Al Riyadh v Al Taawoun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Al Riyadh

14:00

Al Taawoun

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,172h before kick-off

Al Riyadh win

26.8%

model 26.9%

Draw

26.8%

model 27.9%

Al Taawoun win

46.5%

model 45.2%

272746

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.3%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 8.1%
0-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.7%	Under 2.5	49.3%
BTTS yes	55.3%	BTTS no	44.7%
Al Riyadh 1+	68.4%	Al Riyadh 2+	32.0%
Al Taawoun 1+	78.8%	Al Taawoun 2+	45.9%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.55. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Al Taawoun carry the stronger rating, 1484 Elo against 1405.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Taawoun have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 26.8% for Al Riyadh. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Al Riyadh and 1.55 for Al Taawoun.

Why Al Riyadh

Nothing in the data singles out Al Riyadh.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Taawoun can win

Al Taawoun carry the stronger rating, 1484 Elo against 1405.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Riyadh, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Taawoun, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Riyadh: 37% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Taawoun: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Taawoun are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	242749	1.10–1.64	1-1 13%	52%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to win	48.6%	47.5%	35.2%	1.35×	2.11
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59
Al Riyadh to win	24.2%	24.5%	43.5%	0.56×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun & not both score	25.4%	25.2%	16.8%	1.49×	3.97
Al Taawoun & both teams score	23.2%	21.9%	18.5%	1.18×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	17.9%	16.5%	1.08×	5.58
Al Riyadh & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	21.6%	0.61×	7.54
Al Riyadh & not both score	11.6%	13.3%	22.1%	0.60×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.7%	8.4%	5.1%	1.66×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun & over 1.5	39.4%	34.9%	28.5%	1.23×	2.86
Al Taawoun & under 3.5	32.2%	30.8%	21.6%	1.43×	3.24
Al Taawoun & over 2.5	30.8%	30.8%	23.3%	1.33×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	15.8%	1.37×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	15.8%	1.37×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Riyadh & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	34.5%	0.52×	5.56
Al Riyadh & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	27.4%	0.66×	5.56
Al Taawoun & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Al Taawoun & over 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	13.8%	1.31×	5.56
Al Riyadh & over 2.5	14.6%	12.9%	27.6%	0.47×	7.77
Al Riyadh & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	16.1%	0.49×	12.70
Al Taawoun & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.70
Al Riyadh & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Al Riyadh & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (1UP)	63.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Al Riyadh (1UP)	42.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (2UP)	48.6%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Al Riyadh (2UP)	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to win 2nd half	42.5%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	35.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Al Riyadh to win 2nd half	22.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (+2.5)	97.1%	96.3%	90.4%	1.07×	1.04
Al Taawoun (+1.5)	90.2%	92.1%	77.6%	1.19×	1.09
Al Taawoun (+0.5)	75.8%	78.4%	56.5%	1.39×	1.28
Al Riyadh (+0.5)	51.4%	52.4%	64.8%	0.81×	1.91
Al Taawoun (-0.5)	48.6%	47.6%	35.2%	1.35×	2.10
Al Riyadh (-0.5)	24.2%	21.6%	43.5%	0.50×	4.64
Al Riyadh (-1.5)	9.8%	7.9%	22.4%	0.35×	12.62
Al Riyadh (-2.5)	2.9%	3.7%	9.6%	0.39×	26.86

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede	66.8%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Al Taawoun clean sheet	33.2%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 1st half	62.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Al Taawoun to concede in 1st half	37.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun over 2.5 corners	84.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Al Taawoun over 3.5 corners	71.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Al Taawoun under 6.5 corners	69.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Al Taawoun under 5.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Taawoun over 4.5 corners	56.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Taawoun under 4.5 corners	43.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Taawoun over 5.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Taawoun over 6.5 corners	30.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Al Taawoun under 3.5 corners	28.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Al Taawoun under 2.5 corners	15.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 3.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Al Taawoun over 0.5 goals	80.7%	81.4%	73.0%	1.11×	1.23
Al Taawoun under 2.5 goals	77.2%	76.2%	82.7%	0.92×	1.31
Al Taawoun under 1.5 goals	51.1%	53.6%	60.9%	0.88×	1.86
Al Taawoun over 1.5 goals	48.9%	46.4%	39.1%	1.19×	2.16
Al Taawoun over 2.5 goals	22.8%	23.8%	17.3%	1.37×	4.21
Al Taawoun under 0.5 goals	19.3%	18.6%	27.0%	0.69×	5.38
Al Taawoun over 3.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 1st half	51.8%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 1st half	48.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 1st half	14.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	52.8%	51.3%	33.0%	1.55×	1.95
Al Riyadh (away no bet)	47.2%	48.7%	67.0%	0.73×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun even goals	51.9%	52.8%	52.4%	1.01×	1.90
Al Taawoun odd goals	48.1%	47.2%	47.6%	0.99×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Taawoun to score 2+ in a row	40.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Riyadh to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Al Taawoun to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Al Riyadh to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun corners (+3.5)	84.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Al Riyadh corners (+3.5)	79.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Taawoun corners (+2.5)	77.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Riyadh corners (+2.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Taawoun corners (+1.5)	68.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Al Riyadh corners (+1.5)	62.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Taawoun corners (-1.5)	37.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Al Riyadh corners (-1.5)	31.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Al Taawoun corners (-2.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Al Riyadh corners (-2.5)	22.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Taawoun corners (-3.5)	20.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Riyadh corners (-3.5)	15.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	34.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	26.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	25.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.4%	10.9%	1.05×	8.73
0-1	9.2%	7.4%	6.9%	1.08×	13.47
0-2	8.7%	7.4%	5.4%	1.39×	13.47
1-2	9.6%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
0-0	7.7%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.47
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.47
1-3	5.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.94×	13.47
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.47
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.47
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.50
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.51
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.51
2-0	3.9%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.50
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.51
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.52
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.52
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.51
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.52
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.52
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.52
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.52
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.58×	58.52
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun leading at HT (DNB)	60.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Riyadh leading at HT (DNB)	39.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun or draw (X2)	75.8%	75.5%	56.5%	1.34×	1.32
Al Riyadh or Al Taawoun (12)	72.9%	72.1%	78.6%	0.92×	1.39
Al Riyadh or draw (1X)	51.4%	52.5%	64.8%	0.81×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun or draw at HT	77.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Al Riyadh or draw at HT	65.9%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Al Riyadh or Al Taawoun at HT	56.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun or draw (1UP)	75.8%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Al Riyadh or draw (1UP)	51.4%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun or draw in 2nd half	77.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Al Riyadh or Al Taawoun in 2nd half	64.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Al Riyadh or draw in 2nd half	57.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (DNB)	66.7%	67.2%	44.7%	1.50×	1.49
Al Riyadh (DNB)	33.3%	32.8%	55.3%	0.59×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score first	55.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Riyadh to score first	37.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	7.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.2%	54.8%	56.4%	0.97×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.8%	45.2%	43.6%	1.04×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	45.6%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.3%	38.5%	32.9%	1.17×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.3%	10.9%	1.13×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	10.9%	0.77×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.2%	85.6%	83.6%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.8%	14.4%	16.4%	0.88×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.2%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.90

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.4%	43.8%	1.08×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.4%	26.4%	32.8%	0.81×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.7%	22.8%	20.8%	1.10×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.02

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score exactly 1	31.8%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Al Taawoun to score exactly 2	26.1%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.65
Al Taawoun to score 3+	22.8%	22.4%	17.3%	1.30×	4.46
Al Taawoun to score exactly 0	19.3%	19.6%	27.0%	0.73×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	32.6%	1.09×	2.81
Al Riyadh to score exactly 0	33.2%	32.7%	21.7%	1.50×	3.06
Al Riyadh to score exactly 2	20.2%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Al Riyadh to score 3+	10.0%	14.3%	21.0%	0.68×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Al Taawoun leading at HT	34.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Al Riyadh leading at HT	22.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun -1: 1	51.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Al Taawoun -1: 2	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Al Taawoun -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:1)	75.8%	73.7%	56.5%	1.30×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.5%	13.9%	21.3%	0.65×	7.21
Al Riyadh (0:1)	9.8%	9.3%	22.4%	0.41×	10.79

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:2)	90.2%	90.7%	77.6%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.96
Al Riyadh (0:2)	2.9%	3.8%	9.6%	0.39×	26.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:3)	97.1%	96.6%	90.4%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.11
Al Riyadh (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.9%	0.41×	83.55
Al Riyadh (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (1:0)	51.4%	54.1%	64.8%	0.83×	1.85
Al Taawoun (1:0)	26.5%	25.1%	17.5%	1.44×	3.98
Draw (1:0)	22.2%	21.8%	17.9%	1.21×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (2:0)	73.5%	76.4%	82.5%	0.93×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.2%	15.6%	10.4%	1.50×	6.39
Al Taawoun (2:0)	11.2%	10.4%	7.2%	1.44×	9.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to concede	80.7%	80.7%	73.0%	1.10×	1.24
Al Riyadh clean sheet	19.3%	19.3%	27.0%	0.72×	5.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh clean sheet in 1st half	51.8%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Al Riyadh to concede in 1st half	48.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh over 2.5 corners	81.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Riyadh under 6.5 corners	74.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Al Riyadh over 3.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Riyadh under 5.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Riyadh over 4.5 corners	51.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Al Riyadh under 4.5 corners	48.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Riyadh over 5.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Riyadh under 3.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Al Riyadh over 6.5 corners	25.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Al Riyadh under 2.5 corners	18.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 3.5 goals	97.4%	96.4%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Al Riyadh under 2.5 goals	90.0%	87.3%	79.0%	1.10×	1.15
Al Riyadh under 1.5 goals	69.8%	67.9%	54.2%	1.25×	1.47
Al Riyadh over 0.5 goals	66.8%	67.9%	78.3%	0.87×	1.47
Al Riyadh under 0.5 goals	33.2%	32.2%	21.7%	1.48×	3.11
Al Riyadh over 1.5 goals	30.2%	32.1%	45.8%	0.70×	3.11
Al Riyadh over 2.5 goals	10.0%	12.7%	21.0%	0.61×	7.85
Al Riyadh over 3.5 goals	2.6%	3.6%	8.1%	0.45×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Al Riyadh under 0.5 in 1st half	62.2%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
Al Riyadh over 0.5 in 1st half	37.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.81
Al Riyadh over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	4.7%	—	—	21.20

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (home no bet)	64.2%	60.2%	62.2%	0.97×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.8%	39.8%	37.8%	1.05×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh even goals	55.5%	55.4%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
Al Riyadh odd goals	44.5%	44.6%	47.2%	0.94×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
HT 0-1	21.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	15.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.76
HT 2-0	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.80
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.82
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.89
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	27.7%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Draw at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Al Riyadh at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Al Riyadh at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Al Taawoun at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Al Riyadh at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score last	55.3%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Al Riyadh to score last	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	7.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Taawoun to lead by 1 at any time	63.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Al Riyadh to lead by 1 at any time	42.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Al Taawoun to lead by 2 at any time	33.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Al Riyadh to lead by 2 at any time	14.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Al Taawoun to lead by 3 at any time	13.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Al Riyadh to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.34

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun most corners	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Riyadh most corners	41.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.4%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.1%	78.6%	76.4%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.6%	63.4%	59.6%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.6%	48.7%	53.6%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.7%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.7%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.5%	43.6%	38.7%	1.12×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.4%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.4%	30.2%	32.8%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.6%	24.5%	28.0%	0.87×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.2%	14.9%	16.5%	0.90×	6.73
7+ goals	2.2%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun never behind	49.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Al Riyadh never behind	28.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.2%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	80.7%	1.09×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.4%	79.2%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.4%	72.5%	64.5%	1.12×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.8%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.2%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	29.6%	27.5%	35.5%	0.77×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.6%	20.8%	1.09×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	19.3%	0.64×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.5%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.0%	81.1%	77.0%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.5%	67.4%	73.0%	0.92×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.9%	62.1%	55.1%	1.13×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.1%	37.9%	44.9%	0.85×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.5%	32.6%	27.0%	1.21×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.0%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.5%	8.7%	0.87×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	3.1%	0.90×	36.35

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.5%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.5%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to score in both halves	82.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Al Taawoun not to score in both halves	69.8%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Al Taawoun to score in both halves	30.2%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Al Riyadh to score in both halves	17.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.2%	58.3%	56.4%	1.03×	1.72
Only Al Taawoun scores	25.4%	26.1%	16.8%	1.55×	3.83
Only Al Riyadh scores	11.6%	10.9%	22.1%	0.50×	9.14
Neither team scores	7.7%	7.2%	5.1%	1.42×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	23.0%	1.09×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	17.4%	16.4%	1.06×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	7.7%	7.6%	5.1%	1.51×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.1%	7.6%	7.7%	1.00×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	20.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Al Taawoun not to win both halves	85.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Al Taawoun to win both halves	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Al Riyadh to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to win either half	61.9%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Al Riyadh to win neither half	60.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Al Riyadh to win either half	39.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Al Taawoun to win neither half	38.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to win to nil	88.4%	88.2%	77.9%	1.13×	1.13
Al Taawoun not to win to nil	74.6%	75.3%	83.2%	0.91×	1.33
Al Taawoun to win to nil	25.4%	24.7%	16.8%	1.47×	4.05
Al Riyadh to win to nil	11.6%	11.8%	22.1%	0.53×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.8%	21.4%	1.30×	3.60
Al Taawoun by 1	22.2%	24.1%	17.9%	1.35×	4.14
Al Taawoun by 2	15.2%	16.9%	10.4%	1.63×	5.90
Al Riyadh by 1	14.5%	11.8%	21.3%	0.56×	8.47
Al Taawoun by 3+	11.2%	11.8%	7.2%	1.64×	8.47
Al Riyadh by 2	6.9%	7.2%	12.9%	0.56×	13.80
Al Riyadh by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	9.6%	0.28×	37.04