AIK v Brommapojkarna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

AIK

09:00

Brommapojkarna

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 831h before kick-off

AIK win

53.7%

model 52.9%

Draw

23.2%

model 24.6%

Brommapojkarna win

23.1%

model 22.4%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 9.7%
2-0 9.1%
0-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.1%	Under 2.5	45.9%
BTTS yes	55.3%	BTTS no	44.7%
AIK 1+	82.9%	AIK 2+	52.8%
Brommapojkarna 1+	65.9%	Brommapojkarna 2+	29.3%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

AIK carry the stronger rating, 1583 Elo against 1457.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

AIK have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.1% for Brommapojkarna. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for AIK and 1.08 for Brommapojkarna.

Why AIK

AIK carry the stronger rating, 1583 Elo against 1457. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Brommapojkarna can win

Nothing in the data singles out Brommapojkarna.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for AIK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Brommapojkarna, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

AIK: 51% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Brommapojkarna: 49% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

AIK are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	522523	1.76–1.10	1-1 12%	54%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win	52.1%	51.4%	40.7%	1.26×	1.95
Draw	24.8%	24.5%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
Brommapojkarna to win	23.1%	24.5%	36.6%	0.67×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK & not both score	26.9%	25.2%	23.7%	1.06×	3.97
AIK & both teams score	25.2%	25.2%	17.3%	1.45×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Brommapojkarna & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	18.1%	0.73×	7.54
Brommapojkarna & not both score	10.9%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.4%	5.3%	1.57×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK & over 1.5	42.6%	40.3%	34.6%	1.17×	2.48
AIK & over 2.5	33.8%	30.9%	25.4%	1.21×	3.24
AIK & under 3.5	33.3%	30.9%	26.2%	1.18×	3.24
AIK & over 3.5	18.8%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.56
AIK & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	15.5%	1.16×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Brommapojkarna & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.56
Brommapojkarna & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	25.4%	0.71×	5.56
Brommapojkarna & over 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	22.9%	0.56×	7.77
AIK & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.69
Brommapojkarna & under 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.3%	1.47×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Brommapojkarna & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.70
Brommapojkarna & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (1UP)	66.8%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Brommapojkarna (1UP)	41.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (2UP)	52.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Brommapojkarna (2UP)	23.1%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win 2nd half	42.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	34.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Brommapojkarna to win 2nd half	23.3%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna (+2.5)	87.0%	88.5%	88.6%	1.00×	1.13
AIK (+0.5)	76.9%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
Brommapojkarna (+1.5)	70.8%	73.7%	76.3%	0.97×	1.36
AIK (-0.5)	52.1%	52.3%	40.7%	1.29×	1.91
Brommapojkarna (+0.5)	47.9%	47.7%	59.3%	0.80×	2.10
AIK (-1.5)	29.2%	26.3%	23.7%	1.11×	3.80
Brommapojkarna (-0.5)	23.1%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.64
AIK (-2.5)	13.0%	11.5%	11.5%	1.00×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna to concede	82.7%	81.3%	76.1%	1.07×	1.23
Brommapojkarna clean sheet	17.3%	18.7%	23.9%	0.78×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna clean sheet in 1st half	47.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Brommapojkarna to concede in 1st half	53.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna under 6.5 corners	86.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Brommapojkarna under 5.5 corners	77.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Brommapojkarna over 2.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Brommapojkarna under 4.5 corners	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Brommapojkarna over 3.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Brommapojkarna under 3.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Brommapojkarna over 4.5 corners	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Brommapojkarna under 2.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Brommapojkarna over 5.5 corners	23.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Brommapojkarna over 6.5 corners	13.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna under 3.5 goals	97.4%	97.5%	95.2%	1.03×	1.03
Brommapojkarna under 2.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
Brommapojkarna under 1.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	60.8%	1.12×	1.47
Brommapojkarna over 0.5 goals	66.7%	68.0%	71.2%	0.95×	1.47
Brommapojkarna under 0.5 goals	33.3%	32.1%	28.8%	1.11×	3.12
Brommapojkarna over 1.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	39.2%	0.82×	3.12
Brommapojkarna over 2.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	13.01
Brommapojkarna over 3.5 goals	2.6%	2.5%	4.8%	0.51×	40.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Brommapojkarna under 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Brommapojkarna over 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Brommapojkarna over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.21

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (away no bet)	67.8%	66.4%	64.0%	1.04×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.2%	33.6%	36.0%	0.93×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna even goals	55.6%	56.9%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Brommapojkarna odd goals	44.4%	43.1%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.0%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
AIK to score 2+ in a row	44.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Brommapojkarna to score 2+ in a row	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
AIK to score 3+ in a row	17.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Brommapojkarna to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK corners (+3.5)	94.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
AIK corners (+2.5)	90.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
AIK corners (+1.5)	84.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Brommapojkarna corners (+3.5)	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
AIK corners (-1.5)	56.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Brommapojkarna corners (+2.5)	54.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
AIK corners (-2.5)	45.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Brommapojkarna corners (+1.5)	43.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
AIK corners (-3.5)	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Brommapojkarna corners (-1.5)	15.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Brommapojkarna corners (-2.5)	9.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Brommapojkarna corners (-3.5)	5.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	74.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	25.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.73
1-0	9.5%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.48
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.48
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.48
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
0-1	5.7%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.48
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.48
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.48
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.48
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.49
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.48
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.48
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.49
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK leading at HT (DNB)	67.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Brommapojkarna leading at HT (DNB)	33.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw (1X)	76.9%	75.5%	63.4%	1.19×	1.32
AIK or Brommapojkarna (12)	75.2%	75.5%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
Brommapojkarna or draw (X2)	47.9%	48.6%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw at HT	80.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Brommapojkarna or draw at HT	60.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
AIK or Brommapojkarna at HT	58.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw (1UP)	76.9%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Brommapojkarna or draw (1UP)	47.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw in 2nd half	76.7%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
AIK or Brommapojkarna in 2nd half	65.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Brommapojkarna or draw in 2nd half	57.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (DNB)	69.3%	67.2%	52.6%	1.28×	1.49
Brommapojkarna (DNB)	30.7%	32.8%	47.4%	0.69×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score first	57.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Brommapojkarna to score first	36.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.8%	54.9%	52.7%	1.04×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.2%	45.1%	47.3%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.1%	41.6%	39.9%	1.04×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.3%	34.4%	1.00×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	83.1%	84.2%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	16.9%	15.8%	1.07×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.0%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.4%	49.1%	0.97×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.4%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.78
0-1 goals	21.6%	22.8%	20.4%	1.12×	4.39
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	54.53

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
Brommapojkarna to score exactly 0	33.3%	33.8%	28.8%	1.18×	2.96
Brommapojkarna to score exactly 2	20.1%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.47
Brommapojkarna to score 3+	9.9%	8.5%	18.3%	0.46×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.6%	32.8%	0.99×	3.06
AIK to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
AIK to score 3+	25.8%	26.5%	21.6%	1.23×	3.77
AIK to score exactly 0	17.3%	18.9%	23.9%	0.79×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
AIK leading at HT	39.3%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Brommapojkarna leading at HT	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK -1: 2	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
AIK -1: 1	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
AIK -1: X	22.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna (0:1)	47.9%	46.0%	59.3%	0.78×	2.18
AIK (0:1)	29.2%	27.0%	23.7%	1.14×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.3%	17.3%	1.40×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna (0:2)	70.8%	75.6%	76.3%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.2%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.55
AIK (0:2)	13.0%	11.0%	11.5%	0.96×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna (0:3)	87.0%	90.8%	88.6%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	5.8%	6.9%	0.85×	17.14
AIK (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna (0:4)	95.2%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.29
AIK (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.51

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (1:0)	76.9%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.1%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.80
Brommapojkarna (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	16.5%	0.42×	14.41

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (2:0)	91.0%	93.9%	83.5%	1.13×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.5%	10.4%	0.62×	15.50
Brommapojkarna (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	6.4%	0.36×	44.20

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to concede	66.7%	66.5%	71.2%	0.93×	1.50
AIK clean sheet	33.3%	33.5%	28.8%	1.16×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK clean sheet in 1st half	64.4%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
AIK to concede in 1st half	35.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK over 2.5 corners	90.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
AIK over 3.5 corners	81.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
AIK over 4.5 corners	68.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
AIK under 6.5 corners	58.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
AIK over 5.5 corners	54.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
AIK under 5.5 corners	45.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
AIK over 6.5 corners	41.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
AIK under 4.5 corners	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
AIK under 3.5 corners	19.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
AIK under 2.5 corners	9.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 3.5 goals	89.8%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
AIK over 0.5 goals	82.7%	82.1%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
AIK under 2.5 goals	74.2%	74.2%	78.4%	0.95×	1.35
AIK over 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.2%	43.5%	1.22×	1.88
AIK under 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	56.5%	0.83×	2.14
AIK over 2.5 goals	25.8%	25.8%	21.6%	1.19×	3.87
AIK under 0.5 goals	17.3%	17.9%	23.9%	0.75×	5.59
AIK over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	9.4%	1.35×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 1.5 in 1st half	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
AIK under 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
AIK over 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
AIK over 1.5 in 1st half	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.7%	51.6%	38.5%	1.34×	1.94
Brommapojkarna (home no bet)	48.3%	48.4%	61.5%	0.79×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK even goals	51.5%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
AIK odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK at HT / AIK at FT	32.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / AIK at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Brommapojkarna at HT / Brommapojkarna at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Brommapojkarna at FT	9.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
AIK at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Brommapojkarna at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Brommapojkarna at HT / AIK at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
AIK at HT / Brommapojkarna at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score last	57.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Brommapojkarna to score last	36.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
AIK to lead by 1 at any time	66.8%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Brommapojkarna to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
AIK to lead by 2 at any time	36.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
AIK to lead by 3 at any time	15.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Brommapojkarna to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Brommapojkarna to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.7%	—	—	60.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK most corners	67.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Brommapojkarna most corners	23.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Corners level	9.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.5%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.8%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.6%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.7%	53.2%	48.3%	1.10×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.4%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.7%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.3%	39.2%	42.0%	0.93×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.3%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.4%	30.3%	26.2%	1.15×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.0%	30.2%	22.9%	1.32×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.4%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.72
7+ goals	2.7%	2.6%	4.8%	0.53×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK never behind	51.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Brommapojkarna never behind	26.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.9%	82.4%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.4%	77.4%	79.6%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.0%	66.2%	69.2%	0.96×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.4%	52.5%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.6%	47.5%	47.1%	1.01×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.0%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.6%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.1%	17.6%	16.5%	1.06×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	5.3%	1.45×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.3%	92.5%	91.1%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.9%	81.0%	80.7%	1.00×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.6%	72.6%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.8%	55.5%	60.5%	0.92×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.2%	44.5%	39.5%	1.13×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.4%	27.4%	27.8%	0.99×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.1%	19.0%	19.3%	0.98×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.7%	7.5%	8.9%	0.85×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
AIK not to score in both halves	66.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
AIK to score in both halves	33.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Brommapojkarna to score in both halves	17.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.8%	58.4%	52.7%	1.11×	1.71
Only AIK scores	26.9%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.83
Only Brommapojkarna scores	10.9%	10.9%	18.8%	0.58×	9.15
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.2%	5.3%	1.34×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.6%	27.0%	0.84×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	15.2%	17.4%	15.3%	1.14×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.1%	7.6%	8.7%	0.88×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.0%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	5.3%	1.43×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	31.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	19.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
AIK not to win both halves	83.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
AIK to win both halves	16.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Brommapojkarna to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.32

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win either half	64.9%	65.2%	—	—	1.54
Brommapojkarna to win neither half	61.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Brommapojkarna to win either half	38.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
AIK to win neither half	35.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brommapojkarna not to win to nil	89.1%	88.2%	81.2%	1.09×	1.13
AIK not to win to nil	73.1%	75.3%	76.3%	0.99×	1.33
AIK to win to nil	26.9%	24.7%	23.7%	1.04×	4.05
Brommapojkarna to win to nil	10.9%	11.8%	18.8%	0.62×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.8%	24.2%	22.9%	1.05×	4.14
AIK by 1	22.9%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
AIK by 2	16.2%	16.9%	12.5%	1.36×	5.91
Brommapojkarna by 1	14.1%	11.8%	20.4%	0.58×	8.47
AIK by 3+	13.0%	11.8%	11.5%	1.03×	8.47
Brommapojkarna by 2	6.3%	7.3%	10.4%	0.70×	13.79
Brommapojkarna by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	6.4%	0.42×	37.00