Al Qadsiah v Al Hilal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Al Qadsiah

14:00

Al Hilal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,148h before kick-off

Al Qadsiah win

36.7%

model 37.8%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.4%

Al Hilal win

36.7%

model 35.7%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.2%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.3%
2-2 6.4%
1-0 6.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.2%	Under 2.5	40.8%
BTTS yes	62.7%	BTTS no	37.3%
Al Qadsiah 1+	79.0%	Al Qadsiah 2+	46.2%
Al Hilal 1+	77.9%	Al Hilal 2+	44.6%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Qadsiah have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Al Hilal and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Al Qadsiah and 1.51 for Al Hilal.

Why Al Qadsiah

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.56 to 1.51. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Hilal can win

Al Hilal carry the stronger rating, 1857 Elo against 1791. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Qadsiah, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Hilal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Qadsiah: 45% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 6.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Hilal: 55% possession, 17.2 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Qadsiah are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	332641	1.45–1.63	1-1 12%	59%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win	40.8%	43.0%	35.2%	1.22×	2.33
Al Qadsiah to win	32.9%	30.4%	43.5%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal & both teams score	23.2%	21.9%	18.5%	1.18×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.9%	16.5%	1.32×	4.57
Al Qadsiah & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	21.6%	0.83×	5.58
Al Hilal & not both score	17.7%	17.9%	16.8%	1.06×	5.58
Al Qadsiah & not both score	13.8%	13.3%	22.1%	0.60×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.8%	8.4%	5.1%	1.66×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal & over 1.5	34.5%	30.9%	28.5%	1.08×	3.24
Al Hilal & over 2.5	28.4%	26.0%	23.3%	1.12×	3.84
Al Qadsiah & over 1.5	27.5%	26.0%	34.5%	0.76×	3.84
Al Hilal & under 3.5	24.6%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Al Qadsiah & over 2.5	22.7%	21.7%	27.6%	0.79×	4.62
Al Qadsiah & under 3.5	20.5%	21.7%	27.4%	0.79×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.7%	16.5%	1.31×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Al Hilal & over 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	13.8%	1.30×	5.56
Al Hilal & under 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Al Qadsiah & over 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	16.2%	0.79×	7.77
Al Qadsiah & under 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	16.1%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Al Hilal & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.70
Al Qadsiah & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (1UP)	59.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Al Qadsiah (1UP)	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (2UP)	40.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Al Qadsiah (2UP)	32.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win 2nd half	37.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Al Qadsiah to win 2nd half	29.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (+2.5)	94.1%	92.1%	90.4%	1.02×	1.09
Al Hilal (+1.5)	84.2%	82.4%	77.6%	1.06×	1.21
Al Hilal (+0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	56.5%	1.22×	1.46
Al Qadsiah (+0.5)	59.2%	57.0%	64.8%	0.88×	1.75
Al Hilal (-0.5)	40.8%	43.0%	35.2%	1.22×	2.33
Al Qadsiah (-0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	43.5%	0.72×	3.20
Al Qadsiah (-1.5)	15.8%	17.6%	22.4%	0.79×	5.69
Al Qadsiah (-2.5)	5.9%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to concede	76.5%	79.0%	78.3%	1.01×	1.27
Al Hilal clean sheet	23.5%	21.0%	21.7%	0.97×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to concede in 1st half	46.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Al Hilal clean sheet in 1st half	53.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal under 6.5 corners	83.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Al Hilal over 2.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Hilal under 5.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Hilal under 4.5 corners	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Hilal over 3.5 corners	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Hilal under 3.5 corners	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Hilal over 4.5 corners	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Hilal under 2.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Hilal over 5.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Hilal over 6.5 corners	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Al Hilal over 0.5 goals	80.4%	81.4%	73.0%	1.11×	1.23
Al Hilal under 2.5 goals	77.5%	76.2%	82.7%	0.92×	1.31
Al Hilal under 1.5 goals	51.5%	53.7%	60.9%	0.88×	1.86
Al Hilal over 1.5 goals	48.5%	46.3%	39.1%	1.19×	2.16
Al Hilal over 2.5 goals	22.5%	23.8%	17.3%	1.37×	4.21
Al Hilal under 0.5 goals	19.6%	18.6%	27.0%	0.69×	5.37
Al Hilal over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal under 1.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Al Hilal under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Al Hilal over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Al Hilal over 1.5 in 1st half	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (away no bet)	55.6%	57.4%	67.0%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.4%	42.6%	33.0%	1.29×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal even goals	51.9%	52.8%	52.4%	1.01×	1.89
Al Hilal odd goals	48.1%	47.2%	47.6%	0.99×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.8%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Al Hilal to score 2+ in a row	38.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Al Qadsiah to score 2+ in a row	32.2%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Al Hilal to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Al Qadsiah to score 3+ in a row	10.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah corners (+3.5)	89.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Qadsiah corners (+2.5)	83.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Al Hilal corners (+3.5)	76.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Qadsiah corners (+1.5)	75.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Hilal corners (+2.5)	67.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Al Hilal corners (+1.5)	56.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Qadsiah corners (-1.5)	43.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Qadsiah corners (-2.5)	32.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Al Hilal corners (-1.5)	24.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Qadsiah corners (-3.5)	23.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Hilal corners (-2.5)	16.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Al Hilal corners (-3.5)	10.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.1%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	26.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	18.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.73
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.48
0-0	5.8%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.48
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	6.9%	1.08×	13.48
0-2	6.1%	7.4%	5.4%	1.38×	13.48
1-0	5.4%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
2-2	6.4%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
1-3	4.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.46
2-0	4.8%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.46
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.47
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.47
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.48
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.48
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.48
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.49
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.49
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.48
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.49
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.58×	58.49
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT (DNB)	51.5%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Al Qadsiah leading at HT (DNB)	48.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah or Al Hilal (12)	73.7%	72.1%	78.6%	0.92×	1.39
Al Hilal or draw (X2)	67.1%	69.6%	56.5%	1.23×	1.44
Al Qadsiah or draw (1X)	59.2%	57.0%	64.8%	0.88×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw at HT	71.4%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Qadsiah or draw at HT	69.5%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Al Qadsiah or Al Hilal at HT	59.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw (1UP)	67.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Al Qadsiah or draw (1UP)	59.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Al Qadsiah or Al Hilal in 2nd half	66.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Al Qadsiah or draw in 2nd half	62.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (DNB)	55.4%	58.2%	44.7%	1.30×	1.72
Al Qadsiah (DNB)	44.6%	41.8%	55.3%	0.76×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score first	49.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Al Qadsiah to score first	44.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.8%	56.5%	56.4%	1.00×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.2%	43.5%	43.6%	1.00×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.7%	47.0%	45.6%	1.03×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	28.4%	33.6%	32.9%	1.02×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	10.9%	1.13×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	10.9%	0.77×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.4%	80.0%	83.6%	0.96×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.6%	20.0%	16.4%	1.22×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.5%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.5%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.8%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	7.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	39.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.4%	43.8%	1.08×	2.11
4-6 goals	33.3%	30.8%	32.8%	0.94×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.5%	20.2%	20.8%	0.97×	4.96
7+ goals	3.8%	1.8%	2.9%	0.63×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score exactly 1	31.9%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Al Hilal to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.65
Al Hilal to score 3+	22.5%	22.4%	17.3%	1.29×	4.46
Al Hilal to score exactly 0	19.6%	19.6%	27.0%	0.73×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.7%	32.6%	1.00×	3.06
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 0	23.5%	23.2%	21.7%	1.07×	4.30
Al Qadsiah to score 3+	17.9%	18.9%	21.0%	0.90×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Al Hilal leading at HT	30.5%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Al Qadsiah leading at HT	28.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal -1: 1	59.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Al Hilal -1: 2	21.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Al Hilal -1: X	19.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:1)	67.1%	65.5%	56.5%	1.16×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.1%	17.8%	21.3%	0.83×	5.63
Al Qadsiah (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	22.4%	0.79×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:2)	84.2%	82.8%	77.6%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.92
Al Qadsiah (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	9.6%	0.80×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:3)	94.1%	92.6%	90.4%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.08
Al Qadsiah (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.9%	0.41×	83.53
Al Qadsiah (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (1:0)	59.2%	58.2%	64.8%	0.90×	1.72
Al Hilal (1:0)	21.4%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.59
Draw (1:0)	19.4%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (2:0)	78.6%	80.4%	82.5%	0.97×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.6%	10.4%	10.4%	1.00×	9.63
Al Hilal (2:0)	8.8%	6.5%	7.2%	0.90×	15.47

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to concede	80.4%	80.7%	73.0%	1.11×	1.24
Al Qadsiah clean sheet	19.6%	19.3%	27.0%	0.72×	5.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Al Qadsiah to concede in 1st half	47.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah over 2.5 corners	83.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Qadsiah under 6.5 corners	71.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Al Qadsiah over 3.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Qadsiah under 5.5 corners	59.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Qadsiah over 4.5 corners	54.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Al Qadsiah under 4.5 corners	45.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Qadsiah over 5.5 corners	40.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Qadsiah under 3.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Al Qadsiah over 6.5 corners	28.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Al Qadsiah under 2.5 corners	17.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Al Qadsiah under 2.5 goals	82.1%	82.1%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 goals	76.5%	77.7%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 goals	57.5%	58.8%	54.2%	1.08×	1.70
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 goals	42.5%	41.2%	45.8%	0.90×	2.43
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 goals	23.5%	22.3%	21.7%	1.02×	4.49
Al Qadsiah over 2.5 goals	17.9%	17.9%	21.0%	0.85×	5.59
Al Qadsiah over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	10.3%	—	—	9.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (home no bet)	60.9%	60.1%	62.2%	0.97×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	39.2%	39.9%	37.8%	1.05×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah even goals	52.8%	50.6%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Al Qadsiah odd goals	47.2%	49.4%	47.2%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 0-1	18.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-0	17.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	5.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
Any other HT score	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal at HT / Al Hilal at FT	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Al Qadsiah at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Al Hilal at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Al Qadsiah at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Al Hilal at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Al Qadsiah at HT / Al Hilal at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Al Hilal at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score last	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Al Qadsiah to score last	44.3%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Hilal to lead by 1 at any time	59.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Qadsiah to lead by 1 at any time	52.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Al Hilal to lead by 2 at any time	28.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Al Qadsiah to lead by 2 at any time	22.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Al Hilal to lead by 3 at any time	11.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Al Qadsiah to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah most corners	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Al Hilal most corners	34.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.0%	83.5%	87.4%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.7%	78.6%	76.4%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.3%	72.4%	75.8%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.3%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.1%	59.2%	59.6%	0.99×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.7%	59.2%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.3%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.7%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.7%	35.4%	38.7%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	33.3%	35.4%	32.8%	1.08×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.9%	30.2%	28.0%	1.08×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.1%	18.6%	16.5%	1.13×	5.37
7+ goals	3.8%	2.6%	2.9%	0.88×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal never behind	41.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Al Qadsiah never behind	35.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.5%	82.4%	79.2%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	80.1%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	62.9%	61.8%	64.5%	0.96×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.5%	58.9%	56.4%	1.04×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	40.5%	41.2%	43.6%	0.94×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	37.1%	38.2%	35.5%	1.08×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	19.9%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.6%	20.8%	0.85×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.2%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.7%	86.8%	91.3%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.3%	75.9%	73.0%	1.04×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.0%	75.9%	77.0%	0.99×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.2%	51.8%	55.1%	0.94×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.8%	48.2%	44.9%	1.07×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.0%	24.1%	23.0%	1.05×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.7%	24.1%	27.0%	0.89×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.3%	13.2%	8.7%	1.53×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.8%	3.1%	0.91×	36.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.3%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.3%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.7%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.7%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah not to score in both halves	73.9%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Al Hilal not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Al Hilal to score in both halves	29.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Al Qadsiah to score in both halves	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.8%	60.2%	56.4%	1.07×	1.66
Only Al Hilal scores	17.7%	16.1%	16.8%	0.95×	6.22
Only Al Qadsiah scores	13.8%	10.9%	22.1%	0.50×	9.14
Neither team scores	5.8%	7.2%	5.1%	1.42×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.0%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	17.4%	16.4%	1.06×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	11.8%	1.02×	8.28
6 or more goals	9.2%	7.6%	7.7%	1.00×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	5.8%	7.6%	5.1%	1.51×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	28.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah not to win both halves	91.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Al Hilal not to win both halves	88.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Al Hilal to win both halves	11.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Al Qadsiah to win both halves	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.45

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win either half	56.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Al Qadsiah to win neither half	50.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Qadsiah to win either half	49.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Al Hilal to win neither half	43.7%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah not to win to nil	86.2%	88.2%	77.9%	1.13×	1.13
Al Hilal not to win to nil	82.3%	83.0%	83.2%	1.00×	1.21
Al Hilal to win to nil	17.7%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.89
Al Qadsiah to win to nil	13.8%	11.8%	22.1%	0.53×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.3%	27.8%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59
Al Hilal by 1	19.4%	16.9%	17.9%	0.95×	5.91
Al Qadsiah by 1	17.1%	16.9%	21.3%	0.80×	5.91
Al Hilal by 2	12.6%	11.8%	10.4%	1.13×	8.47
Al Qadsiah by 2	9.9%	7.3%	12.9%	0.56×	13.77
Al Hilal by 3+	8.8%	7.3%	7.2%	1.01×	13.78
Al Qadsiah by 3+	5.9%	7.3%	9.6%	0.75×	13.79