Al Kholood v Al Shabab — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Al Kholood

11:55

Al Shabab

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 56h before kick-off

Al Kholood win

30.2%

model 33.6%

Draw

29.3%

model 27.9%

Al Shabab win

40.5%

model 38.5%

302941

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 8.0%
0-1 7.5%
0-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.1%	Under 2.5	46.9%
BTTS yes	58.1%	BTTS no	41.9%
Al Kholood 1+	74.0%	Al Kholood 2+	39.0%
Al Shabab 1+	76.7%	Al Shabab 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Al Shabab (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 931 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

They have had 10 days' rest to Al Kholood's 6.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Shabab have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.2% for Al Kholood and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Al Kholood and 1.46 for Al Shabab.

Why Al Kholood

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.35 to 1.46. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Shabab can win

They have had 10 days' rest to Al Kholood's 6.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Kholood, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Shabab, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Kholood: 33% possession, 7.0 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Shabab: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Shabab are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	342839	1.35–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342739	1.42–1.53	1-1 13%	57%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to win	38.8%	36.4%	35.2%	1.03×	2.75
Al Kholood to win	34.1%	30.4%	43.5%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab & both teams score	21.2%	21.9%	18.5%	1.18×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.9%	16.5%	1.32×	4.57
Al Kholood & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	21.6%	0.83×	5.58
Al Shabab & not both score	17.6%	17.9%	16.8%	1.06×	5.58
Al Kholood & not both score	15.2%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Draw & not both score	6.5%	8.4%	5.1%	1.66×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab & over 1.5	32.1%	30.9%	28.5%	1.08×	3.24
Al Kholood & over 1.5	28.0%	26.0%	34.5%	0.76×	3.84
Al Shabab & over 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	23.3%	1.12×	3.84
Al Shabab & under 3.5	24.6%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Al Kholood & over 2.5	22.7%	21.7%	27.6%	0.79×	4.62
Al Kholood & under 3.5	22.1%	21.7%	27.4%	0.79×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.7%	16.5%	1.31×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.2%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Al Shabab & over 3.5	14.2%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.77
Al Shabab & under 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Al Kholood & under 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	16.1%	0.80×	7.77
Al Kholood & over 3.5	12.1%	12.9%	16.2%	0.79×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Al Kholood & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.70
Al Shabab & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (1UP)	57.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Al Kholood (1UP)	53.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (2UP)	38.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Al Kholood (2UP)	34.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to win 2nd half	35.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	34.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Al Kholood to win 2nd half	29.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (+2.5)	94.0%	92.1%	90.4%	1.02×	1.09
Al Shabab (+1.5)	83.6%	82.4%	77.6%	1.06×	1.21
Al Shabab (+0.5)	65.9%	68.7%	56.5%	1.22×	1.46
Al Kholood (+0.5)	61.2%	62.9%	64.8%	0.97×	1.59
Al Shabab (-0.5)	38.8%	37.1%	35.2%	1.05×	2.70
Al Kholood (-0.5)	34.1%	31.3%	43.5%	0.72×	3.20
Al Kholood (-1.5)	16.4%	17.6%	22.4%	0.79×	5.69
Al Kholood (-2.5)	6.0%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to concede	75.9%	79.0%	78.3%	1.01×	1.27
Al Shabab clean sheet	24.1%	21.0%	21.7%	0.97×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to concede in 1st half	45.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Al Shabab clean sheet in 1st half	54.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab over 2.5 corners	85.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Shabab over 3.5 corners	72.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Shabab under 6.5 corners	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Al Shabab over 4.5 corners	58.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Shabab under 5.5 corners	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Shabab over 5.5 corners	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Shabab under 4.5 corners	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Shabab over 6.5 corners	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Al Shabab under 3.5 corners	27.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Shabab under 2.5 corners	14.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Al Shabab under 2.5 goals	80.2%	81.4%	82.7%	0.98×	1.23
Al Shabab over 0.5 goals	78.3%	76.2%	73.0%	1.04×	1.31
Al Shabab under 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.7%	60.9%	0.88×	1.86
Al Shabab over 1.5 goals	45.1%	46.3%	39.1%	1.19×	2.16
Al Shabab under 0.5 goals	21.7%	23.8%	27.0%	0.88×	4.21
Al Shabab over 2.5 goals	19.8%	18.6%	17.3%	1.08×	5.37
Al Shabab over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab under 1.5 in 1st half	87.5%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Al Shabab under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Al Shabab over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Al Shabab over 1.5 in 1st half	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (away no bet)	55.8%	57.4%	67.0%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.2%	42.6%	33.0%	1.29×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab even goals	52.4%	52.8%	52.4%	1.01×	1.89
Al Shabab odd goals	47.6%	47.2%	47.6%	0.99×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Al Shabab to score 2+ in a row	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Al Kholood to score 2+ in a row	31.9%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Al Shabab to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Al Kholood to score 3+ in a row	10.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab corners (+3.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Shabab corners (+2.5)	82.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Al Shabab corners (+1.5)	75.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Kholood corners (+3.5)	75.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Kholood corners (+2.5)	66.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Al Kholood corners (+1.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Shabab corners (-1.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Shabab corners (-2.5)	34.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Al Kholood corners (-1.5)	24.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Shabab corners (-3.5)	25.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Kholood corners (-2.5)	17.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Al Kholood corners (-3.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
12+ corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	31.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.7%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.73
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-0	6.5%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.48
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	6.9%	1.08×	13.48
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.48
0-2	6.1%	7.4%	5.4%	1.38×	13.48
1-0	6.2%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.48
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.58×	58.49
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.47
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.47
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.46
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.47
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.48
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.48
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.49
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.48
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood leading at HT (DNB)	50.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Shabab leading at HT (DNB)	50.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood or Al Shabab (12)	72.9%	72.1%	78.6%	0.92×	1.39
Al Shabab or draw (X2)	65.9%	69.6%	56.5%	1.23×	1.44
Al Kholood or draw (1X)	61.2%	63.6%	64.8%	0.98×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood or draw at HT	71.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Shabab or draw at HT	71.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Kholood or Al Shabab at HT	58.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab or draw (1UP)	65.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Al Kholood or draw (1UP)	61.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab or draw in 2nd half	70.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Al Kholood or Al Shabab in 2nd half	65.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Al Kholood or draw in 2nd half	64.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (DNB)	53.2%	50.9%	44.7%	1.14×	1.96
Al Kholood (DNB)	46.8%	49.1%	55.3%	0.89×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to score first	48.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Al Kholood to score first	45.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	6.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.7%	56.5%	56.4%	1.00×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.3%	43.5%	43.6%	1.00×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.0%	44.3%	45.6%	0.97×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.8%	34.3%	32.9%	1.04×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.3%	10.9%	1.13×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	10.9%	0.77×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.2%	83.0%	83.6%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	18.8%	17.0%	16.4%	1.04×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.1%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.9%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.1%	18.4%	—	—	5.42

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.4%	43.8%	1.08×	2.11
4-6 goals	31.0%	30.7%	32.8%	0.94×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.4%	20.2%	20.8%	0.97×	4.95
7+ goals	3.1%	1.8%	2.9%	0.63×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to score exactly 1	33.2%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Al Shabab to score exactly 2	25.3%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.65
Al Shabab to score exactly 0	21.7%	22.4%	27.0%	0.83×	4.46
Al Shabab to score 3+	19.8%	19.6%	17.3%	1.13×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to score exactly 1	34.3%	32.7%	32.6%	1.00×	3.06
Al Kholood to score exactly 2	24.4%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Al Kholood to score exactly 0	24.1%	23.3%	21.7%	1.07×	4.30
Al Kholood to score 3+	17.2%	18.9%	21.0%	0.90×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Al Kholood leading at HT	29.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Al Shabab leading at HT	29.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab -1: 1	61.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Al Shabab -1: 2	19.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Al Shabab -1: X	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (0:1)	65.9%	65.4%	56.5%	1.16×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.8%	17.8%	21.3%	0.83×	5.63
Al Kholood (0:1)	16.4%	17.8%	22.4%	0.79×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (0:2)	83.6%	82.8%	77.6%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.3%	11.0%	12.9%	0.85×	9.13
Al Kholood (0:2)	6.0%	7.7%	9.6%	0.80×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (0:3)	94.0%	92.6%	90.4%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.08
Al Kholood (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.9%	0.41×	83.52
Al Kholood (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (1:0)	61.2%	65.0%	64.8%	1.00×	1.54
Al Shabab (1:0)	19.6%	17.0%	17.5%	0.98×	5.87
Draw (1:0)	19.2%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (2:0)	80.4%	84.5%	82.5%	1.02×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.9%	10.4%	10.4%	1.00×	9.64
Al Shabab (2:0)	7.7%	6.5%	7.2%	0.90×	15.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to concede	78.3%	76.0%	73.0%	1.04×	1.32
Al Kholood clean sheet	21.7%	24.0%	27.0%	0.89×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood clean sheet in 1st half	54.3%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Al Kholood to concede in 1st half	45.7%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood under 6.5 corners	80.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Kholood over 2.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Al Kholood under 5.5 corners	70.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Al Kholood over 3.5 corners	60.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Kholood under 4.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Kholood over 4.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Kholood under 3.5 corners	40.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Kholood over 5.5 corners	29.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Al Kholood under 2.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Al Kholood over 6.5 corners	19.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Al Kholood under 2.5 goals	82.8%	82.1%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
Al Kholood over 0.5 goals	75.9%	77.7%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Al Kholood under 1.5 goals	58.4%	58.8%	54.2%	1.08×	1.70
Al Kholood over 1.5 goals	41.6%	41.2%	45.8%	0.90×	2.43
Al Kholood under 0.5 goals	24.1%	22.3%	21.7%	1.02×	4.49
Al Kholood over 2.5 goals	17.2%	17.9%	21.0%	0.85×	5.59
Al Kholood over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood under 1.5 in 1st half	87.4%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Al Kholood over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Al Kholood under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Al Kholood over 1.5 in 1st half	12.6%	10.3%	—	—	9.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (home no bet)	58.9%	56.7%	62.2%	0.91×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.1%	43.3%	37.8%	1.14×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood even goals	52.9%	50.6%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Al Kholood odd goals	47.1%	49.4%	47.2%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 0-1	17.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-0	17.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab at HT / Al Shabab at FT	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Al Kholood at HT / Al Kholood at FT	20.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Al Shabab at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Al Kholood at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Al Kholood at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Al Shabab at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Al Kholood at HT / Al Shabab at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Al Shabab at HT / Al Kholood at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to score last	48.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Al Kholood to score last	45.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	6.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Shabab to lead by 1 at any time	57.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Al Kholood to lead by 1 at any time	53.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Al Shabab to lead by 2 at any time	26.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Al Kholood to lead by 2 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Al Shabab to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Al Kholood to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab most corners	55.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Al Kholood most corners	34.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	87.4%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.6%	76.4%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.9%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.0%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.2%	59.6%	0.99×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.4%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.6%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.7%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.1%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.0%	35.4%	32.8%	1.08×	2.83
4-5 goals	26.3%	30.2%	28.0%	1.08×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.5%	14.9%	16.5%	0.90×	6.72
7+ goals	3.1%	2.6%	2.9%	0.88×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab never behind	40.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Al Kholood never behind	36.5%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.4%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	80.6%	82.4%	79.2%	1.04×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	65.9%	66.2%	64.5%	1.03×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.5%	58.8%	56.4%	1.04×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	43.5%	41.2%	43.6%	0.94×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	34.1%	33.8%	35.5%	0.95×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	19.4%	17.6%	20.8%	0.85×	5.67
Over 4.5 goals	17.6%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.8%	97.2%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.3%	92.5%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.9%	75.9%	77.0%	0.99×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.4%	72.6%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.0%	55.4%	55.1%	1.01×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.0%	44.6%	44.9%	0.99×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.6%	27.4%	27.0%	1.02×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.1%	24.1%	23.0%	1.04×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.7%	7.5%	8.7%	0.87×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.2%	2.8%	3.1%	0.91×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.2%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood not to score in both halves	74.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Al Shabab not to score in both halves	72.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Al Shabab to score in both halves	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Al Kholood to score in both halves	25.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.7%	60.2%	56.4%	1.07×	1.66
Only Al Shabab scores	17.6%	16.1%	16.8%	0.95×	6.22
Only Al Kholood scores	15.2%	16.1%	22.1%	0.73×	6.22
Neither team scores	6.5%	7.2%	5.1%	1.42×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.4%	16.4%	1.06×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	12.9%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	9.7%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.9%	7.6%	7.7%	1.00×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.5%	7.6%	5.1%	1.51×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood not to win both halves	91.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Al Shabab not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Al Shabab to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Al Kholood to win both halves	8.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.42

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to win either half	54.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Al Kholood to win neither half	50.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Kholood to win either half	50.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Al Shabab to win neither half	45.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood not to win to nil	84.8%	83.0%	77.9%	1.07×	1.20
Al Shabab not to win to nil	82.4%	83.0%	83.2%	1.00×	1.21
Al Shabab to win to nil	17.6%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.89
Al Kholood to win to nil	15.2%	17.0%	22.1%	0.77×	5.90

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59
Al Shabab by 1	19.2%	16.9%	17.9%	0.95×	5.91
Al Kholood by 1	17.8%	16.9%	21.3%	0.80×	5.91
Al Shabab by 2	11.9%	11.8%	10.4%	1.13×	8.48
Al Kholood by 2	10.3%	11.8%	12.9%	0.92×	8.48
Al Shabab by 3+	7.7%	7.3%	7.2%	1.01×	13.78
Al Kholood by 3+	6.0%	7.3%	9.6%	0.75×	13.79