03 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund -1: 2 | 46.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Aalesund -1: 1 | 32.3% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.34 |
| Aalesund -1: X | 20.9% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.20 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:1) | 46.8% | 47.4% | 57.4% | 0.82× | 2.11 |
| Aalesund (0:1) | 32.3% | 30.3% | 21.9% | 1.38× | 3.30 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.9% | 23.4% | 20.7% | 1.13× | 4.28 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:2) | 67.7% | 72.0% | 78.1% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| Aalesund (0:2) | 16.2% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 1.79× | 5.74 |
| Draw (0:2) | 16.1% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 1.43× | 5.74 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:3) | 83.8% | 85.0% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 0.91× | 18.15 |
| Aalesund (0:3) | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.46× | 18.38 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:4) | 93.2% | 94.8% | 96.3% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 0.42× | 90.70 |
| Aalesund (0:4) | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.94× | 92.18 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund (1:0) | 75.0% | 79.6% | 68.8% | 1.16× | 1.26 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.8% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 0.62× | 9.70 |
| IK Start (1:0) | 11.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 0.70× | 9.79 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund (2:0) | 88.8% | 90.4% | 85.5% | 1.06× | 1.11 |
| Draw (2:0) | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 0.69× | 16.74 |
| IK Start (2:0) | 4.0% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 0.39× | 44.04 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.7% | 50.2% | 47.5% | 1.06× | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.3% | 26.7% | 25.7% | 1.04× | 3.75 |
| Halves equal | 22.0% | 24.8% | 26.7% | 0.93× | 4.03 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (home no bet) | 53.3% | 51.0% | 54.3% | 0.94× | 1.96 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 46.7% | 49.0% | 45.7% | 1.07× | 2.04 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 22.7% | 23.9% | 30.7% | 0.78× | 4.19 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.6% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 1.17× | 4.20 |
| HT 0-1 | 12.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 0.68× | 9.19 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.20 |
| HT 2-0 | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 0.99× | 14.40 |
| Any other HT score | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.49× | 14.41 |
| HT 2-1 | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.20× | 14.46 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 0.46× | 45.81 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.82× | 45.84 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.53× | 45.99 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund at HT / Aalesund at FT | 33.9% | 31.9% | 25.3% | 1.26× | 3.14 |
| Draw at HT / Aalesund at FT | 15.7% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 1.18× | 5.88 |
| IK Start at HT / IK Start at FT | 13.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 0.75× | 7.80 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 0.81× | 7.81 |
| Draw at HT / IK Start at FT | 9.1% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 0.53× | 16.49 |
| Aalesund at HT / Draw at FT | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.19× | 16.59 |
| IK Start at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 0.61× | 30.02 |
| IK Start at HT / Aalesund at FT | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.16× | 30.08 |
| Aalesund at HT / IK Start at FT | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.16× | 30.12 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund to score last | 57.9% | 55.1% | 50.3% | 1.10× | 1.81 |
| IK Start to score last | 38.7% | 37.9% | 41.9% | 0.90× | 2.64 |
| No goal scored | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 0.66× | 19.66 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 96.6% | 94.8% | 92.2% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Aalesund to lead by 1 at any time | 70.1% | 72.7% | 58.7% | 1.24× | 1.38 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 59.0% | 54.2% | 47.3% | 1.15× | 1.85 |
| IK Start to lead by 1 at any time | 46.9% | 43.5% | 49.3% | 0.88× | 2.30 |
| Aalesund to lead by 2 at any time | 41.2% | 38.3% | 27.8% | 1.38× | 2.61 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 26.1% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 1.28× | 4.10 |
| Aalesund to lead by 3 at any time | 20.1% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 1.62× | 5.20 |
| IK Start to lead by 2 at any time | 18.4% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 0.74× | 6.79 |
| IK Start to lead by 3 at any time | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 0.87× | 16.01 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 81.7% | 81.2% | 85.7% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| 2-6 goals | 80.6% | 81.1% | 74.0% | 1.10× | 1.23 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.5% | 71.9% | 69.9% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| 1-4 goals | 68.2% | 68.2% | 76.8% | 0.89× | 1.47 |
| 3-6 goals | 62.0% | 62.5% | 50.9% | 1.23× | 1.60 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.0% | 56.7% | 61.0% | 0.93× | 1.77 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.0% | 50.8% | 46.8% | 1.09× | 1.97 |
| 1-3 goals | 49.1% | 46.4% | 60.8% | 0.76× | 2.16 |
| 4-6 goals | 40.6% | 42.7% | 29.1% | 1.47× | 2.34 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.4% | 42.7% | 37.8% | 1.13× | 2.34 |
| 2-3 goals | 40.0% | 38.1% | 45.0% | 0.85× | 2.62 |
| 4-5 goals | 32.6% | 33.1% | 25.0% | 1.33× | 3.02 |
| 1-2 goals | 27.7% | 26.2% | 39.0% | 0.67× | 3.82 |
| 5-6 goals | 21.5% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 1.51× | 5.05 |
| 7+ goals | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.94× | 21.42 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund never behind | 49.8% | 58.4% | 50.7% | 1.15× | 1.71 |
| IK Start never behind | 26.5% | 32.3% | 41.3% | 0.78× | 3.10 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 51.1% | 50.7% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 48.9% | 49.3% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.7% | 51.9% | 54.6% | 0.95× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.3% | 48.1% | 45.4% | 1.06× | 2.08 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.2% | 52.8% | 52.1% | 1.01× | 1.89 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.8% | 47.2% | 47.9% | 0.98× | 2.12 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96.6% | 95.9% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% | 89.0% | 76.4% | 1.17× | 1.12 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 85.1% | 89.0% | 93.5% | 0.95× | 1.12 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71.5% | 73.8% | 84.5% | 0.87× | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.9% | 67.0% | 53.3% | 1.26× | 1.49 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52.5% | 51.1% | 68.5% | 0.75× | 1.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.5% | 48.9% | 31.5% | 1.56× | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31.1% | 33.0% | 46.7% | 0.71× | 3.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 28.5% | 26.2% | 15.5% | 1.69× | 3.81 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 14.9% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.68× | 9.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12.5% | 11.0% | 23.6% | 0.47× | 9.12 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 0.52× | 24.66 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 92.5% | 94.7% | 97.5% | 0.97× | 1.06 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 84.6% | 84.1% | 69.3% | 1.21× | 1.19 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 82.7% | 84.0% | 92.8% | 0.91× | 1.19 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 64.8% | 65.0% | 81.6% | 0.80× | 1.54 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 60.4% | 64.8% | 40.2% | 1.61× | 1.54 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 39.6% | 35.2% | 59.8% | 0.59× | 2.84 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 35.2% | 35.0% | 18.4% | 1.90× | 2.86 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 17.3% | 16.0% | 7.2% | 2.22× | 6.26 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 15.4% | 15.9% | 30.7% | 0.52× | 6.28 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.10× | 18.98 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start not to score in both halves | 75.0% | 78.8% | 78.1% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| Aalesund not to score in both halves | 57.8% | 58.1% | 71.1% | 0.82× | 1.72 |
| Aalesund to score in both halves | 42.2% | 41.9% | 28.9% | 1.45× | 2.38 |
| IK Start to score in both halves | 25.0% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 0.97× | 4.71 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 67.4% | 60.5% | 54.0% | 1.12× | 1.65 |
| Only Aalesund scores | 20.7% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 1.09× | 4.20 |
| Only IK Start scores | 8.5% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 0.46× | 13.24 |
| Neither team scores | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.76 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.4% | 22.5% | 21.8% | 1.03× | 4.44 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.0% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 1.14× | 5.46 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 18.6% | 18.3% | 23.2% | 0.79× | 5.46 |
| 6 or more goals | 14.9% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 1.78× | 8.56 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 1.30× | 8.57 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 9.1% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 0.48× | 13.14 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 0.51× | 25.17 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 61.4% | 58.3% | 48.7% | 1.20× | 1.72 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 25.8% | 29.8% | 32.0% | 0.93× | 3.36 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 12.8% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 0.80× | 6.46 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start not to win both halves | 94.3% | 94.1% | 92.0% | 1.02× | 1.06 |
| Aalesund not to win both halves | 81.3% | 84.5% | 87.0% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Aalesund to win both halves | 18.7% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 1.20× | 6.45 |
| IK Start to win both halves | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 0.74× | 16.90 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% | 24.9% | 26.3% | 0.95× | 4.02 |
| Aalesund by 1 | 20.9% | 24.8% | 20.7% | 1.20× | 4.03 |
| Aalesund by 3+ | 16.2% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.76× | 5.83 |
| Aalesund by 2 | 16.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 1.41× | 5.83 |
| IK Start by 1 | 13.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 0.66× | 9.10 |
| IK Start by 2 | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 0.72× | 16.14 |
| IK Start by 3+ | 4.0% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 0.37× | 45.44 |