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Alaves v Las Palmas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–0
2.01 – 0.55 xG
Shots
15 – 12
On target
5 – 6
Shots in box
9 – 7
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.86 – 0.10
Goals − xG
-0.01 – -0.55
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.11.72.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Carlos Vicente 7' — goalAntonio Martínez 77' — goal
Alaves 2.01 xGLas Palmas 0.55 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Carlos Vicente 7' — Goal (0.49 xG, Open Play)Tomás Conechny 13' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Jaime Mata 14' — Saved Shot (0.18 xG, Open Play)Oliver McBurnie 15' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Stoichkov 23' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 25' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Aleksander Sedlar 30' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Manu Fuster 30' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oliver McBurnie 33' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Stoichkov 37' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Kike García 46' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 47' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Javi Muñoz 48' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Tomás Conechny 51' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Stoichkov 52' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Carlos Vicente 54' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Antonio Blanco 62' — Blocked Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Tomás Conechny 62' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 70' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 70' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 73' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Antonio Martínez 77' — Goal (0.02 xG, Open Play)Carlos Vicente 79' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 87' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Antonio Blanco 88' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Marc Cardona 91' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Luka Romero 93' — Missed Shot (0.74 xG, )
Alaves attacking right Las Palmas attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' Alaves Carlos Vicente 0.49 Open Play Left Foot Goal Stoichkov
13' Alaves Tomás Conechny 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
14' Las Palmas Jaime Mata 0.18 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Javi Muñoz
15' Las Palmas Oliver McBurnie 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot José Campaña
23' Alaves Stoichkov 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Manuel Sánchez
25' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Oliver McBurnie
30' Alaves Aleksander Sedlar 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Carlos Vicente
30' Las Palmas Manu Fuster 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
33' Las Palmas Oliver McBurnie 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot Mika Mármol
37' Alaves Stoichkov 0.06 Open Play Blocked Shot Carlos Vicente
46' Alaves Kike García 0.10 Open Play Blocked Shot Tomás Conechny
47' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alberto Moleiro
48' Las Palmas Javi Muñoz 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Viti Rozada
51' Alaves Tomás Conechny 0.02 Set Piece Saved Shot Carlos Vicente
52' Alaves Stoichkov 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Carlos Vicente
54' Alaves Carlos Vicente 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
62' Alaves Antonio Blanco 0.15 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kike García
62' Alaves Tomás Conechny 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Carlos Vicente
70' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mika Mármol
70' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Javi Muñoz
73' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
77' Alaves Antonio Martínez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Goal
79' Alaves Carlos Vicente 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Antonio Blanco
87' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.06 Open Play Saved Shot Oliver McBurnie
88' Alaves Antonio Blanco 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
91' Las Palmas Marc Cardona 0.07 Open Play Missed Shot Mika Mármol
93' Alaves Luka Romero 0.74 Left Foot Missed Shot

Players

Alaves

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Antonio Blanco MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.21 0.11 0.49
Aleksander Sedlar DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Abdelkabir Abqar DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Manuel Sánchez DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.17
Nahuel Tenaglia DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Antonio Sivera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Carlos Vicente MR 85 1 0 3 5 0.65 0.24 0.98
Jon Guridi MC 85 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Stoichkov FW 73 0 1 3 1 0.13 0.49 0.82
Tomás Conechny ML 67 0 0 3 1 0.14 0.10 0.76
Kike García FW 67 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.15 0.94
Antonio Martínez Sub 23 1 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.13
Carlos Martín Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ander Guevara Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Luka Romero Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.74 0.00 0.00
Hugo Novoa Ramos Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Las Palmas

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Javi Muñoz MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.19 0.25
Oliver McBurnie FW 90 0 0 2 2 0.04 0.09 0.19
Scott McKenna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Mika Mármol DL 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.12 0.15
Jasper Cillessen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.18
Álex Suárez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.32
Kirian Rodríguez MC 80 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.10
José Campaña MC 67 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.06
Jaime Mata MR 61 0 0 1 0 0.18 0.00 0.21
Viti Rozada DR 61 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.03
Manu Fuster ML 49 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Alberto Moleiro Sub 41 0 0 3 1 0.12 0.02 0.21
Sandro Ramírez Sub 29 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Marvin Park Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Enzo Loiodice Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Marc Cardona Sub 10 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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