Alanyaspor v Goztepe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Alanyaspor

13:00

Goztepe

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 153h before kick-off

Alanyaspor win

40.6%

model 39.9%

Draw

30.0%

model 30.1%

Goztepe win

29.4%

model 30.0%

413029

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.3%
0-0 10.1%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 8.6%
0-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.4%	Under 2.5	55.6%
BTTS yes	51.1%	BTTS no	48.9%
Alanyaspor 1+	73.6%	Alanyaspor 2+	38.4%
Goztepe 1+	67.5%	Goztepe 2+	30.9%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.12. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 61%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Alanyaspor.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alanyaspor have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.0% for the draw and 29.4% for Goztepe. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Alanyaspor and 1.12 for Goztepe.

Why Alanyaspor

Nothing in the data singles out Alanyaspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.33 to 1.12. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Goztepe can win

Goztepe carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1465.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alanyaspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Goztepe, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alanyaspor: 43% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Goztepe: 38% possession, 17.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Alanyaspor are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	403030	1.33–1.12	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	403129	1.27–1.05	1-1 15%	41%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor to win	39.7%	36.5%	45.4%	0.80×	2.74
Draw	31.1%	30.4%	26.0%	1.17×	3.29
Goztepe to win	29.2%	27.9%	28.7%	0.97×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor & not both score	23.5%	21.9%	22.3%	0.98×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	17.9%	18.2%	0.99×	5.58
Goztepe & not both score	16.8%	17.9%	14.3%	1.25×	5.58
Alanyaspor & both teams score	16.2%	17.9%	23.2%	0.77×	5.58
Goztepe & both teams score	12.4%	13.2%	14.5%	0.91×	7.55
Draw & not both score	11.3%	13.2%	8.0%	1.66×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor & under 3.5	30.4%	30.9%	29.4%	1.05×	3.24
Alanyaspor & over 1.5	28.8%	26.0%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	20.4%	1.27×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.0%	26.0%	20.4%	1.27×	3.84
Goztepe & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.62
Alanyaspor & over 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	30.3%	0.71×	4.62
Goztepe & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	22.3%	0.97×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Alanyaspor & under 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	15.2%	1.18×	5.56
Goztepe & over 2.5	15.0%	12.9%	18.0%	0.71×	7.77
Goztepe & under 2.5	14.2%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Alanyaspor & under 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	9.3%	1.38×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	8.0%	1.61×	7.78
Alanyaspor & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	16.1%	0.49×	12.69
Goztepe & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.69
Goztepe & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor (1UP)	54.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Goztepe (1UP)	45.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor (2UP)	39.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Goztepe (2UP)	29.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Alanyaspor to win 2nd half	32.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Goztepe to win 2nd half	27.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (+2.5)	93.6%	92.1%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Goztepe (+1.5)	81.5%	82.4%	78.6%	1.05×	1.21
Alanyaspor (+0.5)	70.8%	73.7%	71.3%	1.03×	1.36
Goztepe (+0.5)	60.3%	62.9%	54.6%	1.15×	1.59
Alanyaspor (-0.5)	39.7%	37.1%	45.4%	0.82×	2.69
Goztepe (-0.5)	29.2%	26.3%	28.7%	0.92×	3.80
Alanyaspor (-1.5)	18.5%	17.6%	21.5%	0.82×	5.68
Alanyaspor (-2.5)	6.4%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to concede	71.9%	76.5%	77.8%	0.98×	1.31
Goztepe clean sheet	28.1%	23.5%	22.2%	1.06×	4.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe clean sheet in 1st half	57.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Goztepe to concede in 1st half	42.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 6.5 corners	91.8%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Goztepe under 5.5 corners	85.0%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Goztepe under 4.5 corners	74.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Goztepe over 2.5 corners	59.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Goztepe under 3.5 corners	59.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Goztepe over 3.5 corners	41.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Goztepe under 2.5 corners	40.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Goztepe over 4.5 corners	25.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Goztepe over 5.5 corners	15.0%	15.1%	—	—	6.62
Goztepe over 6.5 corners	8.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.6%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Goztepe under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	86.2%	1.07×	1.08
Goztepe under 1.5 goals	71.6%	71.9%	65.2%	1.10×	1.39
Goztepe over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	69.8%	0.97×	1.47
Goztepe under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	30.2%	1.06×	3.12
Goztepe over 1.5 goals	28.4%	28.1%	34.8%	0.81×	3.56
Goztepe over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	13.8%	0.56×	13.05
Goztepe over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.4%	4.6%	0.53×	41.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Goztepe under 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Goztepe over 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Goztepe over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor (away no bet)	56.1%	57.5%	63.6%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.9%	42.5%	36.4%	1.17×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe even goals	56.1%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Goztepe odd goals	43.9%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.1%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.9%	8.1%	—	—	12.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Alanyaspor to score 2+ in a row	29.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Goztepe to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Alanyaspor to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.79
Goztepe to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor corners (+3.5)	94.1%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Alanyaspor corners (+2.5)	89.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Alanyaspor corners (+1.5)	83.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Goztepe corners (+3.5)	69.1%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Goztepe corners (+2.5)	58.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Alanyaspor corners (-1.5)	52.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Goztepe corners (+1.5)	47.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Alanyaspor corners (-2.5)	41.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Alanyaspor corners (-3.5)	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Goztepe corners (-1.5)	16.4%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Goztepe corners (-2.5)	10.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Goztepe corners (-3.5)	5.9%	11.3%	—	—	8.83

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	26.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	19.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	73.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 7.5 corners	57.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 8.5 corners	46.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 7.5 corners	42.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	26.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	13.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.6%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.73
0-0	11.3%	11.5%	8.0%	1.43×	8.73
1-0	10.9%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-1	8.8%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
1-2	6.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.12×	13.46
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	6.1%	1.23×	13.46
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.4%	1.67×	13.46
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.58
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	58.59
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.58
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.65×	58.59
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.57
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.58
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.59
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.57
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.57
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.58
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.28×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.85×	58.59
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.59
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.59
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	11.54×	58.59
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor leading at HT (DNB)	58.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Goztepe leading at HT (DNB)	41.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor or draw (1X)	70.8%	72.1%	71.3%	1.01×	1.39
Alanyaspor or Goztepe (12)	68.9%	69.6%	74.0%	0.94×	1.44
Goztepe or draw (X2)	60.3%	63.5%	54.6%	1.16×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor or draw at HT	78.1%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Goztepe or draw at HT	69.7%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Alanyaspor or Goztepe at HT	52.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor or draw (1UP)	70.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Goztepe or draw (1UP)	60.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.41

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor or draw in 2nd half	72.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Goztepe or draw in 2nd half	67.3%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Alanyaspor or Goztepe in 2nd half	60.0%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.1%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	32.9%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor (DNB)	57.7%	58.2%	61.3%	0.95×	1.72
Goztepe (DNB)	42.3%	41.8%	38.7%	1.08×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor to score first	48.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Goztepe to score first	40.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	11.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.6%	51.5%	44.4%	1.16×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.4%	48.5%	55.6%	0.87×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.4%	41.6%	33.7%	1.23×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	33.7%	34.4%	43.2%	0.80×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	14.6%	12.3%	12.6%	0.98×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.3%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.7%	85.7%	83.4%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.3%	14.3%	16.6%	0.86×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.1%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.22

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.4%	45.7%	1.04×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.0%	30.7%	23.5%	1.30×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.6%	20.3%	28.4%	0.71×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	2.7%	0.68×	55.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Goztepe to score exactly 0	34.9%	33.9%	30.2%	1.12×	2.95
Goztepe to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.6%	21.2%	0.92×	5.11
Goztepe to score 3+	9.0%	8.5%	13.8%	0.62×	11.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Alanyaspor to score exactly 0	28.1%	26.5%	22.2%	1.19×	3.77
Alanyaspor to score exactly 2	22.6%	23.3%	23.8%	0.98×	4.30
Alanyaspor to score 3+	13.6%	14.4%	22.2%	0.65×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Alanyaspor leading at HT	30.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Goztepe leading at HT	21.9%	19.9%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor -1: 2	60.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Alanyaspor -1: X	21.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Alanyaspor -1: 1	18.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (0:1)	60.3%	61.3%	54.6%	1.12×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.3%	24.3%	24.1%	1.01×	4.12
Alanyaspor (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (0:2)	81.5%	82.8%	78.6%	1.05×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	11.7%	0.94×	9.09
Alanyaspor (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (0:3)	93.6%	92.7%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	6.5%	0.37×	41.93
Alanyaspor (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	3.6%	0.67×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	96.5%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	83.31
Alanyaspor (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.2%	1.01×	83.43

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor (1:0)	70.8%	72.5%	71.3%	1.02×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.4%	17.0%	15.8%	1.08×	5.87
Goztepe (1:0)	11.8%	12.8%	13.0%	0.98×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor (2:0)	88.2%	88.4%	87.0%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.5%	7.7%	0.84×	15.48
Goztepe (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	5.5%	0.41×	44.19

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Halves equal	29.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor to concede	65.1%	66.5%	69.8%	0.95×	1.51
Alanyaspor clean sheet	34.9%	33.5%	30.2%	1.11×	2.98

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor clean sheet in 1st half	65.6%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Alanyaspor to concede in 1st half	34.4%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Alanyaspor under 6.5 corners	70.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Alanyaspor over 3.5 corners	69.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Alanyaspor under 5.5 corners	59.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Alanyaspor over 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Alanyaspor under 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alanyaspor over 5.5 corners	40.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Alanyaspor under 3.5 corners	30.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Alanyaspor over 6.5 corners	29.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Alanyaspor under 2.5 corners	17.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor under 3.5 goals	96.0%	96.3%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
Alanyaspor under 2.5 goals	86.4%	87.2%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Alanyaspor over 0.5 goals	71.9%	74.2%	77.8%	0.95×	1.35
Alanyaspor under 1.5 goals	63.8%	63.4%	54.1%	1.17×	1.58
Alanyaspor over 1.5 goals	36.2%	36.6%	45.9%	0.80×	2.73
Alanyaspor under 0.5 goals	28.1%	25.8%	22.2%	1.16×	3.88
Alanyaspor over 2.5 goals	13.6%	12.8%	22.2%	0.58×	7.83
Alanyaspor over 3.5 goals	4.0%	3.7%	7.4%	0.49×	27.38

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor under 1.5 in 1st half	89.6%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Alanyaspor under 0.5 in 1st half	57.9%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Alanyaspor over 0.5 in 1st half	42.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Alanyaspor over 1.5 in 1st half	10.4%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.5%	51.6%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Goztepe (home no bet)	48.5%	48.4%	52.4%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor even goals	54.0%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Alanyaspor odd goals	46.0%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	20.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	15.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-0	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.67
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.75
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor at HT / Alanyaspor at FT	23.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.8%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Goztepe at HT / Goztepe at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Alanyaspor at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Goztepe at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Alanyaspor at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Goztepe at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Goztepe at HT / Alanyaspor at FT	1.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.21
Alanyaspor at HT / Goztepe at FT	1.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor to score last	48.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Goztepe to score last	40.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.3%	9.3%	—	—	10.79

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.7%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Alanyaspor to lead by 1 at any time	54.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Goztepe to lead by 1 at any time	45.3%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Alanyaspor to lead by 2 at any time	23.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Goztepe to lead by 2 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Alanyaspor to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.5%	—	—	15.31
Goztepe to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor most corners	64.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Goztepe most corners	25.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Corners level	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	85.5%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.5%	75.4%	1.11×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.1%	69.0%	61.2%	1.13×	1.45
2-6 goals	68.0%	69.0%	74.0%	0.93×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.9%	69.0%	70.0%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.3%	63.5%	59.9%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.7%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.7%	48.7%	38.3%	1.27×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.0%	43.6%	51.3%	0.85×	2.29
3-5 goals	37.9%	39.2%	47.3%	0.83×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.4%	35.4%	37.3%	0.95×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.6%	18.6%	28.4%	0.66×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.4%	18.6%	24.4%	0.76×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.7%	8.7%	14.2%	0.62×	11.44
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	2.7%	0.95×	39.54

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alanyaspor never behind	43.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Goztepe never behind	34.0%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.5%	50.8%	50.7%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.5%	49.2%	49.3%	1.00×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.9%	95.5%	93.3%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.7%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.5%	77.4%	69.1%	1.12×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	76.5%	0.87×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.0%	58.8%	46.2%	1.27×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.0%	41.2%	53.8%	0.76×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	23.5%	1.43×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.5%	22.6%	30.9%	0.73×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.12
Over 4.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.1%	4.5%	6.7%	0.68×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.3%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.7%	97.2%	92.6%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.2%	92.4%	80.5%	1.15×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.2%	72.6%	59.9%	1.21×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.9%	55.5%	69.6%	0.80×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.1%	44.5%	30.4%	1.46×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.8%	27.4%	40.1%	0.68×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.8%	7.6%	19.5%	0.39×	13.24
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.3%	2.8%	7.4%	0.37×	36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.7%	2.8%	0.99×	36.42

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.5%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe not to score in both halves	83.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Alanyaspor not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Alanyaspor to score in both halves	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Goztepe to score in both halves	16.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.4%	50.4%	55.6%	0.91×	1.99
Only Alanyaspor scores	23.5%	22.4%	22.3%	1.00×	4.47
Only Goztepe scores	16.8%	16.1%	14.3%	1.12×	6.21
Neither team scores	11.3%	10.9%	8.0%	1.37×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	25.0%	22.8%	1.10×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.7%	17.5%	15.7%	1.11×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.9%	12.1%	14.3%	0.84×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	11.3%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.1%	4.4%	6.7%	0.66×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	26.3%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe not to win both halves	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Alanyaspor not to win both halves	89.8%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Alanyaspor to win both halves	10.2%	11.8%	—	—	8.44
Goztepe to win both halves	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to win neither half	57.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Alanyaspor to win either half	52.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Alanyaspor to win neither half	47.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Goztepe to win either half	43.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe not to win to nil	83.2%	83.0%	85.7%	0.97×	1.21
Alanyaspor not to win to nil	76.5%	78.0%	77.7%	1.00×	1.28
Alanyaspor to win to nil	23.5%	22.0%	22.3%	0.98×	4.55
Goztepe to win to nil	16.8%	17.0%	14.3%	1.19×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.1%	27.6%	26.0%	1.06×	3.62
Alanyaspor by 1	21.3%	24.1%	24.1%	1.00×	4.14
Goztepe by 1	17.4%	16.9%	15.8%	1.07×	5.90
Alanyaspor by 2	12.1%	11.8%	11.7%	1.01×	8.46
Goztepe by 2	8.3%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.80
Alanyaspor by 3+	6.4%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.81
Goztepe by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	5.5%	0.49×	36.96