AIK v Mjällby AIF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

AIK

13:00

Mjällby AIF

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 225h before kick-off

AIK win

40.5%

model 38.7%

Draw

29.3%

model 27.8%

Mjällby AIF win

30.2%

model 33.5%

412930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
1-0 9.4%
0-1 8.6%
2-1 8.5%
0-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.1%	Under 2.5	51.9%
BTTS yes	53.5%	BTTS no	46.5%
AIK 1+	74.2%	AIK 2+	39.2%
Mjällby AIF 1+	71.1%	Mjällby AIF 2+	35.3%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 78%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2095 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
They have had 17 days' rest to Mjällby AIF's 13.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

AIK have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.2% for Mjällby AIF and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for AIK and 1.24 for Mjällby AIF.

Why AIK

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. They have had 17 days' rest to Mjällby AIF's 13.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.35 to 1.24. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Mjällby AIF can win

Nothing in the data singles out Mjällby AIF.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for AIK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Mjällby AIF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

AIK: 51% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Mjällby AIF: 37% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

AIK are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392834	1.35–1.24	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	372835	1.30–1.28	1-1 13%	48%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win	36.6%	36.4%	40.7%	0.89×	2.75
Mjällby AIF to win	35.5%	36.4%	36.6%	0.99×	2.75
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	22.9%	1.22×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK & not both score	19.6%	17.9%	23.7%	0.76×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Mjällby AIF & not both score	18.9%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
AIK & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	17.3%	1.04×	5.58
Mjällby AIF & both teams score	16.6%	17.9%	18.1%	0.99×	5.58
Draw & not both score	8.3%	8.4%	5.3%	1.57×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK & over 1.5	27.4%	26.0%	34.6%	0.75×	3.84
AIK & under 3.5	26.6%	26.0%	26.2%	0.99×	3.84
Mjällby AIF & over 1.5	26.5%	26.0%	27.7%	0.94×	3.84
Mjällby AIF & under 3.5	25.9%	26.0%	25.4%	1.02×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.6%	21.7%	18.1%	1.20×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.6%	21.7%	18.1%	1.20×	4.62
AIK & over 2.5	21.0%	21.7%	25.4%	0.85×	4.62
Mjällby AIF & over 2.5	20.3%	21.7%	22.9%	0.95×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
AIK & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	15.5%	1.16×	5.56
Mjällby AIF & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	14.0%	1.29×	5.56
AIK & over 3.5	10.0%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
AIK & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.69
Mjällby AIF & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.69
Mjällby AIF & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	5.3%	1.47×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (1UP)	53.1%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Mjällby AIF (1UP)	52.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (2UP)	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Mjällby AIF (2UP)	35.5%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Mjällby AIF to win 2nd half	32.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
AIK to win 2nd half	30.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (+2.5)	94.2%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Mjällby AIF (+1.5)	83.4%	82.4%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
AIK (+0.5)	64.5%	62.9%	63.4%	0.99×	1.59
Mjällby AIF (+0.5)	63.4%	62.9%	59.3%	1.06×	1.59
AIK (-0.5)	36.6%	37.1%	40.7%	0.91×	2.70
Mjällby AIF (-0.5)	35.5%	37.1%	36.6%	1.01×	2.70
AIK (-1.5)	16.6%	17.6%	23.7%	0.74×	5.69
AIK (-2.5)	5.8%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to concede	72.8%	76.5%	76.1%	1.00×	1.31
Mjällby AIF clean sheet	27.2%	23.5%	23.9%	0.98×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Mjällby AIF to concede in 1st half	42.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 6.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Mjällby AIF under 5.5 corners	75.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Mjällby AIF over 2.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Mjällby AIF under 4.5 corners	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Mjällby AIF over 3.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Mjällby AIF under 3.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Mjällby AIF over 4.5 corners	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Mjällby AIF under 2.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Mjällby AIF over 5.5 corners	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Mjällby AIF over 6.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 3.5 goals	95.9%	97.5%	95.2%	1.03×	1.03
Mjällby AIF under 2.5 goals	86.2%	87.9%	81.7%	1.08×	1.14
Mjällby AIF over 0.5 goals	72.1%	71.9%	71.2%	1.01×	1.39
Mjällby AIF under 1.5 goals	63.5%	63.0%	60.8%	1.04×	1.59
Mjällby AIF over 1.5 goals	36.5%	37.0%	39.2%	0.95×	2.70
Mjällby AIF under 0.5 goals	27.9%	28.1%	28.8%	0.98×	3.57
Mjällby AIF over 2.5 goals	13.8%	12.1%	18.3%	0.66×	8.25
Mjällby AIF over 3.5 goals	4.1%	2.5%	4.8%	0.51×	40.66

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Mjällby AIF under 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Mjällby AIF over 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Mjällby AIF over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.97

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (away no bet)	56.7%	57.5%	64.0%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.3%	42.5%	36.0%	1.18×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF even goals	53.9%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.89
Mjällby AIF odd goals	46.1%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.10

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
AIK to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Mjällby AIF to score 2+ in a row	28.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
AIK to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.57
Mjällby AIF to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.7%	—	—	17.60

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK corners (+3.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
AIK corners (+2.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
AIK corners (+1.5)	77.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF corners (+3.5)	76.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF corners (+2.5)	66.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Mjällby AIF corners (+1.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
AIK corners (-1.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
AIK corners (-2.5)	33.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
AIK corners (-3.5)	23.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Mjällby AIF corners (-1.5)	22.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Mjällby AIF corners (-2.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Mjällby AIF corners (-3.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	32.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.3%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.73
0-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
1-0	9.2%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.48
0-0	8.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.48
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.48
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.48
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.48
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.48
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.47
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.47
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.48
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.47
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.47
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.48
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.49
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.48
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.48
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.49
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.49
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK leading at HT (DNB)	52.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Mjällby AIF leading at HT (DNB)	47.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or Mjällby AIF (12)	72.1%	72.1%	77.1%	0.94×	1.39
AIK or draw (1X)	64.5%	63.6%	63.4%	1.00×	1.57
Mjällby AIF or draw (X2)	63.4%	63.6%	59.3%	1.07×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw at HT	74.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF or draw at HT	70.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
AIK or Mjällby AIF at HT	55.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw (1UP)	64.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Mjällby AIF or draw (1UP)	63.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF or draw in 2nd half	69.3%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
AIK or draw in 2nd half	67.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
AIK or Mjällby AIF in 2nd half	62.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (DNB)	50.8%	50.9%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Mjällby AIF (DNB)	49.3%	49.1%	47.4%	1.04×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score first	46.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Mjällby AIF to score first	45.4%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.2%	51.4%	52.7%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.8%	48.6%	47.3%	1.03×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	39.9%	0.96×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.5%	34.4%	1.12×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.3%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.7%	8.4%	13.2%	0.63×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	84.2%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	15.8%	0.91×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.5%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.1%	—	—	19.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.7%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	48.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.4%	49.1%	0.97×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.4%	26.4%	20.4%	1.30×	3.78
4-6 goals	24.3%	22.8%	26.2%	0.87×	4.38
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	54.63

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 1	35.6%	36.0%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 0	27.9%	27.4%	28.8%	0.95×	3.65
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 2	22.8%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.46
Mjällby AIF to score 3+	13.8%	12.8%	18.3%	0.70×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.6%	32.8%	1.08×	2.81
AIK to score exactly 0	27.2%	26.5%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
AIK to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.2%	22.1%	1.05×	4.30
AIK to score 3+	14.3%	14.3%	21.6%	0.66×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
AIK leading at HT	29.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Mjällby AIF leading at HT	25.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK -1: 2	63.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
AIK -1: X	20.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
AIK -1: 1	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (0:1)	63.4%	61.5%	59.3%	1.04×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.0%	17.8%	17.3%	1.03×	5.62
AIK (0:1)	16.6%	17.8%	23.7%	0.75×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (0:2)	83.4%	82.8%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.8%	11.0%	12.5%	0.88×	9.13
AIK (0:2)	5.8%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (0:3)	94.2%	92.6%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	6.9%	0.35×	42.08
AIK (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.54
AIK (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.64

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (1:0)	64.5%	65.1%	63.4%	1.03×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	19.6%	17.0%	20.4%	0.84×	5.87
Mjällby AIF (1:0)	15.9%	17.0%	16.5%	1.03×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (2:0)	84.1%	84.6%	83.5%	1.01×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.4%	10.4%	10.4%	0.99×	9.65
Mjällby AIF (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	6.4%	1.01×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to concede	72.1%	73.1%	71.2%	1.03×	1.37
AIK clean sheet	27.9%	26.9%	28.8%	0.94×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK clean sheet in 1st half	60.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
AIK to concede in 1st half	40.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
AIK under 6.5 corners	72.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
AIK over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
AIK under 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
AIK over 4.5 corners	54.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
AIK under 4.5 corners	45.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
AIK over 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AIK under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
AIK over 6.5 corners	27.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
AIK under 2.5 corners	16.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 3.5 goals	95.7%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
AIK under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.2%	78.4%	1.11×	1.15
AIK over 0.5 goals	72.8%	74.2%	76.1%	0.97×	1.35
AIK under 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.5%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
AIK over 1.5 goals	37.4%	36.5%	43.5%	0.84×	2.74
AIK under 0.5 goals	27.2%	25.8%	23.9%	1.08×	3.87
AIK over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.8%	21.6%	0.59×	7.84
AIK over 3.5 goals	4.3%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
AIK under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
AIK over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
AIK over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.2%	—	—	9.83

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (home no bet)	56.0%	56.7%	61.5%	0.92×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.0%	43.3%	38.5%	1.13×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK even goals	53.7%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
AIK odd goals	46.3%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	19.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	17.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-0	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK at HT / AIK at FT	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Mjällby AIF at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / AIK at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
AIK at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Mjällby AIF at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
AIK at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Mjällby AIF at HT / AIK at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score last	46.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Mjällby AIF to score last	45.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
AIK to lead by 1 at any time	53.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Mjällby AIF to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
AIK to lead by 2 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Mjällby AIF to lead by 2 at any time	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
AIK to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.06
Mjällby AIF to lead by 3 at any time	7.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.08

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK most corners	56.0%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Mjällby AIF most corners	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.9%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.8%	69.0%	71.8%	0.96×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.8%	68.9%	64.1%	1.08×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.7%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.0%	48.7%	48.3%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.1%	43.6%	42.0%	1.04×	2.30
3-5 goals	42.9%	43.6%	45.0%	0.97×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.1%	36.6%	1.07×	2.56
4-6 goals	24.3%	24.5%	26.2%	0.93×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.5%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.73
7+ goals	1.6%	2.5%	4.8%	0.53×	39.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK never behind	39.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Mjällby AIF never behind	38.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.5%	91.9%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	83.5%	1.05×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	69.2%	1.05×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.6%	72.5%	79.6%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	26.4%	27.5%	20.4%	1.35×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	30.8%	0.89×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	16.5%	0.75×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.45×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.5%	8.1%	0.55×	22.18

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.5%	91.1%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.1%	86.7%	80.7%	1.07×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.9%	67.4%	60.5%	1.11×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.3%	62.1%	72.2%	0.86×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.7%	37.9%	27.8%	1.36×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.1%	32.6%	39.5%	0.82×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.9%	13.3%	19.3%	0.69×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.5%	8.9%	0.85×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF not to score in both halves	78.6%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
AIK not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
AIK to score in both halves	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Mjällby AIF to score in both halves	21.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.2%	53.9%	52.7%	1.02×	1.85
Only AIK scores	19.6%	16.1%	23.7%	0.68×	6.21
Only Mjällby AIF scores	18.9%	16.1%	18.8%	0.85×	6.22
Neither team scores	8.3%	7.2%	5.3%	1.35×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.9%	25.0%	27.0%	0.93×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.2%	17.4%	15.3%	1.14×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.43×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	8.7%	0.88×	13.09
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.4%	8.1%	0.54×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.7%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	22.4%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF not to win both halves	91.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
AIK not to win both halves	91.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
AIK to win both halves	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Mjällby AIF to win both halves	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.45

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win either half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Mjällby AIF to win neither half	50.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Mjällby AIF to win either half	49.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
AIK to win neither half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF not to win to nil	81.1%	83.0%	81.2%	1.02×	1.21
AIK not to win to nil	80.4%	83.0%	76.3%	1.09×	1.21
AIK to win to nil	19.6%	17.0%	23.7%	0.72×	5.89
Mjällby AIF to win to nil	18.9%	17.0%	18.8%	0.90×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	22.9%	1.22×	3.59
AIK by 1	20.0%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.91
Mjällby AIF by 1	19.6%	16.9%	20.4%	0.83×	5.91
AIK by 2	10.8%	11.8%	12.5%	0.95×	8.48
Mjällby AIF by 2	10.4%	11.8%	10.4%	1.13×	8.48
AIK by 3+	5.8%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.79
Mjällby AIF by 3+	5.5%	7.3%	6.4%	1.14×	13.79