Al Fayha v Al Ahli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 19 October 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Al Fayha

11:05

Al Ahli

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,049h before kick-off

Al Fayha win

13.5%

model 14.1%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.3%

Al Ahli win

62.6%

model 61.6%

142463

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 12.3%
0-1 12.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 9.6%
0-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.0%	Under 2.5	51.0%
BTTS yes	46.9%	BTTS no	53.1%
Al Fayha 1+	54.3%	Al Fayha 2+	18.5%
Al Ahli 1+	84.3%	Al Ahli 2+	55.3%

Expected goals 0.78 – 1.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Al Ahli carry the stronger rating, 1740 Elo against 1442.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ahli have an estimated 62.6% win probability, against 23.8% for the draw and 13.5% for Al Fayha. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.78 for Al Fayha and 1.85 for Al Ahli.

Why Al Fayha

Nothing in the data singles out Al Fayha.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Ahli can win

Al Ahli carry the stronger rating, 1740 Elo against 1442. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Fayha, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Ahli, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Fayha: 36% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Ahli: 52% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Ahli are the model's most likely outcome at 62.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 12.3%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	112268	0.69–2.04	0-2 14%	51%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win	67.9%	65.1%	35.2%	1.85×	1.54
Draw	21.5%	24.4%	21.4%	1.14×	4.09
Al Fayha to win	10.5%	13.3%	43.5%	0.30×	7.54

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli & not both score	42.5%	40.1%	16.8%	2.38×	2.49
Al Ahli & both teams score	25.4%	25.2%	18.5%	1.36×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	16.5%	0.80×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.5%	8.4%	5.1%	1.66×	11.93
Al Fayha & not both score	5.5%	8.4%	22.1%	0.38×	11.94
Al Fayha & both teams score	5.1%	8.4%	21.6%	0.39×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli & over 1.5	55.7%	54.9%	28.5%	1.93×	1.82
Al Ahli & under 3.5	44.4%	40.3%	21.6%	1.87×	2.48
Al Ahli & over 2.5	42.2%	40.3%	23.3%	1.73×	2.48
Al Ahli & under 2.5	25.8%	26.0%	12.1%	2.15×	3.84
Al Ahli & over 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	13.8%	1.57×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.7%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Al Ahli & under 1.5	12.2%	12.9%	6.9%	1.87×	7.77
Al Fayha & under 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	27.4%	0.29×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.70
Al Fayha & over 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	34.5%	0.23×	12.70
Al Fayha & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	27.6%	0.29×	12.70
Al Fayha & under 2.5	5.0%	7.9%	16.1%	0.49×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Al Fayha & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.93
Al Fayha & over 3.5	2.0%	4.8%	16.2%	0.29×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (1UP)	77.4%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Al Fayha (1UP)	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (2UP)	67.9%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Al Fayha (2UP)	10.5%	13.1%	—	—	7.62

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win 2nd half	57.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	31.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Al Fayha to win 2nd half	11.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (+2.5)	99.4%	96.3%	90.4%	1.07×	1.04
Al Ahli (+1.5)	97.0%	96.3%	77.6%	1.24×	1.04
Al Ahli (+0.5)	89.5%	88.5%	56.5%	1.57×	1.13
Al Ahli (-0.5)	67.9%	68.7%	35.2%	1.95×	1.46
Al Fayha (+0.5)	32.1%	31.3%	64.8%	0.48×	3.19
Al Fayha (-0.5)	10.5%	11.5%	43.5%	0.26×	8.70
Al Fayha (-1.5)	3.0%	3.7%	22.4%	0.17×	26.85
Al Fayha (-2.5)	0.6%	3.7%	9.6%	0.38×	27.01

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli clean sheet	50.0%	55.7%	21.7%	2.56×	1.80
Al Ahli to concede	50.0%	44.3%	78.3%	0.57×	2.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli clean sheet in 1st half	74.2%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Al Ahli to concede in 1st half	25.8%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli over 2.5 corners	82.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Al Ahli under 6.5 corners	72.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Al Ahli over 3.5 corners	69.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Al Ahli under 5.5 corners	60.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Ahli over 4.5 corners	54.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Al Ahli under 4.5 corners	45.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Ahli over 5.5 corners	40.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Ahli under 3.5 corners	30.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Al Ahli over 6.5 corners	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Al Ahli under 2.5 corners	17.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli over 0.5 goals	87.0%	87.9%	73.0%	1.20×	1.14
Al Ahli under 3.5 goals	85.0%	81.5%	93.0%	0.88×	1.23
Al Ahli under 2.5 goals	66.6%	68.0%	82.7%	0.82×	1.47
Al Ahli over 1.5 goals	60.5%	62.9%	39.1%	1.61×	1.59
Al Ahli under 1.5 goals	39.5%	37.1%	60.9%	0.61×	2.70
Al Ahli over 2.5 goals	33.4%	32.0%	17.3%	1.85×	3.12
Al Ahli over 3.5 goals	15.0%	18.5%	7.0%	2.63×	5.39
Al Ahli under 0.5 goals	13.0%	12.1%	27.0%	0.45×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli under 1.5 in 1st half	80.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Al Ahli over 0.5 in 1st half	55.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Al Ahli under 0.5 in 1st half	44.2%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Al Ahli over 1.5 in 1st half	19.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	67.2%	66.4%	33.0%	2.01×	1.51
Al Fayha (away no bet)	32.8%	33.6%	67.0%	0.50×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli even goals	50.8%	52.8%	52.4%	1.01×	1.90
Al Ahli odd goals	49.2%	47.2%	47.6%	0.99×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.3%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.7%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.9%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Al Ahli to score 2+ in a row	54.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Ahli to score 3+ in a row	26.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Fayha to score 2+ in a row	9.8%	5.7%	—	—	17.57
Al Fayha to score 3+ in a row	1.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.53

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli corners (+3.5)	92.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Ahli corners (+2.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ahli corners (+1.5)	80.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Al Fayha corners (+3.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Fayha corners (+2.5)	63.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Fayha corners (+1.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Al Ahli corners (-1.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Al Ahli corners (-2.5)	36.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Al Ahli corners (-3.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Fayha corners (-1.5)	19.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Al Fayha corners (-2.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Al Fayha corners (-3.5)	7.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.9%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	50.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	38.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	29.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	15.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	13.5%	11.5%	5.4%	2.14×	8.73
0-1	12.2%	11.4%	6.9%	1.66×	8.74
1-1	10.2%	11.4%	10.9%	1.05×	8.74
0-3	9.2%	7.4%	2.3%	3.23×	13.47
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
0-0	7.5%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.47
1-3	6.4%	7.4%	3.8%	1.94×	13.47
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.47
0-4	4.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.50
1-0	3.5%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.50
1-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.51
2-0	1.6%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.52
2-1	3.2%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.51
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.51
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.51
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.52
3-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.52
3-1	0.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.52
3-2	0.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.52
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.52
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.52
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.52
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.58×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli leading at HT (DNB)	78.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Al Fayha leading at HT (DNB)	21.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw (X2)	89.5%	86.7%	56.5%	1.53×	1.15
Al Fayha or Al Ahli (12)	78.5%	75.6%	78.6%	0.96×	1.32
Al Fayha or draw (1X)	32.1%	34.9%	64.8%	0.54×	2.86

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw at HT	87.4%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Al Fayha or Al Ahli at HT	58.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Al Fayha or draw at HT	54.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw (1UP)	89.5%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Al Fayha or draw (1UP)	32.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw in 2nd half	88.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Al Fayha or Al Ahli in 2nd half	68.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Al Fayha or draw in 2nd half	42.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (DNB)	86.6%	87.1%	44.7%	1.95×	1.15
Al Fayha (DNB)	13.4%	12.9%	55.3%	0.23×	7.77

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score first	69.0%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Al Fayha to score first	23.4%	23.0%	—	—	4.34
No goal scored	7.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.5%	54.8%	43.6%	1.26×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.5%	45.2%	56.4%	0.80×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.3%	38.5%	32.9%	1.17×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	34.3%	34.3%	45.6%	0.75×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	17.2%	21.7%	10.9%	2.00×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.3%	10.9%	1.13×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.7%	89.1%	83.6%	1.07×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.3%	10.9%	16.4%	0.67×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	20.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.6%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.4%	43.8%	1.08×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.2%	26.4%	32.8%	0.81×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.2%	22.8%	20.8%	1.10×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score 3+	33.4%	33.9%	17.3%	1.96×	2.95
Al Ahli to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.65
Al Ahli to score exactly 1	26.5%	27.4%	34.2%	0.80×	3.65
Al Ahli to score exactly 0	13.0%	12.8%	27.0%	0.48×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to score exactly 0	50.0%	43.3%	21.7%	1.99×	2.31
Al Fayha to score exactly 1	34.7%	32.7%	32.6%	1.00×	3.06
Al Fayha to score exactly 2	12.0%	14.3%	25.0%	0.57×	6.98
Al Fayha to score 3+	3.3%	6.1%	21.0%	0.29×	16.27

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli leading at HT	45.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	41.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Al Fayha leading at HT	12.6%	11.8%	—	—	8.49

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli -1: 2	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Al Ahli -1: 1	32.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Al Ahli -1: X	24.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:1)	89.5%	89.5%	56.5%	1.58×	1.12
Draw (0:1)	7.5%	9.2%	21.3%	0.43×	10.85
Al Fayha (0:1)	3.0%	5.7%	22.4%	0.26×	17.45

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:2)	97.0%	94.1%	77.6%	1.21×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	2.4%	3.8%	12.9%	0.29×	26.59
Al Fayha (0:2)	0.6%	3.7%	9.6%	0.39×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:3)	99.4%	96.6%	90.4%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.19
Al Fayha (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Al Fayha (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.61
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.9%	0.41×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (1:0)	43.8%	43.0%	17.5%	2.46×	2.33
Al Fayha (1:0)	32.1%	30.4%	64.8%	0.47×	3.30
Draw (1:0)	24.1%	21.8%	17.9%	1.22×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (2:0)	56.2%	62.9%	82.5%	0.76×	1.59
Al Ahli (2:0)	22.7%	19.1%	7.2%	2.66×	5.22
Draw (2:0)	21.2%	19.0%	10.4%	1.82×	5.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede	87.0%	86.1%	73.0%	1.18×	1.16
Al Fayha clean sheet	13.0%	13.9%	27.0%	0.52×	7.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede in 1st half	55.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Al Fayha clean sheet in 1st half	44.2%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 6.5 corners	88.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Fayha under 5.5 corners	80.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Fayha under 4.5 corners	68.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Fayha over 2.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Fayha under 3.5 corners	51.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Al Fayha over 3.5 corners	48.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Fayha under 2.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Al Fayha over 4.5 corners	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Al Fayha over 5.5 corners	19.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Al Fayha over 6.5 corners	11.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 3.5 goals	99.4%	96.4%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Al Fayha under 2.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	79.0%	1.22×	1.04
Al Fayha under 1.5 goals	84.7%	82.1%	54.2%	1.52×	1.22
Al Fayha under 0.5 goals	50.0%	53.2%	21.7%	2.45×	1.88
Al Fayha over 0.5 goals	50.0%	46.8%	78.3%	0.60×	2.14
Al Fayha over 1.5 goals	15.3%	17.9%	45.8%	0.39×	5.60
Al Fayha over 2.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	21.0%	0.17×	27.43
Al Fayha over 3.5 goals	0.6%	3.6%	8.1%	0.45×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 1st half	74.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 1st half	25.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	2.7%	—	—	36.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (home no bet)	75.9%	78.5%	62.2%	1.26×	1.27
Draw (home no bet)	24.1%	21.5%	37.8%	0.57×	4.65

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha even goals	62.5%	56.0%	52.8%	1.06×	1.79
Al Fayha odd goals	37.5%	44.0%	47.2%	0.93×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
HT 0-1	26.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.44
HT 0-2	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-0	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 1-1	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.16
Any other HT score	5.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.82
HT 2-0	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.96
HT 2-1	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.98
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	44.03

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli at HT / Al Ahli at FT	41.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Draw at HT / Al Ahli at FT	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Al Fayha at HT / Al Fayha at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Draw at HT / Al Fayha at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Al Fayha at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Al Ahli at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Al Fayha at HT / Al Ahli at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Al Ahli at HT / Al Fayha at FT	0.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score last	69.3%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Al Fayha to score last	23.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
No goal scored	7.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Ahli to lead by 1 at any time	77.4%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Al Ahli to lead by 2 at any time	49.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Al Fayha to lead by 1 at any time	25.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Al Ahli to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Fayha to lead by 2 at any time	5.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.32
Al Fayha to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.5%	—	—	65.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli most corners	59.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Al Fayha most corners	29.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	87.4%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.6%	72.4%	76.4%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.1%	63.4%	59.6%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.3%	48.7%	53.6%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.7%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.5%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.0%	43.6%	38.7%	1.12×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.3%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.2%	30.2%	32.8%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.4%	24.5%	28.0%	0.87×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.1%	14.9%	16.5%	0.90×	6.73
7+ goals	2.2%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli never behind	66.5%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Al Fayha never behind	15.1%	18.3%	—	—	5.45

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	80.7%	1.09×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.8%	77.4%	79.2%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.7%	72.5%	64.5%	1.12×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.5%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.5%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	29.3%	27.5%	35.5%	0.77×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	23.2%	22.6%	20.8%	1.09×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	19.3%	0.64×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.8%	97.2%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.5%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.3%	81.1%	77.0%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.9%	67.4%	73.0%	0.92×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.3%	62.1%	55.1%	1.13×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.7%	37.9%	44.9%	0.85×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.1%	32.6%	27.0%	1.21×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.7%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.5%	8.7%	0.87×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.2%	2.8%	3.1%	0.90×	36.35

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.2%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.8%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to score in both halves	91.6%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Al Ahli not to score in both halves	60.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Al Ahli to score in both halves	39.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Al Fayha to score in both halves	8.4%	9.9%	—	—	10.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.5%	46.6%	56.4%	0.83×	2.15
Only Al Ahli scores	42.5%	46.6%	16.8%	2.77×	2.15
Neither team scores	7.5%	7.2%	5.1%	1.42×	13.91
Only Al Fayha scores	5.5%	7.2%	22.1%	0.33×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.3%	24.9%	23.0%	1.09×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	15.7%	17.4%	15.9%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	17.4%	16.4%	1.06×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	7.5%	7.6%	5.1%	1.51×	13.09
6 or more goals	5.9%	7.6%	7.7%	1.00×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Al Ahli not to win both halves	73.6%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Al Ahli to win both halves	26.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Al Fayha to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to win neither half	77.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Al Ahli to win either half	76.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Al Ahli to win neither half	23.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Al Fayha to win either half	22.6%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win to nil	94.5%	92.1%	77.9%	1.18×	1.09
Al Ahli not to win to nil	57.5%	58.9%	83.2%	0.71×	1.70
Al Ahli to win to nil	42.5%	41.1%	16.8%	2.44×	2.43
Al Fayha to win to nil	5.5%	7.9%	22.1%	0.36×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli by 1	24.1%	24.2%	17.9%	1.35×	4.14
Al Ahli by 3+	22.7%	24.2%	7.2%	3.36×	4.14
Draw	21.5%	24.1%	21.4%	1.13×	4.14
Al Ahli by 2	21.2%	24.1%	10.4%	2.32×	4.14
Al Fayha by 1	7.5%	7.2%	21.3%	0.34×	13.80
Al Fayha by 2	2.4%	2.7%	12.9%	0.21×	37.06
Al Fayha by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	9.6%	0.28×	37.12