Al Hilal v Al Fateh — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Al Hilal

14:00

Al Fateh

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,340h before kick-off

Al Hilal win

80.3%

model 82.1%

Draw

12.6%

model 12.6%

Al Fateh win

7.1%

model 5.3%

80137

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (169 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.3%
3-0 11.2%
4-0 8.3%
2-1 7.9%
3-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	70.6%	Under 2.5	29.4%
BTTS yes	48.1%	BTTS no	51.9%
Al Hilal 1+	94.8%	Al Hilal 2+	79.4%
Al Fateh 1+	50.1%	Al Fateh 2+	15.4%

Expected goals 2.96 – 0.70. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Al Hilal carry the stronger rating, 1857 Elo against 1429.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Hilal have an estimated 80.3% win probability, against 12.6% for the draw and 7.1% for Al Fateh. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.96 for Al Hilal and 0.70 for Al Fateh.

Why Al Hilal

Al Hilal carry the stronger rating, 1857 Elo against 1429. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 12.6%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Fateh can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Fateh.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Hilal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Fateh, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Hilal: 55% possession, 17.2 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Fateh: 44% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Hilal's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Hilal are the model's most likely outcome at 80.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.3%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	82125	2.98–0.71	2-0 11%	71%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win	82.2%	80.8%	43.5%	1.86×	1.24
Draw	12.5%	13.3%	21.4%	0.62×	7.52
Al Fateh to win	5.3%	8.1%	35.2%	0.23×	12.38

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal & not both score	46.1%	42.9%	22.1%	1.95×	2.33
Al Hilal & both teams score	36.0%	33.1%	21.6%	1.53×	3.02
Draw & both teams score	9.4%	8.4%	16.5%	0.51×	11.92
Al Fateh & both teams score	3.4%	4.9%	18.5%	0.26×	20.58
Draw & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	5.1%	0.96×	20.59
Al Fateh & not both score	2.0%	4.8%	16.8%	0.29×	20.62

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal & over 1.5	75.3%	74.1%	34.5%	2.15×	1.35
Al Hilal & over 2.5	64.2%	54.8%	27.6%	1.99×	1.83
Al Hilal & over 3.5	45.3%	45.2%	16.2%	2.78×	2.21
Al Hilal & under 3.5	36.9%	34.9%	27.4%	1.27×	2.87
Al Hilal & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	16.5%	0.48×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	15.8%	0.50×	12.69
Draw & under 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	15.8%	0.50×	12.69
Al Hilal & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Al Fateh & over 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	28.5%	0.17×	20.93
Al Fateh & under 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	21.6%	0.22×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	5.1%	0.95×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Al Fateh & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	23.3%	0.21×	20.94
Al Fateh & under 2.5	1.8%	4.8%	12.1%	0.39×	20.95
Al Fateh & under 1.5	1.2%	4.8%	6.9%	0.69×	20.95
Al Fateh & over 3.5	1.5%	4.8%	13.8%	0.35×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (1UP)	88.7%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Al Fateh (1UP)	20.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (2UP)	82.2%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Al Fateh (2UP)	5.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.57

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win 2nd half	68.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
2nd half drawn	22.7%	23.1%	—	—	4.32
Al Fateh to win 2nd half	8.5%	7.9%	—	—	12.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (+0.5)	94.7%	92.1%	64.8%	1.42×	1.09
Al Hilal (-0.5)	82.2%	82.4%	43.5%	1.89×	1.21
Al Hilal (-1.5)	64.1%	62.9%	22.4%	2.81×	1.59
Al Fateh (+2.5)	57.2%	57.0%	90.4%	0.63×	1.75
Al Hilal (-2.5)	42.8%	43.0%	9.6%	4.46×	2.33
Al Fateh (+1.5)	35.9%	37.1%	77.6%	0.48×	2.70
Al Fateh (+0.5)	17.8%	17.6%	56.5%	0.31×	5.69
Al Fateh (-0.5)	5.3%	7.9%	35.2%	0.22×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh to concede	94.9%	91.9%	78.3%	1.17×	1.09
Al Fateh clean sheet	5.1%	8.1%	21.7%	0.37×	12.38

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh to concede in 1st half	72.3%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Al Fateh clean sheet in 1st half	27.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh under 6.5 corners	89.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Fateh under 5.5 corners	81.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Al Fateh under 4.5 corners	70.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Al Fateh over 2.5 corners	65.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Al Fateh under 3.5 corners	53.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Al Fateh over 3.5 corners	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Fateh under 2.5 corners	34.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Al Fateh over 4.5 corners	30.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Al Fateh over 5.5 corners	18.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Al Fateh over 6.5 corners	10.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.6%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Al Fateh under 2.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	82.7%	1.18×	1.03
Al Fateh under 1.5 goals	84.1%	81.4%	60.9%	1.34×	1.23
Al Fateh over 0.5 goals	50.8%	53.7%	73.0%	0.73×	1.86
Al Fateh under 0.5 goals	49.2%	46.3%	27.0%	1.72×	2.16
Al Fateh over 1.5 goals	15.9%	18.6%	39.1%	0.48×	5.38
Al Fateh over 2.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	17.3%	0.14×	40.69
Al Fateh over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.4%	7.0%	0.35×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh under 1.5 in 1st half	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Al Fateh under 0.5 in 1st half	75.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Al Fateh over 0.5 in 1st half	24.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.07
Al Fateh over 1.5 in 1st half	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (away no bet)	86.8%	84.5%	67.0%	1.26×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	13.2%	15.5%	33.0%	0.47×	6.46

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh even goals	62.1%	59.0%	52.4%	1.13×	1.69
Al Fateh odd goals	37.9%	41.0%	47.6%	0.86×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.9%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	29.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.3%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	78.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Hilal to score 2+ in a row	74.8%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Either team to score 3+ in a row	49.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Al Hilal to score 3+ in a row	48.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Al Fateh to score 2+ in a row	8.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.59
Al Fateh to score 3+ in a row	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal corners (+3.5)	96.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Al Hilal corners (+2.5)	94.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Hilal corners (+1.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Hilal corners (-1.5)	70.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Hilal corners (-2.5)	60.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Hilal corners (-3.5)	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Al Fateh corners (+3.5)	49.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Al Fateh corners (+2.5)	39.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Al Fateh corners (+1.5)	30.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Fateh corners (-1.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Al Fateh corners (-2.5)	5.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Al Fateh corners (-3.5)	3.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
0-8 corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	60.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	58.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	49.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	41.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	39.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	18.1%	13.8%	5.7%	2.43×	7.26
2-0	11.1%	11.5%	7.0%	1.63×	8.73
3-0	11.1%	11.5%	3.2%	3.56×	8.73
1-0	6.9%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.48
3-1	7.8%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.48
4-0	8.2%	7.4%	2.1%	3.46×	13.48
1-1	5.9%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.48
4-1	5.8%	7.4%	2.5%	3.03×	13.48
0-0	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
0-1	1.2%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.48
0-2	0.6%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.49
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.49
1-2	1.9%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.48
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.49
2-2	2.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.47
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.49
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.49
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.58×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT (DNB)	88.7%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Al Fateh leading at HT (DNB)	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw (1X)	94.7%	91.9%	64.8%	1.42×	1.09
Al Hilal or Al Fateh (12)	87.5%	86.7%	78.6%	1.10×	1.15
Al Fateh or draw (X2)	17.8%	19.2%	56.5%	0.34×	5.20

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw at HT	92.0%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Al Hilal or Al Fateh at HT	70.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Fateh or draw at HT	37.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw (1UP)	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Al Fateh or draw (1UP)	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw in 2nd half	91.5%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Al Hilal or Al Fateh in 2nd half	77.3%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Al Fateh or draw in 2nd half	31.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	55.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
A half drawn	44.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (DNB)	93.9%	93.3%	55.3%	1.69×	1.07
Al Fateh (DNB)	6.1%	6.7%	44.7%	0.15×	14.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score first	78.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Al Fateh to score first	18.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.2%	51.4%	43.6%	1.18×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.8%	48.6%	56.4%	0.86×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.9%	41.6%	45.6%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & over 2.5	28.3%	33.6%	10.9%	3.09×	2.98
Not both score & under 2.5	22.9%	27.7%	32.9%	0.84×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	5.9%	8.4%	10.9%	0.77×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.3%	85.6%	83.6%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.7%	14.4%	16.4%	0.88×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.5%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.6%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.5%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.1%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	30.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	42.4%	42.1%	32.8%	1.28×	2.38
2-3 goals	38.6%	35.1%	43.8%	0.80×	2.85
0-1 goals	11.1%	16.9%	20.8%	0.81×	5.92
7+ goals	7.9%	7.6%	2.9%	2.61×	13.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh to score exactly 0	49.2%	43.0%	27.0%	1.60×	2.33
Al Fateh to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Al Fateh to score exactly 2	12.4%	12.8%	21.9%	0.59×	7.80
Al Fateh to score 3+	3.5%	4.5%	17.3%	0.26×	22.06

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score 3+	57.2%	44.8%	21.0%	2.14×	2.23
Al Hilal to score exactly 2	22.6%	23.2%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Al Hilal to score exactly 1	15.1%	18.9%	32.6%	0.58×	5.30
Al Hilal to score exactly 0	5.1%	10.3%	21.7%	0.47×	9.75

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT	62.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Draw at HT	29.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.88
Al Fateh leading at HT	8.0%	9.9%	—	—	10.10

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal -1: 1	64.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Al Hilal -1: X	18.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Al Hilal -1: 2	17.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:1)	64.1%	61.5%	22.4%	2.75×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	21.3%	0.83×	5.63
Al Fateh (0:1)	17.8%	17.8%	56.5%	0.31×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh (0:2)	35.9%	38.6%	77.6%	0.50×	2.59
Al Hilal (0:2)	42.8%	38.5%	9.6%	3.99×	2.60
Draw (0:2)	21.3%	20.3%	12.9%	1.58×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh (0:3)	57.2%	70.5%	90.4%	0.78×	1.42
Al Hilal (0:3)	24.5%	19.7%	4.1%	4.78×	5.07
Draw (0:3)	18.3%	16.1%	5.7%	2.85×	6.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh (0:4)	75.5%	80.8%	95.9%	0.84×	1.24
Draw (0:4)	12.4%	9.5%	2.9%	3.28×	10.49
Al Hilal (0:4)	12.1%	9.5%	1.4%	6.90×	10.52

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (1:0)	94.7%	92.8%	64.8%	1.43×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	3.8%	3.2%	17.9%	0.18×	31.48
Al Fateh (1:0)	1.5%	3.1%	17.5%	0.18×	31.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (2:0)	98.5%	96.9%	82.5%	1.17×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	10.4%	0.22×	44.30
Al Fateh (2:0)	0.3%	2.3%	7.2%	0.31×	44.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.1%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to concede	50.8%	53.1%	73.0%	0.73×	1.88
Al Hilal clean sheet	49.2%	46.9%	27.0%	1.74×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal clean sheet in 1st half	75.3%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Al Hilal to concede in 1st half	24.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal over 2.5 corners	93.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Al Hilal over 3.5 corners	87.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Hilal over 4.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Al Hilal over 5.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Hilal over 6.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Hilal under 6.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Hilal under 5.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Al Hilal under 4.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Al Hilal under 3.5 corners	12.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.29
Al Hilal under 2.5 corners	6.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	78.3%	1.18×	1.08
Al Hilal over 1.5 goals	79.8%	77.8%	45.8%	1.70×	1.29
Al Hilal under 3.5 goals	65.3%	67.8%	91.9%	0.74×	1.47
Al Hilal over 2.5 goals	57.2%	58.8%	21.0%	2.80×	1.70
Al Hilal under 2.5 goals	42.8%	41.2%	79.0%	0.52×	2.43
Al Hilal over 3.5 goals	34.7%	32.2%	8.1%	3.96×	3.11
Al Hilal under 1.5 goals	20.2%	22.2%	54.2%	0.41×	4.50
Al Hilal under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	21.7%	0.36×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal over 0.5 in 1st half	72.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Hilal under 1.5 in 1st half	63.3%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Al Hilal over 1.5 in 1st half	36.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Al Hilal under 0.5 in 1st half	27.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	70.1%	66.3%	37.8%	1.75×	1.51
Al Fateh (home no bet)	29.9%	33.7%	62.2%	0.54×	2.97

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal even goals	50.1%	50.6%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Al Hilal odd goals	49.9%	49.4%	47.2%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	26.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-0	21.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 2-0	17.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
Any other HT score	14.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 0-1	5.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-1	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.25
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 0-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal at HT / Al Hilal at FT	59.3%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Draw at HT / Al Hilal at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Al Fateh at HT / Al Hilal at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Al Hilal at HT / Draw at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Al Fateh at HT / Al Fateh at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Al Fateh at HT / Draw at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Draw at HT / Al Fateh at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Al Hilal at HT / Al Fateh at FT	0.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score last	78.5%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Al Fateh to score last	18.5%	13.1%	—	—	7.61
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Al Hilal to lead by 1 at any time	88.7%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	72.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Hilal to lead by 2 at any time	69.2%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	46.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Al Hilal to lead by 3 at any time	46.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Al Fateh to lead by 1 at any time	20.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Al Fateh to lead by 2 at any time	3.9%	1.7%	—	—	60.45
Al Fateh to lead by 3 at any time	0.6%	1.6%	—	—	63.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal most corners	78.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Al Fateh most corners	14.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Corners level	7.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	81.0%	83.5%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
1-5 goals	80.2%	83.5%	87.4%	0.96×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.9%	68.9%	75.8%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.4%	63.4%	53.6%	1.18×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.9%	59.2%	60.0%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
1-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	59.6%	0.82×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.4%	43.6%	32.8%	1.33×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
2-3 goals	38.6%	39.2%	43.8%	0.89×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.6%	35.4%	28.0%	1.26×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.7%	30.2%	38.7%	0.78×	3.31
5-6 goals	23.1%	24.5%	16.5%	1.48×	4.09
7+ goals	7.9%	8.7%	2.9%	3.00×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal never behind	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Fateh never behind	8.2%	4.6%	—	—	21.57

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	95.5%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.9%	87.7%	79.2%	1.11×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.3%	82.4%	92.3%	0.89×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	71.3%	72.5%	56.4%	1.29×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.0%	66.2%	80.7%	0.82×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	50.3%	52.5%	35.5%	1.48×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	49.7%	47.5%	64.5%	0.74×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	31.0%	33.8%	19.3%	1.75×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	28.7%	27.5%	43.6%	0.63×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	16.7%	17.6%	7.7%	2.30×	5.68
Under 1.5 goals	11.1%	12.3%	20.8%	0.59×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	4.5%	5.1%	0.89×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.3%	92.5%	96.9%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.5%	86.7%	73.0%	1.19×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	80.5%	81.0%	91.3%	0.89×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.6%	62.1%	44.9%	1.38×	1.61
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	61.6%	62.1%	77.0%	0.81×	1.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	38.4%	37.9%	23.0%	1.65×	2.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.4%	37.9%	55.1%	0.69×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	19.5%	19.0%	8.7%	2.19×	5.27
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.5%	13.3%	27.0%	0.49×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.7%	7.5%	3.1%	2.47×	13.25

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.2%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.0%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.5%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh not to score in both halves	91.4%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Al Hilal to score in both halves	59.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Al Hilal not to score in both halves	41.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Al Fateh to score in both halves	8.6%	10.0%	—	—	10.05

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.8%	50.5%	56.4%	0.90×	1.98
Only Al Hilal scores	46.1%	50.5%	22.1%	2.29×	1.98
Neither team scores	3.1%	4.6%	5.1%	0.91×	21.86
Only Al Fateh scores	2.0%	4.6%	16.8%	0.27×	21.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.4%	16.4%	1.06×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	17.6%	17.4%	23.0%	0.76×	5.74
6 or more goals	16.7%	17.4%	7.7%	2.28×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	14.3%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	8.0%	7.6%	15.9%	0.48×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	3.1%	4.4%	5.1%	0.87×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	25.0%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
No goals in 2nd half	12.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh not to win both halves	99.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Al Hilal not to win both halves	56.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Al Hilal to win both halves	43.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Al Fateh to win both halves	0.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.01

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win either half	88.1%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Al Fateh to win neither half	84.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Al Fateh to win either half	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Al Hilal to win neither half	11.9%	7.7%	—	—	13.02

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh not to win to nil	98.0%	96.2%	83.2%	1.16×	1.04
Al Hilal not to win to nil	53.9%	54.2%	77.9%	0.70×	1.85
Al Hilal to win to nil	46.1%	45.8%	22.1%	2.08×	2.18
Al Fateh to win to nil	2.0%	3.8%	16.8%	0.22×	26.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal by 3+	42.8%	34.6%	9.6%	3.59×	2.89
Al Hilal by 2	21.3%	24.1%	12.9%	1.88×	4.14
Al Hilal by 1	18.1%	16.9%	21.3%	0.80×	5.91
Draw	12.5%	11.8%	21.4%	0.55×	8.48
Al Fateh by 1	3.8%	2.7%	17.9%	0.15×	36.96
Al Fateh by 2	1.2%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	37.04
Al Fateh by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	7.2%	0.37×	37.07