Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 25 October 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627
TUR-Super Lig
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 14.1%
- 1-0 13.9%
- 0-0 12.9%
- 2-0 10.3%
- 2-1 8.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 37.0% | Under 2.5 | 63.0% |
| BTTS yes | 43.0% | BTTS no | 57.0% |
| Alanyaspor 1+ | 74.0% | Alanyaspor 2+ | 38.9% |
| Kocaelispor 1+ | 56.2% | Kocaelispor 2+ | 20.0% |
Expected goals 1.35 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Alanyaspor.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Alanyaspor have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for the draw and 22.4% for Kocaelispor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Alanyaspor and 0.82 for Kocaelispor.
Why Alanyaspor
Nothing in the data singles out Alanyaspor.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 31.0%. A combined 2.17 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Kocaelispor can win
Nothing in the data singles out Kocaelispor.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Alanyaspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kocaelispor, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Alanyaspor: 43% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kocaelispor: 55% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Alanyaspor are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.28–0.74 | 1-0 15% | 33% | 39% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor to win | 47.8% | 47.4% | 45.4% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Draw | 32.1% | 30.4% | 26.0% | 1.17× | 3.29 |
| Kocaelispor to win | 20.1% | 24.4% | 28.7% | 0.85× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor & not both score | 32.9% | 29.7% | 22.3% | 1.33× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.4% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 0.98× | 5.58 |
| Alanyaspor & both teams score | 14.9% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 0.57× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 14.7% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 1.66× | 7.54 |
| Kocaelispor & not both score | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 0.92× | 7.54 |
| Kocaelispor & both teams score | 7.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 0.58× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor & under 3.5 | 39.0% | 34.9% | 29.4% | 1.19× | 2.86 |
| Alanyaspor & over 1.5 | 32.3% | 30.8% | 36.2% | 0.85× | 3.24 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 28.8% | 26.0% | 20.4% | 1.28× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 28.8% | 26.0% | 20.4% | 1.28× | 3.84 |
| Alanyaspor & under 2.5 | 26.3% | 26.0% | 15.2% | 1.71× | 3.84 |
| Alanyaspor & over 2.5 | 21.4% | 21.6% | 30.3% | 0.71× | 4.62 |
| Kocaelispor & under 3.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.4% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 0.99× | 5.56 |
| Alanyaspor & under 1.5 | 15.5% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 1.93× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 1.61× | 7.77 |
| Kocaelispor & over 1.5 | 11.8% | 12.9% | 22.3% | 0.58× | 7.77 |
| Kocaelispor & under 2.5 | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 1.19× | 7.77 |
| Alanyaspor & over 3.5 | 8.8% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 0.49× | 12.70 |
| Kocaelispor & under 1.5 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 1.21× | 12.70 |
| Kocaelispor & over 2.5 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 18.0% | 0.44× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 0.83× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 0.83× | 20.93 |
| Kocaelispor & over 3.5 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 0.51× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor (1UP) | 59.4% | 58.3% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Kocaelispor (1UP) | 34.1% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor (2UP) | 47.8% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Kocaelispor (2UP) | 20.1% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.30 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 42.8% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
| Alanyaspor to win 2nd half | 37.6% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Kocaelispor to win 2nd half | 19.6% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor (+2.5) | 91.8% | 92.1% | 90.1% | 1.02× | 1.09 |
| Alanyaspor (+0.5) | 79.9% | 78.5% | 71.3% | 1.10× | 1.27 |
| Kocaelispor (+1.5) | 77.1% | 78.5% | 78.6% | 1.00× | 1.28 |
| Kocaelispor (+0.5) | 52.2% | 52.4% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Alanyaspor (-0.5) | 47.8% | 47.6% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Alanyaspor (-1.5) | 22.9% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 1.00× | 4.64 |
| Kocaelispor (-0.5) | 20.1% | 21.5% | 28.7% | 0.75× | 4.65 |
| Alanyaspor (-2.5) | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 0.80× | 12.64 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor to concede | 72.2% | 76.5% | 77.8% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Kocaelispor clean sheet | 27.8% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 1.06× | 4.25 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor clean sheet in 1st half | 57.7% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Kocaelispor to concede in 1st half | 42.3% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor under 6.5 corners | 94.8% | 90.1% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Kocaelispor under 5.5 corners | 89.5% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Kocaelispor under 4.5 corners | 80.1% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Kocaelispor under 3.5 corners | 65.4% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Kocaelispor over 2.5 corners | 54.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Kocaelispor under 2.5 corners | 45.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Kocaelispor over 3.5 corners | 34.6% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Kocaelispor over 4.5 corners | 19.9% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.39 |
| Kocaelispor over 5.5 corners | 10.5% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
| Kocaelispor over 6.5 corners | 5.2% | 9.9% | — | — | 10.09 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor under 3.5 goals | 99.3% | 97.6% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Kocaelispor under 2.5 goals | 96.1% | 97.5% | 86.2% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Kocaelispor under 1.5 goals | 82.9% | 81.4% | 65.2% | 1.25× | 1.23 |
| Kocaelispor over 0.5 goals | 52.4% | 53.7% | 69.8% | 0.77× | 1.86 |
| Kocaelispor under 0.5 goals | 47.6% | 46.3% | 30.2% | 1.54× | 2.16 |
| Kocaelispor over 1.5 goals | 17.1% | 18.6% | 34.8% | 0.53× | 5.39 |
| Kocaelispor over 2.5 goals | 3.9% | 2.5% | 13.8% | 0.18× | 40.77 |
| Kocaelispor over 3.5 goals | 0.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 0.53× | 40.95 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.4% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Kocaelispor under 0.5 in 1st half | 74.3% | 68.8% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Kocaelispor over 0.5 in 1st half | 25.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
| Kocaelispor over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.6% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.41 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor (away no bet) | 59.8% | 57.6% | 63.6% | 0.91× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 40.2% | 42.4% | 36.4% | 1.16× | 2.36 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor even goals | 61.3% | 59.0% | 54.4% | 1.08× | 1.69 |
| Kocaelispor odd goals | 38.7% | 41.0% | 45.6% | 0.90× | 2.44 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 93.2% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.59 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 52.5% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 47.5% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 41.9% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Alanyaspor to score 2+ in a row | 31.6% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| Kocaelispor to score 2+ in a row | 12.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.26 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 12.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.26 |
| Alanyaspor to score 3+ in a row | 10.4% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.30 |
| Kocaelispor to score 3+ in a row | 2.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.99 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor corners (+3.5) | 95.1% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Alanyaspor corners (+2.5) | 90.9% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Alanyaspor corners (+1.5) | 84.2% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Kocaelispor corners (+3.5) | 73.7% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Kocaelispor corners (+2.5) | 62.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Alanyaspor corners (-1.5) | 50.1% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Kocaelispor corners (+1.5) | 49.9% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Alanyaspor corners (-2.5) | 37.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Alanyaspor corners (-3.5) | 26.3% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Kocaelispor corners (-1.5) | 15.8% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Kocaelispor corners (-2.5) | 9.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
| Kocaelispor corners (-3.5) | 4.9% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.51 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 64.7% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 9-11 corners | 23.8% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
| 12+ corners | 11.5% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.75 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 92.7% | 83.4% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 88.5% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 82.6% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 74.6% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 64.7% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 53.0% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 47.0% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 35.3% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 25.4% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 17.4% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 11.5% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.89 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 7.3% | 16.6% | — | — | 6.01 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 1.47× | 7.28 |
| 0-0 | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 1.43× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 0.91× | 8.73 |
| 2-0 | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.89× | 8.74 |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.14× | 13.47 |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 0.75× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 6.7% | 0.26× | 58.50 |
| 0-2 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.50 |
| 0-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.72× | 58.52 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.44× | 58.52 |
| 1-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.52 |
| 1-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.65× | 58.52 |
| 2-2 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.51 |
| 2-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.52 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.31× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.50 |
| 3-1 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.50 |
| 3-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.40× | 58.52 |
| 3-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.28× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 3.85× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.96× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.16× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.44× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.31× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 11.55× | 58.52 |
| Any other score | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.41× | 58.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor leading at HT (DNB) | 68.1% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Kocaelispor leading at HT (DNB) | 31.9% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor or draw (1X) | 79.9% | 75.6% | 71.3% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| Alanyaspor or Kocaelispor (12) | 67.9% | 69.6% | 74.0% | 0.94× | 1.44 |
| Kocaelispor or draw (X2) | 52.2% | 52.6% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor or draw at HT | 84.3% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Kocaelispor or draw at HT | 66.4% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Alanyaspor or Kocaelispor at HT | 49.3% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor or draw (1UP) | 79.9% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Kocaelispor or draw (1UP) | 52.2% | 59.2% | — | — | 1.69 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor or draw in 2nd half | 80.4% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Kocaelispor or draw in 2nd half | 62.4% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Alanyaspor or Kocaelispor in 2nd half | 57.2% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 70.3% | 69.7% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Neither half drawn | 29.7% | 30.3% | — | — | 3.30 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor (DNB) | 70.3% | 71.4% | 61.3% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Kocaelispor (DNB) | 29.7% | 28.6% | 38.7% | 0.74× | 3.50 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor to score first | 54.0% | 53.9% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Kocaelispor to score first | 31.3% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.73 |
| No goal scored | 14.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 60.7% | 56.5% | 44.4% | 1.27× | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 39.3% | 43.5% | 55.6% | 0.78× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 53.1% | 47.1% | 33.7% | 1.40× | 2.12 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 25.2% | 33.6% | 43.2% | 0.78× | 2.98 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 0.98× | 8.12 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 0.77× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 93.8% | 89.1% | 83.4% | 1.07× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 6.2% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 0.66× | 9.19 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 80.9% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 19.1% | 27.6% | — | — | 3.63 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 71.8% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 17.1% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.35 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.1% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.69 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.0% | 4.8% | — | — | 20.72 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 88.9% | 86.1% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 11.1% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.19 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 59.8% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A goal in each half | 40.2% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 47.4% | 45.7% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 38.6% | 35.1% | 23.5% | 1.49× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 14.2% | 17.0% | 28.4% | 0.60× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.68× | 55.21 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor to score exactly 0 | 47.6% | 42.9% | 30.2% | 1.42× | 2.33 |
| Kocaelispor to score exactly 1 | 35.3% | 36.0% | 35.2% | 1.02× | 2.78 |
| Kocaelispor to score exactly 2 | 13.1% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 0.61× | 7.81 |
| Kocaelispor to score 3+ | 3.9% | 4.5% | 13.8% | 0.33× | 22.04 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor to score exactly 1 | 35.6% | 35.6% | 32.1% | 1.11× | 2.81 |
| Alanyaspor to score exactly 0 | 27.8% | 26.5% | 22.2% | 1.19× | 3.77 |
| Alanyaspor to score exactly 2 | 22.8% | 23.3% | 23.8% | 0.98× | 4.30 |
| Alanyaspor to score 3+ | 13.8% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 0.65× | 6.97 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 50.7% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Alanyaspor leading at HT | 33.6% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Kocaelispor leading at HT | 15.7% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.44 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor -1: 2 | 52.2% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Alanyaspor -1: X | 24.9% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Alanyaspor -1: 1 | 22.9% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor (0:1) | 52.2% | 51.2% | 54.6% | 0.94× | 1.96 |
| Draw (0:1) | 24.9% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 1.01× | 4.12 |
| Alanyaspor (0:1) | 22.9% | 24.3% | 21.5% | 1.13× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor (0:2) | 77.1% | 79.4% | 78.6% | 1.01× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 14.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 0.94× | 9.10 |
| Alanyaspor (0:2) | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 0.78× | 12.95 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor (0:3) | 91.8% | 92.6% | 90.1% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 0.89× | 17.21 |
| Alanyaspor (0:3) | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.67× | 42.11 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor (0:4) | 97.7% | 98.1% | 96.5% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.48× | 83.40 |
| Alanyaspor (0:4) | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.01× | 83.55 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor (1:0) | 79.9% | 78.5% | 71.3% | 1.10× | 1.27 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.8% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 0.81× | 7.80 |
| Kocaelispor (1:0) | 6.3% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 0.53× | 14.49 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor (2:0) | 93.7% | 94.0% | 87.0% | 1.08× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 4.9% | 2.3% | 7.7% | 0.29× | 44.19 |
| Kocaelispor (2:0) | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 0.41× | 44.42 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 42.2% | 47.3% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Halves equal | 32.3% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor to concede | 52.4% | 53.1% | 69.8% | 0.76× | 1.88 |
| Alanyaspor clean sheet | 47.6% | 46.9% | 30.2% | 1.55× | 2.13 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor clean sheet in 1st half | 74.3% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Alanyaspor to concede in 1st half | 25.7% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor under 6.5 corners | 79.1% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Alanyaspor over 2.5 corners | 78.2% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Alanyaspor under 5.5 corners | 67.9% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Alanyaspor over 3.5 corners | 62.5% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Alanyaspor under 4.5 corners | 53.7% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Alanyaspor over 4.5 corners | 46.4% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Alanyaspor under 3.5 corners | 37.5% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Alanyaspor over 5.5 corners | 32.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Alanyaspor under 2.5 corners | 21.8% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Alanyaspor over 6.5 corners | 20.9% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor under 3.5 goals | 95.9% | 96.4% | 92.6% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Alanyaspor under 2.5 goals | 86.2% | 87.2% | 77.8% | 1.12× | 1.15 |
| Alanyaspor over 0.5 goals | 72.2% | 74.2% | 77.8% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| Alanyaspor under 1.5 goals | 63.4% | 63.4% | 54.1% | 1.17× | 1.58 |
| Alanyaspor over 1.5 goals | 36.6% | 36.6% | 45.9% | 0.80× | 2.74 |
| Alanyaspor under 0.5 goals | 27.8% | 25.8% | 22.2% | 1.16× | 3.88 |
| Alanyaspor over 2.5 goals | 13.8% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 0.58× | 7.84 |
| Alanyaspor over 3.5 goals | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 0.49× | 27.40 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.4% | 90.0% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Alanyaspor under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.7% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Alanyaspor over 0.5 in 1st half | 42.3% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Alanyaspor over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.6% | 10.0% | — | — | 10.01 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 61.4% | 60.1% | 47.6% | 1.26× | 1.66 |
| Kocaelispor (home no bet) | 38.6% | 39.9% | 52.4% | 0.76× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor even goals | 53.9% | 50.6% | 50.9% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Alanyaspor odd goals | 46.1% | 49.4% | 49.1% | 1.01× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 43.1% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| HT 1-0 | 23.3% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| HT 0-1 | 12.5% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.11 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.17 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.19 |
| Any other HT score | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.91 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.93 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.93 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.99 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.05 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor at HT / Alanyaspor at FT | 27.8% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 23.2% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Draw at HT / Alanyaspor at FT | 18.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Kocaelispor at HT / Kocaelispor at FT | 9.9% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.51 |
| Draw at HT / Kocaelispor at FT | 9.2% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.53 |
| Alanyaspor at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Kocaelispor at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Kocaelispor at HT / Alanyaspor at FT | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.92 |
| Alanyaspor at HT / Kocaelispor at FT | 1.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.95 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor to score last | 54.2% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Kocaelispor to score last | 31.1% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| No goal scored | 14.7% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.87 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 85.3% | 90.1% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Alanyaspor to lead by 1 at any time | 59.4% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 36.0% | 34.7% | — | — | 2.88 |
| Kocaelispor to lead by 1 at any time | 34.1% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Alanyaspor to lead by 2 at any time | 26.9% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.96 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 11.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.64 |
| Alanyaspor to lead by 3 at any time | 9.4% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.14 |
| Kocaelispor to lead by 2 at any time | 9.1% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.15 |
| Kocaelispor to lead by 3 at any time | 1.8% | 1.5% | — | — | 64.74 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor most corners | 63.0% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Kocaelispor most corners | 25.2% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Corners level | 11.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 83.5% | 83.5% | 85.5% | 0.98× | 1.20 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.8% | 78.6% | 75.4% | 1.04× | 1.27 |
| 1-3 goals | 70.6% | 72.4% | 61.2% | 1.18× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 61.0% | 63.4% | 74.0% | 0.86× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 59.7% | 59.2% | 70.0% | 0.85× | 1.69 |
| 2-4 goals | 56.0% | 59.2% | 59.9% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 52.4% | 53.2% | 38.3% | 1.39× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 48.7% | 45.7% | 1.06× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 32.4% | 35.4% | 51.3% | 0.69× | 2.83 |
| 3-5 goals | 31.2% | 35.4% | 47.3% | 0.75× | 2.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 27.4% | 30.2% | 37.3% | 0.81× | 3.31 |
| 4-6 goals | 14.2% | 14.9% | 28.4% | 0.52× | 6.72 |
| 4-5 goals | 12.9% | 14.9% | 24.4% | 0.61× | 6.72 |
| 5-6 goals | 5.0% | 2.5% | 14.2% | 0.18× | 39.29 |
| 7+ goals | 0.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.95× | 39.50 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor never behind | 51.1% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Kocaelispor never behind | 25.9% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.35 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.2% | 50.8% | 50.7% | 1.00× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 53.8% | 49.2% | 49.3% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 59.7% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 40.3% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 55.8% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 44.2% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 98.3% | 95.5% | 93.3% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94.5% | 92.3% | 83.3% | 1.11× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 85.3% | 87.6% | 92.0% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85.3% | 87.6% | 69.1% | 1.27× | 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67.1% | 66.2% | 46.2% | 1.43× | 1.51 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61.4% | 61.7% | 76.5% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38.6% | 38.3% | 23.5% | 1.63× | 2.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32.9% | 33.8% | 53.8% | 0.63× | 2.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14.7% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 1.55× | 8.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14.7% | 12.4% | 30.9% | 0.40× | 8.09 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5.5% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 0.46× | 12.95 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 1.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 0.67× | 22.26 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.5% | 97.3% | 97.2% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 98.2% | 97.3% | 92.6% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 94.0% | 92.5% | 80.5% | 1.15× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 82.1% | 81.1% | 59.9% | 1.35× | 1.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 54.0% | 51.8% | 30.4% | 1.70× | 1.93 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 46.0% | 48.2% | 69.6% | 0.69× | 2.08 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 17.9% | 18.9% | 40.1% | 0.47× | 5.28 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 6.0% | 7.5% | 19.5% | 0.39× | 13.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 1.8% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 0.37× | 36.37 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.99× | 36.41 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 94.6% | 92.9% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 78.9% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 56.9% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 43.1% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 21.1% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.75 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 5.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.17 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 88.5% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 68.6% | 67.1% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 66.7% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 33.3% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 31.4% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 11.5% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor not to score in both halves | 90.8% | 89.9% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Alanyaspor not to score in both halves | 78.1% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Alanyaspor to score in both halves | 21.9% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Kocaelispor to score in both halves | 9.2% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.89 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 39.3% | 39.9% | 55.6% | 0.72× | 2.51 |
| Only Alanyaspor scores | 32.9% | 33.4% | 22.3% | 1.49× | 3.00 |
| Neither team scores | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 1.37× | 9.13 |
| Only Kocaelispor scores | 13.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 0.76× | 9.14 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 28.5% | 25.0% | 22.8% | 1.10× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 23.8% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 1.44× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 18.2% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 0.76× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 1.51× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 9.2% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 0.53× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 3.7% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 0.43× | 22.68 |
| 6 or more goals | 1.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 0.66× | 22.71 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 35.3% | 39.8% | — | — | 2.51 |
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 33.3% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 31.4% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor not to win both halves | 96.8% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Alanyaspor not to win both halves | 87.1% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Alanyaspor to win both halves | 12.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.33 |
| Kocaelispor to win both halves | 3.2% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.70 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor to win neither half | 67.9% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Alanyaspor to win either half | 58.3% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Alanyaspor to win neither half | 41.7% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
| Kocaelispor to win either half | 32.1% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor not to win to nil | 86.9% | 88.2% | 85.7% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Alanyaspor not to win to nil | 67.1% | 69.6% | 77.7% | 0.90× | 1.44 |
| Alanyaspor to win to nil | 32.9% | 30.4% | 22.3% | 1.36× | 3.29 |
| Kocaelispor to win to nil | 13.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 0.82× | 8.48 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 32.1% | 27.6% | 26.0% | 1.06× | 3.62 |
| Alanyaspor by 1 | 24.9% | 24.2% | 24.1% | 1.00× | 4.14 |
| Alanyaspor by 2 | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 1.01× | 8.46 |
| Kocaelispor by 1 | 13.8% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 0.75× | 8.47 |
| Alanyaspor by 3+ | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 0.73× | 13.80 |
| Kocaelispor by 2 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 0.35× | 36.98 |
| Kocaelispor by 3+ | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 0.49× | 37.09 |